To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal here in the 10/11 DFS column is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some fantasy gold. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land!
Iwant to focus this article on a deep dive into NFL Week 6 and guide you to winbig. I will go game by game with my takes on each game along with my core andvalue plays for Week 6.
Deep Dive and Top Plays
Cowboys vs. Jets
I’mgoing to start with this game because you may not know this, but I’m a big Cowboysfan. In this game, the Cowboys are coming off two straight losses to actualcompetition and are looking to end this streak. Sam Darnold is back, which bumpsup the projections and values of a few players, but I’ll be on the Cowboys sidefor the most part.
Cowboys – The Jets rankin the middle of the pack for defense and have been pretty solid behind a pouroffense that was being run by Luke Falk. The Cowboys are projecting fora bounce back game and I’m high on Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup. TheCowboys thrive against bad teams and I’d expect them to continue theirdominance against bad teams.
Jets – Sam Darnold is back, which means JamisonCrowder and Le’Veon Bell receive a boost in projections. In Week 1, JamisonCrowder had 10+ targets and had quite a game. Bell was also used in thepassing game and on the field for 100% of their offensive snaps. Le’Veon Bell will garner some ownershipand he’s projecting well over 20% for Week 6, but I won’t be that high on him.Yes, the Cowboys defense allowed 4 TDs to Aaron Jones, but the Dallas defenseis pretty solid and should bounce back against a poor Jets team.
10/11 DFS Core Plays
10/11 DFS Value Plays
49ers vs. Rams
Thisgame is probably 1 of 3 games that I won’t be focusing on as much. I believethat this is a tough game to predict due to which LA Rams defense will show upthis Sunday. Jameis Winston had a field day against the Rams a few weeks agoand the Rams don’t look solid at all. Meanwhile, the 49ers are looking like oneof the best teams in the NFL and the defense might be legit. It’s still early,but time will tell.
49ers – I like the 49ers side for value, but it is very difficult to predict which Wide Receivers will perform as Jimmy Garoppolo loves to spread the ball around. George Kittle is severely underpriced and I’ll definitely have some shares on DraftKings. I also like the price tag of Marquise Goodwin on FanDuel. As for the running backs, I’m at a complete fade given how many they are using right now. I’d use them in GPPs, but a definite fade in cash.
Rams – Besides all our questions surrounding Gurley and his usage, we’re also wondering about Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. Cooper Kupp is settling in as Jared Goff’s favorite WR, but everyone else seems to be a big question mark. I do like the price tag for Robert Woods, but I’m not high on the Rams side given the rejuvenation of the 49ers defense.
10/11 DFS Core Plays
10/11 DFS Value Plays
Saints vs. Jaguars
Thishas the potential to be the sneakiest game of the slate, but I believe it’smore a GPP game stack then cash game. The New Orleans Saints defense is middleof the pack , but have one of the best run defenses in all of football. Meanwhile, the Jaguars defense is a shell ofits former self and ranks towards the bottom of the NFL. With two weak pass defenses,this has the potential to be a higher scoring game.
Saints – Is Teddy Bridgewater the real deal? He could be getting into the swing of things, but only time will tell. You can use him and Michael Thomas in GPP’s, but my main focus is going to be Alvin Kamara. He will be the only Saints player with most of my exposure.
Jaguars – I believe in Minshew Mania. That’s the first point I want to get across before I dive into this. DJ Chark is priced a little too high for me right now given his recent success so I won’t be using him in as many lineups except for my Gardner Minshew stacks in GPP’s. The value play for me will be Dede Westbrook. He is still a vital part of the passing game and he’s a solid salary saver. As for Leonard Fournette, he projects well, but this Saints run defense is the real deal and I won’t be as high on him. He does have high usage in this Jaguars offense, but the defense and price tag make me shy away from him. On DraftKings, I’m more on Fournette and Chark because of their price tags.
10/11 DFS Core Plays
10/11 DFS Value Plays
Seahawks vs. Browns
This isanother interesting game that I will have some pieces for my lineups, but alower amount of stacks. My favorite play of this slate is from this gamebecause of his price tag and usage and he will be in a lot of my GPP and cashlineups. Also, we see a pretty steep discount on Odell Beckham.
Seahawks – This is the moment you’ve been waiting for. My core play of the entire slate. Are you ready? If you listened to my podcast yesterday, you’ll know that I love the price tag of Tyler Lockett and he is going to be locked and loaded in my cash lineups along with most of my GPP lineups. Chris Carson has a pretty nice price tag, but I want to see one more solid game before I roster him in multiple lineups. D.K. Metcalf is also interesting to me, but I’ll mainly be on Lockett. Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman did just run all over this defense so I can see the case for Chris Carson, but I don’t trust him given his ball security issues.
Browns – If there is to be a bounce back game for the Browns, I think this might be the one. I see them trailing for a good portion of this game so they will be passing the ball a ton. Odell Beckham is at a discount and I’ll lock him in GPP lineups until I see more consistency. I’m mainly off the Browns for this game except for tournaments.
