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NFL DFS Week 8 GPP Picks Of Destiny from DFS Pro David Jones

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Week 8 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.

Note: We have two very obvious high priced quarterbacks in great spots this week.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Deshaun Watson ($8,400 FD)

Last week Aaron Rodgers torched the Oakland Raiders and now it is Deshaun’s Watson turn. The Raiders have given up 16 receiving touchdowns this year which is tied for second worst in the NFL. The Houston Texans have thrown for 13 touchdowns (we have also seen several dropped aka Fullered) which is tied for fifth in the league. Watson should not have trouble at home this Sunday dishing it to Hopkins. If the air game isn’t working (it should) then Watson is one of the most capable scrambling QBs in the league. He is an easy NFL DFS play, but he will also be a popular one. He will not be the reason you lose this week.

Stud Quarterback: Russell Wilson ($8,600 FD)

The Seahawks are next in line to embarrass the Atlanta Falcons who have completely given up on the season. They just traded away Sanu and lost Matt Ryan (questionable) to an ankle injury. You can beat the Dirty Birds however you want, through the air or on the ground. Wilson is an MVP candidate with wheels. He should will be able to run whenever a play breaks down and launch a few bombs to Lockett and Metcalf when the Falcons defensive backfield breaks down again. Another easy play, your only worry is if Chris Carson scores multiple times. Having Wilson on one team and Carson on another would be a good hedge. One of them is going nuts.

Stud QB Pivot: Tom Brady

Mid QB: Matt Stafford ($7,700 FD)

Stafford looked sharp last week against a tough Vikings squad throwing for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Matt tends to play better at home and gets a easier defense in the Giants this weekend. The New York football Giants give up 8.9 yards per reception, which is second worst in the NFL. Stafford has great receiving options with Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr, T.J. Hockenson and now Ty Johnson. He is my favorite mid tier NFL DFS quarterback this week.

Mid QB Pivot: Josh Allen (I always have a share, I am not going to miss the big game and the Eagles have been giving up a lot of big games lately.

Punt QB: Matt Schaub (if Matt Ryan is out)

Running Backs

Stud RB: Leonard Fournette ($7,700 FD)

I am going back to him this week. He has only got in the end zone one time this season, which is bizarre. He has 645 all purpose yards in his last four games. In the same time frame he has 101 rushes and 18 targets. When he gets in the end zone, he will officially break the slate. The Jaguars take on the NY Jets, who just gave up three rushing touchdowns to Sony Michel, in Jacksonville on Sunday. He is my favorite spend up at RB in NFL DFS.

Stud Pivots: Chris Carson, Le’Veon Bell

Note: Todd Gurley is in an obvious spot, I just don’t trust him

Cheap RB: Ty Johnson ($5,200 FD)

Lock him in. He is now starting for the Detroit Lions and is a step up from Kerryon Johnson. The Giants are 28th worst against the run and 25th worst against the pass. Johnson can run as well as catch (four for four last week). He is going to exceed value and if he gets in the end zone a couple times you will have a hard time cashing without him. He is a main RB target in my NFL DFS lineups this week.

Pivots: Chase Edmonds (David Johnson is likely to miss, tough matchup but he is too cheap)

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: DeAndre Hopkins ($8,200 FD)

I mentioned under Deshaun Watson why I want to target the Raiders defensive backfield. Hopkins has gotten targeted 12 times each of the last two games. With Will Fuller now injured, Hopkins is beyond the main focal point of his QB. I feel like we can finally get a real breakout game from the the elite Hopkins. I’m calling him to crush 100 yards and get in the end zone twice. He is set up to possibly be the highest scoring NFL DFS WR on the slate.

Stud Pivots: Michael Thomas (No Kamara would help), Cooper Kupp (expecting low ownership after last week let down),

Mid WR: Kenny Golladay ($6,700 FD)

He is my top receiver to stack with Matt Stafford against the Giants. I think the Lions win this game and look impressive doing it. The Giants are bad against receivers and this week they go back to Golladay, instead of Marvin Jones.

Update: Mid WR Pivots: Allen Robinson, Tyler Lockett, D,J. Chark

Value WR: Courtland Sutton ($6,000 FD)

Emmanuel Sanders just got traded and Sutton is the wide receiver of the future for the Broncos. If he doesn’t get double digit targets in this game I will be shocked. The Colts have given up 11 touchdowns this season (not terrible) and give up 8 yards per catch to receivers (not good). Joe Flacco is going to have to force the ball to Sutton here if they they want a chance to win. Sutton knows he has to step up now the Sanders is going, and this will be his first attempt at doing it. He is too cheap in NFL DFS.

Value WR Pivots: Golden Tate, John Brown, Tyrell Williams, Calvin Ridley (like him more if Ryan plays), Kenny Stills

Milli-Maker A.J. Brown, Adam Humphries, Jaron Brown

Tight End

Tight End: Austin Hooper ($6,600 FD)

Whether it is Matt Ryan at QB or Matt Schaub I still like Hooper as my top tight end. He has already proven what he can do with Ryan however I think his upside is just as high with Schaub. If the latter is in he will be checking it down more, as he doesn’t have the arm that Ryan possess. This should mean more targets for Hooper. The Falcons play the Seahawks who ranked 30th in covering the TE. We also have to consider the fact that Sanu was just traded to the Patriots which also helps Hooper’s case to get more targets. In a game where the Falcons will need to be throwing the second half, I like one of the best tight ends in the league, Austin Hooper.

