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New York Mets

The MLB DFS Stacks and Hitting Picks Of Destiny For September 7

5 years ago

written by

This Sunday September 7th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

Stacks

Houston Astros

The Astros face Yusei Kikuchi (L) who has a 5.36 ERA and seems to be losing some control lately. In his last two starts he has only struck out two in nine innings. He has faced the Astros twice this season and given up a total of nine runs while not getting past the fifth inning in either contest. The Astros look to be in a prime MLB DFS spot to get to Kikuchi early again tonight. Statistacally the best bats are Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman and Yuli Gurriel. I break down each of my favorite bats below.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves take on the Washington Nationals and Austin Voth tonight. The Nats are not comfortable extending Voth and has already said he is not going past the fifth inning (if he makes it there). Then the Braves get to go against the Nationals bullpen for the next four innings. The Braves are hot again, winning 16 of their last 18, and I don’t see that slowing down tonight. Best MLB DFS bats are Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies.

Oakland A’s

Oakland really should give Zimmerman a lot of trouble tonight. They truly do have elite bats. Zimmerman has a 6.03 ERA. While he has been serviceable lately, by only giving two runs in each of his last three contests, he can also implode. I am really like what I am seeing from the A’s bats lately and if they roll out the right lineup, in the right order, then there should be fireworks. Oakland is trying to hang in this playoff hunt. Give me Mark Cahna, Matt Olsen, Matt Chapman, Marcus Semien and Jurickson Profar for MLB DFS.

L.A. Dodgers

Tonight’s MLB DFS theme is stacking hot bats vs below average pitchers. The elite Dodgers get to face Tyler Beede after a disappointing loss Friday night. Beede has a 5.61 ERA and has given up at least one run in 19 of his 20 starts. The Dodgers get some redemption tonight and lay it on thick in what appears to be greatMLB DFS weather in Southern California. Joe Pederson, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy and the Fresh Prince.

Honorable Mention: Mets

Catcher: Will Smith ($3,000 FD) has 10 homers since getting called up in the bigs and bats .456 ISO/.439 vs righties (like Tyler Beede) this season. Last night Will Smith struck out to another Giants reliever named Will Smith with stranding a man on in the ninth and ending the game for the Dodgers by being down one run. Tonight he gets his redemption and makes Uncle Phil proud.

Catcher Pivot: Tyler Flowers

First Base: Freddie Freeman ($3,900 FD) is in a fantastic MLB DFS spot. He hits to a .302 ISO/.432 wOBA this year with 30 home runs. He bats vs Austin Voth, in what will be a limited appearance before the Nats bullpen comes in to attempt to limit damage. Freeman hasn’t homered in four games and has let the rest of the Braves to the majority of the damage. Tonight he should pull his weight and hopefully hit one in the Chop House.

First Base Pivot: Pete Alonso; Yuli Gurriel

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,200 FD) ranks as the best bat on the Astros for me tonight. He crushes lefties and Kikuchi shouldn’t be much competition for the former MVP. He swings to a .378 ISO/.468 wOBA on the season vs southpaws and has multiple hits in his last two games. When Altuve gets hot, you play him in MLB DFS.

Second Base Pivot: Max Muncy; Ozzie Albies; Jurickson Profar

Third Base: Matt Chapman ($3,800 FD) has 21 homers this season vs right handed pitching. The Oakland core is lethal and if they can get this lineup turning over I expect big things. Chapman hits at a .249 ISO/.418 wOBA. Chapman usually doesn’t put up a goose egg in MLB DFS. I expect him to get on the base a couple times at minimum, but I am playing him because he should be able to get one in the bleachers tonight.

Third Base Pivot: Josh Donaldson (HOT)

Shortstop: Alex Bregman ($4,400 FD) is on a tear right now. He has scored 27.9,13,21.7,18.5, 12.5 and 19.2 FanDuel points in his last six contests. He is hitting at a .333 ISO/.440 wOBA vs lefties with 11 home runs. Things are not going to get any harder for him once a right handed pitcher comes in after Kikuchi either. Don’t overthink him, play the hot bat in one of my favorite MLB DFS stacks.

Shortstop Pivots: Marcus Semien; Ahmed Rosario

Outfield: Yordan Alvarez ($4,200 FD) is another Astro I love. With the second most home runs on the team vs lefties Alvarez will be making my main lineup. He swings to a .350 ISO/ .411 wOBA and will be in the sweet spot of the Houston lineup. He will have the opportunity to get some RBIs as well and have the back of the Astros lineup push him around the bases. Very safe.

