DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
START FREE TRIAL
 
START FREE TRIAL
START FREE TRIAL
Home / Cooper Kupp
Tag:

Cooper Kupp

NFL

NFL DFS: The Inside Look- Week 4 – Win Daily Sports

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Week 4 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

Cooper Kupp did everything but find the end zone Monday night.  With the Rams seemingly down the entire game, Stafford was forced to the throw the ball a ton.  That equated to a season high 19 targets for Kupp and a career high 14 receptions for Kupp.  His final stat line for the night was 14 catches for 122 yards.  He’s now reached at least 100 yards receiving in 3 of the games this season.  Up next for the Rams will be a matchup of the Coopers as the Cooper Kupp and his teammates take on Cooper Rush and the Cowboys.

With a combination of Tua and Teddy Bridgewater throwing to him, Tyreek Hill was targeted a season-high 14 times. He’s now had double-digit targets in 3 of the games and for the second time this season, Hill finished with over 100 receiving yards.  Unlike the first time he did though, Hill failed to find the end zone and the Dolphins fell to the Bengals 27-15.  The Dolphins will look to return to the win column next week vs. the New York Jets.

Another receiving that had a monster stat line that was missing a touchdown was Justin Jefferson of the Minnesota Vikings.  After being completely invisible in Weeks 2 and 3, Jefferson returned to form in Week 4 with a season-high 10 catches on a season-high 13 targets.  His 147 receiving yards were the most he’s had since Week 1 vs. the Packers.  Next up for the Vikings will be a touch test with the Bears, a team that has given up just 725 yards through the air this season. 

Running Back Targets

Similar to Week 2, this was another disappointing week in terms of targets and running backs.  Not a single back this weekend was targeted more in double digits. 

While the rushing yards weren’t there for Christian McCaffrey this weekend, McCaffrey owners had to be excited about his participation in the passing game.  Coming into Week 4, McCaffrey had been targeted just 10 times.  This week he nearly doubled his season total with 9 targets.  He was able to catch all of them and finished with a season-high 81 receiving yards. 

Tight End Targets

Return of the Hock!  Coming into Week 4, T.J Hockenson hadn’t been targeted more than 7 times in any game this season. That all changed this weekend.  Thanks to being without D’Andre Swift, DJ Chark, and Amon-Ra St. Brown, Hockenson was targeted 12 times.  And he made the absolute most of those as he caught 8 of them and went for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns.  The 12 targets were the most he’s ever had in a game and this was the first time since his first NFL game in 2019 that he surpassed 100 receiving yards. 

Similar to his teammate Cooper Kupp, Tyler Higbee had a season-high in targets with 14 of them.  Also like Kupp, Higbee failed to find the endzone.  Although he didn’t score, Higbee did set season highs in receptions with 10 and receiving yards with 73. 

Quarterback Target Share

Ryan Tannehill only threw the ball 21 times this weekend, but of those nearly half of them went to his running backs.  Tannehill and Robert Woods have yet to really click as Woods hasn’t had more than 4 catches in any game this season.  This offense runs through Derrick Henry.  And that is as clear as it has ever been as he led the team in targets this week with 5. 

Another thing that was crystal clear in Week 4 was Kirk Cousins use of his standout wide receivers.  Justin Jefferson and Adam ‘I’ve got a’ Thielen accounted for 22 of Kirk Cousins 35 passes.  In total, more than 70% of Kirk Cousins’ passes this weekend went to a wide receiver. 

Running Back Touches

Holy usage Saquon Barkley!  Barkley ran the ball 31 times this weekend.  Through the first 3 games of the season, he hadn’t ran the ball more than 21 times in a game.  The 31 rushes were the most he’s had in a game in the NFL.  After failing to reach the century mark in Weeks 2 and 3, Barkley ran for 146 yards this weekend.  He’s now run for over 100 yards in 2 of the 4 games this season.  Up next will be a date with the Packers, a team that has given up the fifth most rushing yards of any team in the league this season. 

