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The MLB DFS Stacks and Hitting Picks Of Destiny For September 14

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This Saturday September 14th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

Stacks

Cleveland Indians

The second game of the doubleheader will be on the main slate and should be a bullpen game for the Twins. Former Uber driver Randy Dobnak recently got called up and he will be starting for Minnesota. He actually has looked pretty good in MiLB with a 2.07 ERA but this Indians team is a different caliber of hitters than what he is used to. In Dobnak’s last three innings pitched in the bigs he has given up three runs. I feel like the Twins will try and extend him, until he implodes, in an attempt to preserve the bullpen arms as long as possible.

Fransisco Lindor, Franmil Reyes, Carlos Santana, Jose Ramirez, Yasiel Puig, Jason Kipnis

San Diego Padres

Last night Coors Field made the struggling Padres finally come alive again. Tonight Peter Lambert is pitching for the Rockies and it’s not going to be pretty, again. He currently has a 6.86 ERA and gets absolutely dominated every time he is on the mound. I had to go back to the June game-logs to find a start where he didn’t give up multiple runs. The Padres are priced fairly tonight and there really is no reason half of them shouldn’t pay off. Last night they were able to put eight runs on the board. If they can do that again, which they certainly have a chance of with Lambert pitching, we should be building our bankroll for NFL tomorrow.

Eric Hosmer, Manny Machado, Greg Garcia, Nick Martini, Wil Myers, Austin Hedgers

Colorado Rockies

I like to play the Rockies vs lefties. Eric Lauer is on the bump for the Padres, and while he has been decent for San Diego (4.41 ERA, 1.38 WHIP) pitching in Coors Field isn’t something that is going to help his numbers. My MLB DFS stack will start with Trevor Story, who has already taken Lauer deep twice in just 12 at bats against him in his career. The Rockies put up 10 runs last night, we just need them to keep their foot on the gas.

Trevor Story, Nolan Arenado, Ian Desmond, Ryan McMahon, Patrick Valaika, Daniel Murphy, Charlie Blackmon

Sneaky Stacks: White Sox, A’s, Giants, Twins

Catcher: James McCann ($3,000 FD) goes against Felix Hernandez (R) in Seattle. In 10 ABs vs Hernandez, McCann has one home run and hits to a .400 ISO/.315 wOBA. On the season McCann has 12 home runs vs right handed pitching. Hernandez has been struggling towards the back end of the season and is getting lit up basically every start. He has not made it six innings since April 30th. McCann should be low owned and he has upside.

Catcher Pivot: Austin Hedges

First Base: Jose Abreu ($4,100 FD) is on fire right now. He has hit five home runs in his last eight games. In the same time frame he has had at least one hit in every game. He also gets to pick on the struggling Hernandez mentioned above. On the season, he has 24 home runs vs righties with a .226 ISO/.327 wOBA. Love it for MLB DFS.

First Base Pivots: Carlos Santana, Eric Hosmer, Daniel Murphy

Second Base: Ryan McMahon ($3,500 FD) is at home in Coors today and is priced very fairly for someone who is in the middle of the lineup and hits lefties at .229 ISO/.337 wOBA. He has nine home runs in 140 ABs vs. southpaws and I think the Rockies are going to get to Eric Lauer tonight. If you stack Rockies, McMahon fits nicely.

Second Base Pivots: Jason Kipnis, Greg Garcia

Third Base: Nolan Arenado ($4,800 FD) is the best Rockie on the board. He is another hot bat right now with three home runs in his last four games. He smashes lefties at .302/.448 wOBA. He is my favorite MLB DFS bat on the slate.

Third Base Pivots: Yoan Moncada, Manny Machado

Shortstop: Francisco Lindor ($4,400 FD) is also slashing the ball lately. He has four home runs in his last six games. He has 23 home runs on the season vs righties and hits .274 ISO/.380 wOBA. He should lead the charge vs. the Twins bullpen tonight and is extraordinarily safe. Plug in him, or Trevor Story (OR BOTH) and get weird somewhere else.

Shortstop Pivots: Trevor Story (also elite option at SS)

Outfield: Ian Desmond ($3,400 FD). I am going to stay with this underpriced Rockie. Desmond has the second best numbers vs. lefties on the Rockies, which is surprising. He carries a .301 ISO/.389 wOBA with 11 home runs on the season, which ties Charlie Blackmon. I trust him tonight hitting behind Arenado.

Outfield: Franmil Reyes ($3,000 FD) is just too cheap. He has be up and down lately but I can get behind him in this bullpen game at $3,000 on FanDuel. He has the most home runs vs righties on the Indians with 28. He hits .272 ISO/.339 wOBA. Excellent MLB DFS value here.

Outfield: Wil Myers ($3,200 FD) has a hit in 12 of his last 13 games with two home runs. He has 10 home runs on the season vs righties. I like his place in the order and I like the park his is hitting in today. Also he faces Peter Lambert (6.68 ERA) who gets absolutely crushed in Coors.