Outfield: Cody Bellinger ($4,600 FD) is the most expensive outfielder today but has a fantastic matchup vs Tyler Beede. I will do my best to get him in, and with some cheaper pitching options today, I think it is doable. He swings to a .343 ISO/.441 wOBA this season and is of course always a home run threat. You need that from him tonight if you pay up. Joc Pederson is a great play as well. I rank them 1A and 1B on the Dodgers.

Outfield: Mark Canha ($3,400 FD) The A’s are priced pretty good today for what I expect them to do vs Jordan Zimmerman. The core of this lineup all has the chance to go deep honestly but Canha statistically has the best shot. He hits to a .274 ISO/.418 wOBA with 17 homers on the season vs righties. Get him in your Oakland MLB DFS stacks.

Outfield Pivots: Ronald Acuna, Ramon Laureano, Matt Joyce

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/28 DFS Pitching Picks: Cole Lotta Whiffing Going On

5 years ago

written by

If the 8/27 DFS Pitching Picks was Popeye’s Chicken Sandwich, then the 8/28 DFS Pitching Picks feels like the last overpriced microwave “chicken sandwich” at the local gas station.

Outside of another gem of a pitching matchup in Houston and Thor wielding his mighty hammer at Citi Field, the rest of the day’s slate is, well, bad.

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8/28 DFS Pitching Picks Cash Game Pitchers

Gerrit Cole, HOU vs. TB

DK ($12,000), FD ($12,200)

Cole will draw a high percentage of users, especially in FanDuel where he’s recorded at least 40 FD points in nine straight starts dating to June 30. He’s coming off his third start of at least 60 FD points in this run, a 67-pointer against the Tigers last Thursday. Cole currently leads the Majors in ERA+ with 163, due in part to his ability to humiliate hitters at offensive-friendly Minute Maid Park (.178 OBA). Since the All-Star Break, Cole has been downright frightening, running a 6-0 mark with 68 strikeouts over 47 innings, raising his strikeout rate to 37.3%. Ranked sixth in FIP at 2.98, Cole gets to a face a Rays team that was hitting just .202/.233/.323 before Tuesday’s beatdown where they managed just one run on seven hits. Play. Him.

Noah Syndergaard, NYM vs. CHC

DK ($10,300), FD ($10,000)

Friendly piece of advice: leave Cubs hitters alone if you’re banking on homers from your DFS lineup. Syndergaard has allowed just one homer in his last 54.1 innings, which explains the 28.7% hard contact rate he’s allowed. His fastball has expanded its bite, kicking up to 97.7 mph, as Syndergaard has increased his usage of premium gas to 58.6% of the time. Not quite in a run like Cole’s, Syndergaard has still produced a run of eight straight starts of at least 30 points at FanDuel that includes four starts of at least 46 FP. If you’re looking to save money but want an elite arm for cash game purposes, Syndergaard’s the play. Opponents are batting just .207 against him since the ASB while also allowing three or fewer runs in seven of his last eight outings.

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8/28 DFS Pitching Picks GPP Pitchers

Ryan Yarborough, TB at HOU

DK ($9,300), FD ($9,000)

Man, it’s tough to suggest Yarborough after watching the Astros wear out Charlie Morton and the Rays bullpen for 15 runs on 18 hits Tuesday night. However, Yarborough is going to make more than one DFS’er think twice about a potential Astros stack. You’d think Yarborough’s home/road splits would tilt strongly toward dominance at the Trop, but you’d be wrong. Outside of Tampa Bay, he sports a 2.21 ERA and .174 OBA with just four homers allowed. Yarborough has elevated his strikeout rate to 22% and a K-BB% of 19%. Another reason to be hesitant on Astros bats tonight: Yarborough’s 29.4% hard contact rate allowed. Oh, here’s one more: an overall HR/FB% of just 8.8%. Forget Tuesday night and take your chances that Yarborough will meet a far better fate than Morton.

Max Scherzer, WAS vs. BAL

DK ($11,400), FD ($12,000)

Oh, the risk tolerance here. Scherzer himself said he’s not “out of the woods,” and it showed in the four innings and 71 pitches he tossed against the Pirates in his first start back from the DL. Name value and opponent are the only reasons why he’s suggested here, and while Scherzer’s proclaiming he’s not all the way back, there’s still the prospect of him delivering 35-40 points without getting to the seventh inning considering the Orioles are 20th in batter’s strikeouts and 26th in lBA (.252). B-More is also 22nd in adjusted batters runs (-65.3), making them a potentially nice blend of lousy that goes well with a hurler that has struck out 34.8% of the batters he’s faced. Overlooked in the midst of Scherzer’s clashes with injuries is a sharp reduction in fly balls, as it has gone from from seven straight seasons of at least 41.6% to 37.8%.

I strongly suggest NOT going with Scherzer in cash games. The risk far outweighs the rewards. While hesitant to add him here, facing the Orioles at home makes him more a GPP option.

