Tag:

Christian McCaffrey

NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & BCW

written by Brandon C. Williams

The NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi and BCW take a look ahead at Week 10 and the potential impact players to consider. The two also discuss how to handle teams with a pair of top end WRs while resetting two age-old questions that includes a WKRP in Cincinnati take.

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NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & BCW

The NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & BCW looks at how the changing weather will impact DFS usage, especially at QB and WR. The focus then goes to Week 10, where injuries across the board at RB makes the use of Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey vital. Next, the pair look at QBs who have sleeper potential along with the ones to avoid. Finally, the duo focuses on WRs and TEs and point out a number of solid plays.

Thank you for listening to the NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms.

6 years ago 0 comments

Week 9 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re entering the NFL’s Week 9 DFS plays with the best RB picks for the main slate, including cash, GPP and some contrarian plays for you to win big!

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Week 9 DFS Running Back – Cash Game Plays

Dalvin Cook, MIN at KC

DK ($9,500) FD ($9,000)

Cook has as much upside as any fantasy RB in football,excluding maybe Christian McCaffrey (more on him later), with the highestfloor. He’s the top play this week in cash games and despite the huge price tagand ownership, he’s worth a look in all formats. Lock the dude in against a badrun defense and what should be a high-scoring, relatively closely-matched affair.

Chris Carson, SEA vs. TB

DK ($7,200) FD ($8,200)

Carson has just one TD and one target last week but rushed for 90 yards and remains an affordable, elite fantasy RB with plenty of upside. There’s a chance the Seahawks throw a bit more this week facing a Bucs defense that’s vulnerable in its secondary, but that’s not keeping me away from one the most consistent value plays in the game.

Week 9 DFS Running Back – GPP Plays

Christian McCaffrey, CAR vs.TEN

DK ($10,000) FD ($9,700)

McCaffrey was limited at practice due to a knee injury, but Ron Rivera said he’s not concerned, so should we be? I may not be playing him a $10,000 on DK in too many cash games, but the “injury” and the price could keep a few more folks from clicking his name in GPPs. He’s still involved in all aspects of the Carolina offense, and is on track for another 5-10 targets and 20+ fantasy points, even if he’s not 100 percent.

Josh Jacobs, OAK vs. DET

DK ($6,500) FD ($7,200)

The Lions run defense isn’t wonderful, and Jacobs gets aton of touches. Huis ownership could be down coming off a poor showing atHouston and the big red “Q” that’s next to his name right now because he was listedas a limited participant at Wednesday’s practice. But Jacobs played through whatevershoulder issue he’s been having last week, and there have been no reportedsetbacks in that game. I’m guessing the team is just limiting his practice repsin advance of this weekend’s matchup against Detroit, which is just fine.

Le’Veon Bell, NYJ at MIA

DK ($7,700) FD ($7,000)

Here’s where things could get a little dicey, but alsoprofitable. The Dolphins defense is no match for a healthy, engaged Bell, andeven dumb-bucket Jets head coach Adam Gase knows it. Gase blames himself forBell getting only 12 touches in Sunday’s pathetic 29-15 loss to the Jaguars, andspent this week trying to trade everyone under the sun before copping to hismiscues. I do think that since he couldn’t trade Bell (which he can’t now, sothere’s no reason to limit his usage) he’ll give him a full complement oftouches and Bell should see plenty of opportunity to pay off his price tag onboth sites.

Nick Chubb, CLE at DEN

DK ($7,300) FD ($8,100)

Chubb rushed for 131 yards on 20 carries against thePatriots, a notoriously tough defense to run on. This week, he gets the Broncos,who are not as good, in a contest that should be a lot closer and require justas much running from the former Georgia Bulldog. He should also have more usagein the passing game (26 targets over six weeks before last week’s one-target debacle)and probably won’t fumble twice in Denver. Jump on this under-the-radar talentin GPPs.

Marlon Mack, IND at PIT

DK ($6,300) FD ($6,900)

Mack ran for 76 yards and a score on 19 carries, adding a14-yard catch during Sunday’s 15-13 battle over Denver (which followed a slowweek against the Texans), and he faces a decent Steelers run defense this timearound. Again – he sees a lot of touch volume and won’t draw large ownershiplevels in GPPs. The price came up slightly but I’m buying this week.

Jaylen Samuels, PIT vs. IND

DK ($4,000) FD ($5,000)

James Connor is still dinged up and questionable for Sunday’s game, while Samuels practiced fully on Wednesday and looks like he could be the bell cow if Connor and Benny Snell are both on the shelf against Indy. His ownership will be sky-high if both those Steelers RBs are inactive, but it’ll be worth it for the role he’ll have – along with the 20-25 point upside.

Also consider: Phillip Lindsay (wrist), Aaron Jones (shoulder),Derrick Henry, Jamaal Williams

Week 9 DFS Running Back – Contrarian GPP Plays

Austin Ekeler, LAC vs. GB

DK ($6,000) FD ($6,500)

I’ll never understand why coaches like Anthony Lynn getaway from the guys who have been successful, but such is the case. Giving Ekelerjust three carries and three targets would have been a bigger story had the Chargerslost (and they should have), but we can guess that he’ll have a larger workloadthis week, where the shifty back should dominate the backfield touches againstan opponent that could jump out to a lead. It doesn’t necessarily have to be a negativegame script for Ekeler to succeed, so I’ll be using him once again in GPPs forhis massive upside – even if he continues to split with the less versatile MelvinGordon.

Ty Johnson, DET at OAK

DK ($4,900) FD ($5,500)

This play is not for the faint of heart, and it’s going tobe tough to click his name after what happened in Week 8. I know – I feel you.But Tough Guy Ty was on everybody’s list last week for a reason. He’s got a fewthings going against him this week, but his ownership will be a fraction of whatit was a week ago, and we have to take some contrarian chances in DFS.

Also consider: Jordan Howard, LeSean McCoy, Damien Williams,Tarik Cohen

Week 9 DFS Running Back – Value/Punt Plays

David Montgomery, CHI at PHI

DK ($5,200) FD ($6,600)

Montgomery had his breakout game last week (27 carries, 135rushing yards, TD; 4-12-0 receiving) as we profiled him in this same “valueplay” section. The price has come up a bit, but he’s still a veritable bargain andfaces an Eagles defense that’s only slightly better than the Chargers.

Devin Singletary, BUF vs. WAS

DK ($4,700) FD ($6,100)

The Bills are at home facing Washington this week, and they’reeager to shake off the display they put on against the Eagles. Expect a lot moretouches coming to Singletary as the team finds more ways to get him the ball.

