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Cleveland Indians

MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny: August 4th

Nicholas Robert 5 years ago

written by Nicholas Robert

This Sunday August 4th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my studs and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

MLB DFS Hitters: Crushing At Camden Yards

Catcher Stud:. Travis d’Arnaud ($3,600 FD; $4,200 DK). Catcher is a bit thin today so we have to choose a play against a pitcher we respect. Caleb Smith (L) is on the mound for the Marlins and has been slightly worse on the road with a 4.17 ERA. Travis d’Arnaud hits lefties at .337 ISO/.398 wOBA with nine home runs on the season. We should all know by now the d’Arnaud can win you a slate. He should be hitting cleanup this afternoon in the state rivalry game.

Catcher Value: Roberto Perez ($3,300 FD; $4,000 DK) has three home runs in his last three games and is hitting .237 ISO/.331 wOBA vs righties. He bats against Jaime Barria (R) and his 6.28 ERA. He has given up at least one home run in every game he has pitched in since April. Get this, Barria’s road ERA is an astounding 10.62! Indians all the way.

First Base Stud: Carlos Santana ($3,900 FD; $4,800 DK) also goes against Jaime Barria and should get in on the action. There are only a few pitchers I want to target today and Barria is one of them. Santana has 18 homers with .279 ISO/.397 wOBA on the season and has one of the best chances to go deep for the Indians. He is a great MLB DFS play.

First Base Mid/Value: Justin Smoak ($3,300 FD; $4,300 DK). The Toronto Blue Jays are one of my favorite stacks today because Tom Eshelman is pitching to them. He has a 8.68 road ERA and is in a hitters park in Baltimore. He has given up 16 runs in only five games. Smoak has 16 home runs and a .265 ISO/.375 wOBA on the season. I am expecting fireworks for the Blue Jays today. I will be listing several of them.

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,300 FD; $5,100 DK) vs a lefty is always a good MLB DFS idea. He is absolutely on fire as of late. His last FanDuel scores are as follow: 31.1, 28.7, 15.4, 9, 15.2, 31.7, 15.2. He goes against Tommy Milone (L) and his 4.39 ERA. He has given up seven home runs his last three games. He is, um, struggling. Altuve is truly in his MVP form right now. He hits lefties at .439 ISO/.546 wOBA. Lock.

Second Base Value: Cavan Biggio ($3,700 FD; $4,400 DK) I am targeting Tom Eshelman today as mentioned above. Biggio is in the two hole and hits .228 ISO/.346 wOBA vs righties and Eshelman is a bad one. Locking in a few Blue Jays stacks.

Shortstop Stud: Bo Bichette ($3,500 FD; $4,300 DK). Both of my shortstops are Blue Jays. I can’t be talked off them today. Bichette is batting first and hits .276 ISO/.428 wOBA (small sample size). He has played in six MLB games and has 11 hits and a double in his last four contests. I will roster almost guaranteed MLB DFS production.

Shortstop Mid: Freddy Galvis ($3,000 FD; $4,100 DK) has three home runs in his last four games. I like hot streaks in baseball. He is the cheap glue in my Toronto stacks at $3,000. He has a .207 ISO/.330 wOBA vs right handers. Again, target Eshelman.

Shortstop Honorable Mention: Carlos Correa

Third Base Stud: Alex Bregman ($3,900 FD: $4,800 DK) is hitting .327 ISO/ .408 wOBA with nine home runs vs southpaws this year. As noted above, Tommy Milone is on a home run giving spree and the Astros are about to reap all the benefits. Bregman statistically has one of the best chances to go yard.

Third Base Stud: Vladimir Guerrero Jr ($3,900 FD: $4,900 DK) vs Tom Eshelman. Mmmmk. He has a .208 ISO/.370 wOBA and is an absolute powerhouse at the plate slugging .964 in his last seven days. He has eight hits in his last four games. Let’s go Toronto!

Third Base Honorable Mention: Renaldo Nunez, I don’t have any value plays. Pay up today.

Outfield Stud: Yordan Alvarez ($4,100 FD; $5,700 DK) also gets the pleasure of hitting vs. Tommy Milone (L). Alvarez bats .462 IS0/.495 wOBA which surprisingly leads the Astros. He is batting fifth and has huge upside.

