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NFL DFS Week 11: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

StixPicks 2 years ago

written by StixPicks

After a smash week Week 10 NFL DFS lineups across the board (thank you, Christian Watson), let’s get back in the groove for Week 11. I hope everyone enjoyed the slate breakdown cheat-sheet I provided in Discord. Hopefully that helps your weekly process! Let’s move on to the Week 11 NFL DFS slate where it will be a rather condensed player pool for me.

As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Good luck this week!

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Jalen Hurts ($8,200 DK / $8,700 FD) – Josh Allen is not 100% healthy, in a potential ugly-weather game and Lamar Jackson is a damn-near double-digit favorite outdoors in potential ugly-weather as well, so Jalen Hurts gets the nod up top for me in terms of high priced “stud” quarterbacks. You know what you’re getting with Hurts as he makes for a fine cash and GPP NFL DFS play.

*UPDATE: Josh Allen and the Bills are now being moved to Detroit, in the dome. Fire away at Josh Allen if you’re into that spot.
Justin Fields ($7,600 DK / $8,700 FD) – His price is still probably too low on DraftKings as he legit has 60+ yard rushing touchdown upside at any time (as we saw again last week, lol). The fade certainly hurt my DFS upside last week, but I’ll probably ride the Fields’ train this week as I doubt his heater ends with the Falcons 28th ranked defense (in terms of DVOA). Fields is all systems go in cash and GPP again in Week 11 as he returns to his home state of Georgia.
Marcus Mariota ($5,500 DK / $7,200 FD) – On FanDuel, I’d probably feel better just using the extra $300 to get to Dak Prescott, but on DraftKings, the savings offered with Marcus Mariota is very intriguing for my overall lineup construction. He’s likely got the highest “get benched” likelihood on the slate, but if you can stomach that risk, Mariota makes for an excellent NFL DFS GPP play and arguably a cash play (pending ownership).

The Bears have absolutely no one on defense (31st overall defense DVOA) and are brutal against both the rush and the pass. In addition, this Bears’ defense has averaged over 38 points per game surrendered to their opponents over the past three weeks… If we like Justin Fields again, we should be expecting a nice up-tempo gamescript for Mariota as he needs to keep the Falcons’ offense in line with the Bears’ recent high-powered offense. Lastly, the Falcons have seemed to have somewhat broken out of their snail’s pace, run-only offense we saw in the middle of the season as we’re starting to see more no-huddle offense. Mariota has averaged the highest number of pass attempts over the past three weeks as he has all season. I’m in, but it’s risky.

Honorable Mention: Dak Prescott

NFL DFS Running Backs

Saquon Barkley ($8,900 DK / $9,700 FD) – No need to reinvent the wheel here, Saquon Barkley, at home, against the Lions.
Dalvin Cook ($8,000 DK / $8,300 FD) – Dalvin is in a smash spot here against the Cowboys’ run defense and a great game environment with a total 47.5 points (currently second highest on the slate). I love the recent usage in both the passing and running game and the AETY Model loves the upside here as it grades Dalvin Cook third in terms of touchdown equity at the running back position. Dalvin may very well come into the slate at sub-10% ownership making him a fantastic GPP play.
David Montgomery ($6,100 DK / $6,200 FD) – Way too cheap on both sites and the free-square type of play in my opinion with no Khalil Herbert taking every other drive for the Bears’ offense. If you’re not using Fields in cash, use Montgomery and there’s also GPP leverage here with Montgomery as Justin Fields is the anticipated QB chalk.
Antonio Gibson ($5,600 DK / $6,600 FD) & Brian Robinson Jr. ($5,300 DK / $6,600 FD) – Both Commanders’ running backs in play this weekend against the #1 fantasy-friendly run defense in the Houston Texans. In cash games, I prefer Brian Robinson due to slightly more red-zone equity (and I am OK if you go double Commander on DK Cash with Terry/B-Rob), but in GPP builds, I like the versatility and pass-catching upside for Antonio Gibson. If for some reason this game shoots-out, Antonio Gibson is gamescript proof.

Honorable Mention: Joe Mixon, Rhamondre Stevenson, Nick Chubb, James Robinson (GPP only)

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Justin Jefferson ($9,100 DK / $9,100 FD) – Injury designation is no more. Fire up Justin Jefferson if you can afford him!
CeeDee Lamb ($7,500 DK / $8,100 FD) – Absolute core play for me in all formats this week, regardless of ownership. The Vikings’ have an extremely high Cover-3 usage rate and that is a massive advantage for CeeDee Lamb on the inside against Chandon Sullivan. Load up the CeeDee!
Gabe Davis ($6,500 DK / $7,100 FD) – With my love for CeeDee Lamb and one of Saquon Barkley or Dalvin Cook, I just cannot afford to pay up for Stefon Diggs (if you can, go for it). I really want to try to get a piece of the Bills’ offense as they have the highest implied team total on the slate and are now playing in a dome. I’ll be pushing on Gabe Davis this week due to the savings offered and the target share upgrade we’ll likely see when the Browns blitz and run their Cover-4 zone defense. Gabe is an excellent boom-or-bust 5% owned GPP play this weekend.
Courtland Sutton ($6,000 DK / $7,000 FD) – Assuming Jerry Jeudy is OUT, Courtland Sutton is pretty much the only proven-game in town for the Broncos’ receiving core. With the state of this Denver Broncos’ offense, it’s probably best to keep Sutton in your cash game player pool as the upside just has not been there whatsoever for anyone in the orange uniforms.
Terry McLaurin ($5,900 DK / $7,300 FD) – Way too cheap on DraftKings. McLaurin is clearly the top-target in Washington by a mile when Taylor Heinicke is under center and this is a very winnable matchup against rookie Derrick Stingley Jr. He’s a solid play in cash game and GPP formats, though I prefer strictly cash game exposure with this game environment.
Darnell Mooney ($5,400 DK / $6,000 FD) – Fantastic price-points against the Falcons’ slot corner, Isaiah Oliver. The Falcons will run a lot of Cover-1, Cover-3 and Cover-2 defense which is all advantage Darnell Mooney. He will likely be a core play for me in NFL DFS GPP lineups as I’m leaning towards game-stacking CHI @ ATL.
Drake London ($5,100 DK / $5,700 FD) – I’m projecting Atlanta to be in a bit of a back-and-forth, up-tempo gamescript here and that will get me to lean on the Atlanta pass catchers. This is a beautiful buy-low spot for Drake London at extremely affordable salaries, in a dream matchup against Jaylon Jones. I’d prefer him in GPP builds only as we know the extreme volatility at hand investing in the Falcons’ passing game.
Parris Campbell ($4,300 DK / $5,800 FD) – Too cheap for a valued target of Matt Ryan’s who has one of the only matchups against this Philadelphia secondary that doesn’t grade as a negative in the AETY Model. Avonte Maddox is now on the IR and that should open up the middle of the field for Campbell against a pure backup cornerback in Josiah Scott. He’s fine as a value play in both cash and GPP lineups.

Honorable Mention: AJ Brown, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Tee Higgins, Garrett Wilson, Van Jefferson, Ben Skowronek, Nico Collins (cash viable on DK with the high ownership)

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

TJ Hockenson ($5,300 DK / $6,500 FD) – Hockenson has quietly been utilized like a borderline fantasy WR2 since he’s been traded to Vikings… 19 targets in two games! We’re getting close to Travis Kelce type of usage (obviously he isn’t Travis Kelce, but neither is his price). Hockenson will likely be around 5% in ownership and in this up-tempo Dallas @ Minnesota game, will make for an excellent GPP play. We’ll see a lot of him when Dallas shows their Cover-2 and Cover-3 zone defenses.
Kyle Pitts ($4,400 DK / $5,500 FD) – It’s gross, but again, I’m in on this Falcons’ passing attack this week and Kyle Pitts is my top stacking option for Mariota. As mentioned in Discord, Kyle Pitts has been slowly working his way back to lining up in the slot (where he is at his best) and away from in-line snaps. Either Arthur Smith is starting to understand how serious of a weapon Kyle Pitts is or it’s a fluke. I lean on the side that the slot snap-share rising is a strategic move.

Although Pitts won’t exclusively see Kyler Gordon in coverage (the others in coverage for the Bears aren’t much better), this is a matchup we need to pick-on. Gordon has allowed massive production to all those who line up against him as he’s given up the most receiving yards in the NFL to receivers targeted in the slot, by a wide margin. Pitts should absolutely smash the Bears’ Cover-2 and Cover-3 zone defenses (as long as this game stays up-tempo). He’s a fine play for GPP’s and arguably viable in cash.
Dalton Schultz ($4,300 DK / $5,900 FD) – Not quite as sexy as Hockenson’s recent usage, but 15 targets over his past two games is excellent on a slate when there is no Travis Kelce. The red-zone utilization is also taking a massive leap upward now that Dak Prescott is back. This is a game I love to attack and Schultz is more of a WR2 than he is a mid-tier priced tight-end.
Greg Dulcich ($3,800 DK / $5,500 FD) – I personally have zero interest in Dulcich outside of cash games. On FanDuel, I’d advise going elsewhere, on DraftKings, it looks like he’ll be the highest owned tight-end by a mile so it’s safe to go there if you need savings.

Honorable Mention: Mark Andrews, Tyler Higbee, Cole Kmet

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
Washington Commanders
New Orleans Saints
New York Jets
Houston Texans
Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (DK Cash Games)

CeeDee Lamb
David Montgomery
Saquon Barkley
Greg Dulcich
Terry McLaurin

NFL DFS GPP Core (DraftKings)

I’ll be out of town this weekend for a wedding so I want to share my NFL DFS GPP “core” that I usually give out on the Sunday livestream if anyone is interested. Good luck this week!

Marcus Mariota (risky as hell, so I understand if you don’t want to go there)
Dalvin Cook
CeeDee Lamb
Darnell Mooney
Kyle Pitts

Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and DFS slate.

2 years ago 0 comments

NFL DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Game by Game Breakdown Week 10

Capper Steve 2 years ago

written by Capper Steve

Ten games to examine in Week 10 of the NFL Sunday Slate, we are already into double-digit weeks into the season! Time flies when you are setting lineups and cashing in DFS. This week is pretty cut and dry, with four teams on bye and the league loaded with injuries we can come to a conclusion on where we want to attack in DFS. Always take advantage of the projection model to give you that extra edge on the competition, and tag me @jdicarlo78 or any of our staff on our Discord for any help on who to get in your lineups up until lock. Let’s get it on!

Sunday Main Slate 11/13/22

Browns @ Dolphins (-3.5) (O/U 49.5)

Browns

Miami has been an opponent’s worst nightmare to defend, and if they run up the score on Sunday, Jacoby Brissett will be throwing more often than handing the ball off to Nick Chubb. As well as the Dolphins can put up points, they bleed them out just as fast. Miami has given up 59 points in their last two games providing fantasy value at every position. We can target the Browns’ receivers (Cooper and DPJ), Chubb, and even Kareem Hunt if you really want to be dirty. If you want to be a contrarian, Jacoby Brissett at his price tag ($5,400 DraftKings/$) would save you some dough in a tournament.

Dolphins

Welcome to Miami…and the Dolphins plan on showing the Browns around town in circles this weekend. With Tua being the highest-rated quarterback (115.9) and Tyreek Hill leading the league in receiving yards (1,104), not one team has had any answers to defend them. The Browns still struggle against the run and are 29th in DVOA. Newly acquired Jeff Wilson Jr. has fit right into this 49er-style rushing attack and at ($5,500 DraftKings/$6,500 FanDuel) he could provide some cap relief.

