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MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 6/9

We only have five games on the main slate tonight as Thursday is a travel day for quite a few teams but there are some quality pitchers on the slate. There are two pitchers that are priced like an ace and another that can put out an ace-level score. Let’s get rolling in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 6/9 and figure out who we’re chasing to lead the charge to green screens! 

Aces 

Gerrit Cole 

Cole just keeps on trucking along through this season and he’s down to a 2.78 ERA, a 2.58 FIP, and a 2.60 xFIP over the course of 64.2 innings. His K rate has climbed up to 31.5% after not striking out a lot of hitters toward the stat of the year and the swinging-strike rate remains extremely high at 15.5%. Over the past 30 days, the Twins lineup has struck out at a 24.2% rate and that is the sixth-highest mark in the majors but this spot is not without risk. During that span, they are also fourth in wOBA, wRC+, and OPS in addition to eighth in ISO. They are also 10th against the fastball which could cause some issues since Cole is using that pitch 49% of the time (it does have 46 strikeouts so it’s not the normal fastball). He does see a bump in K rate when facing a lefty at 35.1% but righties are only at a .296 wOBA and 28.8% K rate. I feel like Cole is going to give up a bomb or two, but he’ll land between 8-10 strikeouts and still be worth the salary tonight. 

Max Fried 

Fried is one of those pitchers that I want to catch in the right spot and the Pirates do check that box. While they can be pesky, they have a young offense as a whole and Fried can take advantage of that fact. Pittsburgh is 28th in OBP, 21st in OPS, 22nd in wOBA, and 24th in wRC+, and they carry a 23.9% K rate. They do rise to 15th in ISO but Fried has a 0.65 HR/9 and a 52.5% ground ball rate so he’s equipped to neutralize that aspect of the Pittsburgh offense. Fried also has a K rate over 22% and he’s holding righties to a .278 wOBA with a 1.09 WHIP. The changeup still isn’t a big piece of the arsenal but he’s thrown it at a 12.5% rate so far this year and it has a 36.8% whiff rate to go with his curve at a 40.7% whiff rate. Fried can throw any of his five pitches at any time and keeps hitters off-balance, and should be worth the salary against a vulnerable offense tonight. 

Shohei Ohtani 

This salary almost feels like a trap because we know the upside that Ohtani has, although it is fair to point out that his floor is low as well. Ohtani has been unlucky if the xFIP is telling the truth because it’s only 2.70 compared to a 3.99 ERA but the fly-ball rate has risen to 42.5%. When we combine that with a HR/FB rate of almost 16%, that gets him to the eight home runs he’s allowed and his barrel rate is almost 11%. Despite some of the issues that Ohtani has had this season, his K rate has never been higher at 33% and his walk rate has never been lower than the 5.6% mark he has right now. Even the swinging-strike rate is as high as it’s ever been at 15.1% so the ability to miss bats is elite. Everything but the four-seam has a whiff rate over 42% and that splitter is still the lead pitch in strikeouts at 23. We’ll hope for plenty of righties as he has a .261 wOBA, 2.28 xFIP, and a 37.6% K rate when facing that side but the bottom line is we don’t get Ohtani cheaper, regardless of opponent. 

Nick Pivetta

I can’t help but think Pivetta is going to get waxed at some point because I don’t think he’s as good as he’s pitched so far, even though a 4.00 xFIP isn’t utterly terrible. However, if he draws the Angels lineup that Eovaldi got last night, it’s a different story. Mike Trout was out and he joined Taylor Ward and Anthony Rendon as missing from the lineup and that particular version had a cumulative K rate of over 27%. Pivetta has worked himself to a 23.3% K rate and he’s under a 0.90 HR/9, so his quality 

has been solid through 60+ innings. Both sides of the plate are under .300 for the wOBA and the more righties might be better. The wOBA and WHIP are higher, but the xFIP is almost a full run lower and the K rate goes up to 26%. His slider/four-seam combo has really done well for him with the slider having the best whiff rate of the arsenal at 31.9% and the four-seam having 24 strikeouts. His curve is dead even to both sides at 135 each and that pitch has 21 so it’s a balanced attack from Pivetta. Let’s see what kind of lineup Pivetta gets tonight. 

