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MLB DFS Core and Best Bets for May 7

It’s Tuesday and that means we should have a fairly large slate to work with.  Tonight, we’ll have 8 games of MLB DFS to navigate through.  Hopefully, at some point, the sites will adapt to the earlier start times and start to include those 6:40 games in the main slate.  Until they do, we’ll be dealing with a smaller slate.  This slate brings us some juicy matchups though.  We have some high-end aces, including the 2 aces that came over from Japan.  We also have ourselves a return of Coors, but some nice pivots from that game that should help us differentiate our lineups. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Yoshinobu Yamamoto ($10.1k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins

It was bound to happen with the way he’s been performing, but Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s price is finally above $10k.  He’s proven his worth big time after struggling in the spring and to start the year.  Yamamoto is coming off the heels of 2 masterful performances.  He’s thrown back-to-back gems against the Dbacks and Nats.  In those outings, he didn’t surrender a single run and combined to strike out 12 hitters in the 12 innings of work. 

On the year now, he’s 3-1 with an ERA of just 2.91.  He’s starting to adapt to the Majors and he’s proving that the massive contract he was given was worth it.  He gets a glorious matchup today vs. an awful Marlins team.  He’s a huge favorite tonight and should easily get the W here. 

Seth Lugo ($7.2k on DK) vs. Milwaukee Brewers

After 2 consecutive games having at least 30 DK points, all DraftKings could do was lower Seth Lugo’s price to a season-low.  Due to the price, I do expect Lugo to be chalky but it may be chalk that we’ll need to eat.  Even though the Brewers started out the year strong, their offense has been average at best over the last few weeks.  Over the last week, the offense has been below average as they’ve scored just 25 runs and have struck out 27% of the time. 

We saw Cole Ragans carve them up and even though Lugo throws from the other side, he too should be able to take advantage of this sputtering offense.  He’s been red hot over to start the season and I don’t see him slowing down tonight.  Let’s take advantage of his low price tonight. 

Other pitchers that will be in my pool today will be Shota Imanaga vs. the Padres, Justin Verlander vs. the Yankees, and Reynaldo Lopez vs. the Red Sox. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

San Francisco Giants vs. Dakota Hudson

I often try to stay away from going right to a Coors game when recommending stacks, but this matchup is pristine.  Hudson has very clear home/away splits on the season.  The former Cardinals’ pitcher has not adjusted well to his new home in Colorado.  Through 6 starts, Hudson’s splits could not be any more drastic.  At home, hitters have a .561 slugging percentage vs. him.  Away, it’s just .292.  At home, hitters have a .442 wOBA vs. him.  Away, it’s just .276. 

When at home, he’s a pitcher that we’re going to want to target and we’re going to want to target him often.  I’m not going to be overly concerned with hitter-handedness as both sides of the plate have slugging %’s over .500 vs. him in Coors.

Core Bats: Lamont Wade Jr, Thairo Estrada, Michael Conforto

Secondary Bats: Wilmer Flores, Jung Ho Lee

Value Bats: Mike Yastrzemski, Blake Sabo

New York Mets vs. Miles MIkolas

I’ve been picking and choosing my spots with my New York Mets and this is a spot that I really like tonight.  I think that Miles Mikolas is an awful pitcher.  He had a couple of good years when he came back from pitching overseas, but in the last couple of seasons, he has regressed back to the point that made him look to pitching elsewhere besides MLB. 

Mikolas faced the Mets a couple of weeks ago and although the box score was in his favor, it was mostly due to luck.  The Mets had multiple barrels in that game and a ton of hard-hit balls.  The near 90% LOB percentage that Mikolas had in that game just isn’t sustainable.  A couple more clutch hits for the Mets in that game, and the story would have been very different.  I’m looking for the Mets to take full advantage of this second opportunity to get to him tonight. 

Core Bats: Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, Pete Alonso

Secondary Bats: JD Martinez, Starling Marte

Value Bats: Brett Baty, Harrison Bader,

Other stacks I like tonight will be the Rockies vs. Kyle Harrison, Cubs vs. Randy Vasquez, and the Royals vs. Colin Rea.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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