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NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 9)

Richard Masana
written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/9 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 12/9 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a ten-game Thursday slate!

With these larger slates, I highly advise passing on full three-man lines but instead going with pairs of two-man stacks as the goal is to attempt to capture the top scorers on the night across multiple games.

Full DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

With the biggest favorite on this slate, the Blues, carrying a money line of only -170, there is a greater degree of parity than usual across many of the slate’s top options.

Three Favorite Lines

Toronto/Tampa Game “A pair of Two Man Stacks from either Team like William Nylander/John Tavares, Auston Matthews/Wayne Simmonds, Ondrej Palat/Steven Stamkos, etc.”

This game involves two great goaltenders and particularly with some of Tampa Bay’s injuries, on its face, you think low scoring. However, the numbers tell a different story as Tampa has been a lock for three or four goals regardless of opponent lately and Toronto has been playing in some fast-paced shootouts. Picking out a line here is sort of tough as both teams really spread the wealth so to speak. Ultimately this game should exceed the lofty six total.

St. Louis Two 2 Man “Vladimir Tarasenko and Brayden Schenn”

The first line is cheap as well but aside from Pavel Buchnevich, they have not really been producing and only Ryan O’Reilly features on the top power-play unit. As mentioned above, St. Louis is the biggest favorite on the slate here. Previously, Buchnevich was paired with Tarasenko skewing the data sample but assuming Schenn can compensate somewhat, we get a bit more exposure to the top power-play unit and the team’s best player in Tarasenko going this route.

Chicago One “Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, Brandon Hagel”

This shouldn’t be a very high-scoring line but this line is fairly cheap and if any team is scoring here, it’s probably the Blackhawks. Chicago has won its last six games visiting Montreal, whereas the hosts arrive in poor form, having dropped their last four. I think they will have some extra incentive to score and grab the win for Quebec native Marc-Andre Fleury who will be seeking his 500th career win in the net.

12/9 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Tampa Bay Lightning (+115) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-135) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (-115) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+105) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Chicago Blackhawks (-130) at Montreal Canadiens (+110) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Nashville Predators (-105) at New York Islanders (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Detroit Red Wings (+150) at St. Louis Blues (-170) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (-105) at Calgary Flames (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (+105) at Edmonton Oilers (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Winnipeg Jets (-110) at Seattle Kraken (-110) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Minnesota Wild (-145) at San Jose Sharks (+125) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Dallas Stars (-135) at Los Angeles Kings (+115) – 5 Projected Goal Total

12/9 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Auston Matthews- Toronto – $9,300
  2. Ryan O’Reilly – St. Louis – $4,600
  3. Yanni Gourde – Seattle – $5,100
  4. Pierre Luc-Dubois – Columbus – $6,200
  5. Roope Hintz – Dallas – $6,900

Wingers

  1. Vladimir Tarasenko – St. Louis – $5,400
  2. Kirill Kaprizov – Minnesota – $7,600
  3. Alex DeBrincat – Chicago – $6,600
  4. Pavel Buchnevich – St. Louis – $4,100
  5. Jordan Eberle – Seattle – $4,900

Defense

  1. Erik Karlsson – Sharks – $4,700
  2. Adam Boqvist – Columbus – $2,900
  3. Ryan Suter – Dallas – $3,100
  4. Jamie Oleksiak – Seattle – $3,400
  5. Josh Morrisey – Winnipeg – $3,700

Goalies

  1. Anton Khudobin – Dallas – $8,300
  2. Ilya Sorokin – Islanders – $7,700

Cash Considerations

Vladimir Tarasenko, Pavel Buchnevich, Erik Karlsson, Adam Boqvist, Auston Matthews

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NHL

NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 4)

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot.  I’m Jared and I’ll be your host.  Tonight we have a nice sized 9 game slate where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL slate on Fanduel and Draftkings. 

Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:

  • Corsi – Any shot attempt (goals, shots on net, misses and blocks) outside of the shootout
  • Even Strength – Play where both teams have the same number of players (including goalies) on the ice. Includes 5v5, 4v4, 3v3
  • Power Play – Play where the team has more players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 5v4, 5v3, 4v3
  • Penalty Kill – Play where the team has fewer players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 4v5, 3v4, 3v5

Goaltending

Tristan Jarry ($8k DK/$8.1k FD) vs. Montreal Canadiens – Triston Jarry is one of the hottest goalies in the game.  Over his past 9 games he has a save % of .939 and has given up just 1.66 goals per game.  Outside of his last game vs. an explosive Edmonton offense he had been above 20 DK points in 6 consecutive games. 

In a matchup against a Canucks team that is only scoring a hair over 2 goals per game, I really like Jarry’s chances of getting past his dud vs. Edmonton and back on the saddle w/ a game above 20 DK points again.  There’s a strong chance for a ceiling type game from Jarry due to the Vancouver’s high shot volume and low shooing %.  They are averaging 38 shots per game with just a 5.58 shooting percentage.

Alex Nedeljkovic ($7.7k DK/$7.5k FD) vs. New York Islanders – The Red Wings are riding a 4 game winning streak, with a lot of it due to the solid play of Nedeljkovic.  He has been superb of late.  In his last 3 games he has DK points of 32, 24.8, and 40.8.  The only concern with Nedeljkovic tonight is that the Islanders play at a slow pace and don’t shoot the puck much. 

Over their last 5 games they are averaging just 25 shots per game.  That said, they’re also averaging less than a goal per game during that stretch.  The Islanders are getting past their COVID issues but tonight’s not going to be their night.  Look for Nedeljkovic to be one of the top goalies by the end of the night.

Marc-Andre Fleury ($7.3k DK/$7.3 FD) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins – As a Rangers fan I hope I’m wrong here but I think they struggle tonight.  They’re playing their third game in 4 days and are on the back side of a back to back. In Fleury we’re getting a very affordable goalie who is in the midst of a pretty good stretch of goaltending.  Over his last 7 games he has .947 saver percentage and is giving up just 1.69 goals per game.  With my expectation that the Rangers have some tired legs I expect Fleury to have one of his better nights of the year.   

Stacks

Colorado 1 (Mackinnon/Landeskog/Rantanen) + Toews or Maker

Colorado gets an extremely favorable matchup tonight vs. a Senators team that is giving up close to 5 goals per game over the past 2 weeks.  Senators are one of my favorite teams to stack against because they are one of the bottom feeders in the NHL.  Over the last 2 weeks they have a corsi % of just 41%.  In comparison, the Avalanche are at 57%.  Anything below 50 isn’t great, but when you are approaching 40% you’re bad.  Very bad. 

In net for Ottawa tonight should be Filip Gustavsson.  Over his last 5 games he has an .887 save % and is giving up more than 4 goals per game.  This stack is extremely expensive and will be very popular.  But they are in just too good of a spot to pass up. If you want to go a different route w/ Colorado tonight I do also love their second line with Kadri and Nichushkin.  Both guys have been playing extremely well together and come at a fraction of the cost of the top line. 

Nashville 1 (Granlund/Duchene/Forsberg) + Josi or Fabbri

This line is very affordable tonight on DK and gets a great matchup.  Montreal is giving up close to 40 shots per game over the last 2 weeks.  That’s just a ton of volume.  While Jake Allen is serviceable goalie, he’s not someone that can handle that much volume without giving up a handful of goals.  His GAA over his past 5 games is north of 3. 

This top line for Nashville is playing extremely well.  Over the past 5 games Forsberg has 6 goals while Granlund and Duchene have combined for 11 points with 9 assists.  They have a chance to put up a big number tonight vs. a poor defensive team. 

Carolina 3 (Svechnikov/Kotkaniemi/Stepan)

I don’t have the warm and fuzzies about this pick, but the Sabres are just so bad right now.  Over their past 7 games they have a goals against average of 5 and a corsi of 47%.  That’s just downright awful.  While the Hurricanes aren’t playing their best hockey right now, they have shown explosiveness in the past.  There’s no better slump buster in the league than the Buffalo Sabres. 