Royce Freeman, DEN vs. CLE

DK ($4,900) FD($5,700)

Freeman could see an increased workload this week if PhillipLindsay (wrist) can’t play, and the matchup against the Browns is a juicy one.

Mark Walton, MIA vs. NYJ

DK ($4,500) FD ($5,700)

With Kenyan Drake off to Arizona, Walton has taken over aslead back for Miami. While he didn’t find much running room against theSteelers on Monday night, he has a solid matchup against the Jets’ porous rundefense in Week 9.

Additional plays: Tra Carson, Frank Gore, Chris Thompson (toe)

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Week

Pick the Players that will get the most Fantasy Points

Goal: 65.5, Prize: 2x — D. Cook, L. Bell & M. Mack

These three RBs have solid matchups and are poised to have big days. It’s an RB article, so I restricted my MKF picks here to RBs. Mix in a WR if you’re not feeling an all-RB crew!

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports Premium

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week 9 Checkdown

StixPicks 6 years ago

written by StixPicks

Keep it rolling! NFL DFS Cash Games for the Win Daily Team in Week Eight hit yet again – even the sample lineup from last week’s Checkdown crossed the pay-line in DraftKings single entry cash games! Let’s get right back to it for the Week Nine Checkdown for your NFL DFS Cash Games.

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My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites. Please check back in on Saturday/Sunday morning for potential NFL DFS Cash Games updates!

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help NFL DFS players make the most of their investments.

Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week Nine, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

There are a lot of mid-tier options at the WR position, but at first glance, I do not think you need to pay up for more than one top-tier WR (if any at all).
I do think you need to build around Christian McCaffrey or Dalvin Cook. Please note, they are both extremely expensive so hence the paying down at WR2/WR3/TE. I prefer Dalvin Cook, but you can’t go wrong with CMC.
Until further notice, I am 100% using Jarvis Landry in cash (DraftKings only).
Just because someone is not included in this write-up, does not mean you cannot play them in cash. These are all just my preferred plays for an optimal cash game build.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson ($7,100) – Russell Wilson at home against a pass funnel defense who is terrible in coverage. Keep it simple if you can afford him. He’s easily my favorite cash play on the board.
Aaron Rodgers ($6,900) – It’s Aaron Rodgers and he’s fire lately. I do think this is more of a run attack for the Packers against this banged up Chargers’ defense, but Rodgers is always in play.
Matthew Stafford ($6,800) – Stafford came up huge for us in Week Eight and should be able to hit value for us again in Week Nine. I don’t think he’ll have a blowup game like he did last Sunday at home, but this matchup in Oakland is a good one. I have him projected for 305 passing yards and that is crucial on DraftKings where there is a 300+ yard passing bonus.
Derek Carr ($5,500) – Great price and a great spot at home against the Lions. I like both Quarterbacks in this high-total (opened at at 51.5) matchup.
Matt Moore ($4,800) – This is more so a punt type of play. I trust the Chiefs’ offense to continue to move the ball like they have all season long regardless of who’s under center. Moore clearly doesn’t have the ceiling of Mahomes (or the floor), but he’s in play for cash at this price with a healthy Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Sammy Watkins.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey ($10,000) – Wow, what a price. He’s Christian McCaffrey and he’ll probably still hit value.
Dalvin Cook ($9,500) – I strongly suggest playing one of these premium running backs. Kansas City is absolutely awful at defending running backs (they’ve given up the most DraftKings points to opposing RBs over the past month). Cook will feast yet again.
Le’Veon Bell ($7,700) – Welcome to Le’Veon Bell chalk week folks. Assuming ownership is through the roof, you cannot fade Bell in cash. He’s in a prime spot here against Miami.
Aaron Jones ($7,000) – We loved David Montgomery last week due to this banged up Chargers’ defense. We love Aaron Jones this week.
Josh Jacobs ($6,500) – Jacobs is starting to become one of those gamescript proof running backs. I love what I see from him on the field and think he is 100% worth his price this week in DFS. The days of getting Josh Jacobs under $6,000 are gone. The Lions’ run defense has been awful lately and rather banged up.
Jordan Howard ($5,100) – The Bears have been getting pounded by opposing running backs over the past three games (giving up over 37 DraftKings points per game). Jordan Howard has a little bit of revenge narrative here and I think he’s a lock for 15+ touches assuming this game stays close.
Phil Lindsay ($5,300) & Royce Freeman ($4,900) – Hate that they split the snaps, but at this price and in this matchup against Cleveland (third most fantasy points per game allowed to opposing running backs in the last month) I’m fine with using one of these Broncos’ backs at home.
Jaylen Samuels ($4,000) – If James Conner is out due to his injury from Monday night, Samuels becomes our top value play at the RB position.

Wide Receivers

Kenny Golladay ($7,700) – Golladay’s price shot up this week after a monster Week Eight performance. This Raiders’ secondary is extremely beatable and Golladay should have his way with them. If you can’t afford him, use Amendola.
Tyler Lockett ($7,500) – Smash matchup with a solid floor every week. If you can afford him, Lockett makes perfect sense in cash.
Tyreek Hill ($7,400) – Hill obviously is upgraded if Mahomes comes back this week. I’ll update this spot when we hear more on Mahomes.
Chris Godwin ($7,300) – After disappointing a bit last week (thankfully we played Mike Evans instead), Godwin enters Week Nine in a wonderful spot against the Seahawks and their slot cornerback Jamar Taylor. I have Godwin projected for at least eight catches and 105 yards.
Allen Robinson ($6,800) – Excellent matchup against the Eagles’ poor excuse of a secondary. The price is climbing on Robinson, but he’s still cash viable.
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6,300) – JuJu Smith-Schuster’s price is so low and is in a prime matchup against a lowly Colts’ secondary. I loved what I saw out of Smith-Schuster on Monday Night so look for him to follow that up with another solid outing on Sunday.
D.J. Moore ($4,800) – He isn’t Mike Evans, but this is the exact same matchup I exploited last week. Moore’s targets are there and he will produce this week as the Titans’ put their focus on slowing down McCaffrey.
Danny Amendola ($4,700) – I’ve never been an Amendola guy, but the snap share has been there the past two weeks and he comes into this week in a prime matchup against Lamarcus Joyner from the Raiders. I’m expecting the Lions to have a pass-heavy focus again this week, so Amendola makes perfect sense.
Jarvis Landry ($4,500) – My cash game lock of the week! When the Broncos play a true number one wide receiver, Chris Harris (in my opinion, one of the best cornerbacks in football) plays shadow coverage. So, I’m willing to bet Chris Harris is going to be all over Odell Beckham for 65% or more of those snaps which should free up a lot of space for Jarvis Landry.

