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DraftKings Showdown

Stoweby’s Showdown 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders

David Stowe 3 years ago

written by David Stowe

NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns:

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders is going to be a fun event this evening so let’s enjoy ourselves and treat it for what it is, a good game that we can take a few shots on. Don’t get tilted over these, they arte hard to win. DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

I’m putting this in every article until folks listen: Do not play Showdown if you’re still building bankroll or you’re tilting from a bad main slate! This is nothing more than a way to have a little fun during the game and it shouldn’t be counted on for anything more than that. They are incredibly difficult to win.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Patrick Mahomes $ 20,100

Pivot: Derek Carr $14,700

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill $16,500

Contrarian #2: Travis Kelce $15,900

Contrarian #3: Clyde Edwards-Helaire $12,300

Vegas Total: 56 points Chiefs: -7.5

I find it so strange that Vegas has so little faith in their home team. I know it is the Chiefs but they have outperformed expectations every step of the way and they have already shown that they have the ability to play up-tempo and they beat the Chiefs by 8 in KC earlier this year. I see this one being close for four quarters so for all of you playing props I’d recommend taking the Raiders +7.5 -116. It’s obvious that Patrick Mahomes is going to be the chalk even at $20,100 and I won’t argue if you go that route but there are two guys I really like. Derek Carr is $14,700 and went for 347 yards passing and 3 TD’s in there last meeting and I’ve been much more optimistic on the Raiders this year than most. Tyreek Hill became a much more intriguing option with news that Lamarcus Joyner on the Covid-19 list and unable to play leaving Amik Robinson in his stead. I know Joyner isn’t anything special but Robinson is a complete mess. no way he keeps up with his 4.45 40 time and overly aggressive nature at DB. The Cheetah is likely going to burn him any time the Raiders go man and even in the cover-2 man under concept Hill will burn these guys with crossing routes. My deep contrarian play is Clyde Edwars-Helaire. Now bear with me. Every year Andy Reid goes through these stints where he gets too cute with the play calling and he completely forgets that he has a running back. He will do it for three or four weeks and then get back to normal. I don’t know if he just uses the later half of the season to test things out to get ready for the playoffs, or if he just looses his mind every year for a while but it always happens. If you want to run a script that matches the Vegas line and bank on the Chiefs dominating an Edwards-Helaire captain play could potentially break the slate. I know I am leaving big play guys out but you know who they are if you want to use them. They’ll be listed as flex plays below but we could have gone 8 deep with captains today but these are just my favorites for various reasons.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders: (All captains are viable flex’s)

First thing that sticks out tonight is that I’m not going to recommend either defenses at flex outside of maybe a super contrarian game script if you are running 150 lineups. The Chiefs are the Chiefs and Derek Carr is great overall when it comes to limiting turnovers. Kickers are in play and if you want to bank on a shootout you’ll need big play options like Henry Ruggs and Demarcus Robinson in your lineup. Luckily the Chiefs are pretty condensed with their playmakers so I’ll likely not using anyone besides Harrison Butker or Demarcus Robinson as ancillary flex options.

Raiders: Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs, Henry Ruggs, Nelson Algholor, Daniel Carlson, Hunter Renfrow, Bryan Edwards

Chiefs: Demarcus Robinson, Mecole Hardman, Le’Veon Bell, Harrison Butker

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

3 years ago 0 comment

Week 11 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Cards at Seahawks

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 11 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Kyler Murray (DK $19,500, FD $17,000)

Pivot: Russell Wilson (DK $17,700, FD $16,500)

Contrarian #1: DK Metcalf (DK $15,300, FD $13,500)

Contrarian #2: DeAndre Hopkins (DK $16,200, FD $13,500)

DK CPT Punt Options: Freddie Swain ($1,800) & Andy Isabella ($3,000)

There are some pricing discrepancies between FanDuel and DraftKings this week that we can take advantage of – in both cash games and tournaments – but the overriding theme this week will be squeezing in both QBs if we can. That’s a hard task, but I think that’s the best cash game strategy and a viable plan for GPPs.

The chalk on both sites is Kyler Murray, and a quick glance at his game logs tells us why he’s top dog emcee: he hasn’t scored fewer than 24.12 DK points in any game this season and he’s already racked up 2,375-17-8 passing and 604 rushing yards with 10 scores (!) on the ground. Only the Bengals offer a more favorable QB matchup than Seattle, which means he could have one of his highest game totals of the season.

Russell Wilson took a step back in Week 10 with just 12.92 DK points against the Rams, but his fantasy resume is just as impressive, with his previous lowest DK point total (24.9) coming in a Week 4 matchup against an upstart Miami defense that’s been mazing in 2020.

The biggest injury situations to monitor are in both backfields, but Arizona’s Chase Edmonds and Seattle’s Carlos Hyde (full practice participant on Tuesday) are my favorite RB options on both teams. If Chris Carson (foot) can go for the Seahawks that does complicate things a bit, but Hyde had a solid game vs. Arizona in Week 7, is absent an official injury designation heading into Thursday night and offers a pretty nice combination of blocking and receiving skills that will be needed in this game.

Carson’s availability won’t be determined until close to game time, but I’m fading him because foot injuries are easy to exacerbate, and we’ve got to take a stand somewhere. As for my dude Chase, I’m on him because I’m just not a huge fan of Kenyan Drake, regardless of if he’s 100 percent and even though he gets a pretty large snap share that often exceeds that of Edmonds. Drake’s one truly enormous game this season came against Dallas in Week 6 at the height of that team’s momentous misery.

Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett (knee) is questionable but also expected to play, which slightly mars the option of punting the captain spot with super-cheap Freddie Swain for Seattle. Swain hauled in 3-37-0 on four targets last week and is an under-the-radar deep threat and high-leverage performer that Wilson looks for in the red zone. He’s definitely worth using in some GPPs, especially if Lockett is limited. Anda Isabella is the Arizona analog to Swain – a speedburner who could break the slate with a long TD reception.

Top WR options DeAndre Hopkins (now of “Hail Murray” fame) and DK Metcalf are also worthy of using in any place they can fit, and don’t sleep on Christian Kirk, who is a worthy second fiddle on a Cards team filled with talent.

Kickers, defenses and TEs could make their way into my lineups, but only a smattering, and not in the captain spot.

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Count on this to be low-scoring. The projected total sits at 57 and we could easily see this be a 37-31 type of game.

DO: Get plenty of both sides in this game. I just don’t see either team dominating to the point where a 5-to-1 build makes a lot of sense.

DON’T: Forget about the “other” Cards receivers, including Larry Fitzgerald. The NFL legend had 8-62-0 against the Seahawks in Week 7, his best output of the season thus far.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Kyler Murray
Russell Wilson
DK Metcalf
DeAndre Hopkins
Christian Kirk
Carlos Hyde (if Chris Carson is inactive)
Chase Edmonds
Tyler Lockett (questionable)
Kenyan Drake
Larry Fitzgerald
Andy Isabella
Chris Carson (risk-reward)
David Moore (higher if Lockett limited)
Freddie Swain (risky GPP)
Greg Olsen
Jason Myers
Dan Arnold
Zane Gonzalez
Cards DST
Seahawks DST

3 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 10 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Vikings at Bears

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Dalvin Cook (DK $20,400, FD $17,500)

Pivot: Kirk Cousins (DK $15,300, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Nick Foles (DK $14,700, FD $13,500)

Contrarian #2: Adam Thielen (DK $15,000, FD $14,000)

The easy choice for the captain chalk is Dalvin Cook, who’s season low is 17.1 DK points in Week 2 against Indy. This season he’s scored 21.8, 17.1, 29.9, 31.6, 19.9, BYE, INJ, 51.6 and 42.2 DK points – numbers bolstered by the fact that he’s scored at least one TD in every game he’s played this season (12 TDs in seven games). He seems matchup-proof at this point.

We could pivot to Kirk Cousins if assume the Bears will stack the box against Cook, and while Cousins isn’t the most reliable real-world QB (or fantasy producer), he’s notched four weeks with at least 20 DK points and he has a bevy of offensive weapons at his disposal: Cook, veteran WR and PPR maven Adam Thielen, talented rookie wideout Justin Jefferson and stalwart TE Kyle Rudolph.

The Vikings are without Irv Smith Jr. this week, which likely dings their red zone efficacy, but the gloriously man-bunned Tyler Conklin could soak up a few extra targets in his stead. Conklin played some in 2019 and has yet to be targeted this season, but he’s the only other active TE on the Vikings roster. He’s dirt cheap and probably not a guy I’d use in more than 1/10 GPPs.

Additionally, it’s not outside the realm of possibility that capable RB Alexander Mattison sees a few additional carries this week, as Cook has logged 30 and 22 carries in his last two games. Outside of that lot and a smattering of the Vikings DST mixed into my builds, I don’t see too many other impact players for Minnesota.

The Bears have a team total under 20 in this game, which is never a good sign for fantasy production. Nick Foles has his moments, so he’s the most obvious choice for a contrarian builds – which have merit based on both game script and the Vikings’ record against opposing QBs.

I’d love to plug Foles and Allen Robinson into some lineups right away, but AR2 is questionable with a knee injury and we could see more targets heading the ay of both Anthony Miller and rookie Darnell Mooney. Mooney, even as the Bears deep threat, might even be the safer play of the two given Miller’s spotty performance this season – though Miller has a been a favorite feast-or-famine GPP play for me over the past couple of seasons since he seems to make some truly amazing catches when he’s on his game.

Bears TE Jimmy Graham is another relatively safe fantasy option that maintains some upside, and the Vikings yield about a third more production to opposing TEs than the average NFL team. He’ll be a staple of my builds in all formats.

The backfield is a mess, with the team promoting Lamar Miller from the practice squad to help Ryan Nall with RB duties. Miller hasn’t taken the field since 2018 because of an ACL injury and he was cut from the Patriots roster this summer. He could be a free space at just $200 on DK, but he’ll likely split work with Nall and Swiss army knife Cordarrelle Patterson in Week 10. This relatively ugly committee should still be led by Nall, with David Montgomery still in concussion protocol and ruled out for Week 10.

Lastly, there’s no way we can omit the Bears DST – a strength of this team and a glaring GPP possibility when we’re honest about the fallibility of Cousins and the 3-5 Vikings in general. I’ll have shares of both them and K Cairo Santos in GPPs.

Week 10 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Forget about the defenses – as both QBs have been known to look downright foolish on the football field.

DO: Use Dalvin Cook somewhere in your lineup – unless you’re planning on him getting injured, which is both mean and dumb.

DON’T: Be afraid to completely fade the Vikings passing game in your “Cook at CPT” builds.

Dalvin Cook
Kirk Cousins
Adam Thielen
Nick Foles
Allen Robinson (if active)
Justin Jefferson
Darnell Mooney
Jimmy Graham
Ryan Nall
Kyle Rudolph
Anthony Miller
Lamar Miller
Vikings DST
Dan Bailey
Cairo Santos
Bears DST
Alexander Mattison
Cordarrelle Patterson
Riley Ridley
Olabisi Johnson

3 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots

David Stowe 3 years ago

written by David Stowe

Week 10 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

I’m putting this in every article until folks listen: Do not play Showdown if you’re still building bankroll or you’re tilting from a bad main slate! This is nothing more than a way to have a little fun during the game and it shouldn’t be counted on for anything more than that. They are incredibly difficult to win.