Outfield Honorable Mention: George Springer

Outfield Mid: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3,500 FD; $5,500 DK) vs Eshelman and his 8.68 road ERA in a hitters park. I feel like I’ve exhausted the point enough.. Gurriel Jr has eight homers and .230 ISO/.359 wOBA against righties so far this season and is batting third.

Outfield Mid/Value: Randal Grichuk ($3,100 FD; $4,100 DK) vs Eshelman. Grichuk is very boom or bust, but today I’m expecting the Blue Jays to boom. He has 14 homers on the season with a .205 ISO/ .303 wOBA. I will take all the Blue Jays exposure I can get.

Top Stacks:

Houston
Blue Jays
Cleveland

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Team Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for August 2

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s eight game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

DFS Team Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman: 7.00 Runs

**Low Risk

This Twins lineup is the clear cut top stack on the slate. They are facing Glenn Sparkman, who is by no means a good pitcher. The odds are heavily against him, owning a slate low 12.8% K rate. He is only inducing a 7% swinging strike rate as well. Sparkman is giving up a slate high 84.9% contact rate and 2.04 HR/9 innings. He owns a 5.25 ERA, 5.94 FIP, and 5.44 SIERA. Sparkman is getting absolutely blasted on the road, allowing batters to slash to a .441 wOBA, .674 SLG, and .401 OBP over 33 innings pitched. Glenn Sparkman has allowed 32 earned runs in those 33 innings. The Twins are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 122 WRC+ over the last month.

*I want to emphasize the importance of getting a lot of exposure across the board here. Just about every player in this Twins lineup grades out very well today.

DFS Team Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi (SEA): 6.45 Runs

**Low Risk

Another expensive stack here, but this Astros squad is in a great spot at home. Yusei Kikuchi is on the mound and owns a 5.21 ERA, 5.61 FIP, and 5.16 SIERA. He has a lowly 16.6% K rate and 8.9% swinging strike rate. Kikuchi is giving up 1.89 HR/9 innings and a 45% ground ball rate. His splits are fairly close, allowing batters to slash to a .354 wOBA, .340 OBP, and .510 SLG. The Astros are back to full health and the bats are hot. They are slashing to a .368 wOBA, .214 ISO, and .136 WRC+ over the last month.

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($4300 FD|$5000 DK), Alex Bregman ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), George Springer ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), and Carlos Correa ($3900 FD|$4600 DK).

DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Shaun Anderson (SFG): 7.70

**Moderate Risk

The Rockies are back home and we all know what happened the last time they faced the Giants. These teams played a four game series against each other back in mid-July and combined for a whopping 55 runs. Shaun Anderson takes the mound, owning a 5.06 ERA, 4.67 FIP, and 5.16 SIERA. Anderson has not been good to righties on the road this season, allowing them to slash to a .416 wOBA, .587 SLG, and .416 OBP. He has allowed 19 earned runs in 21 innings on the road against them. The Rockies are slashing to a .309 wOBA, .149 ISO, and 74 WRC+ right now. These numbers aren’t good but I think this is a nice spot for a slump buster at home.

Honorable Mention

DFS Team Stack: Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Joe Ross (WSH): 5.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

DFS Team Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs.LHP Dillon Peters (LAA: 6.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$4400 DK), Oscar Mercado ($3600 FD|$4700 DK) and Francisco Lindor ($4100 FD|$5200 DK).

DFS Team Stack: Texas Rangers

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

Dustin May RHP (LAD): 3.50 Runs
Lance Lynn RHP (TEX) : 3.50 Runs
Robbie Ray LHP (ARI): 4.00 Run

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Fantasy MLB Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 28

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 1130-12 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Peter Lambert (COL): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Cincinnati Reds bats get a major boost today. They get a sub par pitching matchup at their home park, one of the more hitting friendly venues in the league. The Reds are hitting well above their season averages over the last two weeks, slashing to a .354 wOBA, .191 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against right handed pitching. Peter Lambert is not the best pitcher, carrying an average 5.93 ERA, 5.61 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA. He is allowing batters to slash to a .382 wOBA, .344 OBP, and .586 SLG. Lambert is allowing 2.45 HR/9 to left handed batters and 1.99 HR/9 to righties. He is allowing a ton of hard contact (47%) to lefties and only has a LOB% of 57 against them. His splits are much better on the road, but Great American is not an ideal place for any pitcher that struggles with the long ball. Stack the Reds with confidence this afternoon.

