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J.D. Martinez

8/28 DFS Hitting Picks and Prop Plays: Story Telling

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Whenever we have games spread all throughout the day, I try my best to cater to every DFS player out there. What’s interesting here is that we only have three games during the day, so I’ll only offer up two plays from that slate. That should help DFS players who want to play both schedules and that’s our goal here at Win Daily Sports! So, let’s get into our 8/28 DFS Hitting picks!

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8/28 DFS Hitting Catcher

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,900)

Trying to pick a catcher is always the toughest part of this article but Chirinos is a nice value on this slate. The reason for that is because of his matchup, with the Astros facing Ryan Yarbrough. While the Tampa lefty has been brilliant this season, his 3.89 xFIP indicates that he has some negative regression headed his way. That’s huge for a guy like Chirinos, with the Astros backstop generating a .447 OBP and .982 OPS against southpaws so far this season.

8/28 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Matt Olson, OAK at KC

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,500)

A power hitter like Olson becomes a great pick against a homer-prone pitcher like Jakob Junis. A 4.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP from Junis is bad enough but his 58 dingers allowed since 2018 is one of the worst marks in baseball too. That’s got to light up Olson’s eyes, with the left-handed slugger posting a .511 SLG and .260 ISO since 2017. He’s been even better against right-handers in that span, tallying a .351 OBP, .543 SLG and .894 OPS against them. Olson is feeling it right now too, amassing a .382 OBP over his last 17 fixtures.

8/28 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,400)

Let’s kick off our day-slate recommendations with the hottest second baseman in the league. This dude has been absolutely ridiculous the last few weeks and it’s scary just how good this 22-year-old kid could be. Over his last 22 games, Torres has 13 homers en route to a .786 SLG and 1.126 OPS, with 10 of those dingers coming in his last 15 fixtures. Those fantastic numbers since the All-Star break have led to a breakout season with 33 dingers in total. Torres has a career .531 SLG and .869 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor too and we definitely have to consider him against a guy like Justus Sheffield.

8/28 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at CWS

DK ($5,500) FD ($3,900)

Sano is a favorite of mine and I’m just thrilled to see him hitting so well. A .579 SLG, .923 OPS, .378 wOBA and .332 ISO is obviously all career-highs, as it really shows just how powerful this dude is. His .250 career ISO is still a rather impressive mark and it’s clear that things are finally clicking for the big man. The reason we like him today is because he gets the platoon advantage against a terrible lefty. The Twins face Ross Detwiler, who’s got an unsightly 6.29 ERA and 1.72 WHIP dating back to 2015. That’s why Minnesota is projected for more than six runs, with Sano accumulating a .394 wOBA, .341 ISO, .612 SLG and .966 OPS against left-handers this season.

8/28 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Trevor Story, COL vs. BOS

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,300)

While this isn’t a great matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez, Story is always in play at home against a lefty. Let’s start with his Coors Field numbers, with Story totaling a .326 AVG, .399 OBP, .683 SLG and 1.082 OPS at home this season. That’s pretty close to his numbers against lefties, with the shortstop posting a .383 OBP, .637 SLG and 1.020 OPS since the beginning of 2017. That means he’s hard t fade anytime he faces a lefty at home and Rodriguez surely has to be scared of Coors Field with the Rockies projected for more than six runs.

8/28 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS at COL

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,700)

How can this possibly go wrong? Arguably the best pure hitter in baseball hitting in Coors Field is a recipe for success, particularly someone as hot as Martinez. Over his last 48 games, J.D. is putting together a 349 .AVG .420 OBP, .646 SLG and 1.066 OPS. Those are actually not that far off of his season-long numbers and he should do some serious damage in a place like Coors Field. What we like here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.40 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season.

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,300)

We foreshadowed this a bit with our final sentence in the Torres write-up, as we love the Yankees on this slate. Any time they face a weak left-hander, all of the powerful righties are in play. Judge is just that, as he and the Bronx Bombers will oppose Sheffield and his 6.43 ERA and 2.29 WHIP. That’s truly frightening against a stud like Judge, who actually leads the league in exit velocity and hard-hit percentage. Those elite advanced statistics have been really shining recently, with Judge hitting four doubles and five homers over his last 14 games. Not to mention, he also has a .478 OBP, .667 SLG and 1.144 OPS against southpaws so far this season and is priced way too low on DK.

Franmil Reyes, CLE at DET

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

After a couple of stud outfielders, let’s give you a value play. Reyes is just that and it’s truly hard to understand why his price remains so low. We’re talking about a slugger with a .513 SLG and .271 ISO being priced around a bunch of minor leaguers. What makes it even more bizarre is that Reyes has four dingers over his last three games while knocking out six homers in total over his last 13 fixtures. That means the power stroke is strong right now, which is not a good thing for Jordan Zimmermann and his 6.48 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Aaron Civale Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Adam Plutko just struck out nine Tigers on Tuesday and I expect Civale to have a similar performance. The rookie is pitching to a 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP and gets to face a Detroit lineup who ranks last in runs scored, xwOBA and K rate.