10/11 DFS Core Plays
10/11 DFS Value Plays
Titans vs. Broncos
Thisgame is a fade for me. Since I’m doing 150 lineups on the Milly Makertournaments on FanDuel and DraftKings, I’ll have 1 or 2 stacks for each team,but I am far from a fan of this game.
Titans – The only two things I’m considering for the Titans are using their DST and a few Derrick Henry lineups. With a low Vegas total, this team is not a focus for me.
Broncos – Another low Vegas total for the Broncos and until they have someone other than Joe Flacco throwing to Emmanuel Sanders or Courtland Sutton, they are a fade. Sutton and Sanders do have a nice number of targets, but I’m not a fan because of Flacco. They are pretty much a fade for me.
10/11 DFS Core Plays
10/11 DFS Value Plays
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Bengals vs. Ravens
I tooka stab at this game in my Wednesday article talking about the Bengals and theirhorrific defense. In my $40,000 victory this past Sunday, I used the Bengals DSTand it hurt my chances at the $100,000. The Bengals rank in the bottom 5 in overall defense and rank 27thin points allowed.
Ravens – Given Lamar Jackson has struggled the past 2 weeks, I expect a bounce back game. I’m a little off Mark Ingram because of his price tag, but you can use him in GPP as he projects to be under 10% owned. Marquise Brown will garner ownership because of price tag, especially on FanDuel. Mark Andrews is just too cheap on DraftKings to pass up on him
Bengals – Although the Ravens defense is nothing to brag about, the Bengals offense has been struggling since week 2. I’m high on the Ravens defense is season long leagues, but that price tag is way too high in a matchup against a mediocre Bengals offense. The Bengals rank in the bottom 5 in offense as well, but they will be passing a lot this game given they will be trailing from the get go. I’ll have a few lineups with Joe Mixon and Auden Tate on DraftKings because of their price, but my main play in GPP’s will most likely be Tyler Boyd. The Bengals side of this game is not my favorite play, but I’ll have some GPP lineups with them.
CorePlays
ValuePlays
Texans vs. Chiefs
I’mgoing to stick with this game as the “Game Stack of the Week”. Both sides will garner ownership given their letit fly mentalities
Texans – DeAndre Hopkins is due to breakout. Plain and simple. Given Will Fuller’s recent performance, I expect DeAndre Hopkins to break out of his funk versus a mediocre Chiefs defense. As always, we are unsure of what’s wrong with the DraftKings pricing model because Carlos Hyde is ridiculously cheap and the best value on the slate.
Chiefs – The same narrative can be said here about Travis Kelce. Kelce has struggled in recent weeks and Patrick Mahomes seems to be human. I’m hoping many shy away from the Chiefs given their price tags, but I’m still high on them this week given Atlanta was passing all over Houston last week. I don’t have Mahomes listed as a core play, but that doesn’t mean I won’t have shares of him.
CorePlays
ValuePlays
Falcons vs. Cardinals
Couldthis be the game that Julio Jones breaks out of his funk? He is one of myfavorite plays of this slate. I honestly think Hooper will go lower owned giventhe Cards shutting down Tyler Eifert, but I’m locking in Hooper as the Falconsare pass happy and I expect lots of targets to head Hooper’s way.
Falcons – Arizona defense is bad. Plain and simple. They arebroken when it comes to defending the TE. I will load up on Falcons stacks as I expect them to continue to be passheavy.
Cardinals – Kyler Murray is coming off his first win and this was without doing as well as we wanted him to. Given the Falcons and Cardinals having two of the worst defenses in the NFL, I’d expect a shootout. This game will most likely be my number two game stack I heavily use. Look for Christian Kirk news because I’ll be loading up on Larry Fitzgerald along with some KeeShan Johnson if Kirk is ruled out.
CorePlays
ValuePlays
Eagles vs. Vikings
I sidemore with the Vikings side over the Eagles side for this game. Vikings DSTstill ranks as one of the top defenses, but they are susceptible to the pass. Isee the Eagles trailing in this game so they’ll need to pass. Ertz projectswell from the Eagles side.
Eagles – As I mentioned, my main target is Ertz, but Jordan Howard comes in as value on DraftKings given that he seems to have won the feature back role.
Vikings – This is where things get dicey. The Eagles secondary is garbage and Kirk Cousins should have a field day. The question is whether Stefon Diggs will finally have his breakout game. I’m high on him this week given his price tag, but you just never know. I do like Dalvin Cook this week after a down week in Week 5.
CorePlays
ValuePlays
Redskins vs. Dolphins
Battle of the defeated! One of my least favorite games, but could be a GPP gold mine. There is value all over the place with this game and both defenses rank towards the bottom. Not much to dive deep into for this game as it has the lowest projected total in Vegas so I’ll keep the value plays on this end. I will have some Case Keenum and Terry McLaurin stacks given the chemistry they’ve had this season.
ValuePlays
My rankings for DST are as follows:
My offenses to target and stacks to focus on are as follows
Thanks for reading and good luck this weekend!
I’ll be in Las Vegas this weekend so I’ll beon and off until Sunday morning, but please contactme with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win Daily Slackchannel!
