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Nick Chubb

Week 14 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

Edwin Porras 4 years ago

written by Edwin Porras

We’ve got your NFL Week 14 DFSplays – the best RBs to use in the main slate, as well as some contrarian picksto win you some major green in huge GPPs!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expertchats and more!

Week 14 DFS RunningBack – Cash Game Plays

Christian McCaffrey, CAR at ATL

DK ($10,300) FD ($11,000)

McCaffrey is coming off his lowest-scoring performance since Week 2, and only the second game since then that he didn’t score a TD. But CMC should have plenty of opportunities to remedy when he visits the Falcons in Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. Treat last week as an anomaly and take advantage of the $200 price drop on DK!

Dalvin Cook, MIN vs. DET

DK ($9,500) FD ($8,700)

Cook normally doesn’thave the upside of CMC, but he’s in a great spot versus the Lions, who rank amongthe worst three defenses in the league against RBs. Cook left the Week 13 lossto the Seahawks on Monday night a little early after injuring his chest, but he’snot on the injury report and there’s no indication he’ll be limited Sunday. He’sgot a 10-point floor and 30-point upside and offers a somewhat cheaper optionthan the top dog.

Derrick Henry, TEN at OAK

DK ($8,200) FD ($8,600)

Henryhas been a godsend for DFS players over the past few weeks, and he’s seeking anotherproductive performance against a Raiders defense that’s yielded 134.8 yardsfrom scrimmage per game and 13 touchdowns to running backs so far this season.

Also consider:Devonta Freeman (value cash play)

Week 14 DFS RunningBack – GPP Plays

Aaron Jones, GB vs. WAS

DK ($6,700) FD ($7,800)

Jones dealt with some ankle pain last week but this home matchup againstthe Redskins is about as favorable as you can get. The Packers have an impliedtotal over 27 points, and while we should still see Jamaal Williams (knee) getsome work, both backs offer upside in this smash spot.

Leonard Fournette, JAC vs.LAC

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,500)

Fournette is a lock for 20+ touches this week at home against the Chargers, and he’s seen 23 targets over the past two weeks operating as a workhorse back in all aspects on the Jags offense. His floor remains round 10-12 points and he’s got a 30-point upside.

Nick Chubb,CLE vs. CIN

DK ($8,000) FD ($7,900)

Chubb isn’t cheap, but I could see him matching his production fromthe Miami game a couple of weeks ago, when he rolled for 106 yards and a TD,adding 3-58-0 receiving. The additional of Kareem Hunt has hurt his week-to-weekconsistency, but Chubb is in a positive game script here and the Bengals cannotstop him.

Also consider: Joe Mixon, JamesWhite

Week 14 DFS RunningBack – Contrarian GPP Plays

Alvin Kamara, NO vs. SF

DK ($7,000) FD ($7,600)

Kamara has a tough matchup vs. the 49ers on Sunday, but the game is in New Orleans on the turf and this could be a higher-scoring game than the 44.5 game total. The Saints have a 23.5 implied total, and a lot of that should be the fruits of Kamara’s and Michael Thomas’ labor. A contrarian GPP plays for those of you who think the Saints could hand the 49ers their third loss in Week 14.

Austin Ekeler, LAC at DEN

DK ($6,300) FD ($7,000)

Even with Melvin Gordon getting regular carries, Ekeler has scoredfour receiving TDs over his last six games. He’s got plenty of big plays in himdue to his speed and elusiveness, and I’m committed to using him in GPPs as acontrarian play once again in Week 14.

Also consider: Todd Gurley,Devin Singletary, Mark Ingram

Week 14 DFS RunningBack – Value/Punt Plays

LeSean McCoy, KC at NE

DK ($4,400) FD ($6,100)

McCoy will get the start on Sunday against the Patriots and while it’s not a great matchup, he should see enough involvement to pay off his dirt-cheap price at $4,400 on DK. I’m less interested in FanDuel, where he’s over $6K.

Alexander Mattison, MIN vs.DET

DK ($4,500) FD ($5,100)

It’s not often you can recommend two RBs in the same offense, but theLions defense has been so bad vs. RBS that it could be warranted. Mattison’s presencelimits Cook’s GPP upside a little bit, and we could easily see 10-15 touchesfor the backup RB in a positive game script at home this week.

Additional plays: Phillip Lindsay, Melvin Gordon, Bilal Powell (if Bell out), Darwin Thompson

Monkey Knife Fight Quarterback Pick of the Day

Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Goal: 67.5, Prize: 3x

Christian McCaffrey, Devonta Freeman and D.J. Moore are in great spots to bust out for huge fantasy days this week (especially with Greg Olsen out for Carolina), so go big or go home with this 3x bet!

4 years ago 0 comment

Week 13 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got your NFL Week 13 DFSplays – the best RBs to use in the main slate, as well as some contrarian picksto win you some major green in huge GPPs!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expertchats and more!

