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DraftKings Showdown

NFL DFS Week 5 MNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

written by Jared Contestabile

Coming into 2022, the AFC West was pegged as the deepest division in the NFL where all four teams had a chance at a Super Bowl run. Well, through four weeks, only Kansas City looks up to the task. However, Las Vegas has shown some potential in the early going, and we could have a good battle on our hands on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs are favored by 7 in this one with a juicy total around 52 points. After a few defensive battles in prime time recently, this one looks primed to be a shootout. Let’s find an edge.

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Captain/MVP Plays

Davante Adams, Raiders ($17,100 DraftKings, $14,500 FanDuel)

Adams has at least 100 yards and/or a touchdown in all four games this season. Derek Carr will need his old college teammate to step up big in this one if the Raiders are going to have a shot. Adams has 17, 7, 10, and 13 targets since joining the Silver and Black.

The Chiefs have been very vulnerable against the pass in 2022, ranking 26th in fantasy points allowed to opposing WR. The Raiders have the 6th-highest pass rate this season, and will likely be playing catch up in this one. While Aaron Rodgers may be crying himself to sleep without Adams, you can (and should) have him on your squad while Rodgers smokes his ayahuasca to deal with separation anxiety.

If this one is high scoring, there is a very good chance Adams is one of, if not the top scorer overall. The best chance to be top dog outside of Adams? This one will be a shocker…

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs ($18,000 DraftKings, $17,500 FanDuel)

I know, I know. You’ve heard this old song and dance before. Mahomes is very expensive, but the opportunity cost to not have any exposure may just be even more expensive. His last two games against the Raiders?

20/24, 258 yards, 2 TD

35/50, 406 yards, 5 TD

For his career? 22/3 TD/INT, 2,546 yards in eight games. It’s safe to say that Mahomes dominates the Raiders. While this Raiders team is significantly improved from recent years, Mahomes is still…Mahomes. His ceiling is enormous. I don’t necessarily see him as a must-play in this one, but if you’re are doing MME, a fade would be ludicrous.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chiefs ($11,100 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

Listen, I’m not the biggest fan of CEH. That doesn’t matter here, as the matchup and implied game script SCREAMS value for the former LSU Tiger. He saw a season-high 56 snaps in Week 4, and also a season-high with 21 opportunities.

The Raiders have been beatable on the ground, allowing nearly 27 fantasy points per game to opposing RB. I think the running games in this one could have sneaky value, and CEH has played himself into an elite role in this offense. He has scored 14+ DraftKings points in every game this season, and there is no reason to believe he can’t do it again in this one.

He is a safe play regardless of game script, but has a higher ceiling than you may realize.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Josh Jacobs, Raiders ($13,200 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

You see how I pointed out the vulnerability of the Raiders defense against the run? Well, guess what? Kansas City has allowed more catches to opposing RB (40) than any other team in the NFL in 2022. Much of that is game-script dependent, as they have carried large leads in all but one contest thus far.

This bodes very well for Jacobs, who has become the workhorse once again. Better yet? He has 10 catches on 11 targets over the last two weeks. He played on 89% of the snaps in Week 4, bested only by Saquon Barkley. The Raiders know they need his production, and his value has gone through the roof.

Jacobs had 33 touches last week. You read that correctly. THIRTY. THREE. While that type of volume is very unlikely in any given game, the Raiders know they can rely on him, and he responded in a monster way with 37.5 DraftKings points. He is absolutely viable in the bonus spot as well. His work in the passing game of late has solidified his value and upside regardless of game script.

Hunter Renfrow, Raiders ($5,800 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

Before you ask, yes, Renfrow returning from a two-game absence will take a few opportunities away from Jacobs. That said, Renfrow was one of the most consistent performers in the NFL in 2021. The signing of Adams put a damper on his upside, but he remains one of the more consistent WR in the NFL.

He had 10 catches on 16 targets for 80 yards over the first two weeks. Those numbers don’t stand out at all, but the volume does. In a game with massive point potential, I’m a believer in Renfrow. If you’re Kansas City, who are you focusing on stopping at the goal line? Adams, Jacobs, and Darren Waller, right?

Adams obviously was in Green Bay in 2021, but Renfrow posted a 13/117/1 line against Kansas City in their last matchup. Don’t be shocked if he steals a touchdown or two in this one, and to quote the great Borat, his price is “VERY NICE”.

Marques Valdes-Scantling, Chiefs ($5,200 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

The most frustrating thing in all of fantasy sports, ESPECIALLY on showdown slates, is a nagging injury. Well, JuJu Smith-Schuster is dealing with a hamstring/quad injury. If you or someone you know has ever experienced a hamstring injury, you may be entitled to financial compensation. If you choose to roster JuJu tonight and his injury flares up (or he plays TWO snaps as a precaution like Tee Higgins last night), YOU may be entitled to financial compensation. But you won’t get it. You’ll just lose.

For those reasons, I’m out on JuJu, and inserting MVS into my lineups. He has had a healthy, but not extreme role in this offense, and if JuJu is limited in any way, he could eat. The Raiders are 21st in the league against opposing WR, and he could be the default #1 out wide if JuJu is less than 100%.

Other Options

I’m not on Darren Waller here…there are too many mouths to feed in this offense, and Kansas City has allowed less than 50 yards per game to opposing TE. That’s my key fade. The other TE, you’ve probably heard of him, Travis Kelce? He is always in play. You don’t need an explanation there.

Some values to consider are Isaac Pacheco, who has been extremely game-script dependent this season. In games where the Chiefs have won by more than one score he has 12 and 11 carries respectively. In close games? He has 2.5 per game. If you think KC wins this one handily, you’ll need some shares.

Skyy Moore not only has one of the coolest names in the NFL, but he also has elite tools. He finally saw some volume last week (2/31 on four targets), and is dirt cheap. Jody Fortson is almost FREE on DraftKings. He has two games with zero catches…and two games with exactly one catch for one touchdown. True zero floor, but won’t kill you if you’re jamming studs into your lineup.

Finally, Dylan Carlson is just a machine. 12/12 on the season and his consistency is second to none. He makes for a fine filler on this slate.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Week 5 Showdown SNF DFS Picks DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

As the self-proclaimed biggest Cincinnati Bengals fan in the universe (for the record, the relationship has been EXTREMELY abusive over the last 30+ years), I can’t wait for this game. Not only are Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson two of the best QBs in the game, they are also two of the best personalities in the NFL. These two teams combined to score 58 and 62 points in their two meetings last season. Remember when Burrow set the NFL record for most passing yards against a single team in a season against these Ravens in 2021? Ok, that’s enough about Joe for now. Back to him soon. Let’s find the upside in this one.

