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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/5: Look for L.A. Lefties

Marshall Rosen
written by Marshall Rosen

Washington Nationals

Whenever the White Sox run Dylan Covey to the bump, there should be interest in stacking against him. The right-hander is basically everything we look for when searching for a pitcher to target against. Covey is a flyball pitcher with a 40% flyball rate. And he is not missing any bats. Covey also has a slate low 16.02% whiff rate and is allowing contact on 85.8% of swings taken by the opposition. The flyballs and heavy contact have led to a slate high 6.44 SIERA.

So of course, we want to get some Nationals in our DFS lineups for Wednesday. The Washington stack needs to start with Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,700). The outfielder has the best matchup of any of the Nationals’ batters. Soto has a .230 ISO versus right-handed pitching while Covey is allowing a .368 wOBA to lefty batters. Some other lefties worth considering, if they are in the lineup are: Gerardo Parra (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $4,200) and Matt Adams (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,400). Both lefties have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019.

Feel free to get Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,900) and Howie Kendrick (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $5,800) in your lineups. Both have crushed right-handed pitching all year and should have no problem making light work of Chicago’s Dylan Covey.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Any time the Dodgers’ offense is opposed by a righty, they have to be considered for stacking purposes. Against right-handed pitching this season, Los Angeles has been very successful. As a team they have a .218 ISO and a .353 wOBA) against right-handed pitching.

And tonight should be no different. While the Diamondbacks’ Jon Duplantier has a respectable 3.18 ERA, there is some regression coming. On the season he is allowing a 45.5% hard contact rate, highest on the slate. We have also seen his velocity dip almost three MPH since the start of the season.

As you look to stack Dodgers’ bats, use their lefties. Duplantier has allowed a 58.8% hard contact rate to left-handed bats this season. So, your L.A. building blocks would include the likes of: Joc Pederson (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,600), Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800), Corey Seager (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,600) and Max Muncy (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,900). All four of these Dodgers’ left-handed batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching and should hit a few balls hard against the Arizona starter in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Marlins’Sandy Alcantara is having an ok season on the surface with a respectable 4.08ERA. But his 5.65 SIERA tells a different story. A blow up is likely coming andprobably coming Monday. Alcantara is allowing a .323/.429/.485 slash line instarts where is coming in with five days rest. He last pitched May 30th.

While thisstack is appealing enough with that in mind, also consider that the Brewers’offense has a .201 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season. Load up on thefollowing Brewers: Christian Yelich (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $6,000), MikeMoustakas (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,600), Yasmani Grandal (FanDuel: $3,600DraftKings: $5,100) and Eric Thames (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $5,100). Eachof these Brewers’ bats have over .200 ISOs against righties this season.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals’ offense has a date with the Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani on Monday. The right-hander seems like a good target to pick on for Wednesday. Not only is he allowing 2.32 HR/9 this season, and the Cardinals have roughed him up pretty well in the past.

The current Cardinals’ roster has a career .300/.383/.555 slash line against him in 120 at-bats. You will want to get Marcell Ozuna (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200), Matt Carpenter (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,300) and Paul Goldschmidt (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300) in your lineups. Carpenter and Goldy each have over 1.500 OPS against the Reds’ starter in their careers.

Other stacks to consider:

Texas Rangers vs. John Means

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Spencer Turnbull

New York Yankees vs. Trent Thorton

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

By most accounts, the Mets’ Jason Vargas is not a very good pitcher. He has a 5.39 SIERA. He is allowing a 44.4% hard contact rate, while striking out just 17.8% of the batters he has faced.

DespiteVargas’ lack of success this season, the DFS sites, particularly FanDuel, have pricedthe Giants extremely low. Their most expensive regular can be had for just$3,300. Use the Giants to help cram in your other, more expensive stacks forWednesday.

Good luckand happy stacking!

