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Los Angeles Rams

Week 8 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Waller For the Win

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s Week 8 DFS of the NFL season, and I’ve got your Sunday main slate plays for Tight Ends and DSTs to win you some big green in cash and GPP!

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Week8 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Week 8 DFS — Darren Waller, OAK at HOU

FD($6,800) DK ($5,900)

Houston doesn’t normally give up a ton of points to TEs, but Waller is no ordinary TE. And last week Eric Ebron had a nice game against them, so the matchup should be more favorable than the red numbers indicate. I’m going to have massive shares of Waller in cash and GPPs.

Week 8 DFS — Austin Hooper, ATL vs. SEA

FD($6,600) DK ($5,500)

Hooper should get a boatload of targets from whomever plays QB for the Falcons this week, and he’s been the best TE in football this season (by a small margin over Darren Waller). Roll with him confidently against a Seattle team that’s been “no great shakes” – as the old-timers said – against TEs. He’s safe for cash and fine for GPPs.

Week8 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Week 8 DFS — Evan Engram, NYG at DET

FD($6,300) DK ($5,300)

Engram missed a week with an MCL sprain, but he’s apparentlyshed the wrap that was on his left knee – and despite the fact that he didn’t domuch in Sunday’s 27-21 loss to the Cardinals, he’s in a great spot now that he’shealthy and facing a battered Lions defense that’s allowed some big games to tightends. He’s a great option for GPPs – we know his upside and the recency biaswill keep him from high ownership.

Week 8 DFS — George Kittle, SF vs. CAR

FD($6,900) DK ($6,500)

Kittle (groin) just got cleared to play in Sunday’s gameagainst the Panthers, so I’m a little worried about cash games but he’s atop target for GPPs. As long as Kittle suits up and there’s no talk of arestriction, we’re getting aboard.

Week 8 DFS — Zach Ertz, PHI at BUF

FD($6,300) DK ($5,100)

Ertz and the Eagles’ passing attack got stymied by the Cowboys,and the stud tight end ended up being a stinker. Worry not, Ertz fans, becausehe’s still the top dog TE in Philly, not Dallas Goedert, and the Eagles will bemaking use of him against a Buffalo team where they’ll have to throw underneathand trust their big targets in the flats.

Week 8 DFS — Hunter Henry, LAC at CHI

FD ($6,700) DK (4,900)

Henry’s 2019 season got offto a bad start, but since returning from injury he’s had two big games – one abona fide monster (8-100-2 vs. PIT). The Bears have actually been just okayagainst TEs this year, so Henry is still fully in play against a defense that’sranked No. 22 in most fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Week8 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

Week 8 DFS — Eric Ebron, IND vs. DEN

FD ($5,400) DK ($3,400)

Ebron could see a larger chunk of targets if Jack Doyle sitson Sunday, and is coming off a big game where he caught four of five targetsfor 70 yards and a touchdown in a win over Houston. The TD was a nice one, too,as he got his feet in bounds on a short TD pass in the third that helped propelthem to victory. Denver is okay against TEs, but his upside shouldn’t be significantlylimited.

Week 8 DFS — T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. NYG

FD($5,300) DK ($3,500)

The rookie tight end hasbeen building more consistency in his game but had some mistakes last week againstthe Vikings. We’re hoping for a high-upside outlier (like Week 1) in a matchupagainst the Giants, who will have trouble containing this talented pass catcherand athlete.

Week 8 DFS — Cameron Brate, TB at TEN

FD($5,200) DK ($2,700)

Brate takes on some moretargets with O.J. Howard out Sunday, which propels him into GPP territory at apretty low price on DK. It’s a lot on FanDuel, but he’s still in play forlarge-field GPPs – he’s got two TDs in his last three games and Howard’stargets, while minimal, should be heading his way.

Additional Week 8 DFS GPPand punt options:

Gerald Everett, LAR vs. CIN(FD $6,100, DK $4,300)

Darren Fells, HOU vs. OAKIND (FD $5,100, DK $3,400)

Jordan Akins, HOU vs. OAK (FD$4,900), DK $2,800)

Ben Watson, NE vs. CLE (FD$4,900, DK $3,000)

Foster Moreau, OAK at HOU(FD $4,900, DK $2,700)

Week8 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

NewEngland Patriots (NE vs. CLE)

FD($5,000) DK ($4,300)

The Pats remain the best defense in football by a large marginand get a team that coughs it up quite a bit. Do we really need to tell you toplay this unit in cash games, GPPs, or basically any format? The cream of the crop– and the price is still lower than what it could be.

LosAngeles Rams (LAR vs. CIN)

FD($5,000) DK ($3,800)

As long as they don’t jump out to a huge lead and spend the final quarter or so in prevent, the Rams make an excellent cash game play facing the struggling Bengals. The Patriots are still a much better play at the same price on FD, but the $500 price difference on DK makes them worth a look if you’re locked into all the other lineup components and the Pats just can’t fit

Week8 DFS DST GPP Plays

JacksonvilleJaguars (JAC vs. NYJ)

FD($4,500) DK ($2,900)

It’s approaching Halloween, and Jacksonville can be prettyscary – especially if you’re already seeing ghosts. The Jags at home present aperfect GPP opportunity in a week where the Pats and Rams will take a good chunkof the ownership. The Jets produce just 142.2 passing yards per game, and rank 32ndin total offense this season.

