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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10

Mitchell Thoennes
written by Mitchell Thoennes


Tonight’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10 slate will be a seven-game slate. There will be plenty of news to watch for as usual in the NBA as Joel Embiid is a rest candidate with Philly playing a depleted Thunder team. A few other notables’ situations to watch are Kyle Lowry, Kyle Kuzma, John Wall, and Mason Plumlee will all be questionable.

As usual, the Discord Chat rooms will be a wonderful place to be to follow all news throughout the day. In there you will find the WinDaily staff and myself answering any questions you may have. at first glance I see the top-paced teams squaring off against some of the slowest teams today. Our top-priced player on DraftKings tonight will be Russell Westbrook in a tough matchup with Phoenix.


My article will consist of two players that will exceed value from each position specifically for tournament/GPP. I will be using DraftKings pricing. Time to jump into todays’ NBA GPP Picks 4/10 breakdown!

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10

Point Guard
Kyrie Irving – ($10,400)
The Nets will be without Harden again and two of the last three games without Harden Kyrie has shot 27 or more times. Kyrie leads the Nets in usage and is averaging over 1.3 fantasy points per minute without Harden. We should have Durant on a minute’s restriction again so if this game is close Kyrie should see plenty of opportunities. Let’s not forget the Lakers have been a top ten team in pace over the last ten games without Bron and AD.


Theo Maledon – ($5,600)
Over the past five games with all the injuries, Maledon has average a team-high 29% usage rate. It does look as if Bazley will return but should be limited after a month’s absence. We have seen the ceiling with Maledon scoring over 40 in two of his past five. The Thunder have not kept many games close lately but, in the game, they did Maledon played 36 minutes. If Embiid is out this game may be closer and Maledon could see a team-high in usage and minutes.


Shooting Guard
Devin Booker – ($8,900)
A great matchup awaits Booker who is playing the Wizards who are the fastest-paced team in the league. His last three pace-up games against Houston, Charlotte, and Chicago resulted in over 50 fantasy points for Booker in all three. He leads the Suns in usage by a wide margin at 33% on the year. We also need to keep an eye on the status of Beal on the other side of the ball who may be a rest candidate.


Cory Joseph – ($4,000)
Last time out Joseph started with Jerami Grant absent and played 32 minutes while scoring 40 fantasy points. In that game, Joseph went for a 26.5% usage rate against his former team. The matchup is great as well with Portland giving up the eighth-most fantasy points to shooting guards and ranking second-worst in defensive efficiency. We should see Joseph start again and at this price, I will roll him out.


Small Forward
Tobias Harris – ($8,100)
There were reports Embiid landed on his knee awkwardly and may have tweaked it. The 76ers may want to take caution and sit him out against an awful Thunder team. If they sit him Harris sees a 3.7% usage increase and averages 1.17 fantasy points per minute. This matchup is elite with OKC allowing the most fantasy points to power forwards and ranking third-worst in defensive rating over the past ten games.


Joe Ingles – ($5,400)
Utah is expecting to be without Jordan Clarkson again and Ingles went for 33 fantasy points last game without him. A date with the Kings tonight is a wonderful thing as they have given up the fifth-most fantasy points to shooting guards and still rank dead last in defensive efficiency. The price is nice for several Jazz players in this great spot I think Bogdanovic and O’Neale can be solid options as well.


Power Forward
OG Anunoby – ($6,600)
Toronto has been shorthanded which led to Anunoby playing 41 minutes last game against the Bulls. Since returning Anunoby has scored under 32 fantasy points just twice in those eleven games. In those games, he is consistently shooting around 15 times per game. Less than a month ago Anunoby played Cleveland playing 31 minutes while scoring 34.5 fantasy points. He still has a ceiling at this price and has been consistent.


