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Los Angeles Rams

FanDuel Super Bowl Showdown: Bengals vs. Rams

The NFL DFS season concludes with the showdown slates for the Super Bowl, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in the big game!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021. This article will focus on the FanDuel contests, rules and pricing.

Let’s get to the game!

Super Bowl NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences on the MVP slot on FanDuel: FD doesn’t assess a salary penalty but still bumps the points scored to 1.5x – a crucial factor in who we choose since the chalkiest player is that much more chalky on FD.

Super Bowl Showdown NFL DFS Chalk: Cooper Kupp (FD $16,000)

Pivot #1: Joe Burrow (FD $15,000)

Pivot #2: Matthew Stafford (FD $15,500)

Pivot #3: Ja’Maar Chase (FD $12,000)

Contrarian #1: Odell Beckham, Jr. (FD $10,500)

Contrarian #2: Tee Higgins (FD $10,500)

Contrarian #3: Joe Mixon (FD $12,500)

FanDuel Value Play: Kendall Blanton (FD $8,000)

So, in writing a FanDuel-specific column, I certainly want many of the same guys, but we have to take some chances at the top slot, because there’s no penalty. As I said on the DK article, Cooper Kupp is once again the chalk. The NFL’s top scoring fantasy WR is drawing heavy ownership on FD as well, thought Matt Stafford is on his heels a lot more with these rules. I like Stafford, but Joe Burrow and the Bengals are who I’ll lean to more. I REALLY like going with Ja’Marr Chase as the top guy on FD in at least half of my large-field GPP entries.

As I said, one of the main reasons Burrow has had so much success is the play of rookie WR Chase — Burrow’s teammate at LSU and a certified surprise given his depleted draft stick last April and the struggles he faced during training camp and the preseason. Chase doesn’t need much of a window to find the sunlight of the end zone, and if there’s one QB-WR stack we should focus on building around, it’s this one.

Bengals notes: After Burrow and Chase, the options are still plentiful, with the sure-handed and statuesque Tee Higgins offering immense upside in both the red zone and between the 20s, veteran WR Tyler Boyd operating skillfully in the slot as a target-rich value play, and Joe Mixon — who’s useful on just about any down and distance as well and effective in the red zone as a bruising but nimble runner and pass-catcher. As was the case on DK, I’ll be crafting some lineups that include kicker Evan McPherson and C.J. Uzomah (questionable with a knee injury) if the TE can suit up and play on Sunday.

Rams notes: RB Cam Akers is a much better value play on DK, so I’m not as interested on FD. Tyler Higbee and Kendall Blanton are the same price on FD, so there’s a direct swap out if Higbee doesn’t suit up or is limited. I’d much rather play Higgins over Odell Beckham Jr. in single-entry GPPs and cash games, but OBJ needs to be considered for large-field GPPs as a leverage play. He’s not as risky as Boyd (my favorite leverage play on DK), and more expensive, but I could see him winning somebody a lot of money as the MVP. We know just how good he can be, and if coverage is overly focused on Kupp, he can hurt this Bengals defense with volume, red zone dominance and the TDs it takes to win on FD.

FD Strategy Notes: The strategy on FD is pretty simple. If you’re looking for leverage on the field, go with Chase or OBJ at MVP and play Burrow with Kupp and some Rams value. For cash games I want to squeeze a QB in the top slot and make sure I have Kupp and one of either Chase or Higgins in there as well.

Super Bowl Showdown: NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Now that we’ve established some NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates for the big game, the best way (as always) to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Joe Burrow
Matthew Stafford
Cooper Kupp
Ja’Marr Chase
Odell Beckham, Jr.
Joe Mixon
Tee Higgins
Tyler Boyd
Tyler Higbee (questionable)
Kendall Blanton (direct swap for Higbee if he sits)
Evan McPherson
Cam Akers (questionable)
Matt Gay
C.J. Uzomah (questionable)
Darrell Henderson (questionable)
Sony Michel (higher if Akers or Henderson sits)
Van Jefferson (questionable)
Samaje Perine
Drew Sample
Ben Skowronek
Trent Taylor
Chris Evans
Mike Thomas

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for the Super Bowl action!

3 years ago 0 comments

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DraftKings Super Bowl Showdown: Bengals vs. Rams

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season concludes with the showdown slates for the Super Bowl, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in the big game!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021. This article will focus on the DraftKings contests, rules and pricing.

Let’s get to the game!

Super Bowl NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences on the Captain slot on DraftKings: DK bumps both the points scored and salary cost to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on the site. This can sometimes allow us to build more creative stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Super Bowl Showdown NFL DFS Chalk: Cooper Kupp (DK $17,400)

Pivot #1: Joe Burrow (DK $15,900)

Pivot #2: Matthew Stafford (DK $16,200)

Pivot #3: Ja’Maar Chase (DK $15,600)

Contrarian #1: Joe Mixon (DK $14,400)

Contrarian #2: Tee Higgins (DK $11,400)

DK Value Play: Evan McPherson (DK $6,000)

It’s the Cooper Kupp chalk show this week as the NFL’s top scoring fantasy WR is drawing heavy ownership as the captain of about 65-70% of projected lineups thus far, but as good as he is, I’d like to start off our discussion with some thoughts on Bengals sophomore QB Joe Burrow.

