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MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 05/26/2020

Joshua Moore
written by Joshua Moore

KBO Matchups

KIA @ KTW

LG @ HAN

SK @ DOO

SAM @ LOT

KIW @ NCD

Kings of the Hill

Chang Mo Koo (L), NCD ($9,600 DK / $26 FD)

If Koo wasn’t playing KIW he’d be the lock of the KBO slate. Nonetheless, the NCD southpaw is an elite target tonight. 3 games into the KBO season, there’s an argument to be made that he has been the best pitcher in the league: 22IP posting a 2-0 record, 0.41 ERA, 1.69 FIP, 0.55 WHIP, 32.9% strikeout rate, 5.3% walk rate, and 0 homeruns allowed. He has thrown at least 90 pitches in every game this season and has posted 3 straight quality starts. Koo did shut down the Doosan offense, allowing only 1 run on 2 hits and a walk. Yes, Doosan’s power hitters are lefties, which pose for a bigger challenge to get hits on Koo, but it was impressive nonetheless. KIW does have a lot of pop off the bat and are predominately righty, with sluggers Byung-Ho Park and Ha-Seong Kim being two of the best in the league, but have their work cut out for them tonight.

Chris Flexen (R), DOO ($8,700 DK / $27 FD)

Another elite target on the KBO slate comes at a premium,but it definitely worth paying up for. Flexen comes into tonight’s matchup ranking4th in the KBO in K% at 28.2% and faces a SK team that has struggled to gettheir bats going, albeit have been much better in the last few. Another pitcherwith a long leash, Flexen has posted pitch counts of 94, 108, and 108. Look fora clean outing for the Doosan ace.

Tyler Wilson (R), LG ($7,600 DK / $26 FD)

Coming off a great 2019 KBO campaign, Tyler Wilson hassettled down in his last two starts after a rough first outing for the Twins. Myreal interest for Wilson on tonight’s KBO slate comes due to his matchupagainst the Hanwha Eagles. We’ve said it time and time again that this is oneof the worst-hitting teams in the KBO and we love to pick on them. Wilson hasn’ttopped 100 pitches yet this season so do not expect that to change tonight, butfor his price on DK, you can’t go wrong.

GPP options: Dan Straily (R), LOT, Drew Gagnon (R), KIA

The Batter’s Box

DOO

I had Doosan in almost every one of my lineups onSaturday so naturally I had to watch them obliterate David Buchanan… ugh.Doosan mustered a whopping 0 runs, but had ample opportunity to light him upwith their 11 hits and still looked to be the best offense in the KBO. Tonight,they face Jong Hoon Park, a righty who has given up 8, 6, and 6 hits in his 3starts this season, including 8 to a mediocre Hanwha lineup. He’s alsostruggled with his command, giving up multiple free passes in his last twostarts. Look for Doo to explode tonight against Park and the worst bullpen inthe KBO.

Top options: anyone from this lineup is playable, from1-9

LG

My GPP stack of the day, LG is a very interesting play on tonight’s KBO slate because of the level of uncertainty surrounding Hanwha’s starter, Chad Bell. Bell is coming off the DL to make his first start of the 2020 campaign after dealing with an elbow injury on his throwing arm (the left). Yes, the lefty on lefty matchup does not bode well for Roberto Ramos or Hyun Soo Kim, but I am banking on Bell getting the hook early on after only throwing 43 pitches in two innings in his most recent rehab start. If LG sees the Hanwha bullpen for most of the game, look out.

Top Options: Roberto Ramos (1B), Hyun Soo Kim (OF),Eun Sung Chae (OF), Min Sung Kim (3B), Chun Woong Lee (OF)

Honorable Mention: NCD

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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MLB

MLB SEASON LONG DRAFT PREVIEW 2020: TOP BASEBALL DRAFT PICKS

written by

Catchers

Catchers are an integral piece of your MLB season long draft. The drop off between each tier could be drastic but I always lean to pay down at Catcher and try my best to find a gem later in drafts. Then back them up with a high upside player that fell to the end of the draft. Here are the 3 guys I’m targeting at the Catcher spot.

If I’m reaching for the top catcher I’m targeting Gary Sanchez and his power numbers in a great hitters park. Sanchez has more upside due to his power and the lineup that surrounds him than any other catcher so we have in the top spot! I prefer to pay down at catcher but there is reason to secure Sanchez. He hit 34 home runs in an injury plagued season where he only played 106 games. Injuries are always the risk with Sanchez but if he can find a way to play in 130+ games we could be looking at 40 home run 100 rbi season out of this backstop.

A player I will try my best to get later in the draft is the sophomore Will Smith from the Los Angeles Dodgers. This Dodgers offense is scary good and Will Smith is young and should be in the upper tier of games started at the Catcher position. Smith hit 15 home runs in only 170 at bats which could have him on his way to a 30 home run season in 2020 which is a great place to land a mid round catcher.

