We’re back at it with DFS hitter picks for this Monday slate. More importantly, we have a Monkey Knife Fight Pick for you and those have been awesome for us for months now.
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Gary Sanchez, NYY at MIN
DK ($4,500) FD ($3,900)
Sanchez is actually in a bit of a slump right now but it’s lowered his price to this tasty number. He is arguably the best hitting catcher in the game, which is evident by his .567 xSLG and .376 xwOBA. Those advanced statistics confirm to us that he’s the best hitting catcher in MLB and it’s really no surprise that he has 24 homers in just 283 at-bats this season. That’s one of the best rates around and all of this doesn’t even take into consideration that Sanchez gets to face a lefty. Since 2017, Sanchez has a .525 SLG and .872 OPS against southpaws. Martin Perez is a lefty who’s really struggling right now too, pitching to a 5.65 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over his last eight starts.
Daniel Vogelbach, SEA vs. TEX
DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800)
Vogelbach has been making minced meat of right-handers all season long and it’s fun watching this lumberjack become one of the best DFS hitters. So far this season, Vogelbach is generating a .405 OBP, .588 SLG and .993 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s why he has 21 homers and 48 RBI against right-handers, which are some of the best splits in the game. Adrian Sampson is definitely a righty we can exploit too, with the Texas righty pitching to a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the season while posting a 12.96 ERA and 2.40 WHIP over his last four starts.
Brian Dozier, WSH vs. COL
DK ($3,700) FD ($2,700)
Picking second baseman is like strolling through your Netflix queue when you know there’s nothing good in there. This position is simply terrible and that’s why I always try to find values. Dozier is just that, as I want to get in some Washington bats against Peter Lambert. The Rockies righty is pitching to a 6.06 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season, which is right around his 5.06 ERA and 1.44 WHIP at the Triple-A level. That’s why the Nationals are projected for more than five runs, as Dozier should be a major part of that. The former 40-20 threat is in the midst of a resurgent stretch too, posting a .390 OBP and .938 OPS over his last 36 games. Those are huge numbers from someone in this price range and we need to take advantage of a DFS hitter like this when his value is so low.
Nolan Arenado, COL at WSH
DK ($4,400) FD ($4,100)
It’s always strange to have to scroll down to find Arenado among the third basemen and that alone makes him an attractive DFS hitter. While he is typically better at home, we have to love this matchup. The Nationals are throwing out Austin Voth and his 5.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, which is on par with his 5.06 career xFIP. That’s a scary thought against a hitter who has a minimum of a .362 OBP and .924 OPS dating back to 2016.
Francisco Lindor, CLE at TOR
DK ($4,500) FD ($3,800)
The Indians are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and Lindor is a major reason why. Over his last 12 games, Lindor has four doubles, three homers and two steals, as that streak extends much longer than that. Since May 4, Lindor is hitting .301 while generating an .867 OPS in that span. What really makes him intriguing here is that he gets to bat from the right side, with Lindor posting a .380 OBP and .907 OPS against left-handers since 2017. Ryan Borucki is definitely not a guy we need to worry about either, with the southpaw pitching to a 7.55 FIP at the minors this season while providing a 4.62 xFIP in his Major League career.
Jordan Luplow, CLE at TOR
DK ($4,200) FD ($2,900)
If you’ve been reading my articles, you know that I love Luplow against lefties. The simple fact is, Luplow is one of the best hitters in the league when he faces a southpaw. That’s evident by his .417 OBP, .696 SLG and 1.112 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those are some bonkers statistics and it’s really no surprise that he bats cleanup in these circumstances. We already discussed that we want to stack against Borucki, as he’ll be making his season debut here. This is where people forget that we’re picking DFS hitters and it’s more about matchups than anything else.
J.D. Martinez, BOS at TB
DK ($4,100) FD ($3,900)
Needless to say, if you’re playing on DraftKings, get J.D. into your lineup as a DFS hitter. This price made my jaw drop and it’s a wonder what DraftKings is thinking with this tag. This is simply one of the best hitters in the game facing a weak pitcher with the platoon advantage in his favor. The advanced statistics are simply incredible, with Martinez generating a .578 xSLG and .406 xWOBA this season. Those are some of the best numbers in the league and it doesn’t even take into consideration that J.D. has a 1.136 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017.
Corey Dickerson, PIT vs. STL
DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)
Can we start giving this dude the credit he deserves as a DFS hitter? Dickerson has done nothing but rake since his days with the Rockies and these sites continue to treat him like a bench player. We’re talking about a guy who has a career .285 AVG and .826 OPS. He’s actually done most of that damage against righties, providing a .239 ISO, .361 wOBA and .860 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those numbers are actually all better this year and it’s strange that he’s priced so low on these sites.
Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day
After a handful of DFS hitter picks, let’s go over a MKF play that intrigues me.
Lindor/Luplow/Ramirez Over 6.5 Total Bases
You probably could have seen this coming with the write-ups but Ramirez is one of the hottest hitters in the game too. This offense is projected for more than five runs and these are the guys that should do it.
I've been playing fantasy sports since I was 12, which means I've been playing for over half of my life. I love DFS and season-long formats and have been writing for nearly a decade. I started my writing career at RotoWire and currently write for FantasyPros, Rotoballer, Razzball and DFSR. I cover NBA, MLB and NFL and follow all major sports. I generally cover primarily DFS but I also do game previews, recaps, player write-ups, injury updates etc.