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots

Chalk: Lamar Jackson $18,600

Pivot: Cam Newton $16,200

Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers $14,400

Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews $11,400/ JK Dobbins $12,600 (If Ingram is out)

Contrarian #3: Damien Harris $13,200/ Rex Burkhead $10,200 (If Harris is out or on “snap count”)

Vegas: 44.5 Point total Ravens -6.5:

Vegas is projecting this to be a low scoring tough slog and with rain and wind around 20 MPH at kickoff if you wanted to go with defenses and runners you can choose that as an alternate path than what I mention below. It’s 2020 and more often than not we see crazy things happen contrary to popular opinion every night.

I am going to get this out there first. Living in North Carolina I’ve been forced to watch Cam Newton throw the ball since long before I ever wrote DFS articles. Once the health became I problem I knew the wheels would fall off. His throwing mechanics, accuracy, and tendency to get moody on the sidelines would eventually cause a good deal of problems. He has played one top ten defense all season and was benched after throwing three picks and ended the game with 2.82 points. But, with that being said I recognize my bias here and he makes a lot of sense as a contrarian captain play for much the same reason. I’m not the only person who feels this way and I think we’ll be surprised by just how low his ownership will be at captain. He also presents a clear path with Jakobi Meyers as his main weapon and it looks like Ravens DB Jimmy Smith won’t be playing tonight so Josh McDaniels will surely try to scheme Cam’s favorite guy open. We all know what Lamar Jackson brings to the table so no need to say much and if pairing him with a pass catcher you have two main options in Mark Andrews and Marquis Brown. Both of them have been largely absent this season but someone has to score and the added dynamic of Lamar running the ball may just cause Bill Belichick to make him win through the air so I think you have to pair him with one or the other at minimum. Finally, according to Ian Rappaport he expects Damien Harris to play and he seems to be their best back right now. But Ian Rappaport is one of the absolute worst NFL “insiders” in the business consistently giving you incorrect information causing you to make bad choices (he said CMC and Mike Davis were going to split carries last week….) so until I see official word I will plan on Rex Burkhead as a deep contrarian play as he has shown a high ability to play option football and I think we’re going to see a heavy dose of that tonight from both teams.

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Both Defenses are in play tonight due to both QB’s struggling to throw the ball and the rain and wind. Kickers worry me for the same weather reasons but I’ll have them sprinkled in, mainly Justin Tucker. I personally love Isaiah Ford but he’s a smaller receiver who his better with timing throws that need an accurate QB throwing it. Cam is inaccurate and high on his throws so beyond a cheap punt play I don’t feel great there. Dez Bryant is still on the practice squad so the Dez truthers will have to wait at least another week.

Patriots: Defense, James White, Damiere Byrd, Isaiah Ford,

Ravens: Defense, Mark Ingram, JK Dobbins, Willie Snead, Justin Tucker

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

3 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10

Uriah Wesson 3 years ago

written by Uriah Wesson

Introduction into NFL DFS contest selection:

As a newer DFS player most of us started off the same way. We were either watching television or listening on SiriusXM and we heard a commercial that went along the lines of “Do you think you know NFL? Do you play seasonal fantasy sports? Do you want to win money instantly? Have a chance to be like (insert name here), he/she won a million dollars playing daily fantasy sports on (insert website). Well sign up today and start winning”. In 2013 that was me, the site was Fanduel, and the player was Chris Prince. I proceeded to enter my money, and I was immediately hooked. Unfortunately, I also was not aware of sites like Win Daily Sports for a couple of years and I was doing like most new players and did nothing but chase the bright shiny Millionaire Maker contests. It took me a long time to realize what full time players already understood, the Milli Maker contests are a waste of money for the average player and that I needed to focus on single entry tournaments and 50/50’s. Not just that when you dig into it because not all single entry contests are created equal. With Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection week 10 we will tackle individual contests selection and why It is important.

Subscriber Questions: I will try to address any questions from our Win Daily Sports family that you may have that I haven’t already covered below.

What is the Difference in build structure between Cash and GPP contests? Your build structure will be vastly different between these types of contests. When building cash lineups the two biggest differences are that first, you don’t fade the highest ownership players like you would consider doing in GPP’s. High ownership is irrelevant because you aren’t worried about finding sneaky low owned players to separate yourself from the rest of the field to get to the top of the leaderboard, you just need to get above the cash line. You don’t get style points for finishing first. Second, you do not want to stack games like you would in GPP’s i.e. Playing a QB and 1-2 pass catchers from one team and running it back with a player from the opposing team. The reason for that is your goal is to minimize your risk and consistently score enough points to simply beat half of the field. If you have your players spread across multiple games and one guy gets hurt or has a bad game it won’t hurt any corresponding players on your team and you can still cash, whereas if your QB has a bad game and you stacked two of his receivers with him you’re now down 3 players and likely dead in the water. At most in cash games I may pair a QB with ONE receiver on RARE occasions and I will use a running back paired with a defense if the matchup is extremely good. One other key difference between the two is that you should largely avoid things like bad matchups in cash (such as a good running back in a bad matchup or a QB in a game with windy conditions), but you will take risks on those plays in GPP’s in an attempt to get a huge performance at low ownership. I hope all of that makes sense to everyone.