Preferred Stack: Eugenio Suarez ($3700 FD|$5300 DK), Jesse Winker ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), and Yasiel Puig ($3300 FD|$4500 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Dylan Covey (CWS): 6.10 Runs

**Low Risk

Third time’s a charm? The Twins offense has disappeared the last two games. Ivan Nova put on another excellent performance last night. What in the world is going on? I’m going to remain on the Twins, one of the best hitting teams in the league against another bad pitcher. Covey carries a 6.04 ERA, 5.62 FIP, and 5.75 SIERA over 47 innings pitched. He tends to struggle more to lefties, allowing them to slash to a .415 wOBA, .548 SLG, and .444 OBP over 19.1 innings pitched. Smaller sample size so I’ll take it with a grain of salt, but it is noteworthy to say Covey has been successful (or lucky) at home against righties. They are only slashing to a .179 wOBA, .262 SLG, and .163 OBP over 12 innings pitched. The Twins averages remain high over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .384 wOBA, .284 ISO, and 140 WRC+.

Preferred Stack: Jorge Polanco ($3700 FD|$4900 DK), Max Kepler ($4000 FD|$5300 DK), and Nelson Cruz ($4600 FD|$5800 DK). Jason Castro ($2700 FD|$4100 DK) and Luis Arraez ($3000 FD|$4200 DK) for the third day in a row make my top value plays.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Dakota Hudson (STL): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Dakota Hudson gets a home matchup against the red hot Astros. They are hitting extremely well to right handed pitching recently, slashing to a .353 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 126 WRC+. Hudson has been exceptional this season, allowing only one game with more than three earned runs. He owns a 3.61 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 4.95 SIERA. He has true splits, allowing lefties to slash to a .380 wOBA, .515 SLG, and .392 OBP. Something has to give here and I’ve got money on the Astros taking it to Hudson this afternoon.

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. LHP Danny Duffy (KCR): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jordan Luplow ($2600 FD|$4000 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4400 FD|$5000 DK), Oscar Mercado ($3700 FD|$4400 DK), and Carlos Santana ($3600 FD|$4100 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Tampa Rays

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 5.40 Runs

Preferred Plays: Austin Meadows ($3400 FD|$4700 DK), Nate Lowe ($2800 FD|$4000 DK), Travis D’Arnaud ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), and Tommy Pham ($3800 FD|$4400 DK).

Pitching

Jason Vargas LHP (NYM): 4.30 Runs
Robbie Ray LHP (ARI): 3.40 Runs
Trevor Bauer RHP (CLE): 3.85 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB Fantasy Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 27

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CWS): 6.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I know the Twins let a lot of us down last night. I also know Nova has put on some off the wall performances that may cause others to rethink whether or not they want to go here tonight. I have no problems going back here, we all know how bad Ivan Nova can be. Nova carries a 5.49 ERA, 5.34 FIP, and 5.03 SIERA. He has allowed batters to slash to a .359 wOBA, .526 SLG, and .340 OBP at home this season. When pitching at home, Nova’s ERA goes from a 5.12 road average to 6.02. He has allowed 33 earned runs and 11 home runs over 49.1 innings pitched at home. The Twins continue to hit well, slashing to a .382 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 139 WRC+. I hate to use such a small sample, but four batters in the Twins lineup have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Nova this season.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 5.70 Runs

**High Risk

Cleveland Indians have slumped off a bit after going on a heater for a few weeks. They look to have returned to form last night, scoring eight earned runs. Sparkman carries a 4.67 ERA, 5.64 FIP, and 5.47 SIERA. He has the worst contact % on the slate at 84.7. He is only inducing a 7.4% swinging strike rate. The only downside to a Cleveland stack today is Sparkman’s home/road splits. Compared to his atrocious road averages, he is absolutely stellar at home. He carries a 1.76 ERA and allows batters to slash a measly .256 wOBA, .328 SLG, and .265 OBP. He has only allowed nine earned runs and four home runs over 40 innings pitched. With these kind of splits at home I can definitely see a hedge with Sparkman as well if you want to take a shot in tournaments. The Indians are slashing to a .337 wOBA, .187 ISO, and 106 WRC+ over the last month.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Oakland Athletics

vs. RHP Adrian Sampson (TEX): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