8/28 DFS Pitching Punt Pick

Kenta Madea, LA at SD

DK ($8,000), FD ($8,700)

Maeda has 49 and 43 FD point outing in two of his last three starts, with a 32 FD pointer sandwiched in between. His K game has shown up in his past two starts, having struck out 18 batters despite pitching a combined 10 innings. Don’t expect him to eclipse more than 85-90 pitches, but expect the whiffs to keep coming as Maeda continues to use his change up as an excellent third complement to his heater and slider. Madea has gone from using his changeup 15.2% of the time in 2018 to 24.2% this year at the expense of reducing the frequency of his fastball (44.4% in 2018, 37.7% this season).

He gets something of a dream matchup in the Padres, who have gone .182/.254/.278 with 2.1 runs per game over the past week. San Diego batters are whiffing nearly nine times per game in that span, making Maeda a sneaky good punt play for the 8/28 DFS Pitching Picks.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Fantasy Team Stacks: MLB Winning Edge for August 18

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

Fantasy Team Stack: Boston Red Sox**

vs. LHP Tyler Blach (BOS): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Back to the Red Sox we go! No line out from Vegas yet but it’s safe to assume that Boston will carry the biggest implied run total on today’s slate. Same song and dance, the Red Sox face the worst bullpen and starting pitching rotation in all of baseball. Ty Blach is a career dumpster fire and carries a 13.94 ERA, 7.67 FIP, and 6.29 SIERA through 10 innings pitched this season. History tells us Blach has been fairly decent to lefties but I won’t hesitate to play Devers. Guy’s like J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts are a priority for me. The Red Sox continue to hit well, slashing to a .373 wOBA, .272 ISO, and 130 WRC+ for the month. Massive chalk here but I feel fine eating it.

Fantasy Team Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 5.80 Runs

**High Risk

Initial chalk reports this morning indicate that the Mets should attract a good bit of ownership. I can respect that at first glance with Glenn Sparkman owning a 13% K rate and 84% contact on the year. If we dig a little further we will see that other than two starts Sparkman has been very dominant to right handed batting at home. He has allowed hitters to slash to a measley .278 wOBA, .370 SLG, and .281 OBP through 57 innings pitched. I’m not advocating you to play Sparkman, there just isn’t enough strikeout upside with him and win probability is slim with Wheeler on the other side of the plate. I will likely fade the Mets here as they are rolling out seven righties.

Fantasy Team Stack: Milwaukee Brewers/Washington Nationals**

vs. RHP Eric Fedde (TEX): 5.50 Runs

vs. RHP Chase Anderson (MIL): 5.50 Runs

**Moderate Risk

This is another game that should attract a good bit of ownership. The Brewers and Nationals put on a 14 inning show last night combining for 29 total runs. In the meantime they both exhausted their entire bullpens and we get two pitchers who typically don’t go deep into games facing off in today’s matchup. The weather and park factor give us a boost as well. My only hesitation is a possible hangover from a quick turnaround but other than that I like both of these teams today.

Brewers: Preferred Plays: Christian Yelich ($4700 FD|$5600 DK), Trent Grisham ($3000 FD|$3500 DK), Keston Hiura ($3500 FD|$4000 DK), and Eric Thames ($3000 FD|$4300 DK).

Other Teams I Have Interest in

Fantasy Team Stack: Toronto Blue Jay’s

vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi (SEA): 5.60 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Fantasy Team Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers**

vs. LHP Max Fried (ATL): 4.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

Jack Flaherty RHP (STL): 3.90 Runs
Tony Gonsolin RHP (COL): 5.30 Runs
Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 4.90 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/16 MLB DFS Lineups Winners: Win Daily Staffer Tops Tournament For 100K

wesley maxwell 5 years ago

written by wesley maxwell

Today we are here to celebrate and congratulate one of our own, @TenaciousDJONES, on his six figure win last night. He rode an Indians/Mets stack to FanDuel glory. Details and how to get advice from David are included in this 8/16 MLB DFS Report.

8/16 MLB DFS Winner: David Jones of Win Daily

DFS Pro David Jones, one of our featured analysts on Win Daily, took down the $200,000 MLB Colossus on FanDuel with a grand prize of $100,000 on Thursday night. The contest had an entry fee of $1,650. The following lineup put David at the top of the tournament: Sonny Gray, Carlos Santana, Joe Panik, Jose Ramirez, Yasiel Puig, Greg Allen, J.D. Davis, Pete Alonso. You can get advice regularly from David on Win Daily as a free member or talk to him one on one in our Premium Gold Slack Chat throughout the week.

