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NFL DFS

Week 13 NFL Fantasy DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Tight Ends

Adam Strangis 2 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

Last week saw some key contributors fail to live up to expectations after hot starts (Mark Andrews), and Travis Kelce continuing to cook. He made Jalen Ramsey look ridiculous, but let’s be honest, who doesn’t anymore? Let’s find ourselves some top plays for Week 13!

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord. Take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 13 on FanDuel and DraftKings! Let’s continue to finish strong this season!

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,000 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel)

Although Kittle looks more like “Oliver Twist” than an NFL tight end most of the time, his upside is still massive. Last week was a disappointment, but the 49ers also needed very little in a shutout win over the Saints. Kittle now draws a Miami defense that is 30th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE.

Even better, the 46.5-point total is one of the best on the slate. This game has huge playoff implications, as both San Fransisco and Miami are battling for playoff position. Jimmy Garroppolo will need to be much more than a pretty smile in this one if the Niners plan to take down Tua.

Kittle has 16.8+ DraftKings points in three of his last six games, and will be heavily relied upon in this one. Social media will tell you that the Dolphins, in the midst of a two-decade drought without a playoff win, are the ones to beat here. I disagree. This is the 49ers game to lose. Kittle will be ready.

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

I’m going back to the well here with Hurst for a few reasons. First off, he was the most targeted TE in Week 12 (tied with…Jelani Woods?). Second, underachieving Chiefs Safety Justin Reid decided to search for headlines this week by calling Hurst (Tyler) Higbee. This erupted a social media scrum between the teams, and only added fuel to the fire as the Bengals look to beat the Chiefs for the third time in 2022.

Hurst has become one of Joe Burrow’s favorite targets, and we don’t yet know if JaMarr Chase will be completely healthy yet in this one. Many (myself included) expect this one to be a shootout, and Hurst is a cheap way to get exposure to the game of the week. The total sits at 53 points. You know what to do.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,900 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel)

Heading into the best game environment on the slate with an all-time great seems like a smart move. Kelce had a fantastic game against the Bengals in the AFC Championship game, hauling in 10 of 11 targets for 95 yards and a TD. That wasn’t the case in their Week 17 matchup, as he ended with a 5-25-1 line on seven targets.

None of that matters here. Tyreek Hill is out of town so that Eli Apple doesn’t have to dominate him anymore, and Kelce is here to stay. Patrick Mahomes has been spreading the ball around like a wizard this season, so the volume hasn’t been quite as high. Regardless, Kelce is his top target. Although the Bengals LB room is loaded, Kelce will undoubtedly be heavily involved in this 53-point total (yes, I said it again). Don’t overthink this one, Kelce will be popular, but his upside is always massive.

TJ Hockenson, Vikings ($5,200 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel)

Once we get into December, I tend to prioritize players who are playing in meaningful games. Hockenson certainly fits that bill. The Vikings are battling for the #1 seed and a bye in the NFC playoffs (yes, the Vikings), and Hockenson may have just been the most key deadline pickup in the NFL.

He has been phenomenal since his arrival in Minnesota, and is averaging nearly 9 targets per game over the last month. The Jets are 19th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE, and Hock is ready to pounce. The Jets are another team that has been a pleasant surprise this season.With Mike White under center instead of that little kid Zach Wilson, I’m expecting them to keep this one competitive. Let’s go to the Hock!

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

The Raiders have been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season, but have played well of late. Moreau was solid as our bargain-bin play last week (3-33-1), and I’m headed right back this week. He still saw seven targets in that one, and should be in store for another healthy load of work against the Chargers.

His now-injured teammate Darren Waller posted 79 yards on 4 grabs against the Chargers in Week 1. They rank just below average against the position this season. It isn’t impossible for the Raiders to continue the run they are on and make a miracle run. Not saying that it’ll happen, but it will be fun to watch. This team is incredibly resilient. (Their odds sit at about 7%) Also, Moreau is dirt cheap. He makes for an ideal cash game target if you aren’t paying up for Kelce.

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

2 years ago 0 comments

Week 13 NFL Fantasy DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Tight Ends

Adam Strangis 2 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,000 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,900 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel)

TJ Hockenson, Vikings ($5,200 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel)

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DraftKings/FanDuel DFS Quarterback Plays Week 13

Capper Steve 2 years ago

written by Capper Steve

We are back and ready to grind out some more quarterbacks in this Week 13 of NFL DFS. I hope everybody had a great Thanksgiving weekend and won a little extra cash for the upcoming holiday season! Now let’s get to the elephant in the room…Deshaun Watson. As many of you know he’s returning from a nearly two-year suspension to play against his former team The Houston Texans, very well orchestrated by the NFL. Take a shot on him, I totally get the whole “revenge” narrative. But I can’t pull the trigger on a quarterback who’s insanely overpriced ($6,500 DraftKings/$8,000 FanDuel) in a run-first offense that has not seen a real-time game since Week 17 of 2020. Watson does have a solid matchup on paper and could go off against Houston, but I’d rather play it safe. On that note, there are so many other ways to go at QB if you feel the same way as me for Week 13… here we go!

