Tag:

DFS

9/12 NFL DFS Podcast: Week 2 DFS QB Picks and Thursday Showdown Tips

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

The King and Real Jerry break down the QB DFS field for the Week 2 Main Slate. They provide lineup recommendations for the Thursday Showdown slate on the 9/12 NFL DFS Podcast.

9/12 NFL DFS Podcast: QB Outlooks and Picks for Week 2

Scott and Jerry look through the full field of Week 2 QBs on DraftKings and FanDuel. Should you spend up for Patrick Mahomes? It may be better to go with Lamar Jackson. Derek Carr is a prime value play.

9/12 NFL DFS Podcast – Thursday Showdown Picks

You just cannot get around using Christian McCaffrey tonight, and that will drain a lot of your salary. But we have some good value plays for you,

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Thank you for listening to the 9/12 NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

9/12 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Big Bats for Thursday

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Today is thirsty Thursday, and I’m going to quench you with some easily digestible lineup selections for the 9/12 DFS main slate, which kicks off at 7:05 and has just seven games. We’ve got DFS stacks, one-offs and some standout options for GPPs, including one squad that’s bound to break through against a veteran hurler with limited stuff. Let’s go win some green!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

9/12 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Atlanta Braves at Drew Smyly

I’m going GPP before cash here and picking on a pitcher with a 2.16% HR/FB rate in Drew Smyly. You can stack Coors all you want in the afternoon slates (what’s with the 2-1 games, fellas?), but I’m looking to a talented Braves lineup that’s loaded with powerful right-handed bats and some left-handed hitters like Freddie Freeman who don’t crumble when a southpaw is on the mound. Atlanta carries a .331 team wOBA against LHPs and Smyly is eminently hittable. The classic 1-5 stack is in play, as are platoon bats Austin Riley (.291/.375/.745 slash) and GPP favorite Adam Duvall (if he cracks the lineup).

LosAngeles Dodgers at Dylan Bundy

Yup, I’m going right back to the Dodgers despite an anemicperformance last night against John Means, who’s a pretty good pitcher in hisown right. Dylan Bundy is a lot easier to attack from both sides of the plate(.398 xwOBA vs. LHBs and .391 vs. RHBs), so I’m not concerned about keepinganybody off. Lefties Joc Pederson, Cody Bellinger and Matt Beaty are all duefor offensive breakouts and Gavin Lux ($2,600 on DK, $2,800 on FD) and CoreySeager ($4,500 on DK, $3,600 on FD) are plenty affordable as well.

Houston Astros vs. Homer Bailey

His name is Homer, and these are the power-hitting Astros. I’m not trying to oversimplify things, because there’s plenty of data to support a blitz on Bailey –including a park shift that favors Houston over the veteran right-hander. Bailey has yielded a .429 xOBA to righties since 2018 when pitching his home games in Oakland and Kansas City, and the Astros are at home and have bats from both sides of the plate that I want exposure to here, including George Springer, Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez. Value options include Aledmys Diaz and Abraham Toro, not to mention inexpensive catcher Robinson Chirinos.

9/12 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Washington Nationals at Kyle Gibson

Boston Red Sox at Clay Buchholz

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Jhoulys Chacin

9/12 DFS Hitting Catcher

Francisco Cervelli, ATL at PHI

DK ($2,700) FD ($2,300)

This is a pure value play considering the Braves have so much talent throughout their lineup and Cervelli does a pretty good job (.414 xwOBA) vs. LHPs. He’s a cheap fifth batter in Braves stacks on DK and makes for an inexpensive utility or C-1B play on FD — if you can stomach rostering just three other bats from this team.

9/12 DFSHitting First Baseman

Mitch Moreland, BOS at TOR

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,800)

You’re getting a great matchup in the middle of a stacked lineup for cheap price with Moreland. Big Mitch has BvP covered in a 4-for-8 small sample against Buchholz, who’s he’s homered against, and there’s plenty to like about going with this sneaky lefty at your 1B spot in a crowded GPP field focused on bigger names. Moreland has double-dinger potential and makes for a fine one-off or part of a Sox mini-stack.

9/12 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Nick Solak, TEX vs. TB

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,300)

Going right back to the well with Solak, who’s made me look good in this spot, and doesn’t command a very high price. The Rangers are probably only worth considering for a contrarian, large-field GPP stack because they’ve struggled against lefties this season (just a .308 wOBA and 82wRC+), but Solak offers a .379 ISO against LHPs and the venue is ripe for hitting. I’m not scared of Brendan McKay, even though he’s been able to whiff some bats here and there, and Solak is in the heart of the Rangers lineup with plenty of run-producing opportunities.

