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Vladimir Guerrero Jr

There was a 12-game slate on Thursday June 21. All points and dollar amounts are from DraftKings.

Winners

Glenn Sparkman ($4,200)

Glenn Sparkman went seven innings against the Minnesota Twins and only gave up a run on five hits. He also had a walk and three strikeouts. His one mistake pitch came against the second batter of the game, when Jorge Polanco hit a solo home run. With a very small price tag for a pitcher, Sparkman has to be on your radar his next start.

Sparkman’s Outlook

Glenn Sparkman had one of his best outings as a big leaguer last night. Even better, he also did that against one of the best lineups in baseball. His next scheduled start is against the Cleveland Indians on Tuesday. Now that he is gaining confidence as a starter, look for Sparkman as a cheap option on Tuesday’s slate.

Jose Iglesias ($3,500)

Jose Iglesias had a good game at the plate against the Milwaukee Brewers last night, going 2-for-5 with a home run, four RBI and a run scored. He upped his batting average to .291 after his performance. Look to use Iglesias on today’s slate.

Iglesias’ Outlook

Jose Iglesias has been hitting .306 (32-for-106) in his previous 30 games with three home runs and 17 RBI in that span. He is putting the ball in play and putting the pressure on the opposing fielders. Tonight the Reds continue the series against the Milwaukee Brewers and Chase Anderson is on the mound. Anderson’s curveball is practically non-existent this season as he is only throwing it 11 percent of the time and batters are hitting .471 against it. Lock Iglesias in for a multi-hit game.

Losers

Madison Bumgarner ($9,200)

Madison Bumgarner struggled last night against against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He ended up working just 3.2 innings with six runs on 10 hits and a 3:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. A five-run fourth inning made Bumgarner’s outing look a lot worse than it was. Madison Bumgarner will bounce back in his next start so use him on his next slate.

Bumgarner’s Outlook

If you take out the fourth inning, Bumgarner had a good beginning of the game against the Dodgers. Bumgarner had one bad inning that blew up his entire outing. His ERA is now at 4.28 and that would be his highest for a season by almost a full run. His next start will be on Tuesday against Colorado. The Rockies have a tendency to hit less on the road than at home, so Bumgarner will have a good start his next time up.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr ($3,500)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr struggled at the plate against the Los Angeles Angels. He finished hitless on four at-bats with a walk, a strikeout and seven runners left on base. He is in the midst of a cold stretch at the plate and should be faded on today’s slate.

Guerrero’s Outlook

Vladimir Guerrero Jr has been slumping this past week, going 5-for-24 with two RBI in that stretch. His season average has dropped to .249 after yesterday’s game. With only one home run in the entire month of June thus far, Guerrero seems to be off at the plate. The Blue Jays travel to Boston to play against the Red Sox and Chris Sale. He is locked in and Sale is hard to face when on a hot streak.

Injury Update

Aaron Judgeofficially returned from his oblique strain to the Yankees’ active roster after last night’s game. Judge originally went on the IL on April 20.

Nolan Arenado was pulled in the ninth inning in last night’s game with a toe contusion. He is considered day-to-day.

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By Vincent Pensabene

There were 15 games on the slate for May 24, but the Yankees and Royals were rained out and will have a doubleheader today. We will discuss who was a great play and others who underachieved. All scores and prices are based off DraftKings.

Winners

Jorge Alfaro ($3,400)

The Nationals and Marlins had a slugfest on Friday, and Alfaro had his footprints all over the game. He went 3-for-5 with a homer, three RBI and two runs scored. Alfaro, like many of the Marlins, has had a difficult start to the season with a .257 average, but with Patrick Corbin on the bump today, I would look to fade him.

Alfaro’s Outlook

The Marlins will continue their four-game set in Washington in the battle of the bottom of the NL East. This was Alfaro’s first multi-hit game since May 17 against the Mets. The Nationals have struggled at the beginning of the year, but with a legitimate pitcher in Patrick Corbin, I would expect him to shut down the lowly Marlins. Also, Alfaro has a chance of sitting, as today’s game is at 4:05 p.m.

