Mike North and Jon Jansen are back for show number two of the Be(T) Like Mike Show! Mike and Jon discuss the Jaguars signing Tim Tebow, Bob Baffert’s desperate excuses and they also make their picks for the day!
Mike North – @North2North
Jon Jansen – @jjansen34
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On the debut episode of the Be(T) Like Mike Show, Jon Jansen asks Mike North about his ‘Rolling Stoned’ shirt, obnoxious fan bases, the White Sox successful beginning of the season and their bets for today!
Mike North – @North2North
Jon Jansen – @jjansen34
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It’s a Friday edition of the Bettor Baseball Podcast! Jon Jansen and Brian Slone take a look at the MLB slate today and highlight some of their favorite bets on the 5.7 Bettor Baseball Podcast.
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The Bettor Baseball Podcast is back! First of all, Zack Wheeler’s strikeout prop is how high??? Jon Jansen and Brian Slone take a look at the MLB slate today which includes some funky odds in the Phillies game and they go over some intriguing matchups on the 5.6 Bettor Baseball Podcast!
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Should you fade Jacob deGrom today? Jon Jansen and Tim O’Keefe preview today’s MLB slate and why they are fading the Mets and Jacob deGrom on the 5.4 Bettor Baseball Podcast!
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Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 MLB season! MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more.
Back on the grind with another day’s worth of Monkey Knife Fight plays for you to help line your pockets with a little walking-around money. I’ve had a couple of our subscribers ask so I am going to mix the article up with some plays from multiple sports. A cornucopia of selections if you will. We have some fantastic data that we can take advantage of in our sports betting section so why not take advantage of it?
Cubs still lead the the league in terms of strikeout at 10.07 K/9. Walker Buehler has struck out 10.51 per 9 innings over the last 5 seasons in over 500 innings of work. Over his last two games he has come into form striking out 9 and 10 batters respectively against the Padres and Reds. Hendricks is well, let’s just say struggling in the early going. In five starts he has failed to get past the 4th inning in three of them and failed to strike out more than four in three of them, and is near the bottom of the MLB in nearly every measurable category. Now he gets to face the monstrous Dodgers lineup who average 5.38 runs per game on the road and a .800 team OPS against righties.
Buehler: Over 7.5 Hendricks: Under 4.5
This just in, it looks like the Royals are good at baseball again and a big reason for that is that no batter has a whiff rate higher than 36% including six guys below 24%. Only the Astros strike out less and at home KC is at a minuscule 7.00 K/9. Out of his last three seasons, Civale is also looking at the worst metrics of his career including hard-hit rate, strikeout rate, walk rate, and chase rate. For those reasons, I like Santana plus 1.5 bases+walks. He is one of the sub 24% whiff rate guys I mentioned at 22.9% and in his last ten games, he’s exceeded that number 7 times. And my favorite if you read these regularly for the kicker is the 15mph wind blowing out to right field. Love me some physics.
Civale: Under 5.5 Santana: Over: 1.5
This one may change based on one piece of info. It all hinges on Malcolm Brogdon’s status. I think he plays tonight and if he does Levert will now be relegated to the 3rd option at best with Sabonis not missing a beat after a brief absence. No way the Pacers don’t lean on the mismatch under the glass. Brogdon is also one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA so I think the Pacers will opt to put him on the guy who can actually shoot from the perimeter.
Beal: Under 31.5 Levert: Under 22.5
As you guys/gals know the plays will change throughout the day. If and when they do I’ll post more plays in discord so we can take advantage of line movement. Make sure to join us on the WinDaily Discord chat so you don’t miss out.
Hope you enjoyed my Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight Plays 5.3. I look forward to more content covering all of the sports MKF has to offer. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
BetMGM is offering an NBA odds boost for today, which is Knicks to win all 4 Quarters, boosted from +600 to +800. The Knicks are 4 point favorites against the Bulls tonight.
Recommendation: I would not recommend this odds boost at all. The Knicks are inconsistent on offense at times, and when you’re betting them to win every quarter, it doesn’t make much sense. Matching up with the Bulls who have potent scorers like Zach Lavine and Coby White doesn’t help their case either, as these two can put up insane numbers at any time.
Sign up for BetMGM now for a risk free bet up to $600, paid in free bets!
FanDuel is offering odds boosts in NBA, MLB, Golf, and Soccer.
NBA:
MLB:
Golf:
Soccer:
Recommendation: The only odds boost i recommend is Devin Booker to score 25+ points and the Suns to win. Booker is one of the better scorers in the league and has shown time in and time out that he can pop off in an instant. The Clippers do have a tough defense, but they are without defensive guard Pat Beverly tonight, also having Batum and Kawhi under a game-time decision, so you can assume they aren’t 100%. The Suns are finally home after a rough after 5 games straight on the road. Phoenix is a top team in the West and they are going to come out and put on a show in front of their home crowd tonight.
Sign Up for FanDuel now to claim you risk free bet up to $1000!
DraftKings is offering odds boosts in Soccer, MLB, NBA, and NHL.