Huge Congrats to our very own @tenaciousDJONES who won over $105,000 tonight!! What a beast!! Shoutout to our subs who followed his sneaky slack stacks #DFS https://t.co/50RJUFqFGR pic.twitter.com/d7O5tlNbnm— Win Daily (@windailydfs) August 16, 2019

8/16 MLB DFS Winner: Mets/Indians

Both teams exploded last night and Tenacious D was all over them in pregame:

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The Mets, led by Todd Frazier and Pete Alonso homers, scored 10 runs on 23 hits. Alonso went five for five with six RBI including his N.L. rookie-record tying 39th homer. Amed Rosario, batting leadoff after Jeff McNeil was injured, had five hits in six official ABs with two doubles, a triple and four runs scored.

The other games Tenacious D loved was in the Bronx. Though he mentioned the Yankees, he stacked the Indians in his winning lineup.

Some highlights from the 19 runs the Indians scored: Carlos Santana with four runs and three RBIs, including 2 HRs; Greg Allen with four each of RBI, runs and hits including a HR and Jose Ramirez with two HRs and six RBI. Ramirez had his counting stats by the end of the second inning.

8/16 MLB DFS Outlooks: Not surprisingly, the Indians are in the playoff hunt. In the lead for the AL wild-card by two games over Tampa Bay, three and a half over Oakland and nine and a half over Boston, they are also chasing Minnesota for the A.L. Central lead. They are only one-half game behind the Twins.

The Mets are surprisingly in the N.L. playoff chase. They are two games behind the current second wild-card leader, the Cubs. However, the Mets have many more teams to deal with than the A.L .contenders do, with Arizona, San Francisco, Philadelphia and Milwaukee all on the outside looking in but within three and a half games.

Also, David’s pockets will be fatter the rest of the season. Here is the final screenshot:

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Team Stacks: Winning Edge for August 16

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 15-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara (COL): 7.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

The Rockies unsurprisingly come in with the highest implied run total on the slate. They happen to be heating up again over the last month and are slashing to a .347 wOBA, .194 ISO, and 98 WRC+ against RHP. Sandy Alcantara has been fairly decent this year, owning a 4.44 ERA, 4.87 FIP, and 5.65 SIERA. I feel like this game can go either way. It will either be a low scoring pitcher’s night between Gray and Alcantara, or it will be a one sided blowout from the Rockies. Obviously the Rockies are the chalk play but Jon Gray is in a decent spot here despite the ballpark. The Marlins are still priced fairly cheap so they make for a good value stack, but I do prefer Jon Gray.

Preferred Stack: Charlie Blackmon ($4600 FD|$5500 DK), Daniel Murphy** (Way too cheap) ($3000 FD|$4100 DK), Ryan McMahon ($3600 FD|$4700 DK), and Trevor Story ($4400 FD|$5700 DK). Obviously Nolan Arenado ($4400 FD|$5400 DK) is in play but the salaries on this team are too high for both so I prefer Story.

DFS Team Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): 8.10 Runs

**Low Risk

Another sad day where I have to pick on my Orioles but it is warranted with how they’ve performed this season. The Orioles are the worst team in the league in terms of run differential at -243 and their bullpen is absolutely atrocious, ranking dead last in the league in terms of efficiency. Aaron Brooks will pave the way for that stellar bullpen, owning a 6.35 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 4.82 SIERA. In addition to his poor season averages, he is allowing 2.36 HR/9 innings and 40% FB rate. The Red Sox are slashing to a .353 wOBA, .216 ISO, and .345 BABIP in the month of August. The Red Sox are another pricey stack but nonetheless in a great spot and a team that I favor more than the Coors chalk.

Preferred Plays: Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Rafael Devers ($4300 FD|$5600 DK), Mitch Moreland ($3200 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4100 FD|$5200 DK). You should also consider: J.D. Martinez ($4300 FD|$5100 DK) and Marco Hernandez ($

DFS Team Stack: New York Yankees

vs. RHP Aaron Civale (CLE): 5.40 Runs

**High Risk

The Yankees let a lot of people down last night with the Indians breaking their spirit in the top of the first inning. They theoretically should bounce back tonight, but the pitcher they are facing (Civale) has had great outings in his first three starts in the bigs and has maintained a sub 3.00 ERA through his time in A ball. The Yankees are very expensive and I feel there is some uncertainty with this matchup. Obviously the Yankees have raw power and talent, but any time you’re facing a pitcher for the first time it can go either way. Nonetheless, the Yankees are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .276 ISO and 117 WRC+ against RHPs right now. Civale allowed one run and four hits while striking out five batters across six innings against the red hot Twins in his last start. Yankees are a fade for me tonight.

Preferred Plays: D.J. LeMahieu ($4300 FD|$5000 DK), Gio Urshela ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Gleyber Torres ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Gary Sanchez ($4100 FD|$4500 DK).