Captain/MVP Plays

Joe Burrow, Bengals ($15,900 DraftKings, $15,500 FanDuel)

Dictionary.com defines a masterpiece as “a consummate example of skill or excellence of any kind”. I can tell you with 100% certainty that phrase is in DIRECT reference to what Joe Burrow did to this Ravens team in 2021. If you are unaware, I am more than happy to present you with the numbers:

23/38, 416 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT

37/46, 525 yards, 4 TD

While it may be unwise to expect that type of production again, Burrow has an enormous ceiling here. Only the Raiders, Dolphins, and Lions have allowed more fantasy PPG to opposing QB this season. Burrow and the Bengals have been right at the league average with a 60% pass rate on offense. The Ravens have allowed almost 1000 yards to opposing WR alone.

This rivalry has become personal, and “Smokin’ Joe” is ready to fire up a stogie again.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($18,300 DraftKings, $17,000 FanDuel)

Listen, you can call me a homer whenever you want, but there is a reality in this one. The Bengals have been tough against the run in 2022. They have very solid safety play with Jessie Bates III and Vonn Bell. The CB play has been solid. This sounds like Lamar hate. Trust me, it isn’t. I’m getting there. Here’s an interesting stat from Warren Sharp (@sharpfootball):

Lamar Jackson 2022 splits with Rashod Bateman on or off the field :

Bateman ON the field (81 att): +0.14 EPA/att, 8.8 YPA, 9 TD, 1 INT

Bateman OFF the field (36 att): -0.18 EPA/att, 4.9 YPA, 2 TD, 3 INT

Lamar will have to put the world on his shoulders in this one with Marquise Brown thriving in Arizona and Bateman already ruled OUT for this one. Running the ball is certainly an option if the game is close, especially with Cincinnati still missing DJ Reader. Lamar is priced like someone who will be expected to shoulder the entire offense load, and he is as capable as anyone of doing it.

Lamar is averaging over 32 DraftKings PPG this season, and that is INCLUDING last week against Buffalo where he totaled just 15.06. He has rushed for 119, 107, and 73 yards in his last three games. If this game turns into a shootout, no Lamar could mean no cash.

JaMarr Chase, Bengals ($16,500 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

There are two types of people in this world.

Person 1: People like you and I, who watched and saw JaMarr pull off an insane spin move at full speed during a TD against these Ravens.

Person 2: People who are in denial about the sheer greatness that is JaMarr Chase. Much like fellow sports legend Ricky Bobby, Chase wakes up in the morning and pisses excellence. He averaged 163 yards per game against the Ravens during his spectacular rookie campaign.

I can’t guarantee you a certain number of fantasy points for Chase here, but I can guarantee you one thing. The relationship between JaMarr Chase and Joe Burrow has lasted longer than most of the relationships you or I have ever or will ever have.

Only Marquise Brown has had more offensive snaps than Chase in 2022. Only six WR have had more targets through Week 4 than Chase’s 41.

The bad? He hasn’t reached the 100-yard bonus on DraftKings since Week 1. He only has two scores on the season.

The good? He also has the 4th-most red zone targets among WR and the 2nd-most targets inside the 10. The breakout game is coming, and what better time than a divisional battle against a Ravens secondary that is allowing 50, yes FIFTY, fantasy PPG to opposing WR in 2022?

If you don’t play JaMarr on Sunday night, you may need a miracle to chase down a GPP.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Devin Duvernay, Ravens ($5,600 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

As mentioned above, Rashod Bateman won’t be suiting up Sunday Night. Duvernay led the Ravens’ WRs with 45 snaps last week, and someone is going to have to pick up the slack here. I’m expecting plenty of points in this one, and Lamar needs some support from his wideouts for once.

Duvernay had a season-high five targets last week, and has already found the end zone three times in 2022. I like him quite a bit here. Added bonus? He returns kicks and is one of the best in the game at doing it. His ceiling is even higher than you may think.

J.K. Dobbins, Ravens ($7,000 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

Listen, I’ve seen people on Twitter saying that you’re chasing points with Dobbins in this one, but I’ll respectfully disagree. He has been on the field for 36 passing snaps since he returned in Week 3, and has run a route on 28 of them. He had 13 of the 22 carries by a Ravens RB, and should be a focal point of the offense here once again. I already mentioned the absence of DJ Reader, and the Bengals may be missing him in a major way on Sunday night if Dobbins gets going.

Joe Mixon, Bengals ($8,800 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

This could be the Skyline Chili fan in me, but I do believe that the Bengals win this game handily. If that is the case, the Bengals will turn to Mixon to slam the door shut. Baltimore is 22nd in the NFL in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing RB. Mixon is a workhorse who has seen more snaps at RB than any player not named Saquon Barkley. He is viable in the bonus spot too, so don’t forget about him if you are doing MME.

I’ll never try to talk you out of playing my dude Tee Higgins, but I can’t just list the most expensive guys across the board. Tee has shown that he is as good as any WR in the game and we all know how suspect this Baltimore secondary has become.

I’ll go ahead and give you my fade of the night. Mark Andrews. In his last two games against the Bengals with Lamar Jackson on the field, he has totaled 7/75. Of course he could explode at any time, but I’m betting on Logan Wilson and company to focus on taking him out of the game. I’m not saying it will be a complete shut down, but I’m taking my chances on him not paying off a high price tag. Leverage play for me.

Other Options

Tyler Boyd has 5+ targets in three of four games this season, and Hayden Hurst has 7+ in two games. In a shootout, they are cheap pieces to consider.

Gimme some Cincinnati defense here. I could see a performance much like the 49ers vs. Rams we took advantage of last week.

Demarcus Robinson saw nearly 40 snaps last week, and Lamar could send a few extra looks his way this week with Bateman out.

In case you didn’t know, Justin Tucker and Evan McPherson may just be the two best kickers underneath the sun. I’m fairly certain either one of them could kick a ball “over them mountains”, Uncle Rico style too. You’re going to want some exposure to these two.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 5 TNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

This Thursday Night we have a matchup of two teams who are off to sluggish offensive starts. The Colts are averaging the least PPG in the entire league this season (14.3) and the Broncos aren’t far behind at 30th (16.5). Denver is listed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total sitting around 42 points. Last week, the Broncos lost Javonte Williams to a season-ending ACL tear. There will be added opportunities for other members of this offense. Let’s see if either offense can finally get things going.