MKF Record 30-22

5 years ago 0 comment

8/21 DFS Hitting Picks and Prop Plays: ‘Stros and Sox

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first few recommendations in this article are going to be affordable guys but don’t let that fool you. We have the studs coming in hot at the end and there’s a great mix out there to build whatever sort of lineup you prefer. With that in mind, let’s get into our 8/21 DFS Hitting selections…

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8/21 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL at STL

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,100)

Catcher is undoubtedly the weakest position in fantasy baseball but Grandal always softens the blow with his impressive power. While he’s been struggling recently, he’s still on pace to set career-highs in AVG, SLG and OPS. A .377 OBP and .848 OPS shows just how special this guy can be, as he’s actually been much better batting from the left side. Since last season, Grandal has an .361 OBP and .842 OPS against righties and gets a superb matchup against Adam Wainwright here. The St. Louis right-hander is currently allowing left-handed bats to post a .383 OBP, .502 SLG and .368 wOBA against him this season, which is horrifying against guys like Grandal, Eric Thames, Mike Moustakas and Christian Yelich.

8/21 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Jesus Aguilar, TB vs. SEA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,800)

It’s unclear who will start at first base for the Rays but we like either Aguilar or Choi at their dirt-cheap price tags. We’ll go with Aguilar, since he’s the cheaper option. Since joining the Rays at the trade deadline, he’s been batting in the heart of this order and it’s easy to see why when looking at these numbers. Over his last 34 games, Aguilar is hitting .315 while providing a .379 OBP, .494 SLG and .864 OPS. That’s huge considering he gets the platoon advantage against Wade LeBlanc, who’s allowed 19 runs over his last four appearances.

8/21 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Hanser Alberto, BAL vs. KC

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

Alberto is always a favorite of mine against left-handers and it’s crazy just how low his price is being kept at on these sites. He’s done nothing but rake when facing lefties and that’s why the Orioles bat him leadoff in these circumstances. That’s no surprise when you see his .407 AVG, .533 SLG and .954 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those are bonkers numbers and it’s even more enticing when you see Mike Montgomery’s 4.63 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Alberto happens to be rolling right now too, hitting .354 over his last 18 games en route to a .970 OPS.

8/21 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. DET

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,500)

This might be my favorite play on the board. I know that the Astros are my favorite stack and Bregman should be at the heart of that damage. The reason for that is because they face Daniel Norris, who’s pitching to a 4.82 ERA and 1.41 WHIP from the left side. That’s truly scary against all of these potent righties, particularly Bregman. Over his last 15 games, Bregman has a .422 AVG, .522 OBP, .857 SLG and 1.380 OPS. Those are literally video game numbers and it doesn’t even take into consideration that Bregman has a .661 SLG and 1.068 OPS against left-handers this year. Don’t fade the Astros and don’t fade Bregman!

8/21 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD vs. TOR

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,400)

Seager has quietly been turning things around since the All-Star break and it’s about time that he starts living up to expectations. Over his last 13 games, Seager has collected nine doubles and three homers en route to a .630 SLG and .953 OPS. That stellar form. paired with this matchup, makes him one of the best values on the board. Not only does Seager have a .521 SLG and .875 OPS against right-handers this season, he also gets to face Jacob Waguespack and his 5.06 xFIP and 1.31 WHIP.

8/21 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Juan Soto, WSH at PIT

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,100)

Now that we got a bunch of the value bats out of the way, let’s get you some stud outfielders. Soto actually found himself into my article on Monday and we have to keep rolling with him the way he’s hitting. Over his last 19 games, Soto has collected 11 homers, 19 runs scored, 19 RBI and five steals en route to a .438 OVP, .824 SLG and 1.264 OPS. Those are absurd numbers and it’s truly amazing that this kid is only 20 years-old. We really like that he gets the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove too, who’s got a 4.59 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, allowing 20 runs over his last five starts.

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. PHI

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Much like Soto, J.D. is absolutely scorching right now. Over his last 43 games, Martinez is hitting .349 while generating a .416 OBP, .623 SLG and 1.039 OPS. That’s the dude that we’ve been waiting for all season long and he’s done a good amount of that damage against lefties. In fact, Martinez has a .477 OBP, .848 SLG and 1.325 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That’s got to be scary for Drew Smyly, who’s got an ugly 7.09 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Don’t forget about Mookie Betts either, with Boston and Houston being the premier stacks of the day.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. NYY

DK ($3,200) FD ($2,500)

This is a total punt play but Davis has a lot of power potential to be priced this cheaply. He’s in such a bad slump that he’s being priced around guys who are in the minors, but we will take the risk here. While he’s earned every bit of that price tag, he’s still among the league leaders in home runs dating back to 2016. He also has an ISO north of .250 in that span and he can swat two dingers on any given night. This matchup is more inducive to do just that, as he gets the platoon advantage against J.A. Happ and his 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. So far this year, Davis has an OPS north of .800 against southpaws, which is nearly 200 points higher than his OPS against righties.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Mike Mongomery Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Montgomery has a 1.00 ERA and 1,06 WHIP over his last three starts while striking out 22 batters across 18 innings of action. That great form and elite K rate should fare well against an offense that ranks 26th in runs scored, 27th in OBP, 25th in OPS, 21st in K rate and 28th in wOBA.

Mookie Betts/J.D. Martinez/Corey Dickers Over 14.5 Fantasy Points

All of these guys found themselves into my write-up and I fully expect all three to perform in such a superb matchup.

