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NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 30)

Richard Masana
written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/30 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 12/30 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a seven-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines

Carolina One “Sebastian Aho/Teuvo Tervainen/Nino Niederreiter Two Man”

There is no recent data for this line as Carolina had been wrecked by covid prior to the stoppage and Aho was one of the missing players. However, the Hurricanes played fairly well through absences and return fairly healthy with the sweetest matchup of the night, hosting a severely undermanned Montreal team. We are also getting a gift price on Aho at $6,600 and Nino Niederreiter is super cheap, which is why I listed the full line despite Niederreiter not joining the other two skates on Carolina’s top power-play unit.

Florida One “Aleksandr Barkov/Anthony Duclair/Carter Verhaeghe”

Much like Carolina listed above, Florida had been dealing with a huge wave of covid cases prior to the short holiday/covid induced stoppage. However, they are healthy now and this line seems way too cheap. The Panthers will be on a back-to-back, but they should have no problem getting a few goals past third-string, awful career minor league goalie Maxime Legace. At $3,600, Verhaeghe provides us some savings/value, so once again the full line is in play.

Calgary One “Elias Lindholm, Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk”

As a later game, this might be a sneaky spot for a high-quality line such as Calgary One. They are fairly priced on DraftKings and get a Seattle team that has poor defensive metrics and has been giving up a lot of goals recently, on a back to back. Over their last ten games, they are leading every other line in the NHL in terms of shot attempts for “incl. sog, missed shots, blocks shots) by a full 51 with the second most line-oriented goals in that span with nine. For tournaments, they make a perfect pairing with one of the above lines, a mix of chalk and contrarian.

12/30 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Nashville Predators (-125) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+105) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Tampa Bay Lightning (+115) at Florida Panthers (-135) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+250) at Carolina Hurricanes (-320) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Buffalo Sabres (+165) at New York Islanders (-200) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Calgary Flames (-140) at Seattle Kraken (+120) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (-115) at Los Angeles Kings (-135) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Philadelphia Flyers (+115) at San Jose Sharks (-135) – 6 Projected Goal Total

12/30 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Sebastian Aho – Carolina – $7,300
  2. Aleksandr Barkov – Florida – $6,700
  3. Brayden Point – Tampa Bay – 7,900
  4. Elias Lindholm – Calgary – $6,200
  5. Elias Pettersson – Vancouver – $3,900

Wingers

  1. Filip Forsberg – Nashville – $7,100
  2. Johnny Gaudreau – Calgary – $6,700
  3. Andrei Svechnikov – Carolina – $6,600
  4. Nino Niederreiter – Carolina – $4,500
  5. Carter Verhaeghe – Florida – $3,600

Defense

  1. Alexandre Carrier – Nashville – $3,000
  2. Mattias Ekholm – Nashville – $3,500
  3. Erik Karlsson – San Jose – $6,600
  4. Rasmus Dahlin – Sabres – $4,100
  5. Brent Burns – San Jose – $6,400

Goalies

  1. Frederick Andersen/Antti Raanta – Carolina – $8,300
  2. Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders – $7,800
  3. Jacob Markstrom – Calgary – $8,200

Cash Considerations

Sebastian Aho, Aleksandr Barkov, Alexandre Carrier, Frederick Andersen/Antti Raanta

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NHL

NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 18)

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL DFS slate on Fanduel and DraftKings.  What was originally supposed to be a nice sized 9 game slate has turned into a smaller, but still fun 6 game slate thanks to some COVID postponements.  My goal here will be to provide you with a solid foundation for your lineup.   

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:

  • Corsi – Any shot attempt (goals, shots on net, misses and blocks) outside of the shootout
  • Even Strength – Play where both teams have the same number of players (including goalies) on the ice. Includes 5v5, 4v4, 3v3
  • Power Play – Play where the team has more players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 5v4, 5v3, 4v3
  • Penalty Kill – Play where the team has fewer players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 4v5, 3v4, 3v5

Goaltending

Frederik Andersen ($8.2k DK/$7.9k FD) vs. Los Angeles Kings – Outside of the fact that the Hurricanes aren’t giving up much in the way of shots, I really like this spot tonight for Andersen.  The Kings just haven’t been scoring much over the past 2 weeks with a goals per game under 3.  The good news for is that even though the Hurricanes don’t give up much in the way of shots, the Kings do take a ton of shots. 