Check out our NFL Week 13 DFS Quarterbacks!

Patrick Mahomes ($8,300 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel)

Mahomes most likely had this game marked down on his calendar since the NFL released the schedule. You can bet your last dollar that he’ll be ready to even the score against a Bengals team that knocked him out of the AFC Championship last season. There will be plenty of points to put up with an implied total of 27.5 for Kansas City, keeping Mahomes a safe play at quarterback as usual.

Jalen Hurts ($8,000 DraftKings/$8,800 FanDuel)

Perhaps well on his way to becoming the 2022 NFL MVP, Jalen Hurts is fully unlocked and seemingly unstoppable at quarterback. His 10-1 Eagles host the Titans on Sunday, putting Hurts in the driver’s seat yet again to smash a 27th-ranked DVOA to opposing quarterbacks. Hurts is always a lock for cash and GPP tournaments.

Lamar Jackson ($7,800 DraftKings/$8,200 FanDuel)

If it were not for his legs in the second half of his last game against Jacksonville, DFS managers would be cursing out Lamar Jackson this week. The Broncos have been a sneaky team to run on all season, so Jackson may hit again. Although with running back J. K. Dobbins is set to return from I.R. and the minuscule amount of passing volume, keep Lamar in your GPP lineups.

Justin Herbert ($7,200 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel)

Are we are going to ride the hot hand of Justin Herbert this week in another juicy matchup against Vegas? Hell yeah. If you saw any of the Chargers/Cardinals game, Herbert was razor-sharp posting 29 DK Fantasy Points. He’ll have another great opportunity against a trash Vegas (30th DVOA to quarterbacks) secondary in a dome game. Double down with Herbie in both your cash and GPP lineups.

Joe Burrow ($6,900 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel)

Burrow may go toe to toe with Mahomes this Sunday if he can get a healthy Ja’Marr Chase opposite Tee Higgins against Kansas City in a rematch of the 2021 AFC Championship. Running back Joe Mixon is also trending in the right direction to play, more good news for Burrow. It will be all hands on deck at kickoff hosting the best in the AFC. Burrow on the highest point total of the slate with all of his bag of tricks back on the field is a very good play this week in DFS and still too cheap on DraftKings to pass up.

Trevor Lawrence ($5,900 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel)

After putting up the best game in his career (321 PA YDS/3 TD) we can’t overlook Lawrence. He’s getting another opportunity to ball out in a potential track meet indoors in Detroit. The Lions continue to struggle defending quarterbacks ranking dead last in the league, forcing managers to keep Lawrence at QB again this week.

Honorable Mentions:

Derek Carr ($5,600 DraftKings/$7,300 FanDuel)-Has been an under the radar top 5 quarterback since Week 11. The Raiders’ defense is a hot mess forcing Carr to play catch-up every week.

Mike White ($5,400 DraftKings/$ 6,900 FanDuel)-Coming off An incredible performance against the lowly Bears, has another great matchup in Minnesota.

Kenny Pickett ($5,200 DraftKings/$6,700 FanDuel)-Dirt cheap facing a bottom three Falcon secondary in a dome game. He could throw 40 times due to all the injuries in the Steelers’ backfield.

Jared Goff ($5,300 DraftKings/$6,800 FanDuel)- At home in his dome, with the potential game script of a back-and-forth shoot-out against the Jags.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week DFS Quarterbacks article for Week 13. There will be tons of content covering each position all week, cash games and tournaments, and plenty of articles, videos, and podcasts so check in with us whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be up on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning live stream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news. Tag me @Jdicarlo78 on our Discord chat or on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78. Fellas let’s keep the green screens coming!

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 13 TNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 2 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

We kick off December with a fantastic game on TNF. The Bills and Patriots are both jockeying for position in the AFC playoff picture, not to mention the AFC East. This one has massive playoff implications, and I can’t wait to watch it. The Bills are short 3.5-point favorites with a total of 43.5. Let’s get to work on this one!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Mac Jones, Patriots ($14,100 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

Listen, if you’ve read my content, you know I’m not a big Mac Jones fan. Well, Thursday night “Mr. Jones and me” both just wanna be big, big stars. He wants to take down Josh Allen and the Bills, and I’m looking to take down a GPP. Let me explain.

If I asked you right now how many teams had been worse than the Bills against the pass over the last two weeks, would you guess more than one? Only Detroit (55.70 fantasy points per game) has been worse than the Bills. Over the last two games, the Bills have served up five scores and nearly 400 yards to opposing receivers. What does this have to do with Mac Jones, a quarterback? Well I’m glad you asked.

