We’ve got a 13-game main slate for 9/24 DFS and while a playoff picture is finally emerging and the season is winding down, there are still some high-upside hitters and stacks to get you prepped to win some green!
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The Red Sox shouldn’t have problems getting to either Vólquez, who’s having a last hurrah in the big leagues before retiring, or Jurado, who has a 5.73 ERA this season and has trouble getting Ks. You may want to skip Betts, who’s been getting rest since coming back from a foot injury, but grab shares of J.D. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts and some of the more inexpensive bats (Mitch Moreland, Brock Holt, Jackie Bradley) that should help you make salary. I think the 2-5 plus Christian Vazquez (the projected 7 hitter) might be my favorite stack among the Red Sox bats.
The Astros are always worth looking to considering their 121 team wRC+ and .349 wOBA, but they face a couple mashable pitchers and you don’t have to worry about splits since they rake just about everybody. Get some shares of the red-hot George Springer (three HRs on Sunday) as well as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yuri Gurriel and Yordan Alvarez. they have the highest implied total among the teams with set lines so far.
These teams have been bashing each other’s brains in, and while I prefer the Blue Jays side of this offensive tilt, the entire game stack is in play. It’s been a GPP winner recently, so I have no qualms about rolling out the usual suspects again: Cavan Biggio, Randal Grichuk, Rowdy Tellez, and value bats like Brandon Drury and Teoscar Hernandez – especially if Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. (illness) sits for a second consecutive day.
Chicago Cubs at Mitch Keller – The Cubs are nearly out of the playoff picture thanks to the Cardinals, but for 9/24 DFS you shouldn’t consider them officially dead yet – and they’re a bunch who can still pile on the runs. The Pirates home park isn’t the best venue for stacks, so ownership should be relatively low.
Atlanta Braves at Danny Duffy – Plenty of bats to like for this potent Braves lineup facing the lefty in Kansas City, you’ll just have to leave out a couple since they’re all so good. I may be fading the Yankees in Tampa, but I’m not worried about the Braves against a hittable pitcher in the heartland.
Cleveland Indians vs. Hector Santiago – The Indians aren’t as consistent as the Braves offensively, but they have a bunch of lefty mashers with a special affinity for Santiago. The implied run total is over 5.5, which means you should have shares of the 1-5 bats along with some exposure to Franmil Reyes and Jordan Luplow. I might take a wait-and-see approach with Jose Ramirez, who’s set to be activated from the IL.
Oakland Athletics at Dillon Peters – The A’s aren’t as good against LHPs (.305 team wOBA), but it’s a viable contrarian stack to consider for 9/24 DFS. The implied total is also over 5.5 runs and seems a bit high — so tread lightly with this bunch.
Vazquez got a day off yesterday against the Rays, but he should beback in the lineup Tuesday in Texas. He’s got 3 homers in his last seven gamesand his overall numbers in 2019 have been impressive: .273/.316/.472 with 22 HRs.Digging a little deeper, we find a .232 road ISO, with 14 of his dingers comingaway from Fenway Park.
Santana is having a career year, and I’m plugging him into most ofmy GPP builds against Hector Santiago. Hisseason slash sits at .288/.403/.529 with a 139 wRC+ and he’s destroying LHPsthis season (1.015 OPS, 162 wRC+ and .421 wOBA). There are many ways to go at1B on this slate, but Santana is my bet for a monster game.
Did you expect me to play some other than Biggio? He hit anotherbomb last night and has ben raking every time I use him in GPPs – from lastTuesday’s cycle and Thursday’s home run to helping me spike some decent cashesin last night’s Rally contests on FanDuel. He’s way too cheap on that site andhis price tag on DK should keep him from being chalk – especially with so manyhigh-priced arms.
It’s been a disappointing season for Machado, but he’d like to endit with some standout performances against his old team, the Dodgers. I lovethe matchup against LHP Rich Hill since Machado – with some really pronouncedsplits this season – hits .314/.401/.683 against southpaws. The price is rightfor Machado, and using him as a one-off or with OF Hunter Renfroe ($4,000 onDK, $3,100 on FD) – who’s another viable Padres power hitter with a 132 wRC+against LHPs – makes a lot of sense if you’re trying to find some value and buildingmultiple lineups.
Seger is finally hitting his groove as we near the postseason, andnow is a great time to plug him in at SS in the 9/24 DFS main slate. He’s got a123 wRC+ against RHPs and has a .381 WOBA and .314 ISO sine the start of September.There’s no time like the present, and presently, Corey Seager is raking.
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Cody might just ring that bell again on Tuesday night against “BadRonald” Bolanos, who’s given up three homers in 14 innings. Bellinger’s 166wRC+ and ridiculous .314/.414/.641 slash line vs. RHPs means he’ll be in all thelineups I can afford him in, regardless of the venue and the fact he’s on the road(149 wRC+ in away games this season).