Josh Jacobs, have yourself a day!  Josh Jacobs ran the ball 28 times on Sunday and finished with a career-high 144 rushing yards.  To make it even sweet for fantasy owners, Jacobs also found the end zone 2 times on  Sunday.  Next week he’ll get a much tougher task as he’ll face off against the Chiefs, the team that has given up the few rushing yards this season. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

The New York Giants ran 59 plays this weekend, 75% of which were run plays.  With the passing game seemingly ineffective and Daniel Jones going down and then Tyrod Taylor also going down, the Giants just ran, and then ran some more.  It proved effective as they topped the Chicago Bears by a score of 20-12. 

On the polar opposite end of the spectrum we have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  The Bucs ran 58 plays this week, with 90% of them being pass plays.  With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin back, Tom Brady threw the ball 52 times for 385 yards.  If only Brady could play defense. 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy Sports

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight NFL Plays 01/02

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Claim Offer – Promo Code – WINDAILY

Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on Monkey Knife Fight, the Touchdown Dance.  This Sunday MKF is running a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Touchdown Dance contest and all 3 of your players score a touchdown you get a share of the jackpot.  Today’s jackpot is $5,000! 

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some touchdowns!

Touchdown Dance

Ronald Jones vs. New York Jets

Ronald Jones stands as good of a chance of scoring a touchdown today as anyone on the early slate.  No team in the NFL has given up more rushing touchdowns this season than the Jets as they’ve given up 22.  The next closest team is Houston with 18.  Even if we dive into a smaller subset, the Jets have given up 5 over their 4 last games.  Running backs have their way with the Jets and Ronald Jones will also have his way with the Jets. 

Jones filled in admirably last week for Fournette with 65 rushes and 1 touchdown against a slightly tougher opponent in the Panthers.  With Fournette on IR, Jones will get the bulk of the carries again today and should find the end zone in back-to-back weeks, helping us get our first touchdown in the Monkey Knife Fight Touchdown Dance contest.  Confidence Level – High

Jonathan Taylor vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Jonathan Taylor had somewhat of a disappointing week in week 16.  Although he rushed for over 100 yards for the third straight week, he failed to find the end zone for the first time since week 3.  In week 17 he gets a great shot of bouncing back against a Raiders team that has been below average against running backs all year. 

On the year they’ve given up 14 rushing touchdowns to running backs and 5 over the last 4 weeks.  They’ve gotten progressively worse over the course of the year.  Only once over the past 6 weeks have they gone a game without giving up a rushing touchdown to a running back.  Jonathan Taylor should have no issue finding the end zone in this one.  Confidence Level – High

Cordarrelle Patterson vs. Buffalo Bills

A once stout defense against the run, the Bills have really been struggling to try to contain running backs.  They started out the year not giving up a single rushing touchdown to a running back until week 6 against the Titans.  Since then it’s been all downhill.  Over the last 6 weeks, they’ve given up a total of 9.   In that stretch, they have games where they gave up 4 and 3 touchdowns.  I’m going to attack them today with a running back that I’ve gone to in the past, Cordarrelle Patterson. 

The ninth year back has really had a breakout season.  He’s set career highs in both rushing touchdowns and rushing yards.  He’s had rushing touchdowns in 3 of his last 5 games.  Patterson is a risk because he doesn’t get a whole lot of volume, but where he does get volume is in the red zone and that’s extremely important here.  Over the last 3 weeks, he’s had 13 red zone rushes.  If the Falcons get in the red zone today, they’ll hand it off to Patterson. Confidence Level – Medium

Cooper Kupp vs. Buffalo Bills

I normally keep it to running backs in the Monkey Knife Fight Touchdown Dance because their volume is easier to predict at times.  That said, Cooper Kupp is in an absolute smash spot today.  The Ravens’ secondary has been decimated by injuries all season and the results have shown it.  Over the last 4 weeks, the Ravens have given up a league-high 8 touchdowns to wide receivers.  That’s tops in the NFL over that stretch.  During that stretch of 4 games, they’ve given up multiple touchdowns to receivers 3 times. 