Cash: T. Tagovailoa, T. Hill, A. Cooper, N. Chubb

GPP: D. Peoples-Jones, J. Wilson Jr., J. Brissett

Texans @ Giants (-4) (O/U 41)

Texans

The Texans’ offense has been heavy doses of rookie running back Dameon Pierce, primarily due to their lack of a competent quarterback. Pierce, who’s been averaging 22 touches over his last three games, is the only show in town for Houston thus far, but if Nico Collins can get back out there at wideout in New York this week I can see taking a flier on him at a measly ($4,000 DraftKings/$5,500 FanDuel)

Giants

Fresh off a bye and a tough loss on the road in Seattle in Week 8, the Giants fall into a nice bounce-back situation at home against the Texans. New head coach Brian Daboll will ride the hot hand and continue forcing stud bell-cow Saquon Barkley down opposing defenses’ throats. You’ll pay a hefty price for him at ($8,900 DraftKings/$9,500 FanDuel) but it will be well worth facing a Texan run defense who could not stop a runny nose (dead last at 32nd DVOA). Don’t let Barkley’s salary scare you away, Tennessee’s Derrick Henry was at ($8,400 DraftKings) when he crushed it with 38 DK points.

Cash: S. Barkley, D. Pierce, Giants DST

GPP: N. Collins

Jaguars @ Chiefs (-9.5) (O/U 51)

Jaguars

On the road coming into Arrowhead as double-digit dogs, the Jaguars will need to put it in 5th gear at kickoff. The Lawrence and Kirk combo is in full effect for this game, and a sprinkle of Etienne would not be a bad idea either. If Jacksonville were to fall behind by a large lead, or perhaps they do come out swinging, it would be this trio of Jaguars to move the football. The Chiefs’ zone defense allows heavy rushing (25th in DVOA) and passing (25th in DVOA) allowing opponents to move the chains on a game-to-game basis, relying more on Mahomes and the offense to pull off wins

Chiefs

I’ll skip the Mahomes and Kelce hype, we all know they are locks. The big news out of Kansas City on Friday was the downgrade of running back Jerrick Mckinnon (62% snap share in Week 9) and the ruling out of receiver Mecole Hardman (54% snap share in Week 9). This opens up so many doors in Kansas City for value plays this weekend. Isiah Pacheco and Kadarius Toney could make great GPP possibilities on Sunday. This news also ramps up more opportunities for starters MVS and Ju Ju.

Cash: P. Mahomes, T. Kelce, T. Etienne, C. Kirk, J. Smith-Schuster

GPP: T. Lawrence, I. Pacheco, K. Toney, M. Scantling

Broncos @ Titans (-3) (O/U 38)

Broncos

Bronco Country… Let’s not F this one up. Five starters on the Titans’ defense have already been ruled out including Bud Dupree. Russel Wilson (holding my breath as I type this) should light up this Tennessee secondary without breaking a sweat. Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton have fallen way down in pricing because of this dumpster fire of an offense, let’s hope and pray we can use all three this week and hit. Tight end rookie Greg Dulcich continues to crush his salary and will be the chalk at his position for the slate. Lastly, Tennessee has no quarterback! Malik Willis in two games has not thrown for 64 yards and Ryan Tannehill is still banged up, start-up that Bronco D!

Titans

They were a train wreck to watch in Primetime of Week 9, I thought I would never say that I’m looking forward to Ryan Tannehill getting back under center for the Titans. With or without him, Tennessee will continue to feed the beast of Derrick Henry into a Denver front seven that has been smoked by the likes of Travis Etienne (156 rushing yards last week) and Josh Jacobs (144 rushing yards in Week 4).

Cash: G. Dulcich, D. Henry, Broncos DST

GPP: R. Wilson, J. Jeudy, C. Sutton

Vikings @ Bills (-3.5) (O/U 43.5)

Vikings

We’re gonna fade on the offensive pieces of Minnesota this week guys, just too pricy against a Buffalo defense that will need to pick up the slack for their injured quarterback Josh Allen, who may not play. On that note, that Minnesota defense at ($2,200 DraftKings/$3,200 FanDuel) is looking very tasty facing a less than 100% Josh Allen, Case Keenum, or Matt Barkley commanding the offense on what may be a chilly and soggy afternoon in Buffalo.

Bills

I’m sure everybody has heard the news about star quarterback Josh Allen’s elbow, and it doesn’t look good for Week 10. Beware of using any of the Bills this weekend since we really have no idea what the coaching staff plans on doing. I’ve mentioned in my quarterback Week 10 article of using Case Keenum as a flier, but now today I have heard some buzz about the possibility of seeing third-stringer Matt Barkley. Let’s watch and see what happens this weekend fellas and go from there next weekend.

Cash: Vikings DST

GPP:

Lions @ Bears (-2.5) (O/U 48.5)

Lions

Will we see the road Jared Goff in Chicago? I sure hope not. Amon-Ra St. Brown with his 30% target share is the only game in town for the Lions against this tapped-out Bears’ defense. The Hock is gone, Josh Reynolds is out, Swift still getting eased back in, and two rookie tight ends. Can we get another 40 burger like in Week 2 for Amon, Jared? Asking for a friend.

Bears

The chalkiest play at quarterback will absolutely be Justin Fields this week after he scorched Miami for 45 DK points in a Week 9 shoot-out. I get it, totally way too cheap and a nice plug-in for cash, but what if the Lions do not put up enough of a fight? Let’s think outside the box. Running back David Montgomery still owns 70% of the snaps, if Fields doesn’t have to scramble, then he benefits as well as Chase Claypool on the outside. Coach Eberflus has spoken publicly about bringing more work toward Claypool this coming week. Let’s get in on the action while he is dirt cheap ($4,800 DraftKings/$5,800 FanDuel).

Cash: J. Fields

GPP: A. St. Brown, C. Claypool, D. Montgomery

Saints @ Steelers (+1.5) (O/U 40)

Saints

Looks like the Saints will be a little healthier as veteran receiver Jarvis Landry will finally be back in the lineup. This should create some space between defenders for the rookie phenom Chris Olave. Pittsburgh will be getting DPOY linebacker TJ Watt back as well, so the Saints better have Dalton get rid of that ball quickly and accurately, or else.

Steelers

The Chase Claypool move to Chicago left a huge opportunity for receptions in the Steel City. Pickens, Diontae Johnson, and Pat Friermuth should be seeing a nice uptick in usage. The Saints’ dead-last receiver DVOA that is still without Marshon Lattimore should give a huge boost in fantasy value. We may see Kenny Pickett break 20 fantasy points against this hot mess of a defense, take a flier stack on some Steelers this week.

Cash: C. Olave, D. Johnson

GPP: K. Pickett, G. Pickens, Steelers DST

Colts @ Raiders (-4.5) (O/U 40.5)

Colts

New head coach Jeff Saturday, a former offensive lineman in Indianapolis, has no coaching experience. What would you do if you were in his shoes? Right, give the ball to your best playmaker Jonathon Taylor. Deon Jackson is out, and Phillip Lindsay was sent packing, He’s the last man standing and has gotten plenty of practice this week. His price has plunged into the $7K range on DraftKings, which makes him a great under-the-radar move in DFS.

Raiders

Vegas has placed tight end Darren Waller and receiver Hunter Renfrow on IR this week. Davante Adams will absolutely benefit from this dilemma, but so will the 6’4″ Mack Hollins. Carr has favored him all season, and the last time he was in this situation he exploded for 30 plus DK points. Enjoy a free bee and pick up the Mack daddy

Cash: M. Hollins

GPP: J. Taylor

Cowboys @ Packers (+4) (O/U 43)

Cowboys

The Cowboys have not had much luck in Lambeau Field over the recent years, possibly due to not being used to the local weather. I’m hesitant to spend too much salary here in Dallas, but tight end Dalton Schultz is way too cheap. He’s only $3,800 on DraftKings and facing a bottom-tier DVOA to tight ends (21st) sign me up.

Packers

The Packers may soon be packing it in this year. Rodgers‘ frustration may have a loss of loyalty with some of his teammates. He at some point will have to start trusting his teammates and with his receiving core decimated by injury, it’s time. Rookie Christian Watson is well worth his price tag to be the guy this week to step up. Take a shot for $3,700 on DraftKings.

Cash:

GPP: C. Watson, D. Schultz

Cardinals @ Rams (-1.5) (O/U 40.5)

Cardinals

Kyler Murray popped up on the injury report this week with a hamstring issue. If he does suit up, be careful. History shows that a less than 100% Kyler refused to run in previous seasons, if you’re looking for the rushing upside it may not be here this week. The Cardinals’ defense may be worthy. Matt Stafford is still in concussion protocols, setting up second-string quarterback John Wolford to start behind a swiss cheese O-line.

Rams

I never thought I would see the week to fade Cooper Kupp, but it has arrived. Too expensive to trust in the hands of John Wolford. A limping Kyler Murray or another backup quarterback scenario in Arizona would tempt me to also use the Rams DST. Aaron Donald chasing McSorely around SoFi Stadium could light up your DST slot this weekend.

Cash: Cardinals DST, Rams DST

GPP:

Cash Core 4

P. Mahomes, S. Barkley, A. Cooper, Vikings DST (no Josh Allen)

GPP Core 4

R. Wilson, C. Claypool, A. St. Brown, J. Taylor

Stacks

P. Mahomes/T. Kelce, T. Lawrence/T. Etienne/C. Kirk, R. Wilson/J. Jeudy/G. Dulcich

T. Tagovailoa/T. Hill, J. Brissett/A. Cooper/D. Peoples Jones

Thanks for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 10. You can reach me on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @JDiCarlo78 for any lineup build opinions or questions, always here to help! Be sure to sign up for an ALL-ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts and myself talking plays across every sport.

2 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 10: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

StixPicks 2 years ago

written by StixPicks

First off, Happy Veteran’s Day to all who served and their families. Please know that myself and everyone at Win Daily are incredibly grateful for your service, as you all have paved the way that we live today. To be able to sit here and write NFL DFS articles on a weekly basis, it’s incredible and we wouldn’t be here without you. Thank you for allowing us to live the safe lives we live today! You are all the true heroes!

A bit of a mixed bag for Week 9 NFL DFS lineups across the board. Unfortunately, I was a full-fade on Joe Mixon and that’s just the way it goes sometimes. I hope everyone enjoyed the slate breakdown cheat-sheet I provided in Discord. Hopefully that helps your weekly process! Let’s move on to a sexy Week 10 NFL DFS slate. As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Good luck this week!

*Please note that just because a player is listed as a cash game option, DOES NOT mean they’re not in play for NFL DFS GPP lineups. I love to get a mixture of both in my GPP builds.

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes ($7,900 DK / $8,500 FD) – It is Patrick Mahomes, in a fantastic matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He’s the only quarterback on the slate with a passing prop close to 300-yards and if Josh Allen is limited our OUT, he’s the only QB (other than maybe Tua Tagovailoa) who we expect to throw for 2+ touchdowns on a weekly basis. Don’t overthink this slate. Mahomes is perfect for both cash and GPP lineups in Week 10.

Stack Options: Travis Kelce, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Run-Back Options: Travis Etienne, Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Evan Engram
Tua Tagovailoa ($6,700 DK / $8,100 FD) – Tua and the Miami Dolphins are on absolute fire right now and the matchup at home against the Cleveland Browns projects to be a shootout with the total currently sitting at 49.5 points (second highest on the slate behind JAX @ KC). The Browns secondary is back to full health, but it’s almost impossible to keep Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in-check. Tua is fine for cash game builds, but with the potential that the Browns run the ball as much as possible to keep the ball out of Miami’s hands, the safest route is through NFL DFS GPP lineups.

Stack Options: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle
Run-Back Options: Amari Cooper, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, Donovan Peoples-Jones
Justin Fields ($6,300 DK / $8,300 FD) – DraftKings refuses to raise his price to an appropriate tier based on his current fantasy outputs and the clear high-floor with his legs. Fields is on a heater right now and is an excellent cash game play against this horrific Detroit Lions’ defense. Having said that, I do think a case can be made to fade Justin Fields.