Adam Jones ($4,400)

The Diamondbacks dominated the San Francisco Giants and Adam Jones was the leader of the pack.  Jones was in the cleanup spot in the order and went 4-for-5 with a home run and three RBI. He also scored three times.

Jones’ Outlook

This was the opener of a three-game set in San Francisco for the Diamondbacks. The Giants have not been a good pitching staff, as they have a 4.39 ERA and a .242 batting average against. Arizona, as a whole, has been putrid for the past week, so Jones’ outburst was welcomed. Jones was 1-for-18 in his previous four games, but I would look to put him back in the lineup against a tired Giants’ team.

Jacoby Jones ($2,800)

Jacoby Jones only went 2-for-5 but hit his fifth homer of the season and had four RBI vs. the Mets. He also recorded a double and scored twice to produce in the victory. I do not think Jones will have another game with this kind of production for a while so I would avoid him, even with his low price tag.

Jones’ Outlook

This wasn’t the biggest splash you will see in DFS but with his price tag, it was definitely worth mentioning. His average rose to .183 for the year and had a season-high six total bases. The Tigers aren’t much better as a team than Jones’ average indicates so I would not look for another game like this for a while.

Losers

Noah Syndergaard ($10,100)

Syndergaard did not have a good outing against the Detroit Tigers yesterday. His final line was 5.1 innings with six runs on 10 hits with a walk and two strikeouts. He also gave up two home runs in the outing but recorded a no decision. Most of the struggles came in the first two innings but they all count the same in DFS.

Syndergaard’s Outlook

Syndergaard had the chance to build off his last start in Miami and came out of the gates slow. Syndergaard has had a solid month of May before yesterday’s game but the six runs and 10 hits were tied for his most given up this season. The positive is that he only allowed one free pass, but Detroit is one of the worst offensive teams in the league with a .650 OPS, so this was a matchup where Syndergaard should have thrived. His next start is scheduled for Wednesday at the L.A. Dodgers, so it will be difficult to see a situation where he could bounce back.

Drew Pomeranz ($7,200)

Pomeranz has not had a good 2019 season thus far, only going 27.2 innings in nine starts. He was granted the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks, but they woke up, as Pomeranz only went 2.2 innings and gave up five runs on eight hits, including a home run. He also struck out six and gave up a walk en route to his fifth loss of the season. It’ll be a while before you should consider Pomeranz as a viable option in any lineup.

Pomeranz’s Outlook

Pomeranz hasn’t looked anywhere similar to his 2017 campaign where he went 17-6. The Diamondbacks are tied for the fourth-best average in the National League but were under the Mendoza Line during their recent losing streak. This was also Pomeranz’s fourth consecutive start where he failed to complete five innings. His next start should be Thursday in Miami against the Marlins so it’ll be interesting to see how he could manage against a much weaker lineup than he faced yesterday.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr ($4,200)

The youth movement in Toronto has been exciting to watch for the Blue Jays but yesterday was a struggle offensively. It was Guerrero’s second consecutive hitless game,  as he went 0-for-4 with a punchout. It’s nothing to be worried about but it is his first time struggling in the majors. Pitchers are getting a look at him and learning how to work to him.

Guerrero’s Outlook

This is not the end of the world for Vlad. He has been in the big leagues for 30 days, so the slump was bound to happen eventually. The Blue Jays will play the second of their three-game set against the San Diego Padres today and Guerrero will have the opportunity to work out of the slump.

Injury Update

Didi Gregorius has officially started his rehab assignment from Tommy John surgery in October. This means he should return by mid-June.

Dustin Pedroia and Brock Holt have begun their rehab assignments for the Boston Red Sox.

Khris Davis was placed on the 10-day IL retroactive to May 22 with a left hip/oblique contusion.