Adrian Sampson has come back down to earth recently, getting tagged for five or more runs in his last two starts. He carries a 5.19 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.63 SIERA on the year. Sampson is allowing 1.76 HR/9 and a 48% hard contact rate. He is allowing 80% contact and struggles mightily to right handed batters. They are slashing to a .388 wOBA, .581 SLG, and .360 OBP. Sampson has allowed 32 earned runs and 13 home runs over 55.1 innings pitched to righties. The Athletics are slashing to a .339 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 115 WRC+ over the last month. Sampson throws a ton of sinker (55% usage) and slider (31% usage). Batters 1-4 in this projected Athletics lineup are all hitting .200 ISO or better against Sampson’s two most frequently used pitches.

Preferred Plays: Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4700 DK), Matt Olson ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and Marcus Semien($3200 FD|$4400 DK).

Honorable Mention

MLB Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Trevor Williams (PIT): 4.85 Runs

**Moderate Risk

MLB Fantasy Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4300 FD|$5300 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Dillon Peters (LAA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Anthony Santander ($3300 FD|$4400 DK), Renato Nunez ($3400 FD|$4100 DK), Trey Mancini ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Dwight Smith Jr. ($2900 FD|$3600 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Mike Trout ($5000 FD|$5700 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3500 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

Gerrit Cole RHP (HOU): 3.20 Runs
Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 3.80 Runs
Anthony DeSclafani RHP (CIN): 4.30 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB Fantasy Stacks: Winning Edge for July 22

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 11-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. LHP C.C. Sabathia (NYY): 5.50 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I’m going to get down to the nitty gritty here with Sabathia against the Twins. C.C. Sabathia has changed his pitching repertoire with age and has essentially left his fastball by the wayside. He has turned to his cutter and sinker and has fared well to left handed batters. Righties, on the other hand have been a problem for Sabathia. He is allowing 2.00 HR/9 and 40% hard contact to them. On the road, Sabathia is allowing righties to slash to a .421 wOBA, .642 SLG, and .388 OBP over 30 innings. He has allowed 21 earned runs and nine home runs over that same span. Minnesota is showing a ton of power recently, slashing to a .316 wOBA, .277 ISO, and 95 WRC+ over the last two weeks.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): 5.65 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Aaron Brooks carries a 4.69 ERA, 5.59 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA on the season. He is allowing batters to slash to a .329 wOBA, .462 SLG, and .311 OBP. Small sample size in the road, but Brooks is allowing lefties to slash to a .396 wOBA, .612 SLG, and .348 OBP while surrendering 4 home runs across 10.1 innings. Brooks sticks to mainly three pitches: two seamer, four seamer, and slider. What do all of those pitches have in common? Atleast four batters through this Arizona order slash a .250 or better ISO to every pitch in Brook’s arsenal. After going through a slump, Arizona bats look to be back on track. They are slashing to a .348 wOBA, 207 ISO, and 111 WRC+, some of their best averages on the season.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Homer Bailey (OAK): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

What’s the over/under that Homer Bailey makes it out of the first three innings in this matchup? Houston bats are rolling as of late, yet I see them still catching fairly low ownership. The Astros are right on par with their season averages, slashing to a .346 wOBA, .195 ISO, and 118 WRC+. Homer Bailey has had a fairly decent season, but he does struggle to right handed power. Righties are slashing to a .334 wOBA, .420 SLG, and .341 BABIP. Despite Homer having one of his better seasons, I still favor the Astros at home and look to them today in a three or four man stack in tournaments.

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. LHP Ryan Borucki (TOR): 5.15 Runs

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Oscar Mercado ($3600 FD|$4900 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2800 FD|$4200 DK), Carlos Santana ($3900 FD|$4300 DK), and Jose Ramirez ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Pitching

Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.70 Runs
Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 3.90 Runs
Daniel Ponce De Leon RHP (STL): (UPDATE)

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For July 21

5 years ago

written by

This Sunday July 21st slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Stacks: Red Sox Roll; and the Indian’s find a Spark.

Sunday Stacks

Boston Red Sox vs Asher Wojciechowski (R)

The Red Sox are an obvious play here. They have the highest implied team total on the slate (7.5) and just exploded last night for 17 runs. While I don’t expect them to duplicate last nights performance, I will be happy with half. They are rolling, and there is no reason to jump off the train now. The usual suspects are in play.

