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J.D. Martinez

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/5 – Nats Bats

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first thing you need to do before this slate is to check in with the weatherman, Mark Paquette. We have a few games with questionable forecasts and he’ll give you all the updates you need. What makes this slate especially fun is the fact that we have a ton of crappy pitchers taking the mound. That’s why I’m mainly going to focus on value plays and let you fill in the studs around them.

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. SF

DK ($4,500) FD ($2,600)

Ramos is probably one of the five best hitting catchers in the Majors and these DFS sites continue to undervalue him. The $2,600 price tag on FanDuel is simply laughable but they know that many owners don’t want to play a catcher at the C/1B slot. We’re willing to slide him in there at this price though, especially in a matchup like this. Ramos gets to square off against Tyler Beede, whose .415 wOBA and 2.37 WHIP are some of the worst numbers around. Ramos is rolling right now too, hitting .419 over his last 13 games while providing five homers, six walks, 11 runs scored and 11 RBI in that span.

Also Consider: Depending on who starts, Kurt Suzuki and Yan Gomes are fantastic values against Dylan Covey.

First Base

Matt Adams, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,100)

Adams has found himself as the regular first baseman for the Nationals and it’s a wonder why his price isn’t higher. We’re talking about a slugging first baseman who has a career OPS approaching .800 and a SLG just shy of .500. That makes this price hard to understand, especially when you consider the fact that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor. Since 2017, Adams is posting an .842 OPS and .519 SLG against right-handed pitching. That’s fantastic considering he gets to face Dylan Covey and we’ll go over his ugly numbers later in the article.

Also Consider: Eric Thames is only $3,000 on FanDuel and is a fantastic bargain with his dominance against right-handed pitching.

Second Base

Jeff McNeil, NYM vs. SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,700)

McNeil’s price is low because he just came off the IL but he has quietly been one of the best hitters for the Mets this season. In fact, the lefty batter has a .333 average and .879 OPS so far this season. That’s why he typically bats leadoff and he is very enticing against a guy like Beede. The San Francisco pitcher is working to a 7.82 ERA and 2.37 WHIP this season, which are simply some of the worst numbers in the Majors. McNeil is traditionally better against righties too, posting a .341 average and .878 OPS against them in his career.

Also Consider: Mike Moustakas is very expensive but he’s probably the highest projected second baseman on the schedule.

Third Base

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. MIA

DK ($2,800) FD ($2,200)

There’s no doubt that Shaw has been downright terrible this season but this price is hard to overlook. We’re talking about a guy who has at least 30 homers in back-to-back seasons while posting an ISO well above .200 in that span. Coming off the IL after missing a few weeks could be just what the doctor ordered and it’s crazy to see a $4,000-player priced this cheaply. The fact that he gets to face a righty only adds to his intrigue, with Shaw posting an .864 OPS against righties since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Todd Frazier has been turning things around recently and could have success against a gas can like Beede.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,000)

Turner is undoubtedly my favorite shortstop play on the board and I’m definitely willing to pay up to get him. It’s not like we even have to pay much to get him either, as he’s not even in the Top 5 at shortstop on both sites. That’s criminal for a guy who’s a Top 5 overall pick in season-long fantasy and he’s simply one of the most dynamic players in the league. The reason we like him here is because he faces Dylan Covey, who’s posting a 4.73 ERA and 1.42 WHIP, which is actually due for some negative regression when looking at his nightmarish .412 xwOBA.

Also Consider: If you’re looking for someone cheaper, Jean Segura is below $4,000 on both sites.

Outfield

Juan Soto, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($5,800) FD ($4,800)

Alright, we’ve been providing a ton of value so far, so let’s get into a couple of stud outfielders. Soto may be my favorite play on the board, as he should abuse Covey in this matchup. The aforementioned numbers from Covey are a major reason why, with the Nationals entering this matchup with one of the highest projected team totals on the slate. Soto comes into this matchup scorching too, hitting .413 over his last 17 games while collecting seven doubles, four homers, 11 walks, 17 runs scored and 14 RBI in that span. Getting the platoon advantage is the icing on the cake, with Soto posting a .936 OPS and .522 SLG against righties in his career.