Punts

Konnor Pilkington 

This is what we wrote yesterday before the Guardians pushed him back one day – 

This is a dangerous play since Pilkington has no real track record to speak of but he’s so cheap for a 29.1% K rate that we have to consider him. Now, the walk rate is sky-high at 12.7% and his fly-ball rate is over 41% but the hard-hit rate is only 23.9% and Pilkington has a 15.3% swinging-strike rate. Those numbers would command a much higher salary if they were consistent and he’s held righties to a .290 wOBA with a 2.19 FIP. His changeup and slider both have generated a whiff rate over 44% and Texas is 19th in wRC+, 22nd in wOBA, and 21st in OPS over the past 30 days against lefty pitching. They still have plenty of power as they rank in the top 10 in ISO in that span but Pilkington has yet to allow a home run, so there is plenty to like about him even with warts. 

This matchup might actually be even better for him since the A’s have a higher K rate at 23.6% and they are no higher than 22nd in any category. 

Stacks

Orioles

Guardians

Royals

Braves

Yankees

Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 6/9 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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With all the talk this week about the LIV Golf tour, many people have forgotten that there’s a big tournament being held up north. This week’s RBC Canadien Open has some big names and a big purse. Spencer and guest host @theModelManiac break it down for your daily fantasy golf lineups and sports betting needs. Your first step in setting lineups for this week’s tournament should include the Bettor Golf Podcast as the team walks through everything related to betting for the tournament to setting your DFS lineups. The guys will provide first-round leader, outright winners, head-to-head matchups, top 10, top 20, and top 40 bets. The knowledge dropped by Spencer will go a long way to helping you refine your process and become a Sharper bettor and more profitable daily fantasy golf player. Lock in with them and start climbing the leaderboards at DraftKings and FanDuel for the PGA Championship.

Take a listen to the Bettor Golf Podcast podcast by clicking here.

After you’ve listened to the Bettor Golf Podcast for the PGA Championship, make sure to take full advantage of all the tools we have to offer, ranging from articles to projection models, live streams, and our lineup optimizer. Check out the links below and if you want to try out our optimizer for a free week use promo code “RADIO” at checkout.

Articles
Projection Model
Optimizer

Sports-wise, this is one of the best times of the year. Baseball season has started and teams are getting their bearings. NBA? We’re in the middle of the finals! NHL? The Avalanch are just waiting to find out who they’ll play for Lord Stanley’s Cup.. But most importantly, the PGA Tour is in full swing, and sites like DK and FD are offering bigger and bigger tournaments.

All of your DFS and Betting Golf needs should start with our Bettor Golf Podcast!

After you’re done listening to the podcast for the PGA Championship, make sure to hop on into our Discord chat.

Discord Expert Chat

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With all the talk this week about the LIV Golf tour, many people have forgotten that there’s a big tournament being held up north. This week’s RBC Canadien Open has some big names and a big purse. Spencer and guest host @theModelManiac break it down for your daily fantasy golf lineups and sports betting needs. Your first step in setting lineups for this week’s tournament should include the Bettor Golf Podcast as the team walks through everything related to betting for the tournament to setting your DFS lineups. The guys will provide first-round leader, outright winners, head-to-head matchups, top 10, top 20, and top 40 bets. The knowledge dropped by Spencer will go a long way to helping you refine your process and become a Sharper bettor and more profitable daily fantasy golf player. Lock in with them and start climbing the leaderboards at DraftKings and FanDuel for the PGA Championship.

Take a listen to the Bettor Golf Podcast podcast by clicking here.

After you’ve listened to the Bettor Golf Podcast for the PGA Championship, make sure to take full advantage of all the tools we have to offer, ranging from articles to projection models, live streams, and our lineup optimizer. Check out the links below and if you want to try out our optimizer for a free week use promo code “RADIO” at checkout.

Articles
Projection Model
Optimizer

Sports-wise, this is one of the best times of the year. Baseball season has started and teams are getting their bearings. NBA? We’re in the middle of the finals! NHL? The Avalanch are just waiting to find out who they’ll play for Lord Stanley’s Cup.. But most importantly, the PGA Tour is in full swing, and sites like DK and FD are offering bigger and bigger tournaments.

All of your DFS and Betting Golf needs should start with our Bettor Golf Podcast!

After you’re done listening to the podcast for the PGA Championship, make sure to hop on into our Discord chat.

Discord Expert Chat

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Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

Tonight’s slate is a 10-gamer that provides more pitching options than hitting options. That said, there are some intriguing spots that we should be able to attack.

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup.  It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Atlanta Braves vs. Jared Koenig

The Athletics will be turning the ball over to 28-year-old rookie Jared Koenig. Koenig will be making his major league debut after traveling around independent ball and then playing the A’s system for the last couple of years. Koenig has pitched fairly well in Las Vegas this season, but pitching in AAA and pitching in the Majors are 2 very different things.