ChicagoBears (CHI vs. LAC)

FD($4,500) DK ($3,600)

The Bears are fine for GPPs because they have massiveupside facing the bumbling Chargers, but I have an inkling that Austin Ekeleris the magic man for them this week. The Bears give up a lot of passes to RBsand sometimes can get caught in over-pursuit, where Ekeler can make his mark inspace. I’m not going to freak out if you roll them out in cash, but I’d preferthe Pats and Rams. The price is certainly fair on both sites.

TennesseeTitans (TEN vs. TB)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,200)

The Bucs turn it over a lot and the Titans have a solidsecondary. I could see 3 INTs and a pick six for this defense, and that’s the kindof upside we need to win GPPs. Just play these guys at this affordable price.

SanFrancisco 49ers (SF vs. CAR)

FD($4,800) DK ($3,700)

The49ers are loaded with talent and have played extremely well. Facing thePanthers and the versatility of fantasy stud Christian McCaffrey is a toughtask, but you can’t argue the 49ers defense hasn’t delivered this season. They’rea bit expensive, but fine for GPPs.

BuffaloBills (BUF vs. PHI)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,000)

The Bills defense shouldn’t have much trouble containing aPhilly offense that’s missing a spark. The offensive line is dealing withinjuries and Carson Wentz looks off this year. If the Bills can pressure him,they might be looking at some big plays and enough sacks to keep them relevant inthe GPP discussion.

Week8 DFS DST Value GPP and Punt Plays

SeattleSeahawks (SEA at ATL)

FD($4,900) DK ($2,800)

The Seahawks are a prime punt on DK at $2,800. They aren’t thedefensive juggernaut of the past, but even they can make some stuff happenagainst the Falcons, who have played sloppy football this season and may be missingMatt Ryan. If they have both Ziggy Ansah and Bradley McDougald for Sunday, I’dbe more interested in taking the chance in GPPs where they should be prettylow-owned on FD at the high price.

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC at CHI)

FD($4,100) DK ($2,300)

The Chargers are dirt cheap and facing a team thatstruggles to score. If they can get Melvin Ingram back this week, they are aneven better play. I keep coming back to Mitchell Trubisky, though. The dude isnot a great QB, and the Chargers have Joey Bosa to wreak havoc him and the underachievingbackfield.

TampaBay Buccaneers (TB at TEN)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,500)

The Bucs were second-to-last in turnover differential last season and they turned it over a lot last week (seven times!). But this is about defense, and the Bucs could have some under-the-radar potential in Week 8 due to the Titans’ inability to pass protect. They are risky, and the Titans have played better – but Ryan Tannehill is still Ryan Tannehill, so there’s upside here.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week – Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

Goal: 16.50, Prize: 2x

Evan Engram, Saquon Barkley and Kenny Golladay. Do not let the red crosses keep you from choosing these high-volume pass catchers from the Giants and the top WR on the Lions. They will see upwards of 30 targets between them in this game, so reaching 17 catches seems like its very doable.

4 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 7 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

Phil Naessens 5 years ago

written by Phil Naessens

Week 7 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 7 Sunday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Michael Gallup ($12,000 FD)

The Eagles are terrible covering receivers and Amari Cooper might be a little less than 100%. Gallup is the least expensive Cowboy I like at MVP which gives you a little more salary to work with in your flex positions. The Eagles have given up the fourth most touchdowns through the air in the NFL this year. They are who I will be targeting in this game.

I think the Cowboys offense is going to be concentrated on getting the ball to three guys (Gallup, Cooper, Zeke). The Eagles have more options and the ball should be spread out more meaning it is less likely for one of them to get as much opportunity as the Cowboys offensive core. I will have at least three of the four (Dak included) Cowboys in all of my lineups. If you pick both receivers, you definitely want Dak with them.

Pivots: Cooper, Dak, Zeke (in that order)

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference with prices factored it

Cooper ($13,500 FD) I will have some with Gallup, but mostly just picking one wide receiver
Dak ($15,500 FD) – Attacking Eagles pass D
Zeke ($14,500 FD)
Alshon Jeffrey ($13,00 FD) I like Jeffrey in primetime games. He is there best receiver and will get first look
Carson Wentz ($15,000 FD)
Zach Ertz ($11,000 FD) I like the price for Ertz. If it isn’t him, it should be Jeffrey
Jordan Howard ($10,000 FD) I still think he is the lead back over Sanders
Miles Sander ($9,500 FD) As a pivot off of Howard, I do not want them both on the same team.
Nelson Agholor ($8,000 FD) He was on the trade block this week. Maybe a little more motivation to show him off? Or he wants to prove his team wrong? Sometimes he shows up, sometimes he doesn’t. I’ll take a shot at 8K.
Jason Witten ($8,500 FD) He is reliable. He isn’t getting 100 yards but he will get a handful of targets, including the RedZone.
Brett Maher ($9,000 FD) Cowboys Kicker
Jake Elliot ($9,500 FD) Feels expensive for Kicker

Punts:

Tavon Austin ($8,000 FD) Price feels too high, but he will have some plays designed for him
Dallas Goedert ($7,000 FD) Eagles TE 2
Blake Jarwin ($6, 000 FD) I like the price not he Cowboys TE2

ON DK you can always try your luck with a Defense. I like Cowboys D more tonight, but not very high on either. Still, I will take a few shots on them.