He makes for a fine one-off if you’re not using the Braves stack, and he’s putting up obscene numbers against both LHPs and RHPs. Another interesting stat about Acuna is that he’s slashing a robust .281/.370/.510 with a 125 wRC+ at home and .279/.361/.527 with a 128 wRC+on the road. There’s not a day that I don’t consider him, even against the league’s top pitchers and regardless of the lofty price tag.
Hays had a monster night in Toronto on Monday and he’s once again in a good spot facing a lefty. The 24-year-old slugger is slashing .302/.362/.535 in the 15 games he’s played in the majors, and he’s still very inexpensive on both sites. If he’s in the Orioles lineup on Tuesday, I’ll be grabbing shares.
C: Wilson Contreras ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $3,100 FD)
1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $4,100 FD), Trey Mancini ($4,700 DK,$3,900 FD)
2B: Jose Altuve ($4,700 DK, $4,200 FD), DJ LeMahieu ($5,000 DK)($4,200 FD – 3B)
3B: Gio Urshela ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD) Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,800DK, $3,200 FD)
SS: Francisco Lindor ($5,400 DK, $4,300 FD), Nico Hoerner ($3,700DK, $3,000 FD)
OF: Anthony Santander ($4,000 DK, $3,400 FD), Brett Gardner ($4,500DK, $3,500 FD), Randal Grichuk ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD), Ramon Laureano GPP($3,100 FD), Austin Riley GPP ($2,200 FD), Adam Duvall GPP ($2,400 FD)
For the final Monday of the regular season, we have an abbreviated five-game slate ahead of us. While that’s small, it should make for a fun schedule. What’s crazy about this time of the year are all of the wacky managerial decisions. Many pitchers are having pitch counts limited and many teams who are out of it are experimenting and it’s causing chaos for DFS players. With that in mind, we only have two great stacks, so, let’s get to our 9/23 DFS hitting picks and stacks of the day.
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While Baltimore may not be the prettiest team of the day, they’re easily my favorite stack. That’s one of the major reasons I like them though, as they should be low-owned. That paired with this matchup is a beautiful recipe. With the O’s squaring off with Clay Buchholz. The Toronto righty has been atrocious this season, pitching to a 7.16 ERA and 1.55 WHIP since his first start. That’s a nightmarish nine-game stretch and Baltimore was a major part of that, dropping seven runs and 10 hits on him in his most recent outing. Getting to use the Orioles is a huge salary saver too and these guys will be sprinkled into all of my lineups.
While Chacin is only expected to go a handful of innings, we still love the Rays. Let’s begin with that starter, as Chacin is pitching to a 5.66 ERA and 1.55 WHIP this season. Those dreadful numbers should get Tampa off to a nice start and then the bullpen should continue their big evening. In fact, the Red Sox bullpen is allowing 5.07 runs per game, ranking 20th in MLB. That gives the Rays great matchup after great matchup and all of these guys are reasonably affordable too.
It was very tough to pick a catcher on this slate but Ramos is always a good option. What makes him intriguing today is the fact that he gets to face a lefty, with Ramos accumulating a .350 AVG, .424 OBP and .958 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. He actually has a .910 OPS against lefties dating all the way back to 2017 and he clearly sees the ball a lot better from that side. This happens to be a struggling lefty too, with Caleb Smith pitching to a 6.38 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over his last eight starts.
This is probably my favorite per-dollar play on the board. The reason for that is because Choi has been one of the best hitters in the league the last month, providing a .303 AVG, .417 OBP, .621 SLG and 1.038 OPS over his last 22 games. That’s really no surprise when you see his splits, with Choi generating a .373 OBP, .498 SLG and .871 OPS against right-handers since 2017. That’s why the Rays typically bat him leadoff or cleanup in these circumstances, only adding to his value in this superb matchup
This is one of the first times I’ve written up a Marlin all season but Castro has quietly had a nice year for them. Collecting 21 homers and 84 RBI for this lineup and nightmare ballpark is a testament to how good Castro has been and he’s simply way underpriced on these DFS sites. The thing that makes him enticing today is that he gets to face a lefty, with Castro providing a .325 AVG, .541 SLG and .895 OPS against them this season. We’re really not concerned about Steven Matz and his 4.54 FIP and 1.33 WHIP either.
Why is this dude priced so cheaply? He’s been one of the best hitters in the AL since putting on a show in the Home Run Derby and it’s just a matter of time before he’s one of the best hitters in our sport. Since July 19, Guerrero has a .325 AVG, .383 OBP, .515 SLG and .899 OPS. That’s the stud that we were waiting for and we have to love him against Dylan Bundy’s 4.89 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. In 53 at-bats against this putrid pitching staff, Guerrero is hitting .472 en route to a .717 SLG and 1.217 OPS.