Captain/MVP Plays

UPDATE: With Jonathan Taylor officially OUT, Nyheim Hines becomes an elite play in all formats. Matt Ryan gets a slight bump in upside with some perceived additional responsibility. Free Deon Jackson! He is still a low-floor play, but I’m looking forward to locking him into some lineups here. That said, the player you need to just LOCK on DraftKings is Philip Lindsay. He was just elevated from the practice squad, and costs $600 on DraftKings. Yes, $600. He should see a few opportunities at least, and is now a free square.

Jonathan Taylor, Colts ($16,500 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

The top option in this one for your MVP spot is the reigning NFL rushing leader from 2021. Taylor blew everyone away last season (he beat runner-up Nick Chubb by 552 yards!), and he may just do the same here.

Josh Jacobs just got finishing going beast-mode on this Denver defense. With Denver on only four days rest following that beating, Taylor could be in for a monster performance. The only issue? Taylor has yet to practice this week and may be a true game-time decision. If the Colts feel comfortable enough for him to play on a short week, you need to prioritize him in your lineups.

Denver allowed nearly 200 total yards (168 rushing, 30 receiving) to the Raiders on Sunday. Taylor may not be putting up big numbers thus far in 2022, but his volume is second to none. He has at least 21 touches in each game aside from the shutout loss to the Jaguars. If Taylor is unable to go, I will immediately turn my attention to…

Nyheim Hines, Colts ($10,200 DraftKings, $11,000 FanDuel)

Hines has never been a high-volume guy, and is known more as a pass-catcher. But he may just be the lock of the century if Taylor sits. Denver allowed nearly 200 total yards (168 rushing, 30 receiving) to the Raiders RBs on Sunday. He only has eight carries on the season, but has been targeted 19 times. He could play an Austin Ekeler-type role in this one as the lead back. I wouldn’t expect him to see Taylor-esque volume, but someone is going to run all over this defense. Next man up.

Melvin Gordon III, Broncos ($13,200 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

The unfortunate injury to Javonte Williams jumps Gordon into the feature back role in Denver. Offensive coordinator Justin Outten said it himself. The Colts have been very solid defensively, but are middle of the pack against the run (22 fantasy points per game). Gordon saw just three carries and one target last week, and fumbled for the fourth time on the season.

While Gordon may be assumed to be the lead in this backfield, Mike Boone ($6,200 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel) saw 36% of the snaps against the Raiders. Call me crazy here, but I actually prefer Boone here. I don’t truly believe that Hackett and the Broncos have full trust in Gordon. Mike Boone has one game in his career with more than 13 carries. He went for 17/148/1.

Of course, that was one game, it was in 2019 AND Boone has hardly seen the field since. He has 78 career carries and has never lost a fumble. Gordon has put the ball on the turf four times in just 45 touches this season. I believe his leash will be shorter than many people think here, and Boone could pace the backfield.

FLEX/AnyFlex Plays

Courtland Sutton, Broncos ($9,400 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

One of the games, Sutton is going to put all his opportunities and routes run together and break out. He has been one of the most consistent performers at the WR position this season, posting DraftKings totals of 11.2, 22.7, 17.7, and 16.2. He has run a route on over 90% of his snaps, has seen 35 targets, and has produced 16 first downs.

Despite the fact that the Broncos seem allergic to the Red Zone, Sutton has paced the team with six targets inside the 20. With Javonte Williams out, I do expect the Broncos to pass at a higher rate than their season average of just under 58%. Sutton is the lead man for Russell Wilson, and has a high ceiling in this one.

Russell Wilson, Broncos ($10,400 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

Have you ever seen the movie “Weird Science”? A couple of nerds built their version of the perfect woman using a computer. Well, if those same nerds decided to make the least-likable QB ever to play the game, they would make Russell Wilson. While Wilson may be annoying and cringy in everything he does, he can still play at an elite level.

Denver’s offense has been a disaster this season, scoring 16, 16, 11, and 23 points. Wilson hasn’t been at his best, but did find the end zone three times last week. As I mentioned above, I expect Denver to be more aggressive in the pass game Thursday Night. Wilson could be a difference-maker in this one, but his price is prohibitive. I’ll help you find some value.

Alec Pierce, Colts ($5,400 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel)

Of course Michael Pittman ($10,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel) is a great play, but I’m not going to just list all the priciest plays on the slate. Pierce has only played in three games this season, but has had a snap count of at least 44% in all three.

He has 7/141 on 11 targets over the last two weeks. Matt Ryan has been looking his way, and his price is hard to pass up. This game could have playoff implications down the line, and both teams know they need this one.

Others to consider

Brandon McManus ($4,000 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel) is always a solid option, especially at home. The Broncos have had a TON of trouble finishing drives. If that trend continues, McManus could be a busy man.

This is ONLY a play if Taylor sits out, but Deon Jackson ($1,600 DraftKings) could have value in a plus matchup for dirt cheap.

A cheap play with a low floor but decent upside is Jelani Woods ($2,200 DraftKings). He scored twice in Week 3, then followed that up with 4.3 points in Week 4 (one target, one catch). The targets haven’t been there, but he is being active. He ran 11 routes each of the last two weeks after running just 10 total in Weeks 1-2.

For a few dart throws, give a look to KJ Hamler ($4,400 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel).

If I choose to go with a defense in my lineups, it has to be the Broncos. I know I was trashing them earlier, but Matt Ryan also has five interceptions already this season. Not a priority play, but one worth a look.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 4 MNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

Monday Night Football brings us another rematch, this time from the 2021 NFC Championship game. The Rams and 49ers have no shortage of history, and San Fransisco will undoubtedly be looking for revenge in this one. Prior to losing the NFC Championship to the Rams (which they should have won), the 49ers had won six straight in this series. We got our hands full in this one. Let’s find an edge and make some cash!

