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Rafael Devers

MLB DFS 8/17 Pitching/Monkey Knife Fight Picks

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

A nice looking slate for this Saturday in the middle of August. Plenty of pitching choices to consider for 8/17 MLB DFS play.

MLB DFS 8/17 Top Tier Arm

Jacob deGrom, Mets at Rotals ($11,500 FD, $11,600 DK): The most expensive arm by far on each site and for good reason. The defending Cy Young Award winner in the N.L. has pitched very well for the last two months or so. Although the optics of deGrom’s last start were not great, fantasy-wise things were not terrible as an error resulted in three unearned runs. In fact, deGrom hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start since June; he’s 3-0 with a 1.20 ERA over that stretch. If there were ever a game that the Mets really needed, this would be the one. A cash game staple, he will make bats tough to afford from teams in great spots like the Red Sox and the game at Coors.

MLB DFS 8/17 Middle Tier Arms

Eduardo Rodriguez, Orioles at Red Sox ($8,400 FD, $9,000 DK): Much like the Mets, the Red Sox need almost every game from here on to make the playoffs. Despite having a better record than the Mets, the Sox are further back in A.L. wild card chase than the Mets are in the N.L. However, there are fewer teams to leapfrog. ERod, despite being inefficient with his pitches, has certainly earned Alex Cora’s trust. 113, 113, 108, 113, 99, 105 are the number of pitches he has thrown over his last six starts. If he can get a couple of easy 1-2-3 innings today against the hapless Orioles, an eight inning start is possible. He is the first pitcher I am locking into my DK contests due to a combination of being in a good spot, price and a great chance at a win.

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Jordan Lyles, Brewers at Nationals ($7,400 FD, $7,700 DK): I am starting to think that the Brewers are the Astros of the N.L. when it comes to reclamation projects with pitchers. Last night in Washington D.C., we saw Adrian Houser toss another good game for the Brew Crew. And since Jordan Lyles came from the lowly Pirates to Milwaukee, we have seen steady improvement. There is no reason in my mind that he can not repeat what Houser did last night. Very possibly, he is my second pitcher to pair with ERod on DK.

MLB DFS 8/17 Bargain Basement Arm

Trent Thornton, Mariners at Blue Jays ($6,400 FD, $6,400 DK): Two of his last three starts have resulted 15 DK fantasy points. In his last start at home against the mighty Yankees he was especially impressive. He gave up only one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton’s biggest challenge in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. This makes him a GPP only option today.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick

I am going back to Fenway Park and I want the Boston bats today against the Woj bomb. This starting pitcher for the Orioles came out of nowhere and shut down the Red Sox a few Sundays ago in Camden Yards. Since then, he has not been able to repeat his success that he had that day. Now that the Red Sox have a book on him, look for them to tee off in a game they desperately need.

I like three homers from this trio today. Go for broke!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

7/26 MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Beatdown in Boston

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

We had just a nine-game slate on Thursday July 25. All points and price values for the 7/25 MLB DFS Winners and Losers are based off DraftKings.

If you want to check out some of my other work click here!

Want to know who the Winners and Losers will be tonight? Premium Gold members can consult our premium projections and rankings!

7/26 MLB DFS Winners

Rafael Devers ($5,300)

Rafael Devers had a very productive game at the plate against Masashiro Tanaka and the New York Yankees. He went 2-for-5 with a double, home run, two RBI, two runs and a walk. Devers upped his average to .323 on the season, which is third in the American League. Look for Devers to continue his hot streak into tonight’s 7/26 MLB DFS game.

Devers’ Outlook

Devers has been hitting well since being moved up to the two hole. In his past 30 games played, he is batting .360 with 10 HR and 36 RBI. It also doesn’t hurt that the Yankees had a historically bad performance from their starting rotation this time through. The Red Sox play game two of their four-game set against the Yankees and look for Devers to continue producing.

Luke Voit ($4,800)

Luke Voit had a solid game at the plate against Rick Porcello and the Boston Red Sox. He went 3-for-4 with a double and a run scored. He is creeping up his OPS, which is currently at .891 on the year. Look for Voit to continue producing during tonight’s 7/26 MLB DFS game as well.