At the end of your drafts Sean Murphy is the guy to target. He has power and the Oakland offense will be doing damage in the AL West this year. He is a great steal at the end of drafts. Murphy only had 53 at bats when he got called up last year but showed solid power with 4 home runs in his short stint. Give him a full year behind the plate and lets see if he can push for 20+ home runs and become a late draft steal.

First Baseman

You want power from your first baseman and we got a stacked field to choose from going into our 2020 MLB Season Long Drafts. It looks like most of the great 1b reside in the National League so lets see who landed in the top spot of the Win Daily Consensus rankings at 1b.

Cody Bellinger had a massive season last year and it will only get better this year with the addition of Mookie Betts in that Dodger lineup. The Dodgers have officially turned into the Yankees of the National League with their aggressive off season moves and spending habits. Bellinger gives you power, average, and speed which is the reason we landed him in the top spot. But 1b is stacked and we love the consistency that Freeman provides and the power that Alonso gives.

Anthony Rizzo is falling further and further down draft boards after a slightly down season in 2019. If he falls low enough in your drafts, have the confidence to scoop him up. We think Rizzo is a steal at his current ADP and we want to take it him if he falls to you.

I’m going to give you a sleeper pick that didn’t make our top 15. That pick is Joey Votto and he is my sleeper pick to grab late in drafts. Votto was Mr. consistency for the past 10 years and after down seasons the last 2 years his numbers and draft stock has plummeted. I believe his motivation was down playing on a team that consistently had nothing to play for and he was playing uninspired baseball. But with the offseason moves the Reds made to put themselves in contention I see a resurgent year coming from Votto.

Second Baseman

There was a day where second baseman didn’t hit for power, but now a days you need power from every position. We have a tie at the top spot in my eyes with some nice value later in the drafts.

If you’re trying to land the best 2b take your pick from Gleybor Torres or Ozzie Albies. I lean Gleybor Torres overall as the better play with his massive power in the middle of the infield but if your building for speed Albies could be your man. Either way I believe you’re safe and we predict even better numbers in 2020. On a side note I like the futures bet of Gleybor Torres to win the AL MVP. I seen him as high as +1600 to win the award earlier in the year but some smart money has come in so the odds may have lowered by the time you’re reading this.

Lets switch it up and provide a fade spot in your drafts. As much as I liked Jose Altuve as a hitter and overall player I’m hitting the avoid button in drafts. I will take my shots in DFS but I think the pressure of questions and the stress of the scandal will be too much. I’m avoiding all these Astros in my season long drafts and I think you should do the same. They will be pitched differently now, fans will be constant heckling them, and the media will ask them 1000 questions everyday. As soon as their first slump comes the questions will get harder to answer and as athletes they will start questioning themself. Out of all the Astros, I think Altuve is the most polished professional but I will only draft him in spots where he falls several rounds below his ADP.

There are 2 guys I like at the bottom of drafts and thats Mike Moustakas and Cavan Biggio. They both have power, play in hitters parks, and are surrounded by solid lineups. They will provide home run, rbi, and run upside. They are both buy low candidates, so if you find yourself at the second half of your drafts without a 2b feel confident in grabbing either of these 2 guys.

Third Baseman

The hot corner is not full of names I love. I believe it to be either a pay up spot if you can get Nolan Arenado or a pay down spot where I feel better fading guys like Anthony Rendon and Jose Ramirez and landing at the mid or lower tier of the draft boards.

Too bad we don’t get points for web gems because Nolan Arenado would be the league leader in that category as well. He is a 5 tool stud and is the best 3b in the league and the best on the draft board. The only blemish he currently carries going into this season is if he gets traded off the Rockies and has to play his home games out of Coors Field. If he stays put I don’t see anyone else competing with his power numbers at 3b and I expect another 40 homer 100rbi season out of Nolan.

The sexy pick of the 3b class will be Vlad Guerrero Jr, but I think he will go ahead of where I would want to grab him because every draft has that one guy who just has to say he has Vlad. I’m going to slide down to a guy I think you can get later with just as much upside. The man I’m targeting is Yoan Moncada. Coming off a 25 homer 79 rbi 315 batting average season I think Moncada builds off that and pushes over 30 homers and finds away to get to 100 rbis if he gets up to 150 games played. The white sox lineup got better and I think Moncada helps lead the charge.

Eugenio Suarez is the guy you want in the mid tier. He rather quietly hit 49 homers in 2019. Yes you heard it right 49 homers and this guy is still going later in drafts than his counterparts. Barring any injury I don’t see a decline coming and this Reds lineup looks official. They made offseason moves and got a ton of young talent to build off a good season last year. They play in a hitters park and the numbers will be there for Suarez in 2020. On a side note lock in a futures bet for the reds to surpass their Vegas win total of 82.5 wins.