Jose Altuve/Goerge Springer/Alex Bregman Over 6.5 Total Bases

All of these righties get to face Daniel Norris with an implied run total north of six. Look for these three to fo the majority of the damage.

MKF Record 27-19

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS 8/17 Pitching/Monkey Knife Fight Picks

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

A nice looking slate for this Saturday in the middle of August. Plenty of pitching choices to consider for 8/17 MLB DFS play.

MLB DFS 8/17 Top Tier Arm

Jacob deGrom, Mets at Rotals ($11,500 FD, $11,600 DK): The most expensive arm by far on each site and for good reason. The defending Cy Young Award winner in the N.L. has pitched very well for the last two months or so. Although the optics of deGrom’s last start were not great, fantasy-wise things were not terrible as an error resulted in three unearned runs. In fact, deGrom hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a start since June; he’s 3-0 with a 1.20 ERA over that stretch. If there were ever a game that the Mets really needed, this would be the one. A cash game staple, he will make bats tough to afford from teams in great spots like the Red Sox and the game at Coors.

MLB DFS 8/17 Middle Tier Arms

Eduardo Rodriguez, Orioles at Red Sox ($8,400 FD, $9,000 DK): Much like the Mets, the Red Sox need almost every game from here on to make the playoffs. Despite having a better record than the Mets, the Sox are further back in A.L. wild card chase than the Mets are in the N.L. However, there are fewer teams to leapfrog. ERod, despite being inefficient with his pitches, has certainly earned Alex Cora’s trust. 113, 113, 108, 113, 99, 105 are the number of pitches he has thrown over his last six starts. If he can get a couple of easy 1-2-3 innings today against the hapless Orioles, an eight inning start is possible. He is the first pitcher I am locking into my DK contests due to a combination of being in a good spot, price and a great chance at a win.

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Jordan Lyles, Brewers at Nationals ($7,400 FD, $7,700 DK): I am starting to think that the Brewers are the Astros of the N.L. when it comes to reclamation projects with pitchers. Last night in Washington D.C., we saw Adrian Houser toss another good game for the Brew Crew. And since Jordan Lyles came from the lowly Pirates to Milwaukee, we have seen steady improvement. There is no reason in my mind that he can not repeat what Houser did last night. Very possibly, he is my second pitcher to pair with ERod on DK.

MLB DFS 8/17 Bargain Basement Arm

Trent Thornton, Mariners at Blue Jays ($6,400 FD, $6,400 DK): Two of his last three starts have resulted 15 DK fantasy points. In his last start at home against the mighty Yankees he was especially impressive. He gave up only one run on three hits over six innings while striking out six. Thornton’s biggest challenge in 2019, though, has been consistency between starts. This makes him a GPP only option today.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick

I am going back to Fenway Park and I want the Boston bats today against the Woj bomb. This starting pitcher for the Orioles came out of nowhere and shut down the Red Sox a few Sundays ago in Camden Yards. Since then, he has not been able to repeat his success that he had that day. Now that the Red Sox have a book on him, look for them to tee off in a game they desperately need.

I like three homers from this trio today. Go for broke!

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

8/5 DFS Hitting and Prop Picks: All Rise!

Lahius Leverette 5 years ago

written by Lahius Leverette

For our 8/5 DFS Hitting Picks, we got some great options for you. We actually have a large 12-game slate, which is pretty surprising for a Monday. That is the ideal amount of games for DFS. though, and it should make for a fun slate.

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8/5 DFS Hitting Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL at PIT

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

Picking catchers is always tough but Grandal is always one of the safest options on the board. That’s clear by his .373 OBP, .481 SLG and .854 OPS. Not only are those all career-highs for Grandal, they also happen to be some of the best numbers at the catcher position. We have to like him against Dario Agrazal, whose 6.21 xFIP is one of the worst marks in the game. It also puts Grandal on the left side, with the switch-hitter posting a .490 SLG and .854 OPS against righties since last season.

8/5 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Ji-Man Choi, TB vs. TOR

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,100)

Choi is quietly one of the best values in DFS right now and it’s time for these sites to take notice of his stellar play. What’s really changed things for him is the move to the leadoff spot, with Choi batting leadoff in four-straight games against righties. It’s led to one of his best stretches of his season too, with Choi hitting .500 in that span while collecting three doubles, six runs scored and six RBI. That’s no surprise when you consider his splits, with Choi generating a .376 OBP and .878 OPS against right-handers since 2017.

8/5 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Rougned Odor, TEX at CLE

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,200)

I’ve had some great luck in recommending this guy and it’s easy to see why when looking at his recent numbers. Over his last 14 games, Odor has accrued three doubles, seven homers, 12 runs scored and 14 RBI en route to a 1.163 OPS. That’s the dude that we’ve been waiting for and he’s always one of the streakiest players in our game. The matchup against Aaron Civale is nice too, as it puts the platoon advantage in Odor’s favor versus a pitcher who’s only made one appearance at this level.