Your Braves stack would need to start with Ronald Acuna. He’s extremely expensive tonight but he’s zoned in right now. After hitting 2 homers last night, he now has 3 in his last 2 games. Over the last 30 days, he has a .459 wOBA vs. lefties and a 50% hard-hit rate. With him being locked in and in a good matchup, I’m willing to overlook the massive price he has tonight.

Next up would be Austin Riley. He’s coming into this game a little on the cold side, but he’s been absolutely great against lefties over the last month. Since early May, Riley has had a .394 ISO against southpaws and a nearly 70% hard-hit rate. This is a great get right spot for him tonight.

Should Adam Duvall miss tonight’s game, I’ll look to also add Guillermo Heredia to this stack for some value. He showed a little pop last night with a homer and is almost min-priced at just $2.1k on DK. He’ll make paying up for Acuna a little easier. Other guys I like here are going to be Dansby Swanson, Matt Olson, and Marcell Ozuna.

New York Yankees vs. Chris Archer

Through his first 10 starts this season, Chris Archer has had the luxury of facing teams like Tigers, Athletics, Orioles, and Rays a combined 7 times. Even in his other starts, he faced a struggling Dodgers lineup early in the year and a White Sox team that is much worse against righties. Tonight will be one of his first true tests this year, and it’s going to go very poorly. Even though Archer has faced some inferior bats, he still has the highest xFIP of any pitcher on the board tonight over the past month. With a 40% flyball rate and an 82% contact rate, he’s putting way too many balls in the air right now and against a team like the Yankees, that’s a recipe for disaster.

At $6.3k on DK tonight, Aaron Judge is going to eat up a large chunk of your salary cap. I’m ok with that because the man is just the best hitter in the game. With every swing of the bat, he has the chance to put it over the fence. Against a flyball pitcher like Archer, that just enhances the odds. He’s a lock in my Yankees stack as I won’t overthink this one.

Next up will be DJ LeMahieu. LeMahieu more than likely won’t get you a homer tonight, but he’ll get on base in front of Judge and will score when he homers. LeMahieu is in a nice stretch of baseball right now where he’s hit safely in 6 of 8, including a 3-hit game last night. In a matchup with Archer tonight, his good hitting should continue.

My next important piece here will be Anthony Rizzo. With his homer last night, he’s now up to 14 on the season. He’s homered in 3 of his last 4 games and has scored at least 12 DK in points in four straight. This is a great spot for him. Other guys I like here are going to be Giancarlo Stanton, Kiner-Falefa, and Higashioka.

Chicago Cubs vs. Jordan Lyles

The old reliable Jordan Lyles appears to be returning to form. That is the form that made stacking against him so much fun. He now has 3 straight games giving up multiple barrels, and he has allowed at least 3 runs to score in each of those games. If we look at his splits over the past month, we can see that he’s had a lot more success against lefties than righties. His K rate is higher, he’s giving up less hard contact to them, and fewer fly balls. The problem for him though is this, he’s only going to face 3 lefties tonight. This lineup packed with righties tonight can give him fits.

I”m starting this stack off with leadoff hitter Christopher Morel. Morel led off last night’s game with a homer and very well could do it again tonight. Over the past month, he has a .377 wOBA vs. righties. He’s also coming into this matchup with hits in 17 of his last 18 games. He’s dialed in and should smash tonight.

Next up will be Patrick Wisdom. Wisdom is a little bit more boom or bust than Morel, but he’s also been really good against righties. Over the last month, he has a .268 ISO against them. He’s always a homer threat, especially against a pitcher that is susceptible to the home run ball.

Other bats I like here will be Wilson Contrares, Frank Schwindel, and Ian Happ.

MLB DFS Summary

Other places for bats i like tonight will be the Red Sox vs. Reid Detmers, Rangers vs. Konnor Pilkington, and Giants vs. Antonio Senzatela.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 6/7

Last night was highly annoying between weather and delays and everything else Mother Nature could throw at us but we’re going to have a ton of options tonight. There are a lot of high salaries to deal with and it’s a very crowded slate. We have a lot to get through today so let’s get right to work in the MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 6/7 to find green screens!