J.D. Martinez, BOS at KC

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,200)

Quite simply, this guy needs to be more expensive. It’s really bizarre to have to scroll down to find him and it really doesn’t make any sense why these sites continue to undervalue him. What I really like about Martinez is the hitting profile, as his .428 xwOBA and .626 xSLG indicates that his good numbers should be even better. His recent form indicates that he’s starting to hit some of that positive regression, with J.D. hitting five homers and three doubles over his last 14 games. Facing Jakob Junis is encouraging too, with the K.C. righty posting a 5.35 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season while providing one of the worst HR rates since the beginning of last year.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at WSH

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,700)

Jimenez is probably my favorite value at outfield on this slate, as he’s simply been a better player away from home. The top prospect actually said that he’s pressing at home and swinging more freely on the road and that’s crystal clear in his splits. In fact, Jimenez has all six of his homers away from home while providing 10 of his 13 RBI on the road as well. That’s simply bizarre and it’s just a matter of time before he lives up to his sky-high potential. We’re talking about a guy who posted .980 OPS at the Triple-A level and an absurd .588 SLG. That will eventually carry over to this level and we’ll bet on it starting here against Anibal Sanchez, who hast a 4.47 ERA and 1.51 WHIP so far this season. The Washington righty has actually allowed 106 homers since the beginning of 2017 and that’s one of the three highest totals In the Majors. If you’re in season-long formats, buy low on Jimenez!

Also Consider: Yasiel Puig remains too cheap on both sites and gets a quality matchup against Dakota Hudson. If Delino DeShields bats second again, he’s definitely in play against a lefty in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/5 – Nats Bats

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. SF

DK ($4,500) FD ($2,600)

Also Consider: Depending on who starts, Kurt Suzuki and Yan Gomes are fantastic values against Dylan Covey.

First Base

Matt Adams, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,100)

Also Consider: Eric Thames is only $3,000 on FanDuel and is a fantastic bargain with his dominance against right-handed pitching.

Second Base

Jeff McNeil, NYM vs. SF

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,700)

Also Consider: Mike Moustakas is very expensive but he’s probably the highest projected second baseman on the schedule.

Third Base

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. MIA

DK ($2,800) FD ($2,200)

Also Consider: Todd Frazier has been turning things around recently and could have success against a gas can like Beede.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,000)

Also Consider: If you’re looking for someone cheaper, Jean Segura is below $4,000 on both sites.

Outfield

Juan Soto, WSH vs. CWS

DK ($5,800) FD ($4,800)

J.D. Martinez, BOS at KC

DK ($4,800) FD ($4,200)

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at WSH

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,700)

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/30: Cleveland Clout

Wes Anderson 5 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 30th main slate action:

Cleveland Indians

The White Sox’s Manny Banuelos is a pitcher that we will want to get some exposure against. The left-handed pitcher has struggled this season as evidenced by his extremely high 7.71 ERA. Banuelos has a 5.07 SIERA and a 5.02 xFIP. The Chicago starter also is serving up 2.57 HR/9, making the Indians look like an excellent stacking option for Thursday. Admittedly the Indians’ numbers against lefties will leave something to be desired here but nonetheless this is still a matchup they should take advantage of. That is mainly due to Banuelos’ lack of success against right-handed batters. He is allowing a .323/.409/.606 slash line to righty bats in 2019.

The obvious right-handed Indians are in play, of course. Carlos Santana (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,500), Jose Ramirez (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900) and Francisco Lindor (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800) will be the big names to focus on.

But some lesser known pieces maybe the real key to the Indians’ stack. Jordan Luplow (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,100) and Robert Perez (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,700) but have ISOs greater than .260 against left-handed pitching. Not only are they in position to take advantage of the matchup, but they also will provide some salary relief to your DFS lineups.

Boston Red Sox

The Yankees’J.A. Happ has struggled with the long ball this season. He is allowing 2.16HR/9, so we are going to want some the Red Sox hitters in this one.