I’m going to just put this in here because no matter how many ways I say it people seem to not hear me. If you are playing with a limited bankroll as a new player or simply want the easiest path to make steady winnings DO NOT PLAY SHOWDOWNS. Your chances to win a showdown slate is worse than any other type of contest and if you are relying on it to make up for a bad main slate or think you can predict it accurately enough to be profitable over the long term you are doing it wrong. You’ll be broke and out of the DFS community before we ever get a chance to help you. Ok you’ve been warned. It’s just for fun and maybe you’ll get lucky, that’s it.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions:

One thing that I feel is tremendously important is understanding the vocabulary within DFS. New players can sometimes be overwhelmed and a little embarrassed to ask what in the world we are talking about in our articles and in discord. First thing, don’t be. There is not a single content creator that will give you a hard time for not knowing what something means. We have a lingo all our own and it can take a little time to get up to speed and experienced players can sometimes get into the weeds when having nuanced conversations and inadvertently leave newer players not having any idea what we are saying.

GPP or Guaranteed Prize Pool/Tournament:

These are tournaments where the pay structure is pre-defined prior to the start of the contest and the pay structure increases the higher you finish in the final standings. They can either be single entry or multi entry. The Millionaire Maker is the most notable example.

Cash Contests/Double-Ups/50-50’s:

These are contests where if you finish above a certain point in the field you are payed a pre-determined amount that does not change based on final standings. Finishing in the top 50 percent (50-50’s) on FanDuel or roughly top 40 percent (double ups) on DraftKings will result in a positive outcome. These are the easiest contests to cash and the best place for new players to focus on while building bankroll.

MME/Multi Entry/Mega Multi Entry:

Contests where you are allowed to enter more than lineup in a given contest. These contests can range from 3-entries up to 150 entries per contest. These are the most difficult kinds of contests for people to win and with the exception of the 3 entry max should be avoided by most players who do not have an already established bankroll.

Single Entry Contests:

Contests that only allow you to enter a single lineup in a given contest. All new players and even established players should focus the majority of their bankroll on this style of contest. The potential winnings are not nearly as attractive to new players as the giant MME contests but they are by far the best choice for sustained growth. There are both GPP and Cash versions of single entry contests.

Rake:

Rake is the percentage of the overall prize pool that a given site will remove as profit from what is payed out in the player prize pool. Typically, MME GPP’s and smaller entry fee contests have the highest rake sometimes reaching 16% of entry fees removed while higher entry fee contests can see as low as 8% rake. That 8% will directly affect where the pay line sits as well as payout structure i.e. Top 24% of players will cash as opposed to top 18% or top 5 players winning $10K, $8K, $6K, $4K, $3K as opposed to top 5 players winning $10K, $5K, $2K, $1K, $750. These percentages change every given week and will give us the basis for many of our plays on a given week.

Overlay:

You don’t see this one all that often in NFL contests but overlay does still happen. Overlay happens when GPP’s do not fill up and it provides an additional advantage in your overall chances to win. As an example if a contest that has 10,000 maximum entries and only pays the top 2,000 players that means 20% percent of people will win. If only 8,000 people enter that contest they will still pay the top 2,000 people and you now have a 25% chance to win. That 5% improvement in your odds is huge over the long term for your success. It’s harder to predict but if you have a lineup that you feel very confident in and you watch the contest lobby you can give yourself an edge that not everyone will be looking for.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Cash Contests

It’s less about rake or percentages here so this will be the same every week. When it comes to cash contests stick to single only and play in events with between 100-1000 total entries. This range eliminates the random variance that comes with smaller contests and the slightly higher scores that inevitably come from contests with the multi-thousands of entries of games. We’ll get more into that in the coming weeks as we gather data. If you are just starting out a minimum of 70% of your weekly bankroll needs to go towards these types of contests.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10 DraftKings:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $1-$25 Range

Both the single entry and 3 entry max $1 dollar contests are identical so if you want to throw a buck at them have fun. Only 1.5x min cash but it’s $1,000 to first in both.

The larger $12 Fair catch is marginally better. A .02% increase in rake but a .19% increase to pay line and a marginally flatter structure near the top edges this one out of its 50k counterpart. $25,000 to First.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $25-$100 Range

In a strange twist this week DraftKings did a better job flattening the top of the larger contests at the sub $100 range. That’s fine with me, we get to take a swing at the larger top prize with marginally better odds. $10,000 to First.

I nice big $7,500 top prize contest with 600 entries and a “decent” Top Ten payout under 35% puts the 3 entry max Goal Line on my list. Rake is about 1.5% too high in my opinion and I’d rather have 2x min cash but it better than most and it’s not crazy for someone who has a bit of a bankroll to max out if they really wanted to.

DK loaded us up with contests with min cash of only 1.5x in the $50-$100 range. This smaller Hot Route contest though is really nice. Under 400 entries, 2.0x min cash, sub 10% rake and a $5,000 top prize. If you’re new to the higher dollar contests and want to dip a tow in I love the idea of taking a swing here. A takedown is a reasonable goal with this one.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

Do you want to take a step up an go after a 5 figure top prize and actually have decent odds? Here is you game. With only 416 entries, a rake under 10%, and a min cash of 2x this is a fun one. This one is top heavy but when the GPP’s get this small in terms of entries top loaded is what you want. You have a very real chance at finishing at the top with a strong lineup.