Devers .262 ISO, .426 WOBA (4,500 FD, 5,500 DK); Xander .246 ISO, .414 WOBA (4,200 FD, 5,600 DK); Betts .231 ISO, .406 WOBA (4,400 FD, 5,400 DK); Vazquez .205 ISO, 348 WOBA (2,700 FD, 4,500 DK); JD .176 ISO, .343 WOBA (3,800 FD, 4,500 DK). Deeper analysis for all my favorite players can be found in my position rankings below.

Cleveland Indians vs Glenn Sparkman (R)

The last outing Glenn Sparkman pitched a gem, which should lower the Indians ownership. The three games combined before that he got bombarded for a combined 17 earned runs by WAS, TOR and CLE. The Indians got shut out at home last night and for a team with World Series aspirations I think they put up plenty of runs to ensure the W in a nice bounce back spot.

Lindor .243 ISO, .380 WOBA ($4,000 FD, $5,100 DK); Santana .286 ISO, .410 WOBA ($4,300 FD, $4,800 DK); Perez .225 ISO, .325 WOBA ($2,600 FD; $4,100 DK); Naquin .199 ISO, .356 WOBA ($3,300 FD, $4,400 DK); Mercado .164 ISO, .256 WOBA ($3,600 FD, $5,300 DK)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Anthony DeSciafani (R)

I am purposefully trying to find lower owned stacks and this fits the bill. Paul DeJong is thriving lately, Paul Goldschmidt is priced way to low on FD, Tyler O’Neil carries a whopping .405 WOBA hitting clean-up and Tommy Edman is batting lead scoring double digits in four games in a row. They also are in a positive hitting environment vs an arm they are very familiar with in DeSclafani. I like it.

Paul DeJong ($3,600 FD, $4,200 DK); Paul Goldschmidt ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK); Tyler O’Neil ($2,800 FD, $4,400 DK); Tommy Edman ($2,900 FD, $4,300 DK) See below for further analysis on each player.

Position Rankings and Values

Catcher: Mitch Garver ($3,500 FD, $5,400 DK) This is being written before the lineup drops buts let’s cross our fingers and hope we wake tomorrow with Garver leading off again. He boasts a .300 IS0 and .381 WOBA vs righties. He is also hot with three homers in his last four games. If the Twins have faith in him to lead off and start breaking down Daniel Mengden, I do too. It worked last night right?

Catcher Value: Ryan Lavarnaway ($2,000 FD, $3,800 DK) Here is a tip.. go look at his last (and only) MLB box score and you tell me if you think he is worth playing at min price on FanDuel. Spoiler alert: He had two homeruns, one double, six RBI’s and one walk. Obviously he is not going to put up 63.6 FD points again in only his second game, but he is going to get you something for that price. This is pretty close to a lock for me.

First Base: Carlos Santana ($4,300 FD, $4,800 DK). Carlos boast a team leading 17 home runs this season vs righties while also having the highest team ISO (.286) and WOBA (.410) of all the Indians. If you have room to pay up here, he is a guy with huge upside and lower ownership. Don’t stack Indian’s without him.

First Base Value: Paul Goldschmidt ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK) The price for Goldy has officially gotten too low. He has been showing flashes of his previous 2018 form recently and who better to hand him a breakout game than his old friend Anthony DeSciafani. Goldy is getting on base over 50% of his ABs vs DeSciafani and at his current price tag I love the upside. DeSciafani has struggled with the long ball in his last two starts giving up a combined four home runs. I would like to see Goldy add to that total. I also like the fact the he is hitting in front of another value option I like in the outfield, Tyler O’Neill.

Second Base: Niko Goodrum ($3,000 FD, $4,100 DK). He gets Jacob Waguespack and his 5.93 ERA at home. I like what I am seeing out of Goodrum lately. He appears to be focused and is clearly the lead bat to fear on Detroit. IF the Tigers are putting up runs, you can be sure he is a part of it.

Second Base Value: Brock Holt ($2,300 FD, $4,100 DK). He gets on base, which is all you need at near min price (on Fanduel) when the rest of the Red Sox lineup should be churning in runs. Double digit Fanduel points is very doable.