Taurean Prince – ($4,600)
In the five games back on the court Prince has yet to see a usage rate under 21.5%. The Cavs did not rush Prince back into action but in the past three games, he saw at least 26 minutes and recorded over 32 fantasy points in all three. With Prince’s return, Osman has been cut from the rotation, and with Nance already out the potential will be there for another 30-point night.


Center
Pascal Siakam – ($8,400)
We need to watch the Kyle Lowry news if he sits again then Siakam sees a usage increase of 4.5% bringing his total over 30%. Siakam is averaging 1.3 fantasy points per minute with Lowry and the other Raptors that are out off the floor. Let’s remember that Cleveland will be without their primary rim protector Jarrett Allen. An individual matchup with Kevin Love to start the game isn’t anything to be afraid of.


Isaiah Stewart – ($4,500)
For this pick, we need to keep an eye on Mason Plumlee. In the past three games where Plumlee has played little or none, Stewart has played 22 or more minutes. He scored 29 or more fantasy points in those games and the game he failed to do so was a tough spot against Denver. He is in a fantastic spot today against Portland who is allowing the third-most fantasy points to centers over the past ten and ranks second-worst in defensive rating.


Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/10


Thank you for reading my NBA GPP Picks 4/10 article. It should be a fantastic seven-game NBA slate with news bound to fall. I would say that Beal could be a rest candidate being on his first back-to-back since returning from his injury. Keeping up with Discord may be tough for me today as I will be attending the Twins game. After the game, I will hope on and we should have the news we need to finish dissecting today’s slate. I am glad there are starting to be fans at games and glad I get to attend so soon! Enjoy your Saturday and best of luck on your MLB, NBA, or MMA lineups today!

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NBA

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4

Brian Tulloch
written by Brian Tulloch


Welcome back to Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4 for this four-game slate. We have tons of news to watch with several Pelicans players out or questionable. Among the players questionable we see Zion, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, and Trae Young. We could also see Joel Embiid sit on the second night of a back-to-back since returning from his knee injury.

That being said, the Discord Chat rooms will be an important piece to taking down tonight’s slate. In there you will find the WinDaily staff and myself helping you stay updated on the top plays on the slate. The two games expected to be high totals are Houston vs New Orleans and Atlanta vs Golden State. I won’t waste any more time before rolling into this great four-game NBA slate.


For today’s shorter four-game slate I will go over each game while breaking down the top plays for NBA GPP Picks 4/4. I will be using DraftKings pricing.


Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers
Grizzlies
I haven’t been playing the Grizzlies for a while and that won’t change unless we get word of an injury. They run a deep rotation and spread out the usage enough for me to avoid them.


76ers
Tobias Harris – ($8,400)
I already mentioned we may see Joel Embiid sit on this second leg of a back-to-back set. If that is the case Harris receives a 3.5% usage increase while recording 1.15 fantasy points per minute during that time. While Embiid was missing Harris saw nearly 20 shot attempts per game. The price has come down slightly recently due to poor performances in two straight games. I don’t love much on the 76ers side if Embiid does play though.


Dwight Howard – ($6,200)
Again, this is only if Embiid is indeed ruled out. If Embiid sits we should see Howard dominate the center minutes for Philly since Tony Bradley is no longer with them. When Embiid was just absent Howard averaged above a 20% usage rate and he has recorded 1.18 fantasy points per minute. I see Howard on the floor whenever JOVAL is so he could easily see 30 minutes in this spot.


Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks


Warriors
Steph Curry – ($9,800)
The Warriors is pretty simple for me especially today with the prices inflated from Steph’s absence. I will only be playing Steph from this team. He has seen over a 30% usage rate in five straight games. Today he gets a nice matchup against Atlanta who has given up the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards and ranks seventh-worst in defensive efficiency.


Hawks

Trae Young – ($9,500)
When Collins, Hunter, and Reddish are off the floor Young sees a 10% usage increase. During that time Young is averaging a 42.8% usage rate while accumulating 1.55 fantasy points per minute. This matchup is amazing as Golden State is the second-fastest team in the league and Steph’s defense is nothing to be afraid of.