Still have a little left over from your stimulus check and missed out on the new Xbox release? Why not drop $300 in this Single Entry Spin Move contest and take a swing at a $20,000 top price. Top heavy as all get out but like I already said, when your entering these higher dollar contests with sub-600 entries you want to have as much up top as possible. In the event that you just barley cash though the 2x return still gives you an extra chunk of change so you can afford to pay scalper prices on that Xbox you missed out on.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10 FanDuel:

I will say that while the sponsored single entry contests all seem to do a pretty decent job with a flatter pay structure FanDuel makes sure to always increase the rake on them and reduce the min cash to 2x or below (1.83x min cash on the $33) on all three contests so unless you are just dead set on it I would avoid for better options. Unlike DraftKings you can usually find GPP’s with at least 2x min cash but they are by no means perfect as you will see below.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $1-$25 Range

FanDuel unfortunately is really limited on “good” contests in the less expensive single entry contests. I’ve asked them to fix it, they never will. The smaller contests i.e. Small Sweep ($25), Small Scramble ($10), Small Spike ($5), and Small Squib ($1) are better with rake, payout structure, cash line, and min cash. So instead of writing them all up I’ll just say fade the bigger contests and go for the smaller ones to build bankroll. It will pay off in the long run, I promise.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $25-$100 Range

$50 Single Entry NFL Hot Route: Nice Flat payout structure with 2x min cash, $10,000 to first.

$50 Single Entry Small Hot Route: As with the smaller buy in contests I like the way they have the 100-120 entry single entry contests structured. 2.5x Min cash while staying above the 20% cash line is nice. $1,000 to first.

$75 Single Entry NFL Stiff Arm: I’m not a huge fan of the top ten taking 40% of the of the winnings but it’s great elsewhere with almost 25% cashing and under 12 percent on the rake.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

FanDuel if you are reading this (which I highly doubt) you need to do better, your higher dollar single entry contests are embarrasing in terms of rake, payout structrure, cash line, and min cash. I couldn’t recommend a single one. DraftKings beats you in every way. The only reason I could even put anything in here is because of a 2 max and 3 max entry contest.

$100 Two Entry Small Blitz: The only decent $100 contest on FanDuel. 68 entries, $1,500 to first.

$150 Three Entry NFL End Zone. Hate the 50% going to the top ten and almost 12% rake but the rest is good. $10,000 to first

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection Week 10 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this week. If you have any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 10 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Colts at Titans

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Ryan Tannehill (DK $16,800, FD $16,000)

Pivot: Derrick Henry (DK $16,200, FD $15,500)

Contrarian #1: AJ Brown (DK $15,600, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #2: Philip Rivers (DK $14,700, FD $12,500)

The Colts defense is one of the best in the NFL – and the run defense may very well be the best in the game – so Ryan Tannehill could be throwing the ball more than normal to move the football up the field. He’s no Lamar Jackson, so they will likely take a different approach than the Ravens did on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Derrick Henry is second in the league in rushing (843 yards) behind Dalvin Cook and hasn’t had the same success in recent weeks – held under his usual benchmark of 100 yards in two of the last three games. While I wouldn’t categorize him as a contrarian play, he makes for an interesting pivot from Tannehill, who’s the highest priced player on both sites.

Perhaps the sharpest choice for captain this week is AJ Brown, and explosive playmaker who carries enormous upside into every matchup. He’s physical, he’s fast, and he won’t be deterred by the challenge of Indy’s stout defense. Corey Davis has seen a career resurgence in 2020, making him a solid option as well, and TE Jonnu Smith has been a feast-or famine fantasy producer this season with five TDs over his first four games and just one since (2-32-1 in Week 9 vs. CHI).

To further complicate things, Anthony Firkser has been the more productive Titans TE since Week 5. Making a captain selection is difficult because the Titans roll out a pretty balanced offensive attack, so I could see a drastic approach of playing the Titans DST at CPT on DraftKings in order to fit in all the studs.

Philip Rivers (who may get benched at some point in favor of Jacoby Brissett) gets back an important weapon in the relatively inexpensive T.Y. Hilton, who rejoins a WR corps that includes rookie Michael Pittman, the inconsistent Zach Pascal and Marcus Johnson – who’s actually been targeted 19 times over the past three games.

Their RBs (rookie Jonathan Taylor, change of pack back Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins) have been a frustrating group for fantasy owners – since there’s no indication of who’s going to be the main producer. The best option is still probably Taylor, who is usually the early focal point of the running attack, but that could easily shift to Hines in a negative game script.

There’s no Jack Doyle (concussion) this week, so we can expect a few targets for Mo Alie-Cox (questionable, knee) and Trey Burton. Burton has more red-zone upside (with rushing TDs in consecutive games straddling the Week 7 bye), but last week we saw Alie-Cox find paydirt.

This game is going to be a grind, with both teams approaching full strength and the lack of an obvious game script – but I’m comfortable using lots of Henry/Titans DST and a smattering of Tannehill/Brown/Smith stacks with Rivers and some Indy skill players on the other side.

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Focus too much on the sub-$3K punts on DK – there’s plenty of productive guys from $3-9K offering excellent upside.

DO: Deploy a balanced approach for the Titans – because that’s how they roll – and mix in some of their defense as Philip Rivers has not been great this season.

DON’T: Forget about Rivers/Hilton in GPPs, however, as they could be a game-breaking combo this week if Hilton isn’t limited.

Derrick Henry
Ryan Tannehill
AJ Brown
Philip Rivers
Jonnu Smith
Corey Davis
T.Y. Hilton
Titans DST
Jonathan Taylor
Nyheim Hines
Colts DST
Zach Pascal
Trey Burton
Anthony Firkser
Stephen Gostkowski
Michael Pittman, Jr.
Marcus Johnson
Ryan Blankenship
Jordan Wilkins
DeMichael Harris

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 9 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Patriots at Jets

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 9 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Cam Newton (DK $19,800, FD $17,000)

Pivot: Jakobi Meyers (DK $13,500, FD $11,000)

Contrarian #1: Patriots DST (DK $11,100)

Contrarian #2: Jamison Crowder (DK $16,800, FD $14,000)

We’ve got another weird one on the docket for MNF, with multiple statuses to monitor before game time, including the Jets’ highest-upside offensive player in Jamison Crowder (groin) and the normal bevy of Patriots players who’ve been saddled with the questionable tag – no doubt because Bill Belichick can’t help but add some gamesmanship to his weekly strategy.