Outfield Pivots: Charlie Blackmon, Yasiel Puig, Nick Martini, Kyle Lewis

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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MLB

9/13 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/13 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/13 MLB DFS Winner: Adam Eaton

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value outfielder, Adam Eaton had a productive day at the plate against the Minnesota Twins. He ended up going 2-for-5 with a home run and two RBI. Eaton also had an outfield assist during the game as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Eaton has been producing for the Washington Nationals during the stretch run, batting .304 in his last 30 games. He also has seven of his 14 home runs during that span. Expect Eaton to continue feasting off the opposing pitchers in the final few weeks of the season.

9/13 MLB DFS Winner: Freddy Galvis

Here is a Premium Gold screenshot of all the Top 25 players based on salary from the Reds-Mariners game last night. Freddy Galvis was the main component in the Reds lineup against the Seattle Mariners. He ended up going 2-for-4 with a home run, four RBI and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Do not expect Freddy Galvis to be a productive offensive shortstop compared to the rest of the league. With this game, he is 6-for-his-last-46 and has a miserable .200 OBP in that span. There will be better offensive players for value prices compared to Galvis down the stretch,

9/13 MLB DFS Winner: Yu Darvish

Here is a list of the top-15 pitchers on the slate based on salary from our Premium Gold Pitcher Projection Model. Yu Darvish was in the Top Five but still seemed like a value for how he pitched against the San Diego Padres. He ended up going six innings of two hit ball with two walks and 14 strikeouts. All but four outs were via the strikeout.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Yu Darvish seems to have figured something out since the All-Star break, going 4-2 with a 2.44 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP. Darvish is getting stronger at a time where the Cubs are tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the second Wild Card spot. The team needs to win as much as possible and Darvish will provide great outings every time on the mound.

9/13 MLB DFS Winner: New York Mets Offense

The New York Mets had a good day at the plate as a team against the Arizona Diamondbacks, scoing 11 runs with 11 hits and added three walks. Juan Lagares went 2-for-4 with a pair of homers and six RBI (all with two outs).

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Mets have just swept a four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks and are two games back of the second N.L. Wild Card spot. The Mets are scoring 4.86 runs per game and 6.6 runs in their previous five games. With their subpar bullpen, the Mets need the offense to continue to put up solid numbers since no lead is necessarily safe.

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MLBDaily Fantasy Sports

9/12 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Big Bats for Thursday

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

Today is thirsty Thursday, and I’m going to quench you with some easily digestible lineup selections for the 9/12 DFS main slate, which kicks off at 7:05 and has just seven games. We’ve got DFS stacks, one-offs and some standout options for GPPs, including one squad that’s bound to break through against a veteran hurler with limited stuff. Let’s go win some green!

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9/12 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Atlanta Braves at Drew Smyly

I’m going GPP before cash here and picking on a pitcher with a 2.16% HR/FB rate in Drew Smyly. You can stack Coors all you want in the afternoon slates (what’s with the 2-1 games, fellas?), but I’m looking to a talented Braves lineup that’s loaded with powerful right-handed bats and some left-handed hitters like Freddie Freeman who don’t crumble when a southpaw is on the mound. Atlanta carries a .331 team wOBA against LHPs and Smyly is eminently hittable. The classic 1-5 stack is in play, as are platoon bats Austin Riley (.291/.375/.745 slash) and GPP favorite Adam Duvall (if he cracks the lineup).

LosAngeles Dodgers at Dylan Bundy

Yup, I’m going right back to the Dodgers despite an anemicperformance last night against John Means, who’s a pretty good pitcher in hisown right. Dylan Bundy is a lot easier to attack from both sides of the plate(.398 xwOBA vs. LHBs and .391 vs. RHBs), so I’m not concerned about keepinganybody off. Lefties Joc Pederson, Cody Bellinger and Matt Beaty are all duefor offensive breakouts and Gavin Lux ($2,600 on DK, $2,800 on FD) and CoreySeager ($4,500 on DK, $3,600 on FD) are plenty affordable as well.

Houston Astros vs. Homer Bailey

His name is Homer, and these are the power-hitting Astros. I’m not trying to oversimplify things, because there’s plenty of data to support a blitz on Bailey –including a park shift that favors Houston over the veteran right-hander. Bailey has yielded a .429 xOBA to righties since 2018 when pitching his home games in Oakland and Kansas City, and the Astros are at home and have bats from both sides of the plate that I want exposure to here, including George Springer, Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez. Value options include Aledmys Diaz and Abraham Toro, not to mention inexpensive catcher Robinson Chirinos.

