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PrizePicks Picks and Props – Conference Championship Edition – Win Daily Sports

Allan Fabrykant
written by Allan Fabrykant

Welcome to the inaugural edition of PrizePicks Picks and Props.  In this article, we’ll be highlighting some of my favorite props that PrizePicks is giving us. 

Not already a PrizePicks member?  Sign up today using the button below and you’ll get a bonus match of 100% up to $100.  And to top it off, we’ll give you a free month of Win Daily Gold ($50 value).

Click here to claim – Promo Code – WINDAILY

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.   

Conference Championship Picks

Joe Burrow – 282.5 Passing Yards

One of the first things I look at when trying to find targetable props on PrizePicks is to see what some of the SportsBooks have these players at.  FanDuel currently has a line of 291.5 passing yards for Burrow.  We are essentially getting Burrow at a 9 yard discount on PrizePicks today.  This 282.5 yard prop is one that Burrow should have no trouble hitting today. 

He’s crushed this number 3 out of his last 4 games.  Last week vs. Tennessee he went for close to 350 yards. We also saw Josh Allen shred this defense in the fourth quarter.  While the addition of Tyrann Mathieu should help Chiefs secondary today, I’m still going to go with the Over on this one as I think this game turns into a shootout similar to last week.

Patrick Mahomes – 283.5 Passing Yards

What can’t Mahomes do at this point?  While Mahomes is a special quarterback during the regular season, what he does in the playoffs is on a whole different level.  So far in the 2022 playoffs Mahomes has thrown for 404 and 378 passing yards.  He’s on a mission and I just don’t see the Bengals secondary being able to slow him down. 

Although the Bengals were able to hold Tannehill to just 220 passing yards last weekend, they did give up over 300 yards to Derek Carr the weekend before in the Wild Card game.  If Carr can do it, I see no scenario where Mahomes doesn’t.  Look for Mahomes to crush his 283.5-yard prop.

Joe Mixon – 51.5 Rushing Yards

This is the one I’m least confident of if we’re being honest.  I’m going to side with the over, but I can definitely see a case where he is under this prop.  If the Bengals have any hope of winning today they’ll need to own the ground game and use up as much of the clock as possible.  This would lead to Mixon having a solid game on the ground. 

Mixon has hit this number 3 out of the last 5 weeks.  Last week he rushed for 54 yards.  In the 2 weeks he didn’t hit the number, he was still within a handful of yards of hitting.  I like the Over on this one but wouldn’t blame you for going Under.

Ja’Marr Chase – 84.5 Receiving Yards

Chase continues to just dominate teams.  Will he be this week’s Gabriel Davis and shred the Chiefs secondary?  There’s a good chance of it.  If we look at what Chase has done over the last 5 weeks, it’s pretty incredible.  We can throw out the meaningless game against the Browns.  I

n the other 4 games he’s broken 200 yards once and 100 yards in the other 3 teams.  I love Burrow’s Over number today and a big part of it will due to the play of Chase.  PrizePicks is giving us an 84.5-yard prop today.  I’m confident in saying that Chase blows this away today. 

Travis Kelce – 70.5 Yards

While Tyreek Hill has the breakaway speed and big-play mantra, it’s Kelce who is the steady Eddie of the 2.  Kelce was targeted 9 times last week and caught 8 of them for 96 yards.  Where Kelce goes, Mahomes goes.  With Mahomes expected to have another monster playoff performance today, expect Kelce to be a big part of it.  Kelce has hit this number 3 of the last 5 weeks.  Look for him to make it 4 of 6 today.  I’m siding with the Over on this one too.

Make sure to read all of our other NFL articles here.

Good luck and hope to see some green screens today! 

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Daily Fantasy Sports

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight NFL Plays 01/16

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Claim Offer Here – WINDAILY

Today I’ll be highlighting some of my favorite Monkey Knife Fight plays 

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money!