Week 13 DFS RunningBack – Cash Game Plays

Christian McCaffrey, CAR vs. WAS

DK ($10,500) FD ($11,000)

McCaffrey scored another 30+ DK points last week and while the price came up on FD to $11K, he’s still affordable on both sites. At some point, you’d think the heavy volume would diminish, but it doesn’t. He’s a fine play at home versus Washington in Week 13.

Saquon Barkley, NYG vs. GB

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,600)

Barkley should be a featured weapon Sunday against the Packers (ina game that will be played in rainy weather) and should get a boatload ofcarriers and usage – the red zone included. Green Bay struggled to defend therun and while he’s far from the fantasy ceiling and floor of McCaffrey, he’s oneof the best cash game options we have, especially at the reduced price on FD.

Aaron Jones,GB at NYG

DK ($6,800) FD ($8,000)

Jones makes sense as a bargain cash gameplay on DK and has an excellent matchup in what should be a positive game script against the Giants. The weather could force the Packers to run the ball a lot more. I wouldn’t play both Barkley and Jones together, but both should get plenty of opportunities to produce.

Also consider:Le’Veon Bell, Jonathan Williams

Week 13 DFS RunningBack – GPP Plays

Josh Jacobs, OAK at KC

DK ($6,900) FD ($7,700)

The shoulder injury has kept him limited again this week, but he’sstill a GPP option facing the league’s worst defense against RBs. No need to overthinkthis – if he’s active and not seriously limited, he’s worth using in GPPs.

Derrick Henry, TEN at IND

DK ($7,600) FD ($8,600)

We’ll keep an eye on news about Henry (hamstring) over theweekend, but the questionable tag shouldn’t diminish our enthusiasm for him inGPPs – especially because he doesn’t have much competition for carries in theTitans offense. He’s got 347 rushing yards and four TDs over his last twogames.

Miles Sanders, PHI at MIA

DK ($5,400) FD ($5,800)

Jordan Howard could be back this week, but Miles Sanders stillmakes sense in GPPs. His speed and usage in all aspects of the Eagles offensecould see him flourish against a poor Miami defense. I wouldn’t recommend him incash games unless Howard is inactive, but he’s going to make many of my GPPbuilds regardless.

Also consider: Todd Gurley,Phillip Lindsay, Joe Mixon, Ronald Jones

Week 13 DFS RunningBack – Contrarian GPP Plays

Leonard Fournette, JAC vs.TB

DK ($7,300) FD($7,000)

It’s not a great matchup, but I’m also not convinced the Jags areready to get away from their current offensive style with Nick Foles undercenter. I expect them to try to grind out a win vs. the Bucs and do so with alot of shorter passes and plenty of involvement from Fournette.

Austin Ekeler, LAC at DEN

DK ($5,700) FD ($6,700)

Melvin Gordon has typically struggled against the Broncos, so wecould see a few more touches and targets for Ekeler in Week 13. He’s a muchbetter play on DK with the full-point PPR, and the upside is still there becauseof his big-play capability.

Also consider: Nick Chubb, MarkIngram, Tevin Coleman

Week 13 DFS RunningBack – Value/Punt Plays

LeSean McCoy, KC vs. OAK

DK ($4,800) FD ($5,800)

McCoy and Darrell Williams will shoulder the load for the Chiefswith Damien Williams looking unlikely to suit up this week. I like McCoy alittle better, but Darrel Dubs is seven cheaper at $4,400 on DK.

Derrius Guice, WAS at CAR

DK ($4,500) FD($5,400)

Guice has a favorable matchup vs. the Panthers (ranked 30th againstRBs), and he should probably receive more touches than Adrian Peterson. Ownershipin GPPs should be down and we could see a breakthrough performance for theembattled young back this week.

Additional plays: Darrel Williams, Jalen Richard (if Jacobs is out or limited)

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Goal: 56.5, Prize: 2x

Let’s go with both RBs and a WR for this matchup in the rain. Both Saquon Barkley and Aaron Jones should see increased volume and Davante Adams if healthy) can round out our choices.

4 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 12 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got your NFL Week 12 DFS plays – the best RBs to use in the main slate, as well as some contrarian picks to win you some major green in huge GPPs!

Sign up NOWfor WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

Week 12 DFS Running Back – Cash Game Plays

ChristianMcCaffrey, CAR at NO

DK ($10,500) FD ($10,500)

With at least 23 DK points in four straight games and averaging a massive 32.4 DK PPG, CMC is again top dog in all formats. I’m not going to bore you anymore with his resume at this point, and while the matchup is difficult compared to others he’s faced, it doesn’t freak me out enough to avoid him. Just lock the guy in and move on.

Nick Chubb, CLE vs. MIA

DK ($8,100) FD ($8,200)

If you can’t fit in McCaffrey in your cash lineups, thenshame on you. No, really, Chubb has some competition for touches now, but he’sanother back facing a poor opponent who could clean up this week and make his fantasyowners very happy. He’s hasn’t scored since Week 6, so he’s due.

