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MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 7/4: Main Slate Stacks Report

Daniel Wehr
written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 4 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.

Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS)

Implied Run Total: 5.25 Runs

The Blue Jays and Red Sox game should receive a good bit of attention this evening. We have Rick Porcello in Toronto, he carries a 5.07 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.98 SIERA coming into tonight’s game. He does struggle a bit more with lefties, but his splits are nearly identical. He holds an average .325 wOBA, .326 OBP, and ,444 SLG. The Blue Jays are hitting extremely well over the last 2 weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .289 ISO, and 162 WRC+. I want to emphasize I do like Toronto a lot this evening and will have a ton of exposure across the board and will be differentiating my builds.

Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Cavan Biggio $3700 FD|$4700 DK, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. $3700 FD|$5500 DK, Eric Sogard $3100 FD|$4800 DK, Freddy Galvis $2900 FD|$4000 DK, and Rowdy Tellez $2400 FD|$3600 DK. I’ll also have shares of Vlad Guerrero Jr. $3200 FD|$3900 DK and Justin Smoak $2700 FD|$3900 DK.

Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Lance Lynn (TEX)

Implied Run Total: 5.10 Runs

Lance Lynn has been somewhat decent this season but I’m going to get behind the narrative that the Angels are going to play their hearts out for their beloved teammate, Lance Lynn carries 4.00 ERA, 2.94 FIP, and 3.84 SIERA into tonights game. He has an xFIP of 3.84 so we expect regression. The Angels are slashing .319 wOBA, .125 ISO, and 102 WRC+. Justin Upton and Shohei Ohtani were not in the lineup both times Lance Lynn faced the Angels this season.

Preferred Stack: Shohei Ohtani $3900 FD|$5200 DK, Mike Trout $4500 FD|$5300 DK, Justin Upton $3800 FD|$3800 DK.

Honorable Mentions

Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Josh Donaldson $3000 FD|$4000 DK, Freddie Freeman $4400 FD|$5000 DK, Ronald Acuna Jr. $4300 FD|$5400 DK, and Brian McCann $2600 FD|$3400 DK.

One-offs and Value Plays

Josh Donaldson (ATL) $3000 FD|$4000 DK, Rowdy Tellez (TOR) $2400 FD|$3600 DK, Justin Bour (LAA) $2800 FD|$4100 DK, Roughned Odor (TEX) $2700 FD|$3900 DK, and Danny Jansen (TOR) $2200 FD|$3100 DK.

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MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 6/29: Main Slate Breakdown

written by

For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will provide a game by game DFS breakdown for the six game main slate on Draftkings and FanDuel, and I also provide some preferred stacks.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

Over/Under: 12.5

Implied Run Total – LAD: 6.83 Runs

Implied Run Total – COL: 5.67 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Colorado tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying a .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both sides. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Max Muncy $4400 FD|$5400 DK. Cody Bellinger $5100 FD|$5800 DK. Matt Beaty $2800 FD| $3700 DK. Alex Verdugo $3800 FD |$4700 DK.

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight at home. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both sides. Rockies batters are slashing .368 wOBA, .187 ISO, and .497 SLG over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays: Ian Desmond $2900 FD | $4600 DK. Charlie Blackmon $4400 FD | $5500 DK. Nolan Arenado $4100 FD | $5000 DK. Greg Hampson $2700 FD | $3200 DK.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – PIT: 3.80 Runs

Implied Run Total – MIL: 5.70 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Pittsburgh Pirates – Jordan Lyles (RHP) on the mound tonight in Milwaukee. Lyles is sporting a 3.64 ERA, 3.67 FIP, and 4.74 SIERA on the season. He has true splits, carrying a .367 wOBA, .500 SLG, and .367 OBP to left handed batters. He has been particularly bad on the road against lefties. Pirates batters are slashing to a respectable .376 wOBA, .226 ISO, and .532 SLG against right handed batters over the last few weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays – Corey Dickerson $3100 FD | $4300 DK. Josh Bell $4500 FD | $5300 DK. Bryan Reynolds $3300 FD | $4500 DK. Colin Moran $2500 FD | $3900 DK. Elias Diaz $2500 FD | $3300 DK.