MVP/Captain Plays

Cooper Kupp, Rams ($18,000 DraftKings, $17,500 FanDuel)

Listen, Kupp is VERY expensive on this showdown slate. However, there isn’t a player on either roster who can match his ceiling. In his last two games against San Fransisco, he has posted the following lines:

11/122 (13 targets)

7/118/1 (7 targets)

Last week, we saw Kupp post a pedestrian 4/44/0 line on six targets, but he did score on a 20-yard rush. In Weeks 1-2, Kupp was putting up McDonald’s numbers (I hope you get the Ludacris reference) with 34.8 and 35.8 DraftKings points, respectively. Simply put, Kupp is the safest play and also the highest upside play on MNF. The only player I see as potentially coming close is…

Deebo Samuel, 49ers ($15,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

The San Fransisco offense goes as Deebo Samuel goes. He has a great rapport with Jimmy Garoppolo, and has had success in this matchup recently. In two games against the Rams last season, Samuel posted totals of 133 scrimmage yards with two scores, then 140 yards with one score in the NFC Championship game.

His usage out of the backfield and in the passing game is elite, and the 49ers will need every bit of his production in this one. Expect Samuel to be a favorite target for Jimmy G in this one yet again. He has 15, 10, and 13 touches in three games this season, and the potential for more is there. He is the focal point of the offense and that won’t be changing tonight or any time soon. Deebo is a near must-play for this slate.

Tyler Higbee, Rams ($7,800 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel)

Kupp or Deebo will likely be my main options for this one, but I’ll throw some shots at Higbee in the bonus spot. He scored three touchdowns in his last two games against San Fransisco, and his usage this season is elite. Only Mark Andrews and Zach Ertz are averaging more targets per game than Higbee thus far in 2022.

The 49ers have allowed only five catches to opposing TE over three games this season, but that doesn’t scare me off of Higbee. The Rams are a pass-first offense, and Higbee is the clear #2 behind Kupp. The 49ers will be scheming to take away Kupp (good luck), and I see Higbee being the beneficiary of a few extra looks tonight.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Matt Stafford, Rams ($10,600 DraftKings, $15,500 FanDuel)

The Rams offense throws the ball over 63% of the time thus far in 2022, up almost 4% from last season. Stafford will have a tough matchup here, but the numbers for the 49ers defense are slightly skewed. They have faced Justin Fields in a monsoon, Geno Smith, and the ghost of Russell Wilson thus far. Stafford is far from a must-play here, but if you are making multiple lineups, he needs to be in your pool.

Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers ($7,600 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

I’m not a big fan of Jimmy G in general, and the Rams have been tough on him over the years. If you remove one game in 2020 where Jimmy had 268 yards and three scores…things get pretty ugly. He has a 6/7 TD/INT against the Rams in five other matchups. What does this have to do with Aiyuk? Well, I’m fading Jimmy. He just doesn’t have the upside I’m looking for in this matchup. Aiyuk has seen eight targets in back to back weeks, and is priced perfectly in the middle tier. I’ll take a shot here on a decent floor and some sneaky upside. The Rams have actually allowed the MOST fantasy points to opposing WR so far this season. I don’t expect that to be the case all season, but Jalen Ramsey looks as bad as Twitter mobs pretend Eli Apple is…

Robbie Gould and Matt Gay

If this game stays close (and Vegas is betting that it will), the kickers could play a major role. It looks like nearly perfect weather, and both kickers are cheap and reliable. I lean more toward Gould than Gay, as I see the Rams as more likely to finish drives than the 49ers.

Values

A few others to consider are Jauan Jennings ($2,000 DraftKings), who has seen 11 targets this season. I’m not huge on this offense here outside of the top guys, but he is worth a look as a punt play.

Kyle Juszcyk is always a threat to steal some goal-line work or grab a screen pass and bowl over some defenders. He is only $1,000 on DraftKings.

I won’t talk you out of George Kittle. His matchup is actually a good bit better than it was last season with Von Miller now in Buffalo. However, only Cleveland and Chicago have run the ball LESS than the 49ers, and there is only so much to go around. I would rather prioritize Kupp and Samuel.

One last value play here is Ben Skowronek. He is coming off a solid 4/66 game against Arizona, and could provide some sneaky value here.

While there is no chance I’m fading Cooper Kupp, the 49ers defense has massive upside if we see Matthew Stafford on a bad day. He actually has a 4/5 TD/INT so far in 2022, and the 49ers won’t miss this time like they did in the NFC Championship game. If things break well for the 49ers, the defense could be among the highest scorers on the slate. Don’t be afraid to throw a lineup or two with them in the bonus spot tonight. It could pay off big.

I’m not excited about any one player in the run game here. I’ll take my rushing upside in the form of Mr. Deebo Samuel.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL Week 4 Showdown SNF DFS Picks DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

We have ourselves a rematch of Super Bowl LV, and if I were a betting man (you all know I am) I’d be betting that Mahomes and company put up more than NINE points in this one. Tampa Bay is currently listed as a one-point favorite with a total of 46. Let’s find some angles to cash in on Sunday Night Football!

Captain/MVP Plays

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City ($17,100 DraftKings, $17,000 FanDuel)

Mahomes is VERY expensive for this slate, but his upside is second to none in this game. Kansas City loves to utilize shovel passes, screens, and everything in between near the goal line. Mahomes could have his hands on every touchdown the Chiefs score in this one.

He is coming off of two pedestrian games against the Chargers and Colts, and he is far from a must play at this price. If you’re playing MME, you absolutely will want exposure to his ceiling, but he is not a priority for me at the bonus spot. Tampa Bay has allowed the 3rd-least fantasy PPG to opposing QB in 2022. This is a difficult matchup to say the least. I don’t need to sell you on Mahomes.

Tom Brady ($15,000 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel) is certainly in play here, and makes sense as a discount option off of Mahomes in this one. He has just three touchdown passes this season, but you can’t simply ignore the GOAT on any slate. I won’t be prioritizing either one of them, but you need some exposure to both if you are doing multiple lineups.

Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay ($15,600 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

Fournette is my favorite play at the bonus spot for this one, and it isn’t particularly close. Kansas City has allowed only 206 rushing yards to opposing RB this season. Not a ringing endorsement? How about this one. Only two teams have allowed more than the 170 receiving yards that KC has allowed to opposing backs.

Lenny has played on 76, 87, and 91 percent of snaps this season, but his targets have increased each week.Last week against Green Bay we have to take with a grain of salt, as Tampa Bay was just decimated with injuries to their WR. That said, Fournette is as reliable a back as there is in the NFL right now, and his workload is secure. He has seen 23,28, and 18 touches/targets this season. Fournette’s role is solid, and with question marks surrounding Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, AND Russell Gage (who saw 13 targets last week) Lenny could be in for a huge workload again.