Tight End Pivots: Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Jared Cook (if healthy AND Brees is back), Cameron Brate (if O.J. Howard misses)

Defense

  1. Patriots (not with Tom Brady)
  2. 49ers
  3. Rams
  4. Seahawks (Pair with Carson, not Wilson and receivers)
  5. Lions (Pair with Ty Johnson, not Stafford and receivers)

I will tweet out when there are updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!

MONKEYKNIFEFIGHT.COM PICK – Play this Pick here and get 100 percent bonus!

You have to get three of the four right. I expect a Seahawks onslaught on the Falcons. Wilson is getting over 22, Carson could get 100 yards and a TD and Lockett is the number one WR against a terrible Falcons defense. I also not not expect a big day from Julio, he will either have a hurt Matt Ryan or Matt Schaub throwing to him.

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NFL

NFL DFS Week 7 GPP Picks Of Destiny from DFS Pro David Jones

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Week 7 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Josh Allen ($7,700 FD; $6,500 DK)

One of my favorite quarterbacks just got the week off to prepare for the dreadful Dolphins at home. Perhaps the Dolphins’ best chance to win a game this season came and went last week when the Redskins visited Miami after the Dolphins had a bye week. I love what the Bills are doing this year and there is no way they lose this game. Allen is a dual-threat QB who threw for a combined 455 yards and five touchdowns while running for a combined 230 yards and two touchdowns in two games against the Dolphins last season. If he can get close to his average against a team that is worse than they were last year, we are all in for a big day. Miami allows 9.7 yards to opposing receivers (dead last in the NFL) and they are right there with the Bengals for worst defense against the rush. In short, Allen will be in my main NFL DFS lineup this Sunday.

Stud Quarterback: Jared Goff ($7,800 FD; $6,200 DK)

I love him this week. He goes up agains the Falcons, who are just terrible covering the pass. Goff has plenty of options to throw to and they come to Atlanta with a questionable running back situation. Over the last three weeks, the quarterback facing the Falcons has won the milli-maker (twice on DraftKings, once on FanDuel). Goff bounces back in a big way in Atlanta.

QB Pivots: Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson

Note: I am really very high on the two guys listed above (Allen, Goff) but I will list a couple high risk punts for you below.

Update: Gardner Minshew, Andy Dalton, Jacoby Brissett

Update: Daniel Jones (coming off him, looks like rain in NY)

Running Backs

Stud RB: Leonard Fournette ($7,900 FD, $7,000 DK)

The Bengals have given up over 200 more yards than any other team on the ground this year (it should be noted the Dolphins have had a bye week). They have allowed a league-high nine rushing touchdowns. Fournette has been coming on strong the last few weeks. He has gotten over 20 carries in each game the last three weeks and he is more involved in the passing attack. We love three-down backs, remember? In Fournette’s last three games, he has exactly 500 all-purpose yards. This has also been against formidable defenses in the Saints, Panthers and Broncos (to a lesser extent). He should be in for another 25 touches on Sunday and is an easy pick for my top NFL DFS RB of the week.

Stud Pivots: Saquan Barkley (like him more if it is raining in NY), Dalvin Cook

Mid RB: Josh Jacobs ($6,700 FD; $5,000 DK)

He just seems too cheap for a guy that is not splitting carries and coming off a bye week. He will also contribute a bit in the passing game, especially if Ty Williams is out. The Raiders should realize that you want to keep Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense off the field, so running the ball is a good way to do that. The Packers are allowing 4.9 yards per carry and have given up seven rushing touchdowns in six games. I can see Jacobs touching the ball here about 20 times and paying off that low NFL DFS salary. I will admit I am not 100% sold on Jacobs this week but he looks like the best of the bunch. I never love starting a guy from the West Coast on a 1PM ET game time, but this week I am willing to make an exception. Update: Ty Williams is out, making me like Jacobs even more.

Mid Pivots: Chris Carson, Marlon Mack. Derrick Henry

RB Punts: Frank Gore, Chase Edmonds (if David Johnson sits), Lat Murray is now in play with Kamara being ruled out. Tough matchup, but cheap price and will get RB1 workload. I will have a few shares but he won’t be near my main lineup.

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: Cooper Kupp ($7,800 FD; $7,400 DK)

The Falcons are getting roasted by everyone and stacking against them is making money for a host of people. I am not going to try to fix what isn’t broke. Kupp is my (and Goff’s) favorite receiver. Last week his targets were down (six) but prior to that he got 17, 15 and 12 targets and scored over 20 FanDuel points in every game. If he does not get over 10 targets and a touchdown, I will be shocked. There is no way this guy puts up a dud performance. Rams HC Sean McVay is the kind of coach that attacks what works, and against the Falcons, that’s throwing the ball. Goff is going to bounce back from a bad performance against one of the league’s best defenses (49ers) and throw for over 300 yards. Kupp should be the wide receiver that benefits the most.

Note: If you decide to fade Kupp ( I wouldn’t) you should put another Rams WR on your team.

Stud Pivots: T.Y Hilton, Keenan Allen, Robert Woods

Mid WR: John Brown ($5,900 FD; $5,500 DK)

A speedy wide receiver against the Dolphins that fits perfectly with my top quarterback? Yes, please! Brown has been a fantastic addition to the Bills, as he has become more reliable in his featured role. He has only scored once this year, but there is not a better spot for a get-right game than against the Dolphins. Take into account they have had two weeks off to game plan and the matchup gets even juicier for the Bills and Brown.