9/12 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Josh Donaldson, ATL at PHI

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,500)

Donaldson is historically good against LHPs with a career xwOBA of .XXX and he’s destroyed Smyly in 19 career ABs, including nine hits, three HRs and a 1.629 OPS. Whatever sample size you’re looking at, he’s a great play in a hitter’s park in that potent Atlanta lineup. He and Acuna will be the main focus of my Braves stacks.

9/12 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at BAL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,600)

Even after a recent two-homer night, the price on Seager isaffordable and the slick young shortstop has resumed the No. 2 slot in the Dodgersorder. I’ve mentioned my affinity for attacking Bundy in Camden Yards, and thisslate provides an opportunity to get one of the highest upside shortstops (rightthere with Xander Bogaerts) at a cut rate.

Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into asecond stream of income!

9/12 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Andrew Benintendi, BOS at TOR

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,200)

The Red Sox have been slumping at the plate, but Benintendi’s numbers over the past two seasons against RHBs (.405 xwOBA) make me excited to play him against Buchholz. There aren’t too many outfielders at this price point with as much run-producing upside.

Michael Brantley, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($4,300) FD ($4,000)

I have no qualms about you stacking the Astros outfield in its entirety and using both Alvarez and Springer, but if there’s one bat I’d lean towards as a one-off, especially if I’m building an expensive stack elsewhere, it’s Brantley. He’s always a little too cheap and offers plenty of upside with excellent numbers at home (.381 wOBA) and against RHPs (.207 ISO).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at PHI

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,100)

Acuna has a .488 xwOBA and .277 ISO vs. LHPs this season andremains the premier leadoff hitter in the NL. He’s an essential part of myBraves stacks, sometimes gets ignored because of his lofty price tag, and isplayable in both cash games and GPPs for his solid floor and soaring upside.

Additional options:

C: Robinson Chirinos ($3,800 DK), Reese McGuire ($3,300 DK)

1B: Jesus Aguilar ($2,800 FD), Matt Adams ($3,400 DK)

2B: Cavan Biggio ($4,200 DK) Brad Miller ($3,000 DK)

3B: Kyle Seager ($4,300 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($4,700 DK)

SS: Bo Bichette ($5,000 DK), Xander Bogaerts (4,900 DK)

OF: Aristides Aquino ($3,700 FD), Philip Ervin ($3,300 DK),Jonathan Davis ($2,600 DK), Danny Santana ($4,700 DK) Jay Bruce (GPP option at 3,800on DK)

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

9/11 NFL DFS Podcast: Week 2 DFS RB Picks and Seasonal Waiver Tips

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

The King and Real Jerry break down the RB DFS field for the Week 2 Main Slate. They also lay out some prime waiver pickups and recommend FAAB prices on the 9/11 NFL DFS Podcast. .

9/11 NFL DFS Podcast: RB Outlooks and Picks for Week 2

Scott and Jerry look through the full field of Week 2 RBs on DraftKings and FanDuel. Should you spend up for Saquon Barkley? It may be better to go with Ezekiel Elliott. Josh Jacobs is a prime value play.

9/11 NFL DFS Podcast – Wednesday Seasonal Waivers

Don’t make a major rush to go out and grab one of the rookie WRs who made a splash in Week 1. It may be better to save your FAAB dollars or waiver position.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Thank you for listening to the 9/11 NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/10 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: The Cards in Coors

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s tasty Tuesday, and I’m feeling hungry for more action in some GPPs in 9/10 DFS. Let’s fill our plates with some prime MLB DFS hitting picks and satiating stacks for the massive 14-game 7:05 main slate, focusing on what promises to be a run-happy Coors game, a team from the West Coast arriving in a hitter’s paradise, and another sneaky stack or two in good matchups and park upgrades.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

9/10 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

St. Louis Cardinals at Chi Chi Rodriguez

The Redbirds have the highest implied total on the slate at 7+ runs and should have no problems hitting the weak offerings of Chi Chi Rodriguez into the cavernous, expansive gaps in the Coors power alleys. A full stack is in order here, with ample shares of the Cards’ 1-5 hitters – Dexter Fowler (DK $4,500, FD $3,600), Kolten Wong (DK $4,800, FD $3,500), Paul Goldchmidt (DK $5,100, FD $4,300), Marcel Ozuna (DK $5,300, FD $4,100), and Paul DeJong (DK $4,800, FD $3,900), and a few combinations that include Yadier Molina (DK $4,300, FD $3,400), Tommy Edman (DK $5,400, FD $3,300) and value option Harrison Bader (DK $3,900, FD $3,000).