Voit’s Outlook

Luke Voit is an OBP machine lately. In his last seven games, he has a .464 OBP and a 1.116 OPS. Voit was the only Yankee batter to reach base more than one time during last night’s blowout. Hitting in hitter-friendly Fenway Park should help his numbers as well. Voit and the Yankees will face Andrew Cashner today and Voit should continue to tear the cover off the ball during tonight’s game.

7/26 MLB DFS Losers

Jose Suarez ($8,200)

Jose Suarez did not provide enough value in his start last night against the Baltimore Orioles. He pitched 4.1 innings and allowed two runs on four hits with a walk and six strikeouts. Suarez threw 80 pitches and if you looked at our Cheat Sheet, you would have faded him in last night’s outing.

Suarez’s Outlook

This was a game that the Angels needed Suarez to last a bit longer in,and it went 16 innings. However, this was tied for his longest outing in the month of July. DFS players expected more out of him facing the Baltimore Orioles, who are not a huge threat offensively. His next outing is slated for Tuesday night against the Detroit Tigers. Expect a similar outing, which at a high price tag isn’t going to cut it.

Jordan Luplow ($4,200)

Jordan Luplow was unable to get it going last night against the Kansas City Royals. He went 0-for-3 with a walk before being pinch-hit for in extra innings, lowering his average to .254. Pass on Luplow for the second straight night in 7/26 MLB DFS.

Luplow’s Outlook

Luplow is an average hitter at the plate recently. He is batting .235 with a .381 OBP in the last seven games he has appeared in. It also doesn’t help that the Tigers decided to pinch-hit for him in extra innings. The Tigers continue their series in Kansas City and with Jakob Junis on the hill coming off three great starts, including one against the Indians, avoid Luplow again in 7/26 MLB DFS.

7/26 MLB DFS Injury Update

The Texas Rangers announced that All-Star Joey Gallo will undergo surgery to repair his broken hamate bone. This could potentially end Gallo’s season with a timetable of about six weeks to recover.

Blake Snell, the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, will undergo arthroscopic surgery to remove a loose body in his left elbow. The recovery timeline for him is around six weeks, which could end his season, depending on the Rays playoff chances at the time.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For July 20

5 years ago

written by

This Saturday July 20th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Stacks: Houston, Jurado has a problem.

Saturday Stacks

Houston Astros vs Ariel Jurado (R)

This one is easy. The last time Jurado faced the Astros he gave up five runs in four innings, at home, and the Stros didn’t even homer once. Welp, Houston is going deep today plus getting the runs. This feels like a spot where Texas will want to stretch Jurado until he breaks which is what I am banking on. Are they chalk? Probably. Why? Because they are most certainly getting to Jurado. Don’t overthink it. Lock in the MLB DFS points and let’s get our advantage elsewhere. Ride with Houston and shake your head at the 80% of people who faded them. Alvarez (.342 ISO, .463 WOBA), Springer (.313, .424), Bregman (.259, .402), Gurriel (.211, .349), Brantley (.208, .370).

I don’t hate Chirinos, but I like everyone above better. I would use him to round out a stack if I needed too.

Minnesota Twins vs Brett Anderson (L)

This is a MLB DFS spot that I am attacking. The Twins handle lefties well, especially mediocre ones at home. This one might slide under the radar too. Garver (.415 ISO, .515 WOBA), Cruz (.356, .411), Sano (.333, .385), Cron (.326, .458), Schoop (.246. .382), and Kepler (.200, .376). You’ll notice most of these players are towards the back of the lineup which will just lower ownership, however they are indeed the best lefty hitters on the team. The Twins have not been on fire lately but this feels like it can be the time for them to bust out. Get some.

If Cave is in he is a quality value play. He should pay off that cheap price tag.

Boston Red Sox vs Tom Eshelman (R)

My guess is a team with deep playoff aspirations didn’t like getting blown out by the rebuilding Baltimore Orioles last night and this is a great bounce-back spot. Eshelman is also nothing to fear in a great MLB DFS hitting environment. In his two starts this year he has struck out seven and 0. Which Eshelman shows up Saturday? I think the latter. Devers (.262 ISO, .426 WOBA), Xander (.246, .414.), Betts (.231, .406), Vasquez (.205, 348). JD or Chavis are fine too if you have the space.

Honorable Mention: Arizona Diamondbacks

Another team that mashes lefties, is at home, and is hot: Kelly, Lamb, Vargas, Escobar, Marte, Ahmed.