Week 12 DFS Running Back – GPP Plays

Alvin Kamara, NO vs. CAR

DK ($8,200) FD ($8,300)

We nailed Kamara last week, and he was under 10 percent owned in large-field GPPs (9.58% in the DK Millionaire Maker). I’m smitten with how Kamara fits into the Saints offense and can break off enormous plays as opponents get distracted by the plodding style of Latavius Murray, the pass-catching ability of Michael Thomas and the multiple speed options (Ted Ginn, Taysom Hill) who complement Kamara’s soaring talent. He’s probably cash viable but is best deployed in GPPs.

Josh Jacobs, OAK at NYJ

DK ($7,400) FD ($8,000)

Jacobs is again nursing the same shoulder injury, but he’sa GPP darling this season, getting lots of work in all aspects of the Raiders’offense. Last week an underwhelming fantasy total, but he’s a better bet toreach paydirt in Week 12 and score 15-25 DK points.

Derrick Henry, TEN vs. JAC

DK ($6,900) FD ($8,400)

The Titans would like to win this division rivalry without throwing the ball a lot, as they grabbed a win over the Chiefs last week with Ryan Tannehill attempting fewer than 20 passes. Henry has a massive upside in this matchup and is one of the strongest runners in the game.

Leonard Fournette, JAC at TEN

DK ($7,300) FD ($7,000)

The other side of the Titans-Jags game features Fournette, who last week was a bit of a disappointment. For Week 12, Fournette’s price is down on both sites and he’s almost a bargain on FD. He’s not a high-profile name and he could go under-owned in GPPs after drawing just 4-5 percent ownership last week.

Joe Mixon, CIN vs. PIT

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,700)

The Bengals are bad, but Mixon has 200 rushing yards and 45 carries over his last two games. He’s the focal point of this offense and the Steelers are a team in turmoil, so I’ll be locking this bell-cow into about 20-25 percent of my GPPs and hopefully staying ahead of the field.

Also consider: Le’Veon Bell, Jaylen Samuels, James White, David Montgomery

Week 12 DFS Running Back – Contrarian GPP Plays

Ezekiel Elliot, DAL at NE

DK ($7,500) FD ($8,100)

This could get interesting. Ezekiel’s ownership was at 14.06% in the Millionaire Maker last week, and he reached 20 DK points, but this week against a much tougher opponent (the Patriots allow the fewest points to fantasy RBs), that ownership level should plummet, even though he still has plenty of upsides and the price has come way down. He could be a sneaky play in GPPs.

Devin Singletary, BUF vs. DEN

DK ($5,400) FD ($6,300)

The Bills’continued reliance on Frank Gore (11 rushing attempts last game) keepsSingletary from getting the 20 attempts he’ll likely need to break through intoGPP stardom, but the Broncos are average against the run and Singletary is atalented back with upside – and probably some relatively low ownership this week.

Also consider: Saquon Barkley, Chris Carson, Phillip Lindsay

Week 12 DFS Running Back – Value/Punt Plays

Miles Sanders, PHI vs. SEA

DK ($5,000) FD ($5,600)

Sanders is a talented back and Jordan Howard hasn’t yet beencleared for contact. With the rookie getting the bulk of work out of the Phillybackfield and having such enormous upside based on his speed and shiftiness, I’lltake the chance against the Seahawks in some GPPs.

Sony Michel, NE vs. DAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($6,300)

Michel is still just too cheap on DK and had 10 carries and four targets last week. I expect the Patriots to use him a little more this week against the Cowboys – who are more susceptible to straight-line power runners – making him a fine value play in Week 12.

Tarik Cohen, CHI vs. NYG

DK ($4,800) FD ($5,700)

Cohen saw an uptick in usage last week and could get more workin Week 12. He’s scored receiving TDs in two straight and could make it a thirdagainst this dubious Giants defensive unit.

Derrius Guice, WAS vs. DET

DK ($4,700) FD ($5,400)

Guice has an excellent matchup and big-play upside, so he’son my list for Week 12 GPP value plays. This team is still committed to giving AdrianPeterson touches, but Guice is cheaper and probably the better back.

Kalen Ballage, MIA at CLE

DK ($4,400) FD ($5,500)

Ballage remains cheap, but his upside is limited,especially against an improving Browns defensive unit. But with Mark Waltondone with football for the foreseeable future, the volume could mean viability onDK.

Additional plays: Ronald Jones, J.D. McKissic, Latavius Murray

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Week

Goal: 78.5, Prize: 3x

Christian McCaffrey, Michael Thomas, and Alvin Kamara are my picks (two RBs and a WR) for notching the most fantasy points in this Week 12 matchup. Let’s go big for 3x since they all catch passes, they can all score multiple TDs and go over 150 total yards and offer monster upside.

4 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 10 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

We’ve got your NFL Week 10 DFS plays – the best RB picks for the main slate, including cash, GPP and some contrarian recommendations to win you some green!