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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/5: Look for L.A. Lefties

Marshall Rosen
written by Marshall Rosen

Washington Nationals

Whenever the White Sox run Dylan Covey to the bump, there should be interest in stacking against him. The right-hander is basically everything we look for when searching for a pitcher to target against. Covey is a flyball pitcher with a 40% flyball rate. And he is not missing any bats. Covey also has a slate low 16.02% whiff rate and is allowing contact on 85.8% of swings taken by the opposition. The flyballs and heavy contact have led to a slate high 6.44 SIERA.

So of course, we want to get some Nationals in our DFS lineups for Wednesday. The Washington stack needs to start with Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,700). The outfielder has the best matchup of any of the Nationals’ batters. Soto has a .230 ISO versus right-handed pitching while Covey is allowing a .368 wOBA to lefty batters. Some other lefties worth considering, if they are in the lineup are: Gerardo Parra (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $4,200) and Matt Adams (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,400). Both lefties have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019.

Feel free to get Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,900) and Howie Kendrick (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $5,800) in your lineups. Both have crushed right-handed pitching all year and should have no problem making light work of Chicago’s Dylan Covey.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Any time the Dodgers’ offense is opposed by a righty, they have to be considered for stacking purposes. Against right-handed pitching this season, Los Angeles has been very successful. As a team they have a .218 ISO and a .353 wOBA) against right-handed pitching.

And tonight should be no different. While the Diamondbacks’ Jon Duplantier has a respectable 3.18 ERA, there is some regression coming. On the season he is allowing a 45.5% hard contact rate, highest on the slate. We have also seen his velocity dip almost three MPH since the start of the season.

As you look to stack Dodgers’ bats, use their lefties. Duplantier has allowed a 58.8% hard contact rate to left-handed bats this season. So, your L.A. building blocks would include the likes of: Joc Pederson (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,600), Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800), Corey Seager (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,600) and Max Muncy (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,900). All four of these Dodgers’ left-handed batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching and should hit a few balls hard against the Arizona starter in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Marlins’Sandy Alcantara is having an ok season on the surface with a respectable 4.08ERA. But his 5.65 SIERA tells a different story. A blow up is likely coming andprobably coming Monday. Alcantara is allowing a .323/.429/.485 slash line instarts where is coming in with five days rest. He last pitched May 30th.

While thisstack is appealing enough with that in mind, also consider that the Brewers’offense has a .201 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season. Load up on thefollowing Brewers: Christian Yelich (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $6,000), MikeMoustakas (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,600), Yasmani Grandal (FanDuel: $3,600DraftKings: $5,100) and Eric Thames (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $5,100). Eachof these Brewers’ bats have over .200 ISOs against righties this season.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals’ offense has a date with the Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani on Monday. The right-hander seems like a good target to pick on for Wednesday. Not only is he allowing 2.32 HR/9 this season, and the Cardinals have roughed him up pretty well in the past.

The current Cardinals’ roster has a career .300/.383/.555 slash line against him in 120 at-bats. You will want to get Marcell Ozuna (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200), Matt Carpenter (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,300) and Paul Goldschmidt (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300) in your lineups. Carpenter and Goldy each have over 1.500 OPS against the Reds’ starter in their careers.

Other stacks to consider:

Texas Rangers vs. John Means

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Spencer Turnbull

New York Yankees vs. Trent Thorton

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

By most accounts, the Mets’ Jason Vargas is not a very good pitcher. He has a 5.39 SIERA. He is allowing a 44.4% hard contact rate, while striking out just 17.8% of the batters he has faced.

DespiteVargas’ lack of success this season, the DFS sites, particularly FanDuel, have pricedthe Giants extremely low. Their most expensive regular can be had for just$3,300. Use the Giants to help cram in your other, more expensive stacks forWednesday.

Good luckand happy stacking!

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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/5: Look for L.A. Lefties

Marshall Rosen
written by Marshall Rosen

Washington Nationals

Whenever the White Sox run Dylan Covey to the bump, there should be interest in stacking against him. The right-hander is basically everything we look for when searching for a pitcher to target against. Covey is a flyball pitcher with a 40% flyball rate. And he is not missing any bats. Covey also has a slate low 16.02% whiff rate and is allowing contact on 85.8% of swings taken by the opposition. The flyballs and heavy contact have led to a slate high 6.44 SIERA.