Aces

Carlos Rodon 

It has been tough sledding for Rodon in his past four starts as he’s totaled 20 IP, 17 strikeouts, and a 6.30 ERA. He’s also had nine walks and his ERA is up to 3.44 and the xFIP is 3.30, so I can’t make the case these past four starts have been terribly unlucky. However, things aren’t all bad for Rodon. His FIP is still just 2.50, the K rate is still over 30%, and the swinging-strike rate is still 13.3% which would be the second-highest mark of his career. To my eye and what the stats would say is he’s using the four-seam too much. Rodon has bumped it up to 65.5% this season from 58.7% last year and I’m not sure why. It has allowed a .306 wOBA with a 24.6% whiff rate and his slider is still at a 40% whiff rate. The changeup has practically been abandoned under 6% and teams I believe are learning to just sit on the four-seam. The reflex is he gets to face the Rockies on the road but that’s a mixed bag when they have seen a lefty so far. They are only 20th in ISO in that scenario but they also rank fifth in OPS, OBP, and they are in the top 10 in wOBA and wRC+ as well. I’m not sold on the past fur starts as anything more than a bump in the road for Rodon, but this isn’t the layup it has been in the past few seasons. 

Kyle Wright 

Oakland has been a punching bag for us all season and that trend should continue tonight with Wright. His profile is excellent with a 2.41 ERA, 3.32 xFIP, ground ball rate approaching 53%, and a swinging-strike rate of 12.1%. His curveball and change get the best whiff rates at 34.8% and 32.3% each and they have 41 strikeouts combined. Oakland is 26th when facing curveballs and that’s the primary pitch for Wright, which should lead to a positive game from him. It also doesn’t hurt that the A’s are 29th in OPS, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ and they fall to 30th in OBP to go along with their K rate of 24.2%. Wright hasn’t shown any major splits to this point as both sides of the plate are right about a .260 wOBA and the only issues that could bite him at some point is the 4.33 xFIP when facing lefties. Oakland doesn’t appear to be much of a threat to exploit that angle and among the high end, Wright has the easiest matchup on paper. 

Alek Manoah 

I would hope that he gets the same draw for the Royals lineup that they played last night with only three lefties because that would fit the strengths of Manoah perfectly. We’ve talked about this all year but I’m always more excited for Manoah if he’s getting a lot of righties because he’s just so much better against that side. They only have a .162 wOBA, 0.46 WHIP, 2.05 FIP, and a 31.4% K rate compared to a 15% K rate when facing lefties. His best whiff pitch is the slider and it is used more against the right side of the plate, actually edging out the four-seam for the lead pitch at 184 to 183. It has a 33.8% whiff rate and it really plays off his four-seam and sinker well, garnering 26 strikeouts (the four-seam has 28). The Royals are in the bottom six in wOBA and wRC+ which is helpful and since the Royals fired their hitting coach on May 17th, the K rate when facing righties has gone up to 22.1% while the ISO has stayed at 18th. I just want to get eyes on the lineup but Manoah should be in a fantastic spot tonight. 

Tarik Skubal 

By basically any metric, Skubal has arrived as a frontline pitcher with a 2.15 ERA, 2.79 FIP, 0.31 HR/9, and a 27% K rate to go with a 4.4% walk rate, 4.5% barrel rate, and an 11.8% swinging-strike rate. Those are ace-caliber numbers and he may never be $6,000 again but he shouldn’t be either. One of the best things he ever did last season was stopping throwing a cutter and splitter and he hasn’t looked back with four out of five pitches sporting a whiff rate over 23%. He doesn’t throw any pitch more than his slider at 29.8% but the four-seam is right behind at 28% and the strikeouts are pretty evenly spread out. The Pirates won’t want to put many lefties in the lineup as Skubal has held that side to a .151 wOBA and a 1.66 xFIP, but righties only have a 3.05 xFIP and .262 wOBA so it’s not like they’re finding success. Pittsburgh does have a little bit more pop than you’d think against lefties at 13th in ISO but they are also 19th in wOBA and 22nd in wRC+. This isn’t a matchup that worries me with Skull’s skillset and I’m hoping the field largely ignores him, but that is just a hope. 

Honorable Mention 

Conspicuous by his absence was Justin Verlander and it somewhat boils down to simply not wanting to pay top dollar for him on this slate. I mean, do we need to? There are a bunch of other players just in his tier that could match him and this will be the fourth time he’s faced Seattle. He’s struck out 17 in 20 IP and he got touched up in the last start with four runs allowed and six strikeouts. His K rate is 25.3% and the xFIP is over a run higher than the ERA so I don’t need to spend all the way up, but you can if you choose to. 