Short Stop Stud: Francisco Lindor ($4,000, $5,100 DK). He is batting lead off on one of my favorite stacks of the day. Hitting .248 ISO, .380 WOBA vs righties. The Indians go as Lindor goes, and today that goes well. Don’t let Glenn Sparkman’s last start fool you, the Indians put it on him starting with the first at bat.

Short Stop Value: Paul DeJong ($3,800 FD, $4,200 DK). This is about as cheap as it gets for me today at SS. DeJong has two homers is last three games and is hitting .341 vs righties this season with the third most homers on his team. When he gets focused, I play him.

Third Base: Rafael Devers ($4,500 FD, $5,500 DK): Devers tends to get hot and stay hot. He has a .262 ISO and .426 WOBA with 15 HR’s vs lefties this season. He is literally the Red Sox best bat right now which no one would have predicted. Today he gets another pitcher he can take advantage of in the unproven Asher Wojciechowski. While Woj isn’t terrible (his K stuff is there) he still has a 5.74 ERA and has given up at least one homer in every one of his few starts this season. Boston has the highest team total on the main slate and he is in the right place in he lineup to clear the bases and hopefully put on in the stands.

Third Base Value: Tommy Edman ($2,900 FD, $4,300 DK) Tommy Edman is batting lead off and has scored double digits in his last four games. He carries a .220 ISO and .311 WOBA on the season and those number could very well increase with his new place in the batting order. I like him to keep up the production this afternoon.

Outfield Stud: Mookie Betts ($4,400 FD, DK) Batting leadoff and highest team total on the board. Betts is capable of breaking any slate while also having a very safe floor, especially today vs. Asher Wojciechowski. Nothing to not like here.

Outfield MidRange: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3,900 FD, $4,800 $5,400 DK): 10 Homers, .405 ISO and .450 WOBA vs lefties this season. He faces Tyler Anderson, who has a 5.72 ERA in AAA, in a spot start for the Detroit Tigers. Anderson gave up two homers in his last MLB start to the White Sox. I like Gurriel Jr. getting to him here.

Outfield Value: Tyler O’Neil ($2,800 FD, $4,400, $5,400 DK) He is hitting .260 IS0 with a .405 WOBA. Last night his 8 game hit streak got broken but I like him to rebound here today. He has not had two games in a row without a hit since late May. I like the matchup vs DeSciafani (mentioned under Paul Goldschmidt above) and am looking for a couple RBI’s with a chance of a dong.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Fantasy MLB Stacks: Winning Edge for July 21

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 6.75 Runs

**Low Risk

Cleveland Indians are three games back on Minnesota but are gaining ground quick, winning their last 17 of 24 games. I’ll continue to ride these hot bats and feel good about doing so with a lofty 6.75 implied run total today. Cleveland batters are slashing to a magnificent .374 wOBA, .240 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They face Glenn Sparkman who carries a 4.54 ERA, 5.42 FIP, and 5.32 SIERA into today’s game. Sparkman has been atrocious on the road, allowing batters to slash to a .445 wOBA, .658 SLG, and .403 OBP over 26.4 innings while allowing a massive 28 earned runs.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 7.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Asher Wojciechowski carries a 5.74 ERA, 5.01 FIP, and 3.86 SIERA over 15.2 innings pitched. During that short span, Asher is allowing left handed batters to slash to a .436 wOBA, .700 SLG, and .382 OBP. Red Sox batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .220 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last two weeks. Even if Wojciechowski finds success against the powerful right handed batters in this Boston lineup today, he will eventually give way to an awful Orioles bullpen.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. LHP Drew Smyly (PHI): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I typically wouldn’t consider the Pirates against a left handed pitcher but Drew Smyly is the exception. Smyly is making is debut for the Phillies after pitching 51 innings for the Rangers. He carries a 8.42 ERA, 8.06 FIP, and 5.61 SIERA. The Pirates let us down last night but Smyly is terrible so I have no problem going back to this spot. The Pirates are slashing to a .361 wOBA, .196 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last month. Two week averages suggest the Pirates are due a slump buster and I believe we get that today in this matchup against Smyly.