Burrow suffered grade 3 tears of both his ACL and MCL on November 22, 2020 — Week 11 of his rookie season in a game against the Washington Football Team (now the Commanders). Despite being a few days shy of 15 months after that fateful date, a LOT has changed since then. What looked like a serious roadblock to a promising young QB’s career has melted away. The WFT has a new name. We’re still forging bravely through a difficult time here on Earth, with folks still getting sick and the many challenges of confronting and navigating a pandemic, and Joey B isn’t just recovering and rehabbing from the injury — he’s culminating a brilliant season with a trip to the Super Bowl, replete with a host of dangerous offensive weapons who have a nose for the end zone and the ability to take it to the house on any touch.

I don’t want to take away from the laudable accomplishments of Kupp after a legendary NFL season or Matthew Stafford leading this Rams team to the big game after toiling away in the purgatory of Detroit for so many years, but what Burrow has accomplished this season is otherworldly — the kind of comeback that’s fit for celluloid or the images of a flashing dreamscape.

One of the main reasons Burrow has had so much success is the play of rookie WR Ja’Marr Chase — Burrow’s teammate at LSU and a certified surprise given his depleted draft stick last April and the struggles he faced during training camp and the preseason. Chase doesn’t need much of a window to find the sunlight of the end zone, and if there’s one QB-WR stack we should focus on building around, it’s this one.

Bengals notes: After Burrow and Chase, the options are still plentiful, with the sure-handed and statuesque Tee Higgins offering immense upside in both the red zone and between the 20s, veteran WR Tyler Boyd operating skillfully in the slot as a target-rich value play, and Joe Mixon — who’s useful on just about any down and distance as well and effective in the red zone as a bruising but nimble runner and pass-catcher. The Bengals DST could be a surprising value as well (despite the matchup), and I’ll be crafting plenty of lineups that include kicker Evan McPherson and C.J. Uzomah (questionable with a knee injury) if the TE can suit up and play on Sunday.

Rams notes: The Rams aren’t exactly starved for offensive options in this matchup, but knowing who to play could be a little more difficult to discern given the injury issues surrounding RB Cam Akers and TE Tyler Higbee, as well as the absolutely dynamic play of Odell Beckham Jr. over the past few games. A great addition after losing Robert Woods to a season-ending mid-November practice injury, OBJ took a couple weeks to adjust to the playbook and find his happy place in LA, but promptly racked up 19-236-1 on just 23 targets over the first three weeks of the playoffs. Waiting in the wings to help our builds from a value standpoint are Sony Michel, TE Kendall Blanton (the possible fill-ins for Akers and Higbee, respectively) and even RB Darrell Henderson, Jr., who has a good chance to return from IR to be activated for Super Bowl LVI. The Rams DST has a chance to be part of the narrative as well, but they’ll need to get some pressure on Burrow and do what no other team this playoffs ahs been able to do — shut down the juggernaut passing game and prevent some of the quick scores that have punctuated their wins.

DK Strategy Notes: If we’re willing to fade Kupp, it’s pretty simple to get a nice-looking Bengals stack with Burrow/Chase at CPT/UTIL and another top-flight WR (either Higgins or Boyd) and still get a piece of the Rams offense with OBJ or a value RB. If we decide to play Burrow/Chase and squeeze in Kupp at another UTIL spot, we can still make do with the $4K+ for each of the remaining three slots.

Super Bowl Showdown: NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Cooper Kupp
Joe Burrow
Ja’Marr Chase
Matthew Stafford
Tee Higgins
Joe Mixon
Odell Beckham, Jr.
Tyler Boyd
Tyler Higbee (questionable)
C.J. Uzomah (questionable)
Evan McPherson
Cam Akers (questionable)
Matt Gay
Rams DST
Bengals DST
Darrell Henderson (questionable)
Sony Michel (higher if Akers or Henderson sits)
Kendall Blanton (higher if Higbee sits)
Van Jefferson (questionable)
Samaje Perine
Drew Sample
Ben Skowronek
Trent Taylor
Chris Evans
Mike Thomas

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for the Super Bowl action!

3 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

PrizePicks Picks and Props – Super Bowl Edition – Win Daily Sports

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Super Bowl edition of PrizePicks Picks and Props. In this article we’ll be highlighting some of my favorite props that PrizePicks is giving us.

Not already a PrizePicks member? Sign up today using the button below and you’ll get a bonus match of 100% up to $100. And to top it off, we’ll give you a free month of Win Daily Gold ($50 value).

