Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight NFL Plays 01/16

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Today I’ll be highlighting some of my favorite Monkey Knife Fight plays 

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money!

More or Less – 3.6x

Dak Prescott – 279.5 Passing Yards – More

The 49ers were one of the top teams in the NFL this season against the run.  Because of that, I expect the Cowboys to take the air more often than not today.  If the Cowboys hope to win today, they’re going to need Dak Prescott to continue with the momentum he had to close out the year.  He finished the season with 12 TD passes in his final 3 games. 

The target that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today is a number that Prescott has reached 2 out of the last 3 weeks and 7 times total this season.  I’m projecting Prescott at around 290 yards passing today as he has the majority of his arsenal of receivers healthy.  More side for me on this prop.

Patrick Mahomes – 278.5 Passing Yards – Less

While I do think the Chiefs pull out the victory in this one, I don’t think that Mahomes gets to his Monkey Knife Fight target of 279 passing yards today.  As Adam noted in his Game by Game breakdown, Mahomes does not do as well when pressured.  The Steelers have this guy named T.J. Watt that likes to put a ton of pressure on quarterbacks. 

If we look at what this Steelers defense has done in recent weeks, it’s pretty impressive.  They have held quarterbacks under 200 yards passing 3 out of the last 4 weeks.  If we look at the 279 yard target today for Mahomes, they Steelers haven’t given up that many passing yards since week 11 against the Chargers.  I’m siding with Less side on this one and I’m not looking back!

More or Less – 3.6x

Travis Kelce – 69.5 Receiving Yards – Less

I highlighted above that the Steelers are extremely solid against the pass.  If we dig down deep to see how they are against tight ends, they’ve been even more solid (if that’s even a thing).  On the year, the Steelers have given up more than 69.5 yards just 4 times and just once over the past 7 weeks. 

There are only a few tight ends with the upside that Kelce provides.  That said, this year has been somewhat of a disappointment for Kelce.  He had his fewest receiving yards and targets since 2017.  He comes into this matchup today having only had 59 receiving yards in the last 2 weeks.  I’m sure Chiefs fans will disagree with me on this one, but I think they keep Kelce in check today.  I’m siding with the Less side on Kelce.

CeeDee Lamb – 68.5 Receiving Yards – More

If you were a fantasy owner of CeeDee Lamb this season you probably were left feeling somewhat disappointed, at least down the stretch.  Although he cracked 1,100 yards in his sophomore season, his production when it mattered most was almost non-existent.  Over the final 7 games of the year he failed to either top 90 yards or find the endzone.  That all changes today in what should be one of the most important games in his young career. 

Monkey Knife Fight is giving us a 68.5 yard target today and while I don’t think he smashes it, I do think he does enough to get north of that number.  Prescott should have himself a day today and that will include using Lamb more than he has in recent weeks.  I like the More side on this one.  

Good luck and hope you make some money today!

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