My hope here is that the two teams meet somewhere in the middle and the Kings take enough shots to make paying more than $8k for Andersen worthwhile.  Before giving up 3 goals to Detroit on Thursday night, Andersen had been playing some stellar hockey as he had given up just 4 goals in his prior 3 games.  Look for him to get back on track tonight against the Kings.      

Thatcher Demko ($7.5k DK/$7.3k FD) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – This is far from a safe pick, but if we look past Auston Matthews tonight there’s not much else to love from the Maple Leafs.  Tavares is on the COVID list and was one of their leading scorers over the last 2 weeks.  Now you have your second line centered by David Kampf instead of Taveres which somewhat neutralizes William Nylander. 

Toronto will not be sending out their best tonight and I’ll want to take advantage of it with a goalie that is playing some of his best hockey of the year.  Demko hasn’t scored under 17 DK points since late November and is becoming one of the more reliable goalies in the NHL.  He’s coming into tonight riding a 5 game winning streak.  While it’s always scary playing against the Leafs, Demko is playing great right now and should be in consideration when picking your goalie tonight.   

I have little interest in any of the other goalies tonight so will be sticking with the two that I mentioned. 

Stacks

Edmonton 1 (McDavid/Puljujarvi/Foegele) + Nurse vs. Seattle Kraken

Going into their last game against Columbus I mentioned in our discord that this top line was due for some positive regression.  Boy did they deliver with 74 DK points between them.  This line has combined for 60 scoring chances over their last 5 games, with 27 of them being high danger chances.  Still, they’ve only scored 4 goals, 3 of which were scored by Puljujarvi the other night. 

There’s still some more positive regression coming for them and I want to make sure I have them in my lineup when it happens.  Outside of McDavid this line is dirt cheap on DK.  Foegele is only $2.8K and Pulj is only $4.4k.  What if I told that you that of all the players available on tonight’s slate, only 2 have a higher iCF than Pulj over their last 5 games?    Over his last 5 games Pulj has a iCF of 36 with 25 scoring chances.  Him and McDavid are my priority here, but if you need the salary savings Foegele makes for a great value. 

New Jersey 1 (Hughes/Zacha/Bratt) + Hamilton vs. Detroit Red Wings

Yes, I know that the Devils only have a 2.25 goal total coming into tonight’s slate.  Vegas has that wrong in my opinion.  Detroit has been a mess defensively of late.  Over the last 2 weeks they have a corsi % of 47.58%.  Only Ottawa has a worse %.  They’re also giving up 4.5 goals per game thanks to some subpar goaltending.  While the Devils aren’t one of the powerhouse offenses we think of in the NHL, they stand a strong chance of exploding tonight. 

With this stack I’m going to focus on both Hughes and Zacha.  Both guys have combined for 38 scoring chances over their last 5 games, 18 of them high danger chances.  If you want to go for a full stack here I wouldn’t talk you off of Bratt. He’s also been solid of late with 4 points in his last 5 games.  This trio also plays together on the top power play unit for Jersey.  Look for the Devils to make Vegas look silly for the implied total tonight. 

Ottawa 1 (Norris/Tkachuk/Batherson) + Chabot vs. Philadelphia Flyers

This game tonight has the makings of a 5-4 game as both goalies in this one are trash and neither team likes to play defense.  Well they may like to play it, but are just not good at it.  Both teams in this one have corsi %’s below 50.  Below 50 in the NHL is bad.  I’m siding with Ottawa in this matchup because the Senators offense has been pretty good of late, outside of their 2-1 loss to the Lightning.  Lightning > Flyers. 

If we think Ottawa offense, we automatically go to their top line.  Their top line has been scoring at will of late and is one of the hottest lines in the NHL.  Drake Batherson has been red hot.  In his last 5 games he has 10 points.  His line mates haven’t been slouches either.  Both Norris and Tkachuk have combined for 9 goals in the last 5.  This line is rolling and I just can’t see the Flyers slowing them down.  Look for them to score often tonight. 