I look at it this way: his ownership has never been higher, his price has never been higher, he takes more hits than any other quarterback on the slate, and he’s done his damage in up-tempo games where the Bears are playing from behind! Those games were against Dak Prescott and a healthy Dallas Cowboys team (outside of Elliott, but we know how lethal Pollard is/was) and last week against Tua and the Dolphins, where they were scoring at-will. Do you really think Jared Goff and the Lions on the road push Fields into a ceiling NFL DFS game? Maybe you do, or maybe you don’t care because he’s cheap and a play away from going 60-yards to the house. That is 100% fine, run him out there!

I personally, will likely be fading Fields for the above reasons and the fact that I simply trust my builds with Tua or Mahomes more at their ownership. I always fade Goff on the road and will pray that the gamescript goes more in favor of both teams heavily utilizing their running backs as both of these run defenses (and pass defense too, don’t get me wrong) absolutely suck.

Stack Options: Darnell Mooney, Chase Claypool, Cole Kmet
Run-Back Options: Amon-Ra St. Brown

Honorable Mention (GPP only): Russell Wilson, Kenny Pickett

NFL DFS Running Backs (Cash and GPP)

Saquon Barkley ($8,600 DK / $9,500 FD) – Saquon against the Texans… it’s a smash spot but you’re paying the premium price-tag. He’s a fantastic play in all formats. Like Mahomes, no need to overthink things. I’ll do everything I can to get Barkley into my cash game lineup.
Derrick Henry ($8,300 DK / $9,400 FD) – It looks like there will be heavy ownership on Derrick Henry this week against the Broncos’ defense (they’re extremely solid, but they’re a run-funnel and it’s Derrick Henry). I probably will not get there in cash games, but he’s a great play in all formats as you all know.
Travis Etienne ($7,100 DK / $8,000 FD) – The price is rising for Etienne on a weekly basis and for good reason, he’s on fire. The usage rate is atop the AETY Model projections for the Week 10 NFL DFS slate and he’s likely to find himself in a bit more of a passing-game role as the Jaguars are almost a 10-point dog to Kansas City. The Chiefs allow the most receptions per game to opposing running backs. Etienne is perfect for both GPP and cash game lineups.
Tony Pollard ($6,500 DK / $7,000 FD) – Lock button if Ezekiel Elliott is OUT for cash and definitely a significant interest in GPP.
Dameon Pierce ($6,300 DK / $7,700 FD) – Way too affordable on DraftKings and the ownership projections seem to say the public agrees. Pierce is the “free-square” running back this week in NFL DFS cash games and is still a value piece (at high-ownership) in GPP lineups against the Giants’ 24th ranked run defense (DVOA). He’s a full-go in all formats this weekend.

Honorable Mention: Alvin Kamara, Josh Jacobs, James Conner, Jamaal Williams

GPP Only:

Jonathan Taylor ($7,500 DK / $7,000 FD) – Likely only a play for me on FanDuel, but Deon Jackson is OUT, Phil Lindsay was cut, and Zack Moss likely won’t have a significant role in any aspect of the game. The concern here is: what the hell do the Colts do on offense? I’ll roll the dice that new coach Jeff Saturday leans on Jonathan Taylor for 25+ touches on Sunday against a very beatable Raiders’ defense.
David Montgomery ($6,000 DK / $6,700 FD) – Pure leverage off of the Bears’ passing game chalk. Detroit’s run defense is terrible.
Kareem Hunt ($5,300 DK / $5,800 FD) – I don’t believe I’ve wrote his name down in any format throughout the 2022 season, but here we are. There’s no cheap-value at the running back position this week so Kareem Hunt will be getting the nod for me in some NFL DFS GPP lineups. At sub-3% ownership, Hunt grabs my attention as he’s got the highest AETY Model projection he’s had for me all season long. With no Njoku, the model seems to think Kareem Hunt will get an uptick in receiving work (in addition to his limited, yet notable rushing role) against the Dolphins’ defense that grades 28th in pass defense DVOA to opposing running backs. This game is likely going to be a fantasy football festival on both sides and Hunt offers me some extremely cheap exposure to it.

NFL DFS Wide Receivers (Cash and GPP)

Tyreek Hill ($9,100 DK / $9,000 FD)
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($6,900 DK / $6,900 FD) – St. Brown is one of the only healthy wide receivers for the Detroit Lions and the expected target-share is over 30% this week against the Bears’ Cover-2 and Cover-3 defense. Kyler Gordon is going to have his hands full trying to handle Amon-Ra St. Brown for four quarters on Sunday. St. Brown is a fantastic option in all formats.
Amari Cooper ($6,500 DK / $7,800 FD) – Amari Cooper is surprisingly one of the AETY Model favorites this week against a brutal Miami secondary (Xavien Howard has been trash this season and may miss this game anyways). Amari’s red-zone usage is elite and his expected target share got a significant boost in the AETY Model with Njoku being ruled out and Miami running a ton of man coverage with some Cover-3 mixed in there as well (coverages Brissett heavily targets Cooper in). He’s simply too cheap for a high-upside WR1 in an excellent game environment. Feel confident in rolling out Cooper in all formats.

Donovan Peoples-Jones is a fine value as well for cash or GPP.
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6,000 DK / $7,000 FD) – Mahomes’ top wide receiver outside of the obvious, Travis Kelce. JuJu has been on a tear lately and the target share at the wide receiver position in Kansas City is extremely volatile outside of JuJu. He’s likely just a GPP play for me this week.
Christian Kirk ($5,900 DK / $6,800 FD) – Christian Kirk is finally back to his early season fantasy ways and makes for an excellent, affordable piece to this expected shootout. The Jaguars will no doubt be playing from behind and that should bode well for Jacksonville’s top target. I prefer Kirk in NFL DFS GPP lineups, but ownership projections warrant considering Kirk in cash games as well. I personally do not love the matchup against L’Jarius Sneed. On the outside, Zay Jones is also a nice piece of this positive passing gamescript we’ll likely see from Jacksonville.
Diontae Johnson ($5,800 DK / $6,600 FD) – It looks like Diontae Johnson is going to be the highest owned wide receiver on this slate which makes him an excellent NFL DFS cash game option. Marshon Lattimore will again sit out with injury this week and the Saints’ run the most man coverage in the NFL… advantage Diontae. Do not forget about George Pickens as well for a bit of a discount in all formats!
Jerry Jeudy ($5,700 DK / $6,400 FD) & Courtland Sutton ($5,600 DK / $6,200 FD) – It’s disgusting, but I low-key love this matchup for Russell Wilson and the Broncos’ wide receivers against a pass-funnel Titans’ defense. The ownership projections are currently in Courtland Sutton’s favor, I prefer Jerry Jeudy by a nose. Sutton does get the significant matchup upgrade against the Titans’ Cover-2 and Cover-3 zone defense. Jeudy should excel against their man coverage looks. I’m FINE using either one of them in all formats.

Honorable Mention: CeeDee Lamb, Davante Adams, Jaylen Waddle, Chris Olave, Darnell Mooney, George Pickens, Zay Jones, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Mack Hollins

GPP Only:

Chase Claypool ($4,800 DK / $5,800 FD) – If you like this game, Chase Claypool is the deadliest fantasy weapon on the field at all times now that he’s moved outside in the Bears’ offense. The snap share will certainly tick-up significantly from last week and there’s not a corner in the division that can truly body him up. If this game shoots-out, Claypool should be a big part of that.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,100 DK / $5,400 FD) – Way too cheap for exposure to 80% of the Kansas City offensive snaps. With Mecole Hardman out (that breaks my heart), MVS should be in a great spot here and finally have a bit of a role in the red-zone offense (or it’s simply all Kelce and JuJu). He’s the #1 AETY Model value at the wide receiver position this week.
Christian Watson ($3,700 DK / $5,400 FD) – Here we go… the 0% owned call of the week (more of a prayer, lol). With Romeo Doubs OUT, the AETY Model is extremely high on the Packers’ most talented rookie, Christian Watson. Watson is an absolute freak of a talent and finally enters a game healthy and on paper, the WR2 of this Packers’ offense. I trust that LaFleur will finally get Watson heavily involved in the game-plan (they kind of have to do something different, don’t they?) and get him a jet-sweep or two while they’re at it. Watson moves all over the formation and if we get a week where he gets 60% or more of the offensive snaps, production will come… And it will come in bunches.

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

Travis Kelce ($7,800 DK / $8,500 FD) – The best tight-end on this slate by a mile. Lock him in for all formats of NFL DFS lineups if you can afford it!
Dalton Schultz ($3,800 DK / $5,500 FD) – Great price in all formats. I value him as a low-end WR2 who happens to get Tight-End eligibility.
Greg Dulcich ($3,400 DK / $5,900 FD) – Dulcich will be the chalk tight-end in NFL DFS cash games in Week 10. I’m OK if you run with the pack and take the chalk spot there, but I am a 100% fade in GPP lineups. I’m just not playing a punt, chalk tight-end in GPP lineups when Kelce is on the slate.
Evan Engram ($3,300 DK / $4,900 FD) – Cheap exposure to the Jacksonville passing game. Engram gets a nice boost in expected target share against the Chiefs’ heavy usage of Cover-2 zone defense.

Honorable Mention: Pat Freiermuth, Juwan Johnson

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
Pittsburgh Steelers
Arizona Cardinals
Minnesota Vikings

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (DK Cash Games)

Tony Pollard (if Elliott is out)
Dameon Pierce
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Justin Fields
Travis Kelce

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and DFS slate.

2 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

NFL DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Game by Game Breakdown Week 9

Capper Steve 3 years ago

written by Capper Steve

We’ve only got 10 games on this main slate in Week 9 which will cut deep into the player pool this week. Losing 6 teams to the byes is tough but we will manage, bringing you the best paths to cashing in your DFS lineups. Keep it simple, don’t get too fancy, and use the AETY projection model to your advantage. Tag me @jdicarlo78 and hop on our Discord to stay up to speed and who to get in your lineups up until lock, time to break it down…Let’s do this!

Sunday Main Slate 11/6/22

Bills @ Jets (+12.5) (O/U 47)

Bills

A walk in the park for Buffalo at the Meadowlands this weekend, start your Bills in cash games. Josh Allen and the Bills’ receiving core really need no explanation, with Diggs already grabbing 55 receptions and 7 touchdowns through 7 games. Another strong play would be the Bills’ DST, who have shut down the best of offenses (held Kansas City to 20 points) and should be able to contain Zach Wilson and the Jets with their eyes closed.

Jets

Jets’ quarterback Zach Wilson will have a short leash at home facing the number one defense of the AFC. He’ll need to stick to the short-yardage passing game for this one to have a chance to move the ball and avoid the interceptions. Check downs to running backs Michael Carter and James Robinson could be on the menu.

Cash: J. Allen, S. Diggs, Bills DST

GPP: M. Carter, J. Robinson

Vikings @ Commanders (+3.5) (O/U 43.5)

Vikings

Kirk Cousins is back in town after Washington released him in 2018, which may still sting a little from 4 years ago. It will be bittersweet for him to pick apart the Commanders’ secondary on Sunday, mainly looking to Kendall Fuller’s assignment of Justin Jefferson, which will be a giant mismatch. You can bet your bottom dollar Kirk will look to pad his numbers up in this game against his former team who refused to pay up.

Commanders

Backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke is not only 2-0 since taking over for the injured Carson Wentz, but has brought Terry McLaurin back to WR1 status. They’ve combined for 11 receptions for 186 yards and 1 touchdown in their two games. McLaurin is still underpriced ($5,900 DraftKings/$7,200 Fanduel) facing the 26th DVOA against receivers

Cash: K. Cousins, J. Jefferson, T. McLaurin

GPP: T. Heinicke

Dolphins @ Bears (+5.5) (O/U 45.5)

Dolphins

Chicago unloaded their two best players on defense before the trade deadline of Roquan Smith and Robert Quinn this week, hello Miami! We are all in again on Dolphins this week, Tua will be in the driver’s seat in this high-octane offense featuring Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. The trio scored a total of 100 DK points last week in Detroit.