9/12 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider 

Washington Nationals at Kyle Gibson

Boston Red Sox at Clay Buchholz

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Jhoulys Chacin

 

9/12 DFS Hitting Catcher  

Francisco Cervelli, ATL at PHI

DK ($2,700)   FD ($2,300)

This is a pure value play considering the Braves have so much talent throughout their lineup and Cervelli does a pretty good job (.414 xwOBA) vs. LHPs. He’s a cheap fifth batter in Braves stacks on DK and makes for an inexpensive utility or C-1B play on FD — if you can stomach rostering just three other bats from this team.

9/12 DFSHitting First Baseman 

Mitch Moreland, BOS at TOR

DK ($4,000)   FD ($2,800)   

You’re getting a great matchup in the middle of a stacked lineup for cheap price with Moreland. Big Mitch has BvP covered in a 4-for-8 small sample against Buchholz, who’s he’s homered against, and there’s plenty to like about going with this sneaky lefty at your 1B spot in a crowded GPP field focused on bigger names. Moreland has double-dinger potential and makes for a fine one-off or part of a Sox mini-stack.

9/12 DFS Hitting Second Baseman 

Nick Solak, TEX vs. TB

DK ($4,100)   FD ($3,300) 

Going right back to the well with Solak, who’s made me look good in this spot, and doesn’t command a very high price. The Rangers are probably only worth considering for a contrarian, large-field GPP stack because they’ve struggled against lefties this season (just a .308 wOBA and 82wRC+), but Solak offers a .379 ISO against LHPs and the venue is ripe for hitting. I’m not scared of Brendan McKay, even though he’s been able to whiff some bats here and there, and Solak is in the heart of the Rangers lineup with plenty of run-producing opportunities.

9/12 DFS Hitting Third Baseman 

Josh Donaldson, ATL at PHI

DK ($5,200)   FD ($3,500) 

Donaldson is historically good against LHPs with a career xwOBA of .XXX and he’s destroyed Smyly in 19 career ABs, including nine hits, three HRs and a 1.629 OPS. Whatever sample size you’re looking at, he’s a great play in a hitter’s park in that potent Atlanta lineup. He and Acuna will be the main focus of my Braves stacks.

9/12 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Corey Seager, LAD at BAL

DK ($4,500)   FD ($3,600) 

Even after a recent two-homer night, the price on Seager isaffordable and the slick young shortstop has resumed the No. 2 slot in the Dodgersorder. I’ve mentioned my affinity for attacking Bundy in Camden Yards, and thisslate provides an opportunity to get one of the highest upside shortstops (rightthere with Xander Bogaerts) at a cut rate.

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9/12 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

Andrew Benintendi, BOS at TOR

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,200) 

The Red Sox have been slumping at the plate, but Benintendi’s numbers over the past two seasons against RHBs (.405 xwOBA) make me excited to play him against Buchholz. There aren’t too many outfielders at this price point with as much run-producing upside.

Michael Brantley, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($4,300)   FD ($4,000) 

I have no qualms about you stacking the Astros outfield in its entirety and using both Alvarez and Springer, but if there’s one bat I’d lean towards as a one-off, especially if I’m building an expensive stack elsewhere, it’s Brantley. He’s always a little too cheap and offers plenty of upside with excellent numbers at home (.381 wOBA) and against RHPs (.207 ISO).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at PHI

DK ($5,500)   FD ($4,100) 

Acuna has a .488 xwOBA and .277 ISO vs. LHPs this season andremains the premier leadoff hitter in the NL. He’s an essential part of myBraves stacks, sometimes gets ignored because of his lofty price tag, and isplayable in both cash games and GPPs for his solid floor and soaring upside.

Additional options:

C: Robinson Chirinos ($3,800 DK), Reese McGuire ($3,300 DK)

1B: Jesus Aguilar ($2,800 FD), Matt Adams ($3,400 DK)

2B: Cavan Biggio ($4,200 DK) Brad Miller ($3,000 DK)

3B: Kyle Seager ($4,300 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($4,700 DK)

SS: Bo Bichette ($5,000 DK), Xander Bogaerts (4,900 DK)

OF: Aristides Aquino ($3,700 FD), Philip Ervin ($3,300 DK),Jonathan Davis ($2,600 DK), Danny Santana ($4,700 DK) Jay Bruce (GPP option at 3,800on DK)

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MLB

9/12 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/12 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/12 MLB DFS Winner: Tim Anderson

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a shortstop, Tim Anderson had a solid day at the plate against the Kansas City Royals. At the plate, Anderson went 2-for-4 with a pair of runs scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Anderson will be competing with D.J. LeMahieu and Michael Brantley for the A.L. Batting Title. Anderson is currently at .333 after this game with 17 games remaining. Expect Tim Anderson to stay in the top three shortstops as the team has nothing to play for for the rest of the season.

