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Yordan Alvarez

9/5 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Sporting Sox and Dinger Locks

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

On our Thursday 9/5 DFS 7:05 main slate, there are seven ballgames – with one that stands out as a good single-game stack with a couple one-offs (a hot-hitting Cub and some RHBs on the lefty-mashing Houston buzzsaw). Are we ready to, once again, embrace the variance and win some green? You bet we are – and there’s enough pitching value to fade the top arms and build a lineup with serious studs.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Boston Red Sox vs. Martin Perez

Most of this stack’s full-bodied components will be discussed hitterby hitter in greater detail below, but this is my top stack of the slate and I’llhave plenty of exposure to this game in general. The usual suspects apply. TheRed Sox are slashing a robust .285/.355/.506 at home this season and there’s nobodyI’d be careful to avoid.

Minnesota Twins at Nathan Eovaldi

The Twins have a little tougher matchup as they are underdogs inFenway Park, but they’d slashed .319/.384/.584 as a team over the past 7 daysheading into last night’s tough matchup vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (which resultedin a 6-2 loss). Look for the Twins to rebound in a big way against a hittable Eovaldi(6.23 ERA, 5.62 FIP). I like the outfielders (though Max Kepler was removedfrom last night’s game with upper chest soreness) and the slugging infielders (JorgePolanco, Miguel Sano, C.J. Cron, Luis Arraez).

Houston Astros vs. Marco Gonzales

Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman and Yuri Gurriel make up the core of this stack, with Michael Brantley and/or Yordan Alvarez rounding it out on FD/DK. But if you’ve only got room for hitters like Aledmys Diaz, Abraham Toro and cheap catching option Robinson Chirinos, there’s still plenty of reason to get excited. The Astros has demolished LHPs this season to the tune of a 133 wRC+ and have great number sat home (.217 team ISO with just an 18.8% K rate – the second lowest in the league).

9/5 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Chase Anderson (Reverse splits pitcher and an implied total near 5 runs)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Kolby Allard (high-risk/value/contrarian)

Tampa Rays vs. Trent Thornton (high-risk/value/contrarian)

9/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jason Castro, MIN at BOS UPDATE: Castro is not in the starting lineup

PIVOT: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

With Castro starting this game out on the bench, I’m pivoting to Chirinos. He’s about the same price and offers similar upside in this matchup. Chirinos sports a .444 xwOBA in 174 ABs (217 plate appearances) vs. LHPs over the past couple of seasons.

9/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Yuri Gurriel, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,600)

Gurriel has cooled off a little bit since his insane July (.408/.437/.847 in 24 games), but not much, as he posted a .344/.423/.677 slash in August. He’s actually a little better against RHPs but maintains a .237 ISO vs. lefties, so he’s maybe a tad contrarian if you’re mini-stacking stacking Astros along with Boston bats. The .298 home ISO and 148 home wRC+ make him an attractive option.

9/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

Altuve (.302/.369/.599 with 14 HR at home this season) isunderpriced on DK and the Astros have the second highest implied total (about 6runs) on the evening slate. The diminutive slugger has been in a bit of a funk withno XBH on the five-game road trip, but a return to friendlier confines could bejust what he needs. It’s hard to find better implied value at this position, sowhy look past the five-and-a-half footer if we’re putting our best foot forward?

9/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD($4,100)

Lefty on lefty for Devers hasn’t bothered me since he took AroldisChapman deep as a youngster for the Sox, and he’ll be an overlooked part of theBoston stack and low-owned because of it. He’s completely avoidable if you’renot stacking this team, but I love going with Devers at 3B because he’s alwaysin the thick of this offense and his production this season (.320/.369/.579 slashwith 29 HR and 107 RBI) shows it.

9/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Xander Bogaerts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,100)

We’ve had success recently with Bogaerts, and this is agreat matchup for the power-hitting SS to show off his .416 xwOBA against LHPs overthe past two seasons. Martin Perez isn’t a bad pitcher these days, but he has stillyielded a .184 ISO and .865 OPS since 2018. I’ve been doing well not overthinkingon Xander, so that’ll continue as I plug him into most of my lineups at SS. Thesomewhat underpriced Alex Bregman ($4,900 DK, $4,400 FD) is the obvious pivotat 3B and SS if you’re not anxious play both Devers and Bogaerts.

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9/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Mookie Betts, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

Bettshad a monster game last night and when Mookie gets hot, you continue to playhim. Boston’s leadoff hitter connected for a couple homers last night en routeto a 4-for-5, five RBI night. He’s still underpriced at $5K on DK and is a Benjamincheaper than J.D. Martinez on FD. Since the start of 2018, Betts is sporting anxwOBA of .430 against LHPs and even if Perez gets yanked early, a righthander faceseven more obscene Betts data (.468 xwOBA vs. RHPs and home xwOBA of .478).