Bears

The Bears may have finally begun to reap the rewards of drafting Justin Fields in 2021, averaging 25 fantasy points in his last two games. Using his canon of an arm (330 yards and 3 touchdowns)and being swift with his legs (148 yards/2 TDs), he’s a steal at his pricetag ($5,300 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel) and a nice flyer for a GPP.

Cash: T. Tagovailoa, T. Hill, J. Waddle

GPP: J. Fields

Panthers @ Bengals (-7.5) (O/U 42.5)

Panthers

Chuba Hubbard still can’t shake that bum ankle, which means it’s D’Onta Foreman time again. The Bengals have given up over 130 yards rushing over the past four games putting Foreman in another smash position. Both receivers (DJ Moore/Terrace Marshall) are way too cheap on DraftKings and are very viable in the reinvigorated passing offense.

**Punt play: The Carolina defense ($2,300 on DraftKings) may pile up sacks against an erratic Cincinnati O-line.

Bengals

Tight end Kyle Pitts was brought back from the dead thanks to Carolina’s defense, so will Hayden Hurst be in line for the same scenario? Ja’Marr Chase‘s vacated targets will need to be funneled elsewhere… A discounted Hurst at tight end and the interim Bengals WR 1 Tee Higgins would be legit. The Bengals are in a smash spot to bounce back after taking a huge beating by Cleveland in Week 8.

Cash: D. Foreman, T. Marshall, H. Hurst

GPP: T. Higgins, Carolina DST, DJ Moore

Chargers @ Falcons (+3.5) (O/U 49.5)

Chargers

LA’s offense has been decimated by injuries, both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are out again, leaving Herbert limited in passing options in Atlanta. The Bolts will be left with Josh Palmer and tight end Gerald Everett as primary targets in the best possible matchup this year…that atrocious Falcons’ secondary. In reality, it’s Austin Ekeler that is the heart of the Chargers’ offense, getting in all the work in the running (5 rushing TDs) and passing game (22 REC/1 TD in his last 2 games)

Falcons

Atlanta loves to run the ball in the trenches, and LA loves to accommodate opposing running backs, who are 31st in DVOA. Keep an eye on Cordarrelle Patterson’s injury status and workload. If he plays and gets eased in, Atlanta may become a platoon at running back with Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley. Too risky to choose, would be nice for the Milli-Maker though. Drake London has been the only consistent piece in this offense, keep it simple if you like any Falcons this weekend.

Cash: A. Ekeler, J. Palmer, G. Everett

GPP: D. London, J. Herbert

Packers @ Lions (+4) (O/U 49.5)

Packers

Green Bay will try to get back to .500 against a Lions team that’s allowed the most yards and points so far this season. Rodgers may as well just feed running back Aaron Jones all-day long against Detroit’s dumpster-fire run defense. Let’s also wait and see if Allen Lazard can make it onto the field too, with 4 touchdowns in 6 games, Lazard has been the only receiver in this offense that has taken a liking by Rodgers.

Lions

Even more targets are headed toward Amon-Ra St. Brown this Sunday with the departure of tight end TJ Hockenson. I can’t wait to see the volume this weekend, if you thought Jared Goff peppered St. Brown before, wait until this Sunday. The Lions are only 4-point underdogs here in this game, and may actually have a shot at beating the underwhelming Packers. The road to their second win of the year is through St. Brown.

Cash: A. Jones, A. St. Brown

GPP: A. Lazard, A. Rodgers

Colts @ Patriots (-5.5) (O/U 40)

Colts

Well looks like they’re starting to tank. Jonathon Taylor has already been ruled out and quarterback Sam Ehlinger from what we saw last week is just not ready for the big show. But we sure will take the free-99 at running back with Deon Jackson, whose last start produced close to 30 fantasy points in Taylor’s absence. Be aware also of the struggle on the opposite sideline of New England as they’ve been unable to decide on who to start at quarterback all season. The Colts DST is in play guys and gals.

Patriots

Coach Belichick loves to pick on rookies, especially opposing quarterbacks. Sam Ehlinger will be a deer in headlights on Sunday when the Patriot defense goes full-on blitz at the inexperienced signal caller. That’s just the appetizer though, the main course in New England has been running back Rhamondre Stevenson, who has put up over 20 fantasy points in his last 4 games. With Damien Harris continuing to carry a questionable tag, Stevenson will still command this backfield.

Cash: R. Stevenson, Patriots DST

GPP: D. Jackson, Colts DST

Raiders @ Jaguars (+1.5) (O/U 48)

Raiders

Expect Vegas to start out with a ton of emotion after getting shut out in New Orleans in Week 8. Davante Adams was under the weather up until game time last week, which may have lingered on the field. Derek Carr and Josh Jacobs also looked out of sorts, we can chalk this up as just an oops. The Raiders will go back to the basics and pound the pigskin with Jacobs on a softer Jaguars front line who now rank 25th in DVOA and work Adams back up to his normal reception volume. Consider taking a flyer on receiver Mack Hollins too, who seems to have won Carr’s trust and put up double-digit fantasy points in his last two games.

Jaguars

Jacksonville and coach Doug Pederson have fully unlocked running back Travis Etienne, the dude just always gets the ball and gets the job done fantasy-wise. The second-year stud out of Clemson has rushed for 270 yards in his last two games. He will face a Vegas defense that was gashed a week ago by Alvin Kamara’s 150 total yards, 3 touchdown game. Tight end Evan Engram is grossly cheap (DraftKings $3,300) for a guy seeing 6 plus targets per game. Lawrence and Kirk have become very affordable as well, so If you’re in the mood to stack for a GPP this weekend, your build may be right here!

Cash: D. Adams, C. Kirk, T. Etienne, E. Engram

GPP: J. Jacobs, T. Lawrence, M. Hollins

Seahawks @ Cardinals (-2) (O/U 49.5)

Seahawks

It’s time for our weekly dose of Marco Wilson, and Seattle is on deck for Sunday afternoon. Both DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are in the mix here, pick ya poison. The Cards will also let you run on them too, who have allowed over 130 yards in 2 of 4 previous games, 173 yards alone last week to the Vikings. Kenneth Walker is still way too cheap on DraftKings ($6,200) for Vegas’ highest-scoring game on the slate.

Cardinals

“Reunited and it feels so good”…is the song playing in the locker room for DeAndre Hopkins and Kyler Murray these days. The duo from the desert have hooked up on 22 grabs for 262 yards and a touchdown in Hopkins‘ return from a suspension in week 7…Marquis who? The AETY Model for some odd reason is also feeling like some Rondale Moore this weekend, perhaps if he lines up across from the Seahawks’ Coby Bryant? Yup, get him in on a dart throw.

Cash: D. Metcalf, T. Lockett, K. Murray, D. Hopkins

GPP: R. Moore, K. Walker

Rams @ Bucs (-3) (O/U 42.5)

Rams

It’s so hard to believe that the Rams are the defending Super Bowl champs from the way they’ve played this season. “F@$k them picks” is beginning to show its true colors, the price to pay for selling them off for a championship for a cottage cheese 2022 offensive line. The run game has been obliterated in LA, and Matt Stafford can tell you how many light bulbs are out at SoFi Stadium from the amount of time laying on his back. It’s Kupp only for us here, as usual.

Bucs

Can Brady and the Bucs finally bounce back this week and get back control of the NFC South? His main weapons are at full strength with Evans and Godwin, and as far as we know 100 percent healthy. Now that the Goat’s divorce is finally behind him, he may focus more on football now. Godwin has a sweet matchup on that cushy Rams’ interior pass defense, and Evans can do what he does best and get in the endzone. Tampa’s recent bad play as of late has put them in the fantasy doghouse, projecting super-low ownership across the board. Get your Bucs in for a tournament or two. Cash Is king although, and that Bucs’ DST will turn that frown upside down when it’s knocking Stafford around like a pinball on Sunday.

Cash: C. Kupp, M. Evans, Bucs DST

GPP: T. Brady, C. Godwin

Cash Core 4

J. Allen, D. Jackson, J. Palmer, E. Engram

GPP Core 4

T. Lawrence, C. Godwin, J. Jacobs, G. Everett

Stacks

T. Lawrence, T Etienne, C. Kirk / J. Allen, S. Diggs / T. Brady, C, Godwin / K. Murray, D. Hopkins

K. Cousins, J. Jefferson / J. Herbert, A. Ekeler, J. Palmer, G. Everett

Thanks for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 9. You can reach me on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @JDiCarlo78 for any lineup build opinions or questions, always here to help! Be sure to sign up for an ALL-ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts and me talking plays across every sport.

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS Week 9: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

brgrewe@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Back by popular demand is the combination article for Week 9 NFL DFS. As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Good luck this week!

NEW: below is a summary of the top matchups based on offensive DVOA vs their opponents defensive DVOA (from footballoutsiders.com):

*Please note that just because a player is listed as a cash game option, DOES NOT mean they’re not in play for NFL DFS GPP lineups. I love to get a mixture of both in my GPP builds.

NFL DFS Cash Game Quarterbacks:

Josh Allen ($8,500 DK / $9,300 FD) – The clear QB1 on this slate by a mile. Take the best option in your cash game lineups and feel free to do so in your NFL DFS GPP builds as well, but I do have concerns for the ceiling here as the Bills are a large double-digit favorite against a horrific Jets offense.
Geno Smith ($5,800 DK / $7,500 FD) – Not a big fan of Geno Smith at his FanDuel price-tag, but he’s incredibly affordable on DraftKings in a fantastic matchup against the Arizona Cardinals defense we stack against on a weekly basis (27th in pass defense DVOA). Outside of Tua Tagovailoa and Josh Allen, there isn’t an easier quarterback to stack up.

GPP Favorites:

Tom Brady ($6,000 DK / $6,900 FD) – Great price on both NFL DFS outlets for the only true “lock” for 40+ pass attempts. The Rams’ defense is more of a pass funnel and the Bucs have what looks to be a healthy wide receiving core going into this matchup. The volume certainly makes Brady a valuable option at an affordable price-tag. Based on ownership, Brady is looking like a sub-5% play…
Trevor Lawrence ($5,200 DK / $6,800 FD) – Unfortunately, Jacksonville hasn’t been playing at the fast pace we saw early on this season, but the passing volume should be there in this matchup with a higher total (48 points) against a pathetic Las Vegas Raiders’ secondary (30th in pass defense DVOA). Lawrence struggles against defenses that bring pressure and the Raiders simply do not do that… so this is one of the few matchups I’ll roster Lawrence with (semi) confidence. Lawrence is very stackable and you know the valuable run-backs if you want to bring it back with some Raiders’ exposure (Adams, Jacobs, or Hollins).
Kyler Murray ($7,400 DK / $8,200 FD) – Same situation as last week. Kyler Murray is the only quarterback on the slate with something close to the upside of Josh Allen. This game in the dome against Seattle grades out as the highest expected pace according to the AETY Model and truly warrants the expensive price-tag for Murray. He’s probably my favorite NFL DFS GPP quarterback on what looks like a rather unappealing slate and he’s fine to roster in cash with the high-floor he possesses.