If you’re bored, go look at the box scores for the Denver Broncos’ games in Week Two, Week Three, and last week. Chris Harris was assigned shadow coverage in those three games and those wide receivers (Allen Robinson, Davante Adams, and T.Y. Hilton) all had brutal games. Harris is legit, so hopefully Odell Beckham wears one of those pretty watches – that’s the only thing that will help him look good this week.

If you’re not bored, just take my word for it and use Landry in DraftKings cash games and enjoy. At this price, we don’t need much.
~~Diontae Johnson ($4,500) –~~ ~~I love the rapport Rudolph and Johnson have been building thus far. I’ll most likely use ONE of either Smith-Schuster or Johnson in cash.~~ I still like him, but unless you need two salary relief wide receivers, just play Landry.
DeVante Parker ($4,400) – Fitzpatrick loves chucking the ball to DeVante Parker. I have always been a big believer in Parker and this may finally be the season where he starts to perform consistently. Neither Trumaine Johnson or Darryl Roberts for the Jets can contain Parker. I like his matchup here.

Tight Ends

Darren Waller ($6,300) – He’s expensive, but enters this week in a much better matchup against the Lions who traded away their best TE coverage man, Quandre Diggs. Tracy Walker is also questionable in this game, so Waller should be able to have his way with the Lions’ pass defenders.
Zach Ertz ($4,700) – I don’t like picking on Ha-Ha Clinton Dix, but I trust the Eagles and Zach Ertz to right the ship. Ertz has been a major disappoint in the fantasy world this year but at this price, you don’t need him to have a big game… just a serviceable one.
Cameron Brate ($3,100) – Excellent salary relief for one of Winston’s favorite targets in the passing game. Seattle has been giving up over 16 DraftKings points to opposing tight ends and I really like this game’s chances at shooting out. Brate will be active in this passing attack (assuming OJ Howard is out).
Jack Doyle ($3,000) – Doyle got a big upgrade in my model after removing T.Y. Hilton from the player pool (he’s out with injury). This is an excellent matchup against the Steelers who have been bleeding points to opposing tight ends all season. I prefer him in cash over Brate.

Defense/Special Teams

Buffalo Bills ($3,800)
Carolina Panthers ($2,800)
Washington Redskins ($1,800) – If you need the salary elsewhere, the Redskins are fine here.

NFL DFS Cash Games – Sample Lineup

QB: Russell Wilson
RB: Dalvin Cook
RB: Le’Veon Bell
WR: Tyler Lockett
WR: Jarvis Landry
WR: D.J. Moore
TE: Cameron Brate
FLEX: Jaylen Samuels (if Conner is out!)
DST: Washington Redskins

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 8 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I’m excited to offer up some of my favorite Week 8 DFS plays for NFL RBs on the main slate, with cash, GPP and some contrarian plays to win you some green!

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Week 8 DFS Running Back – CashGame Plays

Christian McCaffrey, CAR at SF

DK ($9,200) FD($9,600)

McCaffrey benefits from a week off and continued involvementin all aspects of the Carolina offense, and the absence of Cam Newton means he’llget most of the goal line carries as well. The top RB play in any format – evenagainst a tough 49ers run defense – McCaffrey should see 5-10 targets and score20+ fantasy points even if he doesn’t break out with a monster game.

Saquon Barkley, NYG at DET

DK ($8,900) FD ($8,600)

Barkley checks in at 1B when it comes to fantasy upside forWeek 8. He was a full participant in Thursday’s practice at is coming off aWeek 7 return which saw him net 80 total yards against the Cards. This week, hefaces the second-worst fantasy defense vs. RBs and should have his ay with the Lionsin Detroit’s Ford Field.

Leonard Fournette, JAC at NYJ

DK ($7,800) FD ($7,700)

If you want to save a little cash from the top plays I’drecommend landing on Fournette, who has at least 20 carries (29, 23, 20, 29) ineach of his last four games and regular scores 15-30 fantasy points. Bolsteredby his contributions to the passing game and a great matchup against the Jets,Fournette’s fantasy upside may exceed both Barkley and McCaffrey in Week 8.

Week 8 DFS Running Back – GPPPlays

Todd Gurley, LAR vs. CIN

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,400)

Todd Gurley played just 46-of-75 snaps (60.5%) in the Week7 win over the Falcons, so he’s a considerable risk if he keeps such a low workload.But there’s plenty of upside for the Rams lead back against a Bengals team that’sworst in the league versus fantasy RBs. Malcolm Brown has already been ruledout, so I’ll have plenty of exposure to Gurley with some shares of rookierunning back Darrell Henderson as the complementary option.

Chris Carson, SEA at ATL

DK ($7,000) FD ($8,000)

After three straight 100-yard rushing performances, Carsonwas held in check against a tough Ravens’ defense, but he’s a good bet for asolid bounce-back game facing the Falcons. Don’t overthink this. You’ll be gladyou played him in GPPs as part of your core builds. He’s viable for cash gameson DK and is a better GPP play on FD where his price is a bit elevated.

Chase Edmonds, ARI at NO

DK ($6,200) FD ($6,100)

David Johnson is a game-time decision, but we’re to going tolet that cloud our decision to play Edmonds. Johnson was active vs. the Giantsbut saw just one carry. Edmonds has at least 14 DK points in three games in arow, and although this is a tougher road matchup, he’s on my radar.

Marlon Mack, IND vs. DEN

DK ($6,100) FD ($6,800)

Mack had trouble getting into open space against the Texans,but the passing game was really clicking, so they didn’t need his normal groundand pound approach. He rushed 18 times for 44 yards and caught all three of histargets for 12 more in the Week 7 win and has a better matchup at home vs. theBroncos. I’m not expecting huge ownership levels which makes him a good buy forGPPs.

Derrick Henry, TEN vs. TB

DK ($6,000) FD ($6900)

A usually efficient runner with plenty of upside, Henry didn’t get loose against the Chargers last week but did tally at least 20 carries for the third time in his last four games. With the Titans offense looking better with Ryan Tannehill under center, I’m counting on fewer eight-in-the-box looks against this offense and more of Henry’s emblematic “jailbreak” TD runs against TB.

Also consider: Phillip Lindsay, Tevin Coleman, James White (DK)

Week 8 DFS Running Back – ContrarianGPP Plays

Austin Ekeler, LAC at CHI

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,800)

If this ends up being a negative script game, we could see theChargers using a lot more of Ekeler in space, run or pass, than Gordon. He’shad just one dud so far this season, which was Week 6 against Pittsburgh when everythingwent out the window very early in the Chargers’ game plan. He has two games inhis past three outings with at least seven catches, so I have more interest inDK with the full point PPR, especially with the Bears are among the leagueleaders in receptions allowed to running backs this year with 45.