Nicholas Castellanos, CHI at MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

Mr. Castellanos has taken the Windy City by storm, and he getsto travel to Milwaukee to hit in a controlled environment. The problem is thatthese walls cannot possibly contain him either, and he’s been a revelatory offensivepowerhouse since joining the Cubs in a deadline deal, slashing .346/.378/.709 witha ridiculous .362 ISO, .439 wOBA, 12 homers and 24 RBI in just 31 games. It’snot just Wrigley, either: the bell-ringer has split his dingers 6/6 betweenhome and road. Plus, he’s massively underpriced facing a reverse-splits righty (ChaseAnderson) on a small slate. It’ll be tough to leave him out in any format.

Sam Travis, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($3,300) FD (1B $2,800)

The Sox are my favorite team and Travis is much-welcomed valueto help you finish them off on FD with these four hitters I’ve listed, or even addin another bat on DK if you’re going that route. He hits lefties well (.382 xwOBA,.200 ISO and under a 20% strikeout rate over the past two seasons). He’s higherrisk and may attract some ownership, but at that low, low price I’ll make roomto differentiate elsewhere.

Additional options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,200 DK, $3,100 FD), Travis d’Arnaud($4,000 DK, $2,700 FD)

1B: Josh Bell ($4,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Garrett Cooper (valueat $3,500 DK, $2,700 FD)

2B: Jonathan Schoop ($4,600 DK, $3,100 FD), Starlin Castro($3,500 DK, $3,000 FD)

3B: Abraham Toro ($2,600 DK, $3,200 FD, Miguel Sano ($5,100DK, $3,900 FD)

SS: Alex Bregman, Jonathan Villar ($4,700 DK, $3,400 FD)and possibly Javier Baez (thumb, DTD – $4,600 DK, $4,100)

OF: Twins galore (Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Nelson Cruz, JakeCave), Trey Mancini, Anthony Santander and Ryan Braun (.475 xwOBA vs. LHPs, 415ISO including five career HR vs. Jose Quintana)

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/28 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 8/28 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Patrick Corbin

It’s not often a losing pitcher will appear in these articles but Corbin was solid. As Wes Anderson chose him on our Premium Gold Cheatsheet, Corbin was not the biggest starting pitcher on the slate. However, he went seven innings of two runs on four hits with nine strikeouts and did not allow a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The biggest free agent pitcher from the offseason, Corbin has been incredible this year. Expect him to continue to give the Nationals at least five solid innings a game and rack up at least one strikeout an inning.

8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Yasiel Puig

As you can see from the cheatsheet, Wes chose another player that had a good game in Puig. Against the Tigers, he went 2-for-4 with two doubles, a run, a RBI and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Yasiel Puig has been great since he joined the Cleveland Indians at the Trade Deadline about a month ago. He is slashing .298/ .372/ .476 in the 22 games in the American League. Look for him to provide some big moments for the Indians as they battle for the A.L. Central crown.

8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Brett Gardner

This screenshot is from the Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium members to access. This screenshot is the 76th through 100th highest projected output on the slate. Gardner was 99th overall (102nd in DraftKings Projection). Against the Seattle Mariners, Gardner went 1-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Even as the longest-tenured Yankee on the roster, Gardner is contributing well with the absence of Aaron Hicks and Giancarlo Stanton. Now up to 18 HRs on the year, second most in his career, he is having a great season. He also has an .818 OPS, a career high thus far. Expect him to continue to swing a great bat until Aaron Hicks and/or Giancarlo Stanton makes it back.

8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Yordan Alvarez

Even in a 15-1 victory, Yordan Alvarez seemed to be the best player on the Houston Astros last night, going 3-for-5 with a double, a pair of homers and four RBI against Charlie Morton and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Call it what you will with the obscene amount of home runs hit this season, but Alvarez is hitting at an incredible rate. He has 21 HRs in just 219 at-bats or one every 10.4 at-bats. Put that across a full season and he will have around 50 hits over the outfield wall. He’s a huge power hitter that can thrive off expanded rosters.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks & Picks for August 9