Full Disclosure: I am going to the Braves game and will have a stack for gigs. They face a pitcher they rostered last year in Sanchez, and literally have the book on him. I trust Snit to roll out an optimal lineup. Could be fireworks. Acuna, Swanson, Freeman, Donaldson. #HomerPick

Position Rankings and Values

Listed in order of preference

C. Vazquez (2,700 FD, 4,500 DK), Kelly (2,700 FD, 3,900 DK), Garver (3,700 FD, 5,300 DK)

1.Freeman (4,000 FD, 4,900 DK), Sano (3,500 FD, 4,400 DK), Cron (3,400 FD, 3,700 DK)

2. Hiura (3,800 FD, 4,900 DK), Ildemaro Vargas (2,000 FD, 3,700 DK), Schoop (2,900 FD, 3,900 DK)

SS. Bregman (4,600 FD, 5,100 DK), Xander (4,500 FD, 5,600 DK), Swanson (3,100 FD, 4,400 DK), Ahmed (3,100 FD, 3,500 DK)

3. Devers (4,600 FD, 5,400 DK), Gurriel (3,800 FD, 4,600 DK), Donaldson (3,500 FD, 4,900 DK), Lamb (3,000 FD, 3,700 DK) Gut pick: Saurez (3,700 FD, 4,200 DK)

OF. Springer (4,800 FD, 5,500 DK), Betts (4,700, 5,300 DK), Alvarez (4,200 FD, 5,200 DK), Brantley (4,000 FD, 4,500 DK), Marte (4,000 FD, 4,800 DK)

OF. Cruz (3,900 FD, 4,500 DK), Kepler (3,600 FD, 4,700 DK)

OF. O’Neil (2,700 FD, 4,100 DK), Locastro (2,400 FD, 3,900 DK) both are way too cheap

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups. It seems to be where the value is today.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS MLB Pitching and Prop Picks for July 20

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

There is a wide variety of DFS MLB arms to choose from today, from aces to really good punts. On a good-sized main-slate of games, there are many places to look for pitching.

DFS MLB Upper-Tier Arms

Luis Castillo, Cardinals at Reds ($10,500 FD, $11,200 DK): Castillo is the most expensive DFS MLB pitcher on the DK slate and the second most on FD. He is in a good spot but comes with risk. This will make him a GPP-only choice for me tonight. The risk is how the ballpark plays in hot weather. It lived up to its moniker of the “Great American Smallpark” last night for sure! That being said, Castillo is in the midst of a terrific year and is in a smash spot. He is starting against a team that really struggles against above-average right-handed pitchers.

Clayton Kershaw, Marlins at Dodgers ($10,800 FD, $11,000 DK): Kershaw is the reverse of Castillo in terms of DFS MLB pricing on the two sites. The Dodgers lefty ace is an excellent choice for cash games today. We saw what good pitching did to the Marlins last night and we can expect more of the same tonight. He has a 2.76 ERA in 11 career starts vs. the Marlins.

DFS MLB Middle-Tier Arms

Zack Greinke, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($9,000 FD, $10,000 DK): Greinke is coming off one of his roughest outings of the year against the Cardinals. Accordingly, he has been priced down a bit for DFS MLB pitchers, especially on FD. He is cash-game worthy on both sites, the low FD price tells me that FD is daring you to use him over Kershaw. Before the last start (where he actually salvaged a respectable 21 FD fantasy points), he was cruising on the season. His WHIP remains below 1.00 even after that start and today’s matchup, which is not perfect, can be navigated. .

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Jeff Samardzija, Mets at Giants ($7,600 FD, $9,100 DK): The former Notre Dame wide receiver has pitched really well recently. You can’t ask for a better matchup for a DFS MLB pitcher. He gets a struggling offense in an extreme pitcher’s park. On DK, he is on the three game slate while on FD he is on the all-day slate. Samardzija looks to keep an excellent three start stretch going. Over those three starts, he has lowered his season ERA from 4.52 to 3.93 by having a 1.66 ERA with 17 strikeouts and only three walks.

