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Baltimore Orioles

9/24 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

The last time I saw this many Top Guns in one night I was at the Movie Theater watching Tom Cruise. So, with Gorilla Biscuits “Start Today” playing in the background on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On theDefense

NoahSyndergaard vs. Miami Marlins

$8,200 FD / $9,000 DK

The Marlins have been red hot as of late, how hot? They arethird in wOBA over the last seven days. This scares me about as much as mydaughter Sam throwing a temper tantrum. They are still the Marlins, the same Marlinsteam that is striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs while being inthe bottom of the league in offense. Thor also has had his way all season with thefish with 12 strikeouts over 14 innings. Sometimes the best play is not alwaysthe best player and that is the case here on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate. Lock himin because Thor is going to bring the hammer tonight.

Max Scherzervs. Philadelphia Phillies

$10,600 FD / $11,000

This one was a struggle for me tonight. Gerrit Cole is the obvious cash cow but for the price I just feel that you can get close enough numbers from other starters, without paying the highest salary on the board.

Next was Mike Clevinger, easy matchup, seems great right? The White Sox are the number one team offensively over the last seven days, why take a chance this continues tonight? This leaves Max Scherzer on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate.

The Phillies are striking out 23.2 percent of the timeversus RHPs with a subpar .315 wOBA. Over the last seven days they have a wRC+of 65, which has little chance of climbing tonight in this matchup. Scherzerthis season facing the Phils has a 0.75 ERA over 12 innings while striking out19. Mad Max should go totally beyond the Terrordome tonight in this cakematchup.

MadisonBumgarner vs. Colorado Rockies

$8,600 FD / $8,200 DK

Looking for a high upside one-two punch on DK for this 9/24 MLB DFS slate? Well you just found the battle of the splits. The Rockies are 29^th in MLB on the road in offense while striking out 23.4 percent of the time versus LHPs. Meanwhile, Bumgarner’s home ERA is 2.80 versus his 5.29 ERA on the road. With splits both lining up here it feels like this one is a gift from stars at his price.

JeffHoffman vs. San Francisco Giants

$6,500 FD / $4,800 DK

I am sad to say there is no magic split here, Hoffman is generally just as bad outside of Colorado as he is in. But, for the price on DK it makes a strong argument for large field GPP play. The Giants are striking out 23.6 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low .303 wOBA. Over the last seven days they have generated a wRC+ of 63, which is embarrassing. Don’t expect miracles here on this 9/24 MLB DFS slate but it is reasonable to expect 12-to-18 fantasy points on DK.

Today’s Pitching Stats

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Max Scherzer	Nationals	10	7	166.1	12.61	1.73	0.87	40.60%	10.70%	2.81	2.92
Noah Syndergaard	Mets	10	8	185.2	9.02	2.33	1.07	47.60%	12.80%	4.22	3.93
Madison Bumgarner	Giants	9	9	200.2	8.7	1.84	1.21	35.80%	11.60%	3.86	4.34
Jeff Hoffman	Rockies	2	6	61.2	8.9	4.09	2.63	35.50%	23.40%	6.71	5.29

On the Attack

MitchKeller vs. Chicago Cubs

It feels like a Cubs kind of night. The last time Keller faced Chicago he allowed six earned runs over 4 1/3 innings. The Cubbies are on the ropes here, its basically win every game, or go home. Stack away!

Chicago Cubs vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Anthony Rizzo	457	12.30%	14.20%	0.86	4	0.418	0.551	0.969	0.406	152
Kris Bryant	505	10.10%	23.20%	0.44	3	0.37	0.495	0.866	0.366	126
Willson Contreras	309	9.10%	24.60%	0.37	1	0.346	0.513	0.859	0.358	120
Kyle Schwarber	470	11.90%	25.10%	0.47	2	0.338	0.538	0.876	0.358	120
David Bote	255	13.30%	24.70%	0.54	3	0.38	0.449	0.829	0.352	116
Jason Heyward	462	12.80%	17.30%	0.74	8	0.366	0.472	0.838	0.352	116
Nicholas Castellanos	536	5.80%	23.50%	0.25	2	0.323	0.493	0.816	0.34	109
Victor Caratini	214	10.30%	21.00%	0.49	1	0.346	0.457	0.803	0.339	108
Ian Happ	101	9.90%	22.80%	0.43	2	0.307	0.467	0.774	0.323	97
Robel Garcia	52	5.80%	40.40%	0.14	0	0.269	0.5	0.769	0.311	90
Jonathan Lucroy	216	9.70%	14.40%	0.68	0	0.333	0.378	0.711	0.31	93
Nico Hoerner	51	5.90%	13.70%	0.43	0	0.314	0.438	0.751	0.31	89
Ben Zobrist	134	10.40%	12.70%	0.82	0	0.351	0.342	0.693	0.306	86
Albert Almora Jr.	241	4.10%	16.20%	0.26	2	0.284	0.442	0.726	0.299	82
Addison Russell	167	6.60%	21.60%	0.31	2	0.301	0.404	0.705	0.298	81

Anthony Kay vs. Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles bats are very unpredictable but go off often.Kay has surrendered nine earned runs in his last 14 innings pitched. In a smallpark like Toronto I am going all in on O’s tonight.