Jameson Taillon is red hot through his last three starts with 23 IP, two earned runs, 17 strikeouts, and one walk allowed. I think that’s awesome but it also illustrates why I’ve been lower on him through the season and it’s the strikeouts or lack thereof for his salary. When a pitcher is $9,500, I want a K rate over 20% at a minimum, and Taillon doesn’t have it at 19.2%. That may seem like a quibble but you need him to go seven innings without giving up any production, be it hits, walks, or runs. This would be a good time to mention that his 2.30 ERA is a ways off his 3.68 xFIP and his HR/FB% right now is 5.8% compared to 12.1% last season. The swinging-strike rate is only 10% and that’s the lowest mark he’s had since 2917 when he was still a Pirate. He doesn’t have a single pitch that has 20 strikeouts yet and the Twins are top 10 in wRC+, wOBA, OBP, OPS, and they only strike out 21.7% of the time. It’s really not the best spot but he’s in a groove, admittedly. 

Mid-Range 

I don’t believe I’m playing anyone in this range tonight. Yu Darvish could surprise but I continue to be concerned with his lack of strikeouts at just 19.8% and the 10.6% swinging-strike rate has never been lower for him. The Mets aren’t a strikeout team with the fifth-lowest rate in the majors when facing a righty so it’s not the easiest path to any upside for Darvish tonight, although he’s going to have good starts now and again. 

I could sort of see Ranger Suarez popping up for a nice game but the xFIP is 4.20 and the K rate is down to 19.4%. His run of being pretty good as a starter in 2021 seems further away each day but you’re hoping here that his 23.2% hard-hit rate and 51% groundball rate win the day. Milwaukee is 28th in wRC+, 23d in wOBA, 24th in OPS, and 27th in OBP. They also whiff 24.6% of the time and that is the fourth-most in the majors. The Brew Crew is also 13th against the changeup and that’s been a big issue for Suarez as it had a 40% whiff rate and .259 wOBA last year compared to 32.7% and .347 this season. 

Punt Range 

Jose Quintana 

There are a whopping 13 pitchers that are $7,500 or less and that’s just another reason the mid-range isn’t that appealing. In fairness, I only want to play two of them but even still. It’ll be simple to use a punt hitter or two and pay up at Sp or use one of these punts. For Quintana, he’s been surprisingly good this year and I had expected he’d be a DFA candidate by this point of the season. In this house, we don’t penalize pitchers for poor starts against the Dodgers so his past start is of no consequence to me, nor the Cardinals one. What does catch my eye is the 16, 22, and 23 points he scored in three of the past five and that helps demonstrate some upside. Detroit has struggled mightily when facing lefty pitching this season at 22nd in OBP, 28th in OPS, dead last in ISO, 28th in wOBA, and 25th in wRC+. Their K rate isn’t that bad and we shouldn’t expect a ton for Quintana and his 19.5% K rate. I certainly have concerns about the 4.01 xFIP when it’s compared to a 2.32 ERA but the Tigers haven’t proven to be a major threat against lefties either. His four-seam/changeup/curve mix all have at least a 25.8% whiff rate and they have all but one of his strikeouts on the season. That’s a big boost since the Tigers are 30th versus the fastball and curve and just 28th against the changeup, making Quintana a strong SP2 choice on paper. 

Garrett Whitlock 

He’s been a popular pick in this article without paying off and he’s the Metallica (Ride The Lightning) pick here again. The strikeouts have been an issue in the past two starts with just four total through 12 innings, but the IP is a big deal as Whitlock has pitched six in both starts. His K rate as a starter is still 22.6% which is fine for $6,900 and the Angels lost their 12th straight game last night. In the last 14 days, they are 25th in wRC+, 26th in wOBA, 28th in ISO, 24th in OBP, and 26th in OPS. Additionally, they are still whiffing 24.2% of the time and they can’t buy offense right now. They have to get right at some point but the loss of Anthony Rendon and Taylor Ward have hurt, to be sure. There are a lot of worries you don’t get the strikeouts again since Whitlock has only a 7.1% and 5.7% swinging-strike rate in the past two starts, but he’s in play with the LA offense being beyond ice cold. 

Honorable Mention 

The White Sox are coming around a little bit when facing righty pitching as over the past 30 days, they’re climbing out of the basement in our offensive categories. However, they still aren’t good and Mitch White does have a K rate over 25% through 20.2 IP. He got up to 78 pitches this past start so we could get 90 out of him and his 4.79 ERA doesn’t do the 3.84 xFIP justice. His hard-hit rate is only 30.4% and he’s so cheap, that I don’t mind using him as the Hail Mary option tonight. 