Mac Jones is coming off his best game as a pro (28-39, 382 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT), and the Bills will be without Von Miller once again. This is a vulnerable unit right now, and with Jones and company playing at home, this is the perfect storm for another Mac attack. He may or may not become one of my favorites if he takes care of business in this one.

Isaiah McKenzie, Bills ($10,200 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel)

Mixing it up a bit more, but absolutely love this. Obviously these two teams have a long history against one another. However, the recent history has shown the Bills simply massacring their rivals from Foxboro. One of the key pieces in their regular season win last year was McKenzie. He also is coming off one of the best games of his life on Thanksgiving (6-96-1 and 2-7 on the ground. He has become a vital part of this offense, and I think he’s a solid pivot play at the bonus spot.

The Pats have done well against Stefon Diggs…and pretty much nobody else…in recent matchups. McKenzie has seen success in this matchup, going off for 11-125-1 against New England last December. I think he’s a very solid play across the board as well.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($15,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

The easy thing to do here would be to talk about Josh Allen, but I don’t like to take the easy route. Allen has embarrassed the Patriots like Phil Dunphy embarrasses his kids. Constantly. Enough about Allen. If you don’t know what he can do, you’ve come to the wrong place.

Enter Stevenson. Not only has he been an absolutely elite option to have on any season-long fantasy team, but he has been dominant IRL (as the kids say). He has taken on an Austin Ekeler-type role, and there isn’t a more coveted role among RB for fantasy purposes.

Over the last five games, Rhamondre Stevenson has thirty-eight targets. Yes, 38. Putting that in perspective, that’s more than Chris Olave, DJ Moore, AJ Brown…and many more. Add that on top of the nicely-packed fantasy gift that is sixty-four carries, and it’s almost too much to handle. Stevenson is a legitimate #1 fantasy option on any team right now. Now he draws a Bills team missing its top defender. I feel right now the way I feel when I see a new Arby’s commercial. Hungry and ready to eat. So let’s eat. Get yourself some Rhamondre!

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Dawson Knox, Bills ($6,200 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

If perfection exists on the elite level of sport, I’ve only seen it twice in my life. The 2013-14 Spurs against the Heat in the NBA Finals and the 2021 Bills vs. Patriots in the playoffs. Knox was a huge part of that. In fact, he scored the first two touchdowns, and ended up with a monstrous 5-89-2 line.

If you’ve been reading my Tight End article, you’ve seen me mention the Patriots propensity to allow scores to opposing TE. Only the Cardinals have allowed more TD than the eight served up by Belichick’s squad. In fact, New England has only given up six touchdowns to wide receivers all season…

Devin Singletary, Bills ($7,000 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

I admittedly don’t love Singetary in this spot, but at his DraftKings price, he is hard to ignore. You can build a very nice, balanced lineup with Singletary over there. I respect the Patriots run defense a TON, but I also know that their priority will be taking away Diggs and the passing game.

He has 14, 20, and 15 touches the last three weeks, and although his work in the passing game leaves plenty to be desired, he is in play here. He makes for a solid filler option with a high floor and low ceiling.

Nelson Agholor, Patriots ($4,800 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

It looks like Jakobi Meyers will suit up for this one, but may be less than 100% with a shoulder injury. Agholor took on a huge role last week in the Turkey Day shootout against the Vikings. He hauled in six of eight targets for 65 yards and a tuddy. Regardless of the status of Jakobi, I like Agholor here in a game script that could heighten the need for passing.

Other Options

I’m taking my stand here, and more than willing to take the the “L”. I’m fading Stefon Diggs. He is very pricey, and dollar for dollar, I much prefer Stevenson. Of course you will want and need Josh Allen shares, regardless of his elbow situation. His goal-line prowess alone raise his floor to enormous heights. Plus, you know, he kinda owns these guys.

Tyler Bass is one of the most reliable kickers in the NFL, and to steal a quote from the great Ludacris, he’s been putting up “McDonald’s numbers”. Nick Folk is a volume kicker as well in an offense that struggles to finish drives. Don’t be shocked if the kickers are among the highest scorers in this one. I don’t mind the idea of throwing them each into a bonus spot if you’re doing MME.

Hunter Henry is coming off what seems like his first productive game in years, and he’s in play against a suddenly beatable Bills defense.

If you’re looking for the deepest discount plays on DraftKings, I don’t mind Kendrick Bourne or Jonnu Smith, but both are very game-script dependent. They are priced accordingly, so tread lightly. The floor they each possess is the same as yours or mine in this one.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT – WEEK 12 MAIN SLATE DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Dave Gloeckner 2 years ago

written by Dave Gloeckner

Coming off a solid Turkey Day we move to the Main Slate for Sunday’s Week 12 contests. Several key injuries to starting RB’s are sure to make their backups very popular on an intriguing slate. But we see value all across the board and have highlighted our favorite backs below.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out the NFL Pre Lock Show on Sunday at 11am on YouTube.