Milwaukee Brewers – Brandon Woodruff (RHP) on the mound for the Brewers tonight. He has a 4.01 ERA, 3.07 FIP, and 3.53 SIERA on the season. Woodruff has true splits, carrying a .335 wOBA, .441 SLG, and .341 OBP against left handed batters this season. Brewers batters are currently slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and have a .402 SLG. They are hitting slightly below their season average over the last two weeks. Jordan Lyles is awful on the road vs. lefties and Milwaukee bats have been a bit pedestrian lately. I think the Brewers crack things open tonight and score some runs.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Moustakas $3700 FD | $4700 DK. Yasmani Grandal $3300 FD | $4400 DK. Christian Yelich $4500 FD | $5700 DK. Eric Thames $2700 FD | $4200 DK

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – SEA: 3.20 Runs

Implied Run Total – HOU: 6.30 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Seattle Mariners – Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) on the mound in Houston. He carries a 5.11 ERA, 5.55 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Kikuchi has fairly similar splits and struggles quite a bit on the road. Kikuchi carries a .361 wOBA, .505 SLG, and .354 OBP against right handed batters. Everyone is waiting for the Astros to really break out again and I think this is a good spot for them to do so. Seattle batters are slashing to a .333 wOBA, .173 ISO, and .441 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting close to their season average.

Preferred DFS Plays – Daniel Vogelbach $3700 FD | $4000 DK. J.P. Crawford $3000 FD | $4200 DK.

Houston Astros – Justin Verlander (RHP) on the mound tonight at home. He carries a 2.67 ERA, 3.77 FIP, and 3.17 SIERA on the season. Verlander has a flyball rate of 46%, hard contact rate of 39%, and 1.65 HR/9. He has identical splits, carrying a .232 wOBA, .343 SLG, and 1.75 BABIP. Houston batters are hitting well above their season averages recently with a .448 wOBA, .337 ISO, and .647 SLG.

Preferred DFS Plays: Alex Bregman $4200 FD | $5100 DK. Jose Altuve $4000 | $4100 DK. Tyler White $2200 FD | $3200 DK. Jake Marisnick $2200 FD | $4000 DK. George Springer $4400 FD | $5400 DK.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – ARI: 4.20

Implied Run Total – SFG: 3.30

Weather Concerns: N/A

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound in San Francisco tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing a .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both sides. Greinke gets a ballpark boost and has the clear advantage against a weak SFG offense. Arizona batters are slashing to a .272 wOBA, .127 ISO, and .349 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Ketel Marte $4100 FD | $5200 DK. Eduardo Escobar $4200 FD | $4800 DK. Christian Walker $3000 FD | $4000 DK.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing to a .307 wOBA, .178 ISO, and .418 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – N/A

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – OAK: 4.40 Runs

Implied Run Total – LAA: 5.10 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Oakland Athletics – Brett Anderson (LHP) is on the mound in Anaheim tonight. Anderson has a 4.26 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 5.44 SIERA on the season. He is a ground ball pitcher with a hefty 52% GB rate. Anderson carries a .295 wOBA .383 SLG, and .304 OBP against him on the road. Oakland batters are slashing to a .371 wOBA, .273 ISO, and .580 SLG to left handed pitching over the last few weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays – Khris Davis $3400 FD | $3600 DK. Marcus Semien $3400 FD | $4100 DK. Ramon Laureano $3300 FD | $3900 DK. Mark Canha $2800 FD | $3600 DK. Matt Chapman $3700 FD | $4200 DK.