Soccer: Kylian Mbappe to Score 2+ Goals & PSG to Win is boosted from +1600 to +1730
MLB: Bryce Harper to Hit a Home Run & Phillies to Win is boosted from +600 to +715
NBA: Nikola Vucevic and Julius Randle to combine for 20+ rebounds is boosted from -147 to -121
NHL: Nathan MacKinnon to record over 1.5 points and Avalanche to win is boosted from +320 to +360
Recommendations: The only odds boosts I recommend here is Vucevic and Randle to combine for 20 rebounds. They both average 10 rebounds, and have both grabbed 10+ rebounds in 3 out of their last 4 games.
Sign Up for DraftKings now to get a deposit bonus up to $1000!
William Hill is offering odds boosts for NBA, MLB, NHL and Soccer.
NBA:
MLB:
NHL:
Soccer:
Recommendations: There are tons of options to pick from, but the odds boost that I recommend is Freddie Freeman to hit a HR and Braves to win, Freddie Freeman is batting .253 against righties and has 5 HR as well. Freeman was the NL MVP last year, and I think it’s ok to put a little trust in him tonight, facing a struggling Kyle Hendricks who has a 5.68 ERA and allowing 7 HR in only 4 games.
Sign up for William Hill now for a risk free bet up to $500!
PointsBet is offering one NBA odds boost, which is Anthony Davis to Score 25+ Points, boosted from +155 to +180.
Recommendations: I recommend taking this boost. Anthony Davis is finding his groove again after being out for months. He scored 17 and 18 in his last 2 outings, but I expect him to play a little more today and moving forward. Wizards are home to the worst defense in the league, so this should be a good game for Davis to try and get the ball through the bucket as much as he can to prepare for the upcoming playoffs.
Sign Up for PointsBet now for a $500 match bet!
There are tons of odds boosts offered across many platforms today. I recommend; Devin Booker to Score 25+ Points and Phoenix to win +180 (FanDuel), Nikola Vucevic and Julius Randle to combine for 20+ rebounds -121 (DraftKings), Freddie Freeman To Hit A Home Run And Atlanta Braves To Win +550 (William Hill), and Anthony Davis to Score 25+ Points +180 (PointsBet). Thank you for reading my article, best of luck to all those participating in these odds boosts!
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Jon Jansen was flying solo today on the 4.28 Bettor Baseball Podcast! Listen to Jon learn how to finally use a microphone, why he likes the Mets RL and more bets for today’s MLB slate.
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Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 MLB season! MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more.
Wind, wind, and more wind for the 10 MLB games that we have to choose from on Monkey Knife Fight. If you have read any of my MLB articles in the past you will know that I may just put more value in wind conditions than just about anyone. If you would like to know why here’s an interesting article from Forbes where you can dip your toe into the science. https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2018/10/23/understanding-the-meteorology-of-a-fly-ball-may-help-baseball-teams/?sh=72cd679b6a5c. Once you wrap up here pop on over there and you’ll gain an understanding as to why I value it so much. Ok, I am done nerding out, let’s dive into our Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28.
Bizarro world here but you are seeing this correctly, I am taking the under 8.5 K’s on Glasnow and the over on Irving’s 3.5 K’s. The A’s are one of the best teams on this young season with making contact and they are sitting at 11th in strikeouts averaging 8.8 K’s per 9 innings. Rays on the other hand are bottom five sitting just under 10 strikeouts per game and a strikeout percentage of 32.7% against left handed pitching. No props out elsewhere but I’d imagine the number for Glasnow will be lower than 8.5 when they come out.
Don’t kill me here, Degrom is the best pitcher in baseball with a bullet. By no means do I think he’s going to get rocked. I just don’t think he will K 11 batters. The Red Sox are top five in the following categories: Slugging (1st), OBP (3rd), Babip (1st), OPS (1st), ISO (5th), Strikeouts (5th), and Extra Base Hits (1st). Add the wind blowing out to right around 10 MPH and I’ll go under just this once. Mets bats are nowhere near as potent on the season sitting near the bottom in almost every power category but one thing they are good at is not striking out sitting at 3rd on the season with 8.17 K’s per nine innings. Pivetta is far from a strikeout artist only exceeding 4 strikeouts once in four appearances and that was against one the worst offensive teams in baseball in the Orioles so the under feels pretty good here.
With a 9.5 implied run total and climbing, favorable wind conditions, and a gas can arm in Erick Fedde against a Blue Jays offense that just put nine on the Natinals (bonus points if you get that) last night and this will be my target for offense this morning. I’m going to lead it with Vlad Jr who was the main reason for those nine runs blasting three HR’s. After that you can pick your poison but I’m going to opt for Bo Bichette and Trea Turner. Bichette is sitting at a .231 ISO and 41% hard hit rate against righties . Trea is turning it on lately hitting four home runs in his last eight games including two last night and he is smashing Left Handed pitchers albeit a small sample with three of his six homers in 19 plate appearances. My preference is to stick with the .5 HR’s but your mileage may vary. I never go beyond the 1.5 HR just due to the variance that comes from home runs.
As you guys/gals know the plays will change throughout the day. If and when they do I’ll post more plays in discord so we can take advantage of line movement. Make sure to join us at windailysports.com/chat so you don’t miss out.
This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.28. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
Yesterday wasn’t so great, but there’s a big slate to breakdown today! It’s a big 14-game slate in Major League Baseball today and Jon Jansen & Brian Slone go over their favorite picks on the 4.23 Bettor Baseball Podcast!
Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com
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