Shortstop

Back in the day I was SS myself and I got on the field for my glove but the game has changed. Years ago it was a defensive position but now it’s just another roster spot that you need to fill with power or speed.

It’s Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story at the top and I’m fine with either. If you’re leaning more on power for your roster I would lean Story and if your building for speed and runs scored go with Lindor. We talked up Gleybor Torres in the 2b category so I wont talk about him here as much but I’m very high on Torres across the board and dual eligibility makes him a prime target for both positions.

Let’s talk about two fade spots I like to avoid in season long drafts. Number one is Alex Bregman and for the most part all Astros players. The other guy is Trea Turner. Due to the injury risk and his current ADP I will be fading him and I believe you should do the same.

I like young talent and guys with upside as my value targets late in drafts and the SS I’ll be targeting is Bo Bichette. The kid came up last year and provided power, average, and speed. 11 home runs, 21 rbis, 32 runs scored, and 4 stolen bases in 196 at bats with a 311 batting average works for me. Over a season that would lead to all star caliber numbers that can land him as a top 10 fantasy producer and way above his current adp.

Outfielders

The Outfield is as stacked as our current roster of DFS pros and sports bettors at Win Daily. The talent pool is enormous and we are going to highlight our favorite plays in the outfield.

Can you go wrong with Trout or Acuna as your number 1 pick? no. Should you overthink things? no. Should you draft Mr. Consistency Mike Trout if you have the number 1 pick YES. Acuna is great and he will put up massive numbers this year again but to play things safe go with Trout overall as your number 1. Follow Trout with Acuna then Bellinger, Yelich, and Betts. That’s how we round out our top 5.

You can see our top 40 list but we are here to showcase our favorite targets in the mid range and towards the later part of your drafts. A guy all of our staff members are targeting is Nick Castellanos of the Cincinnati Reds. We are high on the Reds and all things that take place in one of the best hitting environments in baseball. Most projection models have him close to the 30th ranked outfielder and we think he has the potential to finish the year in the top 20.

At the bottom of our top 40 is Kyle Schwarber. When taking late round draft picks we want upside and we get it with Schwarber. The dude is a monster with a ton of power. The upside potential to shoot up the outfield rankings is massive and I believe the Cubs lineup in general is being slept on. So if Schwarber is around late in drafts give the man a shot.

Starting Pitcher

Starting pitching is the most important of all the positions to draft right in my eyes. The top end talent is high and you need to avoid mistakes and stay away from the injuries which are already running ramped this offseason.

This may be a homer pick but I will take my shot with deGrom over Cole in my rankings at Starting Pitcher as the number 1 pitcher on the board. You will get a better era with deGrom but more wins with Cole if the past has anything to say to what the future holds. We do think that deGrom has some win upside compared to last year and the Mets will find a way to score runs behind him and save games for him. 

Walker Buehler is my target if I’m sitting in the right draft position to scoop him. The Dodgers are going to win over 100 games this season and I believe Buehler will be responsible for at least 20 of those wins. He is young, has enormous K upside, and should be locking down wins for you every week of the season. Feel free to slide him up your draft boards before the public takes notice of his talent.

Jose Berrios will be a top 20 starter by seasons end. Other sites have him outside of 20 in the low 30s but we think he is a steal at that ADP. Berrios eclipsed the 200 inning mark and struck out 195 batters last year finishing with 14 wins in a 32 start season. With the addition of some talent to the Minnesota roster we should see an uptick in wins and adding another year of experience to his belt should improve on his stellar 2019 season.

[mlbseasonal]

Join Our Discord Private Chat!

We, the Win Daily team, have recently made an in-house upgrade from Slack to Discord to support our growing online community of players. While Slack is a great tool for small groups, Discord is a match made in heaven for us.

Discord is essentially a ‘by gamers for gamers’ platform that boasts an online community of over a hundred and thirty million registered users, covering all types of games.

Since we made the shift to Discord, we have been adding new features like categorizing Win Daily posts into their respective channels, a two-step account linking process that can be accessed from both the website and the Discord app, and a dedicated Monkey Knife fight channel for all members.

Check out a recent member of our discord channel here describe what happens when you join our private discord chat!

How to join Discord:

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MLB

Isaiahs Protocol: Part 1: A Tutorial For Playing MLB DFS

DFSGhost
written by DFSGhost

While the rise of the coronavirus pandemic has canceled most of our sports for the upcoming weeks, all is not lost. I’ve chosen to use this time to write a series of articles geared toward beginners and first-time players of daily fantasy baseball. On Thursday (March 12, 2020) MLB announced that opening day would be pushed back “at least 2 weeks”. This gives us plenty of time to discuss some key components involved in WinDaily playing MLB DFS.