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Yes, there is preseason football on tonight, but it’s the kind of football that will impact your Fantasy draft. In other words, stay focused on the diamond, follow the words and numbers below and be ready to make DFS money off the usual 15-game slate. Caring isn’t sharing here, so if there’s a sore pooh or two upset about not getting all 30 teams equally covered, well…um…tough. Them’s the breaks.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Opposite Day rules apply: we’ll find our bargains at each position before the glorious task of stacking (mmm…stacking) lineups.8/9 DFS Hitting CFrancisco Mejia, SD vs. COLDK ($3,200), FD ($2,300)Hey, if he keeps hitting, then why not keep him in the lineup? Mejia had his third straight multi-hit game on Thursday night and fourth in his last five, pushing his batting average above .260. His slugging percentage barely hovers above .400, but if there’s anything you need to know about catchers is that the pop sometimes is the last thing that develops. What will make Mejia — and his DFS users — smile in glee is that the Rockies are throwing the extended batting practice pitcher that is known as Kyle Freeland, who has given up as many homers as the number of batters he’s struck out (five) in his last two starts (Bonus smile: Right-handed hitters have gone .292/.362/.603 this season against Freeland).8/9 DFS Hitting 1BJose Abreu, CWS vs. OAKDK ($4,000), FD ($3,800)Abreu has rewarded FanDuel users with games of 37.70 and 25.40 points this week as his August OPS of 1.008 is light years from July’s tepid mark of .608. He’s cheap in either format and you’ll also take comfort in knowing his .804 OPS at Guaranteed Rate Field is better than his .782 away from ChiTown. Abreu’s .211 Isolated Power is slightly higher than last season’s, and his current stretch gives him a better than outside chance to finish with 35+ homers. Mike Fiers isn’t pitching in Oakland, which is a very good thing considering his ERA away from the City that M.C. Hammer Built is 4.62. Don’t hurt ’em, Jose (at least not too much).8/9 DFS Hitting 2BJason Kipnis, CLE at MINDK ($4,300), FD ($3,300)Since July 31, Kipnis has five multi-hit games along with three homers and 11 RBI. He’s been banging it over the past two weeks to the tune of .348./.423/.696, harkening back to the good ‘ol days when he was actually a must-own player in that other kind of Fantasy baseball. After a pair of dogs in 2017-18, Kipnis has found some fortune with his BABIP, which stands at .284. His current run is keyed by his hard contact rate of 38.7%, the best of his career. Rookie hurler Devin Smeltzer has been a revelation of sorts for the Twins’ staff, but Indians batters showed him hellfire and brimstone when they jacked four homers off him in a win on June 4.8/9 DFS Hitting SSBo Bichette, TOR vs. NYYDK ($4,300), FD ($3,900)Like the aforementioned Mejia, if it ain’t broke… Bichette made big league history on Thursday when he doubled for a ninth straight game along with taking Domingo German deep in the 12-6 loss to the Yankees. No one should pull Bichette aside and tell him it can’t be that easy, especially when he’s gone .408/.453/.837 in his first 11 games. Obviously, he’s not getting cheated out of his at-bats as Bichette has made either medium or hard contact 91.2% of the time. And yes, please throw lefty J.A. Happ in front of Bichette, who has hit lefties with a 1.476 OPS.8/9 DFS Hitting 3BJose Ramirez, CLE at MINDK ($4,300), FD ($3,300)Uh, oh. Perhaps I’ve tipped my hand on a stack? Maybe, but Ramirez has been a one-man stack over the past week by hitting .400 with a pair of homers, seven RBI and six runs scored. As bad as his numbers looked earlier in the season, this newfound version of Ramirez is well on his way to another 20-20 season. Ramirez has a 47.8% fly ball rate to go along with a 39.1% hard contact rate. You’ll take that combination to the bank against a hurler like Smeltzer.8/9 DFS Hitting OFYordan Alvarez, HOU at BALDK ($5,700), FD ($4,300)Hell yes, I’m paying steep for the right to have Alvarez in my lineup. A longtime friend of mine was witness to Alvarez’s homer on Wednesday and told me he had never heard the ball come off a bat the way that blast did. Considering I’ve known this guy since first grade, I’ll trust him. You really, really want him in FanDuel, where he’s recorded at least 12.50 points in five of his last six games, including a 27.90 and 22.20 performances. Any hitter with a .404 BABIP and 50.4% hard contact rate going against Orioles pitching, in tonight’s case Dylan “Me and 24 homers Allowed and 5.89 ERA at Home” Bundy, is worth every penny.8/9 DFS Hitting OFMike Tauchman, NYY at TORDK ($4,900), FD ($3,400)With a homer on Thursday, Tauchman has four dingers and 13 RBI this month. He’s not an all or nothing hitter, having recorded four multi-hit games in the same span. One would think Tauchman would have a blistering hard contact rate like Alvarez, but his is a surprising 31.7%. Couple that with a 32% fly ball rate, and you’re seeing a hitter making the most of his opportunities. The Blue Jays are starting Sean Reid-Foley, who is beginning to be stretched out as a starter. Reid-Foley has held opponents to a .229 batting average but has walked 14 in 21.2 innings. Seriously, do you really want that kind of a walk rate when facing the Yankees?8/9 DFS Hitting OFAristides Aquino, CIN vs. CHCDK ($3,700), FD ($3,000)Aquino’s homer off Cole Hamels on Thursday night jumped the fence at 118.3 mph, tying him with Pete Alonso and Gary Sanchez for the hardest-hit homer this season. He’s fanned once every three at-bats, but Aquino has produced a .905 OPS in his first 21 at-bats to go along with three homers (and a throw on Thursday that looked Jose Guillen-like with its velocity). Yu Darvish gets the opportunity to deal against the freakish Aquino and while his 71 strikeouts over his past 59.2 innings is a sign the old Darvish is back, all he has to do is ask Hamels what’s it like when you leave one up there for Aquino to lean into.Let’s take it home and stack ’em up, shall we?Top 8/9 MLB DFS Stack: Houston Astros: We touched on Dylan Bundy and his hitter-friendly numbers, which means get your Astros in where you can fit them it. Obviously, Yordan Alvarez will take a good grip of your salary, but that could be countered by going cheap on a speculative pitcher. George Springer ($4,400 at FanDuel) is hitting .368 with a homer and four RBI over the past week, while Yuli Gurriel ($3,500) scored a combined 102.30 FanDuel points in two games against the Rockies on Tuesday and Wednesday. Michael Brantley ($4,100) hasn’t homered in the past week but still hit .348 with nine RBI. As hot as Houston’s bats have been, you’ll sacrifice at a position or two in order to make this stack work.Chicago White Sox 8/9 MLB DFS Stack: As mentioned earlier, A’s starter Mike Fiers is suspect on the road, and the White Sox have enough hot bats to strongly consider stacking against him. Start with Jose Abreu (see his work at 1B) and follow up with Eloy Jimenez ($3,100 FanDuel) who looks overdue for a breakout since his return from the DL. James McCann ($2,800) has had a good week with 21.90 and 22.50 points sandwiched between a 15.70 outing. Tim Anderson ($3,000) comes into Friday having put up at least 15.20 points in four of his last six games.New York Yankees 8/9 MLB DFS Stack: The Yankees have hit 19 homers in four games this week and I’d bet on world peace coming before betting against the Yankees going homerless on Friday. Go with Mike Tauchman (see OF) and make room for Gio Urshela ($4,600 Draft Kings), who had two homers and four RBI on Thursday night. If you want to spend a bit more, then go with D.J. LeMahieu ($5,100), who has gone .370-2-6 in the past week. Even Cameron Maybin ($4,600), who racked up three hits on Thursday, is worth throwing into the fray.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