Other stacks (Both top lines for Philly 2, Carolina 1 and 2, Van 2, Tor 1 (if you aren’t playing Demko), Det 1)

Top Defenseman

  • Darnell Nurse ($6.8k DK) – Edmonton Oilers – 6 shots + blocks in his last 5
  • Jacob Slavin ($5.3k) – Carolina Hurricanes – 5.2 shots + blocks in his last 5
  • Thomas Chabot ($5.9k) – Ottawa Senators
  • Quinn Hughes ($5.1k DK)  – Vancouver Canucks
  • Travis Sanheim ($3.1k DK) – Philadelphia Flyers – Great Value
  • Jonas Siegenthaler ( $2.6k DK) – New Jersey Devils – Playing on the top D unit, great value

Summary

More than ever, you’ll need to keep on top of news tonight.  Covid is running rampant in the NHL right now and we’re seeing scratches right up until games start.  I can’t preface this enough, make sure you have pivots ready to your lineups.  Games are getting postponed left and right. 

With that all said, I anticipate this being a high scoring slate.  Only 4 of the teams playing tonight are giving up less than 3 goals a game over the last 2 weeks.  My preference in stacks are Edmonton, then Ottawa, then Jersey.  Between values like Foegele and then some of the Defenseman I listed in the Top Defenseman section, you should have no issue fitting top plays into your lineup tonight. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you are using our optimizer here when setting lineups.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 17)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com
written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

Friday 12/17 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck! We have a nice 6 game slate tonight. There is a ton of news to keep up on throughout the day, as COVID has started to cause issues throughout the league. With that being said, please make sure to keep up with Twitter and in our Discord all day long for the latest news and updates. Let’s get into it! Good luck!

Goalies

Tristan Jarry – Pittsburgh Penguins: A home date against the Buffalo Sabres tonight puts Jarry in a very, very nice matchup. He should have a nice night and should be considered safe.

Anthony Stolarz – Anaheim Ducks: The Ducks are in the same position as the Penguins tonight, with a home matchup against a weak opponent in the Coyotes. Stolarz has been playing very well, and this should not be too much of a test for him.

Marc-Andre Fleury – Chicago Blackhawks: Flower has really been playing well over the last few weeks. He and the Hawks are at home tonight against basically an AHL roster for the Predators, as Nashville deals with injuries and COVID. This spot for MAF is real nice, and he may be ignored with the other two heavy favorites on the board.

Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Alexandar Georgiev – New York Rangers: The Rangers are slumping right now, and Vegas is hot, so this is a matchup that we are looking to catch Vegas tired a little bit. The Golden Knights played last night in Jersey, so they are on the second half of a traveling back to back. Georgiev is the only thing that has really been keeping the Rangers in games recently, so this could be a nice sneaky spot for a high upside upset. There is a good bit of risk involved in this, but the Rangers are due for positive regression at some point, and we want to catch them when that happens, not after.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Anaheim Ducks Power Play – Ryan Getzlaf/Trevor Zegras/Sonny Milano/Rickard Rakell/Jamie Drysdale: The Ducks host the lowly Arizona Coyotes tonight in what should be a very nice spot for both of the top lines. The second line is a little bit nicer looking than the first, but this unit gets you access to both of the top lines in very good spots.

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 – Jeff Carter/Jason Zucker/Danton Heinen: The truth is, Pittsburgh is in the best spot on the night, up and down the roster. They get to face Malcolm Subban in net for the Sabres tonight, and he is not a very good goalie. On home ice, the Pens have been matching the Crosby line to the depth lines and using this second line for a top line matchup (loosely). Because of that, this second line is favored a little more than the top. The Crosby line and the top power play unit are all squarely in play here.

Chicago Blackhawks Power Play – Jonathan Toews/Alex Debrincat/Patrick Kane/Brandon Hagel/Seth Jones: As mentioned above, because of the issues the Preds are facing with injury and COVID, they are rolling out an AHL/preseason type lineup tonight. That puts this unit in a good spot. The Preds are normally a decent penalty killing team, but without key pieces, they will be more vulnerable tonight, and will potentially take a few more penalties than normal.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

St. Louis Blues 2 – Ivan Barbashev/Vladimir Tarasenko/Pavel Buchnevich/Torey Krug: The Blues host the Stars tonight in a game that should be winnable for them. However, this game feels like it could be a 2-1 defensive battle with both teams canceling each other out, which is why this line is considered high risk.