So of course, we want to get some Nationals in our DFS lineups for Wednesday. The Washington stack needs to start with Juan Soto (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,700). The outfielder has the best matchup of any of the Nationals’ batters. Soto has a .230 ISO versus right-handed pitching while Covey is allowing a .368 wOBA to lefty batters. Some other lefties worth considering, if they are in the lineup are: Gerardo Parra (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $4,200) and Matt Adams (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,400). Both lefties have ISOs above .240 versus righties in 2019.

Feel free to get Anthony Rendon (FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings: $5,900) and Howie Kendrick (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $5,800) in your lineups. Both have crushed right-handed pitching all year and should have no problem making light work of Chicago’s Dylan Covey.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Any time the Dodgers’ offense is opposed by a righty, they have to be considered for stacking purposes. Against right-handed pitching this season, Los Angeles has been very successful. As a team they have a .218 ISO and a .353 wOBA) against right-handed pitching.

And tonight should be no different. While the Diamondbacks’ Jon Duplantier has a respectable 3.18 ERA, there is some regression coming. On the season he is allowing a 45.5% hard contact rate, highest on the slate. We have also seen his velocity dip almost three MPH since the start of the season.

As you look to stack Dodgers’ bats, use their lefties. Duplantier has allowed a 58.8% hard contact rate to left-handed bats this season. So, your L.A. building blocks would include the likes of: Joc Pederson (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,600), Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800), Corey Seager (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,600) and Max Muncy (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,900). All four of these Dodgers’ left-handed batters have accumulated at least a .200 ISO versus right-handed pitching and should hit a few balls hard against the Arizona starter in this one.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Marlins’Sandy Alcantara is having an ok season on the surface with a respectable 4.08ERA. But his 5.65 SIERA tells a different story. A blow up is likely coming andprobably coming Monday. Alcantara is allowing a .323/.429/.485 slash line instarts where is coming in with five days rest. He last pitched May 30th.

While thisstack is appealing enough with that in mind, also consider that the Brewers’offense has a .201 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season. Load up on thefollowing Brewers: Christian Yelich (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $6,000), MikeMoustakas (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,600), Yasmani Grandal (FanDuel: $3,600DraftKings: $5,100) and Eric Thames (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $5,100). Eachof these Brewers’ bats have over .200 ISOs against righties this season.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals’ offense has a date with the Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani on Monday. The right-hander seems like a good target to pick on for Wednesday. Not only is he allowing 2.32 HR/9 this season, and the Cardinals have roughed him up pretty well in the past.

The current Cardinals’ roster has a career .300/.383/.555 slash line against him in 120 at-bats. You will want to get Marcell Ozuna (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200), Matt Carpenter (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,300) and Paul Goldschmidt (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300) in your lineups. Carpenter and Goldy each have over 1.500 OPS against the Reds’ starter in their careers.

Other stacks to consider:

Texas Rangers vs. John Means

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Spencer Turnbull

New York Yankees vs. Trent Thorton

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

By most accounts, the Mets’ Jason Vargas is not a very good pitcher. He has a 5.39 SIERA. He is allowing a 44.4% hard contact rate, while striking out just 17.8% of the batters he has faced.

DespiteVargas’ lack of success this season, the DFS sites, particularly FanDuel, have pricedthe Giants extremely low. Their most expensive regular can be had for just$3,300. Use the Giants to help cram in your other, more expensive stacks forWednesday.

Good luckand happy stacking!