Svechnikov is one of their best players and even though the team is struggling to score some goals, he’s still firing away on net.  Over his past 5 games he’s averaging almost 3.5 shots per game.  His line mates are extremely cheap and if Svechnikov can connect on a pair of goals tonight with them we have a chance to break away from the pack at a low cost.  Carolina gets back on track tonight and puts up a very large number.  

Other stacks (Detroit 1, Pit 1 and 2, Min 1, Tor 1 and 2, Was 1)

Top Defenseman

  • Roman Josi – Nashville Predators
  • Kris Letang – Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Tyler Myers – Vancouver Canucks
  • Seth Jones – Chicago Blackhawks
  • Jacob Slavin – Carolina Hurricanes
  • Adam Fox – New York Rangers

Summary

We have a fun looking slate tonight.  4 of the 9 games have a total of at least 6.  Some of the worst defensive teams are in action tonight and I’m going to make it a point to attack them.  The Toronto/Minnesota game tonight highlights two of the more solid teams in the league. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 3)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com
written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

This article will focus on NHL Daily Fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings. Using advanced hockey metrics, slate analysis, and line by line evaluation, this article will point you towards what we think are the best plays for the night! Good luck!

Friday 12/3 NHL Breakdown

Happy Friday and happy December! We have a very nice little 5 game slate tonight that starts at our normal 7pm Eastern time. This one looks pretty straightforward, so let’s get right into it.

Goalies

Connor Hellebuyck – Winnipeg Jets: The Jets and Hellebuyck get a home matchup with the Devils, who in their last five road games, have only been scoring 2.6 goals per game. Hellebuyck is much better at home, as are the Jets in general, giving up under 2 goals per game in their last five home games. The Devils can be a little feisty, but tonight, the Jets should be able to handle them.

Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers: The Rangers have a very nice matchup at home against the Sharks tonight, and while the Sharks have been playing well, Igor has been a solid goalie for the Rangers. At home, he has posted a 1.8 GAA over his last five home games.

Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – John Gibson – Anaheim Ducks: John Gibson at home is always a solid play, especially because they never change his price. He usually comes in on the lower end of salary, and as long as that continues to happen, he should be a goalie to play in GPP. The Flames come into town tonight after a win against LA last night, and are on the back end of a traveling back-to-back. Gibson should see shot volume, and has a real shot for a win tonight.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Edmonton Oilers Power Play – Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Zach Hyman/Tyson Barrie: It’s no secret that most nights that Edmonton is on a slate, you play them. Tonight is that and then some, as the Oilers take on the Kraken in Seattle. This unit gets to face a Kraken team that is giving up almost four goals per game on the season. Even at home, the Kraken have given up 3.6 goals against over their last five home games. This unit is high powered, and they should be dominant tonight. McDavid/Draisaitl/Barrie are the core pieces, and you can use RNH and Hyman for value if needed.

Winnipeg Jets 1 – Mark Scheifele/Kyle Connor/Blake Wheeler/Neal Pionk: The Jets have been in a little bit of a slump recently, but they have a chance to right the ship tonight as the New Jersey Devils come to town. They look to be facing Jonathan Bernier in net tonight, and while he has not been playing poorly, he has not been great either. The Jets are a much better home team than they are on the road, so tonight is a good spot for them.

Vegas Golden Knights 2 – Nicolas Roy/Jonathan Marchessault/Reilly Smith/Alex Pietrangelo: The Knights have a nice little matchup tonight, and while the top line is in a good spot, this second line looks to be in a better spot. The second line should see mostly the Arizona top line tonight, which is a very nice plus matchup. Most people will flock to Edmonton and the Vegas top line, and this line should help get some leverage in tournaments.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Arizona Coyotes 2 – Barrett Hayton/Christian Fischer/Lawson Crouse/Shayne Gostisbehere: The Coyotes are an interesting GPP play tonight against the Golden Knights. They have been playing a little better of late, but have gotten fantastic goaltending. The Knights have been giving up 4 goals against over their last five road games, and Lehner has been less than average, with a 3.99 GAA over his last five games. Arizona is a very sneaky play tonight, and with all of the eyes on Vegas and Edmonton, this could be the leverage you need. The even strength matchup tonight looks very good for this second line, as they get the Vegas top line.