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Andrew Cashner (BOS): 5.00 Runs

**High Risk

Preferred Plays:Trey Mancini ($3400 FD|$4300 DK), Jonathan Villar ($2600 FD|$4100 DK), Anthony Santander ($3500 FD|$4100 DK), and Renato Nunez($3000 FD|$4300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Blake Snell (TAM): 2.90 Runs
LHP James Paxton (NYY): 4.10 Runs
Jack Flaherty (STL): 4.75 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Team DFS Stack Report: Winning Edge for July 20

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

DFS Stack Team: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Jakob Junis (KCR): 6.20 Runs

**Low Risk

Cleveland Indians batters are as hot as can be as of late. They come into tonight’s matchup slashing to a .366 wOBA, .250 ISO, and 126 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They get a lofty 6.20 implied run total and another subpar pitching matchup. Jakob Junis carries a 5.08 ERA, 4.94 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA on the season. Batters are slashing to a .340 wOBA, .475 SLG, and .337 OBP against Junis this year. He has surrendered 64 earned runs across 113 innings pitched. Junis is giving up 1.67 HR/9 and a 41% hard contact on the year. Cleveland batters have put up four or more runs on Junis in the three meetings they have had this season. Junis hasn’t faced a Cleveland team that happens to be hitting the best they have all year long.

DFS Stack Team: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Ariel Jurado (TEX): 6.10 Runs

As of publication time there still wasn’t Vegas information available for this game. If I had to guess they will slap a 10.5 O/U with Houston being favorites for an implied run total of 5.60 runs. The Astros have been picking up steam, slashing to a .365 wOBA, .185 ISO, and 136 WRC+ over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. Ariel Jurado is on the mound and he carries a 4.63 ERA, 4.55 FIP, and 4.94 SIERA on the season. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing right handed batters to slash to a .360 wOBA, .510 SLG, and .356 OBP. Jurado just allowed five runs to this same Astros team six days ago.

Preferred Plays: Alex Bregman ($4600 FD|$5100 DK), George Springer ($4800 FD|$5500 DK), Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), and Yordan Alvarez ($4200 FD|$5200 DK)

DFS Stack Team: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Zach Eflin is on the mound tonight in a hot and muggy Pittsburgh. At first pitch we are looking at a temperature around 91 degrees and 52% humidity. This is great hitting weather, so bump the bats. Eflin carries a 4.16 ERA, 4.65 FIP, and 4.71 SIERA. He is just about as bad as you would want him to be against left handed batters. They are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .543 SLG, and .333 OBP. On the road, Eflin has surrendered 16 earned runs and seven home runs to left handed batters across 25.1 innings pitched. He has been in major regression mode as of late, allowing six or more runs in three of his four last starts. Eflin faces a powerful left handed team in the Pittsburgh Pirates. They are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .202 ISO, and 127 WRC+ over the last month. Recent averages make the Pirates a bit less appealing, but with the weather, matchup, and excellent pricing I find it hard not to go for at least a two or three man mini stack.

DFS Stack Team: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.75 Runs

**High Risk

If you live somewhere on the East Coast you’re probably experiencing some of this extreme heat over the weekend. Baltimore is awful and we are looking at 95 degrees and 70% humidity around first pitch, so probably a 100+ real feel. Rick Porcello carries a 5.37 ERA, 4.59 FIP, and 5.02 SIERA. He has a 5.28 xFIP so we expect further regression. Porcello has been fairly poor on the road with batters slashing to a .362 wOBA, .531 SLG, and .340 OBP over 42.1 innings. The Baltimore Orioles are slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 95 WRC+ over the last month. I do deem the Birds a high risk play, but they are in a good spot and have had success against Porcello already this season. This time the O’s get a better ballpark and the weather gives the bats a nice bump. Not to mention how cheap all these players are on both sites.

Honorable Mention

Cincinnati Reds DFS Stack

vs. RHP Miles Mikolas (STL): 4.85 Runs

**Low Risk

Preferred Stack: Yasiel Puig ($3400 FD|$4400 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3700 FD|$4200 DK), Jesse Winker ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), and Josh Vanmeter ($2000 FD|$2500 DK).

Boston Red Sox DFS Stack

vs. RHP Tom Eshelman (BAL): 6.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

RHP Zack Greinke (ARI): 4.10 Runs
LHP Clayon Kershaw (LAD): 2.70 Runs
RHP Mike Soroka (ATL): 4.40 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Tips for July 19

Jared Contestabile 5 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

There are a lot of great spots for MLB DFS bats tonight so I will help narrow it down to my favorite stacks and a few value bats.