WIN DAILY is excited and proud to welcome DFS Pro Javier Prellezo to the team! Check out his incredible career DFS accomplishments in his bio at the bottom of the page.
Win Daily DFS Grinders: Happy Wednesday to you!!
To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some DFS Diamonds. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land!
For those of you that were in our Premium Gold Slack Chat this past week, I was trying to guide you all to push for Christian McCaffrey. They are simply forcing him the ball and rolling the offense towards CMC. Until they decide to lighten the workload, you need to keep pushing CMC as a CORE PLAY. Unfortunately, he’s not on the main slate for this week so it’s time to be sad.
MostDFS sites, pros, players, etc. don’t focus on the next week until later on inthe week, but I want to provide an early look into Week 6. I want to focus onthe top 3-5 games that I’m currently leaning towards for Week 6. I will take adeeper dive into the games later in the week.
DFS Cash Game Plays and Top Plays
Bengals vs. Ravens
This isn’t a game to target on both sides, but more on the Ravens side. The Bengals defense is bad and for those of you that took advantage of the cheap price on the Bengals DST were thoroughly disappointed. Given two straight weeks of disappointment for Lamar Jackson, I’d expect a BIG bounce-back game for Jackson and the Ravens offense. Keep your eye on Marquise Brown and his ankle throughout the week.
DFS Core Plays
ValuePlays
Texans vs. Chiefs
To be honest, this might be the game stack of the week. Texans vs. Falcons did NOT disappoint and I don’t think this game will either. Given two mediocre defenses and two killer offenses, I’ll be heavily invested in this game and I’d expect it to be the chalk. Keep your eye on Patrick Mahomes, who was hobbling all game on that ankle.
CorePlays
ValuePlays
Falcons vs. Cardinals
Many may shy away from this game because of how bad both teams are, but I wouldn’t say their offenses are as bad as their defenses. Austin Hooper will be the chalk given the Cardinals defense versus TEs, but hopefully, ownership will shy away from Hooper a little given that they shut down Tyler Eifert.
CorePlays
ValuePlays
GPP Game(s) of theWeek:
Redskins vs. Dolphins
Battle of the defeated! Who will get their first win or will they tie? Honestly, both defenses are bad, both offenses are bad. I suspect that many will NOT be on this game because of how bad they are, but this could be GPP gold. I side more with the Redskins side for offense, but with the Dolphins coming off a bye week. You just never know.
ValuePlays
Eagles vs. Vikings
Kirk Cousins is alive! I feel like most players will shy away from this game because of what the Eagles just did, but I expect the Vikings to feast on this terrible defense. The Vikings are motivated and Dalvin Cook had an off week. I expect Dalvin Cook to be a CORE PLAY!
CorePlays
ValuePlays
This is NOT a homer pick, but if Darnold is out this week once again, I’d say load up with the Dallas DST and move on from anyone else. Luke Falk is terrible and bad defenses (like the Eagles) have been feasting. The word is that Sam Darnold will be active, but be on the lookout for this news.
I’ll be back Friday with a deeper dive into my favorite NFL games for Week 6.
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Three game slates are NOT my favorite, but I do like to max enter on low-cost entries to see if we can hit big. My strategy is to put in 10-20 lineups for each team. Ideally, you can do 10 PP1 for each team and 10 PP2 for each team. It isn’t the best strategy, but it worked more times than once. I’d also recommend doing different combos of game stacks and hope for a 6-5 shootout in one of the games. With these PP lines, I’d focus on a game stack or focus on a particular stack that you’re in love with to mix and match,
Kings vs. Canucks
Kings – The Kings were bad last year and will continue to be bad. Losing 6-5 to Edmonton in their first game shows us a promising offense. As expected, their defense is bad and the Canucks could be a sneaky stack even though they are supposed to be any good this year. Core plays for the Kings include Anze Kopitar, Tyler Toffoli, and Ilya Kovalchuk.
Canucks – A young squad with lots to learn. This game might the one we want to avoid given the inconsistencies of both teams. I don’t know what to expect, but there are some solid core players here. Core plays for the Canucks include Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, and Alexander Edler.
Key Takeaway – Being on the second night of a back-to-back, I’d load up on the PP1 and PP2 of the Canucks. Nothing is sneaky on a three game slate, but the Canucks are a solid play against the worst team in the NHL. I’d fade the Kings.
Devils vs. Flyers
Devils – The defense has been suspect through two games and offense seems middle of the pack. I’d fade them for now, but the offense does look promising coming off what they did last year. Core plays from New Jersey include P.K. Subban, Taylor Hall, Wayne Simmonds, Travis Zajac, and Kyle Palmieri.
Flyers – One game, one win. They allowed three goals on the path to a 4-3 win against the lowly Blackhawks. This game has the potential for high scoring given the rivalry and the poor defenses on both sides. I’d target more the Flyers side vs. the Devils side. Core plays from Philadelphia include Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek, James van Riemsdyk, and Shea Gostisbehere.
Key DFS Takeaway – This game has the potential to be high scoring so a game stack isn’t out of the question, but I’d prefer the Sabres vs. Canadians in that regard.