Claim Offer Here – Promo Code – WINDAILY

We’ve made it folks. After a long, grueling season we’ve finally made it to the Super Bowl. We have 2 dynamic offenses going this weekend some of the top players in the league. It should be a game for the ages!

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.

Super Bowl Picks

Joe Burrow – 270.5 Passing Yards

The kid from LSU just continues to win. So far in the playoffs he’s beaten Patrick Mahomes, Ryan Tannehill, and Derek Carr. Can he make it 4 for 4 and beat Matthew Stafford? If the Bengals have any hope of winning this weekend, it’s going to be on the back, well arm of Joe Burrow. He’s willed the team to victory in more than a handful of games and I think he does it again this weekend.

The Rams, while having a solid secondary, have shown some susceptibility in the playoffs as they gave up over 300 yards to Tom Brady. Burrow has a ton of weapons to throw to and he’ll use them heavily on Sunday night. He’s “balled out” when the Bengals have needed him the most, and they’ll need him Sunday night. I’m siding with the over on the 270.5 passing yards that PrizePicks is giving us.

Matthew Stafford – 278.5 Passing Yards

On the other side of the ball we’ll have a QB in Stafford that will hopefully have two cities rooting for him in Los Angeles and Detroit. Childhood friend and teammate Clayton Kershaw already has a World Series ring. Does Stafford add a Super Bowl ring to the Highland Park High School trophy case? Like the Rams, the Bengals have also given some big numbers in the playoffs.

Derek Carr threw for over 300 in the Wild Card Game and then Mahomes threw for 275 in the Conference Championship. While a tough D, they can give up some yards in a hurry and like Burrow, Stafford has a plethora of weapons. His two main targets are two of the best in the league in Kupp and Beckham. We also can’t forget about Jefferson. I’m going with the over on the number that PrizePicks has set for us.

Joe Mixon – 60.5 Rushing Yards

I love Mixon, I really do. He’s a phenomenal back with tremendous upside. That said, I think he falls just short of his number this week. If the Bengals win this one, it’s going to be through the air and not on the ground. Burrow is at his best when he’s slinging the ball around to guys like Chase, Higgins, and Boyd. Mixon has been a huge reason why the Bengals have gotten to this point, I just don’t think he’ll get the run in this one. He falls just short of the 60.5 rushing yards from PrizePicks.

Ja’Marr Chase – 77.5 Receiving Yards

Big game player in his what is his biggest game to date in the NFL. Yes, Jalen Ramsey has already been very vocal about flanking Chase all game. It’s going to be a tough game for Chase and Chase did have a down game against the Chiefs in the conference championship. That said, I just don’t see a scenario where it happens 2 weeks in a row, especially in a game this big.

Some players are born for moments like this one. Chase is that type of player. Since Week 16 vs. the Ravens, Chase has had 4 games over 100 yards receiving. This week it will be 5 games and Chase battles Burrow for Super Bowl MVP. I’m going with the over on this one.

Cooper Kupp – 105.5 Yards

What else is there to say at this point about Cooper Kupp? Including the playoffs, he has just 4 games under 100 receiving yards since week 6. He’s had just an unreal year and he’ll be needed if the Rams have hopes of holding off the feel good Bengals. Kupp, regardless of who’s covering him, continues to find open spaces deep and Stafford always finds a way to find him when he is. Sunday night should be no exceptions. Look for Kupp to have yet another 100 yard game and smash the PrizePicks target.

One other pick and you won’t find this one on PrizePicks. My bet for first song during the halftime show will be Lose Yourself.

Good luck and hope to see some green bars come Sunday night!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

3 years ago 0 comments

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Week 14 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Rams at Cards

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 14 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 14 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 14 NFL DFS Chalk: Cooper Kupp (FD $15,000, DK $18,000)

Pivot: Kyler Murray (FD $17,000, DK $16,800)

Contrarian #1: Matthew Stafford (FD $15,500, DK $15,600)

Contrarian #2: DeAndre Hopkins(FD $12,500, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #3: Sony Michel (FD $12,000, DK $10,800)

DK Value Play: Chase Edmonds (FD $10,000, DK $6,900)

Cooper Kupp edges out Kyler Murray as the chalk play at CPT for Monday night, but either makes for a high-upside play with almost unlimited scoring potential. Kupp is the highest-scoring fantasy WR this season, averaging over 27 DK points per game, and Murray posted 30.82 DK points in last week’s return at Chicago. Getting both in your lineup will be difficult this week, but it can be done, especially if we can find another value play to plug in at CPT.

Rams notes: I won’t necessarily prioritize Matthew Stafford tonight, but I have plenty of interest in Van Jefferson and Sony Michel, and to a lesser degree, Odell Beckham, Jr. Of course, we’re making the assumption that Darrell Henderson won’t clear COVID protocols in time for the game, so I’ve left him off my list of targets. Tyler Higbee is a risk-reward option but has been a steady contributor to the offense this season aside from weeks 2 and 12, and he’s a solid value at $5K in a contest that’s missing any viable flex options under $2K.