Injuries will play an enormous part on this Showdown slate, with multiple key players listed as true game-time decisions. Keep a close eye on the injury news leading up to this one, I’ll be in Discord (link above) chatting along with the rest of the team!

That said, I’ll be listing the other plays I’m focusing on (Captain/MVP status is subject to change), but plenty could change here as we move closer to Sunday Night. Stay tuned!

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay ($9,400 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

If the trio of Godwin, Jones, and Gage are all OUT for this one, Evans needs to be an absolute LOCK in your lineups. He is viable across the board anyway, but if he sees volume even close to what Gage saw against Green Bay, his upside is enormous.

He only has eight catches (11 targets) for 132/1 on the young season, but he also sat out the Green Bay game with a suspension. Tom Brady and the Bucs have actually been below NFL average with a 58.6% pass rate on offense, down from 66%+ in 2021. Last week? That number was 76%, highest in the NFL.

In my opinion, Evans is the most talented WR on this roster (Godwin is the only one close, and I’m betting he sits). Pairing the GOAT Tom Brady with a guy like Evans could pay off big in this one. Get yourself some shares, ESPECIALLY if any of the aforementioned WR sit this one out. Evans is 5th in YPRR (yards per route run), per PFF.

Travis Kelce, Kansas City ($10,800 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

I want some exposure to the Kansas City passing attack, but the matchup is brutal. The same isn’t true for Kelce. PFF has his matchup against primary defender Devin White listed as the second-best in Week 4 among TE. Kelce is averaging eight targets per game this season, and I’m expecting a monster performance. Mahomes is going to need to take advantage of the best matchup on the field. The likes of Juju Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman, and Marques Valdes-Scantling could have some tough sledding here. Fire up Kelce, regardless of his price tag.

Others to Consider

Jerick McKinnon, Kansas City ($4,600 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

Listen, it’s well-documented that I’m not a fan of Clyde Edwards-Helaire. He is just a decent runner, and most of his value is in red zone shovel passes and looks in the passing game. His stat line from last week was WILD. He had seven carries for ZERO yards, but caught five of five targets for 39 yards. He scored a touchdown despite his zero-yard performance.

In a matchup against a Bucs team that is allowing the lowest fantasy points per game to opposing RB, I want no part of CEH. McKinnon has actually out-snapped CEH each of the last two weeks. He only has a total of 15 carries this season and seven targets. That said, I want pieces of Evans and Kelce in this one, so we have to save money somewhere. McKinnon has a low floor, but his speed alone gives him upside. He is a viable punt option.

Tampa Bay Defense, ($3,200 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel)

I said I want Kelce, and we need to consider exposure to Mahomes, regardless of matchup. That said, the Tampa Bay defense looks like an elite option for this slate. Kansas City has scored just 22 PPG over their last two matchups, and Tampa has allowed 3, 10, and 14 points in their first three games. Mahomes has shown a tendency to make mistakes over his last few games, and he will be under constant pressure in this one. I don’t see much chance of this one being a shootout, so the Tampa defense will make it into most, if not all of my lineups.

Kickers!

Harrison Butker is currently a game-time call for this one, but Ryan Succop is ready to go. If Butker can’t go, Matthew Wright seems to be the next man up. I think this game stays well under the total, so I want exposure to both sides of the kicking game. Fortunately for both teams, Hurricane Ian has spared this game, and the weather report at this time is pretty clear. Keep an eye on it just in case things get dicey.

Punt plays in this one include Jaelon Darden ($1,000 DraftKings). The injuries to the Tampa receiving core is well-documented by now, and Breshad Perriman is also doubtful. Darden has a true floor of zero, but could grab some snaps if the options are thin once again. He put up a 1/25 line last week. Rachaad White ($600 DraftKings) saw only six snaps last week, but we are looking for dart-throw upside, and White has it. If Fournette goes down for any reason, White could see some work. Plug and play sparingly to jam in some studs if you are going to be doing MME.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 4 TNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

For those of you who know me, you know I’m a Cincinnati Kid. I’ve grown up and lived in Ohio my whole life (minus a 2-year hiatus in California). Needless to say, my hometown team isn’t off to a very good start at 1-2. Miami comes into PayCor Stadium as a 4-point underdog on Thursday Night. This is going to be another fun one. Both teams are coming off of wins, with Miami holding off Buffalo in dramatic fashion to remain undefeated. Of course I want my Bengals to win, but ultimately my goal is to make money for you and for me on TNF. Let’s get right to it.

Captain/MVP Plays

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals ($14,400 DraftKings, $15,500 FanDuel)

Burrow is the highest-priced player on FanDuel, but is just the 4th-most expensive on DraftKings. Either way, he is a solid option across the board. Despite a disastrous first game against Pittsburgh (FIVE turnovers), Burrow has been a solid fantasy option.

The Dolphins rank dead last in the NFL through three weeks, allowing nearly 26 fantasy PPG to opposing QBs. The Bengals are in near must-win territory, even in Week 4, and Burrow will be slinging it. He has 53, 36, and 36 pass attempts the first three weeks, and the Bengals will need all they can get from him in this one.

The running game for Cincinnati (more on that later) has been poor to say the least. I expect Burrow to approach 40 pass attempts again in this one, and has enormous upside. The Bengals still have the best receiving core in the NFL, and Miami is one of the only teams who are close.

Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins ($15,300 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

Waddle is my preferred option over Tyreek Hill in this one. I always talk about taking a stand on showdown slates, and this is it for me on Thursday Night. Jaylen has been a target machine for Tua, and leads the team with 30 on the young season. Granted, 19 of those were in one game, but Waddle is the play here for me for several reasons.

The Bengals have elite safety play up top, and rarely give up big, chunk plays down the field. Waddle is a fantastic route runner, and will see plenty of looks in the short-medium passing game. This one has all the makings of a shootout, and Waddle will undoubtedly be a big part of that.

If you’re playing MME, of course you want exposure to Tyreek (although Eli Apple is his daddy). I’m more of a 1-3 lineup guy, and I’m leaning toward a fade in my lineups barring some late-breaking injury news.

JaMarr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals ($16,500 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

JaMarr has the opposite salary situation as Burrow this week, as he comes in as the most expensive on DraftKings, but just the 4th-most expensive salary on FanDuel. Only Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson have had more red zone targets than Chase (8). Even better? He has the highest snap percentage among all WR in 2022 at 95%. JaMarr WILL be on the field on nearly every play. His ceiling is easily the highest among all WR/RB/TE on this slate.