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I think the Cowboys win this game through the air. I really like Dak over 289.5 passing yards. Carson Wentz is a tougher call however I believe he will be throwing a lot in the fourth quarter and just get over the 270.5 mark.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NFL Sunday!

5 years ago

written by

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets had a forgettable Saturday and one where we won’t betalking about it other than to say we’ve had better days. Days like our Saturdayalso remind me of something I heard years ago on a Las Vegas sports betting TVshow.Never get toohigh or too low because what’s done is done...

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

NFL DFS GPP Advice – Stick’s Stacks for Week Seven

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Week Six was incredible for the Win Daily Team – and personally my best ROI so far on the season. Hopefully you checked out the stacks in last week’s post and got your NFL DFS GPP lineups across the pay-line. Our top two game stacks went off and we had some sneaky production out of Devonta Freeman and Carlos Hyde at very low ownership.

If you read the article and have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter or sign up for Premium Gold to join our Slack channel.

Like usual, it’s another great week to use 50% or more of your bankroll towards single entry cash games. Please check out my Cash Game Checkdown before you set your DFS lineups for Sunday. Lets get to work on Stick’s Stacks for Week Seven.

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The purpose of this weekly article is to identify team/game stacks that we are going to use for an NFL DFS GPP. For those of you that don’t know, a “team stack” is simply multiple players from the same team (I rarely ever use more than three players on a given team).

A “game stack” is similar, except we are going to use players from both teams in a given game. Focusing on team stacks and game stacks is incredibly useful in the NFL DFS GPP environment. That being said, let’s get to this week’s top NFL DFS stacks for DraftKings!

Top NFL DFS GPP Game Stacks

Los Angeles Rams @ Atlanta Falcons (54)

This game’s total just keeps climbing and I wouldn’t be surprised if it closes around 56 points… which is quite high. This is by far my favorite game to attack and as of now, will be the heart and soul of my main GPP lineups. Although I still respect the Rams’ defense, we always love Matt Ryan at home and Los Angeles just lost one of their better corners, Aqib Talib, for quite some time (they also just acquired Jalen Ramsey and traded Marcus Peters).

Long story short, I’m most likely going to be super overweight with my exposure to this game and I think you should be too. I’ll update this article once I have a better grasp on ownership projections but I highly doubt I’ll find any reason to fade this game. As of now, this is the only true “game stack” I’m personally investing in.

Los Angeles Rams

Jared Goff ($6,200) – My favorite QB play on the slate.
Cooper Kupp ($7,400) – Smash matchup assuming he sees a lot of Damontae Kazee in the slot.
Brandin Cooks ($5,400) – I’m assuming he’ll be less than 10% owned which is a nice pivot away from Kupp/Woods who will be higher owned. I may pair Cooks with Kupp or Woods in my main lineup. Kendall Sheffield is insanely fast (just like Cooks), but is brutal in coverage. Cooks blowup day coming.
Robert Woods ($5,900) – Great price, great matchup.
Gerald Everett ($3,700) – Everyone who stacks this game is going to play Austin Hooper. Excellent pivot play with low ownership projected.
Todd Gurley ($6,400) – No interest in Malcolm Brown ($5,700) at his price. If Gurley sits and Brown is “limited”, Darrell Henderson ($3,500) becomes a free square lock.

Atlanta Falcons

Julio Jones ($8,000) – My guess is it will be a mix of Troy Hill and Jalen Ramsey tasked with covering Julio Jones. Ramsey is arguably the top cornerback in the NFL but Jones is one of the best receivers in the NFL. Assuming this lowers Julio Jones’ ownership a bit, I’m all for getting shares of him.
Matt Ryan ($6,300)
Calvin Ridley ($5,300) – Incredible route runner. Will also see a mix of Troy Hill and Jalen Ramsey. Ridley can burn them both.
Austin Hooper ($5,300) – Chalk, chalk, chalk. Love him in cash, like him in GPPs, but he will come with very high ownership(rightfully so).
Devonta Freeman ($5,400) – Great price, but this Rams’ defense is stout against the run. If we roll out Freeman, we are hoping that he scores two touchdowns and catches four or more passes (which is entirely possible). I don’t see him being over 100 all-purpose yards, but he should be low-owned.
Mohamed Sanu ($4,600) – Cheap exposure to the highest scoring game on the slate. He makes perfect sense for salary relief in a game stack lineup but his ceiling is limited.

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts (47)

I don’t really like to stack this game up at all, but I will diversify my exposure a little bit as I cant go 100% all in with LAR/ATL… or can I?

The Texans currently sit with an implied team total of only 23 points and they just lost rookie right tackle, Tytus Howard, for multiple games. I usually only like Watson and company when they have time to make plays (which will be limited without Howard) but there aren’t many other options for us this week.

With Watson’s rushing ability and Houston’s receivers playmaking abilities, I’ll stack them up if they’re going to be low-owned. I’ll update the article later in the week if I fall out of love with Houston’s offense in Week Seven for my NFL DFS GPP lineups.

Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson ($7,000)
DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800)
Will Fuller ($6,200)
Keke Coutee ($3,600) – Excellent punt play if you need a salary relief player in any DFS build this week.