Cards notes: DeAndre Hopkins is no longer the best WR in football, but he’s still a huge part of the Cards red zone offense and has a 20-25 point ceiling. Chase Edmonds is eligible to return from IR tonight, and the Cards have been playing it pretty close to the vest if they intend on activating him for this contest. They are well within their rights not to disclose whether or not he’s been practicing since he’s currently on IR, but if he suits up, he could be a big-time value play on a team that likes to run the ball and will utilize his smarts and skills to do anything that’s asked of him. We’ll have to stay tuned to the pre-game reports before deciding if we have any exposure, and how much. If he sits this out, James Conner should get a huge workload. A.J. Green had just one catch last week and could be a sneaky flex play at just $4,800, and as usual, Christian Kirk is a boom-or-bust type with huge upside and a terribly low floor. The same can probably be said for TE Zach Ertz.

Week 14 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Now that we’ve established some Week 14 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Cooper Kupp
Kyler Murray
Matthew Stafford
DeAndre Hopkins
Sony Michel
James Conner
Van Jefferson
Chase Edmonds (if active)
Tyler Higbee
A.J. Green
Odell Beckham, Jr.
Christian Kirk
Zach Ertz
Matt Prater
Matt Gay
Rams DST
Cards DST
Eno Benjamin (if Edmonds inactive)
Rondale Moore
Mehki Sargent
Ben Skowronek
Demetrius Harris
Kendall Blanton

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

3 years ago 0 comments

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Week 10 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Rams at 49ers

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 10 NFL DFS Chalk: Cooper Kupp (FD $16,000, DK $18,000)

Pivot: Matthew Stafford (FD $17,000, DK $16,200)

Contrarian #1: Darrell Henderson (FD $12,000, DK $13,800)

Contrarian #2: Jimmy Garappolo (FD $14,000, DK $15,000)

Contrarian #3: Brandon Aiyuk (FD $7,500, DK $9,900)

Cooper Kupp appears to be the chalk at CPT on DK but Matthew Stafford currently holds the edge on FD tonight. Both are fine options but Stafford may be the safer of the two when considering how the 49ers could blanket Kupp and force Stafford to distribute among his other weapons.

Rams notes: Kupp, Stafford and Darrell Henderson are the top three options for the Rams, but we shouldn’t ignore the explosiveness of TE Tyler Higbee, WR Van Jefferson and the newly acquired Odell Beckham, Jr. Seeing a big game from OBJ may be a bit of a stretch, and he’s certainly not worth his inflated salary just yet, but ownership should be low. I really like the price on both Higbee and Jefferson, and we should monitor the status of Ben Skowronek, who’s questionable with a thigh injury but could start if he’s active. With Robert Woods (torn ACL) on the shelf it’s likely Jefferson will absorb a few more targets per game – which could translate into fantasy relevancy. Even before Woods went down, his targets over the past few weeks increased to 7-6-7, and I’m banking on increased production from him and Higbee tonight.

49ers notes: My favorite 49ers player, for the price, is actually Brandon Aiyuk, and his ownership should be significantly lower than we might expect because Deebo Samuel is off the injury report, rights along with Elijah Mitchell. Among Samuel and Mitchell I prefer Mitchell, because the way to attack the Rams is by running right at them, while Samuel may line up over Rams shutdown CB Jalen Ramsey a good percentage of the time tonight. The other player I’ll be clicking frequently, and probably much more frequently in my builds than QB Jimmy Garoppolo, is George Kittle, who returned last week with a 8-101-1 game and is crucial to their success tonight. A lot of my 49ers builds will just be Aiyuk and Kittle, with four Rams on the other side. We could also get word the 49ers will give more touches to Jeff Wilson, which could elevate him based on his very low price.

Week 10 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Forget about the kickers. They could play a role in a game that might involve some stalled drives just outside the red zone.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Neglect to see who’ active and check how much we should see OBJ. It could affect whether or not we consider Skowronek, who’s a solid value play if active.

Now that we’ve established some Week 10 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Cooper Kupp
Matthew Stafford
Darrell Henderson
Jimmy Garappolo
Brandon Aiyuk
Elijah Mitchell
Deebo Samuel
George Kittle
Tyler Higbee
Van Jefferson
Odell Beckham, Jr.
Rams DST
Jeff Wilson, Jr.
Matt Gay
Robbie Gould
Sony Michel
Kyle Jusczcyk
49ers DST
Ben Skowronek
Ross Dwelley

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

3 years ago 0 comments

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Week 5 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Rams at Seahawks

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 5 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 5 NFL DFS Chalk: Russell Wilson (FD $15,500, DK $17,700)

Pivot: Matthew Stafford (FD $16,000, DK $17,100)

Pivot #2: Cooper Kupp (FD $14,000, DK $18,600)