Update: Mid WR Pivots: D.J. Chark (like more than John Brown now), Brandin Cooks

Value WR: Tyler Boyd ($5,600 FD; $5,600 DK)

What do we do when there is blood on the streets? We clean it up! This is of course in reference to the stinker that Boyd put up last week against the Ravens, but hey I called it. You only play Boyd at home. It is very simple. Seven of his eight touchdowns in 2018 came at home. This year at home, he has over 10 receptions in both games along with a touchdown. Boyd has put up at least 17 FanDuel points at home. Love him as a cheap NFL DFS play this week.

Update: WR Value Pivots: Calvin Ridley, Auden Tate, Larry Fitzgerald

Update: DraftKings Milli-Maker Darts: Allen Lazard, Darius Slayton (if not raining), Zay Jones

Tight End

Tight End: Evan Engram ($6,800 FD; $6,500 DK)

The Giants confirmed on Friday that Engram will return to the starting lineup. We profit off the Cardinals every week and we are going to do it again Sunday. I am locking him in as my top NFL DFS tight end.

Tight End Pivots: Mark Andrews, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry

Defense

  1. Bills
  2. 49ers
  3. Bears
  4. Packers

I listed four defenses but I am very, very high on the Bills and 49ers.

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Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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Week 7 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Hop Until You Can’t Stop

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Last week’s article was pretty good but not great. Players like Adam Thielen and Terry McLaurin were superb in our cash game section but Will Fuller and Byron Pringle were disappointing in the GPP write-up. We did hit on Jamison Crowder, though. and that shows just how important it is to have a solidified QB throwing the ball to our WRs. So, let’s keep the momentum rolling here and get into our Week 7 Wide Receiver Breakdown.

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Week 7 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays 

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU at IND 

DK ($7,800)     FD ($8,000) 

This Colts-Texans matchup may not be the marquee game to the media but it certainly should be. This is the sort of game that’s going to go a long way in deciding who will win this division and that makes me want to ride the studs. Hopkins is just that and his role is simply impossible to overlook. Receiving at least seven targets in all six games is a good indicator of how important he is to this team and he actually recorded 12 targets and nine receptions in Week 6.  

My favorite stat is that he’s played 97 percent of his team’s snaps this season, which is tied with Odell Beckham for the leading mark of all position players. Something lights up in Hopkins’s eyes when he sees the Colts too, collecting 20 catches for 291 receiving yards and three TDs in his last three games against Indy. What’s more is the fact that he was targeted an absurd 39 times in those three games, thus indicating how important these matchups are to Houston.  

Cooper Kupp, LAR at ATL 

DK ($7,400)     FD ($7,800) 

Kupp is actually second among all WRs in fantasy points per game and it’s really no surprise when you see his statistics. Not only does he see 28.4 percent of his team’s targets, he also leads the NFL with 69 targets in total. That’s led to him recording 45 receptions for 522 yards and four TDs. Those steady numbers have to be horrifying for a defense like this, with Atlanta sitting at the bottom of the league in nearly every statistic. In fact, the Falcons allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.   

Week 7 Wide Receiver GPP Plays 

Robert Woods, LAR at ATL 

DK ($5,900)     FD ($7,300) 

I absolutely love the Rams on this slate. After a disastrous Week 6, they should have no problem rolling right through this defense. Allowing the second-most fantasy points to WRs is one thing but they also rank 31st in total defense as well. That’s a recipe for disaster against a talented offense like this, particularly a guy like Woods. While he had just four targets in Week 6, Woods actually had at least eight targets in four of his first five games. That target share is important but playing a team-high 96 percent of the team’s snaps tells us that he’s a near guarantee to reach that target total again against this bad defense. Don’t forget about Brandin Cooks too, as he should get a few long balls in this stellar matchup.  

John Brown, BUF vs. MIA 

DK ($5,500)     FD ($5,900) 

Many people overlook Brown’s exploits because he’s on a weak Buffalo offense but he’s quietly had a great year for them. The thing that I really like about him is the fact that he’s the focal point of this offense. In fact, Brown leads the Bills with 39 targets while playing 86 percent of the team’s snaps. He’s been productive with that usage too, averaging 15.3 DK points per game. That’s fantastic news against a Dolphins defense that allows the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers while being ranked last in both total yardage and points allowed.  

Week 7 Wide Receiver Punt Plays 

Auden Tate, CIN vs. JAX 

DK ($4,500)     FD ($5,900) 

With A.J. Green and John Ross out for the foreseeable future, Tate has found himself in quite the role. Let’s take a look at that usage, with Tate playing 93 percent of the teams snaps over his last four games while averaging 8.5 targets per game. That’s really all you can ask for, especially considering that Tate has 18 catches for 255 receiving yards in that span as well. We’re really not concerned with the Jags defense right now either, allowing an average of 381 total yards to Teddy Bridgewater, Joe Flacco and Kyle Allen over their last three games.   

Dante Pettis, SF at WSH 

DK ($4,100)     FD ($5,100) 

Gosh, this is truly a punt play. Pettis has been an absolute dumpster fire this season but there are signs that he’s starting to find a real role in this offense. While they haven’t supported a receiver all season, there’s an opportunity for someone to take over that role. The usage numbers would tell us that its Pettis, leading all San Fran WRs in targets and snaps over the last three weeks. He actually played a season-high 72 percent of the snaps on Sunday and his six targets also marked a season-best. That’s really all you can hope for with someone priced this cheaply, especially against a Washington defense who allows the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers while sitting 28th in total defense.  