Villar is easily my favorite play of our Orioles stack. He’s expected to hit leadoff against Buchholz and that alone puts him in play. His recent form is absolutely absurd too, with Villar posting a .327 AVG, .397 OBP, .578 SLG and .976 OPS over his last 53 games played. He also has 21 steals in that span and he’s simply one of the best power-speed guys in the league right now. Getting the platoon advantage against Buchholz is the icing on the cake, with Villar amassing a .357 OBP, .470 SLG and .827 OPS against righties while swiping 29 of his 38 steals this season.
We provided a ton of value in the infield write-ups, so let’s give you guys some studs in the outfield. Soto is just that, as he’s one of the league leaders with a .401 OBP and .966 OPS. Those are amazing numbers from a 20-year-old and much of that damage has come recently. Over his last 50 games, Soto has a .415 OBP, .667 SLG and 1.082 OPS. That’s bad news for Zach Eflin, with Soto totaling a .414 OBP .602 SLG and 1.015 OPS against right-handers this season.
Meadows has truly broken out as one of the best OF’s in the AL and it appears we have a perennial All-Star for years to come. Any rookie with 32 homers and a .286 AVG is impressive but it’s also backed up by a .563 SLG and .921 OPS. He’s absolutely scorching right now too, accruing a .325 AVG, .394 OBP, .737 SLG and 1.131 OPS over his last 29 games played. Facing Chacin and this crappy bullpen is simply a bonus, with Meadows posting a .383 OBP, .582 SLG and .964 OPS against righties so far this year.
I really don’t want to stack against Alex Young with the way he’s pitching but Ozuna is a nice one-off. We’re still talking about a guy with a .282 AVG, .488 SLG and .832 OPS dating back to 2017 and he’s simply one of the best power bats in baseball. He’s always been better against southpaws despite his down numbers this year, posting a .288 AVG, .353 wOBA and .490 SLG against them for his career. Young is certainly a guy who could see some negative regression too, with the lefty’s 4.51 xFIP way off of his 3.27 ERA.
We’ve got a loaded 14-game 7:05 EST main slate for MLB 9/17 DFS – one that we’ve got some high game totals for, including another big-time stack at Coors. The lineups get unstable toward the end of the year, but that just gives us more opportunities to embrace the variance and make it fun on this enormous slate.
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The Mets are expensive but have the highest implied total on the slate. Last night they scored just four runs in Coors but on Tuesday get to face Melville, who’s been torched in his three home starts (.516 xwOBA, 9.00 ERA, 6.31 xFIP). I’ll be applying a liberal smattering of Mets hitters in most of my lineups, with most of my exposure coming with the first five hitters: Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, Michael Conforto, Robinson Cano and Pete Alonso. Wilson Ramos is a very affordable $2,900 on FD as well, where he can be used in one of two spots.
The Sox may be missing Mookie Betts (foot) but they’re still a powerful bunch of bats in a hitter’s park. Logan Webb has been tuned up for a .400 xwOBA vs. RHP) during his short time in the Majors, and he’s not going to like the ballpark shift from Oracle. The usual suspects (Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi) are all $5,000 or under on DK, and Mitch Moreland is just $4,200.
The Blue Jays are a sneaky stack in a slate with Coors Field on the docket, and they’ll be playing in Baltimore, where the homers fly out and the Orioles pitching staff has reached a new nadir in allowing the long ball. I’m stacking the 1-5 with occasional shares of Randal Grichuk ($4,300 DK) and Billy McKinney ($3,300 DK).
The Indians are underpriced for the matchup on this 9/17 DFS slate, whether it’s against Schreiber (the possible opener) or Turnbull, who’s really struggled this season (3-15 in 27 starts with a 4.77 ERA and 1.48 WHIP). I’m leaning toward mini-stacks considering there are so many other great matchups on this slate, but feel free to grab shares of the 1-5 hitters and get some exposure to the value bats (Franmil Reyes, Mike Freeman and Jordan Luplow, if he’s in the lineup).
Atlanta Braves at Vince Velazquez (It’s tough to fadeFreeman and Co. in a hitter’s park)
Miami Marlins at LHP Alex Young (all the righties –including my guy Starlin Castro)
Colorado Rockies vs. Marcus Stroman (The contrarian side ofCoors against a decent RHP)
I’m a huge fan of Realmuto, who sports a .443 xwOBA and .227 ISO against LHPs over the past two seasons. It’s a one-off play that should command low ownership and provide a decent floor – as well as immense upside in GPPs.
Tellez has four homers in his last 11 games, crushes right-handedpitching (.453 xwOBA, .245 ISO since 2018), and bats fourth between Lourdes Gurrieland Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. Tellez is my double-dinger call of the day, and he’snot really thrown off by lefty relievers, either (.430 xwOBA against LHPs since2018).
Biggio is another Jays bat I want exposure to in Camden Yards, where he’s already got three homers in five career games and a 168 OPS+ that screams GPP play. As part of stack or simply a value bat at a reasonable price, Biggio makes a solid play for his speed and power.