Nick Chubb, CLE at NE

DK ($6,600) FD ($7,700)

Nick Chubb gets the Patriots this week, who have allowedzero touchdowns to running backs thus far, and very few RBs are even worthstarting in New England. But Chubb is a special back, could get a few catches,and he’ll have very low ownership. I think he might be worth a look inlarge-field GPPs as a contrarian play.

Also consider: Le’Veon Bell, Latavius Murray (if Kamara isout), Joe Mixon

Week 8 DFS Running Back – Value/PuntPlays

Royce Freeman, DEN at IND

DK ($5,500) FD ($5,700)

Freeman is becoming a decent DFs option, especially on DK.He has at least 12 PPR points in each of his past two games against Tennesseeand Kansas City, and he has at least four catches in five of his past sixoutings.

Sony Michel, NE vs. CLE

DK ($5,200) FD ($6,500)

Michel is always risky, especially in PPR, since a lot of thepasses head to WRs and James White. IfRex Burkhead (foot) plays this week, that makes the decision even tougher. ButMichel’s getting more work in this offense and has now scored a touchdown infour of his past six games. He’s also facing a putrid Browns defense this weekthat allows the third-most rushing yards per game at 154.

Ty Johnson, DET vs. NYG

DK ($4,900) FD ($5,200)

Ty Johnson should get most of the touches now that KerryonJohnson is on the IR. He’ll share some of the passing game work with J.D.McKissic, who makes sense as a dart-throw punt in large-field GPPs as well, butwe much prefer TYJ facing a Giants defense that has allowed eight running backsto either score or gain at least 100 total yards this season.

David Montgomery, CHI vs. LAC

DK ($4,400) FD ($5,700)

Montgomery has been an overwhelming bust in 2019, includingthe past two games against Oakland and New Orleans when he rushed for acombined 31 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, adding 3-24-0. If he can getinto an offensive groove and find his feet a bit against the Chargers (a team thatstruggles to stop the run), we could see a breakout.

Additional plays: Tarik Cohen, Devin Singletary, LeSean McCoy

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week

Touchdown Dance — Pick the Players that will get the most Total TDs

Goal: 2.50, Prize: 2x

I’m going Todd Gurley, Leonard Fournette and Chris Carson and taking the lock at 2x, but I feel like two of these guys are going to get two TDs each, so the 20x bet is awful tempting.

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: London Showdown Edition

Daniel Wehr 6 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide plays for the Week-Six NFL DFS London Showdown slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

O/U: 47 (CAR -2)

NFL DFS: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Forget about everything that happened the first time these teams faced each other in Week Two. The Buccaneers managed to shut down Christian McCaffrey on that Thursday night game. Tampa ranks in the top five in terms of run stopping. They allow just over three yards per carry and have held opponents to an average of 70 yards over their last three.

Chris Godwin draws a favorable matchup, just as he did in Week Two. He had over 120 receiving yards on eight receptions and a TD in their first outing. If I’m going to employ Tampa it would be through the passing game. I’m fine with Jameis Winston, Evans, and Godwin all in the flex positions. This doesn’t change the fact of how bad their offensive line is. Tampa has allowed 18 sacks on the year (27th) and are facing a Panthers defense who are firing on all cylinders. They have 20 sacks on the year (Third most).

NFL DFS: Carolina Panthers

I think I made it abundantly clear that most of my interest in this game falls on the Panthers side. Christian McCaffrey, my MVP pick going into the season, is having exactly that kind of season. He leads the league with 587 yards on the ground, 279 through the air, and seven TD’s.

I do acknowledge that Tampa has a good run defense. In Week Two, the Panthers were coming off a short week where McCaffrey saw nearly 30 touches and Cam Newton had been dealing with a foot injury, he was essentially ineffective in that game. Now the Panthers have Kyle Allen under center who has won three games straight and has put the Panthers in a position to take charge of the NFC South with a win this Sunday. Top it off with the fact that Panthers are coming off of a BYE week so they are well rested and prepared for this long trip to London.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

NFL DFS Captain:

Preferred: Panthers DST ($7200), Kyle Allen ($13,800), Christian McCaffrey ($19,500), Hedge: Chris Godwin ($15,600), Jameis Winston ($15,900). All in Captain consideration can be used in flex.

NFL DFS Flex:

Greg Olsen ($6,800), DJ Moore ($8,800), Peyton Barber ($5,000), Joey Slye (3,600), Mike Evans ($9,800), Curtis Samuel ($7200)

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

NFL DFS MVP:

Christian McCaffrey ($17,500)

NFL DFS Flex:

DJ Moore ($11,000), Curtis Samuel (8,000), Greg Olsen ($8,500), Joey Slye ($9,500), Chris Godwin ($14,500), Jameis Winston ($15,500), Mike Evans ($12,500).

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6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Five Running Back Breakdown

Allan Fabrykant 6 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

This report will provide NFL DFS running back options for the Week Five 12-game main slate. Running backs will be broken down into three tiers, high, mid, and low. I will also include punt plays.

High Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($9100 FD|$8700 DK)

The King keeps the top spot for RB’s once again at no surprise. Christian McCaffrey is leading the league in rush yards (411) and third best in the passing game (218). The Jaguars are allowing just under 100 rushing yards per game and have been extremely efficient defensively in the red zone. They are allowing opponents to score at a 46% clip which is top 10 in the league. Despite the Jags success on defense they still allow over four yards per carry and they haven’t faced a supreme talent like CMC this season. The Panthers will continue to rely heavily on their All-Pro running back.

NFL DFS Running Back: Dalvin Cook (MIN) ($8200 FD|$8400 DK)

Dalvin Cook struggled last week against a top defensive unit which can be attributed to the offenses inability to push the ball down field through the air. The Vikings get a far better matchup here against a Giants defense that has allowed an average of 110 yards per game on the ground. Once the Vikings are in the red zone they are scoring at a 70% clip. Dalvin Cook isn’t far behind CMC, he has rushed for 410 yards and 127 receiving yards. Cook should come in at high ownership in Week Five.

NFL DFS Running Back: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($7200 FD|$6700 DK)

Melvin Gordon is back in the picture for the Chargers but it seems HC Anthony Lynn is in no rush to hand a big workload over to him for now. I can’t say I blame him, Austin Ekeler leads the league in receiving yards for all RB’s (270) and touchdowns (6). The Broncos have been terrible against the run. They allow the fourth most fantasy points to RB’s per game (29) and rank 30th in terms of yards per game (149). I won’t be overweight here just due to the situation but Ekeler is still a top fantasy option in Week Five.