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8500 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

Ekeler is about a safe as a play as you’ll get for running backs. If he’s off his game running the ball, then he makes it up in the receiving game. He averages 23.4 DK points per game (highest in NFL) and can pop for over 30 on any given game day (3 games over 30 DK points this year). Today, he faces the Cardinals who allow the 20th most points to RB’s. Even better news is that they are susceptible to RB’s catching the ball as Christian McCaffrey caught 7 last week and Alvin Kamara had 7 a few weeks back (Dalvin Cook had 5 catches vs Cards just 3 weeks ago). So bank on Ekeler getting his catches which will get him a very high floor in tomorrow’s game.

DERRICK HENRY $8300 DraftKings $9500 FanDuel

Henry faces up against the Bengals who have a solid rush defense as shown by their ranking of 16th in rushing defense DVOA. Additionally, they are allowing the 10th least points to RB’s this year. But with that said, the Bengals have been exposed against good rushing teams as displayed just a few weeks ago on MNF when the Cleveland Browns rushed for 172 yards against Cincy. Even last week, Najee Harris had his best game of the season by gaining 90 yards on 20 carries. Bring on the NFL’s best rusher, and I think we have a recipe for success. This is a spot that might go under the radar, but I will look to get exposure to Henry in both NFL DFS GPP’s and cash.

JOSH JACOBS $7700 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

When the Raiders feed Jacobs, their odds of winning go way up. In games when Jacobs get 20 carries, the Raiders are 3-2. When he gets less than 20 carries, they are 0-5. Well, this looks like a perfect week to get Jacobs the ball as the Seahawks rank 17th in rushing defense DVOA. Additionally, Seattle is 28th in rushing yards allowed per game at 140.9. Finally, I think the Raiders are playing more free since owner Marc Davis gave them all a free pass. They showed heart last week in Denver and I think they’ll keep that energy going into Seattle this week. Keep an eye on Jacobs status, as he’s dealing with a calf injury. But if he’s a go, then he should be at the top of your list for RB’s this week.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

KENNETH WALKER $6900 DraftKings $8400 FanDuel

Speaking of the Seahawks, they also have one of the best matchups on the board tomorrow as the Raiders rank 29th in points allowed against RB’s. Which puts Kenneth Walker in full play mode. Since taking over the starting role, Walker has averaged 20 points per game. And in his last 5 games, he’s averaged 22 touches per game. That should be plenty enough to put up big numbers against a Raiders D that has allowed big games of late to backs such as Kamara, Taylor and Etienne.

JAMES CONNER $6600 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

I have to be honest, I’ve never recommended playing James Conner. And as I write this, my hands hurt with each keystroke. But I can’t ignore the fact that the Chargers are 30th in rush defense DVOA and allow the 30th most rushing yards per game. Just last week Isiah Pacheco ran for a career-high 107 yards on just 15 carries. So James Conner has a great opportunity to smash tomorrow especially with Kyler Murray back in action. My hands still hurt but will feel much better if everything goes as planned and the Chargers keep up their welcoming ways to RB’s.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

JEFF WILSON DraftKings $5900 FanDuel $7700

Jeff Wilson, come on down! You’re our next contestant on smash RB’s plays against the Houston Texans. The Texans roll in the worst overall run defense by allowing the most yards per game on the ground (178.9) plus the most points to RB’s. While the Dolphins had a bye last week, the week prior Wilson gained 61% of the snaps. He has emerged as the leader in the Dolphins backfield and Raheem Mostert is likely out for today’s game. In this explosive offense and versus a terrible defense, Wilson is going to be in line for a big game today. He’s a much better play on DraftKings based on his low salary.

SAMAJE PERINE DraftKings $5600 FanDuel $6600

And here’s our first spot where we deploy a backup RB due to injury. Joe Mixon was ruled out because of a concussion. In comes Samaje Perine, who scored 30.2 fantasy points last week against the Steelers. Perine is a quality backup who can shoulder the load of the starting RB. Unfortunately, he gets to do it against the 2nd best run defense in the league in the Tennessee Titans. But at this price, and with his ability to catch the ball, Perine is an attractive option based on the volume of touches he is predicted to get.