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NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week Seven Checkdown

StixPicks
written by StixPicks

Week Six was an awesome one for the Win Daily Team. NFL DFS Cash Games came back to life after a ridiculously high scoring Week Five that made it difficult to cash in any tournament format. We crushed our Week Six Cash Games and even the sample lineup from last week’s Checkdown finished with 160 DraftKings points! Let’s get right back to it for the Week Seven Checkdown for your NFL DFS Cash Games.

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My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites. Please check back in on Saturday/Sunday morning for potential NFL DFS Cash Games updates.

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help NFL DFS players make the most of their investments.

Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week Seven, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

  • This is another great week to lock in two “stud” running backs and take advantage of the value available at WR/TE.
  • Just like Weeks Five and Six, there are a lot of great plays at the wide receiver position – I don’t think you have to focus on any one player here when building your cash lineups.
  • Just because someone is not included in this write-up, does not mean you cannot play them in cash. These are all just my preferred plays for an optimal cash game build.
  • Full disclosure: I will be playing a lot of DFS Cash Games this week and will be using the same lineup for all of them. As of now, I will 100% be using: Goff, Fournette, Cook, Hooper, and a Rams WR. The others will only be players mentioned in this article.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

  1. Lamar Jackson ($6,800) – The floor is always there for Lamar Jackson due his to ability to be a Top 10 rusher on any given slate. There is also a high total (opening at 50.5 points) in this matchup in Seattle… a lot to like about Lamar Jackson in Week Seven.
  2. Russell Wilson ($6,600) – Wilson has to be the favorite for the NFL MVP right now. He’s always in play for cash games as he’s proved he is matchup proof.
  3. Josh Allen ($6,500) – Love the matchup, hate the price. We usually love Josh Allen because he’s sub $6,000 in salary most weeks and always provides a solid floor of rushing yards. Buffalo is a massive favorite in this game where they host Miami, but I still think Josh Allen is safe for 18+ DraftKings points.
  4. Aaron Rodgers ($6,400) – Although it’s minimal, Rodgers is now cheaper than Josh Allen, lol. I will only use Rodgers if Davante Adams is back in the lineup (which doesn’t appear to be probable). If Adams is in, I love Rodgers in this spot. I’ll update this one throughout the week. A lot of injury concerns. No need to pay up for Rodgers with Goff in such a prime spot.
  5. Jared Goff ($6,200) – EVERYONE destroys this Atlanta secondary. Kyler Murray was my preferred cash game QB in Week Six due to the matchup, and Goff is going to be my preferred play this week for that exact same reason. The Rams just got embarrassed at home. They are due for an offensive explosion and that will come this week.
  6. Jacoby Brissett ($5,600) – If you need salary relief, Brissett is your man in Week Seven. The Houston Texans just beat the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium, but they left Missouri with some bad news.

    The Texans top cover cornerback, Bradley Roby, suffered a significant hamstring injury and is going to miss multiple games. Their other top cornerback, Johnathan Joseph didn’t even suit up in Week Six due to injury and will be questionable for Sunday’s game.

    Brissett and the Colts’ passing attack should have no issues moving the ball at home this week against a banged up Texans’ defense.
  7. Gardner Minshew ($5,400) – Not a preferred play by any means, but if you somehow need to save an extra $200 and cannot afford Brissett, Minshew should be competent enough to get 15+ points against the Bengals. This defense has yet to give up a 300-yard passing game to an opposing QB, so tread lightly.

    Again, if you HAVE to save $200 in salary, you can use Minshew. It’s best to avoid this play because we really need to take advantage of the three-point bonus DraftKings offers for 300+ passing yards.     I added some more players at RB/WR that should help you avoid needing Minshew.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

  1. Dalvin Cook ($8,000) – Not much to say about Dalvin Cook. He is the top running back on the slate and is going up against a Detroit defense that has struggled to defend the run. The Lions have already given up five touchdowns to opposing running backs in just four games, and we all know how much touchdown equity Dalvin Cook possesses.
  2. Alvin Kamara ($7,500) – The Bears defense is good, maybe even great, but Oakland showed us two weeks ago that you can beat them by running right at Khalil Mack. Kamara should get back on track this week in a slow-paced battle in the trenches against the Bears. Injury concerns and a very low-total in this game. Just use Cook/Fournette for your top-tier RBs.
  3. Leonard Fournette ($7,000) – Incredible value for a running back who’s usage is through the roof. The Bengals consistently get destroyed by opposing running backs. Fournette should carry 90% ownership in NFL DFS Cash Games in Week Seven. You cannot fade him in this spot.
  4. Chris Carson ($6,500) – Another game, another 25+ touches for Chris Carson. Baltimore is tied for the NFL lead in touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs, so there isn’t a real reason to fear this matchup (especially with the Seahawks being at home).
  5. Tevin Coleman ($5,600) – The timeshare with Breida has me a little concerned, but Coleman should find his way to 80 all-purpose yards and a score. Enough to hit value.
  6. Devonta Freeman ($5,400) – Devonta Freeman is starting to be featured more and more in this Falcons’ offense. The pass catching is increasing and we’re seeing less Ito Smith. I don’t love this matchup, but Freeman is an excellent choice for cheap exposure to the game with the highest total on the slate.