NFL DFS Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ($8800 FD|$8300 DK)

Zeke Elliott is back on the main slate this week and should be a big part of the Cowboys game plan. After a nice start to the season, the Packers defense has fallen back to reality. They are allowing over 140 rushing yards on the ground but have been very efficient defending the pass. Dallas offensive line of course ranks in the top five in league, they are allowing their RB’s to average over 4.60 yards per carry. Elliott is currently averaging 16 FPTS per game but i expect his best performance yet in Week Five.

Honorable Mention: Alvin Kamara (NOS) ($8200 FD|$8600)

Mid Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: David Johnson (ARI) ($6800 FD|$7500 DK)

If you read my Monday Night Football guide, and watched the game in Week Four, then you know all about the Bengals defense and their struggles against the run. The Bengals got smoked by James Conner who ended up with 125 all-purpose yards (83 through the air). David Johnson gets the same matchup in Week Five against a Bengals team coming off a short week. Johnson has 355 total yards (182 through the air) and is averaging over 18 FPTS per game. He will be heavily relied on once again in Week Five as the Cardinals rank bottom five in the league in offensive pass protection (10% sack rate).

NFL DFS Running Back: Leonard Fournette (JAX) ($6900 FD|$6400 DK)

Leonard Fournette is coming off of a monster 225 yard game on the ground against the Broncos and will face a Panthers defense that also struggles defending the run. They are allowing over 4.70 yards per carry to RB’s and Fournette is averaging nearly six yards per touch. It is noteworthy that Jacksonville has struggled in run blocking but given Carolina’s struggles in the trenches I have to give the Jaguars the edge here. Fournette is now third in the league with 404 rushing yards, big thanks to his performance in Denver.

Honorable Mention: Aaron Jones (GBP) ($6800 FD|$5900), Joe Mixon ($7100 FD|$6100 DK).

Low Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: James White (NEP) ($6200 FD|$5000 DK)

It is a bit difficult to pin point where Bill Belichick is going to go with the football, especially with his three man duo of Michel, White, and Burkhead. Sony Michel is also viable here but I tend to favor White, especially on DK with the PPR upside. The Redskins just allowed Wayne Gallman Jr. over 100 all-purpose yards and two TD’s. They rank bottom five in the league, allowing over 147 yards per game on the ground.

NFL DFS Running Back: David Montgomery (CHI) ($5700 FD|$5200 DK)

I’m not particularly crazy about this play but this week is pretty thin in terms of value at the position. Chicago’s offensive line has not been great with run blocking, they are only averaging 3.1 yard per carry. Montgomery has yet to top 100 yards in a game and will face an Oakland defense that is right in the middle of the pack, allowing over 100 yards per game on the ground.

Punts: Devonta Freeman ($6200 FD|$5300 DK)

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6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS Week Four: Touches and Targets Outlooks

6 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Four 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8300 FD|$7800 DK)

76% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 19 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.

It’s been a different year for Julio Jones in terms of red zone production. He was always the receiver to get a ton of catches and yards but minimal scoring upside just because of how he was used in the red zone in years past. Jones already has half his 2018 TD total (four) through three games. I have a lot of stock invested in him this week and expect a big game.

NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (HOU) ($8100 FD|$7600 DK)

94% Snap Share. 42 Targets (36% share), 29 receptions, 14 yards per reception, One TD.

Keenan Allen has been a top fantasy asset the first three weeks this season and he gets an easily exploitable matchup against the tanking Miami Dolphins. Keenan Allen leads all receivers in receptions, total yards, and completed air yards. He averaging the second most FPTS per game through three weeks, averaging 30 per game. Allen once again comes in as a clear cut top fantasy option in Week Four and should be considered in all formats.

NFL DFS TE: Travis Kelce (K.C.) ($7600 FD|$7200 DK)

84% Snap Share. 25 Targets, 17 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TDs.

As I’m sure everyone has heard the stat by now, Patrick Mahomes averaged over 495 yards per game and 4.75 TDs through four indoor college games. It seems like a stat that really shouldn’t be considered because we are comparing college and NFL but Mahomes proves week in and week out just how talented he is. Travis Kelce gets a decent size advantage in this weeks matchup and should see plenty of targets. I’m going to overlook Detroit’s blanket coverage against Zach Ertz in Week Three due to all the injuries at the receiver position the Eagles had. K.C. has plenty of weapons to draw attention away from Kelce so he presumably is in a better spot than the Eagles and Ertz were.

NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

100% Snap Share, 21 Targets, 15 Receptions for 132 yards, 59 carries for 318 yards, 6 yards per touch, Three TDs.

It looks like it’s going to be another 28-30 touch day for Christian McCaffrey on Sunday. The Panthers take on the Texans who are allowing over five yards per carry to running backs. Ron Rivera has voiced this week the importance of establishing the run and rolling out a balanced offense. This was the key to Kyle Allen’s success in Week Three vs. the Arizona Cardinals and expect an identical game plan against the Texans.

NFL DFS RB: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($8100 FD|$8000 DK)

75% Snap Share, 20 Targets, 19 Receptions, 38 carries for 160 yards, 6 yards per touch, Four TDs.

Justin Jackson is out this and week the Chargers are expecting Melvin Gordon to play. I can’t see Gordon coming back this week and hogging a ton of work from Austin Ekeler. I still expect the Chargers to use Ekeler predominantly in his pass catching role and can only see Gordon getting seven to 10 touches on Sunday.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($7000 FD|$6500 DK)

95% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 23 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Jared Goff’s favorite receiver, at home, with one of the best matchups on the slate. Goff had 12 more TD passes and over 900 more yards at home compared to on the road in 2018. Cooper Kupp is seeing nearly 30% of all targets come his way, the fifth best in the league.

NFL DFS WR: Sammy Watkins (K.C.) ($6900 FD|$6700 DK)

89% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 20 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Three TDs.

Outside of Kelce, Sammy Watkins is likely where I will go for a team stack. Watkins is second in the league with 311 receiving yards and is seeing a target share of 28%.

NFL DFS RB: Kerryon Johnson (DET) ($6500 FD|$5400 DK)

62% Snap Share. 48 carries, 126 rushing yards, Two TDs.

It has been a disappointing campaign three weeks in for Kerryon Johnson who is averaging just 2.2 YPC. The Lions will need to establish the run to compliment their balanced passing offense and this is the perfect spot for Johnson to get into rhythm against a Chiefs defense that is allowing runners to average 6.2 YPC.