Lou Williams – ($5,500)
I like this play much more as long as Gallinari sits for another game. Trae may sit too as he comes in questionable. In his two games with Atlanta Lou has soaked up a 25% usage rate while scoring 40 fantasy points last game without Young. The Warriors play fast which should allow for plenty of opportunities. I think you can play any mid-priced Hawk player if Gallinari is out again.


New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets


Pelicans
All of this depends on who plays for them, I assume Ball will miss another game since they signed Isaiah Thomas. We also see Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson questionable. There could be lots of plays from the Pelicans pending who plays with Josh Hart also ruled out.


Nickeil Alexander-Walker – ($7,000)
With all the injuries and now Josh Hart being added to that list will allow Walker to keep his 30-minute streak going. It has been seven straight games that NAW has played 31 or more minutes. During those seven games, Walker has averaged a 24% usage rate and scored under 31 fantasy points just once. The Rockets have been the sixth-worst team in defensive rating over the last ten and will be without John Wall again.


James Johnson – ($4,400)
We will need one of Zion or Ingram to sit for Johnson to be in play. Over the past two games with those two off the floor, Johnson has an average usage rate of 20.5%. In those two games, Johnson played 28 and 29 minutes while recording more than 28 fantasy points in both games. This is a better matchup than those two games facing a depleted Rockets squad.


Rockets
Kevin Porter Jr. – (6,900)
When Wall is absent along with all the other Rockets Porter is seeing a 29% usage rate. He has seen 30 minutes in four straight games and we have seen Porter go for a 45 point or more ceiling without Wall before. He draws an outstanding matchup against the banged-up Pelicans squad who already ranked third-worst in team defense this season.


Avery Bradley – ($3,700)
Bradley has been eased into the rotation with his new team seeing 28 minutes the most since joining the Rockets. Those 28 minutes allowed Bradley to surpass the 28-fantasy point mark. It has now been two straight games that Bradley has eclipsed the 20% usage mark. Today he will get a great matchup against the third-worst defensive team in the NBA.


Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets


Magic
Again, we have another scenario where we have injury news to wait on with Birch, Porter, Mo Bamba, and MCW all questionable with Terrence Ross a possible rest candidate.

Wendell Carter Jr. – ($5,800)
Two straight games of 31 or more fantasy points have allowed Carter to score more than 40 fantasy points in both. In those games, Carter has been over a 21% usage rate shooting it more than 12 times. There is a chance of two centers being out with Birch and Bamba tonight as well. The Magic could be even further shorthanded only solidifying the minutes and shot attempts for Carter.


Chuma Okeke – ($5,700)
Since the Magic got the team makeover Okeke has played 30 minutes in four of five games. The fewest fantasy points he has scored in those games is 28.5. Today Orlando could be thin in the frontcourt with Porter, Birch, and Bamba all questionable. If any of those players are out that will just solidify the minutes of Okeke at a reasonable price.

RJ Hampton – ($3,500)
If the same Magic players are out tonight Hampton may be forced to play 30+ minutes again. In that game last night Hampton was second on the team in usage just behind Terrence Ross at 25%. If he sees that again at this price, he should be able to pay it off easily regardless of the matchup. He was able to go for 28 fantasy points last night in a tough matchup with Utah.


Nuggets
The nuggets players are high priced to me especially since they are getting completely healthy and the new trades.


Aaron Gordon – ($6,400)
It seems as if Gordon is fully acclimated with his new squad after playing 39 minutes last game against the Clippers. He scored 40 fantasy points in that game while shooting over 10 shot attempts for the first time with his new squad. It is tough to avoid talking about the revenge narrative here as well since Gordon was just traded not long ago. Another spot to look could be MPJ who has been very consistent over the past 10-15 games.


Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4

Final Thoughts
I mentioned above that Discord Chat will be important for this slate and I can’t stress that enough. We have several big names questionable that can alter this slate in a hurry. Thank you for reading Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 4/4. Enjoy what is left of your weekend. Hopefully, we help you turn your screens green!

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NBA

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 04/02

Christopher Day
written by Christopher Day

A short MLB slate today with a bigger NBA slate; what a time to be alive. NBA takes the center stage tonight as teams are ramping up their playoff pushes, jockeying for seeding, and trying to stay healthy along the way. A ton of news awaits us, including the Pelicans and Rockets, with more to come. It’s Fajita Friday’s edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 FD price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in these price ranges and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like in this range, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Point Guards

Stephen Curry ($9,000 FD / $9,700 DK)

The greatest shooter of all time is on the second half of a back-to-back, but that shouldn’t slow down Steph Curry whatsoever. Entering tonight’s NBA slate as the 10th seed in the Western Conference, every game matters for the Warriors, and tonight’s shorthanded Raptors squad is one they can take advantage of. The absence of Kyle Lowry will have massive ramifications on Toronto’s defensive scheme, one that struggles with switching and pick ‘n roll defense – this does not bode well against a Curry/Draymond combination. Sporting a 35.5% usage rate in his last two, Curry is coming off back-to-back 30+ point performances, averaging 34/8/4.5 on 46.5% shooting and 12.5 3PA per game. GPP Play

Trae Young ($8,700 FD / $9,400 DK)

Primary ball handlers versus New Orleans has been a spot for us to target all season long, and there is no reason to differ from the strategy tonight. Over his last five games, Trae Young has averaged 23.6/3/11.2 on 45.1% shooting, with four of five games resulting in 20+ points, and three of five having 12 or more assists. Without John Collins for the next week, Trae will shoulder the offense again yet again tonight versus a New Orleans defense that ranks 29th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers, allowing over 50 FPPG to the position. GPP + Cash Play

Ja Morant ($6,800 FD / $7,600 DK)

I’d normally shy away from Ja on such a big NBA slate, but the combination of his price point and matchup is too good to pass up on; Minnesota comes into this one with the 26th ranked defense in the league and 27th versus primary ball handlers, allowing over 50 FPPG. GPP Play

Also Consider:

  • Luka Doncic ($10,500 FD / $10,700 DK)
  • Damian Lillard ($9,200 FD / $9,900 DK)
  • Jrue Holiday ($7,500 FD / $7,500 DK)

Shooting Guards

Donovan Mitchell ($8,800 FD / $8,800 DK)

Still unknown if he’s going to play tonight, we’d obviously need Mitchell’s availability status before slotting him into our NBA lineups. However, not only will that keep the field away from rostering him, but it will also mean one of the best matchups on the board is untouched. With Zach Lavine nursing injuries, Chicago’s defense ranks 28th in the NBA in their last three games and now faces a Utah Jazz team that is looking to finish as the top seed in the West. Prior to missing last game for personal reasons, Mitchell was on an absolute tear, scoring 20 or more points in every game for the entire month of March while sporting a 34.2% usage rate on a 28.8/4.3/6.1 scoring line in 12 games played. GPP Play

Fred VanVleet ($7,400 FD / $8,200 DK)

In 9 games without Kyle Lowry this season, FVV has a 24.3% usage rate and a 18.9/5.2/6.8 scoring line – nothing pretty, but effective. Given the ownership he will carry on tonight’s NBA slate, you need him in cash games, but can also consider him in GPPs; Golden State plays at the second fastest pace in the league and will look to take advantage of the Raptors thin rotation. Cash Play

Nickeil Alexander-Walker ($5,800 FD / $6,200 DK)

If Zo is out yet again for the Pelicans tonight, we can go right back to the well with NAW in our NBA lineups. In 9 starts this season, the young guard is averaging 19.8/5.7/2.7 on 51.1% shooting, including 45.6% from behind the arc. Atlanta’s 23rd ranked defense will be prioritizing Zion and Ingram, if they play, and even if they don’t, the matchup versus Trae Young is favorable enough to solidify his floor. Cash Play