8/5 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. TEX

DK ($4,800) FD ($3,700)

Much like Odor, Ramirez is one of the hottest hitters in the league. Over his last 27 games, Ramrez is hitting .313 while providing 22 runs scored, 11 doubles, nine homers and 27 RBI en route to a .988 OPS. That’s the stud that we’ve been waiting for and it’s scary that he’s one of the league leaders with 22 steals as well. The icing on the cake is this matchup against Ariel Jurado though, who’s pitching to a 6.70 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over his last nine starts. It also puts Ramirez on the left side, with the switch-hitter posting an OPS north of .900 against righties since 2017.

8/5 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Jonathan Villar, BAL vs. NYY

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,300)

Villar is a regular in my articles and recent results would indicate that we’ve been all over this guy. The 14 homers and 24 steals tells you everything you need to know, as that alone makes this price hard to understand. Any leadoff hitter with that power-speed combo is worth using in this price range, especially with his recent form. Over his last nine games. Villar has collected two doubles, three homers, 12 runs scored and seven steals en route to a .455 OBP and 1.121 OPS. That’s absurd production and it’s really no surprise that most of it has come against righties. So far this season, Villar has a .346 OBP and .765 OPS against right-handers while swiping 19 of his 23 steals. That’s huge against Masahiro Tanaka, who’s got an unsightly 10.59 ERA and 1.89 WHIP over his last six starts.

8/5 DFS Hitting Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. KC

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

Martinez is starting to get hot and that’s scary from a guy who’s already one of the best hitters in our game. Over his last 15 games, J.D. is hitting .374 while providing a .464 OBP, .729 SLG and 1.193 OPS. That’s the stud that we were expecting and his .584 xSLG and .408 xwOBA would indicate that this streak will only continue. What really adds to his intrigue is this matchup, with Martinez posting a .455 OBP, .887 SLG and 1.341 OPS against left-handers this season. It happens to be a southpaw we want to exploit, with Mike Montgomery pitching to a 6.34 ERA and 1.77 WHIP this season.

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

While I don’t really like this FanDuel price, it’s pretty hard to fade Judge on DraftKings at $4,600. That price is absurd for someone so talented and the hitting profile is still there. While he’s been struggling recently, this masher is still generating a .545 xSLG, .405 xwOBA and 97.8 exit velocity. That exit velocity happens to be the best mark in baseball and it’s just a matter of time before his numbers start turning around. A matchup against the Orioles is a great way to start the rebound, with Baltimore sitting dead-last in ERA, WHIP and home runs allowed.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at DET

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,900)

Jimenez is going to be one of the best power hitters in the league in coming years and we have to capitalize on this price. I truly believe that he’ll be $1,000 more on each site come this time next season and it’s really no surprise when you look at his power potential. A .220 ISO speaks for itself, as that’s pretty much on par with the power stud that we saw in the minors. While Jimenez is struggling in his first few games off of the IL, we’re talking about a guy who had 11 homers in his 28 games before going on the IL. That power potential is especially tough to fade in a matchup like this, with Detroit sending out Drew VerHagen and his 11.66 ERA and 2.80 WHIP. We can’t fade a guy with so much upside in such a premium matchup at a price like this!

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Lucas Giolito Over 5.5 Strikeouts

After another winner in our last article, let’s go back to the well with the K props. What makes this prop crazy is that Giolito has recorded at least four Ks in all 21 of his starts this season. He’s done that to the tune of a 30 percent K rate and gets to face a Tigers offense that ranks bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA, xwOBA and K rate. I’m going to go bold and say he clears this prop in just four innings.

I’ll also be keeping track of my MKF picks from here on out so that you have a better idea of what I’m bringing to the table. I can only tack back to June but here’s where we are since. Record 22-14

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitter Picks and Prop Plays for 7/22: Bringing Vogelbach!

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

We’re back at it with DFS hitter picks for this Monday slate. More importantly, we have a Monkey Knife Fight Pick for you and those have been awesome for us for months now.

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Catcher

Gary Sanchez, NYY at MIN

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,900)

Sanchez is actually in a bit of a slump right now but it’s lowered his price to this tasty number. He is arguably the best hitting catcher in the game, which is evident by his .567 xSLG and .376 xwOBA. Those advanced statistics confirm to us that he’s the best hitting catcher in MLB and it’s really no surprise that he has 24 homers in just 283 at-bats this season. That’s one of the best rates around and all of this doesn’t even take into consideration that Sanchez gets to face a lefty. Since 2017, Sanchez has a .525 SLG and .872 OPS against southpaws. Martin Perez is a lefty who’s really struggling right now too, pitching to a 5.65 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over his last eight starts.

First Base

Daniel Vogelbach, SEA vs. TEX

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800)

Vogelbach has been making minced meat of right-handers all season long and it’s fun watching this lumberjack become one of the best DFS hitters. So far this season, Vogelbach is generating a .405 OBP, .588 SLG and .993 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s why he has 21 homers and 48 RBI against right-handers, which are some of the best splits in the game. Adrian Sampson is definitely a righty we can exploit too, with the Texas righty pitching to a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the season while posting a 12.96 ERA and 2.40 WHIP over his last four starts.