Sign up NOWfor WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

Week 10 DFS Running Back – Cash Game Plays

ChristianMcCaffrey, CAR atGB

DK ($10,500) FD ($10,500)

The Panthers have been limiting McCaffrey’s practiceworkload, but the stud RB’s Week 10 status is not in doubt following a coupleof maintenance days. Fantasy’s No. 1 running back in every aspect, he has a favorablematchup facing a Packers defense that’s been a sieve to running back production.Lock this man in for your cash games and any other formats you see fit.

Saquon Barkley, NYG at NYJ

DK ($8,800) FD ($8,600)

Barkley gets a great matchup vs. the Jets (who allow 18-20fantasy points to RBs, on average) and remains the consensus No. 1 or 2 fantasyRB heading into Week 10. He’s involved in the entire offense and sees upwardsof 8-10 targets each week – making him a lock for double-digit production evenwithout the running game clicking.

Derrick Henry, TEN vs. KC

DK ($6,400) FD ($7,000)

If you’re averse to spending top dollar at both RB spots incash, Henry offers a considerable discount from the aforementioned backs andhas nearly as much upside against a Chiefs defense that’s among the worst inthe NFL at defending RBs.

Week 10 DFS Running Back – GPP Plays

Alvin Kamara, NO vs. ATL

DK ($8,200) FD ($8,300)

Saints head coach Sean Payton had already noted that Kamara would return following his two-game absence, but on Thursday the electric RB practiced in full, putting him higher on my list of GPP plays for Week 10. Latavius Murray will still get work and his excellent performance in Kamara’s stead, and has earned a touch more standalone work, but Kamara is a special player who can take over a game and should eviscerate the Falcons defense. He won’t see the ownership of Barkley or McCaffrey, making him a better tournament play in Saints stacks with Drew Brees and Michael Thomas.

Mark Ingram, BAL at CIN

DK ($7,100) FD ($8,000)

Ingram is one of many options for the Ravens who could blowup in this game, so I’m not too high on him for cash games, but he makes an excellentGPP play because of the opponent (theBengals rank around the third-worst in terms of passing and running defenseDVOA), and his ability to run for over 100 yards. I won’t be at fullexposure, but I should be ahead of the field.

David Montgomery, CHI vs. DET

DK ($5,300) FD ($6,400)

Montgomery is finally having the type of production we expectedhim to earlier in the season, in part because Matt Nagy is using him properly. Montgomery has seen 48 touches over the last two gamesand has now totaled 16 or more touches in five of the last seven games. That workhorserole means his favorable matchup with the Lions means he’s a lock for top 10-15fantasy production, with Top 5 upside. He’s part of my core plays at RB in GPPs,even though he might get chalky.

Marlon Mack, IND vs. MIA

DK ($7,000) FD ($7,400)

Mack makes for a great GPP ply against a poor opponent thisweek, and we could expect maybe a little lower ownership because of the high price.Without the cake matchup, he wouldn’t have nearly as much upside as the playershe’s priced alongside, but the Dolphins yield the most points to fantasy RBsand the Colts should be more ground-focused if it’s Brian Hoyer under center.

Also consider: DeVonta Freeman, Jaylen Samuels, Jamaal Williams, Damien Williams

Week 10 DFS Running Back – Contrarian GPP Plays

Le’Veon Bell, NYJ vs. NYG

DK ($6,900) FD ($6,900)

TheGiants run defense is getting better, but they still have major issues. TheJets do too, but I think we’re in the clear with Bell moving forward, as the tradedeadline has come and gone and he’s the best man for the job despite his 3.3YPC this season. He had a brief injury scare at the beginning of the week, butthe MRI revealed nothing significant and he’s supposed to go on Sunday. Staytuned, but consider him as a contrarian play with plenty of upside on bothsites.

David Johnson, ARI at TB

DK ($5,700) FD ($6,800)

Johnson presents as a very high risk, moderate-to-high rewardand I can’t imagine he’ll be on everybody’s list of top plays, so most will beunderweight on him. So if you’re trying to take down a large-field GPP, he’s wortha look as a low-owned option with plenty of upside. The Bucs have the NFL’stop-ranked run defense, but the Cards spread the field and run the football, soexpect some plays drawn up for Johnson to get some easy completions from KylerMurray and rack up the points. A much safer play on DK because of the full-PPRand nicer price.

Nick Chubb, CLE vs. BUF

DK ($7,000) FD ($8,100)

After a relatively disappointing week at Denver, Chubb could be off the radar for most owners, especially with Kareem Hunt finally available as a change of pace back. He has a tough matchup, but after seeing him rush for 131 yards on 20 carries against the Patriots, I think his results depend more on game flow, big plays and goal line opportunities. The Bills defense hasn’t been wonderful the past couple of weeks and has shown itself to be more vulnerable against the run. If the Browns don’t get behind by multiple TDs, we could see heavy doses of Chubb and enough production to warrant his usage in some GPPs.

Also consider: Todd Gurley, Joe Mixon, Ty Johnson

Week 10 DFS Running Back – Value/Punt Plays

Devin Singletary, BUF at CLE

DK ($5,000) FD ($6,700)

The rookie RB is coming into his own, with scores inconsecutive weeks and a season-high 20 carries vs. Washington in Week 9. He’sone of the best value plays of the slate and makes sense as a flex play in cashgames and one of your core plays in GPPs.