Vegas Golden Knights 1 – Chandler Stephenson/Max Pacioretty/Mark Stone/Shea Theodore: The Knights have been rolling, and they come into New York tonight to face a struggling Rangers team that is now without Artemi Panarin tonight (he did not skate in the morning skate). We are going to play the hot hand tonight, and since the depth scored last night, it’s this line’s turn to do the damage. They are high risk simply because they are on the back end of a traveling back-to-back. Also, make sure you aren’t playing this line in any lineups where you are playing Georgiev.

Winnipeg Jets 2 – Pierre-Luc Dubois/Kyle Connor/Evgeny Svechnikov/Neal Pionk: This second line for the Jets looks to be lining up against the top line for the Caps tonight in a plus matchup. Something to keep in mind, though, the coach for the Jets just resigned this morning, so there may be some changes in the lines and pairings for tonight. Contrarily, the Capitals are in a good spot too, as this game could be high scoring. On the Capitals side, Alex Ovechkin and his top line are always in play, but tonight, the second line looks a little better and could be sneakier (Nicklas Backstrom/Conor Sheary/T.J. Oshie).

Honorable mentions: BUF1, STLPP, VGK2, WSH2, PIT1, NYRPP

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Dylan Strome ($3400) – Chicago Blackhawks

Wing: Kaapo Kakko ($3100) – New York Rangers

Defense: Brian Dumoulin ($3000) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Ryan Getzlaf ($5400) – Anaheim Ducks

Wing: Jason Zucker ($4300) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Defense: Brian Dumoulin ($3800) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Sidney Crosby – C – Pittsburgh Penguins

Kyle Connor – W – Winnipeg Jets

Seth Jones – D – Chicago Blackhawks

Anthony Stolarz – G – Anaheim Ducks

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Sidney Crosby – C – Pittsburgh Penguins

Kyle Connor – W – Winnipeg Jets

Seth Jones – D – Chicago Blackhawks

Anthony Stolarz – G – Anaheim Ducks

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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NHL

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 16)

Richard Masana
written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/16 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 12/16 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a ten-game Thursday slate!

With these larger slates, I highly advise passing on full three-man lines but instead going with pairs of two-man stacks as the goal is to attempt to capture the top scorers on the night across multiple games.

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines

Tampa Bay One “Steven Stamkos/Ondrej Palat Two Man”

Tampa Bay comes in a slate high -250 favorite against the hapless Ottawa Senators. As a result, it makes sense to start our builds off with a two-man that features the core pair of top-line skaters for this team at the moment. Stamkos and Palat also share a correlation on the top power-play unit.

Vegas One “Max Pacioretty, Mark Stone and Chandler Stephenson”

This line has been very hot and Mark Stone is dramatically underpriced at only $5,500. Over the last ten games, they are crushing every other line out there with an NHL-high twelve full-line goals during that span. For a team from out west visiting the east coast, they are strong favorites at -165 and should add to their recent production tonight.

Los Angeles Two “Victor Arvidsson, Phillip Danault, Alex Iafallo”

This one is a bit off the board, but their 108 SATF over their last ten games puts them fourth in the NHL during that span. They are sizable underdogs in Florida, but as the six total suggests, goals are expected all around here. As far as the Kings’ side of the equation, it is only reasonable to expect the production to come from the second unit.