Canadiens vs. Sabres
Canadiens – Through two games, they’ve allowed three goals and five goals while losing both games in Shootouts. Defense looks to be a problem for the Canadiens, but the offense does NOT. I’d stack the top two PP lines with a focus on the PP1. Core plays from Montreal include Phillip Danault, Shea Weber, and Brendan Gallagher.
Sabres – They have beat two solid teams thus far with only three goals allowed thus far in the first two games. The offense put up seven recently against a solid Devils team, so we can wait and see to see how it goes, but I would just focus on the Canadiens side as of now. Core plays from Buffalo include Jack Eichel , Jeff Skinner, Victor Olofsson, and Sam Reinhart. These guys will be on the PP1 unit and have good value for your stacks.
Key DFS Takeaway – My primary game stack play would be this one. Both defenses are pretty suspect and both offenses seem to be strong this year. If I had to pick a side for this game, I’d choose Buffalo.
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PGADFS (10/9) – Houston Open
CorePlays
Doc Redman (FD : $8,400 ; DK : $7,200) – Best value for this tournament. He can find his way into contention given he is third in greens in regulation and fifth in strokes gained off the tee. Best value on the slate and will most likely be the chalk.
Harris English (FD : $9,900 ; DK : $8,900) – Weak field and this is your most expensive play on both sites, but this golfer was once elite. He’s an above-average with his putter and his short game is one of the best in the game. Although he has a weak approach game, he can be trusted given the weak field of this tournament.
My Consensus Value Rankings for this Tournament:
Please contact me with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win Daily Slack channel!
It’s Week 5 DFS for the NFL, and there are plenty of viable TE and DST plays to get us in the money for cash games and GPPs. Let’s fire up the DFS engines and get you the picks you need to take down the tourneys and better your opponents.
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While the Eagles receiving corps is getting healthier, Ertz remains a much-utilized target within Philly’s offense. Through four games, he’s seen the most targets among TEs (38) and racked up 24-255-0, the glaring lack of a TD the only thing that ‘s keeping him from fantasy glory. Against the Jets in Week 5, he stands a good chance to remedy that. Zach Ertz is reasonably priced, the number one cash game play of the main slate and makes for a fine lock-and-load in all formats.
If Wertz is first, who do you think is second? Engram has only one fewer target (37) than Ertz and is averaging 6.75 receptions, 82.75 yards and a 0.5 TDs per game. If we round those numbers up to 7-83-1, we’re looking at a solid cash game play in a game that should feature a lot of the Giants TE. He comes at a small discount from Ertz, and even with WR Golden Tate back and slot man Sterling Shepard clicking with Rookie QB Daniel Jones, Engram projects to see around 8-10 targets on a weekly basis.
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We’ve got some huge disparity with the pricing on Hoper, who’s themost expensive TE on FD at $6,700, and only the fifth priciest on DK. That’s somethingwe can take advantage of in GPPs on FD, where his ownership should be slightlylower. Hooper saw 11 targets in Week 4, the most among NFL tight ends, and bustedout for 9-130-0. The Texans have been stingy vs. TEs, but with this game projectedto be a boon for all the skill position players, I’ll be utilizing Hooper in game/teamstacks with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, and running back some of the Texans (DeAndreHopkins, Will Fuller).
At this point, it’s safeto call Waller matchup-proof, and while his upside is somewhat limited againstthe Bears, I can’t keep him completely off my builds for Week 5 NFL DFS. He’stied with Engram for second most targets among TEs (37) and he’ll be utilizedoften as a check down with the Raiders likely struggling to move the ball verticallyup the field. Ownership on both sites will be low and there’s no reason we shouldn’tlook to Derek Carr’s most reliable pass catcher as a contrarian GPP option here.
In Week 3, Kyle Allen looked absolutely smitten with hisveteran TE, but Olsen had a quiet week last Sunday when he hauled in just twoof his four targets for 5 yards. That performance was against the aforementionedTexans, and game log followers with recency bias may steer clear of Olsen thisweek. That’s fine – because when healthy, we need reliable red zone targets withupside like Olsen in our GPPs. The Jaguars aren’t the big bad scary predatorycats they were in 2018, so plug in the Panthers TE with confidence.
Doyou like risk? How about when it comes with oodles of upside in a matchup thatportends many scoring opportunities for a potent offense? Tom Brady has been desperatelylooking for a TE to lock onto since Rob Gronkowski retired, and Watson – in his15th NFL season and his second turn with the Patriots – is comingoff a four-game suspension that’s kept him off the field thus far. In his triumphantreturn to New England, we could see a few extra targets go his way. I won’t havetons of exposure to Watson, who’s probably going to be limited to red zonechances and about half of the Pats’ total offensive snaps, but he’s anoff-the-wall play for GPPs.
Eifertis crazy cheap on both sites and gets a gigantic boost against the Cardinals,who yield 163.7% of the average fantasy points to TEs. He’s been quiet thisseason and he might get chalky, but the Bengals offense is missing some oftheir WRs and Eifert is an attractive value play in Week 5.
