David Stowe 
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Wind, wind, and more wind for the 10 MLB games that we have to choose from on Monkey Knife Fight. If you have read any of my MLB articles in the past you will know that I may just put more value in wind conditions than just about anyone. If you would like to know why here’s an interesting article from Forbes where you can dip your toe into the science. https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2018/10/23/understanding-the-meteorology-of-a-fly-ball-may-help-baseball-teams/?sh=72cd679b6a5c. Once you wrap up here pop on over there and you’ll gain an understanding as to why I value it so much. Ok, I am done nerding out, let’s dive into our Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28.
Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28
More or Less: Athletics at Rays
Bizarro world here but you are seeing this correctly, I am taking the under 8.5 K’s on Glasnow and the over on Irving’s 3.5 K’s. The A’s are one of the best teams on this young season with making contact and they are sitting at 11th in strikeouts averaging 8.8 K’s per 9 innings. Rays on the other hand are bottom five sitting just under 10 strikeouts per game and a strikeout percentage of 32.7% against left handed pitching. No props out elsewhere but I’d imagine the number for Glasnow will be lower than 8.5 when they come out.
Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28
More or Less: Red Sox at Mets
Don’t kill me here, Degrom is the best pitcher in baseball with a bullet. By no means do I think he’s going to get rocked. I just don’t think he will K 11 batters. The Red Sox are top five in the following categories: Slugging (1st), OBP (3rd), Babip (1st), OPS (1st), ISO (5th), Strikeouts (5th), and Extra Base Hits (1st). Add the wind blowing out to right around 10 MPH and I’ll go under just this once. Mets bats are nowhere near as potent on the season sitting near the bottom in almost every power category but one thing they are good at is not striking out sitting at 3rd on the season with 8.17 K’s per nine innings. Pivetta is far from a strikeout artist only exceeding 4 strikeouts once in four appearances and that was against one the worst offensive teams in baseball in the Orioles so the under feels pretty good here.
Monkey Knife Fight MLB Plays 4.28
Home Run Derby:
With a 9.5 implied run total and climbing, favorable wind conditions, and a gas can arm in Erick Fedde against a Blue Jays offense that just put nine on the Natinals (bonus points if you get that) last night and this will be my target for offense this morning. I’m going to lead it with Vlad Jr who was the main reason for those nine runs blasting three HR’s. After that you can pick your poison but I’m going to opt for Bo Bichette and Trea Turner. Bichette is sitting at a .231 ISO and 41% hard hit rate against righties . Trea is turning it on lately hitting four home runs in his last eight games including two last night and he is smashing Left Handed pitchers albeit a small sample with three of his six homers in 19 plate appearances. My preference is to stick with the .5 HR’s but your mileage may vary. I never go beyond the 1.5 HR just due to the variance that comes from home runs.
Extra Plays***
As you guys/gals know the plays will change throughout the day. If and when they do I’ll post more plays in discord so we can take advantage of line movement. Make sure to join us at windailysports.com/chat so you don’t miss out.
This is just a quick little article to get the blood flowing for everyone. Hope you enjoyed my Monkey Knife Fight MLB plays 4.28. Expect more articles with more selections as the data evens out over this long 162 game season. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow me @stoweby and @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