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MLB

MLB DFS Stacks for 6/4: Milwaukee Mashers

Mark Paquette
written by Mark Paquette
  1. Brewers: Facing the Brewers at home is a scary proposition for any MLB pitcher. They own the fourth best ISO at .218, the sixth best wOBA of .341 and their OPS of .812 ranks fifth in the league. Christian Yelich has 17 HRs in 76 ABs and his OPS is 1.597. Good luck to Pablo Lopez and the Marlins bullpen tonight.
  2. Cubs: The wind looks to be out of the southwest around 10-15 mph tonight at Wrigley and blows out to center. Temperatures in the 70s and a somewhat muggy air mass (dewpoints near 60) will help the baseball carry well too. Look for the Cubs bats to be able to elevate the ball against Rockies starter Jeff Hoffman.
  3. Dodgers: Tonight will be Taylor Clarke’s fifth big league appearance and his fourth start. The Dodgers lefties, including a well-rested Cody Bellinger, may make it a night he would like to forget.
  4. Padres: The pitcher the Padres face, Jerad Eickhoff, suddenly has big problems with the long ball. In his last 18.1 innings, he has given up 10 HRs. Strangely, he had given up no HRs over his first 30 innings pitched this year.
  5. Yankees: Soft-tossing lefty Clayton Richard gets the assignment tonight. Fire-up the normal assortment of righty bats that smash lefties (Sanchez, Hicks, Torres).
  6. Rangers: They would be higher on this list as they face the Orioles and their atrocious bullpen. However, they are facing Dylan Bundy, who is coming off a really good May, a month where he held opposing batters to a .195 batting average and a 2.64 ERA. Also, the Rangers will be missing their biggest bat in Joey Gallo, who is on the IL.

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MLB

DFS Stacks and Hitters for 6/2: Colorado Cooking

Marshall Rosen
written by Marshall Rosen

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. David Price

FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,400

The Yankees’ catcher has a .310 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Price, who he has owned in the past. Sanchez is 6-for-13 with five home runs in his career against the Boston starter. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing southpaws in this one.

Values:

Wilson Ramos (FanDuel: $2,700)

Wellington Castillo (DraftKings: $3,000)

First Base – Daniel Murphy vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Murphy has a .400/.478/.500 slash line against groundball pitchers this season. With the Toronto Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez owning a slate high 51.2% groundball rate look for Murphy to shine on Sunday.

Values:

Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,500)

Kendrys Morales (DraftKings: $2,700)

Second Base –  Ketel Marte vs. Steven Matz

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,400

The Diamondbacks’ Marte has a .313 ISO, a .542 wOBA and a 241 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Steven Matz. The southpaw is allowing a 44.1% hard contact rate and 1.82 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.

Values:

Cavan Biggio (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,000)

Nick Lopez (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings:$3,500)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800

The Rockies’ third baseman at is always tough to pass up at home and the same holds true today. He has a .235 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado has a .280 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez, who as mentioned earlier, is an extreme groundball pitcher. Well, Arenado has a .343/.410/.571 slash line against groundball pitchers this season.

Values:

Pablo Sandoval (FanDuel: $2,400)

Jeimer Candelario (DraftKings: $2,700)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,900

Trevor Stroy is running pure right now. In his last seven contests, he owns a .444 ISO, .561 wOBA and a 240 wRC+. For good measure, he has even added in two stolen bases. Never walk away from a heater. Instead, trust this Story has a good finish on Sunday.

Values:

Trea Turner (DraftKings: $4,600)

Brandon Crawford (FanDuel: $2,500)

Outfield –  Christian Yelich vs. Jordan Lyles

FanDuel: $4,700 DraftKings: $5,600

Christian Yelich continues to put up video game-like numbers against right-handed pitching. He has a .449 ISO and a .484 wRC+ against righties this season. With the Pirates’ Lyles struggling with lefties this year, Yelich should get into a couple here.

Outfield – Mookie Betts vs. C.C. Sabathia

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,000

Mookie has done well against C.C. Sabathia in the past. In their career matchups, Betts owns a 1.050 OPS against the Yankees’ starter. With Sabathia allowing a .345 wOBA, 2.43 HR/9 and a 44% hard contact rate to righties, the Red Sox’s outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers.

Outfield – Mike Trout vs. Marco Gonzales

FanDuel: $4,800 Draftkings: $5,400

Anytime you can get the best player in baseball in your DFS lineup, it is probably a good idea. Trout is in a great spot to succeed in this one. Against lefties this year, Trout has a .305 ISO and a .409 wOBA.