You willwant to start with lefty killer J.D. Martinez (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200).Martinez has a .500 ISO and a .512 wOBA against southpaws this season. OtherBoston bats to pick from include Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000),Michael Chavis (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,100), Sandy Leon (FanDuel: $2,200DraftKings: $3,100) and Christian Vazquez (FanDuel: $2,400 DraftKings: $4,100).These Red Sox batters all have .300 or better ISOs versus lefties in 2019.

Texas Rangers

The Royals’ Jakob Junis is getting hit hard this season. He is allowing a 42.2% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in some serious damage done against Junis, as he has a 4.64 SIERA. Look for that damage to continue on Thursday. The Rangers have punished right-handed pitching all season. As an offense they have a .214 ISO and a .349 wOBA versus righties.

When building your Texas lineups, you want to focus on the lefties first. Junis is allowing a .361 wOBA as well as 42.9% hard contact rate to left-handed batters. So, of course you are going to start the build with Joey Gallo (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,600). The slugger has a .333 ISO and a .434 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

You will also want to get some Nomar Mazara (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,400) and Hunter Pence (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,500) in your lineups as they both are lefty batters with ISOs over .300 versus right-handed pitching.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers’ offense is in position to be the late-night hammer that your DFS lineups need to push across the money line.

The Mets’ JasonVargas checks a lot of the boxes in terms of pitchers you like to stackagainst. First off, he has a 5.49 SIERA and a 5.79 xFIP. He also is allowingflyballs at a rate of 43.5%, owns a 49% hard contact rate and has a below leagueaverage 17% K rate. Vargas’ velocity is also low compared to the rest of theleague. His fastball has averaged 85.5 MPH in 2019.

The Dodgers’ stack, of course, begins with Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800). The MVP frontrunner has crushed left-handed pitching this season with a .358 ISO and a .459 wOBA. Bellinger also owns a .377/.438/.770 slash line and a 1.209 OPS against finesse pitchers, like Vargas is.

Other Dodgers to consider in this stack are Max Muncy (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,700), Chris Taylor (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400), Enrique Hernandez (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700), Justin Turner (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,200) and Alex Verdugo (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100). These five Dodgers’ hitters all have ISOs in the .200s versus southpaws this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The King’s Royal DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/23

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

It’s a shorter main early slate, so going with stacks is theanswer.

Steven Matz is nowhere near as erratic and bad as many makehim out to be, but Anthony Rendon kills all Mets, and is worth the $5700 onDraftKings on today’s early slate.

Kendrys Morales is a fine salary saver against Dylan Bundyat 3400. The Yankees are the stack of the day. Platoon splits will not matter.Aaron Hicks is 4500 and hits second. Luke Voit is 5100 and is well worth thespend for some power. Brett Gardner is hitting sixth and you should roll withhim at 4,500.

I will be taking Red Sox against Clayton Richard. I am in on Xander Bogaerts and Michael Chavis. Boston is another preferred stack.

If Pablo Sandoval is in the lineup today, go with him at4200 against Kevin Gausman.

MONKEYKNIFE FIGHT PICK FOR THURSDAY

Stephen Strasburg over 7.5 strikeouts

Max Scherzer punched out nine Mets in six innings on Wednesday.Strasburg will follow suit against a lineup that should be without MichaelConforto and Robinson Cano and is making an early start after a night game.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/8 – Rockie Roll All Night

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first thing we always need to check before submitting DFS lineups is the weather and we have some nightmare forecasts here. Over half of the Wednesday slate has weather question marks and the cities/states we need to keep an eye on are as follows: Milwaukee, St. Louis, Chicago, Colorado, Baltimore, Detroit and Houston. That’s simply a bad outlook for DFS players and it’s imperative to check with Mark Paquette for weather updates.

Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. WSH

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

The Brewers make for a nice stack here against Jeremy Hellickson and Grandal should be in the heart of their order. When picking catchers, I usually punt the position or pick an elite option, so we’re going to go with a stud like Grandal. What we like here is the fact that he gets to bat from the left side against Jeremy Hellickson. Since the beginning of 2017, Grandal owns an .805 OPS and .478 SLG against right-handers. Hellickson’s 5.33 ERA and 1.48 WHIP shouldn’t scare us off either, especially in a hitter’s haven like Miller Park.

Also Consider: Willson Contreras is the hottest catcher in the league right now and gets a good matchup against Jose Urena

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,300)

Rizzo might be the hottest hitter in the league right now and that alone makes him impossible to fade in this matchup. Over his last 15 games, Rizzo is posting a .351 AVG and .449 OBP. That is impressive but his power has been even more absurd, with Rizzo providing six doubles, six homers and 17 RBI in that span. Rizzo always hits better against right-handers and Urena’s .370 wOBA, 5.45 ERA and 1.54 WHIP definitely make him someone we want to stack against.

Also Consider: Jesus Aguilar is super cheap on both sites and has a .478 OBP and three dingers over his last eight games.

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX at PIT

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,000)

Odor’s ugly batting average will make many DFS owners overlook his potential but this guy is too good to be this cheap. Not only is he batting in the heart of the Rangers order, this is also a guy who has 25-20 potential. That’s evident by the fact that he’s averaging 27 homers and 14 steals per year over the last three seasons. While he hasn’t provided much of that yet this year, it’s good to invest in a guy when his stock is at its lowest because an increase is inevitably on the horizon. It could start against Nick Kingham, as Odor gets the platoon advantage against a righty who’s posted a 6.39 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Also Consider: Jose Altuve is more expensive but could have success against an inconsistent arm like Jorge Jopez.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. SF

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,900)

Arenado is always worth considering at home and especially so when he faces a weak left-hander. While this price makes him a tough sell, it’s hard to overlook his career numbers. In fact, Arenado owns a 1.020 OPS against lefties throughout his career and a .979 OPS at home. That’s obviously ridiculous and it says a lot about how good this guy is. He comes into this matchup rolling too, with nine homers, 21 runs and 21 RBI over his last 19 game. Not to mention, Arenado owns a 1.700 OPS and .600 OBP in 15 plate appearances against Derek Holland throughout their careers. The Giants lefty pitching in Coors is a nightmare circumstance too, as his .349 xwOBA and 5.17 FIP paint an ugly picture.

Also Consider: Matt Carpenter remains cheap on both sites and gets the platoon advantage against Jared Eickhoff.

Shortstop

Trevor Story , COL vs. SF

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,700)

Story pairs beautifully with Arenado as a two-man Rockies stack, as Story is easily the best shortstop option on the board. This write-up is nearly identical to the Arenado recommendation, as Story has made minced meat of lefties at home throughout his career too. Since his call-up, Story has posted a .973 OPS at home and a 1.024 OPS against southpaws. That has equated to an OPS north of 1.200 against southpaws at home and it’s no surprise when you consider the fact that Coors Field is the best hitting park in the majors. What also makes this Rockies stack intriguing is Vegas’ thoughts on the game, as they have Colorado projected to score nearly six runs, which is easily the highest total on the slate.

Also Consider: Corey Seager is just $3,600 on DK and $3,000 on FD and gets the platoon advantage against a struggling Mike Foltyniewicz.

Outfield

Mookie Betts/J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. BAL

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,300)

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,900)

These two ruined my Monkey Knife Fight picks on Monday but we’re going to go right back to the well here. The simple fact is, these are two of the best hitters in the game. That makes them worth considering on any slate but especially against Andrew Cashner. The Orioles righty has simply been one of the worst pitchers in the Majors over recent years, posting a .381 xwOBA this season while accruing a 4.52 ERA and 1.46 WHIP since the beginning of 2015. That spells disaster against Martinez, who homered on Tuesday and is one of the league leaders with a .452 xwOBA. Betts is on fire right now too, as he’s 25-for-64 at the plate over his last 16 games, accumulating three homers, six doubles, 14 walks, 14 runs and 13 RBI in that span.