9/12 MLB DFS Winner: Jeff McNeil

Here is a screenshot of the New York Mets batters in order of projected points based off of our Premium Gold FanDuel Hitter Projection Model. Jeff McNeil ended up being their best hitter for the game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He went 3-for-4 with a stolen base, double, two homers and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: McNeil has vastly improved in every category this season except stealing bases, so it was nice to see him swipe a bag as well. He is doing a great job providing protection in the lineup to Pete Alonso. Expect Jeff McNeil to continue getting multi-hit games and driving in runners in the middle of this Mets order.

9/12 MLB DFS Winner: Chris Paddack

A screenshot of our Premium Pitcher Projection Model. This was the Top 10 pitchers on yesterday’s slate based on salary. Chris Paddack dominated the Chicago Cubs last night at home, going six shutout innings allowing just three hits and a walk while picking up seven strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Chris Paddack is doing great in his spoiler role going down the stretch. This is back-to-back outings without allowing a run. The fact he isn’t showing signs of slowing down in his rookie season is great for the future. Expect Paddack to finish the year strong.

9/12 MLB DFS Winner: Texas Rangers Offense

The Texas Rangers had good prodcution from their lineup at home against the Tampa Bay Rays last night, picking up 10 runs on 10 hits with three walks. Six players in the starting lineup picked up a RBI and they were led by Rougned Odor with the game-winning three-run home run in the seventh inning.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Rangers are a good run-producing team with the sixth-highest total in the American League at 732. That equates to just under five runs a game. Their offense isn’t the reason they find themselves at 73-74 on the year. Expect the team to produce runs but not to the point where you expect double-digits on a weekly basis.

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MLB

9/11 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

written by

On this 9/11 MLB DFS slate I would like us all to take a moment to reflect on the memories of all the lives lost on this day in America. I remember clearly where I was on that fateful day, and what I was doing. The confusion, the fear, the total disbelief. My heart goes out to all the families of the victims, may you find some peace in knowing we are all behind you always.

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On the Defense

This 9/11 MLB DFS slate is rather odd in the sense that for the first time in recent memory I will not be using any bottom of the barrel SP2s on DK. I just do not see any with high enough upside.

Sonny Gray vs. Seattle Mariners

$10,200 FD / $10,600 DK

What do you get when you cross a high strikeout upside pitcher with reverse road splits, who benefits from a positive park shift, facing a team that strikes out over 25 percent of the time versus RHPs? The answer on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is Sonny Gray, who has allowed four earned runs over his last seven starts.

StephenStrasburg vs. Minnesota Twins

$10,500 FD / $11,400 DK

I know it is hard to swallow taking anyone facing the Twins on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. After all, they absolutely crush RHPs, and LHPs don’t care for them much either. The thing is, not every pitcher is Strasburg. Over his last 20 innings pitched he has racked up 31 strikeouts. Even if a few runs are allowed here, the Twins still strike out out 21.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, opening the door for huge DFS upside.

AdamPlutko vs. Los Angeles Angels

$7,700 FD / $8,800 DK

The Angels are a very unpredictable to team to attack in DFS, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. They are 13th in MLB versus RHPs in wOBA, and 23rd in strikeouts. When you combine these factors, they all spell stay away. Regardless, in Plutko’s last start facing the Angels he went 5 1/3 innings allowing one earned run while sending four batters to the bench in dismay. I expect similar numbers here again tonight.

ReynaldoLopez vs. Kansas City Royals

$8,600 FD / $9,800 DK

Reynaldo Lopez may not be the greatest thing since the grilled cheese sandwich, but he does offer some upside on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Although he has had his ups and downs versus the Royals this season, the last time he faced them he had eight strikeouts over six innings, allowing one earned run. In his last start he pitched a complete game, allowing one earned run with 11 strikeouts versus Cleveland.

NameTeamWLIPK/9BB/9HR/9GB%HR/FBERAxFIP
Stephen StrasburgNationals16618510.82.291.0250.10%15.40%3.53.19
Sonny GrayReds106157.110.353.430.8651.40%12.50%2.753.65
Reynaldo LopezWhite Sox9121628.283.331.534.20%12.30%5.175.34
Adam PlutkoIndians6493.16.081.831.9332.00%14.50%4.445.52

On theAttack

There are the obvious stacks pretty much any time there is a Coors Field game, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. It is going to be rather difficult to bat load tonight unless you completely fade decent pitching.

ZachEflin vs. Atlanta Braves

With everyone trying to fit Cardinals, Rockies, and Dodgers in their lineups on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate, let’s look elsewhere. Eflin has a 19.06 ERA over 5 2/3 innings vs. Atlanta this year. Despite pitching well in his recent starts I see a major blow up here tonight.

Notable Bats

Freddie Freeman is a top play most nights and tonightis no different. He is posting a .424 wOBA versus RHPs this season with a wRC+of 162.

Josh Donaldson is 6-for-9 with a home run and six RBIversus Eflin. He also is sporting a .393 wOBA versus RHPs on the season.

Matt Joyce is batting .385 with two home runs over the last seven days and carries a .374 wOBA versus RHPs.