If you have watched Chase play at all over the last season plus, you don’t need to hear more. He is an elite athlete, has years of rapport with Burrow dating back to LSU, and is one of the fastest players in the game. He would be the craziest fade on this slate for me.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Options

Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals ($8,200 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel

This should come as no surprise to anyone who knows me, but Tee is my dude. The guy has the strength and athleticism to be an elite player at the position, and he continues to show it. Last week, that toe tap was a thing of beauty (it was a TD, by the way), and his timing on catch point is second to none.

He has 11/164/1 in his last two games, and that isn’t including missing some time last week after taking a dirty shot to the head courtesy of Lamarcus Joyner. Tee is elite, and if this one becomes a shootout, you will need shares. He could certainly be used in the Captain spot, especially on DraftKings, where the salary opens up quite a bit due to his cheap tag.

Raheem Mostert, Miami Dolphins ($4,400 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

Mostert is one of my favorite plays on this showdown slate. I am a huge proponent of process over results, and this is the perfect time to take advantage. Last week, Chase Edmonds rushed six times for 21 yards…and two touchdowns. Mostert still outsnapped Edmonds for the second straight week, and positive regression is coming.

DJ Reader may just be the best run-stopper in the NFL, and the Bengals just announced his lengthy absence. I believe Mostert is a significantly better runner than Edmonds, and this Bengals defense is suddenly vulnerable against the run. Mostert is significantly cheaper than Edmonds on both sites, and I’ll be taking full advantage. Tua Tagovailoa may not be 100% for this one, and there is an outside shot that he sits completely. Miami will look to establish the run and take advantage of Reader’s absence.

Evan McPherson, Cincinnati Bengals ($3,600 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel)

Envision with me a scenario where the Bengals struggle to finish drives, the Miami defense plays well, and “Money Mac” takes full advantage. This is certainly a possible outcome here, but regardless of game flow, McPherson has legit 60+ range. He absolutely needs to be in most of your lineups for TNF. I may just click the “LOCK” button on Evan.

Mike Gesicki ($5,000 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)

This is a low-floor option, as Gesicki has seen 1,4, and 1 target over the first three games of 2022. However, the Bengals have given up the 4th-most yardage to opposing TE in 2022.

Samaje Perine ($7,400 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)

Perine is clearly the backup to Joe Mixon, but on a short week, I’m expecting the Bengals to utilize Perine a bit more here. He saw a lot of late work against the Jets, Mixon is less than 100%, and has eight targets already this season. I hate his price tag, but his ownership should be very low.

I’m certainly not fading Tua here, but am also waiting for some news on his injury status. As mentioned above, he is less than 100%, and there is an outside shot he could sit. Teddy Bridgewater absolutely needs to be considered if things don’t go well for Tua and he draws the start.

You know who has scored in two straight games? River Cracraft. He has a literal floor of zero, but the TD potential is there, and he is just $2,400 on DraftKings. One last punt play for you here is Chris Evans ($1,000 DraftKings). I mentioned that I think the Bengals try to ease a workload on Mixon (who is a fade for me here), and Evans could see some work. He absolutely SHOULD, so let’s see if Zac Taylor does the right thing.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 3 MNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Justin Elick 3 years ago

written by Justin Elick

One of the oldest rivalries in the NFL is the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants. More than six decades of blood, sweat and tears have gone into this one. That said, this is a different Cowboys with Cooper Rush under center. The good news is that the spread is sitting at -1 for the Giants, but the bad news is the total is just 39 points. Let’s find ourselves an angle to make some cash on Monday Night.

MVP/Captain Plays

Saquon Barkley, Giants

Barkley threw back the clock to 2019 in Week 1, racking up 194 total yards and a touchdown on 24 touches. Week 2 wasn’t quite as kind to him, as he totaled 88 yards, but yet again had 24 touches. Barkley has elite usage and volume in this offense, and he is the most expensive player on this slate for good reason.

The Cowboys have allowed 100 rushing YPG in the young 2022 season. Barkley is the focal point of this offense, and needs to be one of your first targets on this slate. The Giants are one of just six teams averaging a rushing rate north of 50% through two games in 2022. Pick up your shares of Barkley for MNF.

Noah Brown, Cowboys

Call me crazy here, but Brown is worth a shot at your bonus spot on Monday Night. CeeDee Lamb will undoubtedly draw ownership, and rightfully so (don’t forget to get yourself some exposure to Mr. Lamb also). I’m taking some shots with Brown up top. He has played at least 85% of the offensive snaps in each game this season. Michael Gallup is still questionable to return for this one, but I don’t expect a huge drop off in snaps for Brown right away.

He has posted a 10/159/1 line on 14 targets through two weeks. He is a low-owned option for you to throw into your bonus spot to differentiate your lineups.

Daniel Jones, Giants

Listen, I know most of you aren’t believers in Jones as a franchise QB, but that doesn’t matter here. Jones has yet to break even the TWO-hundred yard mark passing in 2022. This one is likely to be low-scoring, but Jones adds the extra dimension of rushing floor and upside. He has rushed 16 times for 46 yards in 2022, but he is always a threat to vulture a goal-line score or break a long run. Another option with potentially low-ownership in the bonus spot, Jones could pay off big if things break his way.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Tony Pollard, Cowboys

I may be the only person who lives near THE Ohio State University who thinks this, but Tony Pollard is better than Ezekiel Elliott. Through two games in 2022, we are seeing it at times, but this may just be the night that he breaks out. Pollard is averaging just 48% of the offensive snaps, but he was efficient against the Bengals after a disastrous game vs Tampa Bay in the opener. Pollard carries nine times for 43 yards and a score, while hauling in four of seven targets for another 55 yards. Dallas has only had ONE rushing attempt inside the five yard line in 2022…and that ball went to Pollard. He scored. Zeke is a fade for me. I wouldn’t mind a shot or two on Tony in the bonus spot. FREE TONY POLLARD!

Sterling Shepard, Giants

As mentioned above, the Giants have almost a true 50/50 run/pass split, so I won’t be going too heavy on the passing game. However, Shepard is the target I’m after when Jones is throwing down the field. Shepard had 10 targets last week and played on 88% of the offensive snaps. If any non-Barkley option puts up a big receiving number for the G-Men, Shepard is your guy.