Also Consider:

  • CJ McCollum ($8,200 FD / $8,200 DK)
  • Josh Hart ($5,300 FD / $5,800 DK)
  • Donte DiVincenzo ($5,300 FD / $5,700 DK)

Small Forwards

Jaylen Brown ($7,700 FD / $7,900 DK)

SF is awfully thin, as per usual, so Jaylen Brown is the highest I’ll go on the pricing grid considering I will be looking at some options further down this list. Nonetheless, the premium play at the position on tonight’s NBA slate has a great matchup versus Houston, who ranks 6th in pace, playing perfectly into his slashing style. Scoring 20 or more points in six of his last seven, JB has averaged 24.4/6.6/2.3 on 46.8% shooting during that span with a 30.5% usage rate. GPP Play

OG Anunoby ($6,600 FD / $6,800 DK)

Despite only carrying a 23.5% usage rate in his last five games, OG has been stepping up in a big way for the Raptors. Playing over 34 MPG in this stretch, he’s posted an efficient 19.2/7.8/3/1.4/1 scoring line, contributing on both ends of the floor, while also nearing 40 FPPG. GPP + Cash Play

Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5,500 FD / $5,700 DK)

While Danilo Gallinari can slot in this spot just fine, as he did yesterday off the bench, I wanted to change it up and write about Bogdan. In his last two games, Bog has taken on a big role for the Hawks in the absence of De’Andre Hunter and Cam Reddish; sporting a 21.1% usage rate, he has been scoring at will with 25 PPG on 57.1% shooting while taking 17 FGA per game. At this price, there is nobody that will come close to 40 minutes, yet Bog has been playing 41.2 in his last two thank to yesterday’s double overtime game versus San Antonio. Cash + GPP Play

Also Consider:

  • Kyle Kuzma ($7,200 FD / $7,200 DK)
  • Kevin Porter Jr. ($6,000 FD / $6,500 DK)
  • Malik Beasley ($5,600 FD / $6,100 DK)

Power Forwards

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,000 FD / $10,900 DK)

Has his recent play been up to MVP standards? Absolutely not – but Giannis gets a favorable matchup versus the 29th ranked Portland defense tonight and there is nobody that carries the ceiling he does on a nightly basis. Milwaukee plays at the 4th fastest pace in the NBA, which bodes well for the backcourt duo of Lillard and McCollum – this one will be high scoring and you definitely want a piece of it. GPP Play

Domantas Sabonis ($9,200 FD / $9,300 DK)

Day ending in y – wait to see injury updates before making a move.

Julius Randle ($8,900 FD / $9,600 DK)

A minutes machine for the Knicks this season, we can take advantage of the price discount both sites gave us on Julius Randle tonight. Facing a Dallas Mavericks team that ranks 24th in the NBA is already a good start, but the fact that Dallas also ranks 28th in opponent rebounding bodes well for the versatile Knicks big man who has a 27.8% usage rate on the season while averaging 23.1/10.8/5.8 across 37 MPG. GPP Play

Also Consider:

  • Pascal Siakam ($8,300 FD / $7,800 DK)
  • Draymond Green ($6,600 FD / $6,700 DK)
  • Isaiah Roby ($5,500 FD / $6,100 DK)

Centers

  • Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,800 FD / $10,100 DK)
  • Clint Capela ($7,800 FD / $8,100 DK)
  • Jonas Valanciunas ($7,600 FD / $7,700 DK)
  • Robert Williams ($6,600 FD / $6,700 DK)

Value Gems: Check the projection model.

I will continue to stress the importance of having both the projection model and cheat sheet open when building lineups for a further player pool and to ease a decision between two players, in addition to finding additional value plays.

You can find me on Twitter @DFS_Ghost

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