Ryan Weber vs. Toronto Blue Jays

In the words of my stepdaughter Hailee, “oof”. Even though the Blue Jays are 26th in MLB versus RHPs, they still offer a bevy of runs on any given night. With Weber returning from Triple-A tonight, I am sprinkling in Jays bats on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Keep in mind, this is more of a boom-or-bust GPP play.

Notable Bats

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the lowest strikeoutpercentage of any daily starter by far at 17.4 percent versus RHP. He also hasa .365 wOBA against as well.

Rowdy Tellez homered in his only AB versus Shawarynthis season, and I see another huge night tonight batting in the five spot.

Randall Grichuk fares better versus LHPs, but he does offer HR upside facing scrub pitchers at a discount.

NameTeamPABB%K%SBOBPSLGOPSwOBA RwOBA L
Freddie FreemanBraves47714.30%16.10%60.4230.6171.0410.4240.324
Josh DonaldsonBraves46014.10%23.00%30.3830.5670.9490.3930.364
Matt JoyceBraves17315.00%19.70%00.3930.4830.8760.3740.377
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Blue Jays3189.40%17.60%00.3680.4980.8660.3650.329
Randal GrichukBlue Jays3744.80%28.10%10.2650.4320.6970.290.284
Rowdy TellezBlue Jays2456.50%28.20%00.2730.4110.6840.2840.322

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

The Indians are 19th in MLB in strikeout versus RHPs, I am going under with Peters, failing to reach this number in three of his last four starts.

The last time Plutko faced the Angels he had four strikeouts. I see this easily happening again. Over all the way.

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MLB

9/11 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Tuesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/11 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Zack Wheeler

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Wheeler looked really good at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He went seven innings of one run ball on seven hits while adding two walks and seven strikeouts. Wheeler is sitting at 11-7 with a 4.21 ERA on the year.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Wheeler is appoaching career highs in wins and innings pitched. He has also been pitching solid as the Mets have been trying to remain in the second Wild Card hunt. Expect Wheeler to keep on throwing gems like this every fifth day.

9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Marcus Semien

Here is a Premium Gold projections screenshot of the top eight hitters based on salary from Oakland’s lineup on last night’s slate. Marcus Semien was batting leadoff against the Houston Astros and had a solid game before being replaced, going 3-for-5 with a double, home run and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Marcus Semien has been great this season on both sides of the plate. He is slugging .688 in his last 15 games and producing while Oakland is holding onto the second Wild Card spot with Cleveland is 0.5 games back of them. Semien seems to be thriving while playing for playoff chances, so expect more of this from him.

9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Brett Gardner

Another screenshot of the top hitters, this time of the New York Yankees, who were facing off against the Detroit Tigers. Brett Gardner had a huge day at the plate, going 2-for-5 with both hits being home runs and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: At age 36, Gardner has set a new career high in homers with 23 so far this season. With the way manager Aaron Boone has rested his players throughout the season, Gardner has not hit a wall like he had in previous seasons around this time. Expect him to get a handful of days off as the Yankees care more about health at this stage, but Gardner will still be a solid hitter the rest of the way.

9/11 MLB DFS Winner: Oakland Athletics Offense

The Oakland Athletics bounced back last night and looked like they were the Raiders in their game against the Houston Astros. The team combined to score 21 runs on 25 hits. In addition to Marcus Semien, who was talked about earlier, Khris Davis went 3-for-6 with a home run and three RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This game meant a lot more to Oakland than it did for Houston. The Athletics are in a three-team race for the two Wild Card spots. The Athletics are relatively healthy and are a top offense in the league.

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MLB

9/10 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Monday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/10 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Zack Greinke

As Jason had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Greinke was pretty good against the Oakland Athletics, going six shutout innings with two hits and five strikeouts. He also lowered his combined season ERA to 2.99.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Zack Greinke has been a solid pickup since the Astros acquired him at the Trade Deadline. Since joining Houston, he is 5-1 with a 3.32 ERA in seven starts. Expect Greinke to continue being a solid starting pitcher as he gets ready for the ALDS and potentially beyond.

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Nicholas Castellanos

Another solid choice by Jason on the Cheatsheet was Nicholas Castellanos for the Chicago Cubs. Facing off against the San Diego Padres, Castellanos went 3-for-5 with a homer, a couple of RBI and three runs scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Castellanos has been En Fuego since joining a playoff contender in Chicago. Since August 1 (when he was traded from the Tigers) he has a .364 BABIP and a 1.056 OPS. Not to mention he has yet to commit an error since the trade while playing both corner outfield spots. Expect Castellanos to continue to rake down the final stretch.

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Trent Grisham

Here is a screenshot of the 25 cheapest outfielders on our Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium users. Trent Grisham batted leadoff against the Miami Marlins yesterday and went 5-for-6 with a double, triple, two RBI and two runs.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Grisham is almost at 100 at-bats for the season and is at .260 wth four HRs and 13 RBI. Getting Grisham some plate appearances in the stretch run could pay dividends for the Brewers as a potential bench piece on a playoff roster.