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Drafting Smart – written by Brian Handzel

Rougned Odor (2nd Base, Texas Rangers)

Drafting smart this time of year is important, but where can you save yourself headaches and still get a value? My value pick of the day is Rougned Odor. With an average draft position of around 128, in season-long leagues, according to RotoBaller, Odor should be a steal for a daily pickup. Since 2014 Odors walk rates have been on the rise;

2014: 4.1%

2015: 4.9%

2016: 3%

2017: 4.9%

2018: 8%

2019: Spring Training, 11.4% (as of 3/20/19)

What does this mean for Odor this season? According to Fangraphs, Odor is projected to keep a walk rate of 8%, while producing a slash line of .249/.307/.445 and a WRC+ of 97. So a league average player with a high walk rate. In a daily prospective Odor should be cheap on a daily basis. You’ll be able to fill your lineup with big hitters without having to scrape the bottom of the barrel for no upside.

At 25 years old, if Odor is on base, which by his projections he will be over 30% of the time, he is a threat to steal. This is no longer the 80’s where everyone is running all over, but Odor should be able to amass some steals. Any player you can pick up who will give you the on-base percentage and steals is definitely a good pickup, especially if you don’t have to spend a lot to obtain them.

So keep an eye out for Rougned Odor this season, especially if he is a cheap option to fill the 2nd base slot so you can load your lineup with big hitters to maximize your daily lineup.

Jung Ho Kang (3rd Base/ShortStop, Pittsburgh Pirates)

Kang is projected to hit .266/.340/.464 in 104 games this season with 17 home runs and 59 runs batted in. Good average, great on base percentage, Kang is going to produce for you, without the giant price tag. With the low price tag, just like Odor, you can maximize other positons while still getting production from your lower paid slots.

Kang, at least in the beginning of the season is going to be relatively forgotten about since he has only played in three Major League games since 2016. Don’t let that deter you from taking the value on Kang though because in 2016 when he played in 103 games he slashed .255/.354/.513 with 21 home runs and 62 runs batted in.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (Atlanta Braves)

Will last year’s National League Rookie of the Year come back for another great sophomore season or will there be a classic case of the sophomore slump? According to Fangraphs, Acuna is going to dominate again. Last season Acuna slashed .293/.366/.552 with 26 home runs and 64 runs batted in. This season he is projected to slash .276/.344/.511 with 30 home runs and 81 runs batted in. Acuna is going to be a costly player, but he is going to be one that you should be willing to spend on.

Not only is Acuna going to get on base and hit the ball hard, but he is also going to grab you some ever-elusive steals. Projected to swipe 25 bags this year, Acuna’s speed is a big difference maker when it comes to spending because he can fill up more categories than just your average power hitter.

Teoscar Hernandez (Outfield, Toronto Blue Jays)

Last season Hernandez came on the scene and played in a career-high 134 games for the Blue Jays.

Hernandez ensured that if he was going to get the playing time, he was going to make the best of it.

Hernandez produced a slash line of .239/.302/.468 which were all career highs. To add to the list of career highs, he also hit 22 home runs, drove in 57 and on top of all that, stole seven bags. With regular playing time, Hernandez could be a key piece to an outfield. But with Toronto’s outfield of Billy McKinney, Kevin Pillar, and Randal Grichuk, it doesn’t look like Hernandez will get the chance to be an everyday player in Toronto.

Even without regular playing time, I feel like Hernandez can be a great cheap option for you. Steamer projects Hernandez to play in 99 games and l to produce a slash line of .236/.301/.435 while amassing 14 home runs and seven stolen bases.

Steamer is also projecting a .320 BABIP and a .316 wOBA. All of these stats equate to essentially a league average player, and the 99 WRC+ shows that. Fangraphs also projects Hernandez to produce a slightly above average WAR, at 0.3.

Don’t sleep on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3rd Base, Toronto Blue Jays

There is no doubt that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is going to be taken in the first round in every draft this season. If he makes it to you, take him. Last year Vlad Guerrero Jr. slashed .381/.437/.636 with 20 Home runs and posted a WRC+ of 201 over 4 levels. With a steamer projection of .306/.368/.511 with 22 home runs and a WRC+ of 138, Guerrero will be a slam dunk first round pick. It doesn’t matter if you’re in a

redraft league or dynasty, Vlad Guerrero Jr should be taken in your first round, as long as you pick picking up Mike Trout or Mookie Betts.

 

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