Indianapolis Colts

Houston’s defense is banged up across the board. I don’t think this game is likely to shoot-out, but I will have some exposure to both teams just in case. Houston allows the most receptions to opposing running backs, so it’s a nice spot for Marlon Mack (even though he rarely runs six plus routes in a game).

I really only included this matchup as a game stack due to the Colts’ low pricing. Rostering a few high-upside Colts’ players and maybe stacking them with one of the Houston receivers should lead to a very nice roster build.

T.Y. Hilton ($5,900)
Jacoby Brissett ($5,600)
Marlon Mack ($6,000)
Colts Defense ($2,000) – So cheap and should be in a nice spot to get three or more sacks. Great for a GPP.

Top NFL DFS GPP Team Stacks

Green Bay Packers

I’ll only stack the Packers if Davante Adams is in. I’m not concerned with Marquez Valdes-Scantling or anyone really in this timeshare at the running back position. This is an Oakland team that really struggles to defend the pass, so if Rodgers has healthy weapons, we can take advantage of that.

I’ll update this section when we hear more about Adams’ status.

Aaron Rodgers ($6,400)
Davante Adams ($7,600)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ($5,200) – Seemed to be injured on Sunday Night but everything I’m hearing says it’s not a concern.
Allen Lazard ($3,000) – Incredible value if Adams and/or Valdes-Scantling were to miss this game.
Jimmy Graham ($4,200) – Hate the price. Would only use if it’s part of a MME style of NFL DFS GPP… Same with these Packers’ running backs.

Arizona Cardinals

I’ll always stack the Cardinals if they’re facing a weaker defensive opponent. I’m starting to respect the Giants’ defense more and more each week (I’m not really sure why) but I will have a few Cardinals stacks out there in Week Seven.

Kyler Murray ($6,700)
David Johnson ($7,800)
Larry Fitzgerald ($6,100) – I’ve mentioned in the cash game writeup how I am seriously concerned with Fitzgerald’s ceiling, but he’s a lock for double-digit points. We need him to score touchdowns if we’re going to climb up the GPP leaderboards.
Christian Kirk ($5,000) – Optimistic that he finally returns to action in Week Seven.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Absolute punt of a stack. If you need some salary relief for other studs, I am really liking the idea of a Minshew-Chark-Fournette Jaguars stack. Just load up on some Rams/Falcons playmakers with those three (or just Fournette) and enjoy a mild pay-day.

Leonard Fournette ($7,000) – My top RB on the slate.
Gardner Minshew ($5,400)
D.J. Chark ($6,000)

Buffalo Bills

They currently have the highest implied team total on the slate so you cannot ignore them. Personally, I’m thinking this is a nice spot to fade. I can only hope this team draws a lot of ownership in DFS and justifies a fade, but I’m not sure that will be the case.

They are without a doubt in a smash spot. The 16-point spread has me thinking this is a run-heavy offense coming from Buffalo. Maybe Josh Allen and these receivers do some severe damage early and still put up a big fantasy output.

Josh Allen ($6,500)
John Brown ($5,500) – $500 cheaper than Terry McLaurin was last week… Brown can 100% replicate the monster game McLaurin just posted on this Miami secondary.
Duke Williams ($4,100)
Frank Gore ($5,200)

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Jared Goff
RB: Leonard Fournette
RB: Dalvin Cook
WR: Robert Woods
WR: Brandin Cooks
WR: Calvin Ridley
TE: T.J. Hockenson
FLEX: Chris Carson
DST: Indianapolis Colts

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 6 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Week 6 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 6 Sunday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Keenan Allen ($14,00 FD): Should be an absolute target hog tonight against the Steelers.

MVP Pivot: Mike Williams ($10,500 FD): I like attacking the Steelers though the air tonight. Especially since the RB’s are splitting time.

MVP Pivot 2: Austin Ekeler ($14,000 FD): If he isn’t being used to rush he will be a large part of the passing game.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference with prices factored it

Philip Rivers ($15,000 FD) I think Chargers win this game and it is easier to throw on the Steelers than run.
Melvin Gordon ($12,000 FD) Should lead backs today for Chargers. His workload will be ramped up from last week. Expecting a TD.
Chase McLaughlin ($9,000 FD) Chargers’ Kicker
James Conor ($12,500 FD) Steelers should focus on running and check downs with their third string QB if they want any chance to win
Mike Williams ($10,500 FD) Sneaky WR two on the Chargers, if Allen is getting double covered, it should go to Williams or Ekeler
Austin Ekeler ($14,000 FD) Big threat in receiving game, will also get his share of running attempts
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($13,500 FD) Pitt is going to have to throw it if this game plays out the way I think. Although he has been disappointing, he is still the WR1 for the Steelers
Vance McDonald ($8,000 FD) Expecting check downs from Devlin Hodgers. Should see around 6-7 targets
Hunter Henry ($7,000 FD) First game back from injury, talented TE but I dont think the Chargers lean on him too much tonight in an game they should win
Diontae Johnson ($7,500 FD) Seems to be the next best passing option for the Steelers, who should be trailing
Devlin Hodges ($12,500 FD) Pitt QB, boom or bust

On DraftKings I love the Chargers Defense

Punt:

Nick Vannett – Steelers TE2. I think this week you can play both tight ends on Pitt because of how much they are going to have to throw
Ryan Switzer – Steelers WR that will be asked to do more than normal with such a beat up team.
Donte Moncrief – With injuries to Samuels and Washington, Moncrief is going to have to attempt to contribute
Johnny Holton – Total Dart throw on a Pitt WR.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 5 NFL DFS Sunday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 5 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 5 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Patrick Mahomes

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference with prices factored it

Demarcus Robinson
Travis Kelce
T.Y. Hilton
Jacoby Brissett
Harrison Butker
Sammy Watkins
Mecole Hardman
Eric Ebron
Marlon Mack (Jordan Wilkins if he is out or limited)
LeSean McCoy
Zach Pascal
Darrell Williams
Nyheim Hines (upgrade if Mack out or limited)

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

Week 5 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 5 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 5 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Tyler Lockett ($11,000 FD)

Why Tyler Lockett? He is the number one receiver on the Seahawks and is cheaper than all three of the Rams receivers. Seems pretty clear to me that he is underpriced and in a better situation than Kupp, Woods and Cooks. Last week the Rams got shocked when Jameis Winston came to L.A. and threw for four touchdowns (two to the speedy Chris Godwin) and won 55-40. I know that one or two of the Rams wideouts will get in the end zone, but I am also counting on Lockett to find paydirt as well. He should be able to get in a big play, or two, and exceed his value at a higher rate than the Rams’ big three.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.

Cooper Kupp ($13,000 on FanDuel) He has over 100 yards in three straight games. He also has three touchdowns in the same time frame. He is Goff’s favorite guy to throw to. In his last four games he has been targeted 15, 12, 9, and 10 times. He will not be the reason you lose.
Russell Wilson ($15,000) I like him for the same reasons I like Lockett. The Rams showed their weakness last week in the passing game and I look for Wilson to exploit it. I also like his rushing upside. In Week Two he ran for two touchdowns. Hopefully he can vulture one away from Carson if we are paying up.
Brandin Cooks ($12,000 FD) These receivers tend to rotate in production. Last week it was Kupp and Woods. This week I’ll rank Cooks ahead of Woods simply because he is cheaper with the same opportunity. He has not scored since Week Two but has been targeted 21 times in the past two games.
Robert Woods ($13,500 FD) You are going to want two Rams’ receivers. Woods is ranked third simply because of price.
Jared Goff ($14,500 FD) If we are playing two Rams receivers then we are playing Goff with them.
Chris Carson ($12,000 FD) The Rams have allowed five rushing touchdowns so far this season, which is about middle of the pack in the league. They have done well as far as total yards allowed to running backs, ranked ninth in the NFL. Carson should get at least 15 carries and the first RB looks when in the Red Zone.
Todd Gurley ($11,500) He is not getting the same amount of touches he did when he was in MVP form, but his price is very reasonable. He is the seventh highest priced player on a showdown slate. That is pretty good value for Gurley.
Will Dissly ($10,000 FD) The new fan favorite in Seattle has four touchdowns in three games. The matchup is tougher this week, but he should still be counted on to get his fair share of passes from Wilson.
Greg Zuerlein ($9,500 FD) Rams Kicker
DK Metcalf ($8,000 FD) Boom or bust WR2 for the Seahawks
Jason Myers ($8,500 FD) Seahawks Kicker

Punt:

Gerald Everett ($8,000 FD) Priced a little high for me but he is still the Rams’ TE1.
Tyler Higbee ($6,000 FD) I don’t expect him to be as highly targeted as has was last week, but he should still get a few opportunities.
Rashaad Penny ($7,500 FD) Appears to be over his hamstring issue and should complement Carson. I wouldn’t play them in the same FanDuel lineup.
Jaron Brown ($6,500 FD) Seahawks WR 3, don’t play with Moore (below)
David Moore ($5,500 FD) Punt WR, should be the fourth Seahawk receiver on the field.
Malcolm Brown ($8,500 FD) He would need to vulture a Gurley TD, especially at that price. Anything can happen on single game slates..

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These are both of my favorite receivers who their respective teams. MKF is 1 point PPR. I think both get around around 10 targets, both get close to 100 yards and both get in the end zone. I will take the overs on Kupp and Lockett.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 4 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Evan the Excellent

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re into an exciting Week 4 DFS for NFL action and I’m looking at some TEs and DSTs to plug into your daily fantasy lineups and win some of that sweet, sweet green in cash games and GPPs. Let’s shed the bracket coverage, avoid the pesky double teams and find the paydirt!

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Week 4 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

EvanEngram, NYG vs. WAS

FD ($6,800) DK ($5,700)

Engram is still the best receiver available on the Giants, so that hasn’t changed since Week 1 – and has been elevated to either the No. 1 fantasy TE or No. 2 by just about every expert polled in Week 4. More than anything else, consensus rankings that uniform are the stuff of cash game gold – and we needn’t look further than Engram’s game logs and target totals (14,8,8) to know that he’s a reliable pass catcher who’s involved in every aspect of the offense. With rookie QB Daniel Jones (DAMN, Daniel!) at the helm and Saquon Barkley injured, the Giants TE will be heavily riled upon in Week 4.