DFS MLB Bargain Basement Arm

Jakob Junis, Royals at Indians ($6,400 FD, $7,900 DK): After two straight strong outings, both seven-inning starts, Junis is suddenly worthy of DFS MLB consideration. On Monday, Junis beat the White Sox, 5-2, giving up only five hits and one run while striking out a career-high 10.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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The goal is at least one HR from this trio or two for double your money. With the weather still very hot and humid in Baltimore, look for the ball to carry well and for the Red Sox to get back into the win column at Fenway South.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 19

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 14-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

New York Yankees Stack

vs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 Runs

I glared at the computer for awhile this morning trying to figure out how to get away from this Yankees chalk tonight and I can’t do it. Kyle Freeland is just downright terrible. He carries a 7.39 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 5.18 SIERA on the season. He has allowed 43 earned runs across 53 innings to right-handed batters. Freeland is allowing a massive 2.27 HR/9 innings and 43% hard contact. Freeland is not at Coors, but he is in very hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been slumping off just a bit coming off the break, but this team is jam packed with talent and it would be foolish to fade them. The Yankees are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .225 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last month. I’m typically an advocate against using the Yankees on most nights, but I feel confident using these right handed power bats this evening.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 Runs

Mike Montgomery was a top prospect not long ago but has not had a good 2019 campaign. I doubt he’s stretched out all the way so he should be limited today. We have a small sample size to go off of here, but Montgomery carries a 5.67 ERA, 6.21 FIP, and 5.25 SIERA over 27 innings pitched this season. His splits indicate he struggles more with lefties. They are slashing to a .556 wOBA, .868 SLG, and .512 OBP. Montgomery is not much better against righties (thus far). They are slashing to a .336 wOBA, .464 SLG, and .338 OBP. Obviously these numbers are inflated due to limited action this season but most tend to go for the handedness matchup, so don’t be afraid to differentiate with some Cleveland lefties. Cleveland bats are red hot right now. They are slashing to a .369 wOBA, .255 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last couple of weeks.

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 Runs

Jordan Zimmermann heads into tonight’s matchup carrying a 7.01 ERA, 4.64 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. That ERA is a little elevated compared to his FIP and SIERA. That is because of his .344 BABIP and a lowly 58% LOB. Some of it can be attributed to bad luck but he also has a poor defense behind him, so that will drive his ERA up whereas FIP measures things only the pitcher can control. Bats are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .508 SLG, and .348 OBP on the season against him. Zimmermann has allowed 41 earned runs across 52.2 innings pitched. He has only allowed seven home runs in that span. Blue Jays batters are slashing to a .351 wOBA, .234 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last month. They have seen a dip in their batting averages recently, but this is a good spot for Toronto to do some damage.

Honorable Mention

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 Runs

Preferred Stack: Christian Vazquez ($2800 FD|$4700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

RHP Jacob deGrom (NYM): 3.13 Runs
LHP Hyun-jin Ryu (LAD): 2.45 Runs
RHP Marcus Stroman (TOR): 4.20 Runs
LHP Brendan McCay (TAM): 3.29 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 17

Ethan Thiel 5 years ago

written by Ethan Thiel

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Nick Pivetta (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Another game with rain out potential. At the moment it looks like the storms should hold off until after the game but i advise you to monitor the weather here as it looks shakey up and down the east coast tonight.

Nick Pivetta is on the mound this evening for the Phillies. He carries an average 5.81 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and 4.89 SIERA on the year. Pivetta has fairly identical splits, with batters slashing to a .360 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .340 OBP across 66.2 innings. He has given up 27 earned runs across 33 innings to right handed batters. He has also allowed 16 earned runs in 33 innings to left handed batters. The core of this Los Angeles Dodgers team is their left handed power and they have been tearing up right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .355 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 121 WRC+ over the last month to righties.

Boston Red Sox Stack

***Weather is a legitimate concern here, possible PPD. Pitching and bats risky. If you want to play a Boston stack, I would reserve it for GPP’s and monitor the weather.

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 6.90 Runs

The Red Sox get a lofty 6.90 implied run total in this matchup against Aaron Sanchez (surprising, I know) and this is one we cannot ignore. I know we have some weather concerns here, so tune in with our weather man Mark for updates as we get closer to lock. Aaron Sanchez carries an average 6.22 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.62 SIERA. Sanchez is allowing batters to slash to a .362 wOBA, .456 SLG, and .388 OBP across 97 innings. He has allowed 67 earned runs in that span. Aaron Sanchez is a ground ball pitcher, averaging a 48% ground ball rate. Although he doesn’t give up many home runs, he has a .330 BABIP and LOB of 66%. The Red Sox are slashing to a .374 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks to right handed pitching. These are the best hitting numbers on the slate by a long shot.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4200 FD|$5700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), Andrew Benintendi ($3400 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4300 FD|$5400 DK).

Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Jesse Chavez (TEX): 5.45 Runs

We have Jesse Chavez taking on the Diamondbacks in Coors South this evening. Chavez carries a 3.84 ERA, 4.51 FIP, and 4.24 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing righties to slash .353 wOBA, .519 SLG, and .329 OBP. He has fallen off recently after having a somewhat successful start to the year. I expect him to stay in this rough patch and we will see his ERA line up with close to his FIP as the season comes to a close. Arizona batters are slashing to a .300 wOBA, .161 ISO, and 82 WRC+ in recent weeks. These are by no means the averages I look for when picking my stacks, but I feel with the ballpark upgrade to the bats and Chavez’s recent struggles we could end up with a nice lower owned Diamondbacks stack.

Honorable Mention

Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull (DET): 5.78 Runs

Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$5000 DK), Carlos Santana ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Jason Kipnis ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), Jose Ramirez ($3600 FD|$4400 DK). Jakob Bauers for value ($2900 FD|$3600 DK). Mike Freeman ($2100 FD|$3700 DK and Tyler Naquin ($2800 FD|$4000 DK) are also good value plays.

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (40-50 pitches) & RHP Gabriel Ynoa (BAL)

**Another trouble spot with weather otherwise I’d have them as the top stack. I think the game starts on time, but a good chance we do not get a full 9 innings.

Pitching

Chris Paddack (R) (SDP): 3.15 Runs
Mike Clevinger (R) (CLE): 3.27 Runs
Danny Duffy (L) (KCR): 5.01 Runs

Please check out our Daily MLB cheatsheet for more cash oriented plays.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Daniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it.

Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.

Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month.

Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Preferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 Runs
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 Runs
LHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 7

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 11 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP Gregory Soto (DET): 6.30 Runs

The Red Sox come in with the highest implied run total on the slate today. I do not expect Soto to pitch more than an inning or two but once he comes out he has an awful bullpen behind him. The Red Sox are slashing a league best .382 wOBA, .216 ISO, and .920 OPS over the last two weeks. Greg Soto carries 8.06 ERA, 6.29 FIP, and 5.88 SIERA over a small sample of 22 innings pitched. He is atrocious to righties. They are slashing .415 wOBA, .632 SLG, and .391 OBP against him. The Red Sox have a lot of right handed power early in the lineup and Soto struggles there the most as indicated above. This makes guy’s like Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, and J.D. Martinez early on a priority. The bullpen should open things up for Rafael Devers to crack the slate open, although he also hits lefties well.

Preferred Stack: J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4900 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5000 DK), and Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5600 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 5.95 Runs

Asher Wojciechowski has bounced around multiple farm systems since 2010 and has limited big show experience other than the 62 innings pitched he tossed for the Reds in 2017. Through his career, Wojciechowski carries 6.62 ERA, 4.92 FIP, and 4.25 SIERA. He surrenders 1.81 HR/9 over that same time span and typically gives up over 50% fly ball rate. The Blue Jays offense has hit extremely well against right handed pitching the last few weeks. They are slashing a massive .399 wOBA, .318 ISO, and 152 WRC+ in that time span. I like this lineup a lot more when Randal Grichuk is in it. He is currently projected to start but is nursing a back injury. Boost to Toronto if he plays today.

Preferred Stack: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5500 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3800 FD|$4700 DK), Freddie Galvis $3400 FD|$4300 DK), Eric Sogard ($3400 FD|$4700 DK) and Justin Smoak ($3000 FD|$4100 DK) are my preferred plays. Danny Jansen ($2900 FD|$3800 DK) is okay for value but I typically won’t waste my utility spot on a catcher. Randal Grichuk ($3200 FD|$3800 DK) if he plays, if not Brandon Drury ($2500 FD|$3300 DK) is a decent value play.