9/10 MLB DFS Winner: Houston Astros Offense

For the second night in a row, the Houston Astros had an offensive explosion. Against the Oakland Athletics, the team combined for 15 runs on 17 hits with a pair of walks and reached on a throwing error. Robinson Chirinos went 3-for-4 with two homers and six RBI while Jose Altuve went 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Houston Astros continue to dominate in all facets of the game. This is back-to-back incedible offensive performances throughout the lineup. Houston looks serious to try and own the best record in baseball for home-field advantage throughout the postseason.

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MLB

9/9 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/9 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Shin-Soo Choo

As Wes had him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value outfielder, Shin-Soo Choo lit it up against the Baltimore Orioles, going 3-for-6 with two RBI and a run scored from the leadoff spot in the order.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Choo has had one of his best statistical seasons in his career in 2019. He is currently sitting at 21 HRs and is one away from tying a career-high. Expect him to finish the year around .270 with 25 HRs while the Rangers explore what they have going into 2020.

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Sandy Alcantara

Here is a screenshot from our Premium Gold Pitcher Projection Model. Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins was a middle-of-the-pack choice in terms of prices, but he pitched like an ace against the Kansas City Royals. He pitched a complete game shutout, allowing just four hits and two walks while racking up eight strikeouts as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Alcantara has now lowered his ERA to 4.04 with this gem.. All the numbers are looking good for what you want a young starting pitcher to have, so expect him to continue putting innings on his arm and pitching effectively in September.

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Wilson Ramos

Here is a screenshot from our Premium Hitter Projections of the cheapest catchers/first base options. Wilson Ramos was listed for $2,400 on FanDuel and $4,100 on DraftKings and was a steal for anyone who added him to their lineup. He ended up going 3-for-4 with a double, homer, three RBI, a pair of runs and a walk against the Phillies.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Ramos has been on fire for the past month, batting .416 in that span. With this stretch, he could finish with an average of .300 for the season. Another good offensive season and expect Ramos to keep putting up solid lines in the boxscore throughout September.

9/9 MLB DFS Winner: Houston Astros Offense

The Houston Astros had an offensive explosion against the Seattle Mariners last night as they put up 21 runs on 22 hits with seven walks thrown in there as well. Designated hitter Yordan Alvarez had the best night of the group going 4-for-6 with three doubles, six RBI and a run scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Houston Astros have the capability to put up some scary numbers like this against subpar pitching. They are currently tied for the best record in MLB with the New York Yankees but own the tiebreaker.

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MLB

The MLB DFS Stacks and Hitting Picks Of Destiny For September 7

written by

This Sunday September 7th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

Stacks

Houston Astros

The Astros face Yusei Kikuchi (L) who has a 5.36 ERA and seems to be losing some control lately. In his last two starts he has only struck out two in nine innings. He has faced the Astros twice this season and given up a total of nine runs while not getting past the fifth inning in either contest. The Astros look to be in a prime MLB DFS spot to get to Kikuchi early again tonight. Statistacally the best bats are Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman and Yuli Gurriel. I break down each of my favorite bats below.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves take on the Washington Nationals and Austin Voth tonight. The Nats are not comfortable extending Voth and has already said he is not going past the fifth inning (if he makes it there). Then the Braves get to go against the Nationals bullpen for the next four innings. The Braves are hot again, winning 16 of their last 18, and I don’t see that slowing down tonight. Best MLB DFS bats are Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies.

Oakland A’s

Oakland really should give Zimmerman a lot of trouble tonight. They truly do have elite bats. Zimmerman has a 6.03 ERA. While he has been serviceable lately, by only giving two runs in each of his last three contests, he can also implode. I am really like what I am seeing from the A’s bats lately and if they roll out the right lineup, in the right order, then there should be fireworks. Oakland is trying to hang in this playoff hunt. Give me Mark Cahna, Matt Olsen, Matt Chapman, Marcus Semien and Jurickson Profar for MLB DFS.

L.A. Dodgers

Tonight’s MLB DFS theme is stacking hot bats vs below average pitchers. The elite Dodgers get to face Tyler Beede after a disappointing loss Friday night. Beede has a 5.61 ERA and has given up at least one run in 19 of his 20 starts. The Dodgers get some redemption tonight and lay it on thick in what appears to be greatMLB DFS weather in Southern California. Joe Pederson, Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy and the Fresh Prince.

Honorable Mention: Mets

Catcher: Will Smith ($3,000 FD) has 10 homers since getting called up in the bigs and bats .456 ISO/.439 vs righties (like Tyler Beede) this season. Last night Will Smith struck out to another Giants reliever named Will Smith with stranding a man on in the ninth and ending the game for the Dodgers by being down one run. Tonight he gets his redemption and makes Uncle Phil proud.