New York Rangers 1 – Mika Zibanejad/Chris Kreider/Kaapo Kakko/Adam Fox: The addition of Kakko to this line makes it a little more appealing, but the focus on this line is Zibanejad/Fox. Another really good way to stack the Rangers is to add Artemi Panarin in, creating a three-man stack with Zibanejad/Panarin/Fox. They are high risk because San Jose has been pretty good on the road this season. The Rangers are scoring 3.25 goals per game on home ice this season, making them a solid play.

Honorable mentions: CGY2, ANH2, VGK1, SJS1, NJD2, SEA1

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Nicolas Roy ($3200) – Vegas Golden Knights

Wing: Kaapo Kakko ($3500) – New York Rangers

Defense: Jamie Oleksiak ($3100) – Seattle Kraken

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Nicolas Roy ($3500) – Vegas Golden Knights

Wing: Zack Kassian ($4100) – Edmonton Oilers

Defense: Jamie Drysdale ($4000) – Anaheim Ducks

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl – C – Edmonton Oilers (if you can’t get both, at least get one)

Kyle Connor – W – Winnipeg Jets

Adam Fox – D – New York Rangers

Robin Lehner – G – Vegas Golden Knights

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl – C – Edmonton Oilers (if you can’t get both, at least get one)

Kyle Connor – W – Winnipeg Jets

Adam Fox – D – New York Rangers

Robin Lehner – G – Vegas Golden Knights

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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NHL

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 2)

Richard Masana
written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/2 NHL Picks for both DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbooks and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 12/2 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for December as we prepare for a ten-game Thursday slate!

With these larger slates, I highly advise passing on full three-man lines but instead going with pairs of two-man stacks as the goal is to attempt to capture the top scorers on the night across multiple games.

Full DraftKings and FanDuel Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines

Colorado One “Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog” – DraftKings or FanDuel

Reunited, this line is ready to make up for all of the lost time by dominating their foreign opposition. The Avalanche have been involved in some epic track meets lately with results looking like baseball scores without Nathan Mac around. They will be on the second night of a back-to-back but shipped it into Toronto after Darcy Kuemper was scratched last night 8-3 so hopefully, the Avs didn’t push too hard in the third period “it doesn’t look like they did per the scoreline”. Getting the Canadiens tonight should provide the perfect opportunity for a Colorado bounce back. There is very little data on these gentlemen collectively so far this season but for those who don’t already know, if data from prior seasons remains applicable, they’re very, very good at their jobs.

Florida One “Jonathan Huberdeau, Sam Bennett, Owen Tippett/Possibly Anthony Duclair GTD so watch that” – DraftKings or FanDuel

It seems like every time I write, Florida is in a great spot, as in tonight where they come in as slate high -320 favorites against the Sabres. Those losers have dropped six of their last seven including an embarrassing 7-4 home loss to the Kraken last time out. The sample size on this line doesn’t go back too far and prior data includes Anthony Duclair as opposed to Owen Tippett but these are the Panthers I’d target first, with the second line also a viable option.

Calgary One “Matthew Tkachuk, Johnny Gaudreau, Elias Lindholm” – DraftKings or FanDuel

This line is my favorite tournament line of the night. They have put up some mind-blowing statistics so far this season including a full 99 SATF “shot attempts for including all shots on goals, missed shots, blocked shots” at 299 then the line with the second most, Boston’s Perfection Line at 200. Only Washington’s top line has more full-line goals. Calgary comes in a -150 favorite here in a late-game, in which they should go overlooked given the size of the slate as well as the presence of many big favorites early on. The Flames are hot “no pun intended”, winning four of their last five while L.A. is locked in a heavy skid dropping six of their last seven with the only win against the moribund Ottawa Senators.