    I have Freeman projected for 92 all purpose yards and a touchdown. That should be more than enough production to hit value in DFS.
  7. Frank Gore ($5,200) – Miami is awful. Buffalo is a 16-point home favorite. This smells like a solid outing for Frank Gore, but there’s nothing sexy about rostering him above a $5,000 price tag.
  8. Kerryon Johnson ($5,100) – Similar to Devonta Freeman, Johnson is starting to take full responsibility in the Lions’ rushing attack. The Vikings are stingy against opposing running backs, but at this price, Kerryon Johnson is worth mentioning for cash game builds.
  9. Josh Jacobs ($5,000) – My number one value play at the running back position. The Packers run defense has been brutal thus far and should have their hands full with a three-down, elusive running back like Josh Jacobs. Not to mention, Jacobs is coming off of the best game of his young career and will have fresh legs after a bye week.

Wide Receivers

  1. Michael Thomas ($7,900) – Always in play for cash, but the price is high. If you build around Goff, Fournette, Josh Jacobs, and a cheaper tight end, you should be able to afford Michael Thomas. This is not an ideal matchup for Thomas to exploit, but the double-digit floor will be there.
  2. DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800) – 100% cash viable against a Colts’ secondary that will have issues with these Texans wideouts.
  3. Cooper Kupp ($7,400) – Thankfully, we faded Kupp (at ~35% ownership) in NFL DFS Cash Games in Week Six. Kupp is coming off of one of the worst games of his NFL career but enters Week Seven in an absolute smash matchup against the Falcons’ poor-excuse of a secondary. If the Falcons plan on using Damontae Kazee to cover Kupp on Sunday, they are in for a long day.
  4. Larry Fitzgerald ($6,100) – Fitzgerald always makes the writeup, but I’m starting to doubt his ceiling as a DFS target. His floor will always be there, but if we keep having these weeks where we need 160+ points to cash in 50/50s, Fitzgerald may find his way out of the weekly writeup. Luckily, this is a nice matchup for Fitzgerald to feast in.
  5. Robert Woods ($5,900) – If you can’t afford Kupp, use Woods. Hell, use both if you love this Rams’ matchup as much as I do.
  6. T.Y. Hilton ($5,900) – If we like Brissett, we have to like Hilton. Great price for a player who offers a 30-point ceiling.
  7. Golden Tate ($5,800) – If Evan Engram misses this game, Tate should be a borderline lock-button player for cash. Patrick Peterson is finally returning for the Cardinals this week, but he shouldn’t shadow Tate in the slot. If anyone is to perform for this Giants’ receiving corps, it’s going to be Tate. Engram should play, I still like Tate, but not as much as I do without Evan Engram.
  8. Kenny Golladay ($5,800) – Why is he so cheap? If Alshon Jeffrey can have a day against the Vikings’ cornerbacks, Golladay should have no issues.
  9. Allen Robinson ($5,500) – Robinson needs to be priced up in the $6k range. He is an absolute target monster and is a lock for 12+ DraftKings points.
  10. Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($5,200) – Only cash viable if Davante Adams is out. Keep an eye on his injury status.
  11. Mike Williams ($4,600) – I don’t see a whole lot of “punt” options at the wide receiver position, so Mike Williams is probably as low as I’ll go at the moment. He offers DFS players a very high ceiling and should get in the box in Week Seven. This is a must-win game for the Chargers, so I’m confident Phil Rivers will do his part to carve up this Titans’ secondary. If I’m right, Mike Williams will be a big part of that.
  12. Auden Tate ($4,500) – The targets are going to continue to be there (assuming A.J. Green does not suit up). With Jalen Ramsey now on the Rams, Tate should see a lot of Tre Herndon (who is seven inches shorter than the big-framed Auden Tate).
  13. Dante Pettis ($4,100) – I needed to add one more “punt” typer of player as we may need other avenues for salary relief. I hate to recommend Pettis in cash (he will heavily used in my MME GPP player pool), but Pettis has been getting more involved with the 49ers’ offense and should destroy Fabian Moreau in the slot on Sunday.
  14. Allen Lazard ($3,000) – Absolute free square. If these Packers’ top wideouts miss the game (Davante Adams already ruled out), you 100% must lock in Lazard for cash games.

Tight Ends

Keep in mind, George Kittle and Evan Engram are 100% in play this week, but I will not include them in the writeup. I’ve mentioned above that the optimal cash build is most likely going to be based around paying down at tight end.

  1. Austin Hooper ($5,300) – How is he not in the $6k price range? Lock him in.
  2. Mark Andrews ($4,900) – Great price, great matchup. If Baltimore falls behind to Russell Wilson and the Seahawks early, Andrews should be in for a career day. If this game paces down a bit, Andrews will still see seven or more targets and easily hit value.
  3. Darren Waller ($4,700) – Waller is Derek Carr’s first look in the passing game. I think it’s a safe bet that he sees eight or more targets against a Packers’ team that should get an early lead and force Oakland to pass more than they’d like to.
  4. Hunter Henry ($4,000) – Welcome back, Hunter Henry! At this price, you cannot go wrong with locking in Henry. Outside of Hooper, Henry will be my top choice at the tight end position. Recency bias should up his ownership a bit (I’d be selling Henry immediately in season-long leagues).
  5. Gerald Everett ($3,700) – Simply a price play. Atlanta struggles against anyone who runs a route.