Baltimore Orioles vs. LHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	wRC+
Hanser Alberto	224	2.70%	11.20%	0.24	2	0.415	0.537	0.952	0.402	151
Trey Mancini	215	10.20%	20.90%	0.49	0	0.367	0.545	0.913	0.377	135
Renato Nunez	217	6.50%	19.40%	0.33	0	0.327	0.51	0.837	0.345	113
Pedro Severino	155	6.50%	21.30%	0.3	0	0.323	0.49	0.812	0.339	109
Anthony Santander	145	4.80%	25.50%	0.19	1	0.31	0.5	0.81	0.336	107
D.J. Stewart	42	4.80%	14.30%	0.33	1	0.357	0.375	0.732	0.319	95
Jonathan Villar	243	6.60%	26.70%	0.25	9	0.311	0.435	0.746	0.314	93
Richie Martin Jr.	160	5.60%	21.90%	0.26	6	0.291	0.338	0.629	0.273	65
Rio Ruiz	73	5.50%	24.70%	0.22	0	0.292	0.343	0.635	0.273	65
Dwight Smith Jr.	109	8.30%	29.40%	0.28	3	0.275	0.347	0.622	0.268	62
Mark Trumbo	17	5.90%	17.60%	0.33	0	0.235	0.375	0.61	0.255	53
Mason Williams	10	10.00%	30.00%	0.33	1	0.3	0.222	0.522	0.243	45
Chance Sisco	24	12.50%	37.50%	0.33	0	0.292	0.105	0.397	0.219	28
Steve Wilkerson	127	5.50%	35.40%	0.16	0	0.236	0.228	0.464	0.212	23
Chris Davis	68	8.80%	44.10%	0.2	0	0.221	0.23	0.45	0.205	19

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick – Play These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Although Randal Grichuk has struggled this season versus Bundy going 1-for-9, he has picked it up as of late with three home runs over his last seven days. He is dialing in and I see no reason why that does not continue tonight. Over here for sure.

Trey Mancini is 2-for-2 this season off of Kay, and I know that is not much to go on. Right handed hitters are also batting .283 this season versus Kay, seems easy enough for Trey. Have I said over yet?

Madbum is facing a Rockies team tonight that strikes out a ton versus LHPs, and he has easily reached this number in both home starts this season facing the Rocks. Over, over, and over.

The Giants are a difficult team at times to rack up strikeouts against. Hoffman has a hard enough time against easy prey, I am going under here all the way.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Stacks: Winning Edge for September 1

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s eight-game main slate (10 games on DK). I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our Premium Gold DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB Stack: New York Yankees

vs. LHP Sean Manaea (COL): 6.00 Runs

Sean Manaea is back for his first start in the show since having surgery for a small tear in his shoulder. He doesn’t look to be on a pitch count, he threw seven scoreless innings while only allowing two hits in triple-A Las Vegas on Augugst 23rd. He comes into Yankee Stadium sporting a lofty .289 wOBA, .398 OBP, and .275 OBP against righties in 2018. If he were on a pitch count I would be more into the Yankees. Manaea had a good 2018 campaign and he is coming off eight days of rest. He also showed us in his latest minor league game he can pitch without restriction. The Yankees are slashing to a massive .434 wOBA, .325 ISO, and 175 WRC+ to lefties over the last month.

Preferred Stack:DJ LeMahieu ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), Aaron Judge ($4400 FD|$5200 DK), Gleyber Torres ($4000 FD|$4800 DK), and Gary Sanchez ($4000 FD|$4600 DK).

MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Wilmer Font (TOR): 5.90 Runs

The Astros continue to ride their strong hitting averages, slashing to a .402 wOBA, .250 ISO, and 158 WRC+ recently against righties. Wilmer Font maintains a 1.76 ERA in the month of August (15.1 IP). He does tend to struggle to left handed batting (.364 wOBA, .529 SLG). I’m not to crazy about any of the righties other than George Springer and Yuli Gurriel. The core lefties (Brantley, Springer) are my top plays in this lineup.

Preferred Stack: George Springer ($4200 FD|$5400 DK), Michael Brantley ($4000 FD|$4900 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4100 FD|$5700 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3700 FD|$5000 DK).

MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez (CWS): 5.75 Runs

I am really loving the Twins again right now. Spencer Turnbull does just enough to escape it seems. He is also sitting in front of one of the worst bullpens in baseball. The Twins have been surging against righties the last few weeks, boasting a .361 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .352 BABIP. This is an easy tournament play that may go overlooked and underplayed.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB Stack: Chicago Cubs

vs. LHP Gio Gonzalez (MIL): UPDATE

Preferred Plays: Kris Bryant ($3900 FD|$4400 DK), Nicholas Castellanos ($3200 FD|$4700 DK), Anthony Rizzo ($3900 FD|$5200 DK), and Ian Happ ($2600 FD|$4000 DK).

MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. LHP Danny Duffy (KCR): 4.50 Runs

Preferred Plays: Trey Mancini ($3600 FD|$4400 DK), Anthony Santander ($3000 FD|$4300 DK), Hanser Alberto ($2900 FD|$4100 DK), Jonathan Villar ($3600 FD|$5200 DK). Pedro Severino ($3700 DK).

Pitching

Patrick Corbin LHP (WSH): 3.00 Runs
Michael Pineda RHP (MIN): 3.75 Runs
Charlie Morton RHP (TAM): 3.50 Runs

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/22 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks

5 years ago

written by

Nine of Thursday’s games will be under the lights, so pay no mind to the happenings at Wrigley between the Giants and Cubs or the conclusion of the Royals at Red Sox matchup that was suspended on August 7. If you want to make the long green, the 8/22 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks is all about getting dirty after dark.

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8/22 DFS Hitting Catcher

Will Smith, C, LAD vs. TOR

DK ($4,600), FD ($3,800)

Normally, I’d suggest a bargain play behind the plate, but Smith has homered in each of the first two games of the series against the Blue Jays and comes into Thursday with six games of double-digit FanDuel points in his last seven starts. Smith has a 1.219 OPS while racking up 20 extra base hits among his first 28 professional hits. He’s also sporting a 10.2% walk rate and is making the most of his 51.6% hard contact rate by putting the ball in the air 54.8% of the time.

As vicious as Smith’s .314 BABIP feels, take a gander at his .488 Isolated Power. That’s some Ivan Drago with a bat and plate discipline stuff there. The way Smith has been swinging it almost feels like what Drago’s handler said in the early part of Rocky IV: Whatever he hits, he destroys. So trust that Smith will do so as your 8/22 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks backstop.

8/22 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Jose Abreu, CWS vs. TEX

DK ($4,600), FD ($4,000)

Wednesday’s three-hit effort gave Abreu a third straight game of at least 20 FanDuel points, continuing an August assault on American League hurlers that’s resulted in six homers and 20 RBI and a .995 OPS. Looking more like his rookie season in 2014, Abreu has elevated his HR/FB% to 23% despite a fly ball rate that has dipped to 31.7%. He’s maintained a solid line drive rate (21.6%) and Isolated Power (.223) despite a dip in walk rate to a career-low 4.9%.

Expect the heat from his August bat to continue at the expense of Rangers starter Ariel Jurado, who has allowed righties to tag him at a .324 clip in his last seven starts. You’ll love Abreu if he gets the opportunity to hit up Jurado with runners on base; Jurado has allowed a .317 batting average with runners in scoring position.

8/22 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Jonathan Villar, BAL vs. TB

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,800)

Improved plate discipline is behind Villar’s second half tear that continued on Wednesday with his fifth two-hit game in the last week. After a tepid .326 OBP in the first half, Villar has raised it to .391 after the All-Star Break along with a 151-point jump in OPS from .747 to .898. He also smacked his 17th homer in Wednesday’s victory, putting his .171 Isolated Power on par with his career-best power season in 2016 with the Brewers, where he hit 19 homers. Villar isn’t smacking the ball hard (27.3% hard contact rate), but is making the most of a 50.4% medium contact rate, which will work more favorably against Rays ace Ryan Yarborough.

Why suggest Villar against a lights out pitcher like Yarborough has been in the second half? Because you take caution in the wind and take the hitter with the 1.039 OPS over the month of August. Thank me later if you take Villar.

8/22 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Amed Rosario, NYM vs. CLE

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,100)

He’s found the pay station in three straight games and comes into Thursday with a blistering .571/.613/.750 slash over the past week and a .952 OPS post All-Star Break. Rosario is thriving behind a .348 BABIP with a wRC+ of 106. His speed rate has dipped a bit to 6.3 but he’s made up for that with more pop, evidenced by his .171 Isolated Power, a 34-point jump from last season. That extra kick is also shown in his hard contact rate, which now stands at 35.4% while his soft contact rate has fallen to 12.8.

The 8/22 DFS Hitting Picks does offer its share of solid shortstops to choose from, but Rosario is the only hitting like it’s a video game.

8/22 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Asdrubal Cabrera, WAS at PIT

DK ($3,600), FD ($2,800)

When he’s good, he’s good, having delivered eight RBI split up between two games over the past week. Cabrera has put together two exceptional scoring outbursts for his users coming into the finale of the four-game set against the Pirates and has been in a two-week stretch that has seen him produce a 1.044 OPS in that span.

His recent tear has boosted his line drive rate to 23.6% along with a hard contact rate that has eclipsed 40% for the first time in his career. He’s more of a power threat against lefties, something to keep in mind as the Pirates wheel out southpaw Steven Brault to the mound.