DarrenWaller, OAK at IND

FD($6,700) DK ($5,200)

A guy who rarely comes off the field for the Raiders offense and has seen target totals of 8, 7 and 14 in the first three games, Waller entered the season as a highly touted, but somewhat risky fantasy option on a rudderless team without a bona fide No. 1 receiver. He hasn’t yet to score a TD, and that makes him kind of risky in GPPs – where he’ll be pretty highly owned. But Waller has incredibly managed to put himself into fine position as a cash game option with his elite level of involvement in just about every Oakland game script. I’m not saying he’s a bad GPP play, but he’s going to be chalky along with Engram.

Week 4 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at DET

FD(7,600) DK ($7,200)

Once again, Kelce has adifficult on-paper matchup that could keep a portion of the field away, and he’sstill very much a viable cash game option despite facing the Lions – who havedefended TEs well so far. But he’s my top GPP option of the Week and it’s not especiallyclose. At the moment, I’m looking at having ownership levels north of 50percent for Kelce, who’s put up consistent target totals of 8, 9 and 8 in hisfirst three games and has already compiled 25-284-1 on the season. He’s primedfor a two-TD game versus the Lions and I’m not especially afraid of theirdefense, which will struggle to contain this big-bodied gamebreaker.

EricEbron, IND vs. OAK

FD($5,300) DK ($4,000)

With Jacoby Brissett really clicking in this Colts offense and the Raiders safeties and linebackers looking a bit sluggish and underwhelming, I’ll have some shares of Ebron at this price. He hasn’t drawn any huge target totals this season and splits the field time with Jack Doyle, who’s another possible GPP option. What Ebron (11-80-1 on the season through three games) offers in Week 4 is likely increased usage inside the red zone, where he should have more opportunities than usual given Oakland defensive futility. He won’t draw much ownership and we know he has enormous upside – albeit a relatively low floor.

DelanieWalker, TEN at ATL

FD($5,700) DK ($4,800)

Walker is nursing a kneeinjury that has seen him miss consecutive practices, but if he’s available –even in a limited fashion – during Friday’s sessions I’ll find a way to use himin some tournaments. Walker is a veteran TE who’s posted 16-158-2 over his firstthree games and has a history of playing hurt, which can be a blessing and acure for fantasy owners. He’s fairly priced on both sites and has decent upside againstan Atlanta team that just lost Keanu Neal – its standout strong safety – to atorn Achilles. If Walker plays on Sunday, I’ll have some exposure.

Week 4 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

WillDissly, SEA at ARI

FD($5,400) DK ($3,600)

I make sure I lead off the punts by reminding you that you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs, but I’m not so sure that Dissly isn’t obvious at this point – given the matchup against the dreadful Cardinals and the upside that he’s established. After a quiet Week 1, Will has put up performances of 5-50-2 on five targets and 6-62-1 on seven targets. He’s worth rostering in all contests as a FLEX pairing with a more chalky TE or as a “contrarian light” option if you’re fading the five or six guys ahead of him in the weekly fantasy rankings. He’ll still garner ownership, but it probably won’t be as high as it should be.

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. LAC

FD($4,600) DK ($2,600)

Gesickiis a complete dart throw given Miami’s putrid offense and the fact that he’s onlyseen 11 targets through the first there weeks. But don’t look at him havingjust six catches for 51 yards without a touchdown through threegames as a negative – look at it as an opportunity to keep his ownership in the0-5 percent range. The second-year tight end won’t be a cash game optionanytime soon, but he’s likely to see increased targets in Week 4 versus the Chargerswith WRs Albert Wilson (calf/hip) and Allen Hurns (concussion) questionable anddoubtful, respectively.

Additional Week 4 DFS GPP/Punt options:

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. CLE (FD $6,100, DK $5,000) – Nursing a foot injury, so a GPP option you should make sure is playing.

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. TEN (FD $6,400, DK $4,300) – Hooper is my white whale for DFS TEs, and I’m always on the wrong end of his capricious antics.

O.J. Howard, TB at LAR (FD $5,900, DK $3,900) – At some point they’re going to start throwing to him.

Vernon Davis, WAS at NYG (FD $5,100, DK $3,400) – He’s old as the hills, but he’s playing the Giants and this one could get interesting.

Week 4 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC at MIA)

FD($5,300) DK ($3,800)

The Chargers are playing the Dolphins – and while we needn’tsay much more than that, it’s important to point out that despite a bevy of solidpass rushers, they have only recorded four sacks through three games. That’s anumber set to increase on Sunday against the worst offensive line in football. Don’toverthink this one and get the Chargers DST in there in cash games if you canafford it.

JacksonvilleJaguars (JAX at DEN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,700)

It’s somewhat dangerous to play a defense at Mile High – a venue that doesn’t lend itself to standout performances for opponents. But these Denver Broncos are not a well-oiled machine, and they could have trouble moving the ball against the Jaguars defense. This Jacksonville unit is coming off its best game of the season in Week 3, when they racked up nine sacks and recovered a fumble, their first takeaway in 2019. They’d obviously like to have Jalen Ramsey for this game, but he’s on paternity leave and probably won’t be available in Week 4. If he somehow is, the Jags are an even better play.