Defense/Special Teams

  1. Buffalo Bills ($4,300)
  2. San Francisco 49ers ($4,100)
  3. Chicago Bears ($3,000)
  4. New Orleans Saints ($2,900)
  5. New York Giants ($2,500)

NFL DFS Cash Games – Sample Lineup

QB: Jared Goff
RB: Dalvin Cook
RB: Leonard Fournette
WR: Dante Pettis
WR: Allen Robinson
WR: Robert Woods
TE: Austin Hooper
FLEX: Josh Jacobs
DST: Chicago Bears

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NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

Week 4 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Lockett Down

Cora Baylis
written by Cora Baylis

We had a brilliant week for our last article, hitting on players like Amari Cooper, Nelson Agholor, D.J. Moore and Demarcus Robinson. That’s really all we can ask for from our guys and we’re going to look to keep that momentum rolling here. With that in mind, let’s get into our Week 4 wide receiver options.  

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Week 4 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays 

Keenan Allen, SD at MIA 

DK ($7,600)    FD ($8,100) 

Allen is the top receiver in fantasy right now and that’s terrifying news for the Dolphins defense. Let’s start with that matchup, with Miami ranked dead-last in yardage allowed and points surrendered. That’s horrific and it makes Allen the clear-cut top option for cash game receiver of the day. The numbers from the Chargers WR are simply absurd, with Allen collecting 29 receptions for 404 yards and three TDs through the first three games. More importantly, he leads the NFL with 42 total targets, which is amazingly nine targets above the player in second. Any player getting 14 targets per game against a defense like this is a recipe for raging success.  

Cooper Kupp, LAR vs. TB 

DK ($6,500)    FD ($7,000) 

While there are a million options on this offense, it’s becoming quite clear that Kupp is the apple of Jared Goff’s eye. It seemed like he was making every reception in the Sunday Night game and it’s no surprise when you see his 11 receptions for 102 yards and a TD. That followed up a 120-yard gem in Week 2, as he now has 32 targets in three games, the sixth-best mark in the NFL.  

What adds to his intrigue is the fact that he’s one of the league leaders in red-zone targets dating back to last season and it’s quite evident that Goff just adores Kupp. Getting to face Tampa Bay is nothing we need to worry about either, allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing WRs last season. While they’ve been better this year, they’ve faced horrible passing attacks like the Giants, 49ers and Panthers, which means they’re seriously due for some negative regression.  

Week 4 Wide Receiver GPP Plays 

Tyler Lockett, SEA at ARI 

DK ($6,300)    FD ($6,600) 

Lockett is coming off one of the best games of his career, accumulating 11 receptions for 154 yards and a TD in the Week 3 loss to the Saints. That gem showed the sort of potential that this dude has, as he now has double-digit catches in back-to-back games. That tells us that Russell Wilson really trusts this kid and he should be well on his way to a career year with Doug Baldwin now out of the picture. The best part about this play is his matchup though, facing an Arizona team without Patrick Peterson and Robert Alford. Those are the Cardinals two best corners and that’s a major reason why they rank 30th in total defense. 

Demarcus Robinson/Mecole Hardman, KC vs. DET 

DK ($5,200)    FD ($6,700)/ DK ($5,100)    FD ($6,500) 

It’s hard to pick between these two guys, so let’s just get both of them in here. With Tyreek Hill sidelined, these two have skyrocketed into fantasy relevance. Patrick Mahomes is a major reason why, as he can make any wide receiver look like a Hall-of-Famer. That’s what Robinson and Hardman look like right now, with Robinson averaging 28.6 DK points over the last two games while Hardman is averaging 17.3 DK points per game in that same span.  

That would make me believe that Robinson is the better option but both of these guys are in play. The snap count tells us that Robinson is the superior option too, playing 65.6 snaps per game since Hill went down while Hardman is averaging 50 snaps per game in that span. That’s bad news for this struggling secondary, with the Lions owning a 26th OPRK against WRs according to DraftKings.

Week 4 Wide Receiver Punt Plays 

Terry McLaurin, WSH at NYG 

DK ($4,500)    FD ($6,300) 

These prices are downright insulting. The man known as “Scary Terry” has been special in his first three games in the NFL and it appears that he’s the focal point of this Washington offense. That’s evident by the fact that he leads this team with 16 catches for 257 yards and three touchdowns. That alone is impressive but he’s also leading the way with 24 targets while playing over 90 percent of the team’s snaps. That’s incredible usage from a rookie and it’s becoming clear that he’s Case Keenum’s best friend. That sort of usage pairs beautifully with this matchup, with the Giants allowing the most passing yards in the NFL this season.  

Sterling Shepard, NYG at WSH 

DK ($5,800)    FD ($6,500) 

With Odell Beckham out of the picture, it’s now time for Shepard to thrive. He’s doing just that in this role, leading the Giants WRs with 13 catches for 142 yards in two games played. Most importantly, he’s got 16 targets in his two games while averaging 65 snaps per game. That snap rate is one of the best in the NFL and it’s going to be hard to keep him off the field with such limited options available.

In the last two games without Beckham last season, Shepard accrued 10 catches for an additional 180 yards and it’s clear that he’s the top receiving option on this team. The matchup against Washington is simply a bonus, with the Redskins allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season.  