Los Angeles Angels – Tyler Skaggs (LHP) is on the mound for the Angels this evening. He carries a 4.30 ERA, 4.25 FIP, and 4.40 SIERA on the year. Skaggs tends to be hot and cold and the last time he faced the A’s he ended up getting hit around a bit. The A’s lineup is full of right handed power and Skaggs is carrying a .310 wOBA, .407 SLG, and 318 OBP to them on the year. Angels batters are slashing .to a 266 wOBA, .073 ISO, and .305 SLG over the last two weeks, They are hitting well below their season averages over the last two weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Trout $4700 FD | $5600 DK. Shohei Ohtani $4100 FD | $5100 DK. Albert Pujols $3000 FD | $3900 DK. Kole Calhoun $3200 FD | $4300 DK.

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – STL: 3.71 Runs

Implied Run Total – SDP: 4.29 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

St. Louis Cardinals – Dakota Hudson (RHP) takes the mound in San Diego. He has a 3.36 ERA, 4.67 FIP, and 4.72 SIERA on the season. Hudson struggles mightily against left handed batters, carrying a 386 wOBA, .532 SLG, and .396 OBP so far this season. He has a massive ground ball rate of 62% and an extremely low fly ball rate of 17%. Cardinals batters are slashing .283 wOBA, .123 wOBA, and 74 WRC+. They have struggled all season with right handed pitching.

Preferred DFS Plays – Dakota Hudson $8400 FD | $6900 DK.

San Diego Padres – Chris Paddack (RHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He has a 3.18 ERA, 3.99 FIP, and 3.87 SIERA this season. Paddack has a 45% hard contact rate and 40% fly ball rate. He has identical splits, carrying a .261 wOBA, .370 SLG, and .257 OBP against both sides this season. The Cardinals have struggled a ton against righties as of late and Paddack certainly has the arm talent to get the QS and win against this porous Cardinals lineup. The only concern I have is Paddack is not an innings eater, averaging four or five IP per game. Padres batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .214 ISO, and .493 SLG against right handed pitching over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Chris Paddack $8100 FD | $8300 DK. Fernando Tatis Jr. $4000 FD | $5500 DK. Manny Machado $3900 FD | $4900 DK. Franmil Reyes $2800 FD | $4100 DK.

Dwehrj08’s Favorite DFS Plays

Top Pitchers

  1. Chris Paddack (Not an innings eater so tread carefully)
  2. Dakota Hudson
  3. Zack Greinke

Top Stacks

  1. Houston Astros
  2. Milwaukee Brewers
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks
  4. For good measure I will most definitely have exposure to Coors, as should you. This game isn’t my top priority but the implied run total here just simply cannot be ignored.

Home Run Call of Day: Matt Olson (OAK)

The Winning Edge
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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks – 6/27

Wes Anderson
written by Wes Anderson

Thursday’s MLB action includes two slates for DFS purposes. So below we have four stacks to target with your DFS lineups, two for the afternoon games and then two more for the main DFS slate.

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Milwaukee Brewers

The Mariners will be starting Mike Leake on the bump in this one. Leake is allowing 1.96 HR/9 this season. With the Brewers having already hit 93 home runs against right-handed pitching this season, it is safe to say they have a really good chance of tacking a few more onto that total in this one. We can attack Leake from either side of the plate today. He is allowing a .342 wOBA to lefties and 2.42 HR/9 to righties.

So ofcourse, we want to load up on some Brewers and our Milwaukee stack will startwith Christian Yelich (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800). Yelich has a .417ISO versus right-handed pitching Some other Brewers’ bats worth considering are:Mike Moustakas (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,800), Yasmani Grandal (FanDuel:$3,500 DraftKings: $4,700). Both bats have ISOs above .200 versus righties in2019. And do not forget about Ryan Braun (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $4,400). Theoutfielder has a 1.043 OPS over his last seven games. If you need to get acheaper bat, Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $4,300) is your guy.