Los Angeles Dodgers at Ty Blach

When the Dodgers have faced Blach in the past, it’s been in San Diego or LA, but now they get the scuffling lefthander in Baltimore, where the balls jump out of the park in droves. Blach’s currently sporting a 10.95 ERA and 2.15 WHIP over 24.2 IP in the majors this season, and his minor league numbers are just as pathetic. There are several possible mixtures of the usual 1-5 hitters but A.J. Pollock (DK $4,700, FD $3,800), who has a .401 xwOBA versus LHPs since 2018, David Freese (who’s $5,400 on DK but just $2,700 on FD) and Kiké Hernandez (DK $4,000, FD $2,600) look like good targets to build from and add Cody Bellinger and/or Justin Turner (DTD).

Colorado Rockies at Michael Wacha

The Rockies have been in a hellish 3-17 nosedive in their past 20 games, but a return to Coors is just what they need to liven up that lumber and score some runs. They may not notch a win against the Cards, but the bats of Nolan Arenado (DK $5,300, FD $4,600), Trevor Story (DK $5,400, FD $4,500) and Charlie Blackmon (DK $5,500, FD $4,500) make for an appealing mini-stack if you can afford them. Wacha has an xwOBA approaching the .400 mark over the past two seasons, and the Rockies have the second highest implied total of the slate at over 6 runs.

9/10 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Houston Astros at Tanner Roark

Minnesota Twins vs. Anibal Sanchez

9/10 DFS Hitting Catcher

J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. ATL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,800)

I love Realmuto at home against LHPs, and I professed as much in my firstpiece for WinDailySports.com. We’re going back to the well with the Phillies catcher facingMax Fried, who’s not as good against RHBs (.373 xwOBA since 2018). Realmuto’sbeen raking since the start of September and makes for a solid backstop andone-off to differentiate your lineups.

9/10 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Paul Goldschmidt, STL at COL

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,300)

I mentioned him in my Cards stack above, but I’m including himhere to reiterate that I’ll be having close to 100 percent exposure to Goldy inthis matchup. The veteran first baseman has a .327/.415/.608 career slash with15 homers in 289 Coors field plate appearances, so he’s tops on my list andisn’t nearly as expensive as he should be.

9/10 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Nick Solak, TEX vs. TB

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,300)

Solak has made an immediate impression in DFS with a.328/.449/.500 slash in his first 19 games in the bigs, with a .320 ISO vs.LHPs. He’s going to be low-owned facing the capable Ryan Yarbrough, comes at adiscount, and bats fourth in a hitter’s park. There’s plenty to like if you’relooking for value component with some positional flexibility (2B/3B on DK) thatoffers ample upside.

9/10 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Rafael Devers, BOS at TOR

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,800)

Devers absolutely crushes Toronto pitching, and since we don’t know how long T.J. Zeuch will toe the slab on Tuesday, he’s a fine option no matter who’s on the hill. In 15 games against the Jays (59 AB) he’s slashing .441/.484/.915 with 8 homers and just 7 Ks. He’s expensive, but he should command less ownership than Nolan Arenado at the hot corner and offers a high-upside pivot from the Coors game

9/10 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Paul DeJong, STL at COL

DK ($4,800) FD ($3,900)

Like the other Paul on this team, I’m having a hard timeclicking on any other name at his respective position. Trevor Story is obviouslyan option, but DeJong’s a little more affordable and has just as much upside ina larger implied total. He’s only played a couple games in Coors, but he has ahomer, sports a .411 road xwOBA over his past couple seasons, and shouldn’thave trouble with Chi Chi or the Rockies bullpen.

Tired of losing money on your DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into asecond stream of income!

9/10 DFS Hitting Outfielders

A.J. Pollock, LAD at BAL

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,800)

We’rea few games removed from Pollock’s 3-HR day, but if there’s a spot to jump onboard, it’s now. He’s hitless in his last two games but gets a massive parkupgrade and shouldn’t be as highly owned as the Cards OF and some of the biggername bats. Dodgers OF Chris Taylor (DK $4,400, FD $2,800) could be the pivot ifyou’re looking to fit some different Dodgers bats and need some savings.