Values:

Randal Grichuk (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200)

Derek Fisher (FanDuel: $2,200)

Christin Stewart (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,200)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez on the bump. The Blue Jays’ right-hander has a 4.99 SIERA and a 5.33 SIERA  in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air. Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays:

Antonio Senzatela could be in for a long one here. The Rockies’ starter has a 5.81 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvements any time soon. Senzatela owns a 4.95 xFIP and a 5.35 SIERA this season. And he is not missing many bats these days as he has a low 15.98% whiff rate. Senzatela should be in trouble early and often here so stack up all the Blue Jays that you can.

Texas Rangers:

The Royals’ Brad Keller is a guy we want to attack today. He has the highest SIERA of the starters for MLB’s Sunday action. But equally important is the fact that the Rangers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. The Rangers have a .213 ISO against righties.

Kansas City Royals:

The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson has a 46.9% hard contact rate this season, but he is also allowing a 40.2% flyball rate. This should play into the hands of the Royals’ batters, especially the right-handed ones. Sampson is allowing .393 wOBA, 45.4% hard contact rate and a 1.88 HR/9 to right-handed bats this season.

Value Stack

LA Dodgers:

Besides Cody Bellinger, all other Dodgers’ batters are grossly underpriced, particularly on FanDuel. With the Phillies starting Nick Pivetta, the Dodgers’ stack not only allows you to pay up for some other of the big bats but they are also in a position to do some damage themselves. Los Angeles has a .216 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Pay particular attention to the Dodgers’ lefties as Pivetta is allowing a .457 wOBA to them this season.

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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/30: Cleveland Clout

Wes Anderson
written by Wes Anderson

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 30th main slate action:

Cleveland Indians

The White Sox’s Manny Banuelos is a pitcher that we will want to get some exposure against. The left-handed pitcher has struggled this season as evidenced by his extremely high 7.71 ERA. Banuelos has a 5.07 SIERA and a 5.02 xFIP. The Chicago starter also is serving up 2.57 HR/9, making the Indians look like an excellent stacking option for Thursday. Admittedly the Indians’ numbers against lefties will leave something to be desired here but nonetheless this is still a matchup they should take advantage of. That is mainly due to Banuelos’ lack of success against right-handed batters. He is allowing a .323/.409/.606 slash line to righty bats in 2019.

The obvious right-handed Indians are in play, of course. Carlos Santana (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,500), Jose Ramirez (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900) and Francisco Lindor (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800) will be the big names to focus on.

But some lesser known pieces maybe the real key to the Indians’ stack. Jordan Luplow (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,100) and Robert Perez (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,700) but have ISOs greater than .260 against left-handed pitching. Not only are they in position to take advantage of the matchup, but they also will provide some salary relief to your DFS lineups.

Boston Red Sox

The Yankees’J.A. Happ has struggled with the long ball this season. He is allowing 2.16HR/9, so we are going to want some the Red Sox hitters in this one.

You willwant to start with lefty killer J.D. Martinez (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200).Martinez has a .500 ISO and a .512 wOBA against southpaws this season. OtherBoston bats to pick from include Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000),Michael Chavis (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,100), Sandy Leon (FanDuel: $2,200DraftKings: $3,100) and Christian Vazquez (FanDuel: $2,400 DraftKings: $4,100).These Red Sox batters all have .300 or better ISOs versus lefties in 2019.

Texas Rangers

The Royals’ Jakob Junis is getting hit hard this season. He is allowing a 42.2% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in some serious damage done against Junis, as he has a 4.64 SIERA. Look for that damage to continue on Thursday. The Rangers have punished right-handed pitching all season. As an offense they have a .214 ISO and a .349 wOBA versus righties.