Chapman and his surging power numbers (4 HRs in September so far) couldbe overlooked on this slate, and if you’re wary of spending more than $5K for J.D.Davis but still want to get some other Coors bats in, he could be a big help.All these games matter for the A’s, and Chapman (.423 xwOBA and .250 ISO vs.RHPs since 2018) is the heart and soul of their lineup along with Matt Olsonand Marcus Semien, the other two Oakland bats with 30+ homers this year.
Lindor is my favorite shortstop of this slate. He gets lotsof ABs and benefits from a circular Indians lineup that has some decent hittersat the bottom of the order – giving him some run-creating opportunities alongwith table-setting ability. His price is cheaper than Xander Bogaerts, Trevor Storyand Bo Bichette on DK (with just as much GPP upside) and he’s playable in allformats at home (where he owns a .386 wOBA and .403 xwOBA sine 2018) against theTigers.
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Idiscussed the Red Sox stack up top, but if there’s one bat from Boston I’d likein this matchup, it’s J.D. His .506 xwOBA vs. RHPs since 2018 (over a hugesample of 998 plate appearances) means he can hit all types of pitching (it’s apreposterous .560 vs. LHPs) and he’s still surrounded by Bogaerts andBenintendi, who both hit RHPs well. I’m banking on a three-run homer for the RedSox OF/DH in hitter-friendly Fenway against young Logan Webb (.400 xwOBA vs. RHP).
Thehome numbers for Mercado are impressive (.290/.340/.477) and his bat has beenshowing some life again (10 hits in his last 26 AB). You’re getting thetalented young OF at a discount on both sites, and he’s a great piece to havein Indians mini stacks along with Lindor and Carlos Santana.
Hampson is red-hot at the plate and is dirt cheap onDK. He’s played much better since getting more regular time, starting in theRockies’ last five straight and games and going 11-for-22 over that stretch(counting Monday night). He’s easy to overlook in the lineup as the No. 7 hitterand makes plenty of sense in both cash games and GPPs.
C:Roberto Perez ($3,600 DK, $2,900FD), Reese McGuire ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD)
1B: Pete Alonso ($5,600 DK, $4,300 FD), Carlos Santana($4,300 DK, $3,900 FD)
2B: Robinson Cano ($4,700 DK, $3,600 FD), Jonathan Villar($4,700 DK, $3,800 FD)
3B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,900 DK, $2,900 FD), EugenioSuarez ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD)
SS: Bo Bichette ($5,400 DK, $3,900 FD), Xander Bogaerts ($5,000DK, 3,800 FD)
OF: Austin Meadows ($5,600 DK, $4,400 FD), Yordan Alvarez ($5,200DK, $4,100 FD), Brandon Nimmo ($4,500 DK, $3,900 FD), Khris Davis ($3,800 DK,$3,200 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,800 FD), Matt Joyce ($4,100 DK, $2,400FD)
On this 9/11 MLB DFS slate I would like us all to take a moment to reflect on the memories of all the lives lost on this day in America. I remember clearly where I was on that fateful day, and what I was doing. The confusion, the fear, the total disbelief. My heart goes out to all the families of the victims, may you find some peace in knowing we are all behind you always.
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On the Defense
This 9/11 MLB DFS slate is rather odd in the sense that for the first time in recent memory I will not be using any bottom of the barrel SP2s on DK. I just do not see any with high enough upside.
Sonny Gray vs. Seattle Mariners
$10,200 FD / $10,600 DK
What do you get when you cross a high strikeout upside pitcher with reverse road splits, who benefits from a positive park shift, facing a team that strikes out over 25 percent of the time versus RHPs? The answer on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is Sonny Gray, who has allowed four earned runs over his last seven starts.
StephenStrasburg vs. Minnesota Twins
$10,500 FD / $11,400 DK
I know it is hard to swallow taking anyone facing the Twins on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. After all, they absolutely crush RHPs, and LHPs don’t care for them much either. The thing is, not every pitcher is Strasburg. Over his last 20 innings pitched he has racked up 31 strikeouts. Even if a few runs are allowed here, the Twins still strike out out 21.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, opening the door for huge DFS upside.
AdamPlutko vs. Los Angeles Angels
$7,700 FD / $8,800 DK
The Angels are a very unpredictable to team to attack in DFS, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. They are 13th in MLB versus RHPs in wOBA, and 23rd in strikeouts. When you combine these factors, they all spell stay away. Regardless, in Plutko’s last start facing the Angels he went 5 1/3 innings allowing one earned run while sending four batters to the bench in dismay. I expect similar numbers here again tonight.