8/7 DFS Hitting and Prop Picks: Manny, Kelly and Piscotty

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

With games spread all throughout the day, we’re going to try to give you guys from every slate. That way, whatever sort of player you are, you can play on whatever slate suits you best. It will make weather tough to figure out though, and the cities/teams we need to key in on are New York, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Cleveland, Boston and Baltimore. So, let’s get into our 8/7 DFS Hitting plays!

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8/7 DFS Hitting Catcher

Carson Kelly, ARI vs. PHI

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,600)

I don’t like to tout myself but every time I recommend Kelly, he seems to homer. It’s easy to see why when you look at his splits, with Kelly providing a .383 AVG, .471 OBP, .767 SLG and 1.238 OPS against left-handers so far this season. That’s why he’ll always find his way into my articles when he gets the platoon advantage in his favor and these are some of the most underappreciated splits in the game. Getting to face Jason Vargas is only a bonus, with the Phillies lefty posting an xFIP north of 5.00 so far this season.

8/7 DFS Hitting First Basemen

Jose Abreu, CWS at DET

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800)

This DK price is really surprising and it’s a wonder why one of the most consistent players in baseball has seen such a drastic price drop. We’re talking about a player who’s a guarantee for 30 homers and 100 RBI every year and he’s on pace to surpass those numbers yet again this season. While this price is fantastic, we have to like this matchup too. Tyler Alexander has only thrown 22 innings in the Majors, which is scary when you consider his 4.98 ERA and 1.46 WHIP dating back to 2016 at the minors. It also puts the platoon advantage in Abreu’s favor and he’s got a .944 OPS against lefties since 2017.

8/7 DFS Hitting Second Basemen

Keston Hiura, MIL at PIT

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,100)

This is one of those cases where I like Hiura on one site and not another. This DraftKings price is much more indicative of the guy we’ve seen and that makes this FanDuel price an absolute bargain. We’re talking about a guy who’s generating a .299 AVG, .560 SLG and .928 OPS. That’s really no surprise when you look at his 1.095 OPS at Triple-A this season and he’s simply one of the most dangerous second basemen in the league. Getting to face Trevor Williams only adds to Hiura’s value, with him pitching to a 6.64 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over his last seven starts.