12/2 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Buffalo Sabres (+250) at Florida Panthers (-320) – 6 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (+120) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-145) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Chicago Blackhawks (+170) at Washington Capitals (-210) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Colorado Avalanche (-165) at Montreal Canadiens (+145) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Ottawa Senators (+235) at Carolina Hurricanes (-300) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Late Games

New Jersey Devils (+140) at Minnesota Wild (-160) – 6 Projected Goal Total

San Jose Sharks (+105) at New York Islanders (-125) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (-120) at Nashville Predators (+100) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+150) at Dallas Stars (-175) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-150) at Los Angeles Kings (+130) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

12/2 NHL FanDuel Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado – $8,900
  2. Sam Bennett – Florida – $6,100
  3. Elias Lindholm – Calgary – $7,700
  4. Patrice Bergeron – Boston – $8,500
  5. Roope Hintz – Dallas – $6,500

Wingers

  1. Alex Ovechkin – Washington – $9,900
  2. Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida – $7,600
  3. Owen Tippett – Florida – $4,300
  4. David Pastrnak – Boston – $8,900
  5. Matthew Tkachuk – Calgary – $7,000

Defense

  1. Cale Makar – Colorado – $7,200
  2. Devon Toews – Colorado – $4,700
  3. Aaron Ekblad – Florida – $6,600
  4. Mackenzie Weegar – Florida – $4,900
  5. Erik Karlsson – San Jose – $4,900

Goalies

  1. Jacob Markstrom – Calgary – $7,900
  2. Colorado goalie? $6,800

12/2 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Nathan MacKinnon- Colorado – $8,700
  2. Roope Hintz – Dallas – $5,700
  3. Elias Lindholm – Calgary – $7,100
  4. Sam Bennett – Florida – $7,000
  5. Patrice Bergeron – Boston – $8,500

Wingers

  1. Alex Ovechkin – Washington – $9,700
  2. Owen Tippett – Florida – $3,500 “If Duclair isn’t back”
  3. David Pastrnak – Boston – $9,200
  4. Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida – $7,000
  5. Vladimir Tarasenko – St. Louis – $6,100

Defense

  1. Noah Dobson – Islanders – $4,100
  2. Erik Karlsson – Sharks – $5,000
  3. Brandon Montour – Florida – $3,500
  4. Ryan Suter – Dallas – $2,900
  5. Cale Makar – Colorado – $8,000

Goalies

  1. Jacob Markstrom/Dan Vladar – Calgary – $7,200
  2. Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay – $7,900

Cash Considerations “DraftKings”

Alex Ovechkin, Owen Tippett “if no Duclair”, Nathan MacKinnon, Roope Hintz, Jacob Markstrom/Dan Vladar

Cash Considerations “FanDuel”

Alex Ovechkin, Owen Tippett “if not Duclair”, Sam Bennett, Nathan MacKinnon, if Darcy Kuemper returns for Colorado lock him in

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NHL

NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Nov. 27)

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot.  I’m Jared and I’ll be your host.  Tonight we have a nice sized 8 game slate where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL slate on Fanduel and Draftkings. 

Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:

  • Corsi – Any shot attempt (goals, shots on net, misses and blocks) outside of the shootout
  • Even Strength – Play where both teams have the same number of players (including goalies) on the ice. Includes 5v5, 4v4, 3v3
  • Power Play – Play where the team has more players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 5v4, 5v3, 4v3
  • Penalty Kill – Play where the team has fewer players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 4v5, 3v4, 3v5

Goaltending

Jacob Markstrom($7.9k DK/$7.9k FD) vs. Winnipeg Jets – Jets are a team that have some fire power, but recently they’ve been shooting blanks.  Over the past 2 weeks the Jets have one of the worst shooting percentages of any team on tonight’s slate.  It’s sitting at just 5.37%.  They’re firing at will as they have been averaging over 34 shots per game during that stretch but nothing is finding the back of the net. 

The Jets have been averaging just 1.86 goals per game over their past 7 games.  In Markstrom we have an elite goalie who has a 1.73 GAA on the year and a .940 save %.  All signs point to Markstrom having a solid night and being one of the best values in net. 

Ville Husso ($7.8k DK/$7.8k FD) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets – Husso has only played in 2 games this season.  1 game he was brilliant, the other game he was average.  Tonight he faces a Blue Jackets team on the tail end of a back to back set. 

They’ve been averaging around 33 shots per game over the past 2 week so we know there’s a good chance that Husso gets some volume tonight.  If he plays like he did in his first start with that type of volume he stands a good chance of having a solid night tonight. 