Game manager Teddy Bridgewater doesn’t necessarily get the bloodpumping and inspire confidence in the New Orleans offense, but the QB should belooking more to Jared Cook in Week 5 against the Bucs, who provide a favorablematchup for the athletic Cook. His 18 targets through four games is arelatively low number, but this is a good game for him to spike a Top 10 TEfinish and find some good, old-fashioned NFL paydirt.
The Bears are slightly cheaper than the Pats on both sites and rank as my top cash game DST for Week 5. They’re just as likely as New England to notch multiple sacks and grab a few turnovers, and they probably have a little more upside based on some of their standouts defensive talents like sack specialist Khalil Mack, DB Kyle Fuller (23 solos, two INTs) and linebacker Roquan Smith, who’s back with the team after missing Week 4 for personal reasons. I’m buying in both cash and GPP contests.
The Redskins are having some difficulty settling on a QB for Week5, and the Pats defensive players must be licking their collective chops at theprospect of haranguing either journeyman Case Keenum, Colty McCoy (who’s yet tosee the field for Washington this season), or rookie Dwayne Haskins, who was9-for-17 in Week 4 with three INTs. New England comes in as my second-best cashgame play, but they’re usable in all formats.
The Giants aren’t quite as terrible as they were during the firstcouple of weeks, but they’re prone to turnovers and providing scoring opportunitiesfor opposing defenses with a substandard offensive line and a rookie QB. TheVikings are affordable on both sites and could get lost in the shuffle ofviable DST options.
We’ll be seeing a lot of green-on-green violence in this Sunday tilt, and there’s as much upside to this Philly unit (which has yet to break out with a double-digit performance) as any other DST on the slate.
I’m not trying to pick on the New York teams this week, even if it feels like it, but the Bills could be the third squad form the Empire State who’s not entering Week 5 with the same starting QB they rolled out in Week 1. The Bills are not a bad team, but the Titans have been watching the tape on Matt Barkley and planning accordingly.
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The Packers are another team that’s super risky heading into Week5 but make sense an off-the-board GPP play in Dallas. I’m a Cowboys fan and I knowthat the offensive lien issues they’re having are much more of a problem than anyonewants to let on. Pairing them with Aaron Jones and fading Ezekiel Elliott on afew lineups could allow you to find some leverage and load up withTexans-Falcons, my favorite game stack on the slate.
The Bengals are once again viable in GPPs (they’re at home and facing a rookie QB) but they’re not going to make any of my cash game builds. Use them as a contrarian GPP defense with plenty of upside and just as much risk.
Photo of Zach Ertz by Keith Allison
Week 1 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
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Check back for updates closer to lineup lock on Sunday.
Stud Quarterback: Baker Mayfield ($7,900 FD; $6,400 DK)
I fully expect the Browns to come out with guns blazing for their home opener. Baker Mayfield is going to try and feed the Big 3 in OBJ, Landry and Chubb. The Titans will be tasked with trying to stop this new and improved offense with big expectations. The home field advantage will be real on Sunday. The Browns win big and Baker shows off. See Chubb and OBJ below
Stud Pivot: Patrick Mahomes
Mid Quarterback: Jameis Winston: ($7,500 FD; $6,600 DK)
The 49ers defense is bad and they travel across the country to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jameis Winston doesn’t exactly have a stable of running backs to rely on so I am expecting more of a passing attack here. Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard are all big play threats that will help carry Winston. I also love NFL DFS quarterbacks that are not afraid to run when the play breaks down and Winston has proven that he can get yards on the ground too. He should be good for mid 20s NFL DFS FanDuel points here with upside for more.
Mid Pivot: Jared Goff
Value Quarterback: Josh Allen ($6,900 FD; $5,600 DK)
You are going to see me play him a lot this year, especially if his price stays this low. Allen runs the ball and that is huge for me at quarterback in NFL DFS. Last season he RUSHED for eight touchdowns and 631 yards. There was admittedly a lot to be desired in the passing game but he did throw for over 2,000 yards with 10 touchdowns. Reports out of camp suggest he has improved with his decision making and accuracy. He has also looked sharp (most of the time) during the preseason. The Bills have improved around their young receiving corps with the offseason additions of vets like John Brown and Cole Beasley which only benefits Allen. If I’m punting in a GPP with a cheap QB it is going to be Josh Allen against the New York Jets.
Stud RB: Dalvin Cook: ($7,400 FD; $6,000 DK)
For NFL DFS you want to target running backs who are not splitting time and have a guaranteed workload. Dalvin Cook will be the lone back, in a game I predict to be high scoring. He also gets targeted regularly in the passing game. The Vikings only kept FOUR wide receivers on their roster so there is going to need to be passing production from the backs and tight ends. Last year the Falcons were TERRIBLE against pass catching RBs and I don’t think they have made enough adjustments this year to completely fix the problem. It should be worth noting that the Falcons had a lot of injuries last year and get back Keanu Neal and Deion Jones, however that doesn’t get me off DC. Cook is the 10th highest priced running back and is in arguably one of the best matchups. He plays at home and is fully healthy (which was his problem last year). Cook will be on my main GPP team. The price and matchup are just too good to ignore.