Second Base

Brian Dozier, WSH vs. COL

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,700)

Picking second baseman is like strolling through your Netflix queue when you know there’s nothing good in there. This position is simply terrible and that’s why I always try to find values. Dozier is just that, as I want to get in some Washington bats against Peter Lambert. The Rockies righty is pitching to a 6.06 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season, which is right around his 5.06 ERA and 1.44 WHIP at the Triple-A level. That’s why the Nationals are projected for more than five runs, as Dozier should be a major part of that. The former 40-20 threat is in the midst of a resurgent stretch too, posting a .390 OBP and .938 OPS over his last 36 games. Those are huge numbers from someone in this price range and we need to take advantage of a DFS hitter like this when his value is so low.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL at WSH

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,100)

It’s always strange to have to scroll down to find Arenado among the third basemen and that alone makes him an attractive DFS hitter. While he is typically better at home, we have to love this matchup. The Nationals are throwing out Austin Voth and his 5.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, which is on par with his 5.06 career xFIP. That’s a scary thought against a hitter who has a minimum of a .362 OBP and .924 OPS dating back to 2016.

Shortstop

Francisco Lindor, CLE at TOR

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,800)

The Indians are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and Lindor is a major reason why. Over his last 12 games, Lindor has four doubles, three homers and two steals, as that streak extends much longer than that. Since May 4, Lindor is hitting .301 while generating an .867 OPS in that span. What really makes him intriguing here is that he gets to bat from the right side, with Lindor posting a .380 OBP and .907 OPS against left-handers since 2017. Ryan Borucki is definitely not a guy we need to worry about either, with the southpaw pitching to a 7.55 FIP at the minors this season while providing a 4.62 xFIP in his Major League career.

Outfield

Jordan Luplow, CLE at TOR

DK ($4,200) FD ($2,900)

If you’ve been reading my articles, you know that I love Luplow against lefties. The simple fact is, Luplow is one of the best hitters in the league when he faces a southpaw. That’s evident by his .417 OBP, .696 SLG and 1.112 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those are some bonkers statistics and it’s really no surprise that he bats cleanup in these circumstances. We already discussed that we want to stack against Borucki, as he’ll be making his season debut here. This is where people forget that we’re picking DFS hitters and it’s more about matchups than anything else.

J.D. Martinez, BOS at TB

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,900)

Needless to say, if you’re playing on DraftKings, get J.D. into your lineup as a DFS hitter. This price made my jaw drop and it’s a wonder what DraftKings is thinking with this tag. This is simply one of the best hitters in the game facing a weak pitcher with the platoon advantage in his favor. The advanced statistics are simply incredible, with Martinez generating a .578 xSLG and .406 xWOBA this season. Those are some of the best numbers in the league and it doesn’t even take into consideration that J.D. has a 1.136 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017.

Corey Dickerson, PIT vs. STL

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)

Can we start giving this dude the credit he deserves as a DFS hitter? Dickerson has done nothing but rake since his days with the Rockies and these sites continue to treat him like a bench player. We’re talking about a guy who has a career .285 AVG and .826 OPS. He’s actually done most of that damage against righties, providing a .239 ISO, .361 wOBA and .860 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those numbers are actually all better this year and it’s strange that he’s priced so low on these sites.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

After a handful of DFS hitter picks, let’s go over a MKF play that intrigues me.

Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Lindor/Luplow/Ramirez Over 6.5 Total Bases

You probably could have seen this coming with the write-ups but Ramirez is one of the hottest hitters in the game too. This offense is projected for more than five runs and these are the guys that should do it.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 7

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 11 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP Gregory Soto (DET): 6.30 Runs

The Red Sox come in with the highest implied run total on the slate today. I do not expect Soto to pitch more than an inning or two but once he comes out he has an awful bullpen behind him. The Red Sox are slashing a league best .382 wOBA, .216 ISO, and .920 OPS over the last two weeks. Greg Soto carries 8.06 ERA, 6.29 FIP, and 5.88 SIERA over a small sample of 22 innings pitched. He is atrocious to righties. They are slashing .415 wOBA, .632 SLG, and .391 OBP against him. The Red Sox have a lot of right handed power early in the lineup and Soto struggles there the most as indicated above. This makes guy’s like Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, and J.D. Martinez early on a priority. The bullpen should open things up for Rafael Devers to crack the slate open, although he also hits lefties well.

Preferred Stack: J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4900 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5000 DK), and Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5600 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 5.95 Runs

Asher Wojciechowski has bounced around multiple farm systems since 2010 and has limited big show experience other than the 62 innings pitched he tossed for the Reds in 2017. Through his career, Wojciechowski carries 6.62 ERA, 4.92 FIP, and 4.25 SIERA. He surrenders 1.81 HR/9 over that same time span and typically gives up over 50% fly ball rate. The Blue Jays offense has hit extremely well against right handed pitching the last few weeks. They are slashing a massive .399 wOBA, .318 ISO, and 152 WRC+ in that time span. I like this lineup a lot more when Randal Grichuk is in it. He is currently projected to start but is nursing a back injury. Boost to Toronto if he plays today.

Preferred Stack: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5500 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3800 FD|$4700 DK), Freddie Galvis $3400 FD|$4300 DK), Eric Sogard ($3400 FD|$4700 DK) and Justin Smoak ($3000 FD|$4100 DK) are my preferred plays. Danny Jansen ($2900 FD|$3800 DK) is okay for value but I typically won’t waste my utility spot on a catcher. Randal Grichuk ($3200 FD|$3800 DK) if he plays, if not Brandon Drury ($2500 FD|$3300 DK) is a decent value play.