RACHAAD WHITE DraftKings $5100 FanDuel $6400

Our second spot on the board to use a reserve RB is in Tampa with Rachaad White. The Bucs announced that starting RB Leonard Fornette is out with an injury. The biggest secret in Tampa has been the need for the Bucs to use White more. He even got the start in their last game against Seattle and got 64% of the snaps. But now the one person blocking him from a full workload is hurt and that number should go up even more. The other great news is that his opponent, Cleveland, is ranked #32 in rushing defense DVOA. This will be chalky, but at this price he is a must start in both NFL DFS GPP’s and Cash. Of course, you’ll have to get different in some lineups but plan to use White on the higher side of your builds (~30%).

NFL DFS BONUS PICKS

My bonus pick this week is TRAVIS ETIENNE ($6700 DK). The Jags had a BYE last week and had time to get their star RB rested up. Baltimore is decent against the run but show are 14th in rush defense DVOA. In order for the Jags to keep pace, they will need to get the ball to Etienne in creative ways. I believe they’ll be able to do that and Etienne should be in line for a solid performance especially if he keeps up the 80% snap count ratio he’s had for the last month.

RB PROP BETS

AUSTIN EKELER over 4.5 receptions (-125)

JAMES CONNER Anytime TD (-120)

Now that you finished reading the NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT – WEEK 12 MAIN SLATE DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Dave Gloeckner 2 years ago

written by Dave Gloeckner

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8500 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

DERRICK HENRY $8300 DraftKings $9500 FanDuel

JOSH JACOBS $7700 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

KENNETH WALKER $6900 DraftKings $8400 FanDuel

JAMES CONNER $6600 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

JEFF WILSON DraftKings $5900 FanDuel $7700

SAMAJE PERINE DraftKings $5600 FanDuel $6600

RACHAAD WHITE DraftKings $5100 FanDuel $6400

NFL DFS BONUS PICKS

RB PROP BETS

AUSTIN EKELER over 4.5 receptions (-125)

JAMES CONNER Anytime TD (-120)

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 12: StixPicks (Cash and GPP)

StixPicks 2 years ago

written by StixPicks

Happy Thanksgiving weekend to all! It was awesome to see all the winning screenshots come in on Thursday… now if only the Hunter Henry second touchdown got to stand! Let’s move on to the Week 12 NFL DFS slate where it will be a rather condensed player pool for me (and so will the writeup unfortunately as I’m about to go on a 5-hour roadtrip to get back home in time for the Sunday livestream).

As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Good luck this week!

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson ($8,000 DK / $8,200 FD) – Incredibly affordable on FanDuel and in an excellent spot against the 26th ranked defense in terms of DVOA. With offensive tackle, Ronnie Stanley out for this game, it’s probably best to leave Lamar Jackson to NFL DFS GPP lineups but you could do worse in cash if you want to pay up.
Justin Herbert ($7,000 DK / $7,900 FD) – My overall favorite quarterback play on the slate by a wide-margin. We pick on the Arizona defense damn near every week and we won’t stop here now that Keenan Allen is back and the only quality corner for Arizona, Byron Murphy, is OUT. Expect a ton of back-and-forth passing attacks for both offenses as Kyler Murray returns for the Cardinals. Justin Herbert is a core-play for me in cash game and GPP formats.
Geno Smith ($6,000 DK / $7,600 FD) – On DraftKings, Geno Smith will likely garner the highest ownership on the slate. I’m fine with him as a cheaper option in cash games, but with all the value at the running-back position, you probably won’t need the salary relief at quarterback. If the weather report looks better in Seattle tomorrow morning, I’d have more interest here.

Honorable Mention: Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, Derek Carr

NFL DFS Running Backs

Austin Ekeler ($8,500 DK / $8,800 FD) – Decent price for a top-tier dual-threat option in a fantastic game environment.
Derrick Henry ($8,300 DK / $9,500 FD) – Derrick Henry under 10% owned, at home. There is absolutely nothing about this Cincinnati defense that should scare you away from Derrick Henry. If you can afford him, he’s a high-upside, slate-breaking option.
Kenneth Walker III ($6,900 DK / $8,400 FD) – I prefer the price on DraftKings here for Walker, but Las Vegas Raiders defense is dead last in overall defense DVOA. They are an absolute mess and this should lead to plenty of red-zone opportunities for Kenneth Walker.
James Conner ($6,600 DK / $7,000 FD) – A cheaper and less productive version of Austin Ekeler, but the dual-threat and red-zone ability for James Conner is hard to ignore in a game that I want to get as much exposure to as I can. The Chargers’ run defense grades 30th in DVOA.

The Value Running Backs

Jeff Wilson Jr. ($5,900 DK / $7,700 FD) – A little pricey on FanDuel but an absolute lock on DraftKings against this Houston run defense. We love double-digit, home-favorite running backs.
Antonio Gibson ($5,400 DK / $6,100 FD) – Dirt cheap and likely sub-10% owned on all NFL DFS formats. Gibson is the best option in this Washington backfield and the pass-catching floor makes me very interested in Gibson against this Falcons’ 28th ranked defense (DVOA).
Rachaad White ($5,100 DK / $6,400 FD) – Similar to Jeff Wilson Jr., I’ll likely be locking in Rachaad White in all formats now that Leonard Fournette is ruled out and they have a matchup against the 32nd ranked run defense in the NFL (DVOA).