More or Less – 3.6x

Dak Prescott – 279.5 Passing Yards – More

The 49ers were one of the top teams in the NFL this season against the run.  Because of that, I expect the Cowboys to take the air more often than not today.  If the Cowboys hope to win today, they’re going to need Dak Prescott to continue with the momentum he had to close out the year.  He finished the season with 12 TD passes in his final 3 games. 

The target that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today is a number that Prescott has reached 2 out of the last 3 weeks and 7 times total this season.  I’m projecting Prescott at around 290 yards passing today as he has the majority of his arsenal of receivers healthy.  More side for me on this prop.

Patrick Mahomes – 278.5 Passing Yards – Less

While I do think the Chiefs pull out the victory in this one, I don’t think that Mahomes gets to his Monkey Knife Fight target of 279 passing yards today.  As Adam noted in his Game by Game breakdown, Mahomes does not do as well when pressured.  The Steelers have this guy named T.J. Watt that likes to put a ton of pressure on quarterbacks. 

If we look at what this Steelers defense has done in recent weeks, it’s pretty impressive.  They have held quarterbacks under 200 yards passing 3 out of the last 4 weeks.  If we look at the 279 yard target today for Mahomes, they Steelers haven’t given up that many passing yards since week 11 against the Chargers.  I’m siding with Less side on this one and I’m not looking back!

More or Less – 3.6x

Travis Kelce – 69.5 Receiving Yards – Less

I highlighted above that the Steelers are extremely solid against the pass.  If we dig down deep to see how they are against tight ends, they’ve been even more solid (if that’s even a thing).  On the year, the Steelers have given up more than 69.5 yards just 4 times and just once over the past 7 weeks. 

There are only a few tight ends with the upside that Kelce provides.  That said, this year has been somewhat of a disappointment for Kelce.  He had his fewest receiving yards and targets since 2017.  He comes into this matchup today having only had 59 receiving yards in the last 2 weeks.  I’m sure Chiefs fans will disagree with me on this one, but I think they keep Kelce in check today.  I’m siding with the Less side on Kelce.

CeeDee Lamb – 68.5 Receiving Yards – More

If you were a fantasy owner of CeeDee Lamb this season you probably were left feeling somewhat disappointed, at least down the stretch.  Although he cracked 1,100 yards in his sophomore season, his production when it mattered most was almost non-existent.  Over the final 7 games of the year he failed to either top 90 yards or find the endzone.  That all changes today in what should be one of the most important games in his young career. 

Monkey Knife Fight is giving us a 68.5 yard target today and while I don’t think he smashes it, I do think he does enough to get north of that number.  Prescott should have himself a day today and that will include using Lamb more than he has in recent weeks.  I like the More side on this one.  

Good luck and hope you make some money today!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! ! 

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NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium

Week 15 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Chiefs at Chargers

Antonio D'Arcangelis
written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The Thursday night showdown kicks off the Week 15 NFL DFS contests, and we’ve got the picks to help you win big tonight and make some serious green!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy and how it relates to Week 14 NFL DFS showdowns, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article. Week ...

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NFL

NFL Week 10 DFS: Tight Ends

Adam Strangis
written by Adam Strangis

Just like that and we are already in NFL Week 10. We have had a good run on tight ends and hope to continue providing value each week in my NFL DFS Tight Ends article. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s take a look at our NFL Week 10 DFS Tight Ends!

KYLE PITTS, ATL $5,800 DRAFTKINGS, $6,900 FANDUEL

It’s slim pickings in the tight end pool in Week 10. The goal is to avoid land mines and simply find ways to hit value in different price tiers. I am typically the most optimistic person in the room but it’s truly bad out here and I’m simply looking for safe floors to land on. Pitts has been up and down all season but lands with a great matchup in Week 10. The Cowboys rank 22nd against opposing tight ends and are currently allowing 270 passing yards per game. Pitts will be popular for various reasons. He is the highest priced tight end and is involved in the highest projected scoring game as well. With the over under set for 55 in this matchup versus the Cowboys, we should be a high paced affair with game script in the favor of the passing attack for the Falcons. Pitts has received 40 targets in the past 5 games and has exceeded over 20+ points in 2 of the 5 games. The upside is there along with the floor, so I will have a solid amount of Pitts in Week 10.