There are many different statistics and strategies to use while researching the ideal MLB DFS roster. I’ve chosen to keep this series more standard as to not overwhelm beginners with too much information at once. As always, I encourage all of my readers to join the staff at WinDaily in the Discord chat rooms. Prior to the opening day, we will break down and discuss some of the intriguing players in more depth.

  • Part 1: Finding the Pitchers
  • Part 2: Identifying Offenses
  • Part 3: Leagues, Stadiums, and Stacking
  • Part 4: Roster Construction
  • Part 5: Wrapping It Up and Bankroll Management for a Long Season

I know we are all anxious to get the season started but I have to briefly discuss 2 things that most MLB DFS players will mention right off the bat (corny pun intended). As is the case in most DFS sports, it is imperative that you are near a computer or smartphone in the minutes prior to lock. In MLB coaches are required to release their starting lineups before the beginning of each game. Nobody likes getting stuck with a player on their roster that turns in 0 fantasy points because they were scratched due to rest, or injury purposes. In MLB, the weather is also a major concern worth monitoring closely.

The other thing I feel obligated to mention is the rules and scoring. It may seem evident, but players must understand the rules and scoring systems in place on the different DFS sites. When watching or playing baseball, getting hits and having a pitcher limit the opposing teams runs, is how to win. While helpful, this is not always the case in MLB DFS. Getting on base and how hard each player hits the ball becomes more important when choosing batters. How many strikeouts, and how many innings a pitcher pitches are also important factors to consider when choosing a pitcher. Just like any game, it’s important to know the rules before you begin.

Part 1: Finding the Pitchers

Finding the right pitchers isthe single most important part to playing MLB DFS. Pitchers generally carry thelargest portion of points on your roster while also being the best places tofind opposing batters.

Pitchers get their statistics over an average of 30-35 games (or 200 innings) while pitching once every 5 games for the most part. Hitters get their statistics over an average of 4-5 at-bats per game, across a 162 game season. Batters also face a different pitcher every game. You should have a good idea of how good a pitcher is regardless of the team he’s facing. These scenarios leave a much higher variance for batters than pitchers. Simply put, don’t pay down for a pitcher. It’s the single best way to lose money playing MLB DFS. You may have to pay a ridiculous salary for the top pitchers and there is a good reason for that.

Las Vegas odds are a good place to start when searching for a starting pitcher. When a team is heavily favored with a total (runs scored) of less than 7, they should have a solid pitcher on the mound that night (for example a 5-1 or 4-1 predicted outcome). Starting pitchers that are expected to only give up a run or 2, should be allowed to pitch 6 innings or more in that game. If he’s only allowing that many runs, there’s also a good chance that the pitcher is striking out numerous batters as well. These factors are all high scoring results for a pitcher in MLB DFS.

There are also some statistics to look for when researching pitchers for your roster. K% is how often a pitcher strikes out the batter he’s facing. OPP K% is how often the opposing team strikes out. Strikeouts are a big factor in a starting pitchers fantasy score. Another statistic to consider is K/BB which is a pitchers strikeout to walk ratio. A great pitcher will have a K/BB ratio of 3 or higher, meaning he strikes out 3 batters (or more) for every walk he issues. If a pitcher is walking more batters than he’s striking out, that’s a strong indication that something is wrong. He’s probably either trying to hide an injury or may have something wrong with his mechanics. Either way, you don’t want him anywhere near your MLB DFS roster.

SIERA is another statistic I’d like to discuss. SIERA stands for skill-interactive earned run average. We are already aware that ERA (earned run average) is a statistic used to see how many runs a pitcher gives up per inning pitched. Over time we have learned that ERA doesn’t always give us the whole story. A pitcher can give up multiple hits and strand batters that never make it across the plate. A different pitcher may pitch well and not give up any hits or runners. Both will show a 0.00 ERA. SIERA is simply an advanced statistic that uses different factors. It takes into consideration other factors of a pitcher’s performance. Basically, SIERA allows us to see if pitchers that have gotten lucky, or may pitch in a pitcher-friendly stadium most of the time (like a home stadium), where home runs are harder to hit.

One last thing I’d like to mention is the league. If there’s ever a question you’re contemplating between 2 pitchers, always look for the National League stadium. If a pitcher is pitching in a National League stadium, the pitcher has to bat (no designated hitter). This automatically gives the opposing pitcher an advantage as pitchers are generally poor hitters and strikeout a lot.

I hope this was helpful in finding the right pitchers for your MLB DFS roster. It should also help us in finding the weaker pitchers, which I will attack in more depth in the next article of the series, Identifying Offenses. Please keep a lookout for it.

I highly encourage all readers to join myself, and the rest of the WinDaily team in the Discord chat rooms as we break down and discuss our favorite plays. Thank you for reading my content and feel free to leave a comment, or leave me a message on Twitter @IsaiahsProtocol.