*Note: I’m out on a 30% owned Samaje Perine. Trayveon Williams and Chris Evans will both be active and have a role the public doesn’t seem to respect. I understand if you want to chase the points from last week, but I don’t play running backs against the Titans (especially when I don’t believe they have a 60% or higher snap-share coming).

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Davante Adams ($8,600 DK / $9,000 FD) – My clear top-option at the wide receiver position this week. Simple as that.
DeAndre Hopkins ($7,700 DK / $8,400 FD) – D-Hop continues to get a monster target share and Arizona will be without Rondale Moore and likely Greg Dortch. With or without Marquise Brown, Hopkins is going to have a very active day in the Arizona passing game like he always does against the Chargers wasteland of a secondary.
Tee Higgins ($6,900 DK / $8,200 FD) – Way too cheap on DraftKings against a pass funnel defense in the Tennessee Titans and no Ja’Maar Chase.
DK Metcalf ($6,500 DK / $7,200 FD) – The AETY Model absolutely loves this spot for DK Metcalf going up against the Raiders. This defense is a disaster and the AETY Model’s coverage scheme grades seem to believe this is a potential blow-up spot for DK Metcalf. Keep an eye on the forecast, but if it’s relatively clean we’re rolling out Metcalf with the utmost confidence.
Keenan Allen ($6,100 DK / $7,300 FD) & Josh Palmer ($5,400 DK / $6,800 FD) – The easy two stack options for Justin Herbert. Both of their prices are extremely too low for the floors and upside they possess in this matchup.
Treylon Burks ($4,200 DK / $5,900 FD) – A cheap WR1 in a nice matchup is something we’re always interested in for our NFL DFS lineups. The Bengals will run a lot of Cover-1 and Cover-3 defense and that is a matchup advantage for Treylon Burks.

Honorable Mention: Chris Olave, Christian Kirk, Tyler Boyd, Terry McLaurin, Drake London, Mack Hollins

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

Mark Andrews ($6,500 DK / $7,300 FD) – Now that Andrews is back to 100% health, it’s all systems go this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars who grade dead last in DVOA against opposing tight-ends. Jacksonville will run a ton of Cover-2 zone defense with some Cover-1 and Cover-3 mixed in… all of which Mark Andrews exceeds his baseline numbers against (which are sexy to begin with). No need to get cute at the tight-end position when there is so much value at the running back position.

Honorable Mention: Travis Kelce, Foster Moreau, Hayden Hurst (love this spot for him without Ja’Maar Chase), Trey McBride (absolute punt, but viable in a LAC/AZ game stack)

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

Denver Broncos
New York Jets
Carolina Panthers
Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland Browns

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (DK Cash Games)

Justin Herbert
Jeff Wilson Jr.
Rachaad White
DeAndre Hopkins
Mark Andrews

Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and DFS slate.

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Wide Receivers: Week 12 DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

WIN 2 years ago

written by WIN

I hope everyone had a nice Thanksgiving, and my James Cook call went down in flames, so I plan to have a bounce back on Sunday this week. I happen to be out of town, and that’s not stopping me. So let’s dive into the week 12 Wide Receivers. If you don’t know how I typically play the game, I generally like to build my lineups based on ownership. Bear in mind there will be times when we don’t have a clear picture of what that looks like until game day. With that being said, I do like to wait and see what the field is doing so this article may be a little on the later side than the standard. This way we can stay with the pack, in cash games, and pivot to those high-upside players in GPP-style contests. Don’t forget to look at the bottom of this article for other players I really like as well. Once you’re done scanning this article make sure to hop in our Discord chat to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

DAVANTE ADAMS, LV $8,600 DRAFTKINGS $9,000 FANDUEL

When you look back at it, its almost like why didn’t I play this guy every week. Over the last three weeks, he has averaged 14 targets and 35 DK FP. Davante has hit 30 plus fantasy points in three straight games, and maybe we have some good news this week. The matchup here is a little tougher for him, which might keep some people away. Seattle ranks 5th-best in FPG allowed to opposing outside WRs, so we’ll see this week if they can hold him down. However I like stacking this game, run back with Lockett.

DEONDRE HOPKINS, ARI $7,700 DRAFTKINGS $8,400 FANDUEL

With all the players here impacted by injuries, it doesn’t seem to matter regardless, because DHop gets the targets every single week. Hopkins has seen 12 or more targets in four of his five games this season. I’m going to continue to play him especially on Draft Kings, while I think he’s price tag is still too cheap.