DALTON SCHULTZ, DAL $5,000 DRAFTKINGS, $6,000 FANDUEL

As stated above, this game is the highest scoring game on the slate as per Vegas. Similar to Pitts, the floor is set with Schultz and the consistency has been there all season. Dalton has averaged 12 fantasy points per game and I will be content with an average game from him in Week 10. With that being said, the matchup against the Falcons is one I always like to pick on. The Falcons defense is allowing 26 points per game and they rank 17th against opposing tight ends. Both these metrics should lead to another double digit performance for Schultz and if this game stays close through 4 quarters we should see a ceiling game out of him and the passing attack of the Cowboys.

PAT FREIERMUTH, PIT $3,900 DRAFTKINGS, $5,100 FANDUEL

This dude can ball and he has emerged as one of, if not the favorite targets of Big Ben. Freiermuth catches everything thrown his way and is starting to rack up the red zone looks. With 3 touchdowns in the past 2 games and double digit fantasy point performances in all 3 games, he is starting to cement himself as one of the better tight ends in the game. The Lions are ranked 12th against opposing tight ends and are allowing 29 points per game, which is the second highest in the league. This should be an up pace game for the Steelers, which are coming off of 5 tough matchups over the past month. We should see an outburst from Ben and Pat in Week 10, and I prefer the discount at the tight end position with most of the top tier tight ends not on the main slate.

JARED COOK, LAC $3,200 DRAFTKINGS, $5,200 FANDUEL

Jared Cook is a tournament only play for me at the tight end position. The targets for Cook are a tier below the 3 tight ends mentioned above and Cook is the 3rd to 4th option on his team. The price is right on Cook and the game is also the second highest on the slate with a projected total of 53 points. The Vikings are a middle of the pack defense and both these teams are typically involved in high scoring affairs. The hope for Cook in this one is a couple extra looks and for him to find his way into the end zone. I prefer Freiermuth, but may look to grab a couple shares of Cook in Week 10 at lower ownership.

TYLER CONKLIN, MIN $3,000 DRAFTKINGS $5,300 FANDUEL

If we need value on the slate at lower ownership, we can look to Conklin in a nice matchup versus the Charger secondary and linebackers which are really struggling this year. The Chargers currently rank 28th against opposing tight ends. Targets are beginning to funnel to Conklin which provides a nice floor at this price tag in tournaments. Conklin has received 28 targets over the past 5 games which is not too far behind both Thielen and Jefferson. He is a DraftKings only play for me in tournaments only when you need the salary savings to pay up at other spots. So if you need the savings in Week 10 look to Conklin in tournaments. 

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 10 DFS Tight Ends article and the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, covering cash games and tournaments, and we will have articles, videos, and podcasts so lock in with us in whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last minute news.

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NFL

NFL Week 9 DFS: Tight Ends

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

Just like that and we are already in NFL Week 9. We have had a good run on tight ends and hope to continue providing value each week in my NFL DFS Tight Ends article. Tight ends are sometimes forgotten and left to the last pick in your lineup and that can easily leave you with an outcome of 0-2 points. This could be devastating for your chances of a takedown or simply cashing. Each week I will lay out my favorite options up top and the best value plays on the board as well. Once you’re done reading this article make sure to hop in our expert chat on Discord to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s take a look at our NFL Week 9 DFS Tight Ends!