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at PHI

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000)

Acuna led off last night’s game with a homer and now has 38 round trippers on the season. He’s fared well against the Phillies this season with a .333/.452/.529 slash – and he’s got a massive .487 xwOBA and .279 ISO vs. LHPs. Jason Vargas has pitched well this season, but he’s benefited from a low BABIP (.266) and has given up 15 HRs to RHBs.

Dexter Fowler, STL at COL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,600)

Grabbing the leadoff hitter in any stack is always a smart move, andwhile Fowler doesn’t offer the same raw power as the other Cards bats, he’scertainly got the bat skills to rope some doubles and triples in Coors Field, wherehe began his Major League career. The numbers in that venue are staggering(.300/.397/.492 with 67 doubles, 35 triples and 29 HR in 342 games, 290 of whichhe started).

Additional options:

C: Yadier Molina, Austin Hedges (DK $2,600)

1B: Eric Thames (FD $2,700), Ryan O’Hearn (DK $3,400, FD $2,400)

2B: Kiké Hernandez (FD), Kolten Wong

3B: UPDATED (Gyorko NOT STARTING today) Yoan Moncada, Travis Shaw (value)

SS: Manny Machado (DK $4,000, FD $3,500), Jean Segura (DK$4,000, FD $3,000)

OF: Nick Castellanos (DK $4,500), Phillip Ervin (DK $3,200), Trent Grisham (DK $3,100), Yordan Alvarez (FD $4,200), Cody Bellinger, Austin Meadows

5 years ago 0 comments

Announcements

Win Daily Sports Joins SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE- August 30, 2019. New York, NY

WIN DAILY SPORTS to join SIRIUSXM Saturday Night Programming Lineup beginning August 31.

Multiple time Daily Fantasy Sports six figure winner, and best- selling author, JASON MEZRAHI, joins former WWE Superstar and sports analyst, MATT STRIKER for a Saturday Night SIRIUSXM Radio Fantasy Sports Show.

Win Daily Sports is pleased to announce their partnership with SiriusXM Radio with “The Win Daily Show” on XM channel 87, SIRIUS 210, beginning THIS SATURDAY NIGHT at 11 p.m.-1 a.m. eastern.

This weekly two hour show will give listeners unique fantasy insights into the coming week of NFL matchups from Daily Fantasy Sports, seasonal and betting perspectives.

Win Daily Sports is the ONLY Fantasy sports service that features: Fantasy Sports Hall of Famers, 10-time plus top-tier money winners, professional handicappers, injury specialists, data analysts and more. and now you get access to all of it every Saturday night on XM channel 87, Sirius 210 at 11 p.m.eastern.

JASON MEZRAHI is the author of the Amazon best selling book, WIN DAILY, where he outlines the steps he took on the road to hitting one of the single largest prizes in DFS History !

MATT STRIKER is known worldwide for his work with WORLD WRESTLING ENTERTAINMENT (WWE). Matt is an accomplished athlete, host and fantasy sports player, holding the current record for six consecutive Celebrity League Fantasy Championships.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY SPORTS Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailySports. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer, including Fantasy Football Rankings, by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Week One NFL DFS Podcast and Full Gameday Guide

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Our Founder “The Half a Million Dollar Man” Jason Mezrahi and DFS Pro Dan Wehr. a major tournament winner break down each position for Week 1 from DFS perspectives. They discuss a solid GPP approach and go through their favorite plays and game stacks.

REGISTER FOR PREMIUM GOLD AND GET ONE ON ONE GAMEDAY ADVICE FROM OUR TOP EXPERTS!

Listen to Jason Mezrahi and Matt Striker on the WIN DAILY SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Show Saturday Nights from 11 pm to 1 am ET and always available on demand!

Week One NFL DFS Podcast: Game Previews and Picks for Week One

Jason and Dan look through the full field of Week One plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. They lay out their favorite stacks and both like the matchup of the San Francisco 49ers vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but also have a strong pivot play as well. Our DFS Pros discuss player ownership and which stacks will be over-owned and under-owned. Keep an eye on injuries to players like Stefon Diggs. If he is out you can give a bump to Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook. Listen below and get ready to win big.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

WEEK ONE NFL DFS GAMEDAY GUIDE: ALL YOU NEED TO PREPARE

-Join our Sunday Freeroll!