Kupp just stands out so much here.  Even last week in what was considered a subpar week for Stafford and Kupp, he still had over 100 receiving yards.  Last week was the first time since week 12 he failed to find the endzone.  I just don’t see a scenario where he goes a second straight week without a touchdown.  Confidence Level – High

Monkey Knife Fight Touchdown Dance Wrap Up

Other guys I also like this week are Davante Adams vs. Minnesota and David Montgomery vs. New York

Make sure you ar using our optimizer when setting lineups.

Good luck and hope to share the $5k with you!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! ! 

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium

Week 14 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Rams at Cards

Antonio D'Arcangelis
written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 14 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 14 NFL DFS MVP candi...

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFLPremium

Week 10 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Rams at 49ers

Antonio D'Arcangelis
written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 10 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candi...

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium

Week 5 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Rams at Seahawks

Antonio D'Arcangelis
written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 5 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candida...

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

Week 14 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Patriots at Rams

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 14 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 14 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Jared Goff (DK $16,500, FD $15,500)

Pivot: Cam Newton (DK $15,900, FD $16,000)

Contrarian #1: Damien Harris (DK $13,200, FD $12,000)

Contrarian #2: Cooper Kupp (DK $14,400, FD $13,000)

DK Punts: Van Jefferson ($3,900), Malcolm Brown ($3,600) and Damiere Byrd ($1,200)

DK Contrarian Punts: Patriots DST ($6,300) and Sony Michel ($4,800)

This contest sports one of the lower projected game totals of the Week 14 slate, with the Rams the betting favorite at -240 and 24.75 projected points.

The chalk is leaning toward Jared Goff and away from Cam Newton, who is questionable with an abdomen injury that he played through last week en route to a 45-0 drubbing of the Chargers. His practice snaps have been capped in consecutive weeks because of the injury, but he’s fully expected to play on Thursday night.

Both teams are expected to lean more heavily on their running games this week as both pass defenses have been stifling over the past few weeks. The Rams DST is certainly an option for builds, but the opportunistic Patriots DST strikes me as a possible contrarian play up top, as we’ve seen the Rams QB get a little kooky and turn the ball over in the past.

Top corners from both teams (Stephen Gilmore for the Pats and Jalen Ramsey for the Rams) could impact the effectiveness of the opposing passing game, but Ramsey is unlikely to match up exclusively against one of the Pats WRs – since they don’t have a true No. 1. Gilmore will likely be on Robert Woods, since Cooper Kupp lines up in the slot quite a bit. Ownership will end up being pretty close for these two, with a slight recency bias going to Woods (double-digit target consistency over the past three games) – so Kupp might end up being the better value.

Playing both Kupp and Woods together with Goff doesn’t seem like a viable option, though I wouldn’t scold you for crafting one 1/10 GPP lineups that way. For the Pats, I’m most interested in Jakobi Meyers because of his PPR strengths, though he’s made just 15 catches over the past four games since his 12-reception party against the Jets. But the price on Damiere Byrd is obnoxiously low for some reason, and he’ll be in a few of my builds for sure.

As for the running game, we’ve got healthy committees for both teams that complicate the touch distribution, with Cam Akers heading the Rams backfield and Damien Harris leading the charge for the Patriots pounding style. Sophomore talent Darrell Henderson, Jr. is a sneaky play if you’re fading Akers, and there’s always the possibility that capable veteran Malcom Brown gets a few goal line carries and in crunch time. Brown is super cheap on DK and could be worth using in the CPT role if you want to stack the high-upside position players.

The Patriots usually just play the hot hand at RB, but Harris should begin s the early down pounder while James White fills in on third down and obvious passing situations. Sony Michel is finally healthy, so Bill Belichick could throw a monkey wrench into the mix by tapping him for a few additional carries or giving him a lead role if Harris fumbles. Coach is not a big fan of fumbles.