Ironically, one of the most dubious of 2020 performers this season, Cam Newton, is actually one of the least uncertain heading into this matchup – at least in my opinion. The Jets have lost another key defensive piece (LB Avery Williamson via trade) and should have trouble containing Newton in this matchup. How the Pats deploy their running backs, including how much we see of James White and Rex Burkhead, hinges on the availability of Sony Michel (who has been practicing and could technically come off IR and play tonight) and Damien Harris, whose questionable tag could simply be a red herring and not a real setback for his ankle issue.

Using Newton at captain makes the most sense for cash game matchups, and his upside is high enough that he’ll be the chalk in GPPs. The Patriots will be missing WR Julian Edelman, but Jakobi Meyers seems to have taken over the lion’s share of targets in the passing game. I’d strongly consider stacking Meyers and White with Newton as a starting point for GPPs and cash. Using Meyers at CPT on DK allows you to build some huge-upside Patriots stacks.

The Jets – smack dab in the middle of a season where they are once again being the Jets – will be rolling out Joe Flacco at QB with Sam Darnold (shoulder) on the shelf. Flacco is a man who clearly does not want to be the quarterback of this 0-8 football team. I’m steering clear in most formats but will have at least 1/10 Jets stack with Flacco at the helm in large-field GPPs. I’d rather see them give James Morgan a shot, but Adam Gase is a sadist weirdo who sleeps about as often as a NXIVM member.

Because of their glaring lack of a running game, I don’t mind the Jets WRs here, as they may rack up reception points without necessarily finding paydirt or making huge gains – and the triumvirate of Crowder (double-digit targets in every game he’s played this season), Braxton Berrios (11 targets last week vs. the Chiefs) and rookie Denzel Mims will be complicated by the return of Breshad Perriman (concussion).

On DraftKings, we really have to consider the Pats DST, even though it’s a steep price, and there are definitely some viable GPP builds that start with them up top.

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Play the Jets defense tonight. I just don’t see a path to them factoring even if they get a rare defensive TD.

DO: Use Jakobi Meyers in a bunch of lineups, as he’s soaking up the most targets of any Pats WR.

DON’T: Focus too much on the tight ends in this game. Neither side targets TEs very much and while that could change in the small sample of a single game, it’s certainly not a viable cash game strategy.

Cam Newton
Jamison Crowder
Jakobi Meyers
James White
Patriots DST
Joe Flacco
Braxton Berrios
Sony Michel (love the price on DK if active)
Damien Harris (if active and Michel inactive)
Damiere Byrd
La’Mical Perine
Breshad Perriman
Rex Burkhead (but he’s a lineup lock if both Michel and Harris are out)
Denzel Mims
Frank Gore
Nick Folk (questionable – Justin Rohrwasser is the backup)
Gunner Olszewski
Jeff Smith
Ryan Izzo (questionable)
Sergio Castillo

3 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers

David Stowe 3 years ago

written by David Stowe

Week 9 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers

Chalk: Alvin Kamara $16,800

Pivot: Tom Brady $15,900

Contrarian #1: Drew Brees $15,000

Contrarian #2: Mike Evans $12,600

Contrarian #3: Michael Thomas $14,700

This one is incredibly interesting in terms of Showdown contests go with a number of narratives. Tom Brady and Drew Brees are going back and forth for the NFL’s touchdown record. Antonio Brown returns to action after a lengthy absence as does Michael Thomas. A little less talked about narrative is that Brees has been dealing with a right shoulder issue and I’m not sure of the severity, how long he’s dealt with it, or how it will affect him if at all. Vegas thinks that this will be a close shootout with a total of 50.5 and Tampa being 3.5 point favorites at home so they are thinking pickum. Alvin Kamara will always be chalk when he is in a showdown lineup and for good reason but I think if you were ever to go somewhere else at captain this is the week facing the best run defense in the NFL and arguably the best overall defense and with Michael Thomas looking to return to action potentially changing his target share just a bit through the air. I think the safest pivot will be Tom Brady with a full allotment of weapons, in primetime, after a rough outing against the Giants. The Saints secondary is nothing to be scared of and he will have what is arguably now the best WR core with Antonio Brown, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Scotty Miller, and Tyler Johnson. Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate at tight end, and two backs in Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette who can run inside and catch the ball out of the backfield. I really don’t think the Saints have a chance to stop them, our problem is picking the spots where the points will come from. From the Saints offense we only have 3 primary options tonight in Kamara, Thomas, and Brees so I’m really not going to spend much time there. Overall I count 10 different players on DraftKings the we could consider in your captain spot so my list is not comprehensive by any means tonight, the five up top are just the safest options in my opinion. I think for high upside low owned options Chris Godwin will be extremely low owned given his finger injury and I think everyone is gonna wait a week before running AB out there.

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

There are just a plethora of Bucs that are worth considering tonight so I will list my flex plays in order of most to least favorite today. If you run a script where the game will be close like Vegas predicts load on on Bucs pass catchers and if you are running a couple of scrips where the Bucs roll over the Saints like I am it would be good idea to run a pass catcher or two with either Fournette or Jones in a 4-2 split with either Kamara or Thomas and whoever you can fit in as your second Saints player.

Buccaneers: Rob Gronkowski, Chris Godwin, Ronald Jones, Leonard Fournette, Antonio Brown, Ryan Succop, Bucs Defense, Scotty Miller, Tyler Johnson, Cameron Brate

Saints: Emmanuel Sanders, Will Lutz, Jared Cook, Latavius Murray

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

3 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 9 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Packers at 49ers

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 9 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Let’s start with a snapshot of the top options at captain on DK:

Wow. That’s a lot of red — but at least we don’t see any injury notes next to the top two options: Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. Rodgers is actually cheaper than Adams but my guess is that he’ll end up being the chalk in the top spot. We’ll know a little bit closer to lock if that’s the case.