Week 4 DFS DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR vs. TB)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,500)

The Rams DST has been consistent from a fantasy points perspective,scoring 9, 8 and 9 FP in the first three weeks of the season. They have somesuperstar defensive lineman, including one of the best in the game, a group ofcapable LBs and some excellent defensive backs. They’ve also notched an INT ineach of their contests so far and should continue that streak against JameisWinston and the Bucs. Plug them in some of your GPPs and enjoy the results.

ChicagoBears (CHI vs. MIN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,400)

By way of their electrifying performance in Week 3, the Bearscould garner some higher ownership levels than they might deserve against a Vikingsunit that runs the ball a lot and will do everything they can to prevent KirkCousins from getting in too many 3rd and long situations. Truthfully, that’s apretty smart strategy against a Bears defense that caused five turnovers Mondaynight against the Redskins.

Week 4 DFS DST Punt Plays

IndianapolisColts (IND vs. OAK)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Colts defense had four sacks in each of its first twogames before the goose egg against Atlanta, and I expect a much betterperformance at home facing the woeful Raiders. They give up some yardage, butfor this price I’m buying shares.

TennesseeTitans (TEN at ATL)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,600)

Ina week without too many viable punt options at DST, this is about as cheap as I’dlike to go. The Titans secondary is much better than they played last Thursdaynight in Jacksonville, and despite a difficult matchup against a potent Atlantaoffense, there’s plenty to like in terms of their upside (23 FP in Week 1) and theplaymaking ability of their ball-hawking defensive backs.

AdditionalDST options:

New England Patriots (NE at BUF)

Houston Texans (HOU vs. CAR)

Evan Engram Featured Image via Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL MLB

NFL DFS GPP Advice – Stick’s Stacks for Week Four

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Week Three should have paid dividends if you followed the Week Three NFL DFS GPP article at Win Daily. Lets stay hot and get right back into NFL DFS GPP action for Week Four. For those of you who still prefer cash formats, be sure to check out my article for your Week Four NFL DFS Cash Games.

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If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

Top Game Stacks

Kansas City Chiefs @ Detroit Lions (53.5)

No surprise here, the Kansas City Chiefs are a part of the highest total on Vegas’ board yet again in Week Four. I’d love to say this game is a fade for me due to Matt Patricia and the Lions’ slow-paced run-first offense, but I cannot.

Kansas City is matchup proof and simply scores 30+ points at will. This should force Detroit to play faster than they’re used to and likely leads to a game where Matt Stafford has to throw the ball 40+ times to stay competitive. There are a handful of good plays in this game that you can stack up in DFS.

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes ($7,500 on DraftKings)
Travis Kelce ($7,200)
Sammy Watkins ($6,700)
Mecole Harman ($5,100)
Demarcus Robinson ($5,200)

Detroit Lions

Kerryon Johnson ($5,400)
Kenny Golladay ($5,900)
T.J. Hockenson ($3,300) – Hockenson is back in play this week
Matthew Stafford ($5,500)
Marvin Jones Jr. ($5,400)

Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans (47.5)

I love the over in this game as I project it to be a shootout from the start. This should be one of our fastest paced games on the slate and ownership doesn’t appear to be anything we need to worry about here. McCaffrey will always be popular (especially when there are bye weeks) but he’s a player you probably just have to lock-button this week in your NFL DFS GPP and cash game formats.

Get exposure on both sides of this game! I’ll most likely be fading Greg Olsen (as I only liked him in Week Three for the matchup). Please note, we may see a week where DeAndre Hopkins sits around 10% ownership…

Carolina Panthers

Christian McCaffrey ($8,800)
D.J. Moore ($5,600)
Curtis Samuel ($4,600)
Kyle Allen ($5,200)
Carolina Panthers DST ($2,300) – Extremely contrarian GPP DST target.

Houston Texans

DeAndre Hopkins ($7,700)
Deshaun Watson ($6,400)
Will Fuller ($4,500) – Way too cheap. Could be a slate breaker.
Jordan Akins ($3,100)
Duke Johnson ($4,200)

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (48)

Every week it seems like the Arizona Cardinals are drawing my interest in some form for an NFL DFS GPP. This week, I like the idea of stacking the Seahawks’ passing attack and then adding a Cardinal or two on the other side. I’ll have some exposure to Cardinals’ stacks in my MME formats, but nothing for my main lineups.

Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson ($6,100)
Will Dissly ($3,600) – Should be extreme chalk, but Arizona continues to get destroyed by opposing tight-ends. Just make it easy on yourself and play him.
Tyler Lockett ($6,300)
DK Metcalf ($4,800)
Chris Carson ($5,700) – Absolute smash spot, but his recent fumbles are an obvious issue.

Arizona Cardinals

David Johnson ($6,800)
Christian Kirk ($5,100)
Larry Fitzgerald ($5,600)
Kyler Murray ($6,000) – People are going to shy away from Kyler now that he is priced up to $6,000… If you like this game’s chances of shooting out, this is a great week to play Kyler.

Top Team Stacks

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams currently have an implied team total sitting around 29 points – the third highest on the slate. Since the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have brought in Defensive Coordinator Todd Bowles, they’ve have allowed the least amount of fantasy points to opposing running backs, but are very beatable via the pass.

Vegas may not be dead on with this implied point total (I personally like the Rams over) but they certainly don’t think the Buccaneers will slow down this Los Angeles offense. The Rams are at home (where Jared Goff thrives) so lock in this Rams passing attack.