-Week One NFL DFS DraftKings Cheatsheet

-Full NFL DFS Week One Sunday Slate Preview and Game Breakdowns

-GPP Picks of Destiny

-Week One NFL DFS Cash Game Guide

-Five Key Injuries for DFS Players to Consider

–Touches and Targets Report and Outlooks

–Seasonal Start ‘Em and Sit ‘Em

–Week One NFL DFS Stacks

-RB Breakdown and Picks

WR Breakdown and Picks

-QB Breakdown and Picks

-Week One NFL TE and Defense Primer

Thank you for listening to the Week One NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Week One NFL DFS Podcast and Full Gameday Guide

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Our Founder “The Half a Million Dollar Man” Jason Mezrahi and DFS Pro David Jones. a major tournament winner and multiple time live finalist, break down every Week 1 game from DFS perspectives. They discuss a solid GPP approach and go through their favorite team and game stacks.

REGISTER FOR PREMIUM GOLD AND GET ONE ON ONE GAMEDAY ADVICE FROM OUR TOP EXPERTS!

Listen to Jason Mezrahi and Matt Striker on the WIN DAILY SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Show Saturday Nights from 11 pm to 1 am ET and always available on demand!

Week One NFL DFS Podcast: Game Previews and Picks for Week One

Jason and David look through the full field of Week One plays on FanDuel. They lay out their favorite stacks and both like the matchup of the San Francisco 49ers vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Our DFS Pros discuss player ownership and which stacks will be over-owned and under-owned. Keep an eye on injuries to players like Stefon Diggs. If he is out you can give a bump to Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook. Listen below and get ready to win big.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

WEEK ONE NFL DFS GAMEDAY GUIDE: ALL YOU NEED TO PREPARE

-Join our Sunday Freeroll!

-Week One NFL DFS DraftKings Cheatsheet

-Full NFL DFS Week One Sunday Slate Preview and Game Breakdowns

-GPP Picks of Destiny

-Week One NFL DFS Cash Game Guide

-Five Key Injuries for DFS Players to Consider

–Touches and Targets Report and Outlooks

–Seasonal Start ‘Em and Sit ‘Em

–Week One NFL DFS Stacks

-RB Breakdown and Picks

WR Breakdown and Picks

-QB Breakdown and Picks

-Week One NFL TE and Defense Primer

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Week 1 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s finally Week 1 of the NFL and I’m looking at what can sometimes be the last two pieces you plug into your NFL DFS lineups – tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs). There’s plenty to discuss, so let’s dive right in!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here!Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Cash Game Plays

ZachErtz, PHI vs. WAS

FD($7,100) DK ($6,100)

Ertz caught the second-most passes of anyplayer last year (116) and saw 156 targets. He’s in a great Week 1matchup and is a consensus top 3 TE in every possible format. There may beample reasons to enumerate the many attributes of some of the remaining TEs in thisrundown, but I shouldn’t cloud your mind with too many competing thoughts in mycash game recommendations. Ertz is top dog this week in cash.

EvanEngram, NYG at DAL

FD($6,400) DK ($4,800)

Engram is the best receiver available on the Giants and they are going to inundate him with targets against the Cowboys are just middle-of-the-road when it comes to defending opposing TEs. The third-year TE had a TD in each of his games vs. Dallas in 2018 and offers a little more safety than Travis Kelce and O.J. Howard, with just a tad less upside.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at JAX

FD(7,800) DK ($7,100)

The tough matchup willkeep a chunk of the field away and that’s what we want for a guy with this muchupside – especially in a game with a 51.5 total. I’ll tolerate some risk at myTE spot because there’s a shot to play both – and I’ll have a lot of exposureto a Kelce-Ertz combo on both sites, since they could both score three TDs andmake incredible value just under the price point of stud RBs.

GeorgeKittle, SF at TB

FD($7,300) DK ($6,600)

Traditional ownership inGPPs dictates that the better value with the lower risk gets taken, so Kittlemakes perfect sense as a GPP pivot from Ertz, who’s cheaper on both sites.Kittle is a one-man offensive powerhouse who can take over a game with 200 yardsand score 2-3 TDs, so he’s a fine GPP play in Week 1 facing the relatively weakBucs defensive unit.