When building your Texas lineups, you want to focus on the lefties first. Junis is allowing a .361 wOBA as well as 42.9% hard contact rate to left-handed batters. So, of course you are going to start the build with Joey Gallo (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,600). The slugger has a .333 ISO and a .434 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

You will also want to get some Nomar Mazara (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,400) and Hunter Pence (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,500) in your lineups as they both are lefty batters with ISOs over .300 versus right-handed pitching.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers’ offense is in position to be the late-night hammer that your DFS lineups need to push across the money line.

The Mets’ JasonVargas checks a lot of the boxes in terms of pitchers you like to stackagainst. First off, he has a 5.49 SIERA and a 5.79 xFIP. He also is allowingflyballs at a rate of 43.5%, owns a 49% hard contact rate and has a below leagueaverage 17% K rate. Vargas’ velocity is also low compared to the rest of theleague. His fastball has averaged 85.5 MPH in 2019.

The Dodgers’ stack, of course, begins with Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800). The MVP frontrunner has crushed left-handed pitching this season with a .358 ISO and a .459 wOBA. Bellinger also owns a .377/.438/.770 slash line and a 1.209 OPS against finesse pitchers, like Vargas is.

Other Dodgers to consider in this stack are Max Muncy (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,700), Chris Taylor (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400), Enrique Hernandez (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700), Justin Turner (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,200) and Alex Verdugo (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100). These five Dodgers’ hitters all have ISOs in the .200s versus southpaws this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

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MLB

Bounceback Candidates

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

Bounceback CandidatesClayton Kershaw, LAD, (SP): What if I told you that the best pitcher of our generation is being drafted around pick 100 in most season-long drafts? The main reason for that is because Kershaw is dealing with a shoulder issue but he appears to be progressing well in his rehab. In fact, Kershaw is expected to only miss the first two weeks of the year, as he’s already progressed to throwing to live hitters. Taking Kershaw is certainly risky but getting him this cheap takes out most of that risk. The upside is simply impossible to overlook, as Kershaw has finished as the top pitcher in baseball for about half of his career. That’s evident in his 2.39 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.77 K/9 career rates. Those are straight ridiculous numbers and it seems very likely that people are over-reacting to his injury status. We’re talking about a pitcher who just turned 32-years-old. You’d think this guy is 50-years-old with the way people are reacting to him. His 2.73 ERA and 1.04 WHIP from last season indicate he’s not far off from the ace we’ve become accustomed to and he’s easily one of the best bounce-back candidates out there.  Josh Donaldson, ATL (3B) Donaldson is being overlooked in the fantasy industry, as he could return to his MVP form in Atlanta. Not only does he get to hit in this dominant lineup, but Donaldson also gets the fortune of hitting in this little league ballpark. In its inaugural year, SunTrust Park finished seventh in total runs. That’s a small uptick from Rogers Centre but Donaldson gets to hit in a much better lineup. Having Ronald Acuna Jr. and Freddie Freeman around him in the lineup should open up some better pitches, as Donaldson is not far removed from being one of the best hitters in the majors. Prior to an injury-riddled 2018, Donaldson averaged 32.8 home runs and 98.2 RBI across his previous five seasons. This is a guy who stayed pretty healthy in that stretch too, averaging 149 games per season. The weak 2018 is an outlier in an otherwise impressive career, so don’t let that stray you away from one of the most overlooked hitters in the game.  Joey Votto, CIN, (1B) Votto’s 12 home runs last year stands out like a sore thumb but he’s one of the easiest bounce-back candidates for this upcoming season. If you take out an injury-riddled 2014 season, Votto averaged 28.3 home runs and 116.4 RBI across his previous seven seasons before last year’s dud. Those are impressive numbers in itself but the fact that he posted a .433 OBP in that span makes him one of the most dangerous at-bats in the majors. The 12 home runs last season are an absolute fluke too, as his 41 percent hard-hit rate and 9.5 percent HR/FB rates are major outliers for his career. Having a career-high hard-hit rate while posting a career-low HR/FB rate shows just how unlucky he was last season, as he should return to his typical 25-30 homers this year. Adding Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp to an already solid lineup can’t hurt either, as that should help Votto see better pitches, even though he already has the best eyes in the game.Rougned Odor, TEX (2B) Odor was one of the biggest disappointments last season with a .253 AVG, 18 home runs, and 12 steals but one stretch near the end of the year showed just how dominant he can be. Between June 16 and August 11, Odor hit 13 homers and 12 doubles while accruing 31 RBI and nine steals. That came out to a .640 SLG and 1.049 OPS, which was arguably one of the most dominant two-month stretches by any player all season. What’s really encouraging about Odor’s progression is his plate discipline. In fact, Odor nearly doubled his career average by posting an 8.1 percent BB-rate last season while lowering his K-rate below 24 percent. That discipline has carried over big time into spring training, with Odor collecting five walks in 38 spring training at-bats thus far. He’s also 14-of-38 at the plate while accumulating three doubles and four home runs en route to a 1.155 OPS. It’s not like he was chopped liver before either, with Odor tallying 63 home runs and 29 steals across 2016 and 2017. Everything here has the arrow pointing up for Odor and he’s one of few 2B who has legit 25 home run-20 steal potential.  Jose Quintana, CHC (SP) Many people forget just how studly Quintana was in his days with the White Sox, as he looks primed to have a bounce-back season. In a disappointing 2018 campaign, Quintana posted a 4.03 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Those numbers really aren’t even that bad but fantasy owners have pretty much given up on him looking at his ADP. This is a guy who averaged a 3.41 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across his first five seasons and that’s the pitcher I expect to see this year. The peripherals show why he struggled last season, as he posted career-highs in BB-rate and HR-rate. That’s a recipe for a boosted ERA and WHIP but his 14.7 percent HR/FB rate and .282 BABIP last season indicates he was slightly unlucky. Those are outlier numbers for his career and a regression to the mean seems like a likely outcome. It’s the price that really makes him attractive though, with Quintana going close to the 200-range in drafts while being priced super cheap in DFS. Some other notable players that I expect to bounce-back include Kris Bryant, Carlos Correa, Daniel Murphy, Cody Bellinger, Yu Darvish and Chris Archer. All of these guys have underlying statistics that show why they struggled last season and they should return closer to their career norms with positive regression headed their way.