Catcher Pivot: Tyler Flowers

First Base: Freddie Freeman ($3,900 FD) is in a fantastic MLB DFS spot. He hits to a .302 ISO/.432 wOBA this year with 30 home runs. He bats vs Austin Voth, in what will be a limited appearance before the Nats bullpen comes in to attempt to limit damage. Freeman hasn’t homered in four games and has let the rest of the Braves to the majority of the damage. Tonight he should pull his weight and hopefully hit one in the Chop House.

First Base Pivot: Pete Alonso; Yuli Gurriel

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,200 FD) ranks as the best bat on the Astros for me tonight. He crushes lefties and Kikuchi shouldn’t be much competition for the former MVP. He swings to a .378 ISO/.468 wOBA on the season vs southpaws and has multiple hits in his last two games. When Altuve gets hot, you play him in MLB DFS.

Second Base Pivot: Max Muncy; Ozzie Albies; Jurickson Profar

Third Base: Matt Chapman ($3,800 FD) has 21 homers this season vs right handed pitching. The Oakland core is lethal and if they can get this lineup turning over I expect big things. Chapman hits at a .249 ISO/.418 wOBA. Chapman usually doesn’t put up a goose egg in MLB DFS. I expect him to get on the base a couple times at minimum, but I am playing him because he should be able to get one in the bleachers tonight.

Third Base Pivot: Josh Donaldson (HOT)

Shortstop: Alex Bregman ($4,400 FD) is on a tear right now. He has scored 27.9,13,21.7,18.5, 12.5 and 19.2 FanDuel points in his last six contests. He is hitting at a .333 ISO/.440 wOBA vs lefties with 11 home runs. Things are not going to get any harder for him once a right handed pitcher comes in after Kikuchi either. Don’t overthink him, play the hot bat in one of my favorite MLB DFS stacks.

Shortstop Pivots: Marcus Semien; Ahmed Rosario

Outfield: Yordan Alvarez ($4,200 FD) is another Astro I love. With the second most home runs on the team vs lefties Alvarez will be making my main lineup. He swings to a .350 ISO/ .411 wOBA and will be in the sweet spot of the Houston lineup. He will have the opportunity to get some RBIs as well and have the back of the Astros lineup push him around the bases. Very safe.

Outfield: Cody Bellinger ($4,600 FD) is the most expensive outfielder today but has a fantastic matchup vs Tyler Beede. I will do my best to get him in, and with some cheaper pitching options today, I think it is doable. He swings to a .343 ISO/.441 wOBA this season and is of course always a home run threat. You need that from him tonight if you pay up. Joc Pederson is a great play as well. I rank them 1A and 1B on the Dodgers.

Outfield: Mark Canha ($3,400 FD) The A’s are priced pretty good today for what I expect them to do vs Jordan Zimmerman. The core of this lineup all has the chance to go deep honestly but Canha statistically has the best shot. He hits to a .274 ISO/.418 wOBA with 17 homers on the season vs righties. Get him in your Oakland MLB DFS stacks.

Outfield Pivots: Ronald Acuna, Ramon Laureano, Matt Joyce

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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MLB

9/7 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

MLBMovingAvg
written by MLBMovingAvg

After poring over this 9/7 MLB DFS slate it seems to me as though we have one of them nights with several pitchers in great matchups, which for DFS purposes is like finding a needle in a haystack. So, with a whole day of baseball action ahead of us, and some tricky pricing, I bring you today’s pitching picks.

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On the Defense

JustinVerlander vs. Seattle Mariners

$12,500 FD / $12,400 DK

Justin Verlander usually comes at a high salary, and this9/7 MLB DFS slate is no different. So, unless you have access to a DFS paymentplan for salaries he is going to be tough to fit in tonight, especially on DK. Regardless,he is facing a Mariners team striking out 24.8 percent of the time versus RHPs.That last time Verlander faced the Mariners he had 10 strikeouts over sixinnings while only allowing one earned run. This is without a doubt the safestplay on the slate, and the most difficult to use.

JakeOdorizzi vs. Cleveland Indians

$8,900 FD / $10,200 DK

With Andrew Heaney only being $900 less on DK than Odorizzihe shines as the clear cut second SP1 option on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Despitethe tribe fairing well this season versus RHPs carrying a .329 wOBA, they stillwhiff more than 20 percent of the time. With Jake from State Farm posting a1.06 ERA with 19 strikeouts over 17 innings this season versus the Indians, Iam all in here tonight.

Tony Gonsolinvs. San Francisco Giants

$6,400 FD / $8,600 DK

Two things are self-evident on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate, TonyGonsolin is the first guy since Tom Selleck to make the moustache look goodagain, and his price on FD is extremely low facing a Giants team with a wRC+ of58 over the last seven days. Over his last 24 innings pitched spanning fivestarts, moustache Tony has only allowed five earned runs while striking out 19batters. This includes a start in Colorado. On DK tonight, with no Coors Fieldgame on the slate, I would try and find a way to pair him with Odorizzi leavingyou with $3,900 per player to start with.