Honorable Mention: Kirk Cousins

NFL DFS Cash Game Running Backs:

Austin Ekeler ($8,800 DK / $9,400 FD) – With Keenan Allen (questionable) and Mike Williams (OUT), Austin Ekeler is the number one pass catcher and the number one ball carrier for the Los Angeles Chargers. Summary: he is their whole offense until further notice.
Aaron Jones ($7,400 DK / $7,800 FD) – Criminally low price-tag on FanDuel and I’ll be playing a few more lineups over there than usual solely for the discount. A.J. Dillon took on what looked to be a nasty knee injury and although he somewhat stayed in the game, I am quite skeptical we see much of him on Sunday. This is a dream matchup for the Packers’ top-ten rushing attack against the Lions’ putrid run defense. Aaron Jones is a likely core play for me in all formats.
Travis Etienne Jr. ($6,300 DK / $7,600 FD) – Holy usage, Mr. Etienne! Etienne is way too cheap and is the only game in town for the Jaguars’ backfield going up against the Raiders’ struggling defense (19th in overall defense DVOA, and 31st in pass defense DVOA to opposing running backs). This is a free-square type of play on DraftKings.
Kenneth Walker ($6,200 DK / $8,300 FD) – Very steep price-tag on FanDuel, but extremely affordable on DraftKings. The Arizona Cardinals’ run defense has been improving throughout the season but they still allow a fantasy friendly, 4.5 yards per carry. This is a fantastic game environment to get exposure to, and Walker will hold significant touchdown equity in this matchup.
D’Onta Foreman ($6,000 DK / $7,300 FD) – No Hubbard again this week.
Deon Jackson ($5,200 DK / $5,000 FD) – It sounds like Jonathan Taylor is going to miss this game after re-injuring his ankle in Week 8. Take the free square in Deon Jackson now that Nyheim Hines was traded to Buffalo.

GPP Favorites:

*NOTE: I love everyone in the Cash section for GPPs as well!

Josh Jacobs ($7,300 DK / $8,800 FD) – not as great of a matchup as Aaron Jones, but the AETY Model does expect a lot of scoring in the LV/JAX matchup. Jacobs has been on fire this season and we’ll likely get some lower ownership as he was a letdown for NFL DFS players last week. This isn’t a fantastic matchup on paper and I don’t love the uptick in passing-down usage for Ameer Abdullah, so we’re better off using Jacobs in a GPP game-stack lineup.
Raheem Mostert ($6,100 DK / $6,500 FD) – Yes, Mostert was a massive letdown last week at Detroit in a fantastic matchup, but he was still rather effective with his touches as he averaged over 4.6 yards per carry. The Dolphins decided to get cute on the 1-yard line and give the touchdown to Jake Ingold instead of feeding Mostert. All in all, it should have been a respectable fantasy output for Mostert. This week, the AETY Model expects the Dolphins to handle whatever is left of the Bears’ defense and offer Mostert a lot of fantasy upside at low-ownership.

Jeff Wilson Jr. is likely to make an immediate impact, but with only a few days of practice under his belt before making is Dolphins’ season debut, I’ll roll the dice in NFL DFS GPP lineups that this is still Mostert’s job to lose.

Honorable Mention: Joe Mixon, Rhamondre Stevenson, Jamaal Williams, Devin Singletary, Eno Benjamin

NFL DFS Wide Receivers (Cash and GPP)

It’s clear that I’m likely to pay up (for the most part) at running back this week, so it’s unlikely I get a lot of exposure to the top tier wide receivers like Cooper Kupp (keep an eye on the ankle injury), Justin Jefferson, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams, or DeAndre Hopkins. I’ll certainly try to get one of them in my NFL DFS cash game lineup (as you certainly can do), but regardless, I’d rank them as follows:

Justin Jefferson
Stefon Diggs
DeAndre Hopkins
Tyreek Hill
Davante Adams

Mike Evans ($7,200 DK / $7,700 FD) – Great price for a top wide receiver at a discount price in what should be a very pass-heavy game environment for the Tampa Bay Bucs. Don’t worry about any rumors of a Jalen Ramsey shadow. The AETY Model also loves Chris Godwin in this spot as well.
DK Metcalf ($6,400 DK / $7,400 FD) & Tyler Lockett ($6,100 DK / $7,600 FD) – Again, I want exposure to this afternoon game with the highest total on the slate and as always, the matchup against Marco Wilson. Metcalf and Lockett are both in an absolute smash spot this week in the dome, assuming Byron Murphy doesn’t solely shadow DK Metcalf. I’d lean to whoever is cheaper on your NFL DFS site of choice.
Terry McLaurin ($5,900 DK / $7,200 FD) – The Vikings’ defense is a pass funnel and thank the lord for Taylor Heinicke for resurrecting the fantasy value of Terry McLaurin. This is our weekly pick on Cam Dantzler matchup and the price on DraftKings could not be better.
Christian Kirk ($5,500 DK / $6,300 FD) – Way too cheap for a clear WR1. The production hasn’t been nearly as sexy for Kirk as it was in the beginning of the season, but the volume and matchup is there this week. This is going to be a competitive back-and-forth game.
Rondale Moore ($5,200 DK / $5,900 FD) – I hate that I even have to mention his name, lol, but Rondale Moore is starting to become a real weapon in the Arizona Cardinals’ offense and surprisingly moved back inside last week (pushing DeAndre Hopkins outside). I always love DeAndre Hopkins, but for the discount, going down to Rondale Moore against Seattle slot-corner, Coby Bryant is very intriguing for NFL DFS lineups.
Josh Palmer ($5,100 DK / $6,200 FD) – Similar to Deon Jackson, Josh Palmer is the only game in town for this Chargers’ receiving core against a HORRIFIC Atlanta secondary. If you’re not paying up for Ekeler, pay-down for Josh Palmer in your NFL DFS cash games.

Honorable Mention (and the punt-plays): Tee Higgins, DJ Moore, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Chris Godwin, Curtis Samuel, Drake London, Mack Hollins, Terrace Marshall Jr. (way too cheap and cash viable)

NFL DFS Tight-Ends (Cash and GPP)

Gerald Everett ($4,800 DK / $5,800 FD) – Outside of Josh Palmer and Austin Ekeler, Gerald Everett is one of the few proven options on this Chargers’ offense while Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are out. The total on this game is still high and both of these defenses are severely banged up. Everett’s target share and red-zone share is respectable enough to warrant the mid-tier price.
Tyler Higbee ($3,700 DK ONLY) – Tight-ends against the Bucs has been a gold mine this year and it won’t stop this week as Matthew Stafford abuses Kupp and Higbee against heavy blitzing, Cover-3 and Cover-4 zone defenses (what Tampa will run).
Hayden Hurst ($3,600 DK / $5,300 FD) – I’m not a big Hayden Hurst guy, but the price is fantastic on DraftKings and the matchup is a favorable one for the Bengals’ tight-end. Carolina has been getting carved up by opposing tight-ends (hell, they brought Kyle Pitts back to life last week) by sticking to their heavy blitz, Cover-3 and Cover-4 zone defenses. Hurst should be in line for an above the baseline target share in Week 9.
Evan Engram ($3,300 DK / $5,200 FD) – Since Week 5, Evan Engram is tied for the lead in NFL tight-end targets! I don’t understand the DraftKings price whatsoever and will likely be rolling out Engram as a core-play, regardless of ownership. In that timeframe, Engram is 4th overall in tight-end routes ran and the thing I like about him the most is his versatility to line up all over the formation (only around 30% of the snaps in-line). Let’s ride!

Honorable Mention: Zach Ertz, Brock Wright or James Mitchell (pure punt plays)

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

Buffalo Bills
Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Bucs
Indianapolis Colts
Washington Commanders
Carolina Panthers

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (Cash Games)

Josh Allen
Travis Etienne Jr.
Deon Jackson
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Josh Palmer

3 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

NFL DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Game by Game Breakdown Week 8

Capper Steve 3 years ago

written by Capper Steve

Well, we are just about halfway through the NFL season here in Week 8 and each game is becoming more and more critical to the league as we move in deeper. As starters begin to wear down and miss time due to injury, their backups slide in to pick up where they left off, and at the same time provide value in DFS. Our projection model is like the Holy Grail on Sunday mornings, it keeps us from needing a Hail Mary to cash in our tickets! Always remember to hop on our Discord chat and tag me @JDiCarlo78 or any of our staff for questions or advice, now let’s break down this Week 8 slate!

Sunday Main Slate 10/30/22

Patriots @ Jets (+2.5) (O/U 40.5)

Patriots

A quarterback competition has erupted in New England thanks to head coach Bill Bellichick losing faith in his 2021 first-round pick Mac Jones after only 3 series on Monday night. Backup QB Bailey Zappe then gets his number called only to end up playing poorly in the second half to lose at home. So what does this mean for DFS? Play it safe and stay clear of the New England pass offense. Stick with the Patriots’ golden goose, running back Rhamondre Stevenson, who has obliterated stat sheets averaging over 20 fantasy points a game in his last three starts. We always do like a defense that gets to pick on Zach Wilson too so that Pats DST is in full effect.

Jets

New York lost Breece Hall for the rest of the season last week to a torn ACL, which will have serious repercussions for this Jets’ run-heavy offense moving forward. The Jets did trade for Jaguars’ 1,000-yard rusher James Robinson this week, but talk has been to limit him until he gets up to speed in the offense. This leaves change-of-pace running back Michael Carter to inherit New York’s backfield against a Patriot’s run defense that forfeited over 200 yards rushing to Chicago on Monday night. And since the Patriots still can’t figure out who to hike the ball, start up the Jets DST too, why not?

Cash: R. Stevenson, M. Carter, Jets DST, Pats DST

GPP: None

Steelers @ Eagles (-10.5) (O/U 43)

Steelers

Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett will see the toughest defense he’s ever laid his young eyes on in Philly this weekend. The Eagles also added All-Pro defensive end Robert Quinn via trade from Chicago this week which should be should be even more pressure on Pickett. Avoid the Steelers like the plague for Week 8.

Eagles

Returning from a bye week at 6-0, the Eagles should close this game out by halftime facing the woeful 2-5 Steelers. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has shown us to be a true leader on the field and his talent has been key to Phila’s success. Use him nude or pair him with an Eagle receiver, and running back Miles Sanders should have a positive game script being favored by double-digits. If you have enough salary left in your builds, the Eagles DST will also be in full effect seeing a rookie quarterback with an absent running game. But beware of a potential blowout, many Eagles may be on the bench in the fourth quarter if it does get out of hand, so don’t go too heavy on Philadelphia.

Cash: J. Hurts, A. Brown, M. Sanders, Eagles DST

GPP: None

Dolphins @ Lions (+3.5) (O/U 51.5)

Dolphins

Fins up in Detroit! Tua and Tyreek will be busy in the Silverdome racking up fantasy points together. The Lions have ranked in the bottom of the barrel in pass coverage (31st in receiving DVOA) and stopping the run (30th in rushing DVOA), which also sets up Raheem Mostert nicely as did Zeke last weekend in Dallas.

Lions

Detroit will need to keep up the high pace of Miami, which shouldn’t be a big deal so long as Amon–Ra and D’Andre Swift are good to go. Quarterback Jared Goff being back at home should perform much better than the road QB imposter. And with his weapons back at full strength, we should see some fireworks against Miami, who also has struggled defensively this year (28th in receiving DVOA).

Cash: T. Tagovailoa, T. Hill, A. St. Brown, R. Mostert

GPP: D. Swift, J. Waddle

Cardinals @ Vikings (-3.5) (O/U 49)

Cardinals

Kyler Murray will look to repeat his performance from the last time he played Minnesota throwing for 400 yards and 4 total touchdowns, 1 of them scurried in himself. Now with his main man DeAndre Hopkins back from suspension, anything is possible. The duo from the desert have not missed a beat over the lost time, hooking up on 10 of 14 targets for 103 yards last week. The Vikings are no stranger to getting beat by the pass, as they rank the fifth-worst in air yards allowed per game.

Vikings

The Cardinals have been like a red-headed stepson when it comes to its secondary and our projection model, and this week their punching bag Marco Wilson gets to try and contain Justin Jefferson. Adam Thielen will get a sprinkle of Wilson’s coverage too, but the one position Arizona completely ignores is the tight end. Irv Smith is sitting pretty this weekend at $3,500 DraftKings/$5,000 FanDuel. Don’t forget about Cousins, as he will be the guy to get these fellas the pigskin.