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MLB

A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview – Written by Adam Zibuda

The 2019 MLB season has technically already started, with two games between the Mariners and Athletics taking place in Japan, where the Mariners got their season started off to a nice undefeated 2-0. Opening day however, is now just under a week away and we will see the first pitch thrown on the mainland on Thursday March 28th. To say that the MLB DFS industry is buzzing would be an understatement as the sites are gearing up to one of the biggest MLB seasons ever due to the legalization of sports betting taking place across the states.

There has been no shortage of massive free agent contracts this MLB offseason, with Mike Trout taking the cake with his absurd $430M deal for 12 years with the Angels. Bryce Harper joined in on the fun as well, signing with the Phillies for a lengthy 13-year deal worth $330M. Marwin Gonzalez also signed with the Minnesota Twins for 2 years and $21M while Manny Machado joined the elite contract ranks with his 10 year $300M signing, albeit with the lowly Padres who do not project to be much better in 2019.

The Boston Red Sox are bringing back most of their roster from their 2018 championship run, and should be contenders when October rolls around. The Atlanta Braves are a young and talented team, but might not have enough of a well-rounded roster to really compete when it counts. A couple of other teams that I am excited to watch in 2019 are the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Dodgers, and the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Astros have the bats and the pitching to get it done, which is tough to do in MLB today as plenty of teams have secured the bats but really lack the arm talent to compete down the stretch. The Astros will almost definitely be playing in October this season. The Dodgers got shown up by Boston in the World Series last year, but they will come back hungry this season and look to return to baseball’s biggest stage. The Brewers do not get nearly the press and attention as the Sox, Astros, and Dodgers, but they are a sneaky team that has some serious potential this year. They have depth at nearly every position, along with the talent to potentially dominate their NL Central opponents.

With quite the eventful offseason, the 2019 MLB season is shaping up to live up to all of the hype, and the DFS industry will flourish right alongside.

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