12/16 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Ottawa Senators (+200) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-250) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Los Angeles Kings (+175) at Florida Panthers (-205) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Philadelphia Flyers (-135) at Montreal Canadiens (+120) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Carolina Hurricanes (-105) at Detroit Red Wings (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Vegas Golden Knights (-165) at New Jersey Devils (+145) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (-105) at New York Islanders (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Colorado Avalanche (-105) at Nashville Predators (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Buffalo Sabres (+250) at Minnesota Wild (-320) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+165) at Edmonton Oilers (-195) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+110) at San Jose Sharks (-130) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

12/16 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay – $7,400
  2. Nathan MacKinnon – Colorado – $9,500
  3. Tim Stuetzle – Ottawa – $3,000
  4. Elias Pettersson- Vancouver – $4,000
  5. Leon Draisaitl – Edmonton – $8,900

Wingers

  1. Max Pacioretty – Vegas – $8,800
  2. Mark Stone – Vegas – $5,500
  3. Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida – $7,600
  4. Ondrej Palat – Tampa Bay – $4,600
  5. Victor Arvidsson – Los Angeles – $5,200

Defense

  1. Erik Karlsson – Sharks – $6,200
  2. Victor Hedman – Tampa Bay – $7,400
  3. P.K. Subban – New Jersey – $3,400
  4. Rasmus Ristolainen – Philadelphia – $3,200
  5. Alex Pietrangelo – Vegas – $6,600

Goalies

  1. Anton Khudobin – Dallas – $8,300

Cash Considerations

Mark Stone, Tim Stuetzle, the cheap defenders ranked above, Steven Stamkos

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 11)

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot.  I’m Jared and I’ll be your host.  Tonight we have a massive 11 game slate where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL slate on Fanduel and Draftkings. 

Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:

  • Corsi – Any shot attempt (goals, shots on net, misses and blocks) outside of the shootout
  • Even Strength – Play where both teams have the same number of players (including goalies) on the ice. Includes 5v5, 4v4, 3v3
  • Power Play – Play where the team has more players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 5v4, 5v3, 4v3
  • Penalty Kill – Play where the team has fewer players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 4v5, 3v4, 3v5

Goaltending

Cam Talbot ($7.9k DK/$8.3k FD) vs. Los Angeles Kings – Love the spot tonight for Talbot if he gets the nod.  He’s been extremely solid during his recent stretch of hockey.  Over his last 7 starts he’s gotten to the 20 point DK mark 5 times.  During that stretch he’s played some extremely solid offenses in the Oilers and Maple Leafs. 

Tonight’s match up against the Kings should be a much easier task.  Kings take a ton of shots but have a sub 10% shooting percentage.  Lots of shots + low shooting %  means high upside.  Talbot is my favorite goalie of the night.  Especially on DK where his price is below 8k. 

Ilya Sorokin ($8k DK/$8.2k FD) vs. New Jersey Devils – Islanders are big favorites tonight against the Devils. Devils haven’t been scoring too many goals of late.  Over their last 7 games they’ve been scoring less than 3 goals per game while taking more than 30 shots per game.  That means there are some saves to be had against the Devils.  Sorokin has hit at least 30 saves in 6 out of his last 7 games.  He should make it 7 of 8 tonight against a team that lacks a solid scoring threat.   

Tonight is another Saturday night where goaltending is a train wreck.  There are a ton of teams that are on the back end of back to backs tonight and that means we have mostly back up goalies, but at starting prices.  I will more than likely stick with Talbot and maybe use Sorokin. 

Stacks

Washington 1 (Ovechkin/Kuznetsov/Wilson) + Carlson vs. Buffalo Sabres

When it comes to attacking specific teams, the Buffalo Sabres are almost at the very top of the list.  Sabres are currently riding a 6 game losing streak and tonight should make it 7.  Defensively, they are one of the worst in the business.  Over their current losing streak they are giving up an outstanding 4.5 goals per game.  That’s even after giving up just 2 to my Rangers last night. 

I expect the Capitals to come out firing after losing a tough one to the Penguins last night.  With the Capitals it all starts with Ovechkin.  Yes, Ovechkin only has 1 goal over his last 5 games but he also has five helpers during that stretch.  He also has an insane iCF of 47.  On tonight’s slate only Pastrnak has a higher number.  Look for Ovechkin to explode out of his mini slump tonight.  You’ll want to make sure you pair him with at least Kuznetsov or Carlson.  They are expensive but are in a great spot tonight.

St. Louis 2 (Tarasenko/Buchnevich/Barbashev) + Scandella vs. Montreal Canadiens

In this game we have 2 teams going in opposite directions.  The Canadiens are 1-4-1 in their last 6 while the Blues are 4-1-1.  While both teams have struggled defensively of late, I’m going to side with the Blues in this matchup because they just have more talent.  Both teams have corsi’s of just 44% over the past 2 weeks so we know both teams are going to give up some shots.  Blues are giving up 36 shots per game while the Canadiens are giving up 37. 