Chicago Cubs Stack

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 6.00 Runs

I’m going to jump on this Cubs train before it passes me by this weekend. This team has quietly hit very well to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, slashing .354 wOBA, .233 ISO, and .515 SLG. Ivan Nova carries 5.92 ERA, 5.43 FIP, and 5.06 SIERA into today’s matchup. Nova isn’t giving up a ton of fly balls, but he does have a .339 BABIP to compliment his 45% ground ball rate. His splits are awful and close to identical. He holds a .386 wOBA, .512 SLG, and .368 OBP on the season. Wilson Contreras, Javier Baez, Kyle Schwarber, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward all sit in the top 45 hitters in the league with the best HR/FB ratio.

Preferred Stack: Jason Heyward ($3500 FD|$4800 DK), Kyle Schwarber ($3900 FD|$4300), Anthony Rizzo ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Wilson Contreras ($3600 FD|$5300 DK), and Javier Baez ($4100|$5300). I have a ton of interest in Robel Garcia ($2000 FD|$2200 DK). He’s essentially a free square with the fantastic matchup and minimum pricing. Lock him in.

Honorable Mentions

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Jose Saurez (LAA): 5.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($3600 FD|$3900 DK), Alex Bregman ($4100 FD|$4700 DK), and Yordan Alvarez ($4200 FD|$4700 DK).

Baltimore Orioles Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton(TOR): 4.55 Runs

One-Offs and Value Plays

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Baseball’s Newest Thor

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

We had a full 15-game slate for Father’s Day on Sunday, June 16. All points and values are based off DraftKings.

Winners

Trent Thornton ($5,800)

Trent Thornton had his best outing of the season last night against the Houston Astros in Minute Maid Park. He pitched 6.2 innings of scoreless ball. He gave up six hits, three walks and seven strikeouts. Thornton picked up his second victory on the season. Don’t expect to catch lightning in a bottle when he is back on the mound next start.

Thornton’s Outlook

This was the second-longest outing for Thornton. Facing off against a very dynamic offensive team, he looked calm and collected on the hill. Thornton did allow nine baserunners in his outing but did not give up a hit with a runner in scoring position. His next scheduled start is Friday night in Fenway Park against the division-rival Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox are beginning to heat up after a rough start to the season, so look to fade Thornton his next time out.

Jesse Winker ($3,600)

Jesse Winker had one of the best games as the Reds’ leadoff hitter yesterday, against the Texas Rangers, going 4-for-5 with a home run, five RBI and a run scored. He upped his season totals to .244 with 11 HR and 23 RBI. Winker is making contact at a high rate and should be able to continue hitting well.

Winker’s Outlook

Jesse Winker has been performing well at the plate recently. In his past 15 games, he is 13-for-44 with a home run, six RBI and only seven strikeouts. He has been making solid contact as a table-setter in the Reds’ lineup. The Reds face Wade Miley and the Houston Astros. Miley isn’t your prototypical shutdown starter, so expect Winker to have some production in today’s game.

Losers

J.D. Martinez ($5,400)

J.D. Martinez did not get going in the series finale against the Baltimore Orioles yesterday. He went hitless in his five at-bats, but did record a walk and struck out twice. He was the only Red Sox batter in the original lineup to not record a hit. Expect this game to just be a road bump instead of a signal of struggles.

Martinez’s Outlook

J.D. Martinez has been red hot the past week, batting .310. In those seven games, he has four home runs and six RBI. The Red Sox continue their road trip with a trip to Minnesota to face the Twins. The Twins have a 3.95 ERA, which ranks seventh in baseball. J.D. Martinez should be able to continue to provide power today.

Justin Turner ($8,000)

Justin Turner struggled last night against the Chicago Cubs, going hitless in four at-bats. He has been struggling in the recent past and does not seem to be close to breaking out of the slump. With a huge price tag attached, look to avoid Justin Turner tonight.

Turner’s Outlook

Justin Turner has been struggling for more than just last night’s game. In his previous seven games, he was 6-for-26 with one homer and RBI. His next game is against the division-rival San Francisco Giants. The Giants are struggling this season and should not provide too many problems, but be cautious about Turner’s production in the game.

Injury Updates

Giancarlo Stanton will return to the New York Yankees’ lineup on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays. That will be his first game since March 31.

The New York Mets have placed starter Noah Syndergaard on the 10-day Injured List with a right hamstring strain.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Baseball’s Newest Thor

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

We had a full 15-game slate for Father’s Day on Sunday, June 16. All points and values are based off DraftKings.

Winners

Trent Thornton ($5,800)

Thornton’s Outlook

Jesse Winker ($3,600)

Winker’s Outlook

Losers

J.D. Martinez ($5,400)

Martinez’s Outlook

Justin Turner ($8,000)

Turner’s Outlook

Injury Updates

Giancarlo Stanton will return to the New York Yankees’ lineup on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays. That will be his first game since March 31.

The New York Mets have placed starter Noah Syndergaard on the 10-day Injured List with a right hamstring strain.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Laureano, Hamels and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

We had a 12 game slate on Wednesday June, 12th. Justin Verlander did have a career high in strikeouts, but I will be looking at some names who aren’t as obvious for our winners column. I will then take a look at some bigger players who didn’t fare well Wednesday. Salaries and points are based on DraftKings.