Brett Maher and Graham Gano

Low total game with two offenses that struggle to score points or finish drives. This game is a great spot to target kickers. These two are a combined 7/7 to start the season. Take advantage of some sputtering offenses in this one and lock in some points in the kicking game. I’ll be throwing both in a few lineups, but will have exposure to at least one in most lineups.

A few others to consider are David Sills, who played 92% of the offensive snaps for the Giants last week. He seems to have surpassed Kenny Golladay on the depth chart, and Kadarius Toney is hardly seeing the field either.

Daulton Schultz is still questionable for this one, and if he misses or is limited, Jake Ferguson needs to be on your radar. He played more than half of the offensive snaps in Week 2, and is just $200 on DraftKings. Don’t expect a break out performance by any means, but he is a free square that could crush value.

Tanner Hudson and Daniel Bellinger each saw opportunity against Carolina, and although Bellinger found the end zone, he saw only the lone target while Hudson saw three. Hudson is $2,800 cheaper on DraftKings, and would be my TE punt of choice between the two.

I’m prioritizing the Cowboys defense over the Giants here, and Micah Parsons is the main reason why. He is a game-wrecker, and is easily the MVP of this team in 2022. He is among the early leaders for DPOY, and for good reason. The Cowboys defense carries a lot more upside here.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL Week 3 Showdown SNF DFS Picks DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

Sunday Night Football brings us a solid matchup this week with the 49ers traveling to the altitude in Denver to take on the Broncos. San Fransisco is a 1-point favorite with a total hovering around 44.5 points. Russell Wilson and company are off to a very slow start offensively, and Jimmy Garoppolo is back under center for the Niners. Let’s get to it!

MVP/Captain Plays

Deebo Samuel, 49ers ($17,100 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

Samuel is the most versatile player in this game, and quite possibly in the entire NFL. He is the focal point of the 49ers offense. With Trey Lance and Elijah Mitchell both on the IR now, Deebo should see an even bigger role.

His numbers have been pedestrian through two games in 2022, but terrible weather and game flow have played a part. He has 13 targets and 12 rushes across two games, and he needs to be one of the first players you consider on Sunday Night.

Denver has been tremendous defensively, but I’m taking the numbers with a grain of salt. The Texans and Seahawks are two of the lesser offenses in the NFL. I’m expecting Deebo to break out in a big way against the Broncos. Eliminating the threat of Trey Lance stealing goal-line touchdowns raises his ceiling significantly. Fire him up across the board.

Javonte Williams, Broncos ($15,000 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

The 49ers aren’t a desirable matchup for any RB, but I’m bullish on Javonte in any matchup. He is averaging 11 carries and eight targets per game in 2022. Melvin Gordon is always going to take some touches away, but check this out. Here’s a list of players who have more red zone receiving targets than Williams:

Garrett Wilson

JaMarr Chase

Justin Jefferson

That’s it.

There is certainly a lower floor here due to the tough matchup and the presence of Gordon, but Javonte has big upside here in what should be a competitive game throughout.

Jeff Wilson, Jr., 49ers ($12,000 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Volume is the name of the game tonight, and with the injury to Elijah Mitchell, Wilson fits the bill. He saw 18 carries and two targets in his first game as the lead back, totaling 103 yards. As you may have noticed so far, I’m targeting the running game more than the passing game in this one. As we say, you have to take a stand somewhere. I’ll keep the volatility of some of the other pass catchers for my FLEX/AnyFLEX spots.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

George Kittle, 49ers ($7,400 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel)

Simply put, Kittle is just too cheap here. The 49ers have been very cautious with their star TE, holding him out of the first two games. All indications are that he could have played last week, so he should be a full-go here.

Kittle has a great rapport with Jimmy G, and could certainly end up being the top scorer in this one. That said, I’ll be using him in the FLEX spot, as his floor leaves plenty to be desired. His last six game logs look pretty gross:

2/27/1

4/63/0

1/18/0

5/10/0

1/29/0

2/21/0

Kittle had three games in 2021 with 100+ yards, so the upside is there. I’m just not convinced that this is the spot for a ceiling game.

Courtland Sutton, Broncos ($9,400 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

Aside from one long touchdown pass from Russell Wilson to Jerry Jeudy, Sutton has been the lone bright spot in the passing game. He has totaled 194 yards on 11 catches (18 targets) through two games. With Jeudy (ribs) and KJ Hamler (knee/hip) both banged up, he could be relied on even more in this one. Both are expected to play, but I’ll be looking elsewhere. Sutton is another volume play here.

Brandon McManus, Broncos and Robbie Gould, 49ers

Low total, high altitude. You would be crazy to not consider both kickers in this one. McManus is the preferred option here for me. I would not be the least bit surprised to see both with 10+ points in this one.

Other options to consider

Both defenses are in play here, but neither Wilson or Garoppolo are turnover prone, so I’m not expecting big outputs on that end. I’ll have a few shares, but won’t be prioritizing either one.

Kyle Juszczyk is only $1,400 on DraftKings, and is my preferred punt play in this one. He will see hardly any touches, but is a touchdown vulture. He found the end zone last week, and has three targets on the season (zero catches). True floor of zero, but don’t be surprised to see his name on your screen with “TOUCHDOWN” at the same time.

Albert Okwuegbunam had zero catches on two targets last week. He’s another cheap option to fill out your lineup. He has been the victim of an offense with very little passing game rhythm. His floor is low, but he could pay off nicely tonight.

I’m taking my chances on a primary fade of both QB in this one. I see the argument for either one, and will mix in one lineup with some QB stacks. Neither is a priority with all these high volume options elsewhere, just waiting to take all the touchdowns.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 3 TNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

This week on Thursday Night Football we have an ugly one. There is no love lost between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns. Neither has a particularly good offense, but both have players who are more than capable of finding their ceiling. With both teams tied at 1-1 early in the season, this battle could have playoff implications down the line. Let’s get rolling!

Captain/MVP Plays

Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns

There is one obvious play on this slate across all formats, and it is Mr. Chubb. He had 23 and 20 touches over the first two weeks, and his role is as locked-in as anyone in the NFL. He isn’t a huge target in the passing game (four total targets in two games). However, his volume and upside make him a borderline must-play for Showdown.

The Steelers allowed more rushing yards per game than any NFL team in 2021 (143.8). Chubb wasn’t particularly effective in two matchups last season (12/58, 16/61), but I’m banking on that changing Thursday in Cleveland. The Browns ran the ball on 46% of plays in 2021, but that number has already climbed to nearly 55% with Jacoby Brissett under center. It’s Chubb time.

Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers offense hasn’t done much at all in 2022, but on a Showdown slate, we need options with upside. Enter Harris. Najee was the most targeted RB in the NFL in 2021 (tied with Austin Ekeler at 94). Granted, the lack of mobility by the Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger played a role in that, but the upside is still there.

Harris dominated the Browns last season, posting over 300 scrimmage yards and two scores across both matchups. The rushing attack should be on full display for both squads this week. Najee will undoubtedly have his fingerprints all over this one. He is a solid play across the board.

Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers

Johnson has been a target machine this far in 2022 for Mitch Trubisky, leading the team with 22 in the first two games. He has only managed to total 112 yards on 13 catches, but volume alone puts him in play on this slate. Diontae hasn’t found the end zone yet in 2022, but the Steelers may need him to step up in this one. He has the upside to be a solid pivot off of the top backs at the bonus spot.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Options

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns

While Hunt may be a terrible person, he is a viable option in fantasy due to the Browns’ propensity to run. Only San Fransisco and Chicago have run the ball at a higher rate than Cleveland, and much of that is due to the weather in their Week 1 matchup. I fully expect the Browns to lead the NFL in rushing rate, at least until their “hero” Deshaun Watson returns.

Hunt had 15 touches in each of the Browns’ first two games, and found the end zone twice in Week 1. He is always a threat to steal goal-line points from Chubb. It isn’t a crazy thought to slot him in at the bonus spot if you’re making multiple lineups.

Defense, Defense, Defense

More than you will find on most slates, both defenses are in play for this showdown slate. The upside may be capped due to a lower volume in the passing game, but you will want some exposure here. I prefer the Steelers defense here, but neither team is scripting a game plan to feature either QB taking unneccesary risks down the field.

That said, it may sound crazy, but I will have little to no exposure to the QBs in this one. As I always say, you have to take a stand somewhere, and I’m planting my flag firmly in the zero-QB soil.

Others to consider

Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers

Freiermuth is always a touchdown threat, and has totaled 9/97/1 on 17 targets across two games.

Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns

While I’m off these two arms, that doesn’t mean that I don’t want exposure to elite weapons on the outside. After a forgettable debut (3/17 on six targets), Cooper exploded for 9/101/1 on 10 targets against the Jets. The Steelers defense in significantly better than the Jets, but Cooper needs to be on your radar here as the only real upside option in the Browns’ passing attack

David Bell, Cleveland Browns

This is primarily a DK punt play, as Bell is just $1,400. He saw 20 snaps in Week 2, and had a lone target. The floor is literally zero here, but if you saw Bell in college, you have seen his game-breaking upside.

Kickers

Both kickers are in play here, but I much prefer Chris Boswell, who is one of the best kickers in the NFL. Cade York was the hero in Week 1, but things turned quickly after a missed PAT late in a one-point loss to Joe Flacco and the Jets.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 2 MNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Justin Elick 3 years ago

written by Justin Elick

Tonight we have the pleasure of a two-game slate in the NFL for Monday Night Football. I hope you have a second TV or screen ready, as these games will overlap for a good while. I’ll break down players I like, whether you are playing Showdown only, or attacking the two-game mini slate. Let’s get right to it.

Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings

Listen, it is no secret that Jefferson is one of the best in the game at any position. He affirmed that with a monster 9/184/2 line (11 targets) against the Packers in Week 1. This week’s matchup against the Eagles is one that I can’t wait to watch. Jefferson wasn’t needed much in the second half against the Packers, but this one should stay tight throughout. He is my top play on the slate, and is certainly a top option at Captain/MVP if you’re playing Showdown.

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

I’ll keep this one short and sweet. Not only is Allen the best fantasy QB on the slate, but he is the best fantasy QB on the planet. If you can make him fit in your lineup, you do it. You don’t need me rambling on about why he is a good play.

Isaiah McKenzie, Buffalo Bills

It looks like Gabriel Davis is trending the wrong way as of this morning. Even if he does suit up (I’m betting he doesn’t), I’m expecting a snap count. The Bills will exercise caution with their young star. Enter McKenzie, who posted a line of just 2/19 against the Rams on three targets, but did find the end zone.

Stefon Diggs is an elite player, and Allen’s favorite target. There is no denying that. However, on a short slate, I’m prioritizing Jefferson over Diggs. The salary savings for McKenzie make him a lock tonight, especially if Davis is ruled OUT. The Titans allowed the 4th-most fantasy points per game to opposing WR in 2021. There is plenty of value here.

AJ Brown, Philadelphia Eagles

Another player I’m prioritizing over Diggs is Jalen Hurts’ new favorite target. He had a fantastic debut for the Eagles, posting a 10/155 line on 13 targets against the Lions. The Vikings shut down the Packers passing attack last week, but we are going to ignore that here. Hurts and Brown have a great rapport already, and Brown has the upside to take down a GPP for you. He is a solid option in the bonus spot as well.

Hassan Haskins, Tennessee Titans

Nobody wants to read a write-up with only the top plays listed. Derrick Henry is a great upside play on this slate, and I totally understand the appeal. For me, I’ll be paying up at WR and QB and going cheap elsewhere.

Haskins will have an expanded role tonight as a result of the injury to Dontrelle Hilliard. While it is clear that Henry is the alpha in this backfield, Haskins is a punt play that should see a decent number of snaps. He is in play across the board, but I’ll be prioritizing him more on Showdown.

Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles

Sanders was still the featured back in Week 1, as he was the clear leader with 40 snaps. He touched the ball 15 times, 13 on the ground, and two through the air, and had more than 100 scrimmage yards. You can make an argument for Kenneth Gainwell here also, but he saw only 23 snaps in Week 1, but he was targeted four times. Finding the best option in the Philly backfield could go a long way tonight.

Treylon Burks, Tennessee Titans

Burks was one of my favorite young players to target in season-long drafts, and he had a solid Week 1 (3/55 on five targets). If Kyle Philips (shoulder) is unable to go, Burks gets yet another boost. This game script seems just perfect for the Titans WRs to play catch-up.

I have no issues playing either of the other QBs, but I would rank them Hurts, Cousins, Tannehill in that order. I could see Tannehill posting a big line if the Titans are able to keep it close. He should be low owned.

A few other potentially low-owned options are Dallas Goedert (likely a lock in two-game slate for me), Irv Smith Jr, and DeVonta Smith (he completely disappeared last week!).

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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