Houston Astros

Afterdisappointing the Win Daily Family on Wednesday, we are going to go right backto the Astros’ stack today. The Pirates’ Joe Musgrove is a guy that Houstonshould be able to get to. The right-hander has a 4.61 SIERA and a 4.67 xFIP whilestriking out just 19% of the batters he has faced in 2019. Houston has had alot of success against righties this season as the offense has a .334 wOBA anda 113 wRC+ against the handness.

Musgrove strugglesparticularly against left-handed bats. He is allowing a .346 wOBA and a 40.4%hard contact rate to lefties in 2019. With that in mind, we will want to startour Astros’ build with Yordan Alvarez (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,100). TheHouston slugger has a .450 ISO and a .472 wOBA against righties this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Any time the Dodgers’ offense is opposed by a righty, they have to be considered for stacking purposes. Against right-handed pitching this season, Los Angeles has been very successful. As a team they have a .210 ISO and a .344 wOBA against right-handed pitching. And when they get to face a right-hander in the thin air of Colorado they are a no-brainer stacking option.

The Dodgers’stack needs to be all about the left-handed bats to start. The Rockies’ PeterLambert is allowing a .408 wOBA to lefties this season as well as a 2.35 HR/9.  This is likely due to his 58.3% hard contactrate allowed to left-handed batters in 2019.

So your L.A. building blocks would include the likes of: Joc Pederson (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,400), Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $5,000 DraftKings: $5,900) and Max Muncy (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,600). All three of these Dodgers’ left-handed batters have accumulated at least a .240 ISO versus right-handed pitching.

Los Angeles Angels

You are going to want to pick on Oakland’s Tanner Anderson on Thursday. Anderson is allowing a 46.8% hard contact rate this season as well as a low 7.7% swing strike rate. The Athletics’ starter is not missing many bats. And maybe the best thing about Anderson is that he is very predictable. He throws his sinker on 62% of his pitches.

With that inmind we want to build our Angels’ DFS stack starting with Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,800). The outfielder has a .341 batting average againstthe sinker this season. Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,700)should also be a piece to your Angels’ puzzle. He has a .500 ISO against thesinker in 2019. And don’t forget about Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,400). The infielder has a .419 batting average against thesinker this season.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MYOTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE.  FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT WinDaily DFS HASTO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO,DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. 

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MLB

DFS Stacks for 6/20: Sparks Flying off Sparkman

Wes Anderson
written by Wes Anderson

Minnesota Twins

The Royals will be starting Glenn Sparkman on Thursday. This season he has a 5.23 SIERA and a 5.24 xFIP. He is allowing a 41.5% hard contact rate and has an unflattering 13% K-rate. The Kansas City hurler is awfully predictable, as he is throwing his four seam fastball 64% of the time.

Look for theTwins’ offense to jump on that fastball in this one. They have crushed rightiesin 2019. They have a .244 ISO and a .351 wOBA collectively against right-handedpitching. You will want to go four deep on FanDuel and five deep on DraftKingswith this stack.

Los Angeles Angels

One of the rules of DFS is to never walk away from a heater. We have been riding the Angels all week so there is no reason to look elsewhere today. Over the last seven days, Los Angeles has a .251 ISO and a .336 wOBA.

A matchup with Toronto’s Clayton Richard is not likely to put out this Angels’ hot streak. He has a 5.96 SIERA and a 5.62 xFIP on the season. And in his career versus this current Angels’ roster, Richard has allowed a .352/.398/.577 slash line. Los Angeles should continue to streak in this one.

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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/19 – California Love

Wes Anderson
written by Wes Anderson

Oakland Athletics

The Orioleswill be starting Josh Rogers on Wednesday. Although it is an extremely smallsample size, it is safe that the Baltimore starter is a dumpster fire. In eightinnings this season he has a 6.72 SIERA and a 7.93 xFIP. He is allowing a 46.7%flyball rate and has an extremely low 5.4% K-rate. And if you need furtherevidence that Rogers has been awful in limited action this season, the hurlerhas allowed a 53.3% hard contact rate and a 3.38 HR/9 in 2019.