Winners

Ramon Laureano ($3,200)

Laureano and the Oakland Athletics played visitors to the Tampa Bay Rays and got the win 6-2. Laureano was a big part of the win for the A’s as he went 2-for-4 with a grand slam. He ended the night with five RBI and one run scored. The grand slam came in the top of the eighth and was the decider. He finished the night with 35 fantasy points. Laureano has had a slow start to the year and is batting .255 with an OPS of .723. He has now hit nine home runs and has 28 RBI.

Laureano’s Outlook

The Oakland Athletics have an off day Thursday before hosting the Seattle Mariners for a three-game series. In the month of June, covering 10 games, the Mariners have the second-worst team ERA and allow an opposing batting average of .276. On the year they have allowed an opposing batting average of .270 to right handed batters. Laureano did put up big fantasy points Wednesday but a majority of it came on one swing. I will not be on Laureano too much even with Seattle’s pitching struggles.

Cole Hamels ($8,100)

Cole Hamels drew the difficult task of pitching against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. He came at a discount because of it but pitched really well. Hamels got the win and improved to 6-2 on the year while allowing no earned runs over seven innings of work. He gave up six hits and allowed one walk while striking out nine. Hamels has pitched well this year and his ERA is now at 2.98 and his WHIP has fallen to 1.18. He has not given up an earned run in his last three starts, across 22 innings. His strikeout numbers are just under a nine K/9.

Hamels’ Outlook

Hamels’ next projected start will come at home against the White Sox at Wrigley on Tuesday June, 18th. The White Sox offense has been sub-par this year and averages only 4.24 runs per game with a team batting average of .251. They also rank in the Top 10 in strikeouts. Hamels should continue his stellar year against a poor White Sox offense. He has been relatively affordable as well and can be used as a pitcher that will allow room for big bats.

Garrett Cooper ($4,300)

Garrett Cooper and the Marlins dismantled the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday and Cooper was the main guy. Cooper went 3-for-5 in the 9-0 win. He was a double shy of the cycle as he hit a grand slam and a triple in the first two innings. He finished the game with four RBI, two runs scored, and two strikeouts. Cooper scored 33 fantasy points. Cooper’s year has gotten off to a good start and he has a batting average of .296 to go with his OPS of .875. He has now hit six home runs and 20 RBI.

Cooper’s Outlook

Cooper and the Marlins stay home to start a three -ame series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday. The Pirates have been roughed up badly lately and have a team ERA right around seven in the month of June. They also have allowed an opposing batting average north of .290 in June. Cooper extended his hitting streak to seven on Wednesday and I expect him to add to that in the series with the Pirates. Cooper has been consistent and can fit in most lineups.

Losers

J.D. Martinez ($4,500)

Martinez and the Red Sox beat the Texas Rangers at home Wednesday but Martinez took the golden sombrero. He went 0-for-4 and struck out in all four at bats. Martinez was the only player on the Red Sox who did not reach base in the game. He has had a good year so far and his batting average dropped to exactly .300 and his OPS is now at .905. He has hit 12 home runs and has 34 RBI. Martinez had 10 hits in his last six games but this was not his night.

Martinez’s Outlook

The Boston Red Sox have one more game with the Rangers before heading to Baltimore for a three game set with the Orioles. Pitching for the Rangers Thursday will be Adrian Sampson. He has pitched adequately this year and has been really good lately. He has given up three or fewer hits in his last five games. I will be staying off Martinez for one more game before getting him back in the lineup against the Orioles. Baltimore has the worst team ERA in the league at 5.48.

Trevor Story ($5,300)

Trevor Story and the Rockies hosted Hamels and the Cubs and got pounded 10-1. Hamels pitched well and Story went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts. Story cost a pretty penny if you wanted him Wednesday and he scored zero fantasy points. Story has had a great year playing at home and a down year playing on the road. The Coors Field dynamic is fully in effect with Story. His home/road batting average split is .328/.246. His OPS is also wildly swayed at home at 1.055/.737.

Story’s Outlook

Story and the Rockies stay at home to face the San Diego Padres for a four-game series. Story should produce at home against a Padres pitching staff that has not pitched well in June. This month they have a team ERA of 5.56 and you should not expect that to get any better playing at Coors Field. Story and all of the Rockies hitters will be heavily owned this series but fading them could be trouble. I will be looking to roster Story in hopes of a bounce-back series at home.

Injury Report

Nolan Arenado left Wednesday’s game early after being hit in the forearm by a pitch. He is considered day-to-day.

Joey Votto was hit by a pitch and left the game with lower back tightness Wednesday.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/5 – Nats Bats

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first thing you need to do before this slate is to check in with the weatherman, Mark Paquette. We have a few games with questionable forecasts and he’ll give you all the updates you need. What makes this slate especially fun is the fact that we have a ton of crappy pitchers taking the mound. That’s why I’m mainly going to focus on value plays and let you fill in the studs around them.