Jared Goff ($6,300)
Brandin Cooks ($6,200)
Cooper Kupp ($6,500)
Robert Woods ($6,100)

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Jared Goff
RB: Christian McCaffrey
RB: James White
WR: Cooper Kupp
WR: Brandin Cooks
WR: Will Fuller
TE: Will Dissly
FLEX: David Johnson
DST: Carolina Panthers

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

NFL DFS GPP Advice – Stick’s Stacks for Week Two

brgrewe@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Week One in NFL DFS GPP tournaments had it’s ups and downs. The stacks I had with the Kansas City Chiefs and Sammy Watkins obviously paid off nicely, but my main builds were centered around that San Francisco @ Tampa Bay game (sigh). We can talk about what could have been in Week One until we’re blue in the face, but it’s best we just get right back into NFL DFS GPP action. For those of you who still prefer cash action, be sure to check out my article for your Week Two NFL DFS Cash Games.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

Top Game Stacks

New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams (53)

New Orleans Saints – The Saints currently have an implied total sitting around 25 points on the road in Los Angeles. They are my favorite team to stack this week in NFL DFS and I was quite surprised when I saw my first draft of projected ownerships. I’ll try to keep an eye on ownership projections and update this article throughout the week, but at the moment, it looks like everyone is going to flock towards the KC/OAK game.

Having said that, this game as a whole could be a huge leverage spot for your NFL DFS GPP builds in Week Two.

Alvin Kamara
Michael Thomas
Drew Brees
Ted Ginn Jr.
Tre’Quan Smith

Los Angeles Rams – Unfortunately, I took a stance on Rams’ Running Back, Todd Gurley for my main NFL DFS GPP build in Week One. He looked incredibly efficient when he did get the ball, but something is obviously up with McVay’s trust in Gurley’s health. This week, I’ll stick to just targeting the Rams’ passing attack and maybe sprinkle in Gurley or Malcolm Brown in a MME style NFL DFS GPP.

Jared Goff
Robert Woods
Brandin Cooks
Cooper Kupp
Todd Gurley

Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers (46)

Pittsburgh Steelers – I have a feeling this game has sneaky shootout potential. I love targeting Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers’ offense when they’re playing at home. The Steelers have an implied total of 25 points which isn’t anything that pops off the board, but it is Top 10 on the main slate in DFS this week. I like this game as a lower owned pivot in an NFL DFS GPP for Week Two.

Ben Roethlisberger
Juju Smith-Schuster
Donte Moncrief
James Washington
James Conner

Seattle Seahawks – Despite only winning by a point, the Seahawks stuck to the running game in Week One against the Cincinnati Bengals, where they were a 10-point home-favorite. Russell Wilson only threw the ball 20 times… If the Steelers can right the ship and start scoring points like they did in 2018, Russell is going to have to drop back to pass a helluva lot more than 20 times.

When Wilson is in a pass-heavy game-script, he tends to have very solid fantasy production. In 2018, when Wilson threw the ball 25 times or more, he averaged 20.15 DraftKings points. That probably isn’t going to win you a NFL DFS GPP, but if he’s around five percent ownership (likely even less), I’ll take a risk and bet that he does some damage with his rushing ability and produces one of those 30+ fantasy point ceiling-games.

Russell Wilson
Tyler Lockett
Chris Carson
DK Metcalf

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders (52.5)

Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs and Raiders’ game is going to be chalk heaven. We have a high total that includes the best offense in the NFL (KC) and the most underpriced offense in DFS (OAK). Combine those two things and you will have a very popular game stack. I’d love to say you can fade this game to avoid high ownership, but I’d be lying to you.

Do I think you need to be overweight on this game? No. But, you’re going to need to get exposure to this game in some form.

Patrick Mahomes
Travis Kelce
Sammy Watkins
Mecole Hardman
Damien Williams
LeSean McCoy

Oakland Raiders – We’ll keep it simple here: The Raiders are all underpriced. I’d get shares of some Raiders regardless of who they were playing this week simply for the salary relief. They happen to have a great, pace-up matchup against the Chiefs… so that certainly doesn’t hurt the cause. Keep in mind, they will be incredibly popular in NFL DFS GPP and Cash Game formats.

Tyrell Williams
Darren Waller
Josh Jacobs
Derek Carr

Top Team Stack

New England Patriots – The Miami Dolphins currently look like a mid-major NCAA football team. The Patriots will remember what happened last time they went to Miami for a football game (the Miami Miracle) so I fully expect them to punish the Miami Dolphins this time around. My only concern is that Bill Belichick lays off the gas once the game is out of reach due to respect for longtime friend and colleague (and Miami Head Coach), Brian Flores.

If Flores wasn’t the coach of Miami, I’d take the Patriots to win by 50.

Tom Brady
Josh Gordon
Sony Michel
Julian Edelman
Phillip Dorsett
James White
Damien Harris (if he suits up, this could be a minimum-priced GPP flyer; in hopes the Patriots want to get him some live-game reps).

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Jared Goff

RB: Saquon Barkley

RB: Devin Singletary

WR: Robert Woods

WR: Cooper Kupp

WR: Tedd Ginn Jr.

TE: Darren Waller

FLEX: Alvin Kamara

DST: Houston Texans

Ben Roethlisberger Featured Image by SteelCity Hobbies

5 years ago 0 comment

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