Cash: K. Murray, D. Hopkins, J. Jefferson

GPP: A. Thielen, I. Smith, K. Cousins

Panthers @ Falcons (-4) (O/U 41)

Panthers

Last week Carolina handed the Bucs and Tom Brady possibly the worst loss of his career, holding them to a single field goal. The team has been reborn since star running back Christian McCaffrey, guys like DJ Moore have finally resurfaced in DFS. Moore’s line of 7 REC/69 YDS/1 TD of last week can be even better in Atlanta (32nd DVOA to receivers). Even more, news broke on Friday as running back Chuba Hubbard will sit out with an ankle, leaving the backfield to D’Onta Foreman. The Panther lead back for Week 8 still has some pep in his step, rushing for 168 yards against Tampa.

Falcons

The Falcons’ run-first, slow-pace offense has been grinding it out in the trenches all season, and at the same time destroying its roster in fantasy value. Kyle Pitts…who? The one shining star here is rookie Drake London, who also is beginning to feel the effects of the scheme. You can’t really trust any of Atlanta’s assets in cash, use them in tournaments only…which would only be London for me.

Cash: DJ Moore

GPP: D. London, D. Foreman

Bears @ Cowboys (-9.5) (O/U 42.5)

Bears

Chicago is flying high on a short week with their upset win in New England. If they want to keep the ball rolling, they must stick to the run game. The Bears will continue the one-two punch of Montgomery and Herbert in the run game, with quarterback Justin Fields too. The Cowboys will be looking to pounce on every snap, so Fields will need to make the right decisions. Chicago’s three-headed monster ran for 200 yards as a unit against the Patriots, they’ll keep that playbook this week.

Cowboys

After scoring two touchdowns hosting the Lions last week, Zeke’s knee will keep him sidelined this weekend. Tony Pollard is a lay-up, so sleep like a baby in one of your RB slots for Week 8. The Bears have been generous to opposing running backs, allowing a healthy double-digit fantasy score in 6 of 7 weeks.

Cash: T. Pollard

GPP: J. Fields, D. Montgomery

Raiders @ Saints (+1.5) (O/U 49.5)

Raiders

The flu bug bit a bunch of players for Vegas this week including Davonte Adams, keeping them out of practice up until Friday. New Orleans once again is without shutdown corner Marshon Lattimore, so all of Vegas’ receivers will eat, especially Adams. For some value on this slate, Mack Hollins ($4,500 DraftKings/$5,600 FanDuel) has taken a liking to Derek Carr, seeing 366 total snaps, and could eat here also in the “Big Easy”.

Saints

Whether it’s Andy Dalton or Jameis Winston at quarterback, the ball has been funneled to rookie stud Chris Olave. Fellow receivers Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry are out again, so Olave is a lock once more, averaging close to 17 DK points per game. Keep in mind if Vegas does decide to put some pressure on Dalton, Kamara can also be effective as a PPR machine on Sunday.

Cash: D. Adams, C. Olave

GPP: M. Hollins, A. Kamara

Titans @ Texans (+2) (O/U 40.5)

Titans

I’ll keep writing this every week if I have to, this team goes where Derrick Henry goes…and in Houston, it could get ugly this weekend. The Texans are dead last against the run, so one of the best there is in Henry may be worth paying up for at running back.

Texans

If and when Houston can get the ball on offense, they will be throwing it at one of the weakest secondaries in the league (31st in DVOA). Pay attention to the injury news for Houston about Nico Collins. If he is out (has missed practice all week) slide in Phillip Dorsett ($3,200 DraftKings/$5,300 FanDuel) for huge savings at wideout.

Cash: D. Henry

GPP: N. Collins

Giants @ Seahawks (-3) (O/U 44.5)

Giants

At 6-1, New York keeps making the haters shake their heads every week in disbelief. A very sneaky solid defense and Saquon Barkley have been the key to success this year. In what looks to be a soggy afternoon in Seattle, use them both. Watch out but the Giants may have one decent receiver rookie Wandale Robinson, who will see a great matchup against Seattle’s Coby Bryant.

Seahawks

It looks like DK Metcalf is not suiting up this week, and if he does, we will still stay away. Mr. Lockett too, this Giants’ defense has been a problem to quarterbacks and receivers all year ( averaging 211 yards passing per game allowed) The run defense is a tale of two cities, ranked 28th and allowing 144 yards per game. Seahawks rookie first-round pick Kenneth Walker is in line for a huge day, and still way too cheap on DraftKings ($6,500).

Cash: S. Barkley, K. Walker

GPP: Giants DST, W. Robinson

Commanders @ Colts (-2.5) (O/U 39.5)

Commanders

The Colts will be rolling out quarterback Sam Ehlinger to make his first career start, which makes the Commander defense pretty enticing. Priced affordably ($2,600 DraftKings/$3,400 FanDuel), they’re worth a shot in order to save up and possibly smash if Ehlinger slips up.

Colts

The flip side of Ehlinger is how we can have a quarterback for minimum value ($4,000 DraftKings/$6,000 FanDuel) who has a great chance to pay off his salary and go nuts on a terrible Commanders secondary. Play him naked, since there is no real history of who he will favor. But from the buzz I’ve heard over the news sites, he will be a much more mobile quarterback than Matt Ryan.

Cash: S. Ehlinger

GPP: Commander DST

Niners @ Rams (+1.5) (O/U 43)

Niners

Wide-back Deebo Samuel news broke Friday that he will sit this one out, which would beef up the target share for every other Niner. CMC is still way too expensive to trust yet in this new offense, especially against a stingy LA run defense. Jimmy G will have to go to battle with his new shoulder on the road, the next men up are Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. The field will be elsewhere on the slate so these two will fit nicer in a GPP.

Rams

If you have to pay up, then your man is Cooper Kupp. He’s approaching $10,000 on both formats so it may be wise to avoid Kupp until he becomes a little cheaper. Other than Kupp, Matt Stafford looks to tight end, Tyler Higbee, a ton compared to the rest of the team (34 REC/50 TGTS). Lastly, Deebo out of the mix could spell trouble for Jimmy G and the Niners’ banged-up offensive line. The Rams DST would be an under-the-radar play considering the sacks and fumbles that may occur if the Niners can’t get open.

Cash: C. Kupp, T. Higbee

GPP: G. Kittle, B. Aiyuk, Rams DST

Cash Core 4

J. Hurts/D. Henry/T. Hill/T. Higbee

GPP Core 4

K. Murray/D. Foreman/A. St. Brown/I. Smith

Stacks

J. Hurts/A. Brown; K. Murray/D. Hopkins; T. Tagovailoa/T. Hill/R. Mostert; D. Carr/D. Adams

K. Cousins/J. Jefferson/I. Smith

Thanks for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 8. You can reach me on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me Be sure to sign up for an ALL-ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts and me talking plays across every sport.

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

NFL DFS Week 8: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

brgrewe@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Back by popular demand is the combination article for Week 8 NFL DFS. As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Let’s get after it!

*Please note that just because a player is listed as a cash game option, DOES NOT mean they’re not in play for NFL DFS GPP lineups. I love to get a mixture of both in my GPP builds.

NFL DFS Cash Game Quarterbacks:

Jalen Hurts ($8,300 DK / $9,200 FD) – without question the clear QB1 on this slate, but it comes at a significant cost. Usually, I take the route of the cant-miss quarterback, but I don’t love how expensive Jalen Hurts is in what should be a blowout atmosphere for the double-digit favorite Philadelphia Eagles.
Tua Tagovailoa ($6,200 DK / $7,700 FD) – the mid-tier, high-upside option going up against the Detroit Lions (31st in pass defense DVOA) in a dome.
Sam Ehlinger ($4,000 DK ONLY) – a stone minimum of $4,000 for a quarterback is just too hard to pass up, especially when the ownership is going to be there.

Honorable Mention: Daniel Jones

GPP Favorites:

Kyler Murray ($7,500 DK / $8,200 FD) – likely the only quarterback with upside that is close to a Jalen Hurts ceiling game. We haven’t seen it yet, but the AETY Model expects this to be an up-tempo shootout with a lot of fantasy fireworks. Keep an eye out for the offensive line injury report as they’re quite banged up right now.
Kirk Cousins ($6,100 DK / $7,800 FD) – on the other side of Kyler Murray is Kirk Cousins. If you have not got the theme of the AETY Model this year, it absolutely loves picking on the Arizona secondary. Cousins will be the forgotten child as he’s priced right next to Tua Tagovailoa and he can pay dividends this week if this game shoots out.

Honorable Mention: Jared Goff, Dak Prescott

NFL DFS Running Backs (Full-Player Pool, GPP & Cash):

Derrick Henry ($8,400 DK / $10,000 FD) – hard to avoid a top-tier running back against the Houston Texans right now. Likely a pass for me on FanDuel but will get my exposure on DraftKings where Henry is much more affordable for NFL DFS lineups.
Saquon Barkley ($8,100 DK / $9,500 FD)
Alvin Kamara ($7,100 DK / $7,800 FD) – low-key a fantastic matchup for Kamara at home against the Raiders’ defense who grade 20th in run defense DVOA and 23rd in DVOA against opposing running backs. The Raiders will likely show a decent bit of Cover-2 and bring a lot of blitz… that’s where Alvin Kamara gets targeted at a high-clip (on top of a very high receiving baseline).
Kenneth Walker III ($6,500 DK / $8,400 FD) – still way too cheap on DraftKings for the expected usage and matchup against the Giants’ 30th ranked run defense (DVOA).
Tony Pollard ($6,100 DK / $6,300 FD) – no Ezekiel Elliott, take the free square on the best value running back this week.
Raheem Mostert ($5,900 DK / $6,800 FD) – starting to get a full, RB1 workload and a matchup against the Detroit Lions (29th in run defense DVOA). Just like last week when we played Elliott in this spot, there is significant multiple touchdown equity against this defense.

Honorable Mention: Miles Sanders (GPP only), D’Onta Foreman (Hubbard is OUT, cheap plug and play)

NFL DFS Cash Game Wide Receivers

Davante Adams ($8,600 DK / $8,500 FD) – likely no Lattimore again this week (as if it matters for Davante Adams anyways).
Tyreek Hill ($8,500 DK / $8,700 FD) – Tyreek will be the nut-chalk wide receiver on this slate and for good reason. This is an absolute smash spot, but I do have my concerns with Detroit’s ability to keep up the pace. If they can, this will be a back-and-forth, fantasy gold NFL DFS matchup.
DeAndre Hopkins ($7,400 DK / $7,900 FD) – there is so many great wide receivers on this slate. I have DeAndre Hopkins with as high of an expected target share as anyone on this slate and the price is fantastic. With Hopkins running most of his routes on the inside, he’ll have the opportunity to feast on Chandon Sullivan.
Chris Olave ($6,000 DK / $6,900 FD) – way too cheap and in a fantastic matchup.
DJ Moore ($5,300 DK / $6,200 FD) – similar to Chris Olave, way too cheap for the wide receiver with the highest team target-share over the past two weeks. A.J. Terrell is going to miss this game and that will open up a lot for DJ Moore. The pace of this game will be gross, so temper expectations a bit for NFL DFS GPP lineups although the value still warrants a roster spot.

Honorable Mention: Garrett Wilson, Wan’Dale Robinson, Tyler Lockett

GPP Favorites:

Justin Jefferson ($9,100 DK / $9,000 FD) – Mr. Wilson! The weekly pick-on Marco Wilson matchup… this time, it’s the best wide receiver in the NFL. Adam Thielen will also get a lot of Marco as well and I love the discount there.
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($6,900 DK / $7,200 FD)
Jaylen Waddle ($6,700 DK / $7,800 FD)
Phillip Dorsett ($3,200 DK / $5,300 FD) – Dorsett will be an under-the-radar core play for me in GPP lineups (if Nico Collins is ruled out). I love attacking the Titans’ secondary and Dorsett is playing to make a name for himself after he’s disappeared from the league in recent history. As long as the Titans can score at will and King Henry runs wild, Dorsett and the Texans offense will have to abandon the running game early, and he’ll line up as the X wide receiver. It’s very likely to disappoint, but if he can find a way to get 10+ points, he’ll be a 2% owned, NFL DFS salary relief savior.