While I love Tarasenko, it’s actually been his line mates that have been putting up the numbers.  Both Buchnevich and Barbashev have 5 points over their past 5 games.  They are also incredibly cheap on DK tonight and will help us fit the expensive stack above.  I absolutely do not mind if you pair them with Tarasenko tonight, but those two will be my priority. 

Seattle 1 (Wennberg/Schwartz/Eberle) + Giordano vs. Columbus Blue Jackets

Seattle has been playing much better hockey of late.  Over their past 6 games they are 3-2-1.  They are also a much better team at home than on the road and guess what?  They’re on home ice tonight.  Over their past 7 games the Blue Jackets have been extremely poor on the defensive front. They are just giving up way too many high danger chances to be successful. 

During that 7 game stretch of hockey they are giving up over 14 high danger chances per game and 4 goals per game.  That just screams attack to me.  And that’s exactly what I’m going to do.  My priority with this stack will be Wennberg and Eberle as the two play together on the top power play unit for Seattle.  This is my riskier stack, but they are in a great spot tonight and I’m looking to take advantage of it. 

I didn’t write up Anaheim as one of my top 3 stacks, but I absolutely love them tonight if Casey DeSmith is between the pipes.  He’s awful and is always stackable against. 

Other stacks (Both top lines for Edmonton, Tor 1, Min 1 or 2, Anaheim 1, Bos 1)

Top Defenseman

  • Morgan Rielly – Toronto Maple Leafs (9 points in 5 games)
  • Seth Jones – Chicago Blackhawks
  • Kris Letang – Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Erik Karlsson – San Jose Sharks
  • Evan Bouchard – Edmonton Oilers
  • Mark Giordano – Seattle Kraken

Summary

I mentioned it in my goalie section that we’ll see a lot of back up goalies tonight.  With that we should see some high scoring games.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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NHL

NHL DFS Friday Night Forecheck for DraftKings and FanDuel (Dec. 10)

allenjesse24@yahoo.com
written by allenjesse24@yahoo.com

This article will focus on NHL Daily Fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings. Using advanced hockey metrics, slate analysis, and line by line evaluation, this article will point you towards what we think are the best plays for the night! Good luck!

Friday 12/10 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck. We have a bit of a larger slate to break down tonight, with 7 games on the slate. There is an awful lot to like about this slate, so you will want to spread out your exposure to some big pieces tonight. Good luck!

Goalies

Darcy Kuemper – Colorado Avalanche: The Avalanche are the biggest home favorites on the board tonight, in what should be a rough game for the opposing Red Wings. Kuemper has finally turned it around slightly and hasn’t been as bad as he was earlier in the season. The trends are saying play him tonight at home against the Wings. The shot upside won’t be terrible, but it’s not the best, either, so this ends up being a cash play that probably isn’t great for GPP.

Thatcher Demko – Vancouver Canucks: The Canucks have a nice matchup tonight at home against the Winnipeg Jets, who have been having trouble scoring on the road, scoring just 2 goals per game over their last five roadies. Demko has really stepped it up over the last couple of weeks, and this is a fantastic spot for him.

Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers: Igor joined the Rangers’ morning skate this morning, indicating that it is possible he can come back tonight for a road tilt against the Sabres. CHECK THE NEWS throughout the day, and if he does play, he becomes a top option tonight. Please note, only play the Rangers goalie tonight if it is Igor – you do NOT want Georgiev. If Georgiev gets the start, you can consider Mackenzie Blackwood in this spot instead.

Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Tristan Jarry – Pittsburgh Penguins: Jarry has just been playing way too well to ignore him. As long as he gets the start tonight against the Caps, he is a great play, as the Pens have been limiting scoring on the road, thanks to Jarry.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Florida Panthers Power Play – Aleksander Barkov/Sam Reinhart/Sam Bennett/Jonathan Huberdeau/Aaron Ekblad: The Panthers roll into Arizona where they should absolutely destroy the Coyotes tonight. The Coyotes are a mess of an organization right now, and truthfully, there is opportunity up and down the lineup tonight for massive upside for the Panthers. This top power play unit gives you access to the top two scoring lines, and should be heavily considered for cash. The second line has a slight edge in the matchups tonight, but you can’t deny the top line here either.