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. IND

FD ($6,100) DK (3,900)

There’s just a ton of upside to Henry’s 2019 season, and it all starts in Week 1 facing the Colts. He’s blessed with a capable, adventurous QB in Philip Rivers (who has a history of torrid love affairs with his TEs), caught eight TDs as a rookie in 2016 (the fourth-highest mark for a rookie tight end in NFL history) spent a year in an expanded role while out-targeting Antonio Gates, and then missed the entire 2018 regular season with a torn ACL. Low projected ownership and a prime matchup make him a solid GPP play this week.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Punt Plays

MarkAndrews, BAL at MIA

FD($5,400) DK ($3,000)

Andrews emerged as a viable TE option in 2018 and promises to once again be a useful safety valve for Lamar Jackson. There’s not an overwhelming sense of limitless upside with Andrews from a season-long perspective (and I think most folks who drafted him would be happy with Top 10 numbers), but the Dolphins LBs are an inexperienced unit at risk of giving up huge numbers to opposing TEs. Andrews is a cost-effective way to fit in a bunch of solid RBs and WRs, though you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs.

DelanieWalker, TEN at CLE

FD($5,400) DK ($3,500)

Walker makes for an interesting GPP play at just $5,400 on FD, and he qualifies as a punt for his low salary on DK. Walker probably has a little more upside than Andrews but the three-time Pro Bowler makes plenty of sense as a lower-risk option heading into a Week 1 contest that might be a little more lopsided than expected and have the Titans playing from behind. Walker played just one game in 2018 (dislocated ankle) and will look to rebound with a big Week 1, and Jonnu Smith isn’t much of a threat to his targets.

Additional GPP/Punt options:

Will Dissly, SEA vs CIN (FD $4,000, DK $2,900)

Tyler Eifert, CIN at SEA (DK $3,100)

Darren Waller, OAK vs. DEN (FD $4,800, DK $3,000)

Week 1 NFL DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BaltimoreRavens (BAL at MIA)

FD($5,400) DK ($3,800)

The Ravens lost some defensive starters in LB C.J. Mosley and DL Willie Henry, and there’s been some question as to the effectiveness of their pass rush, but they remain a perennial powerhouse and there’s no easier team to pick on in cash games than the Dolphins. Since Miami is a team in turmoil, Baltimore is the consensus top defense in the weekly rankings and there’s plenty of value to be found throughout the rest of the roster, so it’s no problem looking at the Ravens this week, even as the highest-priced DST on both sites.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. WAS)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,600)

There’s plenty of appeal to both the Ravens and this Eagles unit in GPPs, since there’s plenty of opportunity to differentiate our lineups elsewhere. But the goal of cash games is to limit risk and maximize cost – and there’s just not a lot of difference cost-wise between the top and bottom defenses. Philly is still running the Jim Schwartz system of constant pressure and this group is a fine blend of experience and youth. They are deep, they are talented, and they are home in Week 1 to face the paltry Redskins. Don’t overthink it.

Week1 DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR at CAR)

FD($4,400) DK ($3,200)

There’s a considerable drop after the top couple ranked DSTs this week, so they’ll be my only cash game recommendations, but the Rams are a formidable unit facing a much more potent offense. Whether Carolina’s Cam Newton is 100 percent is the main factor in the Rams making most of my GPP builds, and if I’ll look to some of the following options as a pivot. With that said, the Rams are a consensus Top 12 defense this week and the team’s offensive prowess sometimes forces opponents into silly mistakes (30 takeaways last season). This is where you can capitalize in GPPs. They offer relatively low ownership because of the higher price, but they’re still a few bucks cheaper than the elite DSTs, so they make sense as last-piece fit.

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. CIN)

FD($4,500) DK ($3,100)

Plenty of question marks surround the newer pieces (ZiggyAnsah and Jadeveon Clowney) in the Seahawks front seven and All-Pro safety EarlThomas is out the door – so DFS players could look at this unit with sometrepidation and steer clear in Week 1. But the Bengals are a team without itsstar WR for the first few games and I know that Scott Engel would beannoyed if I didn’t acknowledge his squad’s upside in this cushy spot and justhow good these linebackers and lineman can be in 2019.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE vs. TEN)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Browns are a couple years removed from being a laughingstock, and this play might not be all that contrarian with the DST’s cost down. But Cleveland had 31 takeaways last season (17 INTs and 14 FRs) and should be an improved unit in 2019. The Titans aren’t too much of a threat to score 25+ points and a Nick Chubb/Browns DST game script could be a decent starting point in GPP builds.