KEENAN ALLEN, LAC $6,100 DRAFTKINGS $7,300 FANDUEL

If he’s healthy, he’ll put up DHop type numbers, but we just don’t know. Keep an eye on it, if he’s a no go, then load up Palmer again. He was the guy that won me a much of money last week, and he can do it again for us this week. It’s one of these guys, so keep an eye on the news.

GARRETT WILSON, NYJ $4,300 DRAFTKINGS $6,000 FANDUEL

Zach Wilson is just not ready for the NFL, and he is just plain bad. I hate saying it with all my buddies being Jets fans, but let’s face it. The QB is the difference between Garrett Wilson hitting 4.5X value or being a complete bust. Wilson is a must-play, priced as just the WR42 on Draft Kings, up against a Bears defense that’s given up the 7th-most fantasy points over to opposing WRs this season.

TYREEK HILL, MIA $8,800 DRAFTKINGS $9,200 FANDUEL

Coming off the bye, Miami is a team I’m looking to target this week in my builds. Hill is a guy that continues to smash, and I am going to want a share or two this week. He has the potential to always go nuclear, and put up massive points. I think taking some of these value backs this week, helps you pay up for these top end Wide Receiver plays this week.

TERRY MCLAURIN, WAS $5,800 DRAFTKINGS $7,200 FANDUEL

Since Taylor Heinecke took over for Carson Wentz in Week 7, McLaurin ranks: 3rd in target share, and 16th in FPG. He is still a great value over on Draft kings this week again, and he has the potential to absolutely nuke the slate. Atlanta ranks 5th-worst in FPG allowed to opposing QBs (+3.9) and worst overall against WRs (+9.3). The Atlanta defense continues to struggle no matter what they try and do, therefore this is the week that all you McLaurin

Honorable Mention: Lockett, Waddle, Higgins, Cooper, Chase, Metcalf, Godwin

Value Plays: Burks, Collins, E. Moore, Watson, Palmer, S.Moore

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Wide Receivers article as the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, cash games and tournaments. We will also have articles, videos, and podcasts so be sure to lock in with us in whichever way you like to! Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make don’t forget to lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news.

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Wide Receivers: Week 12 DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

WIN 2 years ago

written by WIN

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

DAVANTE ADAMS, LV $8,600 DRAFTKINGS $9,000 FANDUEL

DEONDRE HOPKINS, ARI $7,700 DRAFTKINGS $8,400 FANDUEL

KEENAN ALLEN, LAC $6,100 DRAFTKINGS $7,300 FANDUEL

GARRETT WILSON, NYJ $4,300 DRAFTKINGS $6,000 FANDUEL

TYREEK HILL, MIA $8,800 DRAFTKINGS $9,200 FANDUEL

TERRY MCLAURIN, WAS $5,800 DRAFTKINGS $7,200 FANDUEL

Honorable Mention: Lockett, Waddle, Higgins, Cooper, Chase, Metcalf, Godwin

Value Plays: Burks, Collins, E. Moore, Watson, Palmer, S.Moore

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

2 years ago 0 comments

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Week 12 NFL Fantasy DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Tight Ends

Justin Elick 2 years ago

written by Justin Elick

Last week was a fun one, let’s move on to Week 12! We are now almost officially two thirds of the way through the NFL season, so let’s keep it rolling! There are some key options back on the main slate this week, and I’m looking to take advantage. Time to cash in on some key options!

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord, and take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 12 on FanDuel and DraftKings! Let’s continue to finish strong this season!

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,700 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)

I just got done having a few conversations about how Kelce isn’t close to Rob Gronkowski all-time. For this week, this season, and these teams, that doesn’t matter at all. He is clearly the top TE in the NFL right now, and is coming off of a MONSTER 6-155-3 line against the Chargers.

This week he faces off against a Rams team that is just a complete mess. They sold their future for a Super Bowl run last year, and the zebras made sure they closed the deal. Now all of a sudden, they barely even have a present. Sitting at 3-7 and their playoff hopes sitting as high as your odds to win the Mega Millions…this season is a wrap.

Kelce is elite in every way, and Kansas City will need to rely on him once again as they continue their run toward the #1 seed and a bye in the AFC Playoffs.

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,300 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)

Coming off his best game of the season and inexplicably sitting behind Taysom freaking Hill in salary on FanDuel, Kittle is ready to explode. He now has four touchdowns in his last three games. The Saints have been tough against opposing TE this season. With the playoff picture rounding into form, I’m focusing on elite options with a lot to play for this season.

Kittle had a slow start to the season due to injury, but Jimmy Garoppolo is back to relying on his top target. This offense is absolutely loaded with talent now, and Jimmy G may be the least talented of the bunch. That matter little here, as Kittle remains an elite option in any matchup.