Contrarian #1: Tyler Lockett (FD $12,000, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #2: Robert Woods (FD $10,000, DK $11,400)

It’s going to be close between Russell Wilson and Matthew Stafford for who gets the chalk at captain, and just like in previous showdowns, FanDuel and DraftKings have the top priced QB flip-flopped, with Stafford the top dog on FD and Wilson more expensive on DK — where noted Stix nemesis Cooper Kupp is actually the most expensive option. Stafford’s receiving options are healthier on a short week, while Wilson is dealing with a bunch of minor-to-medium injuries to his skill position weapons, including Tyler Lockett, who toughed out a hip injury on Sunday, DK Metcalf (foot, limited in practice Monday through Wednesday) and Chris Carson (questionable/GTD for TNF with a neck injury). One of my favorite captain plays is actually Robert Woods, who the team keeps promising will get more involved. Both he and punt play Rams WRs Van Jefferson and DeSean Jackson are capable of large-field GPP brilliance if they catch a couple of big ones and allow you to get the main guys in there.

Rams notes: Darrell Henderson, Jr. (ribs) actually doesn’t have an injury designation for tonight, as he went through the same practice routine for a second consecutive week — being listed as limited on the first two daily injury reports before putting in a full session on the final one on Wednesday. He should handle the bulk of carries and snaps, but Sony Michel could always vulture a score or notch a few important touches. The matchup is great for almost all the Rams options, so the best bet is to mix-and-match based on narrative and find a good balance with these teams, as it’s projected to be a shootout (54.5 game total). TE Tyler Higbee and K Matt Gay are also in play.

Seahawks notes: The biggest news leading up to game time will be the status of Carson, and Alex Collins could be a nice bargain play if the first-stringer somehow sits this one out. I’m assuming that Metcalf will draw the coverage of Jalen Ramsey, so I have a little more interest in Lockett and Freddie Swain than normal, as well as TE Will Dissly, who only caught two passes (on two targets) for 5 yards in Sunday’s 28-21 win over the 49ers. Dissly should be more involved in this game and is very cheap at just $3,800. Jason Myers could get some additional FG tries if this one stays close, too.

Week 5 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Tread too much in the sub-$1K range this week. Another week with no bargains UNLESS Carson sits, and we could see DeeJay Dallas active, but he’s a super long shot.

Now that we’ve established some Week 5 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Matthew Stafford
Russell Wilson
Robert Woods
Cooper Kupp
Tyler Lockett
Darrell Henderson, Jr.
DK Metcalf
Chris Carson (questionable)
Tyler Higbee
Van Jefferson
Freddie Swain
DeSean Jackson
Will Dissly
Matt Gay
Jason Myers
Alex Collins (bumps up to spot 9 if Carson inactive)
Rams DST
Sony Michel
Seahawks DST
Other Seahawks RBs (if Carson incactive)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 5 action!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 14 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Patriots at Rams

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 14 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 14 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Jared Goff (DK $16,500, FD $15,500)

Pivot: Cam Newton (DK $15,900, FD $16,000)

Contrarian #1: Damien Harris (DK $13,200, FD $12,000)

Contrarian #2: Cooper Kupp (DK $14,400, FD $13,000)

DK Punts: Van Jefferson ($3,900), Malcolm Brown ($3,600) and Damiere Byrd ($1,200)

DK Contrarian Punts: Patriots DST ($6,300) and Sony Michel ($4,800)

This contest sports one of the lower projected game totals of the Week 14 slate, with the Rams the betting favorite at -240 and 24.75 projected points.

The chalk is leaning toward Jared Goff and away from Cam Newton, who is questionable with an abdomen injury that he played through last week en route to a 45-0 drubbing of the Chargers. His practice snaps have been capped in consecutive weeks because of the injury, but he’s fully expected to play on Thursday night.

Both teams are expected to lean more heavily on their running games this week as both pass defenses have been stifling over the past few weeks. The Rams DST is certainly an option for builds, but the opportunistic Patriots DST strikes me as a possible contrarian play up top, as we’ve seen the Rams QB get a little kooky and turn the ball over in the past.

Top corners from both teams (Stephen Gilmore for the Pats and Jalen Ramsey for the Rams) could impact the effectiveness of the opposing passing game, but Ramsey is unlikely to match up exclusively against one of the Pats WRs – since they don’t have a true No. 1. Gilmore will likely be on Robert Woods, since Cooper Kupp lines up in the slot quite a bit. Ownership will end up being pretty close for these two, with a slight recency bias going to Woods (double-digit target consistency over the past three games) – so Kupp might end up being the better value.

Playing both Kupp and Woods together with Goff doesn’t seem like a viable option, though I wouldn’t scold you for crafting one 1/10 GPP lineups that way. For the Pats, I’m most interested in Jakobi Meyers because of his PPR strengths, though he’s made just 15 catches over the past four games since his 12-reception party against the Jets. But the price on Damiere Byrd is obnoxiously low for some reason, and he’ll be in a few of my builds for sure.