Tight ends won’t likely play a big role between the 20s, but we could see either Rams TE notch some red zone targets and sneak in for a TD. But both Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett would be final lineup construction pieces for me rather than core builds.

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Feel confined to a classic narrative this week. Kickers and DSTs are again in play with some of the true defensive playmakers on these teams and both QBs are turnover prone.

DO: Make Damien Harris a big part of your builds. It could blow up if the Rams really make a point of stopping him, but I don’t see Belichick getting away from what has worked for them.

DON’T: Expect a high-scoring game. Both coaches have engineered these teams to win battles, but neither is especially interested in getting into a shootout.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Damien Harris
  2. Jared Goff
  3. Cam Newton (questionable)
  4. Cooper Kupp
  5. Robert Woods
  6. Patriots DST
  7. James White
  8. Cam Akers
  9. Jakobi Meyers
  10. Darrell Henderson, Jr.
  11. Rams DST
  12. Nick Folk
  13. Josh Reynolds
  14. Malcolm Brown
  15. Tyler Higbee
  16. Gerald Everett
  17. Damiere Byrd
  18. N’Keal Harry
  19. Sony Michel
  20. Rams K (Matt Gay OR Austin MacGinnis)
  21. Ryan Izzo
  22. Van Jefferson
0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFL

Week 11 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Rams at Bucs

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 11 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $16,500, FD $16,000)

Pivot: Ronald Jones II (DK $13,200, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Jared Goff (DK $14,700, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #2: Robert Woods (DK $12,300, FD $12,500)

DK Punts: Leonard Fournette ($6,600) or Tyler Higbee ($7,200)

DK Contrarian Punt: Rams DST ($4,500)

While there are viable showdown builds that feature Bucs WRs Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, Tom Brady will be the chalk at captain on Monday night, largely because he spreads the ball around quite a bit. Evans was targeted a season-high 11 times last week, while Godwin has yet to receive fewer than six targets in any game he’s suited up for this season. Embattled egomaniac and HOA member Antonio Brown was targeted eight times last week in his second game with the team, so he’s another WR who could make an impact.

The Rams DST could be the best contrarian punt option to directly challenge the “Tom Brady smashes in typical fashion” narrative, since we’ve seen a disruptive Aaron Donald and this unit post double-digit DK point totals in four of the last six games.

Jared Goff is certainly an option as well, but the three-headed Rams rushing attack presents a difficult situation to parse for fantasy purposes. Goal line work that typically goes to a healthy Darrell Henderson, Jr. was handled by Malcolm Brown (two rushing TDs on six carries) in Week 10, and Cam Akers finally saw some work between the 20s with 10 carries and a modest 38 rushing yards. The Bucs stingy run defense also complicates the deployment of Rams RBs – but it also helps to reduce their ownership, so picking the right one (just like picking the right Bucs pass-catcher) could be the key to smashing the slate.

On the Bucs side, we’ve got two explosive RBs, with Ronald Jones II the clear RB1 and Leonard Fournette acting as a change-of-pace runner and an elevated role in passing down work. It doesn’t matter which back you use – you could even use both – but whatever back you choose should reflect the obvious correlation plays for both teams.

As for the other Rams position players, I usually lean more heavily toward Robert Woods for his possession attributes and larger snap share, but Cooper Kupp and his elevated price could make him the preferred option in GPPs this week. I’m also interested in Tyler Higbee, as frequently targeting the Rams TE it could be a way for Goff to neutralize the pass rush.

And speaking of TEs, the Bucs have two good ones in Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate, both of whom receive red zone targets and make for more affordable options.

It’s a week where an expertly constructed single-entry lineup could see tons of success, but multiple entries are the way to go if you’re hell-bent on coming close to finding the golden ratio of showdown perfection and taking down a huge GPP.

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Be afraid to get a little different with your builds. Tom Brady will be massive chalk on FD, and last night’s winning lineup didn’t have Patrick Mahomes (90% owned) or Tyreek Hill (21.5 FD points), even though both had solid games.