GOOD LUCK AND HAVE FUN

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MLB

MLB Season-Long Coverage: Points Leagues: Part I

DFSGhost
written by DFSGhost

Welcome to Ghost’s first edition of MLB season-long coverage! Firstly, I’d like to start off by wishing the entire WinDaily community well during this tough time. While COVID-19 has been a terrifying force throughout the entire world, the entire staff over at WinDaily wishes nothing but the best for you and your loved ones. Be safe everyone!

I will be beginning with my coverage of season-long MLB points leagues in the first of two 5-part series’, later moving on to categories’ leagues. The differences between the two are numerous, but I will break it down as much as I can: points leagues are more volume-based whereas categories leagues involve more strategy. The former is typically all about how many games your pitching staff plays in a given week, in addition to having the more prolific batting performance that given week, thus accumulating more points for your team in your head-to-head (H2H) matchup. The latter is typically nine “mini-matchups” in a battle for winning the most categories by outscoring your opponent in a given statistic, and thus involving more strategy on draft day, which we will further develop in the second 5-part series.

The MLB points league 5-part series will be broken down as followed: OverallStrategy, Players to Target & Players to Avoid, Draft Preview: Top ofRound, Draft Preview: Middle of Round, Draft Preview: End of Round. Enjoy!

Overall MLB Strategy

My overall recommendation for MLB points leagues is straightforward and can be applied to any draft position that you may find yourself in. I have been using this draft strategy through my three years in season-long leagues and have won the championship in all three seasons (weird flex, I know) and it has proven to be crucial to a good start out of the gate throughout opening weeks. Baseball is one of the sports where I change my roster the most, with a few of my drafted batters consistently disappointing me and a few undrafted gems finding themselves on the waiver wire early on. Here are my keynotes:

  • Draft pitchers early and often!

My number one recommendation for MLB points leagues: bolster your pitching staff early and often! Pitching spots in these kinds of leagues are often broken down into two Starting Pitcher (SP) spots, two Relief Pitcher (RP) spots, and four Pitcher (P) spots where you can play both SPs and RPs. Make no mistake, starting pitchers are king in points leagues. Yes, they usually only pitch once per H2H matchup (or twice if you’re lucky enough for them to be starting on Monday or Tuesday), but they will accumulate the most points for your team throughout the season’s entirety if you don’t land a Mike Trout or Cody Bellinger at the top of the first round. I will get into further detail in each of the MLB draft previews as to where you should select which pitchers, but no, you do not pass on one of the five premier batters (Mike Trout, Ronald Acuña Jr., Cody Bellinger, Christian Yelich, and Mookie Betts) in favor of a premier pitcher. Ideally, I like to have 4 starting pitchers selected by the end of round 8 and at the latest by the end of round 10 if certain batters slip, locking down a safe floor of points on a weekly basis. In doing so, I leave myself room for reaches on batters (based on ADP) in the later rounds when everyone is scrambling for their pitchers. Lastly, I am not a fan of relief pitchers in my RP spots. I much prefer solidifying my pitching staff with dual-eligible pitchers who are starters in their respective rotations but are both SP and RP eligible, such as Tyler Glasnow and Carlos Carrasco.

  • Keep tabs on the MLB waiver wire

Just like in every other season-long sport, the MLB waiver wire could be a differentiator in your final standing when the season comes to an end. Those that stay active are often the first ones to grab someone that is off to a hot start or on a hot streak and could ride it out for more H2H wins or use that player as trade bait. I wouldn’t recommend jumping the gun on a certain player who has one multi-homerun game with a sub .250 average in his last ten games, but someone that is having strong contact on a consistent basis and plays in a “hitter’s park” is a guy you would want to keep an eye on. Lastly, specifically in MLB H2H points leagues, a bench spot reserved for waiver wire pickups is useful, if you can afford to have it. It comes in handy should one of your bats be on a cold streak and you want to replace him for someone hitting in Coors Field, for example, or if you want to stream a pitcher to either get ahead in the matchup at the beginning of the week or play catch up at the end of the week.

  • Do NOT getemotionally attached to a player!

I personally try my best to avoid drafting MLB players from my favorite team, as it is likely the source of your emotional attachment to an underperforming player on your roster. However, should your favorite team by the Yankees, it’s kind of tough to justify not drafting players of the likes of Gerrit Cole, DJ LeMahieu, and Gleyber Torres, amongst others such as Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, so I am not completely opposed to it, but I try my hardest not to because it makes trading them or dropping them a lot harder. Obviously, you would not drop one of the players I have listed above, maybe Judge or Stanton if anyone, but allow me to elaborate: do not be afraid to drop someone that you took in rounds 5-15 should they be underperforming. The MLB is surely going to have a shortened season, so do not allow yourself to get emotionally attached to a player because you had high expectations for them heading into your drafts. Lastly, just like we recommend for MLB DFS, I like to hedge in positions where I reached for a player that I have high expectations for. For example, at the shortstop position, second-year pro-Bo Bichette of the Toronto Blue Jays is poised to build on his MLB rookie campaign. However, should I reach for Bichette in either earlier rounds than his ADP or simply reach for him in terms of his ceiling because of my lofty expectations, I would recommend hedging with a second shortstop with a safer floor such as Paul DeJong of the St. Louis Cardinals. While DeJong does not offer the same flash as Bichette, he has top 100 upside with a floor in the 150-175 range for ranked players in points leagues.