8/7 DFS Hitting Third Basemen

Josh Donaldson, ATL at MIN

DK ($4,800) FD ($3,600)

Donaldson has returned to his MVP form as of late and it’s done wonders for the Braves. Over his last 28 games, Donaldson has 11 homers and 19 RBI en route to a .415 OBP, .667 SLG and 1.081 OPS. That’s the stud that we’ve been waiting for and that doesn’t even take into consideration that he gets to face a lefty here. For his career, Donaldson has a .571 SLG and .954 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. It happens to be a weak lefty too, with Martin Perez pitching to a 4.58 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season.

8/7 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Manny Machado, SD at SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($4,000)

Machado is one of the hottest hitters in the game and he’s always tough to fade whenever he faces a left-hander. Since a series in Colorado in the middle of June, Machado is hitting .330 over his last 42 games while generating a .653 SLG and 1.027 OPS in that span. It’s really no surprise when you look at his numbers against lefties, with Machado posting a .391 AVG, .484 OBP, .823 SLG and 1.307 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That’s obviously ridiculous production and it really makes him enticing against Yusei Kikuchi’s 5.49 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.

8/7 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. COL

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,100)

This dude is simply absurd and his majestic blast on Tuesday shows just how much power this kid has. We’re talking about a guy who has 13 homers and 41 RBI in just 41 games played en route to a .340 AVG. That’s really no surprise when you see his .343 AVG and 1.185 OPS at Triple-A this season and it’s clear this kid is going to be a threat for years to come. What makes him particularly scary here is this matchup, as he gets the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert and his 5.71 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.

Hunter Renfroe, SD at SEA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,000)

Much like Machado, Renfroe has made minced meat of left-handers all season long. In fact, the big outfielder has a .738 SLG and 1.049 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That’s why this club has mashed lefties all season long and Renfroe actually has an OPS north of .950 against southpaws for his career. Getting to face Kikuchi may be the best part of this play though, with the Seattle southpaw pitching to a 7.65 ERA and 1.91 WHIP over his last eight starts.

Stephen Piscotty, OAK at CHC

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

This is a strange play but Piscotty has been abusing left-handers all season long. In fact, Piscotty’s .952 OPS against southpaws this season is 300 points higher than his OPS against righties. That’s why he’s typically in the heart of the order under these circumstances and Jose Quintana is not really a pitcher we need to worry about. In fact, the Cubs lefty has a 4.40 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, which are some of the worst numbers of his career.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts

We are talking about the league leader in strikeouts and K rate facing an offense that sits 26th in K rate, 29th in road OPS and last in road OBP. This prop should be two Ks higher than it is.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Daniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it.

Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.

Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month.

Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Preferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 Runs
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 Runs
LHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Top Daily Fantasy Sports Hitters and Stacks for July 14th

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Let’s take a look at some of the MLB Daily Fantasy Sports Top Plays and Stacks for Sunday, July 14th.

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Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Marcus Stroman

FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,300

The Yankees’ catcher has a .316 ISO versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez also has a .359 wOBA against righties. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one.

Value:

Jason Castro

FanDuel: $2,600

Tony Wolters

DraftKings: $2,900

First Base –Joey Votto vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300

Votto has a .330 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. And now he faces a below league average pitcher in Senzatela in Coors Field.

Value:

Tyler White

FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $2,700

Second Base – Scooter Gennett vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700

Scooter is in a smash spot on Sunday. If he can’t go, plugin teammate Derek Dietrich. Dietrich has a .350 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Value:

Franklin Barreto

FanDuel: $2,100

Robinson Cano

DraftKings: $3,000

Third Base – Eugenio Suarez vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,000

The Reds’ third baseman has a .231 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Value:

Giovanny Urshela

FanDuel: $2,900

Marwin Gonzalez

DraftKings: $3,700

Shortstop – Alex Bregman vs. Ariel Jurado

FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,900

Bregman has a .934 OPS and a .393 wOBA against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Brandon Crawford

FanDuel: $2,400

Jose Iglesias

DraftKings: $3,200

Outfield – Charlie Blackmon vs. Tyler Mahle

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,400

Blackmon is crushing right-handed pitching this season. He has a 1.068 OPS and a .437 wOBA against righties in 2019.

Outfield – Yasiel Puig vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300

Puig has a .235 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Outfield – Yordan Alvarez vs. Ariel Jurado

FanDuel: $4,200 Draftkings: $5,200

Alvarez owns a 1.187 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2019. He also adds a 209 wRC+ against righties.