J.D. McKissic, DET

DK ($4,300) FD ($5,600)

He’s an option because he outperformed Ty Johnson last weekand could be seeing a larger workload against the Bears. There’s plenty of riskin this matchup, but McKissic gained 32 yards on just four carries in Week 9and should have the requisite opportunities to make an impact as a pass-catcher.

Kalen Ballage, MIA at IND

DK ($3,800) FD ($4,600)

With Miami’s Bad Boy (teammate Mark Walton) slated to servea four-game suspension, the enigmatic and dynamic Ballage figures to see anexpanded role in Dolphins offense. It’s a team – as a whole – that doesn’talways allow for the most favorable game flows and a commitment to the running game,but Ballage is cheap and has given us monster games before. He’s in a spot todominate the touches in the backfield in Week 10.

Additional plays: Giovani Bernard, Kareem Hunt

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Week

Pick the Players what will get the most Fantasy Points

Goal: 54.5, Prize: 2x

Saquon Barkley, Le’Veon Bell and Golden Tate

Going with the RB theme, we can start both RBs in the Giants-Jets game, as both should have plenty of opportunities ion both the running and passing game on Sunday. Pairing them with PPR maven WR Golden Tate could help you get 2x or more on your bet.

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 8 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I’m excited to offer up some of my favorite Week 8 DFS plays for NFL RBs on the main slate, with cash, GPP and some contrarian plays to win you some green!

Sign up NOWfor WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here!Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Week 8 DFS Running Back – CashGame Plays

Christian McCaffrey, CAR at SF

DK ($9,200) FD($9,600)

McCaffrey benefits from a week off and continued involvementin all aspects of the Carolina offense, and the absence of Cam Newton means he’llget most of the goal line carries as well. The top RB play in any format – evenagainst a tough 49ers run defense – McCaffrey should see 5-10 targets and score20+ fantasy points even if he doesn’t break out with a monster game.

Saquon Barkley, NYG at DET

DK ($8,900) FD ($8,600)

Barkley checks in at 1B when it comes to fantasy upside forWeek 8. He was a full participant in Thursday’s practice at is coming off aWeek 7 return which saw him net 80 total yards against the Cards. This week, hefaces the second-worst fantasy defense vs. RBs and should have his ay with the Lionsin Detroit’s Ford Field.

Leonard Fournette, JAC at NYJ

DK ($7,800) FD ($7,700)

If you want to save a little cash from the top plays I’drecommend landing on Fournette, who has at least 20 carries (29, 23, 20, 29) ineach of his last four games and regular scores 15-30 fantasy points. Bolsteredby his contributions to the passing game and a great matchup against the Jets,Fournette’s fantasy upside may exceed both Barkley and McCaffrey in Week 8.

Week 8 DFS Running Back – GPPPlays

Todd Gurley, LAR vs. CIN

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,400)

Todd Gurley played just 46-of-75 snaps (60.5%) in the Week7 win over the Falcons, so he’s a considerable risk if he keeps such a low workload.But there’s plenty of upside for the Rams lead back against a Bengals team that’sworst in the league versus fantasy RBs. Malcolm Brown has already been ruledout, so I’ll have plenty of exposure to Gurley with some shares of rookierunning back Darrell Henderson as the complementary option.

Chris Carson, SEA at ATL

DK ($7,000) FD ($8,000)

After three straight 100-yard rushing performances, Carsonwas held in check against a tough Ravens’ defense, but he’s a good bet for asolid bounce-back game facing the Falcons. Don’t overthink this. You’ll be gladyou played him in GPPs as part of your core builds. He’s viable for cash gameson DK and is a better GPP play on FD where his price is a bit elevated.

Chase Edmonds, ARI at NO

DK ($6,200) FD ($6,100)

David Johnson is a game-time decision, but we’re to going tolet that cloud our decision to play Edmonds. Johnson was active vs. the Giantsbut saw just one carry. Edmonds has at least 14 DK points in three games in arow, and although this is a tougher road matchup, he’s on my radar.

Marlon Mack, IND vs. DEN

DK ($6,100) FD ($6,800)

Mack had trouble getting into open space against the Texans,but the passing game was really clicking, so they didn’t need his normal groundand pound approach. He rushed 18 times for 44 yards and caught all three of histargets for 12 more in the Week 7 win and has a better matchup at home vs. theBroncos. I’m not expecting huge ownership levels which makes him a good buy forGPPs.

Derrick Henry, TEN vs. TB

DK ($6,000) FD ($6900)

A usually efficient runner with plenty of upside, Henry didn’t get loose against the Chargers last week but did tally at least 20 carries for the third time in his last four games. With the Titans offense looking better with Ryan Tannehill under center, I’m counting on fewer eight-in-the-box looks against this offense and more of Henry’s emblematic “jailbreak” TD runs against TB.