NFL DFS RB: Leonard Fournette (JAC) ($6400 FD|$6000 DK)

98% Snap Share. 43 carries,179 yards, 14 Receptions, 4.8 yards per touch, Zero TDs.

I know a few people have mentioned Fournette and I am okay with the play in large field tourneys. He just hasn’t impressed like I thought he would this season. If Gardner Minshew is able to maintain what he has been doing it may open up things for Fournette in the run.

NFL DFS WR: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6800 FD|$4600 DK)

96% Snap Share. 28 Targets, 22 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Tyler Lockett is off to a great start this season. He is averaging 20 FPTS per game and will continue to get a vast majority of looks from Russell Wilson.

NFL DFS WR: Terry McLaurin (WSH) ($6300 FD|$4500 DK)

95% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 16 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Three TDs.

The Giants are coming in at very high ownership and the Redskins aren’t getting a lot of love. DFS pundits have attacked the Giants defense for three weeks and are suddenly off of them. I like the Redskins receivers as a way a leverage play. The Giants are putrid defending the pass, allowing over 330 yards a game which is the worst in the NFL.

NFL DFS WR: Sterling Shepard (WSH) ($6300 FD|$4500 DK)

100% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 13 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.

This side of the Giants game will be the some of the biggest chalk on the slate. Understandably so, the Redskins just got torched by a questionable Bears offense at home and are giving up over 450 yards per game. I’m not crazy about eating this Giants chalk after one week of Daniel Jones, but it would be wise to come close to what the field is projecting in terms of ownership.

Low Tier

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5900 FD|$5600 DK)

100% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 18 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Christian Kirk (ARI) ($5100 FD|$5900 DK)

99% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 20 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Paul Richardson Jr. (WSH) ($4700 FD|$3700 DK)

85% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 15 Receptions, 9 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) ($5900 FD|$5400 DK)

88% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 15 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TDs.

NFL DFS TE: Will Dissly (SEA) ($5400 FD|$3600 DK)

55% Snap Share. 14 Targets, 12 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Three TDs.

NFL DFS RB: Josh Jacobs (OAK) ($6000 FD|$5100 DK)

53% Snap Share. 45 carries, 220 yards, Two TDs.

NFL DFS RB: Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($5000 FD|$6200 DK)

68% Snap Share. 35 Targets, 129 yards, 9 catches, 62 yards, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Zach Pascal (IND) ($5400 FD|$4500 DK)

**T.Y. Hilton likely out

45% Snap Share. 3 Targets, 2 Receptions, One TD.

NFL DFS RB: Wayne Gallman Jr. (NYG) ($5800 FD|$4500 DK)

Gallman’s stats aren’t worth mentioning for 2019 because Saquon Barkley gets everything when he is healthy. Expect 15-20 touches for Gallman and a ton of ownership.

NFL DFS WR: Dontrelle Inman (LAC) ($4800 FD|$3000 DK)

44% snap share, 6 Targets, 3 Receptions, zero TDs.

Dontrelle Inman is now in play with Mike Williams and Travis Benjamin out. His snap share and target rate are almost certain to go up with him running in the two slot.

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6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Four Running Back Breakdown

6 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS running back options for the Week Four 12-game main slate. Running backs will be broken down into three tiers, high, mid, and low. I will also include punt plays.

High Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($9000 FD|$8800 DK)

Christian McCaffrey will be a great option on a week to week basis all season long. He gets another solid matchup against a Texans defense that is allowing runners to average 5.4 yards per carry. CMC has seen 59 carries for 318 yards, 15 receptions for 132 yards, and 12 red zone touches for three touchdowns through three games this season. He always carries a heavy work load with his versatility and power and nothing should change in Week Four.

NFL DFS Running Back: Dalvin Cook (MIN) ($8300 FD|$8300 DK)

Dalvin Cook is off to a hot start and I couldn’t be happier. He is one of my favorite fantasy assets and now that he is healthy I think we can consider him week in and out with top names like CMC and Saquon Barkley. Cook has a league leading 375 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Minnesota is averaging an excellent 5.6 yards per carry and only second fiddle to the Ravens, averaging 193 rushing yards per game. Cook and the Vikings get a tough matchup this week at Soldier Field and the Bears are a top unit against the run, but something has to give right? The low implied total and close spread in this game has me all over Cook. The Vikings have clearly made a huge change on offensive (Gary Kubiak) and have followed through with their commitment to the run. Start Cook with peace of mind knowing he will be in for another big work load.

NFL DFS Running Back: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($8100 FD|$8000 DK)

If you had a chance to read my breakdown last week then you know that I wasn’t a fan of the Ezekiel Elliott Play. Even though he had 125 yards rushing, he only had 18.9 FPTS on DK. Considering how much you had to spend for him, it wasn’t the best return. I have come to find myself trying to get away from these ridiculous spreads against the Dolphins but it is wise to cover yourself and I do not warrant a full fade, ever. While I am not pleased with his salary on either site, Austin Ekeler presents excellent PPR upside and has big play capability. Ekeler leads all running backs at 208 receiving yards on 19 receptions and has carried 38 times for 160 yards. The Chargers are averaging 5.2 yards per carry and the Dolphins are allowing 5.6 yards per carry. They also allow over 200 rushing yards per game, the worst in the NFL. I can see Justin Jackson being more utilized if this game is to get away from Miami quickly but I still think Ekeler’s floor is pretty safe here.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Marlon Mack (IND) ($7300 FD|$6100 DK)

Despite coming into Week Three’s matchup against the Falcons with a calf injury, Marlon Mack still managed to rush 16 times for 74 yards and one TD. He is not on the injury report this week and gets a great matchup against the Raiders at home. The Colts have been excellent on the ground with nearly 150 yards rushing per game at a 4.9 yard clip. Mack should able to replicate Dalvin Cook’s 110 yard, one TD outing against the Raiders last week. Big boost to Marlon Mack staying off the injury report.

NFL DFS Running Back: Mark Ingram (BAL) ($7800 FD|$6600 DK)

There is not a ton of appeal in the mid-range RB selection so this one may be a little bit of a reach. I don’t typically like to target AFC North division games, but I think after some of the questionable play calling by the Ravens staff last week will have them rethink their commitment to the run. Ingram has been excellent through his first three weeks, rushing 43 times for 257 yards and 6 receptions for 62 yards. He leads all NFL backs with 5 touchdowns.

Honorable Mention: Kerryon Johnson (DET) ($6500 FD|$5400), David Johnson ($6800 FD|$6800 DK).