Chicago Cubs Stack

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 6.00 Runs

I’m going to jump on this Cubs train before it passes me by this weekend. This team has quietly hit very well to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, slashing .354 wOBA, .233 ISO, and .515 SLG. Ivan Nova carries 5.92 ERA, 5.43 FIP, and 5.06 SIERA into today’s matchup. Nova isn’t giving up a ton of fly balls, but he does have a .339 BABIP to compliment his 45% ground ball rate. His splits are awful and close to identical. He holds a .386 wOBA, .512 SLG, and .368 OBP on the season. Wilson Contreras, Javier Baez, Kyle Schwarber, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward all sit in the top 45 hitters in the league with the best HR/FB ratio.

Preferred Stack: Jason Heyward ($3500 FD|$4800 DK), Kyle Schwarber ($3900 FD|$4300), Anthony Rizzo ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Wilson Contreras ($3600 FD|$5300 DK), and Javier Baez ($4100|$5300). I have a ton of interest in Robel Garcia ($2000 FD|$2200 DK). He’s essentially a free square with the fantastic matchup and minimum pricing. Lock him in.

Honorable Mentions

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Jose Saurez (LAA): 5.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($3600 FD|$3900 DK), Alex Bregman ($4100 FD|$4700 DK), and Yordan Alvarez ($4200 FD|$4700 DK).

Baltimore Orioles Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton(TOR): 4.55 Runs

One-Offs and Value Plays

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks for 7/6: Yes, Use Some Mets

Mark Sheppard 5 years ago

written by Mark Sheppard

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks recommendations for the Saturday slate.

First Base – Carlos Santana, Cleveland Indians

DraftKings $5,100, FanDuel $4,300

Anthony Desclafani has massive trouble against left handed bats, allowing a .315 BAA and a .508 SLG.

Second Base – Jeff McNeil, New York Mets

DraftKings $4,900, FanDuel $3,600

This season Jake Arrieta has struggled against left handed bats. He is allowing a .306 BAA and a massive 41.5 hard hit rate. Target him in DFS today.

Third Base – Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox

DraftKings $5,600, Fanduel $4,500

Jordan Zimmerman is a gas can for us in DFS and at home he is even worse. He has trouble walking left handed bats and with a .488 SLG he has trouble not giving up extra bases.

Shortstop – Francisco Lindor, Cleveland Indians

DraftKings $4,900, FanDuel $4,200

Same story with Santana, I want the lefties here in DFS and it helps Lindor is a switch hitter, so we get the platoon the whole game.

Outfield – J.D. Martinez, Boston Red Sox

DraftKings $5,000, Fanduel $4,300

What’s not to love about J.D. against a gas can? Although Zimmerman gives up less power to righties, he strikes them out less also. This means the ball is going to be put in play and I’ll take my chances with one of the league’s best.

Outfield – Michael Conforto, New York Mets

DraftKings $4,400, FanDuel $3,500

As I said with McNeil, Arreita struggles with getting left handed bats out. Conforto is one of the league’s top young left handed bats and can go deep at any second, I think he pokes one out of the yard here so use him in DFS today.

Outfield – Andrew Benintendi, Boston Red Sox

DraftKings $4,300, FanDuel $3,500

This is a ridiculous DFS price for one, and for two Zimmerman struggles with lefties as I said with Devers. I always love getting the leadoff hitter against a terrible pitcher in the team I’m going to stack.

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks

1.) Boston Red Sox

Surprise? Jordan Zimmerman is a complete gas can. At home he holds a 5.40 ERA, a .340 wOBA, and a 49.3 hard hit percentage. That hard hit rate is what I’m intrigued with because these Sox hit the ball HARD. With the power that they hold I think they could easily chase Zimmerman within four innings today.

2.) New York Mets

I know, I know the Mets in DFS? Just listen. Arrieta cannot get left handed bats out, he is horrible. With the likes of McNeil, Conforto, Cano, and Dominic Smith on the left side of the plate I think Arrieta has loads of trouble. Then on the right side of the plate you have to worry about the Mets’ best hitter this year, Pete Alonso. I think Arrieta is in for a rude awakening at Citi Field today.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for July 3rd: Subway Slammers

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Wednesday’s MLB actionincludes some big-time offenses in great spots for DFS purposes. So below wehave four stacks to target as you assemble your Daily Fantasy Sports entries.