In his first outing of the season, Rogers was lit up by Oakland. He allowed five earned runs while recording just 11 outs. Look for more of the same this go-’round. The Athletics’ offense has crushed southpaws in 2019. They have a .225 ISO and a .355 wOBA collectively against left-handed pitching. You will want to go four deep with this stack.

Los Angeles Angels

The Angels’ offense as a whole is seeing beach balls at the plate right now. Over the last seven days, Los Angeles has a .249 ISO and a .341 wOBA. During that span they have 12 home runs and 34 runs scored.

A matchupwith Toronto’s Aaron Sanchez should do little to slow down this Angels’ hotstreak. He has a 5.32 SIERA and a 5.19 xFIP on the season. And over his last 15innings pitched Sanchez has been even worse. In that time on the mound he hasallowed a .311/.397/.557 slash line. Expect the Angels to produce big again onWednesday.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Giants’Drew Pomeranz is allowing 2.02 HR/9 in 2019. That number may actually increaseon Wednesday as the Dodgers’ bats flex their muscles against southpaws. LosAngeles has four batters with ISOs over .200 against left-handed pitching thisseason.

Game Stack Special

You will want to get a lineup chalked full of Cleveland Indians and Texas Rangers on Wednesday. This game stack is likely to go off in a big way as both scheduled pitchers are struggling in the worst of ways. The Indians’ Adam Pluko is allowing a 50.7% flyball rate which has resulted in the starter allowing a 3.09 HR/9. The Rangers’ Joe Palumbo has allowed a 42.9% flyball rate and a 2.25 HR/9 ratio.

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MLB

Win Daily On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/8

Louis Cangiano
written by Louis Cangiano

(Updated 6:38 pm EST)

Second base is an extremely weak position tonight. I still can’t figure this one out. I’m actually thinking of rostering, L.A. Angel Rengifo. Low ownership, big upside, low floor. All you can ask for.

(Updated 6:27 pm EST)

Domingo Santana’s game logs are through the roof over his last three games averaging 26.7 FD points per game. Invest confidently.

(Updated 6:25 pm EST)

Anthony Rizzo, dong call!

(Updated 5:54 pm EST)

Paul Goldschmidt ($3,800 FD & $4,000 DK): Goldy owns a .500 BA in 12 at-bats with one homer. Solid Value here at $3,800 and $4,000. The under/over is low at 7.5 but I can see a solo shot or two in this game despite the low under/over. Goldschmidt is likely my one-off play of the day (if needed).

(Updated 5:36 pm EST)

How many times can the Angels burn me before I stop stacking them? Well, I like them again tonight. What do we do? I’m staying away but I need to mention that the numbers are there for an Angels team that are due for a big game. Angels Stadium is in the top five percentile in home runs allowed and runs allowed by a stadium this season. L.A does hit well against Seattle’s Kikuchi and it’s nice and sunny in Anaheim (77 degrees), so the ball should be flying tonight but like I said, L.A has burned me too many times this year, and in very similar spots, so I’m staying away but I won’t blame you for investing in a low owned, relatively cheap Angels team.

(Updated 5:24 pm EST)

Adrian Beltre’s jersey is being retired tonight in Texas, narrative if I’ve ever heard one. Second Half of a double header where the first game totaled 15 runs. Look out!

Updated 5:17 pm EST)

Stack those Rockies. The Rockies are facing Steven Matz who they have dominated in the past. Somehow the Mets are favored at -115 with an 8.5 under/over but I see a very different game flow here. Matz kills it at home with a 1.50 ERA on the season, which is great, not to mention the fact that his road splits ERA is at 5.79. But other than that, I don’t see much that would have me on Matz. The Rockies own a .390 team ERA! And Arenado has one double and four home runs in 14 at-bats against Matz. Almost all batters exhibit impressive BvP stats but in limited sample sizes. At the moment Matz is allowing lefties to hit for average and righties to hit for power, perfect combo no? Love me some Colorado Rockies tonight, despite Matz home ERA.