Gerald Everett, Chargers ($4,400 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

Please join me in welcoming Gerald Everett to the dream matchup that is the Arizona Cardinals defense. I’m sure you’re tired of hearing this by now, but I’m not here to worry about that. Your weekly update is that Arizona is now allowing just over 21 fantasy points per game to opposing Tight Ends.

Everett hasn’t found the end zone since Week 4, but I’m banking on that changing this week. He has seen 7+ targets in four of the last five weeks, and should be heavily involved again this week.

His salary is reasonable and this game has the highest total of the main slate. With the Chargers’ issues among their WR health, Everett should be utilized as a weapon in an elite matchup.

Mark Andrews, Ravens ($6,500 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)

I’ve been talking all year about great matchups for TE, and this one is a smash spot. The Jags have had a tough time against TE of late, and Andrews is still the top option in a sputtering Ravens offense.

Due to injury and inconsistency by the offense, Andrews hasn’t totaled more than 12.3 DraftKings points since Week 6. Any takers on the under this week? Not me. His return last week was solid with a 6-63 line despite the offense being incapable of moving the ball against the PANTHERS.

This offense may be a complete trainwreck, but Andrews remains an elite option. Expect Lamar Jackson to rely heavily on him in this one as the Ravens continue their trek toward the playoffs.

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)

Welcome to yet another edition of picking on the Seattle Seahawks. This one is about that (Seattle has allowed over 19 PPG to the position this season. It is also about the fact that the Raiders have been a disaster on offense aside from Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams.

No team in the NFL has been a bigger disappointment than the 3-7 Raiders, but it seems evident that they will fight until the end. Darren Waller is on the IL and Moreau is the guy now by default. I don’t love his upside, but he is a solid floor play in this matchup. The Raiders need a true miracle to find their way into the postseason again in 2022. Moreau and company will need to find a way to even keep that dream alive into Week 13.

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,000 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,900 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel)

TJ Hockenson, Vikings ($5,200 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel)

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,000 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,900 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel)

TJ Hockenson, Vikings ($5,200 DraftKings, $6,400 FanDuel)

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

Check out our NFL Week 13 DFS Quarterbacks!

Patrick Mahomes ($8,300 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel)

Jalen Hurts ($8,000 DraftKings/$8,800 FanDuel)

Lamar Jackson ($7,800 DraftKings/$8,200 FanDuel)

Justin Herbert ($7,200 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel)

Joe Burrow ($6,900 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel)

Trevor Lawrence ($5,900 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel)

Honorable Mentions:

Derek Carr ($5,600 DraftKings/$7,300 FanDuel)-Has been an under the radar top 5 quarterback since Week 11. The Raiders’ defense is a hot mess forcing Carr to play catch-up every week.

Mike White ($5,400 DraftKings/$ 6,900 FanDuel)-Coming off An incredible performance against the lowly Bears, has another great matchup in Minnesota.

Kenny Pickett ($5,200 DraftKings/$6,700 FanDuel)-Dirt cheap facing a bottom three Falcon secondary in a dome game. He could throw 40 times due to all the injuries in the Steelers’ backfield.

Jared Goff ($5,300 DraftKings/$6,800 FanDuel)- At home in his dome, with the potential game script of a back-and-forth shoot-out against the Jags.

Captain/MVP Plays

Mac Jones, Patriots ($14,100 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

Isaiah McKenzie, Bills ($10,200 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel)

Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots ($15,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Dawson Knox, Bills ($6,200 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

Devin Singletary, Bills ($7,000 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

Nelson Agholor, Patriots ($4,800 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

Other Options

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8500 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

DERRICK HENRY $8300 DraftKings $9500 FanDuel

JOSH JACOBS $7700 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

KENNETH WALKER $6900 DraftKings $8400 FanDuel

JAMES CONNER $6600 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

JEFF WILSON DraftKings $5900 FanDuel $7700

SAMAJE PERINE DraftKings $5600 FanDuel $6600

RACHAAD WHITE DraftKings $5100 FanDuel $6400

NFL DFS BONUS PICKS

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8500 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

DERRICK HENRY $8300 DraftKings $9500 FanDuel

JOSH JACOBS $7700 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

KENNETH WALKER $6900 DraftKings $8400 FanDuel

JAMES CONNER $6600 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

JEFF WILSON DraftKings $5900 FanDuel $7700

SAMAJE PERINE DraftKings $5600 FanDuel $6600

RACHAAD WHITE DraftKings $5100 FanDuel $6400

NFL DFS BONUS PICKS

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

NFL DFS Running Backs

The Value Running Backs

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (DK Cash Games)

Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($7,700 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,300 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)

Gerald Everett, Chargers ($4,400 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

Mark Andrews, Ravens ($6,500 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)

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