As for the running game, we’ve got healthy committees for both teams that complicate the touch distribution, with Cam Akers heading the Rams backfield and Damien Harris leading the charge for the Patriots pounding style. Sophomore talent Darrell Henderson, Jr. is a sneaky play if you’re fading Akers, and there’s always the possibility that capable veteran Malcom Brown gets a few goal line carries and in crunch time. Brown is super cheap on DK and could be worth using in the CPT role if you want to stack the high-upside position players.

The Patriots usually just play the hot hand at RB, but Harris should begin s the early down pounder while James White fills in on third down and obvious passing situations. Sony Michel is finally healthy, so Bill Belichick could throw a monkey wrench into the mix by tapping him for a few additional carries or giving him a lead role if Harris fumbles. Coach is not a big fan of fumbles.

Tight ends won’t likely play a big role between the 20s, but we could see either Rams TE notch some red zone targets and sneak in for a TD. But both Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett would be final lineup construction pieces for me rather than core builds.

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Feel confined to a classic narrative this week. Kickers and DSTs are again in play with some of the true defensive playmakers on these teams and both QBs are turnover prone.

DO: Make Damien Harris a big part of your builds. It could blow up if the Rams really make a point of stopping him, but I don’t see Belichick getting away from what has worked for them.

DON’T: Expect a high-scoring game. Both coaches have engineered these teams to win battles, but neither is especially interested in getting into a shootout.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Damien Harris
Jared Goff
Cam Newton (questionable)
Cooper Kupp
Robert Woods
Patriots DST
James White
Cam Akers
Jakobi Meyers
Darrell Henderson, Jr.
Rams DST
Nick Folk
Josh Reynolds
Malcolm Brown
Tyler Higbee
Gerald Everett
Damiere Byrd
N’Keal Harry
Sony Michel
Rams K (Matt Gay OR Austin MacGinnis)
Ryan Izzo
Van Jefferson

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 11 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Rams at Bucs

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 11 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $16,500, FD $16,000)

Pivot: Ronald Jones II (DK $13,200, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Jared Goff (DK $14,700, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #2: Robert Woods (DK $12,300, FD $12,500)

DK Punts: Leonard Fournette ($6,600) or Tyler Higbee ($7,200)

DK Contrarian Punt: Rams DST ($4,500)

While there are viable showdown builds that feature Bucs WRs Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, Tom Brady will be the chalk at captain on Monday night, largely because he spreads the ball around quite a bit. Evans was targeted a season-high 11 times last week, while Godwin has yet to receive fewer than six targets in any game he’s suited up for this season. Embattled egomaniac and HOA member Antonio Brown was targeted eight times last week in his second game with the team, so he’s another WR who could make an impact.

The Rams DST could be the best contrarian punt option to directly challenge the “Tom Brady smashes in typical fashion” narrative, since we’ve seen a disruptive Aaron Donald and this unit post double-digit DK point totals in four of the last six games.

Jared Goff is certainly an option as well, but the three-headed Rams rushing attack presents a difficult situation to parse for fantasy purposes. Goal line work that typically goes to a healthy Darrell Henderson, Jr. was handled by Malcolm Brown (two rushing TDs on six carries) in Week 10, and Cam Akers finally saw some work between the 20s with 10 carries and a modest 38 rushing yards. The Bucs stingy run defense also complicates the deployment of Rams RBs – but it also helps to reduce their ownership, so picking the right one (just like picking the right Bucs pass-catcher) could be the key to smashing the slate.

On the Bucs side, we’ve got two explosive RBs, with Ronald Jones II the clear RB1 and Leonard Fournette acting as a change-of-pace runner and an elevated role in passing down work. It doesn’t matter which back you use – you could even use both – but whatever back you choose should reflect the obvious correlation plays for both teams.

As for the other Rams position players, I usually lean more heavily toward Robert Woods for his possession attributes and larger snap share, but Cooper Kupp and his elevated price could make him the preferred option in GPPs this week. I’m also interested in Tyler Higbee, as frequently targeting the Rams TE it could be a way for Goff to neutralize the pass rush.

And speaking of TEs, the Bucs have two good ones in Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate, both of whom receive red zone targets and make for more affordable options.

It’s a week where an expertly constructed single-entry lineup could see tons of success, but multiple entries are the way to go if you’re hell-bent on coming close to finding the golden ratio of showdown perfection and taking down a huge GPP.

Week 11 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Be afraid to get a little different with your builds. Tom Brady will be massive chalk on FD, and last night’s winning lineup didn’t have Patrick Mahomes (90% owned) or Tyreek Hill (21.5 FD points), even though both had solid games.

DO: Follow a narrative that makes sense. If you’re committed to a rare Brady bust, feel free to get the Rams DST in there.

DON’T: Forget about Bucs kicker Ryan Succop – who’s had double digit totals in four of his last six games.