NewYork Jets (NYJ vs. BUF)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Bills and Jets defenses both feel a lot like the sameamount of risk and upside, so this should be a fun Week 1 contest to watch. It’llbe even more fun if you click the Jets into your DFS lineups and they force abunch of turnovers from Josh Allen and the dubious Bills offense. The Jets unitis a risk, because they’re susceptible to the big play, but the flip side is thepositive variance they offer. I’ve seen them as high as second on some Week 1 rankingsand as low as 30^th – the definition of a GPP option.

Week1 DST Punt Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC vs. IND)

FD($4,000) DK ($3,000)

The Chargers are cheap, they get to the opposing QB, andthey have plenty of upside facing a Colts team without Andrew Luck. I’mcomfortable going here in Week 1 for this affordable cost.

SanFrancisco 49ers (SF at TB)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,200)

The 49ers are loaded with talented defensive lineman but have a weak LB corps, and they don’t stand out as particularly safe facing the Bucs in Tampa Bay. But if you’ve got to make it work with just a few bucks left in salary cap, they make plenty of sense. The biggest area of concern for the 49ers this season is +/ in turnovers, where they ranked last in the league at -25 in 2018. The addition of Nick Bosa, however, promises to change some of that and Week 1 is a fine place to take advantage of the cost savings this improving unit offers.

TampaBay Buccaneers (TB vs. SF)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,200)

The Bucs were second-to-last in turnover differential last season and offer a similar risk-reward scenario in Week 1 facing the 49ers. I could see easily see pick-sixes for both teams and a 20-17 final score, which would be an acceptable outcome given the variance at DST and our aim at providing a modicum of upside without overwhelming risk.

Zach Ertz featured image via Jason Peters.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

NFL Season Week 1 DFS: Main Slate Preview

adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by adam.sardinha1@gmail.com

Well, we had fun playing preseason DFS, but it is time to move on to Week 1 DFS. The regular season for the NFL starts this week! We will go through each matchup game by game, and I will give my best buys and fades.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections,
weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Get started today! And don’t forget to check out the cheat sheet!

RAMS AT PANTHERS

Jared Goff on the road for Week 1 DFS? No thanks. His road splits are absolutely terrifying from last year compared to his games at home. His home TD-INT ratio last season was 22-3. On the road: 10-9. His yards/attempt fall from 9 to 7.5, and his passing yards per game falls from 342 to 243. He is an easy fade to go along with Brandin Cooks. His numbers fall off drastically on the road, going from 6.6 receptions and 95 receiving yards at home to 3.4 receptions and 55 receiving yards on the road. I do think that Robert Woods is viable in cash as the numbers are virtually the same road/home and he benefitted the most when Cooper Kupp missed time. Off the injury, Kupp is the GPP play because he won’t be heavily owned.

The chalk in this game will most definitely be the receivers on the Panthers. Both Curtis Samuel and D.J. Moore will be heavily owned because of their offseason hype and low price. That makes a stud like Christian McCaffery an easy target to pay up for a running back in both cash and GPPs. Then come back with Todd Gurley who surely will be low-owned after this tumultuous offseason. Additionally to move off the chalk, look at Greg Olsen who should see plenty of targets as Cam Newton’s go-to receiver. The Rams allowed the most-targets to the tight end position last season.

REDSKINS AT EAGLES

Searching for a Week 1 DFS defense? Look no further than the Eagles defense at home against the Redskins porous offense. Carson Wentz should definitely be considered a quarterback to play in cash games as well. Wentz last season averaged 296 passing yards in games at home with a 10-3 TD-INT ratio versus 259 passing yards on the road with an 11-4 TD-INT ratio. In his three starts against the Redskins at home in his career, Wentz has averaged 296 passing yards, 2.3 touchdowns, and one interception. So who should you stack with Wentz from a skill position standpoint? All signs point to Zach Ertz. In the last four home games against the Redskins, Ertz has averaged 11 targets, 9 receptions, 106 receiving yards. Wide receiver DeSean Jackson is in play for Week 1 DFS, and against the Redskins (his former team) he is a perfect pairing with Wentz and Ertz.