Stud RB: Nick Chubb ($7,400 FD; $6,400 DK)
I am HIGH on the Browns Week 1. The atmosphere in Cleveland is going to be electric. They have high hopes for this team and Baker and the Boys are going to score as many points as possible just to prove they belong. I love the Wide Receivers and QB, but also Mr. Chubb. Nick is going to get a full workload rushing as well as a few targets from Baker. Duke Johnson’s departure as the pass catching back should help slightly. The Titans defense is not one to be feared. They are going to be spread thin trying to defend the pass and this should cause them to not be 100% focused on stopping the run. Chubb should get near 20 touches, several Red Zone opportunities, and will get a few check down targets. The opportunity is there and expect the former college star to break out in his second season in the NFL (much like his old Georgia teammate Todd Gurley did in his sophomore year).
Update: Stud RB: Christian McCaffrey ($8,900 FD; $8,800 DK)
He does it all. He should get at least 15 rush attempts and double digit receiving targets is a real possibility too. I like him better on DraftKings because the of the PPR structure. He is expensive but that is because he is safe with very high upside. With all the value on the week one slate it shouldn’t be a problem fitting him in. He will go against the Rams who were not known to stop the run last year. They fly in from the West Coast all the way to Carolina to try and make up for their embarrassing Super Bowl loss. Win, lose or draw, McCaffrey is going to be a constant on the Carolina Offense yet again this season and is as safe as it gets at running back.
Stud WR: Odell Beckham Jr ($8,200 FD; $8,100 DK)
Update: He is high risk because of a lingering hip issue. If he is on the field I think he will be going full speed. His ownership will be lower than normal because of the injury concern. If OBJ is not hindered by his hip, he is in a great spot. Don’t go all in here but maybe get a share on larger field GPPs. Keep an eye on the news leading up to kickoff.
The Browns have a new toy in OBJ and they are going to make sure he gets his in the home opener. The argument can be made that he has the best hand(s) ever in NFL history (Yes, I mean that). There is nothing more that he is going to want to do then erupt for a huge game to not only impress his new Browns fans but rub the offseason trade right in the Giants face. Baker and OBJ are going to be dynamic together. This is a showtime QB with a showtime receiver. If Beckham Jr. doesn’t come down with a touchdown it will not be for a lack of effort. He will be getting plenty of targets and designed plays to get him in the endzone. If you want to save the $ you can go down to his old LSU counterpart Jarvis Landry. With the Titans defense having to focus more on Beckham, Landry will find himself with a little more space to operate.
Stud Pivots: ADAM THIELEN, Robert Woods
Mid WR: Mike Williams ($6,400 FD; $5,300 DK)
Here is a guy no one will own. The Chargers lost their franchise RB to a holdout and are now going to have to find a way to keep their remaining injury prone backs healthy. Austin Ekeler WILL unfortunately go down with injury this year and the Chargers know it. I expect a mix of both him and Justin Jackson for the time being, with a larger focus on the receiving game. The Chargers WR one, Keenan Allen, has not played in a single preseason game with a nagging ankle injury which moves Williams up to wide receiver 1B. His price is too cheap for the role he should play against the Colts. Quarterback Philip Rivers told Eric D. Williams of ESPN that he expects Williams to be a “Big Part” of the Chargers offense this season. Let’s get in on him before his price starts to rise and his ownership goes up. He is my favorite mid range Milli Maker wide receiver.
WR Midrange Pivots: Calvin Ridley, Jarvis Landry
Value WR: Dede Westbrook ($5,900 FD; $4,800 DK)
I’m not really sure why the Chiefs are only favored over the Jags by 3.5 points. I was expecting at least a touchdown. Anyway, the Jags should be playing from behind here. I know people think the Jags are an elite defensive unit because of what they did in 2017, but they can also get blown up (see 2018) and who else is better than blowing up defenses then Pat Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs? Why does this matter? Because Nick Foles should have to air it out in the second half and Westbrook is emerging as his favorite target. Fellow Jags WR Marqise Lee is coming back from missing the entire 2018 season and I don’t expect him to come out of the gate with a large workload expectation. D.J. Chark is an athletic freak but has yet to make the leap of being a consistent NFL option. Chris Conley is a new addition, however there is no reason to believes he will excel more in the Jacksonville offense than the lethal Chiefs offense where he was last year. All of these uncertainties at wide receiver just funnel me more towards Westbrook. I’ve seen him win GPPs before and this feels like a good week to get some NFL DFS shares.
WR Punt: Demetrius Harris
Stud TE: Travis Kelce ($7,800 FD; $7,100 DK)
Jalen Ramsey is going to shadow Hill and Kelce is the next best passing option. He is the top TE in the NFL and has the MVP throwing to him. The Chiefs also use their TE as an offensive threat more than any other team in the league. The Jaguars are not going to double cover him and that is going to be a mistake. Kelce should finish the week as one of the top scoring TEs, but he is also the most expensive. . At a position that regularly delivers zeros you can feel safe that Kelce is going to get you enough to keep you alive in GPPs. If we get lucky he will be much lower owned than he should be just because people will not want to target the Jags D.