ReynaldoLopez vs. Kansas City Royals
$8,600 FD / $9,800 DK
Reynaldo Lopez may not be the greatest thing since the grilled cheese sandwich, but he does offer some upside on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Although he has had his ups and downs versus the Royals this season, the last time he faced them he had eight strikeouts over six innings, allowing one earned run. In his last start he pitched a complete game, allowing one earned run with 11 strikeouts versus Cleveland.
| Name | Team | W | L | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | GB% | HR/FB | ERA | xFIP |
| Stephen Strasburg | Nationals | 16 | 6 | 185 | 10.8 | 2.29 | 1.02 | 50.10% | 15.40% | 3.5 | 3.19 |
| Sonny Gray | Reds | 10 | 6 | 157.1 | 10.35 | 3.43 | 0.86 | 51.40% | 12.50% | 2.75 | 3.65 |
| Reynaldo Lopez | White Sox | 9 | 12 | 162 | 8.28 | 3.33 | 1.5 | 34.20% | 12.30% | 5.17 | 5.34 |
| Adam Plutko | Indians | 6 | 4 | 93.1 | 6.08 | 1.83 | 1.93 | 32.00% | 14.50% | 4.44 | 5.52 |
On theAttack
There are the obvious stacks pretty much any time there is a Coors Field game, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. It is going to be rather difficult to bat load tonight unless you completely fade decent pitching.
ZachEflin vs. Atlanta Braves
With everyone trying to fit Cardinals, Rockies, and Dodgers in their lineups on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate, let’s look elsewhere. Eflin has a 19.06 ERA over 5 2/3 innings vs. Atlanta this year. Despite pitching well in his recent starts I see a major blow up here tonight.
Notable Bats
Freddie Freeman is a top play most nights and tonightis no different. He is posting a .424 wOBA versus RHPs this season with a wRC+of 162.
Josh Donaldson is 6-for-9 with a home run and six RBIversus Eflin. He also is sporting a .393 wOBA versus RHPs on the season.
Matt Joyce is batting .385 with two home runs over the last seven days and carries a .374 wOBA versus RHPs.
Ryan Weber vs. Toronto Blue Jays
In the words of my stepdaughter Hailee, “oof”. Even though the Blue Jays are 26th in MLB versus RHPs, they still offer a bevy of runs on any given night. With Weber returning from Triple-A tonight, I am sprinkling in Jays bats on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Keep in mind, this is more of a boom-or-bust GPP play.
Notable Bats
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the lowest strikeoutpercentage of any daily starter by far at 17.4 percent versus RHP. He also hasa .365 wOBA against as well.
Rowdy Tellez homered in his only AB versus Shawarynthis season, and I see another huge night tonight batting in the five spot.
Randall Grichuk fares better versus LHPs, but he does offer HR upside facing scrub pitchers at a discount.
| Name | Team | PA | BB% | K% | SB | OBP | SLG | OPS | wOBA R | wOBA L |
| Freddie Freeman | Braves | 477 | 14.30% | 16.10% | 6 | 0.423 | 0.617 | 1.041 | 0.424 | 0.324 |
| Josh Donaldson | Braves | 460 | 14.10% | 23.00% | 3 | 0.383 | 0.567 | 0.949 | 0.393 | 0.364 |
| Matt Joyce | Braves | 173 | 15.00% | 19.70% | 0 | 0.393 | 0.483 | 0.876 | 0.374 | 0.377 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Blue Jays | 318 | 9.40% | 17.60% | 0 | 0.368 | 0.498 | 0.866 | 0.365 | 0.329 |
| Randal Grichuk | Blue Jays | 374 | 4.80% | 28.10% | 1 | 0.265 | 0.432 | 0.697 | 0.29 | 0.284 |
| Rowdy Tellez | Blue Jays | 245 | 6.50% | 28.20% | 0 | 0.273 | 0.411 | 0.684 | 0.284 | 0.322 |
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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick
The Indians are 19th in MLB in strikeout versus RHPs, I am going under with Peters, failing to reach this number in three of his last four starts.
The last time Plutko faced the Angels he had four strikeouts. I see this easily happening again. Over all the way.
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With the Giants and A’s playing tonight, Saturday offers a full 15-game slate with just three games scheduled before 7:00pm Eastern. The 8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks is the calm before the storm that begins next Saturday when college football bogarts its way into the sports schedule.
We’ve got you covered with college football, so keep your attention to the diamond while looking to make some long green as August makes the slow turn to September.
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Ramos extended his hitting streak to 17 games on Friday, continuing an August that has seen his OPS approach the gilded 1.000 mark. He’s helped his cause with a career-best 9% walk rate that has offset the dip in Isolated Power (.133) and BABIP (.294). He will get a very favorable matchup in Braves starter Max Fried, as Ramos wears out lefties with a .341/.424/.541 (.965 OPS) with five homers. That he’s managing this stretch of consistent hitting feels odd considering he’s hitting grounders at a 60.1% rate and manages a modest 31.6% hard contact rate.
Sometimes, the numbers can trick the hell out of us; in Ramos’ case, you take them for what they are and get the solid results.
