This Saturday July 20th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.
MLB DFS Stacks: Houston, Jurado has a problem.
Houston Astros vs Ariel Jurado (R)
This one is easy. The last time Jurado faced the Astros he gave up five runs in four innings, at home, and the Stros didn’t even homer once. Welp, Houston is going deep today plus getting the runs. This feels like a spot where Texas will want to stretch Jurado until he breaks which is what I am banking on. Are they chalk? Probably. Why? Because they are most certainly getting to Jurado. Don’t overthink it. Lock in the MLB DFS points and let’s get our advantage elsewhere. Ride with Houston and shake your head at the 80% of people who faded them. Alvarez (.342 ISO, .463 WOBA), Springer (.313, .424), Bregman (.259, .402), Gurriel (.211, .349), Brantley (.208, .370).
I don’t hate Chirinos, but I like everyone above better. I would use him to round out a stack if I needed too.
Minnesota Twins vs Brett Anderson (L)
This is a MLB DFS spot that I am attacking. The Twins handle lefties well, especially mediocre ones at home. This one might slide under the radar too. Garver (.415 ISO, .515 WOBA), Cruz (.356, .411), Sano (.333, .385), Cron (.326, .458), Schoop (.246. .382), and Kepler (.200, .376). You’ll notice most of these players are towards the back of the lineup which will just lower ownership, however they are indeed the best lefty hitters on the team. The Twins have not been on fire lately but this feels like it can be the time for them to bust out. Get some.
If Cave is in he is a quality value play. He should pay off that cheap price tag.
Boston Red Sox vs Tom Eshelman (R)
My guess is a team with deep playoff aspirations didn’t like getting blown out by the rebuilding Baltimore Orioles last night and this is a great bounce-back spot. Eshelman is also nothing to fear in a great MLB DFS hitting environment. In his two starts this year he has struck out seven and 0. Which Eshelman shows up Saturday? I think the latter. Devers (.262 ISO, .426 WOBA), Xander (.246, .414.), Betts (.231, .406), Vasquez (.205, 348). JD or Chavis are fine too if you have the space.
Honorable Mention: Arizona Diamondbacks
Another team that mashes lefties, is at home, and is hot: Kelly, Lamb, Vargas, Escobar, Marte, Ahmed.
Full Disclosure: I am going to the Braves game and will have a stack for gigs. They face a pitcher they rostered last year in Sanchez, and literally have the book on him. I trust Snit to roll out an optimal lineup. Could be fireworks. Acuna, Swanson, Freeman, Donaldson. #HomerPick
Position Rankings and Values
Listed in order of preference
C. Vazquez (2,700 FD, 4,500 DK), Kelly (2,700 FD, 3,900 DK), Garver (3,700 FD, 5,300 DK)
OF. O’Neil (2,700 FD, 4,100 DK), Locastro (2,400 FD, 3,900 DK) both are way too cheap
I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups. It seems to be where the value is today.
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David Jones has been playing fantasy sports since he first discovered it in 2007 while attending the University of Alabama. He began taking DFS more seriously in 2015 when he started winning major tournaments with single entries. He has qualified for the 2018 FanDuel World Fantasy Basketball Championship, 2018 FanDuel World Fantasy Baseball Championship, 2018 DraftKings NFL Showdown Championship, 2018 Inaugural DraftKings Sports Betting National Championship and has two entries in the 2019 FanDuel World Fantasy Baseball Championship. He has taken down 1st place wins in the FanDuel Monster multiple times for 30k/25k as well as winning the Demonster on FanDuel for a hefty 50k. He also won three consecutive NFL Showdowns in 2019. David has won over $230 K since mid-August of 2019.