Make sure to follow me on twitter @DFS_Ghost and stay tuned for morecontent!

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MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 05/23/2020

Christopher Day
written by Christopher Day

KBO Matchups

KTW @ LG

HAN @ NCD

KIA @ SK

DOO @ SAM

KIW @ LOT

Kings of the KBO Hill

Eric Jokisch (L), KIW

The KIW southpaw import is surprisingly coming in atlower ownership than expected at the time of writing and makes for an eliteplay on today’s KBO slate. Jokisch comes in with a 2-0 record, 0.53 ERA, 0.71WHIP and 14 Ks across 17 innings of work. The statistics are stellar, as is thematchup; aside from last game, LOT’s bats have seemed to have cooled off andhave struck out 106 times on the season, good for 6th-most in the KBO.

Drew Rucinski (R), NCD

Another elite KBO arm at the top end of the pricing range, Rucinski faces a Hanwha squad that cannot seem to muster any offence, ranking 8th in slugging percentage (.365) and OBP (.323). With his powerful offence behind him, Rucinski will be a lock for a win and with his high pitch counts 3 games into the KBO season, a strong candidate for a QS and some Ks.

GPP options: Aaron Brooks (R), KIA and Raul Alcantara (R), DOO

KBO Batter’s Box

KIW

LOT is putting In Bok Lee on the mound to start the game as an opener in what should be a bullpen game for the Giants. Bullpens are terrible in the KBO, and the KIW offence has come alive lately, scoring 39 runs in their last 5 games. If Byung-Ho Park can get back to his power hitting ways, KIW can easily be the top scoring stack tonight. Look for an injury update on Ha Seong Kim (SS) who is nursing an ankle injury, but travelled with the team and is expected back in the lineup either tonight or tomorrow.

Top options: Byung-Ho Park (1B), Keon Chang Seo (1B/2B), JungHoo Lee (OF), Dong Won Park (C), Ha Seong Kim (SS)

DOO

We nailed this call yesterday with DOO lighting up Samsung for 12 runs behind Jose Fernandez and his 6 RBIs. They’re in another great spot tonight versus Samsung, who is putting Dae Woo Kim on the mound to open up an expected bullpen game. With Jae-Il Oh still sidelined, their stack is relatively affordable on DK aside from Jose Fernandez and Jae Hwan Kim.

Top options: anyone from this lineup is playable, from1-9

LG

Another KBO slate, another day where Roberto Ramos and Eun Sung Chae are priced ridiculously low. With Min Kim on the mound for KTW, who has struggled with the deep ball, both Roberto Ramos and Hyun Soo Kim get their favorited lefty vs righty split and could go yard. Lock and load.

Top Options: Roberto Ramos (1B), Hyun Soo Kim (OF),Eun Sung Chae (OF), Min Sung Kim (3B), Chun Woong Lee (OF)

Honorable Mention: NCD

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 05/22/2020

Christopher Day
written by Christopher Day

KBO Matchups

HAN @ NCD (-190)

KIA (-240) @ SK

KTW @ LG (-150)

DOO (-180) @ SAM

KIW (-190) @ LOT

Kings of the Hill

Jake Brigham (R), KIW – $8,400 DK / $24 FD

One of the KBO’s aces is about to turn the cornertonight. Posting an 0-1 record, 4.15 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, Brigham’s statisticsearly on don’t exactly jump off the page. What entices me to go back to himtonight is his 20% strikeout rate and amazing matchup versus a slumping LOTteam that couldn’t seem to muster a hit versus a miserable KIA pitcheryesterday. LOT’s batters are frustrated and seem to be swinging at almosteverything, lock Brigham with confidence.

Hyun Jong Yang (L), KIA – $9,000 DK / $27 FD

Arguably the best pitcher in the KBO, Hyun Jong Yang has found his groove in his last two starts. After a miserable opening day outing, which is his notorious for, Yang has back to back wins, quality starts, and an increasing pitch count and strikeouts. He showed his stuff versus Doosan last game, finding the strike zone with ease and taming the lethal Bears lineup. Look for a repeat performance tonight versus SK, whose entire lineup seems to be in a funk.

GPP options: Odrisamer Despaigne (R), KTW and Warwick Saupold (R), HAN

Notes

Much better pitching options on tonight’s KBO slatethan there were yesterday. I’m pretty much locked in with the top two optionslisted here, but Despaigne makes for a great GPP option should his ownership belower than the other two. Look for updates in Discord.