Also consider: Phillip Lindsay, Tevin Coleman, James White (DK)

Week 8 DFS Running Back – ContrarianGPP Plays

Austin Ekeler, LAC at CHI

DK ($5,900) FD ($6,800)

If this ends up being a negative script game, we could see theChargers using a lot more of Ekeler in space, run or pass, than Gordon. He’shad just one dud so far this season, which was Week 6 against Pittsburgh when everythingwent out the window very early in the Chargers’ game plan. He has two games inhis past three outings with at least seven catches, so I have more interest inDK with the full point PPR, especially with the Bears are among the leagueleaders in receptions allowed to running backs this year with 45.

Nick Chubb, CLE at NE

DK ($6,600) FD ($7,700)

Nick Chubb gets the Patriots this week, who have allowedzero touchdowns to running backs thus far, and very few RBs are even worthstarting in New England. But Chubb is a special back, could get a few catches,and he’ll have very low ownership. I think he might be worth a look inlarge-field GPPs as a contrarian play.

Also consider: Le’Veon Bell, Latavius Murray (if Kamara isout), Joe Mixon

Week 8 DFS Running Back – Value/PuntPlays

Royce Freeman, DEN at IND

DK ($5,500) FD ($5,700)

Freeman is becoming a decent DFs option, especially on DK.He has at least 12 PPR points in each of his past two games against Tennesseeand Kansas City, and he has at least four catches in five of his past sixoutings.

Sony Michel, NE vs. CLE

DK ($5,200) FD ($6,500)

Michel is always risky, especially in PPR, since a lot of thepasses head to WRs and James White. IfRex Burkhead (foot) plays this week, that makes the decision even tougher. ButMichel’s getting more work in this offense and has now scored a touchdown infour of his past six games. He’s also facing a putrid Browns defense this weekthat allows the third-most rushing yards per game at 154.

Ty Johnson, DET vs. NYG

DK ($4,900) FD ($5,200)

Ty Johnson should get most of the touches now that KerryonJohnson is on the IR. He’ll share some of the passing game work with J.D.McKissic, who makes sense as a dart-throw punt in large-field GPPs as well, butwe much prefer TYJ facing a Giants defense that has allowed eight running backsto either score or gain at least 100 total yards this season.

David Montgomery, CHI vs. LAC

DK ($4,400) FD ($5,700)

Montgomery has been an overwhelming bust in 2019, includingthe past two games against Oakland and New Orleans when he rushed for acombined 31 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, adding 3-24-0. If he can getinto an offensive groove and find his feet a bit against the Chargers (a team thatstruggles to stop the run), we could see a breakout.

Additional plays: Tarik Cohen, Devin Singletary, LeSean McCoy

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week

Touchdown Dance — Pick the Players that will get the most Total TDs

Goal: 2.50, Prize: 2x

I’m going Todd Gurley, Leonard Fournette and Chris Carson and taking the lock at 2x, but I feel like two of these guys are going to get two TDs each, so the 20x bet is awful tempting.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week Eight Checkdown

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Another awesome week of NFL DFS Cash Games for the Win Daily Team in Week Seven – even the sample lineup from last week’s Checkdown crossed the pay-line in DraftKings single entry cash games! Let’s get right back to it for the Week Eight Checkdown for your NFL DFS Cash Games.

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My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites. Please check back in on Saturday/Sunday morning for potential NFL DFS Cash Games updates.

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help NFL DFS players make the most of their investments.

Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week Eight, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

There are a lot of mid-tier options at the WR position, but at first glance, I strongly suggest locking in one “stud” top-tier WR.
I do think you need to build around Saquon Barkley. At first glance, I was going to fade the top-tier RBs, but I’m not nearly as confident in the running backs outside of Barkley.
Just because someone is not included in this write-up, does not mean you cannot play them in cash. These are all just my preferred plays for an optimal cash game build.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson ($7,200) – Top play at the QB position on paper for Week Eight. If Matt Ryan were to miss this game with an ankle injury, I will fade Russell at this price due my concerns with the Falcons’ ability to keep this game close without Ryan.
Deshaun Watson ($7,100) – Oakland is terrible at defending the pass. The Texans don’t really have a strong running game so they will need a lot of production from Watson in the game with the highest total on Vegas’ board. Watson should be a lock for that 300-yard passing bonus on DraftKings.
Matthew Stafford ($6,100) – Solid price, good matchup. I was honestly a bit shocked to see an opening total of 50 points for this Giants at Lions matchup in Week Eight. The Lions have been having a tough time moving the ball via the run, so I’m confident the Lions’ will rely on Stafford and these talented pass-catchers to beat up on a weak Giants’ secondary. Hopefully this game can shootout like Vegas predicts.
Derek Carr ($5,000) – I touched base on the Texans’ secondary last week when writing up Jacoby Brissett. They are riddled with injuries and have given up the sixth most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks this year.