Mid TE: O.J. Howard ($6,500 FD; $5,000 DK)
Jameis Winston shouldn’t have much resistance vs the San Francisco 49ers defense. Mike Evans is their top receiving option but O.J.. Howard is on the verge of a real NFL DFS breakout season. He has impressed all camp and has the trust of his quarterback. Adam Humphries was shockingly targeted second most on the Bucs last season and now is in Tennessee. DeSean Jackson was targeted fourth most and he now is also gone. These two departures should help funnel more looks towards the star Tight End that the Bucs know they have.
Value: Austin Hooper ($5,500 FD; $3,200 DK)
Don’t sleep on the Falcons offense. I like Hooper’s price. I like his role in this new Steve Sarkisianless offense. I like that Matt Ryan is a vet who spreads it around and doesn’t force throws to his superstar(s). I like that the Vikings will be least focused on Hooper with Julio, Ridley, Freeman and Sanu on the field. I like that this should be a high scoring game. I like his low ownership. I like Hooper as a punt.
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Head coach Freddie Kitchens indicated on Wednesday that Baker Mayfield, Myles Garrett and the rest of the starters will indeed play in Friday night’s game in Tampa Bay. “We’re going to play our guys some,” Kitchens said after Wednesday’s practice, “and I don’t know how long yet.” Mayfield wants to play at least a half tonight. If indeed Mayfield does see extended playing time, look for Rashard Higgins. He has led the team in targets (10), receptions (9), and receiving yards (132).
Mike Evans will not play in this game. The interesting play for the Bucs in this game is running back Dare Ogunbowale, who leads the team in rushing attempts (23) and is third in the NFL in that category. He has also flashed three-down skillset with three receptions for 54 receiving yards. Ronald Jones is dealing with a knee injury and with Peyton Barber, the presumed starter, not expected to play, you can roll with Ogunbowale. By this point, Tanner Hudson needs to be a lock at tight end. He leads the league in receptions, receiving yards, targets, and total routes run through two weeks of the preseason.
Wide receiver Duke Williams and tight end Tommy Sweeney seems like the best plays for the Bills. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has singled out Williams for ‘taking advantage of opportunity’. Meanwhile, Sweeney leads the team in routes run (32). Dawson Knox is expected to play; however, set limit expectations for Sweeney if he suits up against the Lions after missing time with a hamstring injury. At running back, Devin Singletary is also a viable option as he has seen heavy usage in the passing game. He has a team-best eight targets . Overall, Bills’ starters should see plenty of work. With Lions likely resting players, the Bills’ defense could be a leverage play. The Lions have allowed 140 passing yards to three different quarterbacks over the past two weeks.
Matthew Stafford’s status of playing in Week 3 is still up in the air. If he ends up not playing, adding mobile quarterback Josh Johnson seems like a great play for preseason DFS. Be bullish on Lions’ starters in general for Friday night. The top three receivers on the depth chart are locked in, but the depth behind is the real question mark. I like Brandon Powell, who leads the team in targets and receptions. Interesting tidbit as well here: Bills offensive coordinator Daboll was a former New England offensive assistant when Patricia was with the Patriots. His offense is going to be similar to what the Lions faced the last two weeks against New England and Houston. allowing at least 30 points to both teams. Defensively, however, Patricia said Leslie Frazier’s defense is different than what Detroit’s faced the last two weeks. Running back Zach Zenner should get plenty of work and state his case for a bigger workload once the games count.
Kyler Murray has not played great in the first two preseason games. Reports have shown that the Cardinals will show a little more of their real offense in Week 3, making Murray a very enticing option to play at quarterback. Interestingly enough, the Vikings defense has struggled with mobile quarterbacks. Overall, the Cardinals plan on using Week 3 as more of a real game. Head coach Cliff Kingsbury mentioned that Saturday was a target to switch from install to game planning their opponents. Murray seems like a sharp play, along with rookie KeeSean Johnson who leads the team in targets (9).
Music to my preseason DFS ears: the Vikings trying to ‘showcase’ receiver Laquon Treadwell. “We’re trying to get Treadwell the ball a little bit more in the second half,” Coach Mike Zimmer said after Sunday’s game against the Seahawks via USA TODAY. “Try to showcase him a little bit, I guess. He made some nice plays.” Guaranteed touches are hard to come by, so when the coach blatantly comes out and says it, you need to be listening. Treadwell finished with four catches for 47 yards against the Seahawks, so expect more of the same on Saturday against the Cardinals, especially late in the game. Mike Boone is always an option at running back as the preseason darling he is. He has 181 yards on 26 touches through two weeks.
Receiver Kahale Warring is still in concussion protocol and Will Fuller and Keke Coutee do not look like they will play. Injuries create more opportunities for receiver Vyncint Smith (leads team in routes run), and tight end Jerell Adams. Joe Webb is always an option as well because of his rushing upside and the fact that he is second in the NFL in passing yards (236 yards/game). Focus on the backups here. The Cowboys are also missing multiple starters on their defense because of injuries who will most likely be held out in this contest.