Stacks

Cubs

Yankees

Giants (LHH)

Astros

Blue Jays

Rays

Padres

Braves

Thank you for reading my MLB DFS: DraftKings and FanDuel Pitching 6/7 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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Welcome to the Monday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. 

It’s Monday and that means we have a smaller slate to work with tonight. We have just 6 games on top with the main slate starting 20 minutes earlier than normal.

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup.  It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Cincinnati Reds vs. Madison Bumgarner

The Cincinnati Reds get one of the best matchups of the day vs. a pitcher that is just a shell of his former self. Over the past 30 days, Madison Bumgarner has really been struggling. After skating by the first few weeks, regression has finally caught up to him. Over the past month, no pitcher on tonight’s slate has given up more hard contact than MadBum. And it’s not even close. MadBum is giving up a nearly 44% hard-hit rate while the next closest person is below 39%. He’s getting shelled and he’s facing a lineup tonight that has really been coming on strong.

MadBum has been giving up way more power to righties over the past 30 days so my core will be built around them. I’ll start with Tommy Pham. Pham, while expensive, is in a nice spot tonight. He’s coming off an extremely solid weekend that saw him get 5 hits, 3 RBI, and 2 runs scored. Against lefties over the last month, he’s also been pretty good with a .348 wOBA and a .250 ISO.

Next up will be Kyle Farmer. Farmer has been light’s out vs. southpaws this year with a wOBA of .474 and has also shown some pop with a .756 slugging %. When in the right matchup, Farmer has been able to fill the stat sheet. Tonight’s one of those nights when he’s in the right matchup.

Other guys I’ll look to here will be Brandon Drury, Nick Senzel, Tyler Stephenson, and of course, Joey Votto.

Boston Red Sox vs. Noah Syndergaard

Since mocking the Mets no-hitter on Twitter, Syndergaard has given up 12 runs in just 11 innings of work. Karma has apparently caught up to him. The once overpowering righty has one of the lowest K-rates of any pitcher on the mound today. His 16% K-rate in 2022 is significantly lower than his career average. In his first season back from TJ surgery, he just no longer has the overpowering stuff he used to. His fastball now sits at a very hittable 95 mph vs. the old 100 mph one pre-TJ surgery. Until he gets right, he’s someone that we should stack against, especially when a solid lineup like the Red Sox is in play.

My Red Sox stack will start with 2 lefties that come in at 2 very different price points, Rafael Devers and Frenchy Cordero. Both guys stand to have big nights. Devers is coming off a big game yesterday where he went 2 for 3 and had a homer. Against righties over the last month, he’s been extremely solid with a .463 wOBA and an ISO of .341.

With Frenchy Cordero, we’re getting someone in peak form right now. Over his last 3 games, Cordero has 3 hits, 2 extra-base hits, and 6 RBI. At just $3.2k on DK tonight, he provides us with some great value and a chance at some great production. Should Jarren Duran remain in the lineup tonight, he’ll also provide us with some great value as he’s only $2.6k. Other guys I’ll like in this stack will be J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Daniel Lynch

Anytime you stack against Daniel Lynch it’s a pretty high-risk stack. He’s got some nasty stuff and anytime out he possesses the ability to overpower his opponent. That said, he’s also still very young and often makes mistakes. Twice this season he’s surrendered at least 6 ER and a matchup with the Blue Jays could definitely lead to a third. With Lynch, we want to focus on righties. While he strikes them out at a higher rate, they also possess more power against him.

I’ll start my Blue Jays stack with Vladimir Guerrero. Guerrero’s struggles seem to be behind him. Over the past week, he’s been back to the old powerful Guerrero. Since May 24, Guerrero has 5 homers and 8 RBI. In this matchup vs. a lefty, he should smash. Over the last month, his ISO is up to .231 vs. lefties. He’s back folks!

Next up would be Teoscar Hernandez. After a slow start, Hernandez has really come on strong of late. Until yesterday’s 0 for, he had hit safely in 9 straight and had at least 14 DK points in 4 of them. Against lefties over the last 2 seasons, Hernandez has a .464 wOBA vs. lefties and a .353 ISO. He should also do well tonight.

Other guys i like here are going to be George Springer, Santiago Espinal, and Alejandro Kirk. They all possess massive upside tonight.

MLB DFS Summary

We’ll need to keep an eye on the weather tonight, especially the game in Cincy. If that game plays without an issue, you could also go for a game stack.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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