Why not roll with Santana again? He reached base three times in Friday’s win over the Royals to continue an August in which he has nearly as many walks (18) as he does hits (25). Santana has a .473 OBP this month but has reached base at a .627 clip against Kansas City pitching this season with three homers and 10 runs scored. Royals starter Glenn Sparkman makes for another easy mark for Santana, as he comes into the game allowing 1.89 HR/9 and a 23.6% line drive rate.
Sparkman has given up nine walks in 21 innings this month and has been treated like chum by Indians batters, who have hit eight homers against him in just 16.1 innings pitched this season.
If he’s in the lineup, I’m playing him. Kendrick has three multi-hit games in his last four starts, including a pair in Friday’s win at Wrigley. Kendrick is .462/.533/1.154 over the past two weeks with five extra base hits. The 36-year-old jack of all trades has a .934 OPS this season with a career-best .235 Isolated Power, the result of Kendrick delivering hard contact at a 44% rate and a 32.6% fly ball rate. He’ll be licking his chops at the thought of hitting Cubs starter Jose Quintana, as Kendrick has a .912 OPS in 93 at-bats against lefties this season.
Prior to Friday’s opener against the Mariners, Guerrero was hitting a robust .583/.667/1.083 over the past week with a pair of homers. He’s been more effective on the road, sporting an .896 OPS before Friday night while his walk rate has finally reached double digits at 10.1%. Guerrero’s .191 Isolated Power will continue to rise while his line drive rate (18.1%) has steadily climbed since the All-Star Break.
Both he and his dad will have something to else to share, as Guerrero will get the chance to face Mariners icon Felix Hernandez, who will be making his first start since May 11.
Edman had his third multi-hit game this week in Friday’s win over the Rockies, making him 4 for 9 (.444) against the Rockies. Teeing off on Colorado pitching isn’t the only reason for considering Edman. He’s produced a .902 OPS over the past two weeks and has been decisively more dominant at, where his .839 OPS far outweighs his .661 OPS outside St. Louis. Edman is living up to his projections as a line drive hitter (22.8%) with the ability to scald the ball (42.4% hard contact rate) with occasional power outbursts (10% HR/FB rate).
Look for Edman to thrive off Rockies starter Chi Chi Gonzalez, whose control issues (4.40 BB/9) is worsened by his 2.05 HR/9 rate. I won’t be shocked if Edman takes advantage of Gonzalez’s 45.2% hit rate and takes him deep.
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If it feels like the Brewers love facing Diamondbacks pitching, it’s because….well, they do. Braun rapped out a pair of hits and drove in a run in Friday’s win, giving him a slash of .438/.444/.688 (1.132 OPS) with a homer in 16 at-bats against Arizona this season. This feels like a vintage Braun campaign, evidenced by a .212 Isolated Power and .331 BABIP along with the fact he can still swipe a base or two.
He’s pulling the ball more (42.1%) than in previous years while experiencing a slight uptick in both line drive rate (19.5%) and fly ball rate (29%). The 43.8% hard contact rate helps drive his numbers, but it’s the 6.1% walk rate that’s worth keeping an eye on since Diamondbacks rookie Zac Gallen has struggled with walks. That is all the more reason to Brew up in the 8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks.
He’s homered in consecutive games against the Rockies and gets a pitcher (Chi Chi Rodriguez) who is exceptionally homer-prone tonight. I’ll triple my long ball bets with Ozuna, who is hitting .500 with two homers, five RBI and six runs scored in his last four games. Gonzalez, who has also suffered control issues, is an ideal target for Ozuna, whose 10.4% walk rate and .254 Isolated Power has been major factors in the resurgence of his bat. Ozuna sports a 50% hard contact rate, which makes him more viable in 8/24 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks.
Calhoun homered for the third time in five games, accounting for all of Texas’ offense in an 8-3 loss on Friday. The homer also continued displaying Calhoun’s slight edge as a more offensive hitter on the road, where his .911 OPS nudges past his .883 mark in Arlington.
Fly ball hitters are worth targeting when playing in Guaranteed Rate Field, and Calhoun certainly fits the bill with a 44.9% rate. He’s also equaled the strong run he had in the minors earlier in the season, flashing identical 20% HR/FB rates along with displaying an extreme pull nature (53.2%).
8/24 Hitting Stack of the Day: Cleveland Indians: On top of Santana, I’m tossing in Francisco Lindor ($5,100 DK). Jason Kipnis ($3,900 DK) is a good value play. Make sure Jose Ramirez ($5,100 DK) is part of the party, as he owns a pair of homers off Sparkman. Roberto Perez ($2,900 FD) is a good add as well. This will be a handsome payoff in the 8/24 DFS Hitting and Stacks lineup.
8/24 Hitting Stack Runners-Up: New York Yankees: Coming off a five-HR assault, the Yankees should feast off the the Dodgers. Gleyber Torres ($5,100 DK) has been off the chain during this West Coast swing. Aaron Judge ($3,900 FD) is showing signs of breaking out of a sluggish August. Pay up for Gary Sanchez ($4,100 FD) and smile while doing so.