Other Teams I Have Interest in

DFS Team Stack: Tampa Bay Rays

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 5.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

DFS Team Stack: Toronto Blue Jays

vs. LHP Wade LeBlanc (SEA):UPDATE

**Low Risk

DFS Team Stack: New York Mets

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 5.20 Runs

Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso ($4000 FD|$5100 DK), J.D. Davis ($3100 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Conforto ($3500 FD|$4800 DK), and Amed Rosario ($2500 FD|$4000 DK).

Pitching

Charlie Morton (TAM): 2.50 Runs
Noah Syndergaard RHP (NYM): 3.80 Runs
Jon Gray RHP (COL): 4.90 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

8/11 DFS Pitching Picks: A Good Day For Arm Wrestling

5 years ago

written by

Unlike Saturday’s slate, the Sunday 8/11 DFS pitching schedule brings good tidings for those who seeking top end pitchers. All three formats are well-stocked with options, including a sleeper or two that has a chance to deliver surprise numbers.

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8/11 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers

Jacob deGrom, NYM vs. WSH

DK ($11,600) FD ($11,700)

deGrom has fattened the wallets of many over his last 15 starts, scoring at least 40 FanDuel points 11 times, with his 49 point effort in his previous start against the Marlins leaving him a point shy of four straight starts with at least 50 points. Obviously, starting deGrom as your SP1 will impact the coin you’ll spend on offense, but when you’re getting 11.45 K/9 with just 2.2 BB/9 while keeping the ball in the yard, you’ll spend it and do so smiling. deGrom sets the pace by hitting first pitch strikes at 66.5% and is still putting up good numbers despite not maintaining the off-the-charts pace he had in 2018.

Most pitchers will take a 4.9 WAR a this point of the season, but that — along with a RAR of 43.3 — is what deGrom carries into this contest. He’s more dominant at home in Citi Field, where deGrom has struck out 84 batters over 68 innings at home with a 3.18 ERA. He’s more unforgiving to the Nationals, holding them to an 0.75 ERA while putting together an 18:4 K/BB rate and a composite .167 allowed against them.

Justin Verlander, HOU at BAL

DK ($12,400) FD ($12,500)

Most will consider deGrom the better play, but you can’t fault anyone plugging Verlander as their SP1. JV has four straight starts of at least 58 FanDuel points and faces a Baltimore lineup bereft of quality in its lineup, a huge reason they are 24th in OPS and 25th in wRAA. He’s pushing for a second straight season of striking out at least 35% of opponents, and he’s still a legit Cy Young award candidate despite a rise in hard contact rate (40.8%) and an elevated HR/9 rate (1.68).

deGrom gets the edge because of his track record against the Nationals, but Verlander has won seven of his last eight starts and is on a four-start stretch of at least 10 strikeouts. I think you’ll get another 10-K from Verlander and another win that would give him a sixth straight win.

8/11 DFS GPP Plays

Mike Minor, TEX at MIL

DK ($9,600) FD ($9,200)

Minor hit some major turbulence in mid-July but has won his last two starts, including seven shutout innings against the Indians on Monday. One could say that Minor is having a career year, as his 31.3 RAR has already eclipsed the 29.6 RAR he recorded as a member of the Braves in 2012. He’s been inconsistent when it comes to FanDuel reduction, as his 28.95 FD points were his best output since scoring 34.55 FD against the Tigers on June 26.

The Brewers are hitting a combined .252/.312/.403 this month and are paying dearly for their all or nothing at all mindset, striking out 85 times in eight games. There is good potential for Minor to be able to exploit Milwaukee’s loss of Christian Yelich, who remains sidelined with back woes.

Lucas Giolito, CWS vs. OAK

DK ($10,600) FD ($9.800)

Giolito has at least 43 FanDuel points in three of his last four starts and has shaken off the 9 points he produced at FD against the Cubs on July 6. He’s approaching 11 strikeouts per nine innings (10.86 K/9 to date). Giolito has continued to keep opposing batters from making max impact against him (30.9% hard contact rate) and has avoided the long ball despite a 41.1% fly ball rate.

This shapes to a good matchup for Giolito, as the Athletics have seen their bats go .233/.340/.454 over the past week. Oakland’s longball or bust mentality will work agains them considering Giolito allows opposing bats to hit just .203 against him at home this season while he’s delivered 70 strikeouts over 59.1 innings. What keeps Giolito from being a cash pitcher is the uncertainty that the A’s bats get dialed in early and catch Giolito off-balance.