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8/22 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Hunter Pence, TEX at CWS

DK ($5,500), FD($4,000)

The seemingly ageless Pence has gone .351/.467/.541 (1.008 OPS) over the past two weeks and hits the road for a weekend set at the hitter’s haven known as Guaranteed Rate Field. Pence is more productive outside Arlington, where he’s posted a 1.014 OPS and swatted 11 of his 18 homers. Add the fact that Pale Hose starter Ross Detwiler brings it from the left side, and Pence — who hits lefties to the tune of .333/.385/.648 and a 1.048 OPS — becomes more solid when it comes to grabbing an outfielder who can be a major contributor to any 8/22 DFS Hitting Picks lineup.

8/22 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Charlie Blackmon, COL at STL

DK ($5,400), FD ($4,600)

Blackmon heads into St. Louis having recorded seven multi-hit games in his last nine starts during an August that has seen him nearly double (1.164) his July OPS (.664). Even despite a noticeable dip in walk rate (5.6%), Blackmon is having another outstanding season that has been bolstered by a career-high .280 Isolated Power and .358 BABIP.

This is also a good time to run with Blackmon, whose post All-Star Break has taken a bit of a drop to “just” .930 and is likely to see more time off as the Rockies’ Wild Card hopes dip with each passing day.

8/22 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. DET

DK (5,800), FD ($4,200)

To throw another Rocky IV quote, Alvarez has shown “he’s a man,” having hit just .227 over the past week. Then again, that .227 has come with a pair of homers, a .379 OBP and .970 OPS. Perhaps we could be wrong. He’s been quiet, which is why I think that silence comes to an end at the expense of an improved yet still hitter’s chum in Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann, who has been mauled by lefties (.322/.391/.526) the way Jaws found Quint to be a tasty mid-morning snack.

I don’t think he’ll eclipse the 76.30 FanDuel points he racked up on August 10, but I get the feeling Alvarez has a 30-40 FD point night waiting in his bat.

8/22 DFS Hitting Stacks

8/22 Stack of the Night: Houston Astros: I’m going all-in with the Astros’ left-handed hitters, beginning with Alvarez and including Michael Brantley, who goes in at a reasonable $4,000 at FanDuel. This would be a good night to throw a low-risk, high-reward dart in Josh Reddick’s direction ($2,400 FanDuel). Of course, there’s the usual faces to consider in Alex Bregman, George Springer and Jose Altuve, and while you can’t all of them, I’d make sure the lefties are in.

8/22 Stack Runner-Up: Atlanta Braves: Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara — who I think will be an All-Star hurler down the road — struggles with control away from home, so I’d look at going big with Freddie Freeman, who has four homers over the past week despite a .217 batting average, and Ronald Acuna, Jr., who has also kept up his pop despite hitting just .238 in the last week. Josh Donaldson has hit well of late, putting together a .458 OBP and 1.358 OPS in the last week, so he’s a strong play as well.

8/22 Stack to Consider: Chicago White Sox: As mentioned in the Abreu profile, the White Sox are facing a starter that has been shelled over the past month. Abreu is a good foundation for a stack along with Eloy Jimenez, who has a pair of homers in the past week. Tim Anderson is hitting .433 over the past week, and I’d look at James McCann as another right-handed bat to throw into what should be a fun party off of Ariel Jurado.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Fantasy MLB Stacks: MLB Winning Edge for August 19

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks. All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros**

vs. RHP Edwin Jackson (DET): 7.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Edwin Jackson has disappointed a lot of people his last few starts. He has actually fared well against struggling teams like the Red Sox and Mariners. Today is a whole different story though. Jackson has the displeasure of taking on the most talented team in MLB, the Houston Astros. The Astros are on fire right now, slashing to a .378 wOBA, .272 ISO, and 143 WRC+ against righties. Jackson maintains his 8.00+ ERA, is allowing a massive 3.40 HR/9, and has a BABIP of .331. The cards are obviously stacked against him tonight and although he has had some decent performances, I highly doubt he will have one against this Astros squad. Eat the chalk, play the Astros.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. LHP Kolby Allard (TEX): 5.80 Runs

**Moderate Risk

The Angels come in with the second highest run total today and a get a major boost at Globe Life Park. We are looking at 101 degrees first pitch. The Angel’s have struggled mightily this month, slashing to a .211 wOBA, .130 ISO, and 28 WRC+. These are awful hitting numbers are I have hard time getting here for a full stack even with a ball park boost and LHP on the mound. I do like a few pieces here. Allard has looked decent in his first two starts away from Arlington, striking out 5 or more and allowing 3 runs or less in 5 innings pitched. Texas will presumably roll out five righties against Peters, I do like the Rangers as well.