The Batter’s Box

KIA

I have a feeling that this will be one of those “why did I not cash? Oh, because I faded Preston Tucker” KBO slates. SK is due to start Joo Han Kim as an opener in what will be a bullpen game for the home squad. In 0.3IP across 3 games, Kim has allowed 5 hits, 5 ER and 3 walks, posting an ERA of… 45. If the Tigers can get to him early and often, they’ll be able to smash for 9 innings given that SK’s bullpen is one of the worst in the KBO in terms of both walk and home run percentages.

Top options: Preston Tucker (OF), Ji Wan Na (OF), Sun Bin Kim(SS), Chan Ho Park (3B/SS), Hyung Woo Choi (1B/OF)

DOO

Prices still up? Check. One of their star batters outto lower ownership? Check. Juicy matchup? Also, check. I’m loving DOO at lowownership tonight because of how mightily Ben Lively struggles versus lefties: hisstrikeout rate nearly cuts in half when facing lefty/righty splits and seems tolose control more often too. With DOO deploying 6 lefties in their lineup andtwo of the best right-handed contact bats in Jae-Ho Kim and Kun-Woo Park, I’mloving this DOO squad.

Top options: Jose Fernandez (1B/2B), Jae Hwan Kim(1B/OF), Kun-Woo Park (OF), Jae-Ho Kim (SS), Se Hyuk Park (C)

Honorable Mention Stack: KIW Heroes, NC Dinos

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 05/21/2020

Christopher Day
written by Christopher Day

KBO Matchups

HAN @ KTW

LG @ SAM

LOT @ KIA

NCD @ DOO

SK @ KIW

Pitching Primer

Hyeong Jun So, KTW ($7,500 DK / $25 FD)

The 18-year-old rookie is coming into his third startof his KBO career. Posting a 2-0 record on the season thus far, he’s carrying an8% strikeout percentage (yikes) but bolsters a tremendous 2% walk rate to go alongsidehis 3.18 ERA and 0 homeruns allowed. Am I listing him as the best pitcheravailable because of his strikeout rate? Absolutely not. But what he does haveis a great matchup: Hanwha is 5th in the KBO in total strikeouts as a team (98)so the opportunities will be there. In addition, So’s opponent ranks 8th in theKBO in OPB (.322) and OPS (.667). His price on both sites is affordable and I’mbanking on a QS and W for the rookie phenom.

Hyun-hee Han, KIW ($7,700 DK / $24 FD)

A pitcher I am not too excited about, Han is the best ofthe worst options on the KBO slate. His numbers thus far aren’t stellar: 4.09ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 4.12 FIP, and 6.1% walk rate, but his strikeout numbers (22.4%)are good enough for me to chase the upside versus a slumping SKW squad, whoalso just happen to lead the KBO in strikeouts (104) as a team.

GPP options: Min-ho Lee (LG), Seung-won Moon (SKW)

Notes

For the first time all season, none of the arms on the KBO slate stick out to me. There isn’t one with tremendous strikeout upside to offer a safe floor, nor do the ones in good matchups have the upside we like to exploit. Seung-won Moon is fairly interesting to me as a GPP option since he has the highest strikeout upside on the slate but faces a KIW lineup that can put up runs, but also seem to struggle at times, so who knows which one we will see tonight. Ownership seems to fairly spread out at the time of writing so look for some updates in Discord.

Batting Stacks

KTW

I’m hoping they come in lower owned than the previous two KBO slates with Ee Whan Kim’s numbers looking decent on the surface. However, the 19-year-old Hanwha pitcher has been extremely lucky, with both his two previous opponents, KIW and LOT, leaving a ton of batters on base; Kim is posting a stellar 1.64 ERA but has an inflated 4.3 FIP to showcase that. KTW comes in red hot and won’t let him get away with it in this one.

Top options: Baek-Ho Kang (1B/OF), Mel Rojas Jr. (OF), Woo Jun Sim(SS), Min Hyeok Kim (2B/OF), Jae Gyun Hwang (3B), Sun Woo Jang (C).

LOT

The preseason favorite to be one of the worst teams in the KBO came out of the gates flying, but have since stumbled, losing their past 3 games. Tonight, they get the juiciest matchup on the slate versus Ki Young Im, who has been an outright disaster: 0-2, 5.63 ERA, 10 HA in 7.3 innings. I like LOT’s chances at bouncing back tonight after being shut out yesterday.