Honorable Mention: A.J. Brown, Cooper Kupp, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup

NFL DFS Tight-Ends (Full-Player Pool, GPP & Cash):

Zach Ertz ($5,100 DK / $6,000 FD)
T.J. Hockenson ($4,900 DK / $6,300 FD)
Pat Freiermuth ($3,900 DK / $5,700 FD)
Irv Smith ($3,500 DK / $5,000 FD)
Juwan Johnson ($3,200 DK / $5,200 FD)

Honorable Mention: George Kittle, Cole Kmet, Tyler Higbee

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams

Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
New England Patriots
New York Jets
Los Angeles Rams
Washington Commanders

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (Cash Games)

Tony Pollard
Chris Olave
DJ Moore
Kenneth Walker
DeAndre Hopkins

3 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

NFL DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Game by Game Breakdown Week 7

Capper Steve 3 years ago

written by Capper Steve

Upset after upset, there were a few games to put in the back of our heads from Week 6. That’s why we need to stick to our 50/50s in order to keep our bankrolls afloat. But Week 6’s curveballs did not stop one of our subscribers from taking down a GPP for $3K... congrats again you know who you are! Josh Allen, Stef Diggs, Kelce, and Andrews all got us there. Stick to Stix’s projection model, it works and answers most of your questions on who to start up until kickoff. So we have another 11-game slate but with some real bangers on bye…Buffalo and Phila, are two of the best rosters for fantasy. The Vikes and Rams are off too, so no Kupp or JJ this week either. But we got this, still plenty of paths to victory this week! Keep in mind I’m always on our Discord chat guys, just tag me @JDiCarlo78#5965 for any questions about your lineup builds. Now let’s break down this Week 7 slate!

Sunday Main Slate 10/23/22

Giants @ Jaguars (-3) (O/U 42)

Giants

New York at an astounding 5-1 record, has dominated in the clutch with their defense and utilized their most dynamic weapon when the ball is in his hands. Wink Martindale loves to play man-to-man and blitz a ton, we shall see how Lawrence reacts to the pressure. As for Saquon Barkley, he continues to put the G-men on his back from week to week averaging over 20 fantasy points per game. The model is all over QB Daniel Jones in this spot. His price tag has dropped, but the upside is there for potential rushing yards.

Jaguars

Christian Kirk has been quiet in the past few weeks but gets a nice matchup if he can line up on the inside. The veteran and number-one option for Trevor Lawrence could easily outmaneuver Giants’ slot corner Adoree’ Jackson and get his rocks off this weekend.

Cash: S. Barkley, C. Kirk

GPP: Giants DST, D. Jones

Packers @ Commanders (+4.5) (O/U 41.5)

Packers

Green Bay is desperate for a win after losing two straight as heavy favorites. In order to get back in the win column, Rodgers will need to throw it into that gross Commanders’ secondary. Allen Lazard has hooked up with the future Hall of Famer 4 times in the endzone already and may add more touchdowns in D.C. if they can focus on their weakness at secondary (26th in DVOA).

Commanders

With Carson Wentz out for 4-6 weeks, Taylor Heinicke will be back under center again for Washington. He’s got experience as a starter since 2020 but facing a Packer team hungry for a win could spell trouble for him against a top defense in the league. Head Coach Ron Rivera has made it loud and clear to get rookie Bryan Robinson plenty of touches, and the Packers are a team that is best to run on (Breece Hall last week) who are (21st in DVOA).

Cash: A. Lazard, Packers DST

GPP: A. Rodgers, B. Robinson

Lions @ Cowboys (-7) (O/U 49)

Lions

Detroit returning from a bye week will hopefully keep the fantasy output consistent in Dallas. Stud receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown has been practicing after twisting an ankle and looks to be on pace to play Sunday, but running back D’Andre Swift is still a no-show this week. No sweat, Jamaal Williams (16 FPTS./Game) has filled in perfectly and will still be force-fed the rock if Swift can’t suit up. Goff as always will be chasing a lead, but with the pressure from this Dallas front line and the constant blitzing of Micah Parsons, we should stay clear.

Cowboys

Welcome back Dak! Finally, since Week One we may see some more of the offense in Dallas. Backup Cooper Rush did manage his way to a 4-1 record and could’ve been giving Prescott goosebumps about losing his job. He’ll look to solidify himself again on Sunday against the most generous of opponents (30th in DVOA). Of course, Lamb and Zeke are good too this week, slide them right in your lineups.

Cash: D. Prescott, E, Elliot, C. Lamb, A. St. Brown, J. Williams

GPP:

Falcons @ Bengals (-6.5) (O/U 47)

Falcons

Atlanta even with its shaky defense still puts up a good fight and has brought most of its games down to the final snap. But when they have the ball, the Falcons revolve around their first-round pick Drake London. Though he’s tapered off a little in receptions, he should see some Eli Apple who has been picked on by plenty of the elite receivers around the league. Mariota has been efficient as of late, rushing for 111 yards in his last two games with a rushing touchdown. If he can keep it up this week he should have a great ROI of 3X.

Bengals

Burrow and Chase smashed last weekend in their return back home to where they started out in Louisiana combining for a total of 70 FPTS against the Saints. They can have a repeat performance with another nice matchup on paper at home, Atlanta we know has been a stomping ground for quarterbacks and receivers this year. Running back Joe Mixon has also been in the mix of the offense putting up double-digit fantasy points on a weekly basis, if the game script stays positive, Mixon will feast.

Cash: J. Burrow, J. Chase, J. Mixon, D. London

GPP: M. Mariota, Falcons DST

Bucs @ Panthers (+11) (O/U 40)

Bucs

The GOAT was back in the news this week squashing rumors of him retiring mid-season. The 45-year-old Brady may have to hang up his cleats if he can’t drop the hammer on Carolina, who just dealt their number one offensive threat, Christian McCaffrey, to the Niners. All the key weapons are in play for Tampa against a Panther team clearly headed to the top of the draft order. We all know Brady and what he does best, winning and proving the haters wrong. Expect a big game, in Brady’s 4 career games against Carolina the Bucs have scored 30 plus points.

Panthers

Only a few days after dealing wide receiver Robbie Anderson, out goes their best player in McCaffrey to San Fransisco for a cluster of draft picks. It’s obvious now there is a huge void in the Panther offense which leaves the last man standing as DJ Moore. I’m only interested in any opposing defenses at this point in the season for Carolina, and this week is the Bucs. But if you’re feeling lucky take a shot on Moore, as the interim Carolina head coach Steve Wilks came out publicly stating that the team will be built around him moving forward.

Cash: T. Brady, M. Evans, C. Godwin, L. Fournette, Bucs DST

GPP: D. Moore

Browns @ Ravens (-6.5) (O/U 45.5)

Browns

Cleveland may be behind the eightball here in this division game on the road. Lamar may be letting out some of his frustration on the Browns’ beatable run defense (29th in DVOA). The same can be said of Baltimore’s secondary who has given up one big play to another this year. Donovan Peoples-Jones is the guy to get that deep shot. Kareem Hunt’s pass-catching services could also be needed if the Browns play hurry-up if they do fall behind a wide margin.

Ravens

After lighting it up to begin the season, Jackson has fallen back down to earth scoring less than 20 FPTS in his last 4 games. Well, the dog pound is in town and Jackson could very possibly get himself out of the dog house of his fantasy managers on Sunday. Cleveland allows almost 28 points per game, and Mark Andrews (34 Receptions on 50 Targets) would benefit across the field from Lamar so long as he can suit up and log a practice before Sunday.

Cash: L. Jackson, M. Andrews

GPP: D. Peoples-Jones, K. Hunt

Colts @ Titans (-2.5) (O/U 42.5)

Colts

Matt Ryan off a 389-yard/3 TD game gets another crack at duplicating his performance against the Titans who have the second-worst receiver coverage in the league. It’s hard to trust Ryan to replicate that even with the juicy matchup, but his receivers we can. Pittman has been his go-to alpha and rookie Alec Pierce has built chemistry with the veteran racking up double-digit fantasy points for three straight games.

Titans

The Titans continue to ride the Derrick Henry train on offense, lately having plenty of success. So long as the game is within reach, Henry will keep getting fed the ball and is really the only reliable fantasy asset in Tennessee.

Cash: M. Pittman, D. Henry

GPP: M. Ryan, A. Pierce

Jets @ Broncos (-1) (O/U 38)

Jets

The other over-achieving New York team is at Mile High on Sunday Afternoon. Instead of winning without receivers like the Giants, they win without a quarterback (Zach Wilson). Head Coach Robert Saleh has the Jets literally running on all cylinders behind Breece Hall and Michael Carter. They could very well do some damage in Denver, but not as much as Russell Wilson thus far. New York’s defense has been the highest scoring for fantasy over the past 3 weeks, and to get a crack at one of the most overrated quarterbacks would be a dream come true on Sunday.

Broncos

Where do I begin…Do we really want anything to do with Denver besides the kicker McManus and the defense? Everybody, until we see some better play calling from coach Hackett and decision-making from Russell Wilson… the kitchen is closed. I realize they have the Jets, so we can use that Bronco D and watch them go to work on Zach Wilson.

Update: Russell Wilson Out, Brett Rypien to start at QB

Cash: B. Hall, Broncos DST

GPP: Jets DST

Texans @ Raiders (-7) (O/U 45.5)

Texans

Coach Lovey Smith will continue to ride the hot hand with rookie running back Dameon Pierce. Rushing a solid 5.7 yards per carry, Pierce plows through defensive lines and keeps the pressure off quarterback Davis Mills. The Texan running game has opened doors for its young receivers, like Nico Collins. A mear ($4,100 DraftKings/$5,600 FanDuel) could get you double-digit fantasy points which he’s had for his last two starts.

Raiders

Tight end Darren Waller will sit out coming off a bye week, and Hunter Renfrow and Mack Hollins are questionable going into the weekend. This news just gets us even more excited for the amount of volume for Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs, who will be a knockout one-two punch to the exploitable Houston defense (32nd in DVOA in rushing) (Adams gets coverage from rookie Derrick Stingley Jr.).

Cash: D. Adams, J. Jacobs

GPP: D. Pierce, N. Collins, M. Hollins

Chiefs @ Niners (+2.5) (O/U 48.5)

Chiefs

Don’t let that little red OPR Rank number scare you away from drafting any Chiefs this Sunday. San Fran is still burdened by injuries to their defensive starters. Even if they were all 100 percent, who cares it’s Kansas City, and Mahomes will throw it 50 times if he has to. The Niners are in fact tough on opposing running backs, so beware of CEH. Kelce needs no explanation, he’s a lock. It’s finding which Chief receiver will go off each week. The Model is loving some MVS…when in doubt check the analytics.

Niners

San Fransisco pushed their chips all in this week trading for Christian McCaffrey on Thursday. This move puts them in conversations for the Super Bowl by acquiring the caliber of player in McCaffrey. He will suit up Sunday against the Chiefs as of now, but we may not want to buy in too soon at his current price tag unknowingly his role yet. Jimmy G and Deebo I would bet are the safest pieces here, maybe Kittle too (if the Chiefs line up in a lot of Cover 4, that would open up the middle of the field).

Cash: P. Mahomes, T. Kelce, D. Samuel

GPP: J. Garoppolo, G. Kittle

Seahawks @ Chargers (-6) (O/U 51)

Seahawks

Geno and the crew are perceived to be in another shoot-out with a high-point total and a 6-point dog. He unexpectedly stunk it up on us last week with a 14-point downer, but in another negative game script, he will have to keep up the pace, peppering his favorite receiver DK Metcalf (50 targets, leads the team). Kenneth Walker was excellent against Arizona (110 total yards/1 TD) and will continue to get better, LA is a disgusting third worst defending the run.