There will be no Amari Cooper in Week 3 of the preseason for Dallas. A receiver to look at instead is Jon’Vea Johnson who leads the team in routes run and total targets in the passing game. He has also been impressing the staff at training camp according to Albert Breer via the MMQB. For running back the Cowboys seem dead-set on showcasing Tony Pollard as much as they can so even in a limited capacity he is worth rostering.
Again it will be more of the same with the Bears holding out their starters in the preseason. Seems smart based on what we have seen from Thursday night. Tight end Ian Bunting has shown great receiving ability (second on the team in receiving yards.) Javon Wims is still the best bet at wide receiver by leading the team in yards/route run (2.14), receptions (7), and second in targets (9). Kerrith Whyte and Ryan Nall will split touches at running back, but Whyte has the most upside with his speed and usage in outside zone runs.
The Colts are going to withhold publicly naming their starting quarterback. Head coach Frank Reich said that you will not see most of the starters in this preseason game. An interesting player that has yet to see the field for injuries is receiver Penny Hart, who finally returned to practice. Running back is also very interesting with Marlon Mack, Johnathan Williams and Jordan Wilkins all most likely out. Aca’Cedric Ware led the team in rushing attempts in Week 2 of the preseason.
Reports state that Drew Brees will play. In past years, the Saints have kept him in for either the entire first quarter or pulled him after a three-and-out series to start the game, so his workload against the Jets is anyone’s guess. The quarterback to target may actually be Taysom Hill. Hill had 191 yards of offense and directed three second-half scoring drives against the Chargers. A receiver to target is Austin Carr who has impressed Brees in training camp entering his third season. “I think Austin’s had a great camp. He continues to get better each day. I’m really developing a lot of confidence in him,” Brees said. That translates into NFL Preseason DFS Week 3 potential.
There will be no Le’Veon Bell in the preseason for the Jets. That creates a massive opportunity for Ty Montgomery to see extended reps with the first-team offense. Montgomery led the team in carries in Week 2.
The 49ers are trying to stay as healthy as possible entering the regular season. The reports are that Jimmy Garoppolo will play the first half, which would be great for preseason DFS. This Chiefs defense is very different than the Broncos unit they faced last week. A perfect receiver to pair with Jimmy G is Deebo Samuel. The 49ers have found interesting ways to get him the ball and he leads the 49ers in yards/route run (2.03) through two weeks. Look for him to finish among the top scorers in NFL Preseason Week 3 DFS
It’s all about Darwin Thompson, who is shooting up the Chiefs depth chart. Another strong showing Saturday night could solidify Darwin Thompson as the Chiefs No. 2 back behind Damien Williams. Cody Thompson is also a great look at wide receiver. He leads the team in targets (12), yards/route run (2.38), and receiving yards (88).
Though it is Week 3 for most, this is the Broncos fourth preseason game. Head Coach Vic Fangio told the media that most of the starters will not play at all in the upcoming preseason game against the Rams on Saturday night. Coach Vic Fangio said Kevin Hogan will get the majority of the reps at quarterback. For receivers, the play should be Juwann Winfree with Hogan. All of the lower-ranked receivers have seen similar target distribution, but Winfree has the most gain by putting up stats on Saturday.
It’s more of the same with the Rams, who do not play any of their starters in the preseason. Darrell Henderson has to lead the team in carries, but he is an upside play with his explosive run-style. There is not much outside of that with the Rams for preseason DFS.
Pete Carroll has come to the defense of Rashaad Penny, so don’t be surprised if they dial something up for him in Week 3. Penny has just 13 yards on 12 carries this preseason, so it would be nice to see some burst from him. At receiver, Jazz Ferguson is slightly ahead of John Ursua and the box score shows that. He has twice as many targets (10) despite running fewer routes (23 vs 29). His ceiling is much higher than Ursua’s.
Anthony Lynn said Philip Rivers did not ask for playing time in the third preseason game against the Seahawks, so the plan remains to keep the Chargers’ starting quarterback out of the game. Most of the starters are expected to miss this preseason game. No player has really stood out from the depth in the first two preseason games, so the Chargers are definitely a team to fade in preseason DFS.
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Ben Roethlisberger wants to get work in for as many receivers as possible Sunday. This is not good for preseason DFS as we are looking for consolidated targets for receivers. Diontae Johnson looks to be the lowest on the depth chart with the most upside that should be targeted. James Washington has essentially been Mr. Preseason leading the team in targets, yards, and routes run. Reports have surfaced that Benny Snell is a longshot to contribute in 2019, so per usual, the Steelers should just run him into the wall for the remainder of the preseason. His 20 rushing attempts are 11 more than then next closest on the roster.
A handful of injuries for the Titans, with running backs Dalyn Dawkins and David Fluellen along with tight end Ryan Hewitt being banged up. It could mean another showing for Jeremy McNichols at running back for the Titans or Alex Barnes. Stay up to date with inactives at running back for Sunday’s game. But with the hype as the McWeapon, he might need to be a lock come gameday. Dont be surprised to see McNichols among the league leaders in NFL Preseason DFS Week 3.
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