Chalk: Aaron Rodgers (DK $16,500, FD $15,000)

Pivot: Davante Adams (DK $18,600, FD $15,500)

Contrarian #1: Nick Mullens (DK $13,800, FD $12,000)

Contrarian #2: Jerick McKinnon (DK $12,000, FD $7,000)

Aaron Jones is still nursing a calf injury and is listed as questionable – he’ll be a game-time decision and his absence would force the Packers to start someone a relative unknown, be that DK minimum-price Tyler Ervin (who has logged the most field time of the available Green Bay RBs this season with four carries for 43 rushing yards and 6-33-0 on nine receiving targets) or 2019 sixth-round pick Dexter Williams, who’s minimum price (DK $300, FD $5,000) on both sites.

Jones has played injured before, and he’s even been effective – so as of writing this I’m expecting him to suit up. After Adams, we could see lots of targets for TE Robert Tonyan, WR Allen Lazard (if he comes off IR before the game and is activated), and even the likes of Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Equanimeous St. Brown.

On the 49ers side, things are looking even more bleak, with all the team’s high-profile fantasy starters missing tonight’s contest – including QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle, IR), TE George Kittle (broken foot, IR), RBs Raheem Mostert (ankle, IR), Tevin Coleman (knee, out) and Jeff Wilson (ankle, IR), as well a triumvirate of WRs in the speedy Deebo Samuel (COVID-19), rookie standout Brandon Aiyuk (COVID-19), and red-zone target Kendrick Bourne (COVID-19). Dante Pettis (shoulder) got cut this week and promptly signed with the Giants.

We’re left with backup QB Nick Mullens, quick-twitch RB Jerick McKinnon, rookie RB JaMycal Hasty, TEs Jordan Reed and Ross Dwelley, and these WRs: Trent Taylor, Richie James (questionable with an ankle injury) and practice squad bodies River Cracraft (not joking) and Kevin White, who was once a highly regarded WR prospect for the Bears.

I expect to see a lot of two-TE sets and formations with both McKinnon (lined up as a WR) and Hasty. This is madness, but we can embrace it and use it to our advantage in this showdown.

There will be no trouble fitting the top few performers from both teams if we punt CPT on DK, but even with Rodgers or Adams at 1.5x we can likely get Ervin or Dexter Williams and another Packers pass catcher in there alongside the SF pieces we like.

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Be afraid to play minimum salary guys tonight. There are several who could have a huge impact on this game.

DO: Stay tuned to the inactives and make the necessary pivots. There may be a few builds that we don’t need to tinker with once we know the status of Aaron Jones, but I’m sure there will be relevant breaking news as we approach 8 p.m.

DON’T: Forget about defenses and kickers. Mistakes could abound in this game, and while we’ve seen some poor play from the Packers DST, they and the 49ers DST could be worth a look.

Aaron Rodgers
Davante Adams
Aaron Jones (questionable)
Jerick McKinnon
Nick Nullens
JaMycal Hasty
Robert Tonyan
Jordan Reed
Trent Taylor
Tyler Ervin (bump above Hasty if Jones is out)
Dexter Williams (if Jones is out)
Allen Lazard (if active)
Mason Crosby
Ross Dwelley
Packers DST
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Robbie Gould
49ers DST
Jace Sternberger
Richie James (questionable)
Equanimeous St. Brown
Kyle Juszczyk

Note: Injuries could also force us to consider Packers WR Malik Taylor (if Lazard is still out), Kevin White (if James is inactive) and 84-year-old Paul Hornung (joking).

Good luck!

4 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9

Uriah Wesson 4 years ago

written by Uriah Wesson

Introduction into contest NFL DFS contest selection:

As a newer DFS player most of us started off the same way. We were either watching television or listening on SiriusXM and we heard a commercial that went along the lines of “Do you think you know NFL? Do you play seasonal fantasy sports? Do you want to win money instantly? Have a chance to be like (insert name here), he/she won a million dollars playing daily fantasy sports on (insert website). Well sign up today and start winning”. In 2013 that was me, the site was Fanduel, and the player was Chris Prince. I proceeded to enter my money, and I was immediately hooked. Unfortunately, I also was not aware of sites like Win Daily Sports for a couple of years and I was doing like most new players and did nothing but chase the bright shiny Millionaire Maker contests. It took me a long time to realize what full time players already understood, the Milli Maker contests are a waste of money for the average player and that I needed to focus on single entry tournaments and 50/50’s. Not just that when you dig into it because not all single entry contests are created equal. With Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection Week 9 and going forward we will tackle individual contests selection and why It is important. It took some time for me to get this formatted and written for future articles so this week will be DraftKings only. Week 10 I will have both DraftKings and FanDuel so stay tuned.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions

GPP or Guaranteed Prize Pool/Tournament:

Cash Contests/Double-Ups/50-50’s:

MME/Multi Entry/Mega Multi Entry:

Single Entry Contests:

Rake:

Overlay:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: Cash Contests

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $1-$25 Range

$1 Daily Dollar (Single Entry): $20,000 Total Prize Pool, 27% cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st place 5% Prize Pool , Top 10% 16.25% Prize Pool, 15.9% Rake. Both $1 contests pay the same, flat pay structure. $1,000 to first

$1 Singleback (Three Entry Max): $20,000 Total Prize Pool, 27% cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st place 5% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 16.25% Prize Pool, 15.9% Rake. Both $1 contests pay the same, flat pay structure. $1,000 to first