8/24 Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Pirates starter Trevor Williams has a 8.03 ERA in his last 10 starts. He has allowed 18 homers in that span. That’s blood in the water for Aristides Aquino ($4,900 DK), who went deep on Friday night. Jose Iglesias ($3,700 DK) could be a bargain. Catcher Tucker Barnhart ($3,400 DK) has four hits in eight at-bats against Williams. Keep in mind Jesse Winker ($4,100 DK) has a pair of hits in six ABs vs. Williams.
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We killed it on Monday with players like Bo Bichette, Rougned Odor and Matt Adams and we’re going to look to build off that momentum here. It is Wednesday, so that means we have baseball spread all throughout the day. I always try to offer up players from different slates to cater to each of you and I feel as though we have some great 8/14 DFS Hitting plays here!
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If you’ve been following my articles, you already know who we’re riding at catcher. Kelly gets to face a lefty and that means he’s getting into our lineups. Let’s take another look at those ridiculous splits, with Kelly generating a .400 AVG, .494 OBP, .800 SLG and 1.294 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That doesn’t even take into consideration that his team’s total is approaching seven in a hitter’s haven like Coors Field. Not to mention, he faces Kyle Freeland and his 7.06 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.
Alonso has seen his price drop a little bit because of a slide after the All-Star break but it’s really tough to fade The Polar Bear against a lefty. A .657 SLG and 1.017 OPS against left-handers speaks for itself and it’s really not far off of his season-long averages. In fact, Alonso has a .592 SLG and .955 OPS for the year. That’s truly frightening for a guy like Dallas Keuchel, who just allowed eight runs to the putrid Miami Marlins in his last start.
Alberto is always a favorite of mine when he faces a left-hander and it’s really shocking just how low these DFS sites keep his price. It’s simply hard to argue with these splits, with Alberto providing a .414 AVG, .541 SLG and .970 OPS against southpaws this season. That means that these prices should be about $1,000 more and him batting leadoff only adds to his value. It’s not like J.A. Happ is a pitcher we need to worry about either, with the Yankees lefty pitching to a 5.48 ERA and 1.35 WHIP this season.
All of these youngsters are really starting to blossom in Toronto and it’s no doubt that Guerrero is the centerpiece to this club. Many people projected him as the best prospect since Bryce Harper and he’s really showing signs of that player recently. In fact, Guerrero is hitting .388 over his last 22 games en route to a .682 SLG and 1.129 OPS. That’s awesome with Cavan Biggio and Bo Bichette also playing well and this is a completely different lineup right now with all of these young studs performing. Getting the platoon advantage for Guerrero is the bonus, as he’ll oppose Kolby Allard, who’s only made one Major League appearance.
We definitely want to get some Astros in there against Ross Detwiler. The simple fact is, Detwiler has been pitching in the minors for the majority of the last three seasons and its easy to see why. In 147 innings in the Majors since 2015, Detwiler is pitching to a 6.32 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Those are disastrous numbers against a righty-heavy lineup like this and Correa should help do some serious damage in the heart of their order. Not only does Correa have a .418 OBP and 1.011 OPS against left-handers this season, he’s also got a 1.138 OPS over his last 13 games in total.
This guy is going nuts right now. I truly believe that this is the most talented player in our game and he’s showing why with his recent form. Over his last 10 games, Acuna has eight homers, 14 runs scored, 15 RBI and three steals en route to a .378 AVG, .933 SLG and 1.382 OPS. Those are obviously ridiculous numbers but his 33 homers and 28 steals for the year shows that it’s no fluke. That form paired with this matchup is a beautiful thing, with Acuna getting the platoon advantage against Steven Matz, who’s pitching to a 4.49 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Reyes has been terrible since joining the Indians but he’s got too much potential to be priced this cheap. The 29 home runs speak loudly, as a .507 SLG and .264 ISO shows the sort of power potential this big masher has. That alone makes him a nice value at this price and Cleveland batting him cleanup shows that they have trust in him. It’s not like this is a scary matchup either, with Reyes getting the platoon advantage against Brian Johnson’s 7.23 ERA and 2.03 WHIP.
Eloy is a regular in my articles and I truly believe that he’s going to be a special player for years to come. The 18 homers in 81 games tell you everything you need to know about this kid, as he simply has elite power. What makes him intriguing on this slate is that he gets to face a lefty, with Jimenez generating a 1.215 OPS against lefties last year at Triple-A. Wade Miley is not a southpaw we should fear either, as his 4.43 xFIP is way off of his 2.99 ERA.
Acuna/Donaldson/Alonso Over 7.5 Total Bases
All of these guys are in this article, so this was a relatuvely easy pick.
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Vogelbach, Smith and Santana Over 6.5 Total Bases
We have to get Mariners in there against Edwin Jackson. A 9.35 ERA and 1.96 WHIP is simply unacceptable and we definitely believe these guys could reach 10 bases between them.