8/11 DFS Punt Plays

Jakob Junis, KC at DET

DK ($7,900) FD ($8,600)

Junis comes off a 37 FanDuel point outing against the Red Sox and already has starts of 37 and 34 points against the Tigers this season. There is sneaky good strikeout potential in Junis, who averages 8.46 K/9 to go along with a slightly above league average 3.12 BB/9. The Tigers’ lineup won’t be able to fully exploit Junis’ weakness (his 1.56 HR/9 rate), this despite the fact the Royals hurler sports a 42.4% hard contact rate.

There’s a chance the Tigers might get one off him, but I think Junis is capable of setting the pace early with strikeouts before getting the Detroit bats to induce ground balls as a steady clip. This is a good pairing if you’re looking to go with deGrom or Verlander in a cash league or even Giolito in a PPS format.

Monkey Knife Fight Pitching Props

For my debut in MKF, I’ll go Astros-Orioles and take the shot on Asher Wojciehowski lasting long enough to get the over on strikeouts before Houston’s lineup sends him to an early exit.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/10 DFS Pitching Picks: Uncle Charlie Does Seattle

Brandon C. Williams 5 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

Trust me, the 8/10 DFS pitching slate is pretty darn thin in quality. Sure, there’s a handful of familiar names, some of whom were once solid pitchers. The majority of starting arms feels more like a Saturday special from Guy’s Groovy Grab Bag, one that includes the ever-annoying TBD, otherwise known as the DFS version of Mystery Date (kids, Mystery Date was a…aw, just Google it).

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Check me out on Twitter @BCWilliams71

8/10 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers

Charlie Morton, TB at SEA

DK ($10,700) FD ($10,100)

One of two Cash Game-worthy arms pitching today, Morton is on pace to get the A.L. Cy Young scraps that former Astros teammates Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander will leave on the floor. Morton is on pace to surpass his career-best 201 strikeouts, fanning at least six in eight of his last 10 starts. He’s been a model of consistency, especially for FanDuel users, as he’s recorded at least 30 FD points in 11 of his last 13 starts. The Mariners are almost tailor made for another evening of Morton making opposing lineups look like human air conditioners as Seattle’s offense is 26th in strikeout percentage (25.6%). Morton is difficult to homer against, having allowed just 11 over 143.1 innings of work, with much of that is due to the struggles that come from getting fly balls off of him (30.1% fly ball rate). If you’re going to spend money on an arm, then invest it in Morton.

Noah Syndergaard, NYM at WAS

DK ($10,500) FD ($10,800)

…or Syndergaard, who’s been ruthlessly efficient over his last five starts, going at least seven innings while allowing three or fewer earned runs in each. Oh yeah: he’s not given up a homer since July 6. His run is part of the reason why the Mets have won 14 of their last 15 as Syndergaard goes against a Nationals lineup he’s handled well this season, holding them to a .179 batting average and striking out 19 over 20 innings (three starts). The Nats have, however, homered three times against him, neatly explaining the 3.60 ERA. Syndergaard’s 3.44 FIP is a better indication of how effective he has been rather than his 3.96 ERA. Like Morton, Thor drops major hammer on those seeking to get solid contact off him, oppressing batters to a 28% hard contact rate while keeping fly balls at a modest 32.6% clip.The Nats’ 95 OPS+ falls just below league average. More concerning about the Nationals’ lineup is how bereft of power they are on the road. Washington loses 60 points off its slugging percentage (.466 to .406) when away from home. Those numbers are worse when looking at their production at Citi Field, where Washington goes .227/.238/391.

8/10 DFS GPP Plays

Mike Soroka, ATL at MIA

DK ($9,100) FD ($8,100)

Miami’s bats roll over for Soroka almost as easily as my cat rolls over for treats. In 15 innings against Soroka this season, the Marlins have batted .115 with six hits and one earned run against the breakout righty. Soroka continues to be downright stingy when it comes to allowing fly balls, limiting opponents to a paltry 23.6% rate. With that kind of infrequency, it’s easy to see why Soroka has allowed just seven homers this season. He’s more miserly on the road, allowing a OBA of .197 in 12 starts outside the ATL and should be in line for another start in which his infielders stay fairly busy (54.6% ground ball rate).Since this is a family site, I’ll just say the Marlins offense stinks. Not my first choice of description, but rules. Miami is tied for last in OPS+ (78) and have hit a composite .235/.288/.399 since the All-Star Break. In a year of graphic power displays across the league, the Marlins remain the only team in the Majors without at least 100 homers. You can’t use Marlins Park as too much of an excuse; you could put Miami’s lineup in Yankee Stadium and they’d still struggle.