I have no doubt the Texans’ will be scoring points in this game which should lead to a great gamescript for DFS players interested in Derek Carr. Incredible price for a QB in what should be the highest scoring game on the slate. Using Carr opens up a lot for the rest of your NFL DFS Cash Game roster.
Mitch Trubisky ($4,900) – This is gross, but the price is incredible. The Chargers’ defense is in shambles and I’m quite confident Trubisky can hit 3x value on this slate, easily.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

Saquon Barkley ($8,900) – As of now, I’m going to pass on using Christian McCaffrey ($9,200) at his price. I didn’t use any Barkley in Week Seven DFS as I was a bit nervous to pay a top-tier price for a running back coming off of a significant injury.

Barkley looks like he is a full go moving into Week Eight against a Lions defense that has allowed the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Look for Barkley to get much more involved in the passing game as well this week, which greatly increases his value.
Leonard Fournette ($7,800) – The Jets’ defense has been respectable, but I’ll keep going back to Fournette while he’s priced under $8k. The dude is averaging damn near 25 touches per game and it doesn’t appear that Fournette’s volume is going to decrease. In cash games, volume is key, so lock-in Fournette with confidence.
Chris Carson ($7,000) – The Falcons’ defense is broken. Carson should have a heavy workload (per usual) on the road in Atlanta in Week Eight. Week Seven was disappoint for Carson but he will bounce back this week.
Le’Veon Bell ($6,900) – Le’Veon Bell is an absolute workhorse and is another one of those few running backs who is averaging over 22 touches per game. At this price, Bell appears to be a no-brainer for NFL DFS Cash Games in Week Eight.
Nick Chubb ($6,600) – Nick Chubb under $7k? Yea, I’ll play him.
Josh Jacobs ($5,800) – I’d rather play Derek Carr and an Oakland pass-catcher, but this is simply a value play. Jacobs has been getting a ton of volume lately and continues to run a few routes in the passing game (which hopefully will increase). The Texans bleed receptions to opposing running backs and have been allowing over 26 DraftKings points per game to opposing backs over the past month.

Jacobs should be a lock for 25+ touches again in Week Eight but he’s priced like a running back in a timeshare. Take advantage of that if you need some salary relief at the RB position.
Latavius Murray ($5,800) – Murray is coming off of arguably the best game of his NFL career (or at least since he left the Raiders) and should be able to build on that in Week Eight against a weak Arizona Defense. Murray is a lock-button if Alvin Kamara is ruled out.
Devonta Freeman ($5,500) – Matt Ryan appears to be active for this game at home against the Seahawks so I have a lot of faith in Atlanta at least moving the ball on offense. Freeman is still priced at a great spot for a guy who can easily end up with five or more catches and 100 all-purpose yards. Excellent value for cash. No Matt Ryan.
Ty Johnson ($4,900) – Kerryon Johnson to the IR – Welcome to Ty Johnson chalk week. I’m confident he’ll get the majority of the work, but I’m a bit nervous that J.D. McKissic will be heavily involved as well. I think there is 100% a case to fade Ty Johnson this week but it’s not necessary in cash games.
Carlos Hyde ($4,700) – There isn’t a whole lot of value targets at the running back position this week, but Hyde seems to be one of the few. I have Hyde projected for 18 carries, 75 yards, and a touchdown. That will be more than enough to hit value in cash games.

Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins ($8,100) – Top WR on the slate. Hopkins is starting to heat up and should feast yet again in Week Eight at home against the Raiders.
Michael Thomas ($8,000) – Thomas is averaging over 23 DraftKings points per game and over 10 targets per game. How do you not play him?
~~Chris Godwin ($7,100) –~~ Godwin is averaging the most DraftKings points per game at the wide receiver position. If you would have told me that prior to the season starting, I would have said you’re crazy. Yet, here we are. Godwin continues to be 100% cash viable although I still haven’t fully bought in. Pivoting to Evans if I play any Bucs’ wideouts.
Tyler Lockett ($7,000) – I love attacking Damontae Kazee and this Falcons’ secondary. Lockett should have no issues having his way with them on Sunday.
Kenny Golladay ($6,400) – I think Kerryon Johnson’s injury is going to push the Lions towards passing the ball more. Golladay should see a lot of DeAndre Baker in coverage and that is music to my ears. Golladay is one of my favorite wide receiver plays on the slate.
Mike Evans ($6,600) – I’m off of Godwin and on to Mike Evans. Evans should feast in this matchup against Adoree Jackson and Malcolm Butler while Logan Ryan deals with slowing down Chris Godwin. $500 discount off of Godwin is too much to ignore.
Allen Robinson ($6,000) – Just keep playing him at a discount. Robinson is the only bright spot on the Bears’ offense and continues to rake in the targets from whoever is under center. Robinson lines up all over the field so there are no concerns of an all-day matchup against Casey Hayward.
John Brown ($5,900) – Attack the Eagles’ secondary every week. John Brown is always one play away from breaking the slate and also provides a solid floor needed in cash games. I have Brown projected for 110 receiving yards and a touchdown. He should have no problems getting the ball often on Sunday.
Larry Fitzgerald ($5,400) – Fitzgerald is only in this writeup because of the $700 discount from his $6,100 price tag he carried in Week Seven. P.J. Williams is suspended for one more game so this isn’t my usual “pick on P.J.” week, but the price is right for Fitzgerald this week.
Courtland Sutton ($5,300) – I have no idea what it will take for Sutton to be priced up in the $6k range where he belongs. Sutton is owning the Broncos’ air yards and red zone targets and that doesn’t appear to be stopping any time soon. Sutton offers us a very nice value at the WR position.
Zay Jones ($3,000) – I’m confident newly acquired Zay Jones will finally be active on Sunday against the Texans. Jones has had a few weeks to acclimate himself with the Raiders’ offense and should be their second best option in the passing game (assuming Tyrell Williams is out) behind tight end, Darren Waller. If he suits up, this is a great buy-low week on Zay Jones.