MKF Record 26-16
A nice, big slate with several weather issues today and tonight in 8/6 MLB DFS. That is different from the last week or so where the weather was quiet.
Will Smith, Cardinals at Dodgers ($3,300 FD, $4,100 DK): The Fresh Prince has been a big part of the powerful Dodgers offense since his recall a few weeks ago. He had the day off Sunday and should be in the lineup in a juicy matchup against Miles Mikolas, who has been worse on the road than at home this season.
Mike Ford, Yankees at Orioles ($2,300 FD, $3,900 DK): The Yankees have simply been amazing this season with well over 30 home runs hit at Camden Yards. Do you really think there is anything the Orioles can do to stop the Bronx Bombers tonight? Grab a cheap Yankee lefty against the Woj bomb, who came back down to earth in his last start.
Eric Sogard, Blue Jays at Rays ($3,500 FD, $4,800 DK): A terrific pick-up by the Rays a few weeks ago from their opponent, Sogard homered last night against his former teammates and he has a good shot to repeat that tonight. A juicy matchup against Trent Thornton, who has the propensity to get blown up, awaits.
Bo Bichette, Blue Jays at Rays ($3,600 FD, $4,200 DK): I will be playing the kid Jays of Bichette, Biggio and Guerrero a lot over the last two months of the season and I really like his spot tonight.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays at Rays ($3,900 FD, $4,400 DK): Staying in St. Petersburg for this one, the Rays rarely get blasted but tonight I really believe they have a shot. They open Andrew Kittredge and then follow up with Ryan Yarborough. Vlad did not do much last night so at the pace he has been going at the last few weeks, he is due for a big game tonight.
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Mike Tauchman, Yankees at Orioles ($2,900 FD, $4,500 DK), Christian Yelich ($4,700 FD, $5,800 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4,800 FD, $5,500 DK): We spent down in a few spots above and now we can spend up in this spot. And then we go with one of the hottest players on the planet with Tauchman.
I love one of the trio of kid Jays to homer at the Trop tonight.
A 15-game slate yesterday with a few highlights from our team on the 8/5 MLB DFS Report. Initial scouting reports included are from Sunday’s columns,
Bo Bichette had a solid day at the plate against the Baltimore Orioles, going 2-for-5 with a double, home run, run and RBI from the leadoff spot in the order. David Jones had this pick on the MLB DFS Hitting Picks article and his picks are highlighted in this 8/5 MLB DFS Report .
Outlook: Bichette has 13 hits in his first seven games in MLB. In the very small sample size, he is .406/.457/.750 as a big leaguer. Ride the hot hand as long as you can.
David Jones had another Blue Jays batter on his MLB DFS Hitting Picks article that he hit on. He went 3-for-5 with a double and a run scored against the Baltimore Orioles and landed as an 8/5 MLB DFS Winner.
Outlook: Vlad Jr. is batting .516 and has a .935 slugging in the past seven games. He has 15 RBI in that span as well. Keep using Guerrero in your lineup as he continues to post astronomical numbers.
Three Blue Jays had big games to rule the 8/5 MLB DFS report. Randal Grichuk went 4-for-5 with a pair of doubles, a RBI and a run yesterday in Baltimore. He was the only Blue Jay with more than three hits on the day.
Outlook: Grichuk is batting just .246 in his previous 15 games, including multiple hitless performances in the last three games. He doesn’t have as high of a ceiling as the others, so fade Grichuk.
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A short slate yesterday but some interesting highlights for our 8/2 MLB DFS Roundup.
While Pete Alonso has struggled after the Home Run Derby and is a victim of the curse, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one of the hottest hitters in all of baseball. He hit his third homer in five games and shows no signs of slowing down as we enter 8/2 MLB DFS play. Jason Mezrahi had him in his cheat sheet:
Outlook: Likely one of the top hitters in all of baseball for the remainder of the 2019 season and much of the decade of the 2020s.
Batting leadoff against the rival Red Sox at Fenway, Choi did his job yet again and got on-base with a one-hit, three-walk game. He then let his teammates drive him in as he scored once and had a RBI as well. Jason, our CEO and founder, highlighted Choi as a core play in the cheat sheet as can be seen in the Vlad Jr. write-up.
Outlook: Looking good as we enter 8/2 MLB DFS play. Choi will likely bat leadoff the rest of the 2019 season against righties.
Do not confuse the offensively challenged Blue Jays of the first half of the season with the kid Jays that are up now. Biggio, Bichette and Guerrero are the future of the Jays and will likely work at the top of the order for the rest of the season. Last night they combined for seven hits, four runs, five RBI, two homers and a double. Jason highlighted all three Jays in his cheat sheet as well and they landed on the 8/2 MLB DFS Winners list:
Outlook: Looking really good as we enter 8/2 MLB DFS play. The Jays are leaning on youth and it’s working even though they do not intend to be a contender.
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