Value:

Marwin Gonzalez

FanDuel: $2,500

Josh Reddick

FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $3,600

Jesse Winker

DraftKings: $4,000

Top Stacks

Tampa Bay Rays:

The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff is a mess. They own a league-high 5.78 ERA, while also allowing a league-high 172 home runs. And now the pitching staff is coming off a doubleheader on Saturday, so you know it’s going to be ugly today. The Rays, who have scored double-digit runs in two of three already this weekend from Baltimore, are in a great spot to capitalize again today as well as carry your DFS lineups into the green.

Kansas City Royals:

The Tigers’ Jordan Zimmerman will face the Royals on Sunday. Zimmerman owns a 5.34 SIERA and a 5.43 xFIP on the season so he should be no match for the Royals’ offense. The Royals could be a sneaky play on Sunday for your DFS lineups.

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Giants’ Tyler Beede has struggled in 2019. He has a 5.37 SIERA and a 5.24 xFIP this season. The San Francisco pitcher also is allowing a 41.8% hard contact rate and 1.61 HR/9. The Brewers have five regulars in their lineup that have greater than a .200 ISO versus righties. Milwaukee should have no problem putting up runs in this one and helping you win some cash in DFS.

Houston Astros:

The Astros’ offense has come alive in this series against Texas and we should expect more of the same on Sunday. The Rangers’ Ariel Jurado has a 4.73 SIERA and is allowing a 43.5% hard contact rate. Houston’s everyday lineup consists of five players with ISOs over .200 so look for another big day from the Astros’ lineup in this one. Be sure you get an Astros’ stack or two in your DFS lineups.

Los Angeles Angels:

The Angels’ offense has come out blazing here in the second half. And there is no reason to believe that stops today as they face Seattle’s Yusei Kikuchi. The Mariners’ pitcher has a 5.09 SIERA and a low 9.1% swinging-strike rate. He also is allowing 1.74 HR/9. You will want some Angels’ exposure in your DFS entries on Sunday.

Oakland Athletics:

The White Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez is a target for DFS stacking anytime he takes the bump. He has a 5.12 SIERA and is allowing flyballs at a 47.1% clip. The high amount of flyballs has led to him allowing 2.11 HR/9.

Game Stack

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies:

Any time Las Vegas pins a 14 on a game total you are going to want some action from that game in your DFS lineup. This one is no different. Target as many Rockies and Reds in your entries as possible.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER@WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 6

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 7 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Andrew Heaney (LAA): 5.70 Runs

This is a play you’re not going to be able to get away from tonight. Andrew Heaney carries a 5.40 ERA, 5.39 FIP, and 4.20 SIERA through 36.2 innings pitched. Through 27 innings pitched, right handed batters are slashing .319 wOBA, .449 SLG, and to a .304 OBP against Heaney. The Astros have been hitting very well recently, slashing .374 wOBA, .204 ISO, and a .516 SLG. Smaller slate tonight so ownership will be a lot more concentrated on the Astros but it is good chalk and I’m perfectly fine with eating it.

Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Jose Altuve $3700 FD|$4200 DK, Alex Bregman $4300 FD|$5000 DK, Yordan Alvarez $4100 FD|$4800 DK, Yuli Gurriel $3400|$4400, and Robinson Chirinos $3100 FD|$3800 DK. George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK) is my last choice for higher priced guys but if you’re playing multiple lines I would definitely have exposure.

New York Mets Stack

vs. RHP Jake Arrieta (PHI): 5.00 Runs

I’ve eagerly awaited a solid left handed power hitting team to go against Jake Arrieta since those string of rainouts in Washington a few weeks back. He carries 4.43 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and a 4.85 SIERA into tonight’s game. He is absolutely terrible to left handed batters. They are slashing .383 wOBA, .535 SLG, and to a .386 OBP through 43.0 innings pitched. He has surrendered 27 earned runs and 11 home runs over that same span. The Mets are hitting to a tune of .313 wOBA, .181 ISO, and 101 WRC+ over the last two weeks, slightly above their season averages. Be weary of the weather here tonight.

Oakland Athletics Stack

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 5.15 Runs

Marco Gonzales carries a 4.39 ERA, 4.11 FIP, and 5.14 SIERA into tonight’s game. He has fairly identical splits with a .324 wOBA, .444 SLG, and .327 OBP through 78.1 innings pitched against right handed batters. Most should be focused on that Astros stack and probably spending down for some cheap Cardinals so we have a chance to catch the A’s at low ownership. I didn’t list them, but I know they let down a lot of people last night. The A’s are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .223 ISO, and .499 SLG vs. left handed pitching this season. The team as a whole has been in a bit of a hitting slump over the last two weeks, slashing to a .246 wOBA, .112 ISO, and .303 SLG in that time span. I always feel like Oakland is pretty risky, but I’ll go there in GPPs tonight.