Top options: Jun Woo Jean (OF), Ah Seop Son (OF), Dixon Machado(2B/SS), Dae Ho Lee (1B), Chi Hong An (2B)

LG

I love the Twins’ upside for HRs tonight just as much as I love their MLB counterpart’s during an MLB season. While Roberto Ramos is no Nelson Cruz, he is in the KBO, leading the league with 6 HRs and posts a stellar .395/.500/.907 slash line. Tae-in Won, the opposing pitcher, has been a dumpster fire early in the season, allowing 13 hits, 7 ER, 2 HR and 6 walks in his two starts to go along with a 5.73 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. This is probably my favorite 3-man stack on both sites tonight.

Top Options: Roberto Ramos (1B), Hyun Soo Kim (OF), Eun Sung Chae(OF)

Honorable Mention Stack: KIA Tigers

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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Sports Betting

MLB Team Totals

Michael Rasile
written by Michael Rasile

Alright Win Daily fam, let’s get ready for more futures and long plays to keep us engaged this baseball season. We’ll be looking at a few of the MLB team totals for the 2020 season where I think we can cash tickets.

National League – New York Mets Over 85.5

This might be a homer pick, this might be me knowingly going against conventional wisdom, but I think the New York Mets have a solid shot to win over their 85.5 team total this season. Last year the Mets led the National League with 27 blown saves and they were still able to win 86 games. How is it possible a team blows 27 saves? I have no idea.

The bullpen was terrible last year, but with Rookie of the Year, Pete Alonso, and back-to-back Cy Young award winning, Jacob deGrom, winning was still a possibility. I’m starting with the assumption that while Jake might not win Cy Young, and Pete won’t be in the MVP race, they will both play well. I’m also hoping that the pitching will normalize. We don’t like making bets where we are hoping, but as a Mets fan, all we do is hope. Their bullpen shouldn’t blow 27 saves again with the addition of Dellin Betances, Jeurys Familia losing 30 pounds of fat, and Edwin Diaz returning to his Seattle Mariners self.

Mickey Callaway is now gone and rightfully so, he was a very bad manager. I do not think he helped win a single game during his tenure, but I can guarantee that he helped lose a few. The loss of Zack Wheeler shouldn’t affect the team too much, considering he’s bad for one half of the year and great for the other, he averages out to an okay pitcher. Enter Marcus Stroman as his replacement.

The last piece of this puzzle is the forgotten man, Yoenis Cespedes. If he can contribute anything above zero as he has the last few seasons this will be a win. Pinch hitter, platoon player; literally anything can help because his bat is just that good. The Mets just need him to stop playing farmer.

There is a reason MLB team totals are hard to pin down. With all this in mind, I don’t think they blow this 85.5 number out of the water, but I do think they get there with a few games to spare.

American League – Minnesota Twins Over 91.5

Where I currently sit, this 91.5 number scares me. How could a 100 win team from a year prior that added Josh Donaldson to their lineup have such a low total? Sometimes we like to steer directly into these lines, especially when looking at MLB team totals because someone else knows something we don’t… But I can’t do it. 

The lineup is crazy long and crazy deep with 30 home runs guys all over it. The addition of Donaldson should pair very well with Miguel Sano, Max Kepler, and Nelson Cruz. The pitching leaves something to be desired, but I think Jose Berrios is a solid number 1 with additions like Rich Hill and Kenta Maeda being better than expected. They loaded up on a lot of C+ guys hoping to see who can make the jump to a B+ possibly and A- type pitcher. 

It also helps a lot that the Twins play in the AL Central. The Tiger and Royals will be duking it out to see who will lose 100 games first, giving the Twins nearly 40 easy opportunities to bring home the W. I personally think the White Sox will not improve as much as others think and the Indians, while always being somewhat “in it”, will be forced to trade Fransisco Lindor before the deadline. The Indians front office does not want to be in the position the Red Sox were this offseason with a much smaller return for a player that won’t sign an extension. The Indians also have no Trevor Bauer, who was solid with them last season, and no more Cory Kluber to lock down the rotation.

With the easy schedule and insane lineup the Twins can trot out, I think there is a great chance that they smash the 91.5 total and get close to 100 wins again in the 2020 season.

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Daily Fantasy Sports

9/16 Fantasy Podcast: The King and Our DFS Pro on QB Trades, Waivers and MNF Showdown

Scott Engel
written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Dan Wehr look at how to replace Drew Brees in seasonal leagues, talk waiver priorities and FAAB bids, plus they preview MNF DFS. They provide lineup recommendations for the Monday Showdown slate on the 9/16 Fantasy Podcast.

9/16 Fantasy Podcast: Replacing Drew Brees and Top Waiver Adds

Scott and Dan look at possible waiver and trade targets if you suddenly find yourself needing QB help. Plus, they also rank the priority adds at WR and RB and tell you how much to spend in FAAB.

9/16 Fantasy Podcast – Monday Showdown Picks

You just cannot get around using Odell Beckham Jr. tonight, and after pairing him with Baker Mayfield, that will drain a lot of your salary. But we have some good value plays for you,

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Thank you for listening to the 9/16 Fantasy Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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