Tom Brady
Ronald Jones II
Jared Goff
Robert Woods
Chris Godwin
Cooper Kupp
Mike Evans
Antonio Brown
Leonard Fournette
Darrell Henderson, Jr.
Josh Reynolds
Rob Gronkowski
Tyler Higbee
Malcolm Brown
Ryan Succop
Bucs DST
Cameron Brate
Rams DST
Gerald Everett
Cam Akers
Matt Gay

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 13 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: A Kelce Dose

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for our Week 13 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate, focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win big!

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Week 13 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. OAK

FD($7,100) DK ($7,200)

Weather is playing a key role in a few games this week, with cold rain being the main culprit. It’s going to be about 35 degrees in KC with no precipitation in the forecast, so I’m perfectly fine rolling with Kelce and his 8-10 targets as my main cash gameplay. He’s coming off his best game since Week 2.

Darren Waller, OAK at KC

FD($6,100) DK ($5,500)

Waller is cheaper than Kelce and doesn’t have quite the flooror upside, but he’s still worth a look in all formats if you need the savingsat TE. It’s frustrating to see Waller without much red-zone volume and justthree TDs on the season, but he should be more involved against the Chiefs inWeek 13.

Week 13 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

George Kittle, SF at BAL

FD($7,000) DK ($6,100)

Kittle isn’t listed on the injury report but is reportedly dealing with a bone chip in his ankle – which could make him a little uncomfortable moving forward. But he returned from a two-game absence with a huge Week 12 (6-129-1 against the Packers). Sunday’s road matchup with the Ravens is a tougher draw and the weather in Baltimore projects to be a cold rain. He’s a GPP play only this week but still has an upside.

Hunter Henry, LAC at DEN

FD($6,600) DK ($5,800)

Henry is coming off a Week 12 bye and should have his usualshare of looks (54 targets in seven games this season) against the Broncos inMile High. He’s averaging an excellent 70 receiving yards per game, making himone of the more reliable tight ends in fantasy and a solid GPP play in Week 13.

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. SF

FD($6,500) DK ($5,700)

Andrews is in the sameboat as Kittle this week with regard to the game conditions and the difficultmatchup, but he’s a little bit cheaper. He’s a talented player and way too goodto fade completely, but my shares will be slightly diminished this week andthere are a few guys I like better.

Zach Ertz, PHI at MIA

FD($6,900) DK ($6,700)

Ertz (hamstring) was a limited participant in Friday’spractice and could always miss this game, but the Eagles are optimistic he’llplay. Goedert would see a huge increase in snaps and volume if Ertz is inactiveagainst Miami, but Ertz is worth rolling out in some GPPs if he’s good to go.

Dallas Goedert, PHI at MIA

FD($5,200) DK ($4,100)

Goedert could be an even better option if Zach Ertz misses,but he’s a fine enough play even with the Eagles No. 1 TE available. You’regetting a huge discount on both sites, however, if Ertz is inactive – so he’sbound to get chalky in GPPs and could make a fine enough cash play.

Ryan Griffin, NYJ at CIN

FD($5,600) DK ($4,200)

Griffin isn’t a lock-and-load value play anymore, but he’ stillGPP-viable and gets a great matchup against the Bengals. He’s now up to28-282-5 on the season, with most of that production coming after his Week 6breakout against the Cowboys.

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. WAS

FD($5,100) DK ($4,400)

Olsen is easy to forget in this week’s list of availableTEs in the main slate, but he’s up to 68 targets this season and has now hauledin at least five passes in three straight games. In Week 13 he faces a Redskinsdefense that’s allowed the eighth-most passing touchdowns this season – so he’sworth considering for GPPs.

Week 13 DFS Tight End PuntPlays

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. PHI

FD($5,000) DK ($3,400)

Gesickibroke through with his first TD of 2019 in Week 12 and should get a handful oftargets this week against the Eagles. He’s still pretty cheap on both sites.

TylerHigbee, LAR at ARI

FD($5,500) DK ($2,500)

Higbee will be Jared Goff’s main TE on Sunday with GeraldEverett out for Week 13. He saw six targets last week against the Ravens and hasnow played 70 percent of the Rams’ offensive snaps the past two weeks – a ratethat should increase in Arizona.

Additional Week 13 DFS GPP andpunt options:

JimmyGraham, GB at NYG (FD $5,800, DK $3,800) – GPP

JonnuSmith, TEN vs. JAC (FD $5,300, DK $3,300) – GPP (If Walker sits)

NoahFant, DEN vs. LAC (FD $5,100, DK $3,700) – GPP

TylerEifert, CIN vs. NYJ (FD $4,700, DK $2,800) – GPP

Week 13 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT vs.CLE)

FD($3,700) DK ($3,500)

The Steelers DST pricing is all messed up on FD, so they’re the easy pick for top DST on that site this week, even against a team that gave them fits (and hits!) a couple of weeks ago. I might look elsewhere in DK, but the discount is just too significant on FD to pass up.