Kenta Maeda, LA vs. ARI

DK ($7,000) FD ($7,700)

He’s pitching at home, which is why it can be considered safe to start Maeda, who has a 3.17 ERA and a .181 OBA at Dodger Stadium. Maeda also gets bonus points for his work against the Diamondbacks this season, holding Arizona’s bats to a .175 OBA. Home runs, which weren’t an issue in 2018, have reared their ugly head this year with Maeda allowing 1.40 HR/9. That’s due in part to a rise in his fly ball rate, which has gone to 39.1%, almost near the levels that got him in homer purgatory in 2017. Being at home should also further suppress Maeda’s 29.6 hard contact rate. Although the Diamondbacks have been solid in making contact this season, again, the pleasure of being in Dodger Stadium, where he strikes more than a batter per inning, works in Maeda’s favor.

8/10 DFS Punt Plays

Aaron Sanchez, HOU at BAL

DK ($6,900) FD ($8,200)

Who else but Sanchez to highlight the punt play? If you saw his 10-strikeout, no-walk effort in his last start with the Blue Jays, last Saturday’s six innings of no-hit ball against the Mariners as part of a combined no-no could have been seen coming (somewhat). Granted, no one expected the no-hitter, but Sanchez had been quietly regaining his control. He enters this evening’s start having gone five straight starts with two walks or fewer and with the Astros bullpen far more reliable than what he had in Toronto, Sanchez can air it out for 5-6 innings with limited damage before hitting the showers. His fastball was more pronounced in his first Houston start, making him yet another apt pupil from Astros pitching coach Brent Strom.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Fantasy Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for August 4

Wesley Passinault 5 years ago

written by Wesley Passinault

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 10-11 AM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.30 Runs

**Low Risk

The Twins have been on fire this entire series and I’m not going to let off the gas before it’s over. The Twins continue to smash the competition, slashing to a massive .271 ISO, .366 wOBA, and 126 WRC+. Brad Keller has been somewhat decent this season, owning a 4.01 ERA, 4.46 FIP, and 5.19 SIERA. Keller is a ground ball pitcher with an impressive .270 BABIP and an extremely low fly ball rate. Despite his success this year I just don’t see him out performing this extremely talented and powerful Twins lineup.

Preferred Stack: Max Kepler ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Nelson Cruz ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), Jorge Polanco ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), and Eddie Rosario ($3700 FD|$4500 DK).

Fantasy Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (SEA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

The Astros are another team that has been on fire in their series. Seattle has rolled out three sub par left handed pitchers and have payed the price for it in the form of Houston power righties. Houston is slashing to a massive .340 ISO, .402 wOBA, and 160 WRC+. These are incredible hitting numbers, some of the best I’ve seen all season. Tommy Milone has the pleasure of taking on this hot Astros squad and owns a 4.39 ERA, 4.97 FIP, and 4.08 SIERA. He is allowing 1.92 HR/9 and a 45% fly ball rate. Stack the Astros with confidence.

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($4300 FD|$5100 DK), Alex Bregman ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3200 FD|$4500 DK).

Honorable Mention

Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Joe Musgrove (PIT): 4.70 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Jeff McNeil ($4000 FD|$4400 DK), Michael Conforto ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Pete Alonso ($4200 FD|$4600 DK), Robinson Cano ($3800 FD|$4300 DK).

Fantasy Stack: Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Tom Eshelman (BAL): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Vlad Guerrero Jr. ($3900 FD|$4900 DK), Bo Bichette ($3500 FD|$4300 DK), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3500 FD|$5000 DK) and Justin Smoak ($3300 FD|$4300 DK).

Pitching

Yonny Chirinos RHP (TAM): 3.65 Runs
Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.50 Runs
Justin Verlander RHP (HOU): UPDATE

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB Fantasy Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 27

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CWS): 6.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I know the Twins let a lot of us down last night. I also know Nova has put on some off the wall performances that may cause others to rethink whether or not they want to go here tonight. I have no problems going back here, we all know how bad Ivan Nova can be. Nova carries a 5.49 ERA, 5.34 FIP, and 5.03 SIERA. He has allowed batters to slash to a .359 wOBA, .526 SLG, and .340 OBP at home this season. When pitching at home, Nova’s ERA goes from a 5.12 road average to 6.02. He has allowed 33 earned runs and 11 home runs over 49.1 innings pitched at home. The Twins continue to hit well, slashing to a .382 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 139 WRC+. I hate to use such a small sample, but four batters in the Twins lineup have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Nova this season.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 5.70 Runs

**High Risk

Cleveland Indians have slumped off a bit after going on a heater for a few weeks. They look to have returned to form last night, scoring eight earned runs. Sparkman carries a 4.67 ERA, 5.64 FIP, and 5.47 SIERA. He has the worst contact % on the slate at 84.7. He is only inducing a 7.4% swinging strike rate. The only downside to a Cleveland stack today is Sparkman’s home/road splits. Compared to his atrocious road averages, he is absolutely stellar at home. He carries a 1.76 ERA and allows batters to slash a measly .256 wOBA, .328 SLG, and .265 OBP. He has only allowed nine earned runs and four home runs over 40 innings pitched. With these kind of splits at home I can definitely see a hedge with Sparkman as well if you want to take a shot in tournaments. The Indians are slashing to a .337 wOBA, .187 ISO, and 106 WRC+ over the last month.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Oakland Athletics

vs. RHP Adrian Sampson (TEX): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