Preferred Stack: Mike Trout ($4900 FD|$5600 DK), Albert Pujols ($2900 FD|$3800 DK), Justin Upton ($3500 FD|$4500 DK), and David Fletcher ($3000 FD|$3900 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles**

vs. RHP Jorge Lopez (KCR): 5.50 Runs

**High Risk

The Twins actually have the slight edge over the Orioles for implied run total but I like the O’s today for less ownership. The Orioles are hitting the best they have all season in the last two weeks, slashing to a .332 wOBA, .235 ISO, and .321 WRC+. Their offensive struggles outweigh the good days but when they are making good contact the runs seem to pour in. Jorge Lopez owns a 6.51 ERA, 5.44 FIP, and 4.64 SIERA. He is allowing 1.89 HR/9 and .321 BABIP. Not sure if I’ll get to a full stack here but I do like a few pieces.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins**

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 5.60 Runs

**Low Risk

Fantasy Team Stack: Cincinnati Reds**

vs. LHP Eric Lauer (SDP): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Phillip Ervin ($2500 FD|$3800 DK), Aristides Aquino ($4500 FD|$5000 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3800 FD|$4600 DK).

Fantasy Team Stack: Kansas City Royals

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 4.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jorge Soler ($3600 FD|$5500 DK), Chelsor Cuthbert ($2500 FD|$3500 DK), Hunter Dozier ($3800 FD|$5400 DK), and Whit Merrifield ($3200 FD|$5100 DK).

Pitching

Kyle Gibson RHP (MIN): 3.80
Marco Gonzales LHP (SEA): 3.50 Runs
Wade Miley LHP (HOU): 2.60 Runs
Zac Gallen RHP (ARI): 3.90 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/10 DFS Pitching Picks: Uncle Charlie Does Seattle

Brandon C. Williams 5 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

Trust me, the 8/10 DFS pitching slate is pretty darn thin in quality. Sure, there’s a handful of familiar names, some of whom were once solid pitchers. The majority of starting arms feels more like a Saturday special from Guy’s Groovy Grab Bag, one that includes the ever-annoying TBD, otherwise known as the DFS version of Mystery Date (kids, Mystery Date was a…aw, just Google it).

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8/10 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers

Charlie Morton, TB at SEA

DK ($10,700) FD ($10,100)

One of two Cash Game-worthy arms pitching today, Morton is on pace to get the A.L. Cy Young scraps that former Astros teammates Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander will leave on the floor. Morton is on pace to surpass his career-best 201 strikeouts, fanning at least six in eight of his last 10 starts. He’s been a model of consistency, especially for FanDuel users, as he’s recorded at least 30 FD points in 11 of his last 13 starts. The Mariners are almost tailor made for another evening of Morton making opposing lineups look like human air conditioners as Seattle’s offense is 26th in strikeout percentage (25.6%). Morton is difficult to homer against, having allowed just 11 over 143.1 innings of work, with much of that is due to the struggles that come from getting fly balls off of him (30.1% fly ball rate). If you’re going to spend money on an arm, then invest it in Morton.

Noah Syndergaard, NYM at WAS

DK ($10,500) FD ($10,800)

…or Syndergaard, who’s been ruthlessly efficient over his last five starts, going at least seven innings while allowing three or fewer earned runs in each. Oh yeah: he’s not given up a homer since July 6. His run is part of the reason why the Mets have won 14 of their last 15 as Syndergaard goes against a Nationals lineup he’s handled well this season, holding them to a .179 batting average and striking out 19 over 20 innings (three starts). The Nats have, however, homered three times against him, neatly explaining the 3.60 ERA. Syndergaard’s 3.44 FIP is a better indication of how effective he has been rather than his 3.96 ERA. Like Morton, Thor drops major hammer on those seeking to get solid contact off him, oppressing batters to a 28% hard contact rate while keeping fly balls at a modest 32.6% clip.The Nats’ 95 OPS+ falls just below league average. More concerning about the Nationals’ lineup is how bereft of power they are on the road. Washington loses 60 points off its slugging percentage (.466 to .406) when away from home. Those numbers are worse when looking at their production at Citi Field, where Washington goes .227/.238/391.

8/10 DFS GPP Plays

Mike Soroka, ATL at MIA

DK ($9,100) FD ($8,100)

Miami’s bats roll over for Soroka almost as easily as my cat rolls over for treats. In 15 innings against Soroka this season, the Marlins have batted .115 with six hits and one earned run against the breakout righty. Soroka continues to be downright stingy when it comes to allowing fly balls, limiting opponents to a paltry 23.6% rate. With that kind of infrequency, it’s easy to see why Soroka has allowed just seven homers this season. He’s more miserly on the road, allowing a OBA of .197 in 12 starts outside the ATL and should be in line for another start in which his infielders stay fairly busy (54.6% ground ball rate).Since this is a family site, I’ll just say the Marlins offense stinks. Not my first choice of description, but rules. Miami is tied for last in OPS+ (78) and have hit a composite .235/.288/.399 since the All-Star Break. In a year of graphic power displays across the league, the Marlins remain the only team in the Majors without at least 100 homers. You can’t use Marlins Park as too much of an excuse; you could put Miami’s lineup in Yankee Stadium and they’d still struggle.