Colorado Avalanche Power Play – Nathan MacKinnon/Nazem Kadri/Gabriel Landeskog/Mikko Rantanen/Cale Makar: Speaking of a team with massive opportunity tonight, the Avalanche play host to the Detroit Red Wings tonight and Thomas Greiss in net. The Red Wings on the road have given up 3.8 goals against per game over their last five road games, and the Avalanche have scored a whopping 6.2 goals per game over their last five home games. Get exposure to the top line tonight. Logan O’Connor, should he remain on the top line, becomes a fantastic value play.

Vancouver Canucks 1 – Bo Horvat/Jason Dickinson/Nils Hoglander/Tyler Myers: The Canucks, as mentioned earlier, face the Jets at home tonight, and on home ice against the Bruins, this top line hard matched the Pastrnak/Bergeron/Marchand line. We can expect them to do the same tonight, creating a very, very, very juicy matchup against the Jets’ top line. On top of that, Eric Comrie is expected to be in net for the Jets, and he has not played in a while. His numbers aren’t amazing, so this line definitely has a good chance to be very sneaky tonight. The Jets top line rates: 38.33 shots against/60, 3.36 goals against/60, 3.97 expected goals against/60, 32.95 scoring chances against/60, and 18.16 high danger chances against/60. These are inflated numbers, and the Canucks top line (without Dickinson) is generating: 40.27 shots for/60, 0.92 goals for/60, 2.92 expected goals for/60, 38.9 scoring chances for/60, and 13.73 high danger chances for/60.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Vegas Golden Knights 1 – Chandler Stephenson/Max Pacioretty/Mark Stone/Shea Theodore: The Golden Knights host the Flyers tonight, in what should be a lopsided contest. The Flyers are a team who came out of the gate looking good, but have severely plummeted into being a very bad team. They are sporting some of the worst defensive rates in the league, and the Golden Knights should have their way against them. This top line is in a very good spot tonight, in a top six matchup that provides plenty of opportunity.

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Evan Rodrigues/Kasperi Kapanen/Kris Letang: The Pens and Caps is always a premier matchup, pitting Crosby vs Ovechkin, and a lot of eyes will be on this matchup tonight. Ovechkin is having a better season than Crosby, of course, as he chases history. However, the top line for the Pens is in a good spot tonight. They run risky without Jake Guentzel, but that just means you can have this line at a discount.

New York Rangers 1 – Mika Zibanejad/Chris Kreider/Kaapo Kakko/Adam Fox: The top line for the Rangers is in a really good spot tonight against Buffalo. The Rangers seem like they have been a little quiet recently, and they seem due for a multi-point, slate breaking game. This is the spot where that could happen. Always consider playing Zibanejad/Panarin/Fox as a three-man in the Rangers look as well.

Honorable mentions: VGK2, NSH1, NJDPP1, WSHPP, WPG1, PIT2, NYR3, BUF1 (if Georgiev starts)

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Bo Horvat ($4500) – Vancouver Canucks

Wing: Kasperi Kapanen ($3100) – Pittsburgh Penguins or Logan O’Connor ($2800) – Colorado Avalanche

Defense: Erik Johnson ($3200) – Colorado Avalanche or Brian Dumoulin ($3300) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: Bo Horvat ($5600) – Vancouver Canucks

Wing: Kasperi Kapanen ($4400) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Defense: Tyler Myers ($3800) – Vancouver Canucks or Brian Dumoulin ($3600) – Pittsburgh Penguins

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Mika Zibanejad – C – New York Rangers

Mikko Rantanen – W – Colorado Avalanche

Aaron Ekblad – D – Florida Panthers

Darcy Kuemper – G – Colorado Avalanche

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Mika Zibanejad – C – New York Rangers

Mikko Rantanen – W – Colorado Avalanche

Aaron Ekblad – D – Florida Panthers

Darcy Kuemper – G – Colorado Avalanche

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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