Adrian Sampson has come back down to earth recently, getting tagged for five or more runs in his last two starts. He carries a 5.19 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.63 SIERA on the year. Sampson is allowing 1.76 HR/9 and a 48% hard contact rate. He is allowing 80% contact and struggles mightily to right handed batters. They are slashing to a .388 wOBA, .581 SLG, and .360 OBP. Sampson has allowed 32 earned runs and 13 home runs over 55.1 innings pitched to righties. The Athletics are slashing to a .339 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 115 WRC+ over the last month. Sampson throws a ton of sinker (55% usage) and slider (31% usage). Batters 1-4 in this projected Athletics lineup are all hitting .200 ISO or better against Sampson’s two most frequently used pitches.

Preferred Plays: Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4700 DK), Matt Olson ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and Marcus Semien($3200 FD|$4400 DK).

Honorable Mention

MLB Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Trevor Williams (PIT): 4.85 Runs

**Moderate Risk

MLB Fantasy Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4300 FD|$5300 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Dillon Peters (LAA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Anthony Santander ($3300 FD|$4400 DK), Renato Nunez ($3400 FD|$4100 DK), Trey Mancini ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Dwight Smith Jr. ($2900 FD|$3600 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Mike Trout ($5000 FD|$5700 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3500 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

Gerrit Cole RHP (HOU): 3.20 Runs
Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 3.80 Runs
Anthony DeSclafani RHP (CIN): 4.30 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 6

Daniel Wehr 6 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 7 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Andrew Heaney (LAA): 5.70 Runs

This is a play you’re not going to be able to get away from tonight. Andrew Heaney carries a 5.40 ERA, 5.39 FIP, and 4.20 SIERA through 36.2 innings pitched. Through 27 innings pitched, right handed batters are slashing .319 wOBA, .449 SLG, and to a .304 OBP against Heaney. The Astros have been hitting very well recently, slashing .374 wOBA, .204 ISO, and a .516 SLG. Smaller slate tonight so ownership will be a lot more concentrated on the Astros but it is good chalk and I’m perfectly fine with eating it.

Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Jose Altuve $3700 FD|$4200 DK, Alex Bregman $4300 FD|$5000 DK, Yordan Alvarez $4100 FD|$4800 DK, Yuli Gurriel $3400|$4400, and Robinson Chirinos $3100 FD|$3800 DK. George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK) is my last choice for higher priced guys but if you’re playing multiple lines I would definitely have exposure.

New York Mets Stack

vs. RHP Jake Arrieta (PHI): 5.00 Runs

I’ve eagerly awaited a solid left handed power hitting team to go against Jake Arrieta since those string of rainouts in Washington a few weeks back. He carries 4.43 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and a 4.85 SIERA into tonight’s game. He is absolutely terrible to left handed batters. They are slashing .383 wOBA, .535 SLG, and to a .386 OBP through 43.0 innings pitched. He has surrendered 27 earned runs and 11 home runs over that same span. The Mets are hitting to a tune of .313 wOBA, .181 ISO, and 101 WRC+ over the last two weeks, slightly above their season averages. Be weary of the weather here tonight.

Oakland Athletics Stack

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 5.15 Runs

Marco Gonzales carries a 4.39 ERA, 4.11 FIP, and 5.14 SIERA into tonight’s game. He has fairly identical splits with a .324 wOBA, .444 SLG, and .327 OBP through 78.1 innings pitched against right handed batters. Most should be focused on that Astros stack and probably spending down for some cheap Cardinals so we have a chance to catch the A’s at low ownership. I didn’t list them, but I know they let down a lot of people last night. The A’s are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .223 ISO, and .499 SLG vs. left handed pitching this season. The team as a whole has been in a bit of a hitting slump over the last two weeks, slashing to a .246 wOBA, .112 ISO, and .303 SLG in that time span. I always feel like Oakland is pretty risky, but I’ll go there in GPPs tonight.

One-offs and Value Plays

Josh Phegley (OAK) $2600 FD| $3700 DK, Robinson Chirinos (HOU) $3100 FD| $3800 DK, Hunter Renfroe (SDP) $2700 FD, Jose Martinez (STL) $2700 FD|$3500 DK, Paul Goldschmidt (STL) $3000 FD|$3400 DK, and Brad Miller (PHI) $2000 FD|$3500 DK.

6 years ago 0 comments

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