Yasiel Puig, CIn at OAK

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,700)

The Cincinnati slugger has struggled in his first month with the Reds but he’s simply too good to be priced this cheaply. What makes Puig an intriguing option here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against Brett Anderson, with Puig posting a .932 OPS against left-handers this season. Anderson is not really a pitcher Puig’s going to worry about either, with the southpaw posting a 1.41 WHIP and 4.91 xFIP so far this year.

Gregory Polanco, PIT vs. TEX

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,900)

Polanco is in the exact same boat as Puig, as we’re going to bet on him getting much better over the next few months. The lefty slugger actually homered Tuesday and hopefully, that’s the sign of things to come. He now has at least 10 DK points in three of his last four games and it’s only going to continue against a weak righty like Shelby Miller. Not only does Miller own an unsightly 7.99 ERA and 2.03 WHIP, he’s also posting a nightmarish .408 xwOBA. That’s fantastic for Polanco, who owns an OPS of .800 against righties since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Andrew Benintendi is another great piece to a Boston stack, as he gets the platoon advantage against Cashner.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/6: Boston Pops

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

This is one of the toughest hitting slates I’ve written up all season, simply because of all of the aces on the board. In fact, we have to deal with guys like Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer, Blake Snell, Walker Buehler and Chris Paddack. That’s quite the selection of starters and it’s making our job much more difficult in terms of picking hitters.

Catcher

Mike Zunino, TB vs. ARI

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,200)

Picking catchers is always the toughest task, but Zunino’s power upside makes him a nice tournament play. That’s evident in Zunino’s .199 career ISO, which is simply one of the best marks among all catchers. That power stroke appears to in good form right now too, with Zunino hitting a dinger in three of his last nine games. Facing Merill Kelly is not a matchup we need to fear either, with Kelly posting a 4.91 FIP and .349 xwOBA this season.

Also Consider: Willson Contreras homered on Sunday and could be a nice stack piece with the rest of the Cubs we are about to mention.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,300)

Rizzo is one of the hottest hitters in the league and it’s hard to fade him in such a favorable matchup. Coming into Sunday night’s game, Rizzo homered in four of his previous six games while collecting six runs and nine RBI in that span. It was just a matter of time before he got going too, with Rizzo leading the Cubs with a .400 xwOBA. All of that makes him tough to fade and facing a guy with a 4.86 ERA and 1.56 WHIP is simply the cherry on top.

Also Consider: Matt Carpenter is extremely cheap on both sites and could have success against a volatile righty like Vince Velasquez.

Second Base

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. KC

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,900)

A common trend that you’ll see in this article is banking on players who are too good for their respective prices and Altuve is one of the faces of the theory. What really killed his price was a 3-for-33 stretch coming into the week, but doubling in four of his last five games indicate that he’s out of it. What’s really impressive with Altuve is the power potential, as his .258 ISO this season is the best mark of his career. Facing Jakob Junis is a treat for any hitter in a power surge, as his 1.5 career HR/9 rate is simply terrible.

Also Consider: With all of the injuries in Washington, Brian Dozier has found himself in the heart of their order and gets to hit in Miller Park.

Third Base

Vladimir Guerrero Jr, TOR vs. MIN

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,700)

Guerrero hasn’t given us much reason to use him, but his potential is impossible to overlook. Not only have many experts projecting him to have a Hall-of-Fame career, Guerrero had some of the greatest numbers in minor league history. They were especially good against lefties, with Guererro posting an 1.199 OPS against southpaws in 2017 and a 1.375 OPS against lefties before being called up this season. This is simply one of the most talented hitters of our generation and he’s too good to be priced this cheaply on both sites. In addition, Martin Perez is allowing an OPS north of .850 to right-handed batters since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Alex Bregman is very expensive but he’s homered five times in his last four games and is easily one of the best plays on the board.

Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD vs. ATL

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,900)

While Seager has been a huge disappointment this season, he’s simply too good of a hitter to be this cheap. The left-handed shortstop had an .876 OPS and ISO north of .200 before an injury-riddled 2018 and we expect to see that hitter sooner rather than later. Two doubles on Sunday is hopefully the start of something, as we always want to use him against a right-hander. This is simply a pricing play though, with Seager being priced the same as guys like Yairo Munoz and Nick Ahmed. Obviously, Seager is the cream of that crop.

Also Consider: Jorge Polanco has been a nice breakout player this season and gets the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman

Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. BAL

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,300)

Martinez should be priced as a Top-Five hitter on every slate but you actually have to scroll down to find him here. What makes that really hard to understand is the fact that Martinez is one of the league leaders with a .336 average and .410 OBP. That’s all you can ask for, especially considering the fact that Martinez is 7-for-13 at the plate over his last three games. Getting to face a lefty is simply the icing on the cake, with Martinez posting a 1.173 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017.

Randal Grichuk, TOR vs. MIN

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000)

Grichuk’s price just continues to dwindle and it’s hard to understand why. Over his last seven games, Grichuk is 11-for-31 at the plate while collecting five RBI and three extra-base hits. The reason we want to use him here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against Martin Perez. While Grichuk’s splits are pretty much even, Perez’s are not. In fact, the southpaw is allowing a .313 average to right-handers since 2017 and an OPS approaching .900.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500)

Schwarber’s season-long numbers are downright ugly but it’s lowered his price to an intriguing number. What we like about Schwarber here is the fact that he gets to face a weak righty. For his career, Schwarber owns a .498 SLG and .842 OPS against right-handers. That becomes particularly intriguing considering the fact that he faces Sandy Alcantara, who owns a 6.39 ERA and 1.89 WHIP since a fluky opening start.

Also Consider: Mookie Betts has all the same advantages as Martinez but costs $400 more.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Mookie Betts over 1.5 hits+walks

Betts is scorching hot right now and this is easily my favorite pick on the board. Over his last 15 games, Betts is 24-for-58 at the plate, which equates to a .414 average and .507 OBP. Don’t fade that production, especially against a lefty.

J.D. Martinez 0.5 more bases than Trey Mancini

This play speaks for itself after the prior write-up, as I truly believe Martinez is in for two bases or more bases. In fact, Martinez has cleared 1.5 total bases in three of his last four games and gets the platoon advantage here. While Mancini is hot too, Martinez is the far superior pick. Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/1

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Every wise DFS player checks the weather before anything else and that’s particularly imperative at this time of the year. Two postponements yesterday shows just how ugly the forecasts have been recently and we have plenty more rain on this slate. In fact, over half of these games have projected rain in the forecast and that’s simply a disaster for us fantasy owners. While we don’t have the best idea of what will happen 24 hours from now, the cities and states you need to keep an eye on are as followed: New York, Minnesota, Washington, Chicago, Kansas City, Texas and Philly.

If you have any comments or questions, write me here or reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel.

Catcher:

J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. DET

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,200)

When picking catchers, I either pay up or punt the position. For this slate, it’s hard to fade a stud like Realmuto in such a quality matchup. What we really like about him here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against southpaw Daniel Norris. The lefties’ numbers are just awful, with Norris posting a 1.58 WHIP to go along with a .385 wOBA. His 3.93 ERA makes him look like he’s not too bad but his 5.31 FIP shows the sort of pitcher he’s truly been. All that puts the Phillies in play for a stack, as they’re projected to score five runs in their friendly home park. That’s why we love Realmuto and he’ll be right in the heart of this order.

Also Consider: Wilson Ramos is too good to be priced at $3,600 on DK and he shouldn’t have too many issues opposing Anthony DeSclafani.

First Base:

Jose Abreu, CWS vs. BAL

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,100)

Abreu might be my favorite play on the board, as he’s one of the hottest hitters in the majors right now. Over the last eight games. Abreu is 17-for-35 at the plate while collecting five doubles, two homers, six runs and 14 RBI. That’s impossible production to argue with, especially considering he probably gets the best matchup on the board. In fact, Davis Hess owns a .439 xwOBA, which is simply one of the worst marks in the majors.