Goalie is a train wreck in my opinion tonight.  Outside of Markstrom I have little comfort in any goalie.  Normally I’d put a goalie vs. the Canadiens, but have no interest in DeSmith.  You could make a case for Cal Petersen but he’s more than I’d like to pay for a goalie.  

Stacks

Detroit 1 (Larkin/Bertuzzi/Raymond) + Seider or DeKeyser

If you have followed me this season, you know my affinity for the Red Wings.  They are a high risk, high reward type of team.  Tonight I love the spot for them.  The Sabres as a team are a mess defensively.  They’re giving up more than 4 goals per game on average in their last 7 games.  As per usual with the Red Wings, Larkin and Raymond are my priority. 

The two of them have combined for 6 goals and 12 points over their past 5 games.  They also play together on the top power play unit.  For this stack, I’d also consider adding in Seider.  While his price has crept up there, he plays with Larkin and Raymond on the top power play also.  He’s also getting more than 4 shots plus blocks in his last 5 games. 

Los Angeles 1 (Kempe/Arvidsson/Kopitar) + Roy

The Kings have been struggling of late.  Over the past 2 weeks they’ve only scored 9 goals in their 5 games.  There’s no better slump buster than the Ottawa Senators.  This is a great bounce back spot for the Kings.  While they haven’t been scoring much of late, the top line is where I want to stay tonight.  Kempe and Arvidsson are my priorities here as they are the ones playing the best of late. 

Over their last 5 games they each have individual corsi’s of at least 25.  Between the 2 of them they have 20 high danger chances over that stretch too.  At some point, they’re going to break back through and it should be tonight.  Kempe, Arvidsson, and Roy all play together on the top power play as well so they’ll correlate throughout the game. 

Pittsburgh 1 (Crosby/Guentzel/Kapanen) + Letang

The Canadiens are another team that is an absolute mess.  Over their last 7 games the are giving up more than 4.2 goals per game and over 37 shots.  Teams are just firing at will against them.  The Sabres had 39 shots and 4 goals against them last night.  There’s no reason to think that the Penguins can’t replicate that tonight. 

I love both the top lines for Pittsburgh tonight but my preference is the top due to how well Guentzel has been playing.  Over his past 5 games he has 25 scoring chances, with 15 being considered high danger.   My priority here would be Guentzel and Kapanen.  Crosby is starting to heat up a bit as he has 11 shots over his past 3 games. That said, $7.1k on DK is still a lot to pay for someone that hasn’t been scoring. 

Other stacks (Both top lines for Edmonton, Pittsburgh 2, STL PP1, Col 2, CGY 1)

Top Defenseman

  • Cale Maker – Colorado Avalanche
  • Roman Josi – Nashville Predators
  • Jakob Chychrun – Arizona Coyotes
  • Esa Lindell – Dallas Stars
  • Kris Russell – Edmonton Oilers
  • Vladislav Gavrikov – Columbus Blue Jackets

Summary

We may see some sloppy hockey tonight as nearly half the teams playing tonight played last night.  Sloppy normally means some extra goals.  Markstrom is my top goalie tonight and it’s not really close.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Nov. 26)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com
written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

This article will focus on NHL Daily Fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings. Using advanced hockey metrics, slate analysis, and line by line evaluation, this article will point you towards what we think are the best plays for the night! Good luck!

Friday 11/26 NHL Breakdown

Hey everyone, and welcome back to another Friday Forecheck! The NHL returns back to action tonight after the Thanksgiving holiday. Hope you all had a great Thanksgiving and were able to enjoy some time with loved ones. There are multiple slates on this Black Friday NHL day, but this article will focus on the Main Slate, starting at 7pm Eastern.

Goalies

Tristan Jarry – Pittsburgh Penguins: Jarry has been playing absolutely lights out for Pittsburgh over the last few games, and he has a great matchup tonight against the New York Islanders, who are still battling some COVID issues throughout their lineup. He should be in line for a win, with some decent shot upside tonight.