TRAVIS KELCE, KC $7,000 DRAFTKINGS, $7,800 FANDUEL

The emotions of fantasy football are getting the best of the industry. Through the first 3 weeks of the season, if you faded Kelce you were mocked. During the last 2 weeks, I have heard everything from Kelce is washed to the Chiefs should engage in trade talks for Kelce and Hill. That means Kelce will most likely be low owned in Week 9 and I will buy low on him. We got a depressed price tag combined with an opening total of 54.5 points versus the Packers. The line has swung dramatically with the news of Rodgers being out. The over has dropped by 6 and the Chiefs are now 8 point favorites. This should be a get right spot for Kelce, who is still receiving the targets and it’s only a matter of time until the production returns. Kelce has received 40 targets the past 4 weeks which hasn’t led to his usual fantasy output but I will be removing the recent results when molding my lineups. He is a fine one off, but I will get most of my shares of Kelce when pairing him with Mahomes in Week 9.

DARREN WALLER, LV $6,200 DRAFTKINGS, $6,800 FANDUEL

As long as Waller is a full go this week in practices I will get some shares of him in Week 9. With two weeks off, I’m hoping Waller is back to full strength. Combine that with more targets to go around with the unfortunate incident with Ruggs, and we should see a nice output from Waller this Sunday. The Giants are middle of the pack at defending the tight end, and in total defense.  The Raiders are projected to score 24.5 points on Sunday and with not much of a run game, Waller should be involved through 4 quarters. Waller is averaging close to 9 targets per game and only 5.5 receptions. The connection from Carr to Waller should become more efficient and while fantasy players have forgotten about him it’s the time to take some shots in tournaments.

MIKE GESICKI, MIA $4,900 DRAFTKINGS, $6,500 FANDUEL

Gesicki has been a great season long tight end draft pick to start this season. He has been consistently productive every week and provides stability at a position which can leave you frustrated. Gesicki has averaged 13 points per game and has become one of Tua’s favorite targets. Just like Kelce and Waller, Gesicki is a wide receiver playing the role of a tight end. Gesicki has an upside matchup this week against Houston who currently ranks 29th against opposing tight ends and are allowing the 30th worst 401 total yards per game. The targets are there each week and the production will continue to be there for Gesicki. If you can’t afford Kelce or Waller, Gesicki is the first name I will roster on DraftKings, but on FanDuel I will take the upside in Waller. 

DALLAS GOEDERT, PHI $4,500 DRAFTKINGS, $6,200 FANDUEL

Goedert just happens to be the most consistent receiver in the Eagles offense. Through the blowout last week of the Lions, Goedert was the only pass catcher who hit value. This game shouldn’t be lopsided and if the game script goes as Vegas has planned the Eagles should be trailing in this one. Since Ertz has been traded, Goedert has had back to back double digit fantasy point performances. This matchup will be the best opportunity for Goedert to reach for new highs since the departure of Ertz. The Chargers rank 30th against opposing tight ends and we have one of the highest game totals of the entire slate sitting at 50 points. When taking into account the matchup and the high total, Goedert will be heavily involved through 4 quarters, leading to a ceiling game in Week 9. 

TYLER CONKLIN, MIN $3,000 DRAFTKINGS $5,200 FANDUEL

If we need value on the slate, we can look to Conklin in a nice matchup versus the Baltimore secondary and linebackers which are really struggling this year. Baltimore currently ranks 31st against opposing tight ends and is allowing a league worst 296.1 passing yards per game. Targets are beginning to funnel to Conklin which provides a nice floor at this price tag in tournaments. Conklin has received 29 targets over the past 5 games which is not too far behind both Thielen and Jefferson. He is a DraftKings only play for me in tournaments only when you need the salary savings to pay up at other spots. So if you need the savings in Week 9 look to Conklin in tournaments. 

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 9 DFS Tight Ends article and the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, covering cash games and tournaments, and we will have articles, videos, and podcasts so lock in with us in whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last minute news.

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Daily Fantasy SportsNFLPremium

Week 8 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Giants at Chiefs

Antonio D'Arcangelis
written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 8 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candida...

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