One-offs and Value Plays

Josh Phegley (OAK) $2600 FD| $3700 DK, Robinson Chirinos (HOU) $3100 FD| $3800 DK, Hunter Renfroe (SDP) $2700 FD, Jose Martinez (STL) $2700 FD|$3500 DK, Paul Goldschmidt (STL) $3000 FD|$3400 DK, and Brad Miller (PHI) $2000 FD|$3500 DK.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for July 3rd: Subway Slammers

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Wednesday’s MLB actionincludes some big-time offenses in great spots for DFS purposes. So below wehave four stacks to target as you assemble your Daily Fantasy Sports entries.

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New York Yankees

The New York Mets will be starting Jason Vargas on the bump in this one. Vargas is a guy that the Yankees should be able to get to. The right-hander has a 5.05 SIERA and a 5.09 xFIP while striking out just 20% of the batters he has faced in 2019. We will want to get some exposure in our DFS lineups.

So of course, we want to load up on some Yankees in our DFS lineups and our New York stack will start with Gary Sanchez (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,700). Sanchez has an ISO north of .300 versus left-handed pitching. Some other Yankee’s bats worth considering are: Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,300) and Gleyber Torres (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600). Both have ISOs above .200 versus righties in 2019. And do not forget about Aaron Judge (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $4,800) and D.J. LeMahieu (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,200). Both of these Yankees have wOBAs greater than .400 against lefties in 2019.

Houston Astros

With the Astros having already hit 98 home runs against right-handed pitching this season, it is safe to say they have a really good chance of tacking a few more onto that total in this one. Not only are they playing in Coors Field, but the Rockies’ Peter Lambert is allowing 2.55 HR/9. Load up on the Astros in your DFS entries.

Lambert has really struggled at home this season. He is allowing a .478 wOBA and a 46% hard contact rate in Colorado in 2019. So feel free to stack any combination of Astros. But you will want to pay particular attention to the lefty bats in the Houston lineup. Lambert is allowing a .440/.444/1.040 slash line to lefties at home this season. With that in mind, we will want to start our DFS Astros’ build with Yordan Alvarez (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500), if he is healthy enough to get back in the lineup. The Houston slugger has a .400 ISO and a .424 wOBA against righties this season.

Colorado Rockies

Any time the Rockies’ offense is opposed by a lefty, they have to be considered for DFS stacking purposes. Against left-handed pitching this season, Colorado has been very successful. As a team, they have a .200 ISO and a .340 wOBA against left-handed pitching. And when they get to face a left-hander in the thin air of Colorado they are a no-brainer DFS stacking option.

So, your Colorado DFS building blocks should include the likes of: Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,500), Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,300), Charlie Blackmon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,800) and David Dahl (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200). All four of these Rockies’ batters have accumulated at least a .230 ISO versus left-handed pitching.

Boston Red Sox

You are going to want to pick on Toronto’s Sean Reid-Foley in your DFS lineups on Wednesday. Reid-has a 5.75 SIERA and a 6.46 xFIP as well as a low 9.9% swing strike rate. The Blue Jays’ starter is not missing many bats.

We want to build our Boston’ DFS stack starting with the usual suspects: Mookie Betts (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,400), Rafael Devers (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,700) and Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,600). These three batters have ISOs greater than .200 against right-handed pitching.

Washington Nationals

In 65 career at-bats against the Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara, the Nationals’ current roster has a .369/.431/.706 slash line. In particular Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) and Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $5,000) have been excellent against the Miami starter. Combined, the players are 9-for-23 with three home runs and eight RBIs against Alcantara and are excellent DFS building blocks for Wednesday.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MYOTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT WinDaily DFS HASTO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO,DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Hitting and Stacks for 6/15: Baltimore Bashing

Alisia Gustafson 6 years ago

written by Alisia Gustafson

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First Base

Trey Mancini, Bos vs. Bal

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,600)

I can see Mancini homering tonight, whether it’s against Sale or at the end of the game after the Red Sox are up by 10. Mancini homered last night and comes into this game batting .318 over his last seven games and .333 with four homers in the month of June. I am not saying Baltimore will be on the bases a lot, i’m just saying if anyone can turn into one tonight, it’s Mancini, and at a price of 4,600 on FanDuel, he should be very low owned. Also, Mancini owns a .364 BA in 23 at-bats against Sale.

Second Base

Brock Holt, Bos at Bal

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500)

Holt was the man last night, including the second inning homer, every at-bat was beautiful against the struggling Orioles bullpen. If Holt makes the lineup tonight, which I believe he will, count on some solid production against Dylan Bundy. Holt owns a .643 BA against Bundy in 16 at-bats. This includes three doubles and one home run. Holt is my play of the day at such reasonable pricing. Don’t count on getting him at low ownership, though.