Elvis Merzlikins – Columbus Blue Jackets: Elvis has not been playing too great as of late, but this game is a chance for him to rebound. He has a slightly inflated 2.91 GAA over his last five games, but tonight has a chance to right the ship against a Vancouver team who has been struggling to score on the road, putting up just 2.2 goals per game over their last five road games. The Canucks are also surrendering a whopping 5 goals against per game over that same stretch.

Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars: Oettinger is another goalie who has been playing really well, and that is exactly what the Stars needed. Over their last five home games, the Stars have given up just 2 goals against per game, and in that stretch, handled the Edmonton Oilers, which is a feat in itself. Tonight, they get the Colorado Avalanche, who have been good on the road, scoring 4 goals per game. This is the shot upside, maybe get a win at low ownership, play tonight.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Toronto Maple Leafs 1 – Auston Matthews/Michael Bunting/Mitch Marner/Morgan Rielly: The Leafs have been playing well on this road trip, and everything points to that continuing tonight. They get a matchup tonight against the San Jose Sharks, and this top line should see a bunch of the Logan Couture line. This sets up nicely for AM and his crew.

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 – Boone Jenner/Oliver Bjorkstrand/Gustav Nyquist/Zach Werenski: The Blue Jackets have arguably the best upside on the board tonight. As mentioned above, the Canucks have been very bad on the road of late, and they have been giving up goals left and right. The Jackets play well at home, scoring 3.6 goals per game on the season thus far.

Tampa Bay Lightning 1 – Steven Stamkos/Ondrej Palat/Alex Barre-Boulet/Victor Hedman: The Lightning are in a fantastic spot as well, at home against the Seattle Kraken, who have been almost as bad as the Canucks on the road. Grubauer, the Kraken goalie, has been terrible so far this year, and even if he doesn’t go and the Lightning face Driedger, well that’s nice too! This top line will see a lot of the depth of Seattle tonight, and that is a fantastic plus matchup. You can also consider a TBL3 look of Ross Colton/Boris Katchouck/Taylor Raddysh. They are extreme value, but also extremely volatile. They did match up against the top line in their last home game, so there is a possibility of some upside there, if you want access to a high Vegas total for a discount. The TBL3 look is considered VERY high risk.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 – Jeff Carter/Jason Zucker/Kasperi Kapanen/John Marino: The Pens are a team that should do well tonight against a depleted Islanders team. Based on a small sample of line matching, this line should see the top line for the Isles for most of the night, which sets them up very nicely. The top Islander line is giving up 15.38 high danger chances against per 60. This line is only producing 8.58 high danger chances per 60, but the opportunities should be there. Consider the top line as well of Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust when looking at the Pens tonight.

Dallas Stars 3 – Tyler Seguin/Jacob Peterson/Alexander Radulov: This line should see a bunch of the depth lines for the Colorado Avalanche tonight, in a plus matchup. Seguin/Radulov have not been the same this year, which is what makes them risky, but this line looks to be in a good spot tonight.

Montreal Canadiens 3 – Jake Evans/Artturi Lehkonen/Brendan Gallagher: The line matching that Buffalo rolls with sets this line up with a very, very nice matchup against the opposing third line. These guys don’t hit the ice as much as we would like to see, so they carry a whole lot of risk, but they have a really nice upside matchup tonight, at very little to no ownership.

Honorable mentions: BUF1, COLPP, NYI2, SJS1, TOR2

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Ross Colton ($2800) – Tampa Bay Lightning

Wing: Cole Caufield ($3000) – Montreal Canadiens

Defense: Vladislav Gavrikov ($2800) – Columbus Blue Jackets

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Anthony Cirelli ($4400) – Tampa Bay Lightning

Wing: Michael Bunting ($3900) – Toronto Maple Leafs

Defense: Brian Dumoulin ($3600) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Steven Stamkos – C – Tampa Bay Lightning

Oliver Bjorkstrand – W – Columbus Blue Jackets

Cale Makar – D – Colorado Avalanche

Andrei Vasilevskiy – G – Tampa Bay Lightning

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Steven Stamkos – C – Tampa Bay Lightning

Oliver Bjorkstrand – W – Columbus Blue Jackets

Cale Makar – D – Colorado Avalanche

Andrei Vasilevskiy – G – Tampa Bay Lightning

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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