AustinVoth vs. Atlanta Braves

$7,000 FD / $7,200 DK

Here is where we enter the high-risk portion of this 9/7 MLBDFS pitching article. Although the Braves are striking out 23.3 percent of thetime versus RHPs, they also post .328 wOBA which is 11th in MLB. Theamount of innings Voth will pitch tonight is my biggest concern as he has onlypitched more than five innings twice in his first five starts. Luckily for usone was versus this Braves team where he struck out seven batters over sixinnings while only allowing two earned runs. I will be using hm tonight as mySP2 in GPP play.

JeffHoffman vs. San Diego Padres

$5,500 FD / $5,100 DK

Talk about a boom-or-bust GPP play on this 9/7 MLB DFS slate. Hoffman is facing a Padres team tonight striking out 26.5 percent of the time versus RHPs, with a low .298 wOBA. In his last state facing the Padres in Colorado Hoffman went five innings allowing one earned run with only two strikeouts. With an extreme park shift tonight in San Diego I am totally going to take a shot here and bat load a lineup or two.

NameTeamWLSVGIPK/9BB/9HR/9BABIPGB%HR/FBERAFIPxFIP
Justin VerlanderAstros17502919311.981.631.540.20234.60%16.10%2.563.413.31
Jake OdorizziTwins1460271429.633.111.010.29635.10%9.60%3.613.664.54
Austin VothNationals1005239.392.351.170.29540.60%11.10%3.9144.64
Tony GonsolinDodgers2116287.071.930.960.22245.10%8.80%2.893.684.71
Jeff HoffmanRockies1501045.19.133.772.580.34635.30%22.00%7.356.35.17

On the Attack

TylerBeede vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

After a tough loss last night in this historic rivalry, theDodger bats are going to come out swinging tonight. Beede has allowed four ormore earned runs in in five of his last eight starts, never surrendering lessthan three.  With the Dodgers onlystriking out 20.9 percent of the time versus RHPs (26th in MLB), anda .342 wOBA, Beede is going to get walloped.

Notable Bats

Cody Bellinger absolutely mashes opposing pitchersand is batting .316 over the last seven with two home runs.

Joc Pederson is batting .727 with five home runs andnine RBI over the last seven days while posting a wOBA of .379 versus RHPs.

Matt Beaty has been in a bit of slump as of late, batting .167 with one home run over the last seven days but comes at a reduced price and currently has a .372 wOBA versus RHPs.

Yusei Kikuchi vs. Houston Astros

In Kikuchi’s last two starts versus the Astros he has allowed nine earned runs over nine innings. With Houston coming in 1st in MLB offensively versus LHPs posting a killer wRC+ of 138, which is a full 12 points higher than the Twins coming in at 2nd, all bats are in play here.

Notable Bats

Jose Altuve has an incredible .486 wOBA versus LHPs,with a wRC+ of 215. He is a top play any night versus lefties.

Alex Bregman is batting .435 with a home run and sevenRBI over his last seven games while posting a .436 wOBA versus LHPs thisseason.

Robinson Chirinos comes in at a value most nights inan expensive Houston lineup. He also has a .400 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+ of157. Easily my top catcher play of the night.

DylanCovey vs. Los Angeles Angels

How about a pitcher who has allowed eight earned runs overhis last 4 2/3 innings, including a start versus the Tigers? Yup, here he is.With a whole lot of action heading towards the Astros and Dodgers offensetonight, the Angels should provide some value facing a scrub like Covey.

Notable Bats (besides Mike Trout)

Brian Goodwin may not be a flashy name but he doeshave a wOBA of .356 versus RHPs. He is also batting .333 with a home run andseven RBI over the last seven days while finding himself in the lineup on aregular basis as of late.

Kole Calhoun is another player that also comes in at a nice salary most nights and as a bonus has a home run off Covey in a small sample size. He also has gone nine straight games without putting one in the seats, which I see changing tonight in the cleanup spot.

Name Team W L SV G IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BABIP GB% HR/FB ERA FIP
Tyler Beede Giants 3 9 0 20 96.1 8.5 3.74 1.87 0.325 44.10% 19.40% 5.61 5.42
Yusei Kikuchi Mariners 6 9 0 28 144.1 6.55 2.87 2.06 0.298 45.40% 19.50% 5.36 5.79
Dylan Covey White Sox 1 7 0 16 52.1 6.02 3.96 1.89 0.291 41.60% 18.60% 6.88 6.1

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With Beede in a tough start tonight in Los Angeles, and Bellinger having the ability on a nightly basis to draw walks, and mash baseballs, I am going with the over here.

Although Posey’s splits favor RHPs, he has yet to face mustache Tony, which often leads to an 0-for-something.

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