Top Stack – Milwaukee Brewers. Taylor Clarke takes the mound for the Diamondbacks and that is great MLB DFS news for the Brewers. He has a below average strikeout rate of 16.7% and gives up a whopping 41.3% hard contact to lefties. In addition to that, he gives up a .293 ISO against hitters from both sides of the plate. Yelich, Moustakas, Grandal, and Thames are the ones to target here in MLB DFS.

Another Stack to Consider – Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox face off against John Means tonight in Baltimore. While it’s not the greatest MLB DFS matchup for Boston because Means has shown some ability to pitch well, I really like them because the bullpen for Baltimore is awful. If they can get to Means and to that bullpen early it will mean good things. Means has somewhat reverse splits so I am targeting Bogaerts, Martinez, Chavis, and Vazquez. You can switch in Betts for either Chavis or Vazquez but for me he is on the outside of my stacks until I see him get his power back. He only has a .096 ISO for the year and is priced at $4,400. For that MLB DFS price I want power and home run upside which he has not shown this year. Maybe this is the game he gets back on track, but I will wait and see.

Top Value Bats – Jordan Luplow is still only $2,600 on FanDuel. I think their algorithm is broken. He is my top points per dollar spend in MLB DFS tonight. He has a massive .368 ISO against lefties and he gets a dream matchup in Mike Montgomery. From that same game I like Roberto Perez at $2,800. He has been crushing lefties with a .296 ISO and is doing so quietly since he bats lower in the order. Another value I like is Jessie Winker. He will bat leadoff again in a great hitter’s park. He is priced at only $2,800 and has a .239 ISO. In four at-bats against Wainwright he is one for four with that hit being a home run. Not a large sample size for MLB DFS by any means but shows he has the ability to take him deep.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 19

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 14-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

New York Yankees Stack

vs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 Runs

I glared at the computer for awhile this morning trying to figure out how to get away from this Yankees chalk tonight and I can’t do it. Kyle Freeland is just downright terrible. He carries a 7.39 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 5.18 SIERA on the season. He has allowed 43 earned runs across 53 innings to right-handed batters. Freeland is allowing a massive 2.27 HR/9 innings and 43% hard contact. Freeland is not at Coors, but he is in very hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been slumping off just a bit coming off the break, but this team is jam packed with talent and it would be foolish to fade them. The Yankees are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .225 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last month. I’m typically an advocate against using the Yankees on most nights, but I feel confident using these right handed power bats this evening.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 Runs

Mike Montgomery was a top prospect not long ago but has not had a good 2019 campaign. I doubt he’s stretched out all the way so he should be limited today. We have a small sample size to go off of here, but Montgomery carries a 5.67 ERA, 6.21 FIP, and 5.25 SIERA over 27 innings pitched this season. His splits indicate he struggles more with lefties. They are slashing to a .556 wOBA, .868 SLG, and .512 OBP. Montgomery is not much better against righties (thus far). They are slashing to a .336 wOBA, .464 SLG, and .338 OBP. Obviously these numbers are inflated due to limited action this season but most tend to go for the handedness matchup, so don’t be afraid to differentiate with some Cleveland lefties. Cleveland bats are red hot right now. They are slashing to a .369 wOBA, .255 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last couple of weeks.

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 Runs

Jordan Zimmermann heads into tonight’s matchup carrying a 7.01 ERA, 4.64 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. That ERA is a little elevated compared to his FIP and SIERA. That is because of his .344 BABIP and a lowly 58% LOB. Some of it can be attributed to bad luck but he also has a poor defense behind him, so that will drive his ERA up whereas FIP measures things only the pitcher can control. Bats are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .508 SLG, and .348 OBP on the season against him. Zimmermann has allowed 41 earned runs across 52.2 innings pitched. He has only allowed seven home runs in that span. Blue Jays batters are slashing to a .351 wOBA, .234 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last month. They have seen a dip in their batting averages recently, but this is a good spot for Toronto to do some damage.

Honorable Mention

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 Runs

Preferred Stack: Christian Vazquez ($2800 FD|$4700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

RHP Jacob deGrom (NYM): 3.13 Runs
LHP Hyun-jin Ryu (LAD): 2.45 Runs
RHP Marcus Stroman (TOR): 4.20 Runs
LHP Brendan McCay (TAM): 3.29 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

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