$12 Fair Catch $250K (Single Entry): $250,000 Total Prize Pool. 21.53% Cash (2.08x Min Cash), 1st place 10% Prize Pool ($25,000), Top 10% Payout 24.60% Prize Pool, 14.99% Rake. The largest of the two $12 contests gets the nod this week with a slightly better Min cash line and flatter pay structure up top. $25,000 to first.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $25-$100 Range

$27 Blind Side $50K (Single Entry): $50,000 Total Prize Pool, 22.88% Cash (2x Min Cash), 1st Place 10% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 30.90% Prize Pool, 14.23% Rake. You can see here the top heavy approach becomes apparent with top 10% taking 31% of the winnings but the 2x min cash with payout just shy of 23% is pretty good on the smaller of the two Blind Sides. $5,000 to first.

$50 Red Zone $100K (Single Entry): $100,000 Total Prize Pool, 22.62% Cash (2x Min Cash), 1st Place 10% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 27% Prize Pool 11.97% Rake. Here we see a big drop of more than 2% in rake and the pay structure is way better in all aspects compared to the larger Red Zone contest. Go here for your $50 entry. $10,000 to first.

$100 Spy $500K (Single Entry): $500,000 Total Prize Pool, 20.88% Cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st Place 20% Prize Pool, Top 10% Payout 41.20% Prize Pool 9.99% Rake. We finally get under sub 10% in rake but the min cash drops way down to 1.5x and the top 10% payout balloons to over 40%. Honestly I think I’m avoiding both $100 Spy contests but the smaller one is even worse with the top 10% accounting for over half of the total prize pool. They need to fix this one honestly. 100K to first.

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $100-$500 Range

$150 Power Sweep $555K (3 entry max): $555,000 Total Prize Pool, 23.72% Cash (1.5x Min Cash), 1st Place 18.02% Prize Pool, Top 10 Payout 39.01% Prize Pool 10% Rake. Back to our 3-entry max contests this one is pretty good all the way around. 10% rake, sub 40% flattened pay structure (not perfect but manageable) which at this point that’s what you’re going to see, and you are still over 23% for the cash line. 100K to first

$300 Spin Move $125K: $125,000 Total Prize Pool, 20.35% Cash (2x Min Cash), 1st Place 16% Prize Pool, Top 10 Payout 51.20% Prize Pool 9.81% Rake. Extremely top heavy at over 51% going to the top 10 and only a hair over 20% cash but it checks off every other thing we want. Sub 10% rake, under 500 entries, 2x min cash, and single entry. I’m probably firing this one up this week.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NFL Contest Selection Week 9 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. If you have any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

Older Posts

DraftKings Showdown

NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns:

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Patrick Mahomes $ 20,100

Pivot: Derek Carr $14,700

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill $16,500

Contrarian #2: Travis Kelce $15,900

Contrarian #3: Clyde Edwards-Helaire $12,300

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.22 Chiefs at Raiders: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Kyler Murray (DK $19,500, FD $17,000)

Pivot: Russell Wilson (DK $17,700, FD $16,500)

Contrarian #1: DK Metcalf (DK $15,300, FD $13,500)

Contrarian #2: DeAndre Hopkins (DK $16,200, FD $13,500)

DK CPT Punt Options: Freddie Swain ($1,800) & Andy Isabella ($3,000)

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Dalvin Cook (DK $20,400, FD $17,500)

Pivot: Kirk Cousins (DK $15,300, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Nick Foles (DK $14,700, FD $13,500)

Contrarian #2: Adam Thielen (DK $15,000, FD $14,000)

Week 10 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Week 10 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots

Chalk: Lamar Jackson $18,600

Pivot: Cam Newton $16,200

Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers $14,400

Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews $11,400/ JK Dobbins $12,600 (If Ingram is out)

Contrarian #3: Damien Harris $13,200/ Rex Burkhead $10,200 (If Harris is out or on “snap count”)

Stoweby’s Showdown for 11.15 Ravens at Patriots Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Introduction into NFL DFS contest selection:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: Cash Contests

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10 DraftKings:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $1-$25 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $25-$100 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10 FanDuel:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $1-$25 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $25-$100 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 10: $100-$500 Range

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Ryan Tannehill (DK $16,800, FD $16,000)

Pivot: Derrick Henry (DK $16,200, FD $15,500)

Contrarian #1: AJ Brown (DK $15,600, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #2: Philip Rivers (DK $14,700, FD $12,500)

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Cam Newton (DK $19,800, FD $17,000)

Pivot: Jakobi Meyers (DK $13,500, FD $11,000)

Contrarian #1: Patriots DST (DK $11,100)

Contrarian #2: Jamison Crowder (DK $16,800, FD $14,000)

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Week 9 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points) Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers

Chalk: Alvin Kamara $16,800

Pivot: Tom Brady $15,900

Contrarian #1: Drew Brees $15,000

Contrarian #2: Mike Evans $12,600

Contrarian #3: Michael Thomas $14,700

Stoweby’s Showdown For 11.8 Saints at Buccaneers Flex Plays: (All captains are viable flex’s)

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Aaron Rodgers (DK $16,500, FD $15,000)

Pivot: Davante Adams (DK $18,600, FD $15,500)

Contrarian #1: Nick Mullens (DK $13,800, FD $12,000)

Contrarian #2: Jerick McKinnon (DK $12,000, FD $7,000)

Week 9 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Introduction into contest NFL DFS contest selection:

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: Daily Fantasy Jargon and Definitions

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: Cash Contests

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $1-$25 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $25-$100 Range

Win Daily NFL Contest Selection Week 9: $100-$500 Range

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