Chargers

Gunslinger quarterback Justin Herbert may get his main man Keenan Allen back and boy did he miss him. Herbert has not hit the 20 fantasy point mark since Week 4 and was held to no touchdown passes last week. Allen is a true game-time decision but is “hoping” to play. Kennan in the rotation spreads out the middle of the field opposite Mike Williams and creates havoc for opposing defenses across the middle. Thankfully Austin Ekeler has been on fire and picking up the slack and keeping the Chargers’ head above water. He also will draw the 26th-ranked fantasy run defense, so get him in if you can, especially if Allen can’t play.

Cash: J. Herbert, K. Allen (if he plays), A. Ekeler, K. Walker III, M. Williams

GPP: G. Smith, D. Metcalf

Cash Core 4

J. Herbert/J. Jacobs/D. Samuel/T. Kelce

GPP Core 4

P. Mahomes/E. Elliot/A. St. Brown/G. Kittle

Stacks

D. Prescott, C. Lamb, E. Elliot/J. Herbert, K. Allen, A. Ekeler/P. Mahomes, T. Kelce/ M. Ryan, A. Pierce, M. Pittman

J. Garoppolo, D. Samuel, G. Kittle/T. Brady, M. Evans, C. Godwin, L. Fournette, C. Otton

Thank you for reading my NFL DFS Game by Game Breakdown for Week 7. You can reach me on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78 or in our Discord tag me @JDiCarlo78. Be sure to sign up for an ALL-ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport. I can’t believe we are already in Week 7, let’s stay focused and keep getting richer!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 7: Stix Picks (Cash and GPP)

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

After a monster Week 6, we’re right back in the saddle for a very spread out Week 7 NFL DFS slate. Due to another week-long work trip, I’ll keep this week’s NFL DFS Cash Game article a bit more brief, and add my GPP plays as well. We can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up).

NFL DFS Cash Game Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson ($8,000 DK / $8,800 FD) – highest floor, highest ceiling, and the highest ownership on the slate.
Justin Herbert ($7,200 DK / $8,100 FD) – best matchup on the slate for a quarterback who will throw it 40 times a game. I’m truly only interested if Keenan Allen is IN, but he’s safe enough for cash either way.
Joe Burrow ($6,900 DK / $8,300 FD) – fantastic price on DraftKings and a core play for me in all formats of NFL DFS lineups this week. Usually, I do not love playing stacks against the Falcons’ insanely slow pace of play, but the Bengals are extremely pass-heavy lately and letting Burrow do damage behind an improving offensive line.
Tom Brady ($6,300 DK / $7,400 FD)

GPP Favorites:

Aaron Rodgers ($6,000 DK / $7,100 FD) – 2% owned Rodgers is a bit scary as this offense has been a train-wreck for most of 2022, but the AETY Model seems to believe this is an absolute blow-up spot for the Packers’ offense on the road against a banged-up and overall struggling Washington secondary.
Patrick Mahomes ($7,800 DK / $8,500 FD) – outside of Lamar Jackson, highest floor and highest ceiling on the slate at 5% ownership.

NFL DFS Cash Game Running Backs

Austin Ekeler ($8,300 DK / $9,500 FD)
Josh Jacobs ($6,500 DK / $8,600 FD) – highest owned running back on the slate. Ride the ownership wave in cash and I’m fine if you play him in NFL DFS GPP lineups due to the fantastic matchup and top-tier usage.
Kenneth Walker ($5,800 DK / $7,300 FD) – free square on DraftKings and like Josh Jacobs, the ownership will be through the roof. In this matchup and high-total game environment, he’s a fine play in all formats.
Joe Mixon ($7,000 DK / $7,100 FD) – lock play in cash on FanDuel, but certainly in play on DraftKings as well. The Bengals have a 27-point implied team total, you will want exposure to this offense.
Breece Hall ($6,200 DK / $7,600 FD)

GPP Favorites:

Ezekiel Elliott ($6,000 DK / $6,900 FD) – surprisingly high usage lately and a smash matchup with significant multiple-touchdown upside against the Lions’ 31st ranked run defense (DVOA). Like Mixon, the Cowboys implied team total is the highest on this slate. Get exposure somewhere!
Leonard Fournette ($7,700 DK / $8,400 FD)
Nick Chubb ($8,000 DK / $8,900 FD)

NFL DFS Cash Game Wide Receivers

CeeDee Lamb ($6,800 DK / $7,700 FD)
Deebo Samuel ($7,600 DK / $7,700 FD)
Davante Adams ($8,700 DK / $8,600 FD)
Tyler Lockett ($5,800 DK / $6,800 FD)
Romeo Doubs ($5,000 DK / $5,800 FD) – the cheap punt-play wide receiver chalk on the slate.

GPP Favorites:

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,100 DK / $7,500 FD) – 10% ownership projection in a game where the Lions are playing catchup… not to mention the matchup against Jourdan Lewis on the inside.
Tee Higgins ($6,400 DK / $7,100 FD) – the Bengals double stack is always in play but I love the matchup for Higgins against the Falcons’ cover-3 defense.
Allen Lazard ($6,100 DK / $6,600 FD) – the AETY Model’s #4 matchup for any wide receiver on this slate and we’re getting an insane discount.
Michael Gallup ($5,100 DK / $6,100 FD) – cheap exposure to this Dallas offense. Excellent matchup for Gallup against this horrific Lions’ secondary.
Alec Pierce ($4,600 DK / $6,100 FD) – the number 5 matchup for opposing wide receivers according to the AETY Model. If there’s any sniff of an up-tempo pace, Pierce will absolutely destroy his value on DraftKings.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($4,400 DK / $5,600 FD) – shout-out to Juju Smith-Schuster for the monster output last week for us while chalk MVS disappointed the field. This week, I’m fine with going all the way down to Valdes-Scantling against the 49ers Cover-4 and Cover-3 defensive looks. This is a matchup he should thrive in.

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

Travis Kelce ($8,000 DK / $8,300 FD)
Mark Andrews ($7,400 DK / $8,500 FD)
Greg Dulcich ($2,500 DK / $4,000 FD) – in cash games, take the free square on the punt tight-end unless you can pay up for one of the two above. Dulcich will be 60% owned in NFL DFS cash game contests.
Foster Moreau – with Russell Wilson OUT, I’m moving the pay-down option to Moreau,

GPP Favorites:

George Kittle ($5,300 DK / $6,600 FD) – if Trent Williams is IN, this matchup against Kansas City should offer a coming out party for all George Kittle fantasy managers. This is the week against the blitz-heavy, Cover-4 Chiefs’ defense.
Robert Tonyan ($4,100 DK / $5,500 FD)
Evan Engram ($3,300 DK / $5,200 FD)

NFL DFS Cash Game Defense/Special Teams

Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts
New York Jets

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (Cash Games)

Tom Brady
Josh Jacobs
Kenneth Walker
CeeDee Lamb
Foster Moreau

3 years ago 0 comments

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Stix Picks: Week 6 NFL DFS GPP

StixPicks 3 years ago

written by StixPicks

To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive!” For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 6 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice before building your NFL DFS GPP lineups. Similar to the cash article, I’ll keep this article more brief and discuss in further detail in Discord due to a week of travel.

If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a potential splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat (all of which are in the cash game article).

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

It’s a tough week to be contrarian in my opinion. The pay-up for Josh Allen is damn-near bulletproof, while the value in Geno Smith against the Cardinals’ defense is also a fantastic spot. I’m just not confident there is much value getting different at the quarterback position this week. If I’m not using Allen or Smith, here’s where I’ll be:

Lamar Jackson (10% ownership projection)- Only true quarterback on the slate who can regularly push the upside of a Josh Allen ceiling game. Stack Options: Mark Andrews, Devin Duvernay, JK Dobbins
Kyler Murray (5% ownership projection) – Similar situation as Lamar Jackson but involved in a game with a significant higher total and a Seattle defense that grades 31st in overall Defense DVOA. Stack Options: Marquise Brown, Zach Ertz, Rondale Moore, Eno Benjamin
Tom Brady (10% ownership projection) – Pittsburgh’s secondary is depleted and you know what you’re getting with Brady on a weekly basis (40+ pass attempts) for your NFL DFS GPP lineups. If anyone is going to make up the extra rushing fantasy points of Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Kyler Murray, it’s Tom Brady with the 4 passing touchdown upside. Stack Options: Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Leonard Fournette, Cameron Brate

Honorable Mention: Aaron Rodgers

NFL DFS GPP Running Backs

The running back position is where I truly believe we can get different. Yes, the value on Eno Benjamin is arguably impossible to pass up, but do we really need to go all in on 40% owned Rhamondre Stevenson, Kenneth Walker, and Darrell Henderson? Maybe your answer to that question is yes… just get different elsewhere. If you’re trying to get different at running back, here are the AETY Model options:

Nick Chubb (5% ownership projection) – the clear RB1 if you’re paying up. New England will likely scheme to slow him down, but their run defense has been brutal all year long. It’s Nick Chubb.
Leonard Fournette (10% ownership projection)
Devin Singletary (8% ownership projection) – Probably my favorite NFL DFS GPP running back on the slate. Clear leverage off of the Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs chalk stack and in a fantastic matchup against the blitz-heavy and Cover-4 Kansas City defense. There will be plenty of action in the flats this weekend for Devin Singletary but if he can get in the box, he could be a slate changing play.
JK Dobbins (1% ownership projection) – Priced right there with the Kenneth Walker and Darrell Henderson’s of the world with just as much touchdown equity (if not more). There is certainly risk to playing Dobbins as the snap share is always going to be questionable, but the AETY Model loves this spot for Dobbins against a bottom-8 run defense in the Giants.

Honorable Mention: Breece Hall, Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon

NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers

Everyone from the Cash Game Checkdown is in play for your NFL DFS GPP builds. Similar to the Quarterback position, sometimes great plays are just great plays. Here are some of the others I’ll be taking a look at to get different in my builds:

Cooper Kupp (10% ownership projection) – 10% Cooper Kupp is all we need to say.
Ja’Maar Chase (8% ownership projection) – No Tee Higgins. No Marshon Lattimore. Significantly less ownership with just as much upside as Stefon Diggs for $500 less on DraftKings.
Marquise Brown (5% ownership projection) – As everyone plays the Eno Benjamin, Zach Ertz, and Rondale Moore value, the wide receiver with the best matchup on the slate and SECOND in the NFL in targets is going unowned in NFL DFS GPP contests. Marquise Brown is a priority play for me in Week 6.
Mike Evans (5% ownership projection) – Slate breaking upside in this matchup against the Steelers. The big plays will be there on Sunday for Mike Evans and the ownership will solely go to Chris Godwin.
DK Metcalf (15% ownership projection) – Not under the radar by any means, but he’s damn-near a must-play on FanDuel and a perfect leverage pivot off of Tyler Lockett chalk week. Metcalf has 50% of the Seattle red-zone targets so far this season… A big game is coming.
Devin Duvernay (2% ownership) – Loved the usage last week while Bateman was out with an injury. Bateman is out again this week leaving a fantastic matchup on the inside of this Giants’ secondary for the swiss army knife of Devin Duvernay.
Mecole Hardman (1% ownership) – My typical Mecole Hardman love but this is a fantastic buy-low spot as the Chiefs will likely be chasing points in this back-and-forth matchup against the Bills. I don’t really love any Chiefs’ wideout this week, so I don’t hate going the cheap route with a 1% Hardman.

Honorable Mention: JuJu Smith-Schuster, Allen Lazard, Wan’Dale Robinson

NFL DFS GPP Tight-Ends

Travis Kelce (10% ownership projection)
Mark Andrews (12% ownership projection)
Zach Ertz (8% ownership projection)
Dawson Knox (5% ownership projection) – Cheapest stack option for Josh Allen and a solid matchup against the zone blitz defense of the Chiefs. A very low floor, but a nice salary saving upside option for NFL DFS GPP lineups.

3 years ago 0 comments

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