DO: Follow a narrative that makes sense. If you’re committed to a rare Brady bust, feel free to get the Rams DST in there.

DON’T: Forget about Bucs kicker Ryan Succop – who’s had double digit totals in four of his last six games.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Tom Brady
  2. Ronald Jones II
  3. Jared Goff
  4. Robert Woods
  5. Chris Godwin
  6. Cooper Kupp
  7. Mike Evans
  8. Antonio Brown
  9. Leonard Fournette
  10. Darrell Henderson, Jr.
  11. Josh Reynolds
  12. Rob Gronkowski
  13. Tyler Higbee
  14. Malcolm Brown
  15. Ryan Succop
  16. Bucs DST
  17. Cameron Brate
  18. Rams DST
  19. Gerald Everett
  20. Cam Akers
  21. Matt Gay
0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL

NFL DFS Week 9 GPP Picks Of Destiny from DFS Pro David Jones

written by

Week 9 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Matthew Stafford ($7,900 FD)

I don’t typically like Stafford on the road, but the matchup is just too good. The Raiders are tied with the Falcons for second most receiving touchdowns given up this year. They have allowed 285 yards per game to wideouts. They also average a very high 8.6 yards per catch allowed. Stafford has been sharp lately, throwing seven touchdowns in the last two games. Factor in that the Lions run game does not exist, so the Detroit coaching staff is going to ask Stafford to do more with his arm. We could see another three touchdown game out of Stafford and I wouldn’t be surprised. Make sure to stack him with one of his receiving options in your NFL DFS contests.

Stud Pivots: Aaron Rodgers, Jameis Winston (He does have the two highest priced receivers on the slate, that’s a good sign), Kirk Cousins, Josh Allen

Value Quarterback: Mitchell Trubisky ($6,500 FD)

Here we go… This guy is getting absolutely trashed for a bad game last week. They are literally burning his jersey in the street in Chicago. This is a massive overreaction in my opinion. The Bears are not going to bench Trubisky, in fact quite the opposite. They are going to let this guy get through the good times and the bad times on the field. I know that Coach Nagy has commented that Trubisky needs to figure it out fast or they will have to make some tough decisions, but I am not that worried. Trubisky is feeling the heat this week and if he ever needs to bust out of a slump it is this Sunday. So why do I like him? His price is way too low for starters. He also gets to go against one of the worst pass defenses in the league in the Eagles.

Two games ago Trubisky put up 251 yards and two touchdowns against a stout Saints defense. Two games before that’s he threw for three touchdowns against the Redskins. He can produce. Just because he didn’t find the end zone last week are we supposed to think he will never throw a touchdown again? Of course not. He has capable receivers in Allen Robinson, Anthony Miller, Taylor Gabriel and even Tarik Cohen. Is this a safe play? No, it is not. Is it a great GPP play? Yes, it is! If Mitchell can get us 20 points (I think he does) then we are in prime position to make big bucks in NFL DFS this Sunday.

Value QB Pivots: Derek Carr

Running Backs

Stud RB: Christian McCaffrey ($9,700 FD)

Do I even need to write this guy up? He just put up 25 FanDuel points on the one of, if not the best, defenses in the league. He is basically the entire offense and I think he wins MVP this year (sorry Russell Wilson). He will get all the rush attempts he can handle and also be targeted like a WR1. The Titans have a decent defense, but not anywhere close to what he just faced in San Fransisco. CMC already has 10 touchdowns in just seven games. He is the number one running back you should target every week in NFL DFS.

Stud Pivots: Dalvin Cook (LOVE HIM vs KC, RB1B this week to CMC), Nick Chubb

Mid RB: Derrick Henry ($6,800 FD)

The Carolina Panthers have given up a league high 12 rushing touchdowns this season (Tevin Coleman helped boost that number last Sunday). Derrick Henry does not split time and is an absolute monster when he gets the ball. He should be the first guy the Titans give the pigskin to in the Red Zone and I don’t think the Panthers are going to be able to stop him. I am predicting Henry for over 100 yards and two touchdowns. At $6,800 on FanDuel he is a NFL DFS bargain.