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New York Yankees

The New York Mets will be starting Jason Vargas on the bump in this one. Vargas is a guy that the Yankees should be able to get to. The right-hander has a 5.05 SIERA and a 5.09 xFIP while striking out just 20% of the batters he has faced in 2019. We will want to get some exposure in our DFS lineups.

So of course, we want to load up on some Yankees in our DFS lineups and our New York stack will start with Gary Sanchez (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,700). Sanchez has an ISO north of .300 versus left-handed pitching. Some other Yankee’s bats worth considering are: Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,300) and Gleyber Torres (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600). Both have ISOs above .200 versus righties in 2019. And do not forget about Aaron Judge (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $4,800) and D.J. LeMahieu (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,200). Both of these Yankees have wOBAs greater than .400 against lefties in 2019.

Houston Astros

With the Astros having already hit 98 home runs against right-handed pitching this season, it is safe to say they have a really good chance of tacking a few more onto that total in this one. Not only are they playing in Coors Field, but the Rockies’ Peter Lambert is allowing 2.55 HR/9. Load up on the Astros in your DFS entries.

Lambert has really struggled at home this season. He is allowing a .478 wOBA and a 46% hard contact rate in Colorado in 2019. So feel free to stack any combination of Astros. But you will want to pay particular attention to the lefty bats in the Houston lineup. Lambert is allowing a .440/.444/1.040 slash line to lefties at home this season. With that in mind, we will want to start our DFS Astros’ build with Yordan Alvarez (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500), if he is healthy enough to get back in the lineup. The Houston slugger has a .400 ISO and a .424 wOBA against righties this season.

Colorado Rockies

Any time the Rockies’ offense is opposed by a lefty, they have to be considered for DFS stacking purposes. Against left-handed pitching this season, Colorado has been very successful. As a team, they have a .200 ISO and a .340 wOBA against left-handed pitching. And when they get to face a left-hander in the thin air of Colorado they are a no-brainer DFS stacking option.

So, your Colorado DFS building blocks should include the likes of: Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,500), Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,300), Charlie Blackmon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,800) and David Dahl (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200). All four of these Rockies’ batters have accumulated at least a .230 ISO versus left-handed pitching.

Boston Red Sox

You are going to want to pick on Toronto’s Sean Reid-Foley in your DFS lineups on Wednesday. Reid-has a 5.75 SIERA and a 6.46 xFIP as well as a low 9.9% swing strike rate. The Blue Jays’ starter is not missing many bats.

We want to build our Boston’ DFS stack starting with the usual suspects: Mookie Betts (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,400), Rafael Devers (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,700) and Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,600). These three batters have ISOs greater than .200 against right-handed pitching.

Washington Nationals

In 65 career at-bats against the Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara, the Nationals’ current roster has a .369/.431/.706 slash line. In particular Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) and Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $5,000) have been excellent against the Miami starter. Combined, the players are 9-for-23 with three home runs and eight RBIs against Alcantara and are excellent DFS building blocks for Wednesday.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

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Devers’ Outlook

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Suarez’s Outlook

Jordan Luplow ($4,200)

Luplow’s Outlook

7/26 MLB DFS Injury Update

MLB DFS Stacks: Houston, Jurado has a problem.

Saturday Stacks

Houston Astros vs Ariel Jurado (R)

Minnesota Twins vs Brett Anderson (L)

Boston Red Sox vs Tom Eshelman (R)

Honorable Mention: Arizona Diamondbacks

Position Rankings and Values

DFS MLB Upper-Tier Arms

DFS MLB Middle-Tier Arms

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DFS MLB Bargain Basement Arm

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

New York Yankees Stack

vs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 Runs

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 Runs

Honorable Mention

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 Runs

Pitching

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Nick Pivetta (PHI): 5.80 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 6.90 Runs

Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Jesse Chavez (TEX): 5.45 Runs

Honorable Mention

Cleveland Indians

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (40-50 pitches) & RHP Gabriel Ynoa (BAL)

Pitching

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP Gregory Soto (DET): 6.30 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 5.95 Runs

Chicago Cubs Stack

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 6.00 Runs

Honorable Mentions

Houston Astros Stack

Baltimore Orioles Stack

One-Offs and Value Plays

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks

New York Yankees

Houston Astros

Colorado Rockies

Boston Red Sox

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