Kenta Maeda, LA vs. ARI

DK ($7,000) FD ($7,700)

He’s pitching at home, which is why it can be considered safe to start Maeda, who has a 3.17 ERA and a .181 OBA at Dodger Stadium. Maeda also gets bonus points for his work against the Diamondbacks this season, holding Arizona’s bats to a .175 OBA. Home runs, which weren’t an issue in 2018, have reared their ugly head this year with Maeda allowing 1.40 HR/9. That’s due in part to a rise in his fly ball rate, which has gone to 39.1%, almost near the levels that got him in homer purgatory in 2017. Being at home should also further suppress Maeda’s 29.6 hard contact rate. Although the Diamondbacks have been solid in making contact this season, again, the pleasure of being in Dodger Stadium, where he strikes more than a batter per inning, works in Maeda’s favor.

8/10 DFS Punt Plays

Aaron Sanchez, HOU at BAL

DK ($6,900) FD ($8,200)

Who else but Sanchez to highlight the punt play? If you saw his 10-strikeout, no-walk effort in his last start with the Blue Jays, last Saturday’s six innings of no-hit ball against the Mariners as part of a combined no-no could have been seen coming (somewhat). Granted, no one expected the no-hitter, but Sanchez had been quietly regaining his control. He enters this evening’s start having gone five straight starts with two walks or fewer and with the Astros bullpen far more reliable than what he had in Toronto, Sanchez can air it out for 5-6 innings with limited damage before hitting the showers. His fastball was more pronounced in his first Houston start, making him yet another apt pupil from Astros pitching coach Brent Strom.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

8/5 MLB DFS Stack Selections from The King: Be Brave

MLBMovingAvg 5 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

It is not easy to find the most optimum 8/5 MLB DFS Stack. Thereare a handful of seemingly inexperienced and vulnerable pitchers to target onthe slate, but batters are always in danger of not faring as well as hoped whenthey have not seen much of a starter before. Plus, some of the better hittingteams don’t always make it easy for us to build stacks with them because ofseveral top hitters being priced very high. Despite those challenges, we’rehere to identify the best teams to stack for Monday.

Top 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: Atlanta Braves: Jake Odorizzi settled down in his last start, but that was because he faced Miami. Atlanta is fifth in MLB team batting over the past week and that’s good enough to attack Odorizzi with. Adam Duvall pinpoints here at $4200 as he is hitting .385 with four homers and six RBI over the past week. Ozzie Albies ($4300) is hitting .300 over the past week. Josh Donaldson is just $4200 and has five RBI in the past week. Freddie Freeman can easily fit into this 8/5 MLB DFS Stack at $4900 to cap it all off.

Boston Red Sox 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: Mike Montgomery has been hit hard in two of his past three starts. The Red Sox have a good opportunity to bounce back from a sweep by the Yankees here. Start building your 8/5 MLB DFS stack with J.D. Martinez ($5,100 on DraftKings) and Xander Bogaerts will be worth the $5300 tag. Then fit in Christian Vazquez at $4200 and you can get Michael Chavis for $4,300. Martinez is hitting .391 over the past week with two homers and four RBI. Vazquez is hitting .316 during that span. Bogaerts has cooled off lately so you can consider Mookie Betts as your other top anchor at $5500.

Baltimore Orioles 8/5 MLB DFS Stack: This is not as crazy as it may seem as an 8/5 MLB DFS Stack when you consider Masahiro Tanaka has allowed 32 runs in his last six starts, allowing four or more in four of them and five or more in three. Trey Mancini has nine RBI over the past week and leads the way here at $4900. Renato Nunez has been cold over the past week but can rebound and has to be in any Orioles build at $4300. Hanser Alberto is hitting .333 in the past week and can be a salary saver at $3,800. Jonathan Villar also deserves strong consideration at $4700 as does Anthony Santander at $4,600. The prices here are friendly enough that you can possibly fully stack from this game, building a Yankees mini-stack around your Orioles core..

Mini Stack: New York Yankees: We would love to build a four-man 8/5 MLB DFS stack here, but most of the prices of the top hitters are near or above $5,000. Still, against Gabriel Ynoa you have to go for Aaron Judge at $4,600 and get one more Yankees bat in there for good measure. Mike Tauchman and Brett Gardner give you platoon splits and exposure for under $5,000. If you can find a creative way to get four top Yankee bats in a lineup, they should be your prime stack, but the pitching outlook for value plays is not too good tonight, especially on a two-pitcher site.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Fantasy Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 27