John Brown, BUF vs. NE 

DK ($5,300)    FD ($5,600) 

It blows my mind that these sites are keeping Brown’s price so affordable. He’s been the Bills top receiver this season and it’s evident that he’s the focal point of their offense. Not only is he leading all Buffalo’s position players in snaps, he also leads the team 23 targets. That’s led to 18 catches for 246 yards and a TD through his first three games, which is unbelievable production from someone in this price range.

While the Patriots do have a stingy defense, the Bills should be throwing a lot in this game. The reason for that is because they’re a 6.5-point underdog, which should guarantee Josh Allen at least 30 pass attempts and Brown 10 targets. In his one game against the Patriots last year, Allen attempted a career-high 41 passes in a losing effort, which would be the perfect scenario for Brown to get double-digit targets.  

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NFLMLB

9/23 DFS and Betting Winners: Win Daily Staffer Takes Down Back to Back Tournaments

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/23 MLB DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/23 DFS Winner: David Jones Takes Down Back-to-Back Tournaments

Here are a couple of screenshots of our very own David Jones’ past two nights on FanDuel in NFL and MLB. He won 35K in the Sunday Night NFL Showdown and $20K in the MLB Monster on Saturday. It was his third tournament win in the past week, and he has won 80K during that span and $180K since mid-August. He has been consistently winning large sums of money and you can get his DFS Cheat Sheets and Slack Chat access to David and our other DFS Pros including Jason Mezrahi with a Premium Gold subscription. Free members can get access to his Weekly GPP Picks and Showdown Previews.

9/23 NFL DFS Winner: Cooper Kupp, via David Jones

Here is a screenshot from the NFL DFS Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown article written by Jones. Cooper Kupp had an incredible day as a receiver. Going up against the Cleveland Browns on prime time, Kupp caught 11 passes on 12 targets and went for 102 yards and a pair of trips to the end zone.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Kupp is tied for the fifth-most receptions through the first three weeks with 23. He also ranks 11th in receiving yards with 268. Kupp is Jared Goff’s best target and going up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home next. The defense for the Buccaneers is not good at stopping the pass, giving up 261 yards in the air per game thus far. Expect Kupp to be a huge factor in their matchup.

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9/23 Winner: Sorana Cirstea

Here is a snippet from Cash with the Flash, available to anybody and everybody in the Premium Gold circle, written by Phil Naessens. For those of you who were willing to stay up late to bet on this matchup, Sorana Cirstea won in straight sets against Denisa Allertova 6-1, 6-4 to advance to the round of 16 in the Tashkant Open.

9/23 NFL DFS Winner: Daniel Jones

This screenshot is from our DraftKings Premium Gold NFL Projection Model and shows the Top 25 quarterbacks for the week, Daniel Jones was making his first career start after taking over the offense as Eli Manning was demoted to the backup. Jones tore up the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense as he went 23-for-36 with 336 yards and a pair of touchdowns through the air. He also rushed the ball four times for 28 yards and another pair of touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Not a bad way for Daniel Jones to make his starting debut for the New York Giants. Going up against a weak defense (as stated earlier) could have been a factor but Jones looked impressive and added an element to the offense that has not been seen with Manning at the helm. Jones’ ability to roll out of the pocket could be a difference maker for a team that needs to score a good amount of points to compete in games. Next week, Jones will face off against another weak defense in the Redskins. Expect a step back with a week of game tape but nothing too extreme to avoid taking him at bargain-level prices.

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NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

Week 2 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Welcome to Brown Town

Cora Baylis
written by Cora Baylis

We actually got a touchdown from all three of our GPP wide receivers last week, so we obviously had the right idea. Our GPP WRs weren’t quite as successful but that’s going to happen with such volatile receiving options. I feel way more comfortable about this group of WRs though, so let’s get into our Week 2 Wide Receiver breakdown! 

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Week 2 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays 

Michael Thomas, NO at LAR 

DK ($8,000)       FD ($8,500) 

This is going to be the game that people are going to target for DFS. It’s really easy to see why, as the 53-point total is the highest of the week. That’s really no surprise with both of these team’s possessing two of the best offenses in football and it should be an old fashioned shootout. While picking which Rams receiver will be successful is a difficult task, knowing which Saints receiver will go off is way easier to figure out. It’s Michael Thomas, ALL DAY!

This guy led the league in receptions last season and backed that up with 10 catches for 123 yards in Week 1. He also led the Saints with 13 targets in that game and that’s pretty much what we’ve come to expect from the Saints stud. Not to mention, the Rams allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing WRs last season, with Thomas accruing season-highs with 12 catches and 211 yards in his Week 9 meeting against them last year.  

Sammy Watkins, KC at OAK 

DK ($7,200)       FD ($7,400) 

It’s going to be tough to fade Watkins even though he’s likely to be one of the chalkiest players on the board. The simple fact is, Watkins is now the top receiver for the best offense in football. The reason for that is because Tyreek Hill suffered a collarbone injury in Week 1, which allowed Watkins to generate nine catches for 199 yards and three TDs. That’s the best performance of his career and health is really all we can ask for when discussing Watkins. Facing the Raiders is simply a bonus, with this defense allowing the most points in the NFL last season.  

John Brown, BUF at NYG 

DK ($5,200)       FD ($6,300) 

There’s going to a theme in this article and it’s that we want to exploit the top receiver for their respective offenses. Brown has found himself in that role for the Bills and it was evident when he led the way with seven catches for 123 yards and a TD in Week 1. Getting 10 targets is equally as valuable and it’s clear that he’s now the focal point of this offense. That alone makes him a great option but facing a Giants secondary who just allowed Dak Prescott and the Cowboys throw for 405 yards is simply the icing on the cake.  