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. SF

DK ($4,500) FD ($2,600)

Ramos is probably one of the five best hitting catchers in the Majors and these DFS sites continue to undervalue him. The $2,600 price tag on FanDuel is simply laughable but they know that many owners don’t want to play a catcher at the C/1B slot. We’re willing to slide him in there at this price though, especially in a matchup like this. Ramos gets to square off against Tyler Beede, whose .415 wOBA and 2.37 WHIP are some of the worst numbers around. Ramos is rolling right now too, hitting .419 over his last 13 games while providing five homers, six walks, 11 runs scored and 11 RBI in that span.

Also Consider: Depending on who starts, Kurt Suzuki and Yan Gomes are fantastic values against Dylan Covey.

First Base

Matt Adams, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,100)

Adams has found himself as the regular first baseman for the Nationals and it’s a wonder why his price isn’t higher. We’re talking about a slugging first baseman who has a career OPS approaching .800 and a SLG just shy of .500. That makes this price hard to understand, especially when you consider the fact that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor. Since 2017, Adams is posting an .842 OPS and .519 SLG against right-handed pitching. That’s fantastic considering he gets to face Dylan Covey and we’ll go over his ugly numbers later in the article.

Also Consider: Eric Thames is only $3,000 on FanDuel and is a fantastic bargain with his dominance against right-handed pitching.

Second Base

Jeff McNeil, NYM vs. SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,700)

McNeil’s price is low because he just came off the IL but he has quietly been one of the best hitters for the Mets this season. In fact, the lefty batter has a .333 average and .879 OPS so far this season. That’s why he typically bats leadoff and he is very enticing against a guy like Beede. The San Francisco pitcher is working to a 7.82 ERA and 2.37 WHIP this season, which are simply some of the worst numbers in the Majors. McNeil is traditionally better against righties too, posting a .341 average and .878 OPS against them in his career.

Also Consider: Mike Moustakas is very expensive but he’s probably the highest projected second baseman on the schedule.

Third Base

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. MIA

DK ($2,800) FD ($2,200)

There’s no doubt that Shaw has been downright terrible this season but this price is hard to overlook. We’re talking about a guy who has at least 30 homers in back-to-back seasons while posting an ISO well above .200 in that span. Coming off the IL after missing a few weeks could be just what the doctor ordered and it’s crazy to see a $4,000-player priced this cheaply. The fact that he gets to face a righty only adds to his intrigue, with Shaw posting an .864 OPS against righties since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Todd Frazier has been turning things around recently and could have success against a gas can like Beede.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,000)

Turner is undoubtedly my favorite shortstop play on the board and I’m definitely willing to pay up to get him. It’s not like we even have to pay much to get him either, as he’s not even in the Top 5 at shortstop on both sites. That’s criminal for a guy who’s a Top 5 overall pick in season-long fantasy and he’s simply one of the most dynamic players in the league. The reason we like him here is because he faces Dylan Covey, who’s posting a 4.73 ERA and 1.42 WHIP, which is actually due for some negative regression when looking at his nightmarish .412 xwOBA.

Also Consider: If you’re looking for someone cheaper, Jean Segura is below $4,000 on both sites.

Outfield

Juan Soto, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($5,800) FD ($4,800)

Alright, we’ve been providing a ton of value so far, so let’s get into a couple of stud outfielders. Soto may be my favorite play on the board, as he should abuse Covey in this matchup. The aforementioned numbers from Covey are a major reason why, with the Nationals entering this matchup with one of the highest projected team totals on the slate. Soto comes into this matchup scorching too, hitting .413 over his last 17 games while collecting seven doubles, four homers, 11 walks, 17 runs scored and 14 RBI in that span. Getting the platoon advantage is the icing on the cake, with Soto posting a .936 OPS and .522 SLG against righties in his career.

J.D. Martinez, BOS at KC

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,200)

Quite simply, this guy needs to be more expensive. It’s really bizarre to have to scroll down to find him and it really doesn’t make any sense why these sites continue to undervalue him. What I really like about Martinez is the hitting profile, as his .428 xwOBA and .626 xSLG indicates that his good numbers should be even better. His recent form indicates that he’s starting to hit some of that positive regression, with J.D. hitting five homers and three doubles over his last 14 games. Facing Jakob Junis is encouraging too, with the K.C. righty posting a 5.35 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season while providing one of the worst HR rates since the beginning of last year.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at WSH

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,700)

Jimenez is probably my favorite value at outfield on this slate, as he’s simply been a better player away from home. The top prospect actually said that he’s pressing at home and swinging more freely on the road and that’s crystal clear in his splits. In fact, Jimenez has all six of his homers away from home while providing 10 of his 13 RBI on the road as well. That’s simply bizarre and it’s just a matter of time before he lives up to his sky-high potential. We’re talking about a guy who posted .980 OPS at the Triple-A level and an absurd .588 SLG. That will eventually carry over to this level and we’ll bet on it starting here against Anibal Sanchez, who hast a 4.47 ERA and 1.51 WHIP so far this season. The Washington righty has actually allowed 106 homers since the beginning of 2017 and that’s one of the three highest totals In the Majors. If you’re in season-long formats, buy low on Jimenez!

Also Consider: Yasiel Puig remains too cheap on both sites and gets a quality matchup against Dakota Hudson. If Delino DeShields bats second again, he’s definitely in play against a lefty in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park.

5 years ago 0 comment

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