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CWS): 6.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I know the Twins let a lot of us down last night. I also know Nova has put on some off the wall performances that may cause others to rethink whether or not they want to go here tonight. I have no problems going back here, we all know how bad Ivan Nova can be. Nova carries a 5.49 ERA, 5.34 FIP, and 5.03 SIERA. He has allowed batters to slash to a .359 wOBA, .526 SLG, and .340 OBP at home this season. When pitching at home, Nova’s ERA goes from a 5.12 road average to 6.02. He has allowed 33 earned runs and 11 home runs over 49.1 innings pitched at home. The Twins continue to hit well, slashing to a .382 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 139 WRC+. I hate to use such a small sample, but four batters in the Twins lineup have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Nova this season.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 5.70 Runs

**High Risk

Cleveland Indians have slumped off a bit after going on a heater for a few weeks. They look to have returned to form last night, scoring eight earned runs. Sparkman carries a 4.67 ERA, 5.64 FIP, and 5.47 SIERA. He has the worst contact % on the slate at 84.7. He is only inducing a 7.4% swinging strike rate. The only downside to a Cleveland stack today is Sparkman’s home/road splits. Compared to his atrocious road averages, he is absolutely stellar at home. He carries a 1.76 ERA and allows batters to slash a measly .256 wOBA, .328 SLG, and .265 OBP. He has only allowed nine earned runs and four home runs over 40 innings pitched. With these kind of splits at home I can definitely see a hedge with Sparkman as well if you want to take a shot in tournaments. The Indians are slashing to a .337 wOBA, .187 ISO, and 106 WRC+ over the last month.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Oakland Athletics

vs. RHP Adrian Sampson (TEX): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

Adrian Sampson has come back down to earth recently, getting tagged for five or more runs in his last two starts. He carries a 5.19 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.63 SIERA on the year. Sampson is allowing 1.76 HR/9 and a 48% hard contact rate. He is allowing 80% contact and struggles mightily to right handed batters. They are slashing to a .388 wOBA, .581 SLG, and .360 OBP. Sampson has allowed 32 earned runs and 13 home runs over 55.1 innings pitched to righties. The Athletics are slashing to a .339 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 115 WRC+ over the last month. Sampson throws a ton of sinker (55% usage) and slider (31% usage). Batters 1-4 in this projected Athletics lineup are all hitting .200 ISO or better against Sampson’s two most frequently used pitches.

Preferred Plays: Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4700 DK), Matt Olson ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and Marcus Semien($3200 FD|$4400 DK).

Honorable Mention

MLB Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Trevor Williams (PIT): 4.85 Runs

**Moderate Risk

MLB Fantasy Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4300 FD|$5300 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Dillon Peters (LAA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Anthony Santander ($3300 FD|$4400 DK), Renato Nunez ($3400 FD|$4100 DK), Trey Mancini ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Dwight Smith Jr. ($2900 FD|$3600 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Mike Trout ($5000 FD|$5700 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3500 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

Gerrit Cole RHP (HOU): 3.20 Runs
Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 3.80 Runs
Anthony DeSclafani RHP (CIN): 4.30 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

7/21 MLB DFS Podcast With Founder Jason Mezrahi and Meteorologist Mark Paquette

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Jason Mezrahi and Mark Paquette discuss the Main FanDuel MLB DFS Slate on the 7/21 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the main slate on FanDuel. Its your typical Sunday Slate schedule so listen closely to who they like. We got a touch decision on finding the right pitching. The question remains, Do you we pay up for Snell or look for value with guys like Cease or possibly even Marquez. We also have some weather concerns to deal with so make sure you follow along with Mark as he gives our listeners a preview of all weather for this Sunday slate of fantasy baseball games.

7/21 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

We have to find bats and Jason thinks we should head back to a Boston Stack. Listen closely though because the second stack is tougher to figure out. When your’e done listening to our 7/21 MLB DFS Podcast, please check out our premium weather blog to stay up to date on your busy Sunday

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Thank you for listening to the Sunday 7/21 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Fantasy MLB Stacks: Winning Edge for July 21

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 6.75 Runs

**Low Risk

Cleveland Indians are three games back on Minnesota but are gaining ground quick, winning their last 17 of 24 games. I’ll continue to ride these hot bats and feel good about doing so with a lofty 6.75 implied run total today. Cleveland batters are slashing to a magnificent .374 wOBA, .240 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They face Glenn Sparkman who carries a 4.54 ERA, 5.42 FIP, and 5.32 SIERA into today’s game. Sparkman has been atrocious on the road, allowing batters to slash to a .445 wOBA, .658 SLG, and .403 OBP over 26.4 innings while allowing a massive 28 earned runs.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 7.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Asher Wojciechowski carries a 5.74 ERA, 5.01 FIP, and 3.86 SIERA over 15.2 innings pitched. During that short span, Asher is allowing left handed batters to slash to a .436 wOBA, .700 SLG, and .382 OBP. Red Sox batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .220 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last two weeks. Even if Wojciechowski finds success against the powerful right handed batters in this Boston lineup today, he will eventually give way to an awful Orioles bullpen.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. LHP Drew Smyly (PHI): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I typically wouldn’t consider the Pirates against a left handed pitcher but Drew Smyly is the exception. Smyly is making is debut for the Phillies after pitching 51 innings for the Rangers. He carries a 8.42 ERA, 8.06 FIP, and 5.61 SIERA. The Pirates let us down last night but Smyly is terrible so I have no problem going back to this spot. The Pirates are slashing to a .361 wOBA, .196 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last month. Two week averages suggest the Pirates are due a slump buster and I believe we get that today in this matchup against Smyly.