Third Base

Todd Frazier, Nym vs. Stl

DK ($4,200) FD ($2,800)

Frazier has two prior homers against opposing pitcher Micheal Wacha. He has had his problems this season with a 5.62 ERA but has pitched great in the month of June (two games played/one start) with no runs allowed over 8.1 innings pitched. Over this span, Wacha has allowed a .241 opposing BA. But this is what I like to call regression day. Wacha could very well revert to his normal self against a Mets team that has the potential to really do some damage. If stacking this team, only stack right-handed batters. Wacha has reverse splits and over a three-year average those reverse splits stay pretty consistent. He’s allowed a .280 BA with 26 homers to opposing righties, while only allowing a .248 BA to opposing lefties with 15 homers. The Mets are favored at -145 with an 8.5 under/over.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, Ari @ Wsh **Early**

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,200)

I love all of the Washington bats today as they set to face Tyler Clarke. He has a 5.26 ERA and a 5.66 road ERA. Clarke is allowing big numbers to opposing righties, as they’re hitting .304 against him with two homers in 46 at-bats. Clarke has really struggled lately, allowing a 7.02 ERA over his last four starts. Trea Turner will lead things off and should benefit off runs, RBI, and stolen bases as well as the potential long ball. This is my early slate upside play and I am very confident in a solid floor as well.

Outfield

Bryce Harper, Atl vs. Phi

DK ($4,200) FD ($4,000)

Bryce Harper owns a .333 BA in 13 at-bats against Sean Newcomb. Harper has been a little off, as he’s only batting .255 so far in the month of June and his long ball numbers are not quite there yet. Over his last seven games, Harper is only batting .238 with one home run. Harper donged last night, which could be the turnaround marker. His price is solid with all things considered. This is a GPP lock for me and I hope it goes low-owned because we all know what Harper is capable of when he’s hot.

Mookie Betts, Bos at Bal

DK ($5,800) FD ($5,100)

Mookie sat last night and should be well rested tonight as the Red Sox are expected to demolish the Baltimore Orioles again. Baltimore’s bullpen is just not Major League ready right now. Maybe this offseason Baltimore will spend a little more time filling out that bullpen. The Red Sox are favored at -300 with an 8.5 under/over.

Yordan Alvarez, Tor at Hou

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,500)

This kid is on fire! His price finally rose to 3,500 on FanDuel but that’s still not enough. Alvarez has averaged 26.80 FD points since entering the Majors just four games ago, homering in three of the four. He faces left-handed Clayton Richard, who allowed a .296 BA with 95% of his 47 home runs over the past three seasons to opposing righties. Don’t think, just do it!

Also Consider: Andrew Benintendi

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Stacks

The Boston Red Sox demolished the Orioles last night, just like I predicted in last night’s Win Daily On Deck article. The problem was many other teams/players went off as well. Tonight, there is no question in my mind that Boston will go off again. Baltimore’s bullpen is full of players that are just not capable of throwing one past these Red Sox sluggers. As I mentioned yesterday, Baltimore’s bullpen is ranked dead last in the league, carrying a 5.72 ERA. The question isn’t whether or not to invest in Boston but who to invest in within a Boston Stack. Use Holt, Benintendi, Betts and my fourth is TBD. Stay tuned on Twitter @JaguarDFS.

The Houston Astros Stack starts with Yordan Alvarez. His price finally rose to 3,500 on FanDuel but that’s still not enough. This kid is perfect to rev up an Astros team that has been a little off recently, posting a .232 BA in the month of June. The Astros face Clayton Richard, who struggled in his last start allowing seven earned runs over 2.2 innings pitched. Richard has not faced the Astros but could definitely run into some problems here against a right-handed heavy power offense in Houston. The Astros are favored by -210 with a 9 under/over.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Hitting and Stacks for 6/15: Baltimore Bashing

Alisia Gustafson 6 years ago

written by Alisia Gustafson

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First Base

Trey Mancini, Bos vs. Bal

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,600)

Second Base

Brock Holt, Bos at Bal

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500)

Third Base

Todd Frazier, Nym vs. Stl

DK ($4,200) FD ($2,800)

Shortstop

Trea Turner, Ari @ Wsh **Early**

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,200)

Outfield

Bryce Harper, Atl vs. Phi

DK ($4,200) FD ($4,000)

Mookie Betts, Bos at Bal

DK ($5,800) FD ($5,100)

Yordan Alvarez, Tor at Hou

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,500)

Also Consider: Andrew Benintendi

Stacks

6 years ago 0 comments

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