Tyrell Williams, OAK vs. KC 

DK ($4,400)       FD ($5,900) 

While this FanDuel price is in line with my expectations, this DraftKings price is simply ridiculous. With Antonio Brown now out of the picture, Williams has found himself as the clear-cut number one receiver on this team. That led to him collecting six receptions for 105 yards and a TD in Week 1, doing that damage against a good Broncos secondary.

This Chiefs secondary isn’t quite as good, allowing opposing WRs to score the fifth-most fantasy points against them last season. Playing catchup should only help, with the Raiders expected to trail throughout, thus forcing them to throw more than usual.  

Week 2 Wide Receiver GPP Plays 

Marquise Brown, BAL vs. ARI 

DK ($5,000)       FD ($5,700) 

Brown might be the biggest standout of Week 1 and this looks like a brand-new Ravens team. Baltimore spent a first-round pick on this guy and the 147 receiving yards and two TDs in Week 1 justifies that selection. We’re talking about a guy who ran a 4.22 40-yard dash and he is simply one of the fastest players in the game.

The reason he’s a GPP target and not a cash game play is because he only played 12 snaps last week but the 59-10 scoreline surely played a factor in that. It’s not like this defense is much better than the Dolphins one from last week, as the Cardinals are without their top two corners in Robert Alford and Patrick Peterson.  

DeVante Parker, MIA vs. NE 

DK ($4,100)       FD ($5,300) 

I’ve actually written up Parker as a bust in numerous articles in past seasons but now that everyone feels like he’s bad, we can jump back on him. These prices are downright insulting and we can’t argue with the fact that he’s the best receiver on this team. While playing for Miami obviously sucks, it may have him in line for a career season. The reason for that is because they should be trailing in nearly every game, thus garnering him more targets in catchup time.

Getting seven targets in about one half in Week 1 was a very promising sign and Ryan Fitzpatrick is more than capable of supporting a top receiver. With the Dolphins entering this matchup as an 18-point underdog, look for Fitz to have 40-plus pass attempts and Parker getting at least a quarter of those targets. 

Week 2 Wide Receiver Quick Hits 

Cooper Kupp has been a favorite of Jared Goff’s and could see double-digit targets in that Rams-Saints shootout.  

John Ross had a career-best seven catches for 158 yards and two TDs in Week 1 and is getting easier coverage with Tyler Boyd taking the top corner and A.J. Green being sidelined.  

Donte Moncrief was atrocious in Week 1 but he still saw 10 targets and appears to be the number-two receiver for this pass-happy offense. His prices are just way too low.  

With Tyreek Hill injured, look for Mecole Hardman or DeMarcus Robinson to see more opportunities.  

Michael Thomas featured image via Jack Kurzenknabe

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NFL

DFS: Two-Minute Drill Injury Analysis

Edwin Porras
written by Edwin Porras

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It’s here.

NFL week one is upon us, and the purpose of the two-minute drill injury analysis is to provide a final two-minute drill injury analysis on relevant player injuries to help you win today. Let’s start with the 1:00PM kick-offs.

Cam Newton: How fitting to start the two-minute drill with Cam Newton, who is not on the injury report. However, he is on my list of “if not now, then never” list. In other words, many analysts and talking heads label Cam an “injury risk”. While I don’t share that same sentiment (let’s say I do for argument’s sake) week one is the time to start him anyway. Fire away with Cam Newton.

Todd Gurley: Let’s continuewith this game and my “list.” Enough with the talk. I mention here that if we’regoing to trot Gurley out in tournaments, week one is the time to do it.

Cooper Kupp: In true two-minute drill fashion, this one’s quick: Fire away.

Odell Beckham Jr: He has no formalinjury designation, just a weird way of communicating. His head coach says Beckhamis 100%. Just one day prior, OBJ said in an interview that he hasn’t been ableto “open up and run”, that’s a cause for concern. You have better options.

Stefon Diggs: Diggs draws a Questionable tag for Sunday. I was planning on using Diggs this week myself before he came up on the injury report on Wednesday. If we’re being honest, the smart move is to find another option. The devil’s advocate in me says that in a game with shoot-out potential, ya gotta risk-it-for-the-biscuit. Ultimately, I’m staying away, but if one of you out there takes the risk, it could pay off big.

Robby Anderson: Anderson wasalso limited in practice all week with a calf injury and is listed as questionablefor Sunday against the Bills. I’m less optimistic on him than Diggs and I’m stayingaway until we get a clearer picture of how long this injury may linger.

Jordan Reed: He’s likely out for Sunday and I’m just hoping this dude finds what he’s looking for after his seventh documented concussion. You’re probably steering clear of this atrocious offense, but I suppose check the tight end depth chart for a lottery ticket/flyer.

Mike Evans: The only playerI’m truly concerned about in the post 4:00PM kick-offs is Evans. He fought offa stomach bug all week, so fatigue and hydration could be a big concern. Theearly September weather in Florida doesn’t make me any more optimistic. However,like Diggs, if you risk it, there could be a biscuit waiting for you at the finishline.

That’s it, the two-minute drill is over. How are you feeling?

Remember, this is a game of probability. You must be the one to make the decision. Happy week one and good luck!

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Mike Evans featured image courtesy of Keith Allison.

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