Low Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Wayne Gallman Jr. (NYG) ($5800 FD|$4600 DK)

Wayne Gallman Jr. is filling in for Saquon Barkley and will likely be heavy chalk this week, particularly on DK. The Redskins, as we all know have been atrocious to passing and rushing. They are giving up an average of 142 yards per game on the ground and will have to play in New York after a very rough outing against the Bears. I expect this game to be back and forth and high scoring because of poor defense on both teams so I am fine with the Gallman Jr. chalk if you need someone in this range.

NFL DFS Running Back: Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($6200 FD|$5000 DK)

Well, we finally got a somewhat decent performance last week out of Devonta Freeman. He carried 16 times for 88 yards and had three catches for seven yards. This doesn’t scream “play me” but he is obviously making strides and he will have a big game at some point. The Falcons face the Titans who are giving up 119 yards per game on the ground at a 4.8 yard clip.

NFL DFS Running Back: Justin Jackson (LAC) ($6200 FD|$4100 DK)

I don’t really care for Justin Jackson’s price on FD, but I will consider him on DK. Jackson has 18 carries at a 6.8 yard clip. In the event the Chargers get far ahead early against the lowly Dolphins, Jackson could see an uptick in snaps and could easily pay off his $4100 DK salary.

Punts: Outside of the plays I listed above I really have no interest.

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6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS Week Three: Touches and Targets Outlooks

6 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Three 13-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (HOU) ($7800 FD|$8100 DK)

90% Snap Share. 25 Targets (36% share), 16 receptions, 13.8 yards per reception, One TD.

Keenan Allen has eight receptions in each of his starts. Austin Ekeler and Allen make up the majority of the Chargers target share and should continue to be heavily relied on by Philip Rivers. The Texans defense is clearly not the same this season without a consistent and effective pass rush.

NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8300 FD|$7300 DK)

75% Snap Share. 21 Targets, 11 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.

I would keep an eye on ownership on the Falcons side as Sunday approaches. If it remains low I think this is a good spot for the Falcons to put out a sneaky offensive performance. Julio Jones has already notched three touchdowns in two games. The Atlanta offensive line is improved and it looks like the Colts will be missing key pieces to their pass rush on Sunday. Julio is matchup proof and if Devonta Freeman can snap out of his 2.2 YPC average it could really open things up and become a big day for Julio.

NFL DFS WR: Amari Cooper (DAL) ($7700 FD|$7500 DK)

87% Snap Share. 14 Targets, 10 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Michael Gallup is out and we’ve all seen what happens on Amari Cooper island. I’m fading the Devin Smith hype and fully expect Dak Prescott to target his clear cut number one receiver against possibly the worst defense in the history of the game. Expect the Cowboys to pour it on fast and hard at home in Dallas,

NFL DFS TE: Travis Kelce (KC) ($8000 FD|$7100 DK)

78% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 10 Receptions, 19 yards per reception, One TD.

Travis Kelce is matchup proof and if the weather is as bad as they are predicting on Sunday in the Chiefs home opener, we should see a ton of looks go Kelce’s way. Defending the tight end has always been an issue for the Ravens and now they face the number one tight end in the league.

NFL DFS RB: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9100 DK)

88% Snap Share, 13 Targets, 7 Receptions, 29 carries for 227 yards, 9.3 yards per touch, One TD.

I’m not buying the Tampa defense. I will have a nice chunk of exposure to Saquon Barkley. He is going to be a safety blanket for Daniel Jones. I also think Daniel Jones is not getting enough credit and this is a very good Giants offensive line.

NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

100% Snap Share, 17 Targets, 12 Receptions for 93 yards, 35 carries for 165 yards, 6 yards per touch, Two TDs.

If you listened to our weekly podcast you heard me talk about a possible narrative between Kyle Allen and Kyler Murray. Kyle Allen is drawing the start and honestly I think this is the best situation to increase CMC’s ceiling. Cam Newton has just not been good and now with Allen starting it makes me love CMC and his heavy usage even more.

Week Three Lock:

Ezekiel Elliott ($8800 FD|$8900 DK): 61% Snap Share, 36 carries for 164 rushing yards, 4 targets, 3 receptions, Two TDs.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Kenny Golladay (DET) ($7000 FD|$6600 DK)

99% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 12 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

The Philadelphia Eagles are depleted on both sides of the football, namely their secondary and receiving core. Kenny Golladay, among other Detroit receivers I will include in the lower tier, all have great matchups. The Eagles are giving up 340 yards per game through the air in the first two games and somehow made Case Keenum look like a rock star.

NFL DFS RB: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($7600 FD|$7200 DK)

78% Snap Share. 13 Targets, 12 Receptions, 163 receiving yards, 29 carries, 124 rushing yards, Four TDs.

As I discussed with Keenan Allen above, Ekeler is a crucial part of the offense and I believe Rivers will continue to look his way in the passing game.

NFL DFS WR: Julian Edelman (NEP) ($6900 FD|$6300 DK)

95% Snap Share. 15 Targets, 10 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

The Patriots have decided to release Antonio Brown so we are back to our normal pecking order in New England. Julian Edelman is always a favorite for Tom Brady and he draws a great matchup against lowly Jets corner, Brian Poole.

NFL DFS WR: Sammy Watkins (KC) ($7100 FD|$6800 DK)

86% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 15 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Three TDs.

There are a lot of question marks with the Chiefs receivers and who to target. I think Sammy Watkins is your safest bet, although he will be chalk. I prefer Mecole Hardman in tournaments lining up against Ravens backup corner Anthony Averett.

NFL DFS WR: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6800 FD|$4600 DK)

47% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 16 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Mark Andrews is a sure catch if a ball is to come his way. He is Lamar Jackson’s go to guy but continues to deal with a nagging foot injury. I don’t believe he is in jeopardy of sitting, but should be monitored leading up to lock. I like Andrew’s to continue his dominant start to the season against a K.C .linebacker core who hasn’t been tested with an elite tight end, or offense for that matter.

NFL DFS WR: Marquise Brown (BAL) ($6100 FD|$5900 DK)

40% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 12 Receptions, 19 yards per reception, Two TDs.

I honestly believe there is no one on the Kansas City defense that can cover Marquise Brown. They are going to double team Brown but I don’t think it’s going to last long with Lamar Jackson pumping throws to Mark Andrews. As soon as K.C. brings Honey Badger in to defend the middle and relax double coverage on Brown, he will gash them with a huge catch. If the Ravens defend the pass rush effectively this is what I expect will happen.

Low Tier

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($6300 FD|$5200 DK)

100% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 13 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TD.

I went to the Ravens game last Sunday cause I had never seen the Cardinals in person and one of my bucket list goals is to see some of these Hall of Fame players before they retire, one of them being Larry Fitzgerald. Kyler Murray was actually really calm in the pocket and I think he handled himself well in Baltimore against a ferocious defense. Fitz is seeing the third most targets in the NFL after two games.