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Andrew Cashner (BOS): 5.00 Runs

**High Risk

Preferred Plays:Trey Mancini ($3400 FD|$4300 DK), Jonathan Villar ($2600 FD|$4100 DK), Anthony Santander ($3500 FD|$4100 DK), and Renato Nunez($3000 FD|$4300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Blake Snell (TAM): 2.90 Runs
LHP James Paxton (NYY): 4.10 Runs
Jack Flaherty (STL): 4.75 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Team DFS Stack Report: Winning Edge for July 20

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

DFS Stack Team: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Jakob Junis (KCR): 6.20 Runs

**Low Risk

Cleveland Indians batters are as hot as can be as of late. They come into tonight’s matchup slashing to a .366 wOBA, .250 ISO, and 126 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They get a lofty 6.20 implied run total and another subpar pitching matchup. Jakob Junis carries a 5.08 ERA, 4.94 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA on the season. Batters are slashing to a .340 wOBA, .475 SLG, and .337 OBP against Junis this year. He has surrendered 64 earned runs across 113 innings pitched. Junis is giving up 1.67 HR/9 and a 41% hard contact on the year. Cleveland batters have put up four or more runs on Junis in the three meetings they have had this season. Junis hasn’t faced a Cleveland team that happens to be hitting the best they have all year long.

DFS Stack Team: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Ariel Jurado (TEX): 6.10 Runs

As of publication time there still wasn’t Vegas information available for this game. If I had to guess they will slap a 10.5 O/U with Houston being favorites for an implied run total of 5.60 runs. The Astros have been picking up steam, slashing to a .365 wOBA, .185 ISO, and 136 WRC+ over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. Ariel Jurado is on the mound and he carries a 4.63 ERA, 4.55 FIP, and 4.94 SIERA on the season. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing right handed batters to slash to a .360 wOBA, .510 SLG, and .356 OBP. Jurado just allowed five runs to this same Astros team six days ago.

Preferred Plays: Alex Bregman ($4600 FD|$5100 DK), George Springer ($4800 FD|$5500 DK), Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), and Yordan Alvarez ($4200 FD|$5200 DK)

DFS Stack Team: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Zach Eflin is on the mound tonight in a hot and muggy Pittsburgh. At first pitch we are looking at a temperature around 91 degrees and 52% humidity. This is great hitting weather, so bump the bats. Eflin carries a 4.16 ERA, 4.65 FIP, and 4.71 SIERA. He is just about as bad as you would want him to be against left handed batters. They are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .543 SLG, and .333 OBP. On the road, Eflin has surrendered 16 earned runs and seven home runs to left handed batters across 25.1 innings pitched. He has been in major regression mode as of late, allowing six or more runs in three of his four last starts. Eflin faces a powerful left handed team in the Pittsburgh Pirates. They are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .202 ISO, and 127 WRC+ over the last month. Recent averages make the Pirates a bit less appealing, but with the weather, matchup, and excellent pricing I find it hard not to go for at least a two or three man mini stack.

DFS Stack Team: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.75 Runs

**High Risk

If you live somewhere on the East Coast you’re probably experiencing some of this extreme heat over the weekend. Baltimore is awful and we are looking at 95 degrees and 70% humidity around first pitch, so probably a 100+ real feel. Rick Porcello carries a 5.37 ERA, 4.59 FIP, and 5.02 SIERA. He has a 5.28 xFIP so we expect further regression. Porcello has been fairly poor on the road with batters slashing to a .362 wOBA, .531 SLG, and .340 OBP over 42.1 innings. The Baltimore Orioles are slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 95 WRC+ over the last month. I do deem the Birds a high risk play, but they are in a good spot and have had success against Porcello already this season. This time the O’s get a better ballpark and the weather gives the bats a nice bump. Not to mention how cheap all these players are on both sites.

Honorable Mention

Cincinnati Reds DFS Stack

vs. RHP Miles Mikolas (STL): 4.85 Runs

**Low Risk

Preferred Stack: Yasiel Puig ($3400 FD|$4400 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3700 FD|$4200 DK), Jesse Winker ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), and Josh Vanmeter ($2000 FD|$2500 DK).

Boston Red Sox DFS Stack

vs. RHP Tom Eshelman (BAL): 6.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

RHP Zack Greinke (ARI): 4.10 Runs
LHP Clayon Kershaw (LAD): 2.70 Runs
RHP Mike Soroka (ATL): 4.40 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

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