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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/29: Bright Reds

Marshall Rosen
written by Marshall Rosen

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 29th action:

EARLY SLATE

Cincinnati Reds

The Pirates’ Steven Brault is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Pittsburgh. The left-handed pitcher has a robust 7.11 ERA. And his other numbers for this season aren’t any better. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA and a 5.85 xFIP. The Pittsburgh starter also is getting hit hard with a 44.9% hard contact rate, making the Reds look like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.

The building blocks for this stack will be Eugenio Suarez (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900) and Nick Senzel (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,900). Both of these right-handed bats have at least a .300 ISO against lefties in 2019. And while he doesn’t have great numbers against southpaws this season, how do you not chase yesterday’s three home run performance by Derek Dietrich (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,900)?

Other Reds to look at it include: Kyle Farmer (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,800) and Yasiel Puig (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200). Both Cincinnati bats have over .200 ISOs against lefties in 2019.

Seattle Mariners

The Rangers’ Drew Smyly is struggling this season with a 6.15 ERA and is allowing 2.14 HR/9. With seven Mariners owning an ISO of over .200 against southpaws in 2019, the Texas starter’s struggles should continue in this one.

These seven players should be the emphasis of your stack: Jay Bruce (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,300), Domingo Santana (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300), Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,800), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,400), Omar Narvaez (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,200) and Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,500).

Los Angeles Angels

Since returning to the big leagues, the Athletics’ Daniel Mengden has been hit really hard by opposing offenses. In fact, he has allowed a 50% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in him having a 6.07 SIERA and a 6.11 xFIP. The Angels’ offense should be able to hit some balls awfully hard against the young Oakland right-hander here and make for a great value play to combine with Cincinnati or Seattle.

Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,500), Kole Calhoun (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,100),Albert Pujols (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500), Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,500) and Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900)all have produced at least a 45% hard contact rate against righties in 2019.

MAIN SLATE

Arizona Diamondbacks

Winning DFS lineups for today’s slate will likely be loaded with Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies will be running Jeff Hoffman out to the bump. The right-handed starter has not fared well at Coors Field in his career. Hoffman has allowed a .303/.376/.541 slash line in 86.1 innings pitched in Colorado. Hoffman also has a 5.20 xFIP and 5.7% K-BB% in those contests. Look for the Diamondbacks to take advantage of this matchup in a big way tonight.

The Diamondbacks’ build must start with Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,700). The third baseman is red hot. He has scored double-digit fantasy points per game for a week now.  His hot streak should continue on Wednesday. Escobar has crushed against righties this season. He owns a .250 ISO and a .351 wOBA against them. You can build around Escobar with a combination of Adam Jones (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,300) and Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) as well. Each of these Diamondbacks’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies have had Robbie Ray’s number throughout his career. In 106 at-bats against the current Colorado roster, the Arizona starter has allowed a .302/.395/.586 slash line with a .982 OPS. Of the 32 hits Ray has allowed to the current Rockies’ hitters, 16 of them have been for extra bases. And seven of those have left the yard. The success against Ray should continue tonight as the Rockies’ offense has a.209 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

When building your Rockies’ stack, of course you will want to start the construction with Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,600). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .466 ISO and a .516 wOBA versus them. Also, he has killed Ray in the past. Arenado has a 1.289 career OPS against the Diamondbacks’ pitcher.

You also need to consider Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,500DraftKings: $3,900). The outfielder has an ISO of .321 versus lefties in 2019.He also has a 1.289 career OPS versus Ray. Chris Iannetta (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,700), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,100), DanielMurphy (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,100), Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,100) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500)should all be considered. Each of those Rockies’ hitters have .200-plus ISOsagainst left-handed pitching in 2019.                                                                                                                                              

Kansas City Royals

The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez has struggled this season. The Right-hander has a5.09 SIERA and a 5.81 xFIP. Lopez has also allowed a 53.6% flyball rate and a40.9% hard contact rate. In addition to his 2019 struggles, Lopez has also hada difficult time with the Royals in his career. Against the current Royals’roster, the Chicago starter has allowed a .301 batting average and a .382 on-basepercentage.