NFL DFS WR: DK Metcalf (SEA) ($5900 FD|$4400 DK)

87% Snap Share. 13 Targets, 7 Receptions, 21 yards per reception, One TD.

Looks to me like there is a new WR star in Seattle, but you know, he had a slow three cone shuttle time so he can’t be an elite NFL receiver (sarcasm).

NFL DFS WR: Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) ($5400 FD|$5000 DK)

89% Snap Share. 10 Targets, 9 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

I like Marvin Jones Jr. as a pivot off of Golladay in tournaments. He always has a couple big games a year and this could be one of them against a depleted Eagles secondary.

NFL DFS WR: Nelson Agholor (PHI) ($4800 FD|$3600 DK)

90% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 10 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, One TD.

Nelson Agholor will be highly owned and should be considered for cash games. He is way too cheap on DK and if Alshon Jeffrey plays on Sunday that should draw Darius Slay coverage. I’m not crazy about the play but he should see even more targets with all the injuries to their receivers.

NFL DFS WR: Christian Kirk (ARI) ($5900 FD|$5000 DK)

95% Snap Share. 20 Targets, 10 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS TE: Greg Olsen (CAR) ($6100 FD|$3700 DK)

86% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 10 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

Kyle Allen looks comfortable throwing the ball anywhere so I don’t believe this is a situation where he will be limited to short/intermediate passes although Olsen and McCaffrey do provide a nice security blanket against a heavy pass rush.

NFL DFS TE: T.J. Hockenson (DET) ($5500 FD|$3500 DK)

76% Snap Share. 12 Targets, 7 Receptions, 20 yards per reception, One TD.

The Eagles got smoked by old man Vernon Davis so I really like the Hockenson play, particularly on DK because he is so cheap. This is my darkhorse sleeper of the week, he is barely attracting any ownership at all and had a monster game week one.

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6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Three Running Back Breakdown

Daniel Wehr 6 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide NFL DFS running back options for the Week Three 13-game main slate. Running backs will be broken down into three tiers, high, mid, and low. I will also include punt plays.

High Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

Whatever is going on with Cam Newton this season has clearly resulted in an uptick in usage for Christian McCaffrey. CMC has a 100% snap share, averages 17 carries per game, seven targets per game, and has two touchdowns already this season. Tampa was able to catch the Panthers on a short week (Thursday Night Football) and nullify CMC’s effectiveness in the offense. I’m going to say this is an outlier because four days prior CMC carried the ball 19 times for 128 yards and two touchdowns. He also had 10 receptions for 81 yards. You go ahead and do all that work and let me know how you feel on Thursday night. The Panthers will face the Arizona Cardinals who are allowing 149 rushing yards per game (29th) and 307 passing yards per game (27th).

NFL DFS Running Back: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9100 DK)

Here we are in Week Three and Saquon Barkley is on the slate so we’re going to talk about him! I see a lot of people on the Tampa Bay defense going into Sunday so far and I’m not sure the Giants are the team you want to pick on with the best running back in the league toting the football. Barkley is a Top Five back when it comes to snap share (88%), targets (6.5 per game), rushing yards per game (114), and yards per carry (6.8). I believe Daniel Jones will manage the game better than most would think and the Giants will most certainly continue to lean on their star RB with limited weapons across the offense. The Giants have one of the best offensive lines in football so Tampa is in for quite a task on Sunday.

NFL DFS Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) ($8900 FD|$8800 DK)

I will start out by saying yes, I do love the matchup here against the Dolphins. The Dolphins rank dead last against the run through two weeks (195 YPG) and rank 28th against the pass (316 YPG). We have to make a decision every week to attack or fade against Miami because they are so bad and are going to attract a lot of ownership. My main concern is the Cowboys run the score up quickly and choose to preserve their starters for another day. You should know that going into this. Yes, Elliott is a premier RB play on Sunday, and yes there is also possibility he doesn’t pay off his hefty price tag just because of the blowout potential (Sony Michel). I will be looking to the two players listed above who should have more prevalence in their respective offenses.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Marlon Mack (IND) ($7000 FD|$5800 DK)

Marlon Mack has been getting a ton of work through two games this season. He is averaging 23 carries per game on one of the most fast paced offenses in the league. Atlanta isn’t so great on run defense and I actually think they are worse than advertised having only played two games. Dalvin Cook was able to make minced meat of their defense, rushing 21 times for 111 yards and a pair of TD’s. I think Mack is fairly comparable to Cook and should continue to be run as their every down workhorse back. Do keep an eye on his status (calf injury),

NFL DFS Running Back: Chris Carson (SEA) ($7000 FD|$5900 DK)

I think Chris Carson is a guy that may go overlooked this week. His numbers are not gaudy by any means but the Saints have allowed almost 150 rushing yards per game through two games this season against teams who aren’t exactly loaded with running back talent. With no Drew Brees in the mix, the Saints could be in for a very long day if they have issues with turnovers. Also factor in the home advantage for the Seahawks, I can easily see them getting ahead early and controlling all four quarters of the game.

NFL DFS Running Back: Mar Ingram (BAL) ($7000 FD|$5700 DK)

It is slim pickings for mid-tier running backs this week and Mark Ingram will round out those plays. I have to question his workload if the Ravens are not able to establish an effective rushing attack against the Chiefs. If Ingram is not able to dominate early as he did the Miami game, the Ravens will turn to any means necessary and that means it’s the Lamar Jackson show. Ingram saw a similar fate last Sunday against the Cardinals, where he carried 13 times for 47 yards, paving the way for Lamar to utilize his incredible speed and agility and amass 120 yards over 16 carries. Keep Ingram in mind but tread lightly.

Low Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Frank Gore (BUF) ($5700 FD|$4400 DK)

Devin Singletary worked out pretty well for me last week but he is questionable going into Sunday against the Bengals. This play is based purely on workload so we will need to monitor Singletary’s status. If he does end up limited on Sunday, Gore would be the one to benefit against an awful Cincinnati defense that allows 170 rushing yards per game. If Singletary has no limitations going into Sunday, he is also to be considered.

NFL DFS Running Back: Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($6200 FD|$4900 DK)

Devonta Freeman is only averaging 2.2 YPC through two games this year. He will need to get going if he does not want to see some of his workload go to Ito Smith. The Falcons will need to have an effective run game this week if they stand a chance. The Colts have a very young and talented secondary. If Atlanta is not able to keep the defense on their toes we could see a very low score total from what is considered to be a high powered offense.

Punts: I recommend you not spend any lower than Frank Gore on both sites.

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