Philadelphia Eagles (PHI at MIA)

FD($5,000) DK ($3,600)

The Eagles are usually GPP-only but are decent cash gameplay this week facing the Dolphins, especially considering how well they did against the dangerous Seahawks last week. They’re expensive on FD but you get a discount on DK.

Week 13 DFS DST GPP Plays

New York Jets (NYJ at CIN)

FD($4,900) DK ($3,700)

Jets fans know that you should never get too comfortable with theJets defense, and that heartache is just around the corner. While I’d love toinclude this unit in my cash game recommendations, it’s just too risky.

Carolina Panthers (CAR vs. WAS)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,800)

The Panthers defense has its problems, so they’renot really viable in cash games – but this is a fine enough matchup for GPPsand the Redskins offense is an excellent one to pick on.

Green Bay Packers (GB at NYG)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,600)

This game could get interesting.Cold rains are an awful weather component for football, and Daniel Jones hasbeen known to fumble. The Packers are a sneaky good play this week against theGiants, though their struggles against the run should limit your ownership toGPPs.

Week 13 DFS DST PuntPlays

Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC vs.TB)

FD($4,400) DK ($3,300)

The Jags make an excellent play this week at home vs. the Bucs – ateam that turns the ball over frequently and doesn’t have a very dynamicrunning game. They’re on my list of bargain options.

Los Angeles Rams (LAR at ARI)

FD($4,100) DK ($3,200)

The Rams DST turned in areal stinker last week against the Ravens, but the matchup this week is muchmore favorable, and they had scored 58 DK points total over the past four weeksbefore the negative performance in Week 12. Expect Aaron Donald and the rest ofthis unit to give Kyler Murray some trouble.

Also consider: Colts,Browns

Photo of Kelce by Master Sgt. April Wickes, U.S. Air Force

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NFL Sunday!

Richard Masana 6 years ago

written by Richard Masana

Cash with Flash Best Bets had an interesting Saturday, finishing 2-1 with our NHL suggestions and had Tampa Bay been able to hold its one-goal third-period lead, they wouldn’t have lost in overtime handing Cash with Flash Best Bets another overtime National Hockey League loss.

The NBA was okay but as someone who has watched plenty of the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers basketball, Cash with Flash Best Bets figured the Pacers would cover the five points and we missed that. The Toronto Raptors easily covered the three points and defeated the Chicago Bulls and the Los Angeles Clippers failed to cover the nine points and Cash with Flash Best Bets wound up 1-2 on the night in the National Basketball Association.

Another .500day for Cashwith Flash Best Bets seems to be the status quo for the last couple ofweeks but at us least, we aren’t losing and thankfully we have had two winningdays this week to keep us in the black as we head into the close of the week.

NFL Underdogs

The underdogs didn’t fare as well last weekend but have anoverall record of 59-43-2 this season and had you played every underdog thisseason you would be profitable.

NFL Road Teams

NFL road teams have done well through seven weeks and a63-38-2 ATS record is nothing to sneeze at. Catch an under-valued road dawglike New Orleans against over-valued home teams like the paper tiger ChicagoBears and that’s money in the bank.

Bankroll Management

Cashwith Flash Best Bets can’t stress enough how important managingyour bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financialsituation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll managementplan to help you reach them.

Slack Chat

Our sports betting slack chat seems to be increasing inparticipation and that’s a good thing. That channel is available for our Goldand Platinum subscribers and a good way for you to get some one-on-one adviceand someone is always there to help with your questions and offer advice ifneeded.

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Cashwith Flash Best Bets has the following National Football League suggestions for you today.

Cleveland Browns vs New EnglandPatriots 4:25 pm ET

Cash withFlash Bets Bets: Patriots -10.5.

It’s goingto be a rainy, windy mess in Foxboro this afternoon and the Browns bring a 2-4record against the undefeated Patriots. New England boasts the best defense inthe NFL and the Browns rank #23 according to Football Outsiders.

Brownsquarterback Baker Mayfield has a 49 percent completion rate without a touchdownand one interception when being blitzed and you can bet the Patriots know thisand will blitz like crazy. The Patriots defense has 26 sacks and 18interceptions and is going to make Mayfield’s life interesting Sunday.

Cashwith Flash Best Bets suggests laying the wood and playing the Patriots to cover the spreadSunday afternoon.

Cashwith Flash Best Bets is also interested in the following games for Sunday.

TennesseeTitans -140 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

BuffaloBills -130 over Philadelphia Eagles

JacksonvilleJaguars -6.5 over New York Jets

SanFrancisco 49ers -4.5 over Carolina Panthers

LosAngeles Rams -12.5 over Cincinnati Bengals

DetroitLions -6.5 over New York Giants

PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEWARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDEDCONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and donot reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/orexecutives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this siteare for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representationsas to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of anyinformation on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, ordelays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from itsdisplay or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

6 years ago 0 comments

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