UPDATE: Lock in Jaylen Samuels at $5,000 on FD

Pivots: Le’Veon Bell, Austin Ekeler, Jordan Howard

Note: Phillip Lindsay popped up with wrist injury, so if he were to miss the game Royce Freeman is a good play

Note: Aaron Jones has a shoulder injury, if he is out lock in Jamaal Williams

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: Chris Godwin ($8,200 FD)

He has an elite matchup against a bad Seattle secondary. Last week he let us down, but still had eight points (which doesn’t kill you in cash games). The three weeks before that he got 20, 28, 35 FanDuel points and won a lot of us a lot of money. Jameis Winston should have to throw it here (because I expect them to be playing from behind) and the NFL DFS sites have adjusted the Bucs receivers accordingly. This week Chris Godwin leads the Bucs receiving core with over 100 yards and a touchdown. He has not had two consecutive games under ten fantasy points this year and I don’t expect that trend to end against the Seahawks, who give up and average of 273 receiving yards a game.

Stud Pivots: Mike Evans, Kenny Golladay, Tyler Lockett

Mid WR: Allen Robinson ($7,200 FD)

He is far and away the number one offensive option for the Bears. He has not been targeted under seven times the entire season. I would lock him in cash games and play him in GPPs for his high ceiling against the terrible Eagles defense. They tried to make trades to improve their corners on Tuesday but couldn’t get anyone to bite, which means they are going to be bad the rest of the season. With Mitchell Tribusky feeling the heat in Chicago he is going to highly target his best guy. Love him in NFL DFS this week.

Mid WR Pivots: Alshon Jeffrey, Tyrell Williams, Robby Anderson, John Brown

Value WR: Robby Anderson ($6,200 FD)

It feels like a Robby Anderson week. I called the last one on the Win Daily podcast and I am doing it again here. The South Florida native returns to Miami as the number one deep threat for the New York Jets. We all know the Dolphins are the worst defense in the league and targeting them every single week has worked all season, so why would we stop now? The was to attack them is through the air, not so much on the ground. Robby is a boom or bust guy and could have a bad game if Sam Darnold sees any more spooky ghosts on the field, however I think he can man up and launch a few deep to Anderson against a team that literally wants to lose. I will punt Anderson at a “friends and family” game in Miami in my NFL DFS lineups.

Value WR Pivots: DeVante Parker

I am expecting more value to pop up so keep checking back or follow me on twitter @tenaciousdjones. I will tweet out whenever I make an update.

Tight End

Tight End:

Darren Waller ($6,800 FD)

He is the most targeted tight end in the NFL and gets a nice matchup against the Lions (ranked 23rd against the TE) at home. He is extraordinarly safe with high upside.

Tight End Pivots: Hunter Henry, T.J. Hockenson, Cameron Brate (if OJ Howard out)

Defense

  1. Bills
  2. Colts (would like clarification on Steelers RB injuries before I lock them in)
  3. Browns (they are not good, but they get to face Brandon Allen at QB)
  4. Vikings
  5. Broncos

I will tweet out when there are updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!

MONKEYKNIFEFIGHT.COM PICK – Play this Pick here and get 100 percent bonus!

Matt Stafford is my favorite quarterback this week so of course I think he gets over 300 yards here (See my write up above). I know Carr has been efficient this season but 275 is a tall order for a guy I don’t have much trust in. This could change is Josh Jacobs is ruled out (because he will be forced to throw more), but until that news breaks I am sticking with this as my MKF pick.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold Right Here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Newer Posts
Older Posts

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Built with ConvertKit

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    Friday’s 8-10pm EST and Sunday’s 7-9pm EST

    START FREE TRIAL

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    Close
    -
    00:00
    00:00

    Queue

    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00