Also Consider: Rhys Hoskins is pricey but he’s definitely worth considering against lefty Daniel Norris.

Second Base:

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. MIN

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,200)

Stacking Astros is going to be one of the best strategies on this slate, as they have too many righties for Martin Perez to navigate through. Perez has traditionally struggled with right-handed batters throughout his career, allowing a .318 AVG and an OPS approaching .900 over the last three years. That’s just what Altuve is looking for, as he enters this matchup in the midst of a 3-for-33 stretch. That terrible slump has lowered Altuve’s price to a number that we simply can’t fade, as he should be able to snap it here. So far this season, Altuve owns a 1.288 OPS against southpaws and many of those guys were way better than Perez.

Also Consider: Adam Frazier has been batting atop the Pirates order and should have success in a hitter’s park like Globe Life against a gas can like Shelby Miller.

Third Base:

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. COL

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,500)

After a few high-end options, let’s go with a value play here. Shaw got off to a terrible start this season, but his power upside is hard to argue with. This is a guy who had at least 30 homers in back-to-back seasons while posting a .240 ISO in both those years. That power appears to be resurfacing recently, with Shaw hitting three homers and one double over his last seven games. Getting the platoon advantage against Antonio Senzatela is simply the icing on the cake, with Shaw posting a .522 SLG and .877 OPS against right-handers over the last three years.

Also Consider: Yuli Gurriel is incredibly cheap on both sites and gets the platoon advantage against Perez. Yoan Moncada is one of the biggest breakouts in the league and gets that brilliant matchup against Hess.

Shortstop:

Carter Kieboom, WSH vs. STL

DK ($3,800) FD ($3,200)

Kieboom is one of the most touted prospects in the majors right now and early results are extremely promising. While his average has been lacking, Kieboom has two homers in his first four games. That really should be no surprise when you consider the fact that Kieboom posted a .258 ISO and .485 wOBA in the minors this season. Those are MVP-type peripherals and it shows just how much potential this kid has. Facing Miles Mikolas is not scary either, as his 6.04 FIP and 16.7 percent K-rate are numbers we want to exploit.

Also Consider: If you’re stacking Astros righties against Perez, it’s hard to overlook Carlos Correa.

Outfielders:

George Springer, HOU vs. MIN

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,200)

Springer makes a beautiful two-man stack with Altuve, as I expect these guys to run rampant around the bases. Perez’ aforementioned splits speak for itself, as Springer should benefit by batting from the right side. He’s actually hot though, as Springer is averaging more than 10 DK points per game for the season while posting an OPS just shy of .900. Just like Altuve, Springer has made minced meat of southpaws throughout his career. In fact, Springer is posting a .906 OPS against lefties dating back to 2016.

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. OAK

DK ($4,900) FD ($4,000)

It’s strange not to see Martinez as one of the five-highest priced hitters, as he’s easily one of the top bats in the game. His .929 OPS speaks loudly but his peripherals indicate he should be even better. In fact, Martinez is one of the league leaders with a .448 xwOBA and a .648 xSLG. Those are absurd numbers and it simply means he’s hitting the crap out of the ball right now. Facing Mike Fiers should benefit any hitter too, as his 7.03 ERA and 1.51 WHIP says a lot about his recent struggles.

Gregory Polanco, PIT at TEX

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,000)

Polanco is a personal favorite of mine and I believe this is the sort of matchup where he can get going. Hitting in Globe Life is a huge reason why, considering that ballpark ranks as the second-best hitter’s park in the majors. Getting to face a weak righty is huge too, with Polanco posting an .840 OPS against right-handers over the last two years. Shelby Miller is a righty we want to exploit, as his .419 xwOBA is a good indicator of his 7.52 ERA and 2.07 WHIP.

Also Consider: Mookie Betts has all the same advantages as Martinez but is actually a little bit cheaper. If you’re looking for someone below $4,000, Franmil Reyes has one of the highest xwOBA’s in the league and gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried. Not to mention, both of these guys combined for three dingers on Tuesday.

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