Hunter Dozier(FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100) and Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,400) are great building blocks to a Royals’ stack. Both KansasCity hitter have ISO’s of at least .275 against right-handed pitcher but theyalso have .900-plus OPS against flyball pitchers.

Alex Gordon (FanDuel:$3,400 DraftKings: $4,800) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,500)also have produced at least a .200 ISO against righties in 2019. While WhitMerrifield (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200) has a .364 wOBA and a 127 wRC+against right-handed pitching this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

The St.Louis Cardinals will be starting Genesis Cabrera. The left-handed pitcher has a6.35 ERA in Triple-A this season. In 39.2 innings pitched for the Memphis Cardinals,Cabrera has allowed 43 hits and 19 walks that have led to 28 earned runs. ThePhillies are likely going to provide a rude welcome the Cardinals’ starter.

Jean Segura (FanDuel:$3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), J.T. Realmuto (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600),Scott Kingery (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (FanDuel: $4,400DraftKings: $4,900) and Bryce Harper (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,500) allwill be part of the welcoming party. Each of these players have recorded atleast a .200 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

Baltimore Orioles

The Tigers’Ryan Carpenter has had a rough go to the start of his 2019 campaign. He isallowing 3.21 HR/9 while maintaining a 9.00 ERA. While we usually stack againstthe Orioles, today you want to stack with the Orioles.

This stackwill of course start with Trey Mancini (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000).While he is not a cheap part of the stack, he is an owner of a .283 ISO and a.430 wOBA versus lefties this season.

The other bat to consider starting the Baltimore stack with is Pedro Severino (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,900). Severino has a .300-plus ISOs against lefties this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

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MLB

A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

A Through Z 2019 MLB Season Preview – Written by Adam Zibuda

The 2019 MLB season has technically already started, with two games between the Mariners and Athletics taking place in Japan, where the Mariners got their season started off to a nice undefeated 2-0. Opening day however, is now just under a week away and we will see the first pitch thrown on the mainland on Thursday March 28th. To say that the MLB DFS industry is buzzing would be an understatement as the sites are gearing up to one of the biggest MLB seasons ever due to the legalization of sports betting taking place across the states.

There has been no shortage of massive free agent contracts this MLB offseason, with Mike Trout taking the cake with his absurd $430M deal for 12 years with the Angels. Bryce Harper joined in on the fun as well, signing with the Phillies for a lengthy 13-year deal worth $330M. Marwin Gonzalez also signed with the Minnesota Twins for 2 years and $21M while Manny Machado joined the elite contract ranks with his 10 year $300M signing, albeit with the lowly Padres who do not project to be much better in 2019.

The Boston Red Sox are bringing back most of their roster from their 2018 championship run, and should be contenders when October rolls around. The Atlanta Braves are a young and talented team, but might not have enough of a well-rounded roster to really compete when it counts. A couple of other teams that I am excited to watch in 2019 are the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Dodgers, and the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Astros have the bats and the pitching to get it done, which is tough to do in MLB today as plenty of teams have secured the bats but really lack the arm talent to compete down the stretch. The Astros will almost definitely be playing in October this season. The Dodgers got shown up by Boston in the World Series last year, but they will come back hungry this season and look to return to baseball’s biggest stage. The Brewers do not get nearly the press and attention as the Sox, Astros, and Dodgers, but they are a sneaky team that has some serious potential this year. They have depth at nearly every position, along with the talent to potentially dominate their NL Central opponents.

With quite the eventful offseason, the 2019 MLB season is shaping up to live up to all of the hype, and the DFS industry will flourish right alongside.

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