Tight Ends

Darren Waller ($5,900) – Keep playing Waller, he is an absolute stud and should be heavily active in this shootout against the Texans.
Austin Hooper ($5,500) – Hooper has gone for double-digit DraftKings points in all but one game this season. Hooper enters this week in an excellent matchup against the Seahawks. I will downgrade him a bit if Matt Ryan is ruled out but he is certainly cash viable without Ryan.
Evan Engram ($5,300) – Nice discount for a top-tier tight end. The Lions have had troubles all season long with opposing tight ends.
Zach Ertz ($5,100) – I know he hasn’t done a whole lot this year, but Ertz should never be priced under $6k. This is a great price for one of the best tight ends in the NFL.
Hunter Henry ($4,900) – Great price, great matchup. Henry will continue to be a top target for Phil Rivers’ and this Chargers’ passing game. I don’t love his ceiling this week, but I do have him projected for 75 yards and a score.
Jonnu Smith ($2,800) – Jonnu Smith opens up the world for our cash game roster construction now that Delanie Walker has been ruled out.

Defense/Special Teams

Los Angeles Rams ($3,800)
San Francisco 49ers ($3,700)
Tennessee Titans ($3,200)
Indianapolis Colts ($2,900)
New York Jets ($2,600)

NFL DFS Cash Games – Sample Lineup

QB: Derek Carr
RB: Le’Veon Bell
RB: Chris Carson
WR: Michael Thomas
WR: Allen Robinson
WR: Zay Jones
TE: Hunter Henry
FLEX: Nick Chubb
DST: New York Jets

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Five MNF Showdown Guide and Podcast

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide plays for the NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

PODCAST: The King and DFS Pro Dan break down the MNF Showdown field

Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers

O/U: 47.5 (SFO -5)

NFL DFS: Cleveland Browns

The Browns head to San Francisco to take on the second best defense in the NFL through four games this season.They have sputtered on offense for the most part outside of their prime time game against the lowly Jets and a struggling Ravens defense. The Browns have an offensive DVOA of -8.5% (below league average), and a defensive DVOA of -9.1% (above league average). Overall they rank 14th in the league with a 5.6% DVOA. With Cleveland’s passing game ranking 25th in terms of DVOA and SFO’s defense ranking second, I can see this creating a run funnel in a game where both teams try to control the clock by running the football. If San Francisco is able to pull ahead and Cleveland is forced to abandon the run, Baker and Company could be in for a very long Monday Night.

NFL DFS: San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are coming fresh off of a bye week after starting the season out 3-0. Through those first three weeks, the 49er’s have the second best defense in the league per their -35.9% DVOA (35.9% better than league average), second only to the Patriots. Their pass rush has been nothing short of amazing, and even though they don’t have an elite secondary, the defensive line is so good it makes those guys look like studs. I also expect a run funnel effect for the 49ers as well. Jimmy Garoppolo has struggled in passing schemes and Cleveland ranks in the top 10 in terms of passing yards allowed per game (215). San Francisco has a very crowded back-field with Tevin Coleman back in the lineup, but I still think Matt Breida should see a bulk of the work, followed by Raheem Mostert.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

NFL DFS Captain:

Nick Chubb ($15,300), Jimmy Garoppolo ($14,700) Matt Breida ($10,200), Jarvis Landry ($10,800), Deebo Samuel ($9,900), Odell Beckham Jr. ($13,500).

NFL DFS Flex:

49ers DST ($4,600), Raheem Mostert ($5,400), Odell Beckham Jr. ($10,400), Robbie Gould (3,800), Austin Seibert ($3,600), George Kittle ($9,000), Jimmy Garoppolo ($9,800), Dante Pettis ($3400)

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

NFL DFS MVP:

Nick Chubb ($15,000), Odell Beckham Jr. ($13,500) Jimmy Garoppolo ($14,000), Jarvis Landry ($12,000).

NFL DFS Flex:

(All plays at MVP can be used in flex) Matt Breida ($11,500), George Kittle ($11,000), Raheem Mostert ($10,000), Deebo Samuel ($8,000), Dante Pettis ($6,000), Robbie Gould ($9,500).

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