An interesting tidbit about Jackson for Week 1 DFS. Outside of 2017 and 2015 where he did not play Week 1 or was hurt, Jackson’s numbers are astounding for Week 1 throughout his career. He has five 100-yard receiving games during Week 1 and has received at least nine targets in seven Week 1 contests. Jackson also has that swagger factor that you can buy into with the #revengegame narrative. Last year against the Eagles, Jackson went 4-4 for 129 receiving yards with a touchdown, and in 2016 as a member of the Redskins, Jackson had seven receptions for 157 yards with a touchdown in two games against the Eagles.

As for the Redskins, everybody is cheap for a reason, because this offense projects to be one of the NFL’s worst. Behind a terrible offensive line, don’t expect the Redskins to stretch the field at all so expect check-downs to guys like Trey Quinn. Case Keenum has had success targeting slot receivers at a very high rate.

https://twitter.com/adamlevitan/status/1168712131522568192

BILLS AT JETS

This is another game that I am looking to fade outside the defense/special teams. The Bills have a solid pass defense, which puts a damper on Sam Darnold having value where he is priced. Additionally, though Le’Veon Bell will be low-owned he is still a fade for me. The reason being is the last time Bell held out and came back he started slow. In 2017, after his first holdout, Bell held out his first two games he rushed 37 times for 119 yards and had seven receptions for 19 receiving yards. After a slow start, Bell will be the perfect buy-low candidate in standard redraft leagues.

The only Bills player to consider is a wide receiver, John Brown. The Jets do not have a good secondary and they allowed the second-most fantasy points to the receiver position last season. Remember Robert Foster exploded in two games versus the Jets last season. He combined for seven receptions for 209 receiving yards. One of their cornerbacks, Trumaine Johnson, is also dealing with a hamstring injury.

Robby Anderson is also questionable Week 1 with a calf injury so that could create large target distribution for Jamison Crowder in the slot as a low-end wide receiver to target at a cheap cost.

https://twitter.com/MichaelFFlorio/status/1166905543664918529

FALCONS AT VIKINGS

Here’s a game that is not generating enough buzz to attack in GPPs. Julio Jones against Xavier Rhodes ,who is coming off his worst season to date? Sign me all up for that. I will take the upside with Julio who could #Kaboom at any single point. With that in mind, playing Matt Ryan as the eighth cheapest quarterback on the slate also makes a ton of sense, especially with the perceived notion that he could struggle against an “elite” Vikings defense. If Ryan is in a dome, it’s like he is playing at home. Austin Hooper at tight end is absolutely dirt cheap in a high-powered offense and should be played in both cash and GPPs. He averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game on the road last season.

https://twitter.com/SharpFootball/status/1165324062282919936

https://twitter.com/PFF_Sam/status/1166051517843070984

As for the Vikings, the lock of the slate in cash games at running back needs to be Dalvin Cook. Not only have the Vikings made it quite known how much they want to run the football this season, but they backed it up in the preseason. The Vikings led the preseason in rushing yards/game and were second in rushing attempts/game. And everybody knows that the Falcons continuously funnel targets to the running backs in the passing game. Over the past two seasons, no team has allowed more receptions to the running back position than the Atlanta Falcons. Cook is going to smash Week 1. The Vikings offensively should also feature a heavy condensed target share to both Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. So feature Matt Ryan and Julio Jones just to bring it back with Diggs. *Update* Diggs is dealing with a hamstring injury and has notoriously struggled to play well when on the injury report the week prior. Fade Diggs and have confidence in the consolidated target share that should go to Thielen.

CHIEFS AT JAGUARS

One of the sneakier games on the slate, the Jaguars are a team that might be undervalued. Nick Foles has shown that he is more than capable of exposing bad defenses. The Chiefs defense on the road last season allowed the most passing yards per game (325.4) in the entire NFL. Stacking Foles with the likes of Westbrook looks like a match made in Week 1 DFS heaven.

Leonard Fournette is also a great pivot play off of Dalvin Cook. Similarly priced, but Fournette will be much less owned despite the Chiefs being a team that struggles to defend the run. Fournette is also entering the game fully healthy (shocker) and there’s no one on the depth chart to garner touches from him. The former Jaguar T.J. Yeldon went for eight receptions for 69 yards and a touchdown the last time the Jaguars faced the Chiefs in 2018.

https://twitter.com/JhawkChalk89/status/1168723033248473089

As for the Chiefs, because they are playing the Jaguars on the road they will probably see a dip in ownership despite the fact that Patrick Mahomes has a ceiling that is higher than any other quarterback. Mahomes is a quarterback to look for in GPPs and with so much value at running back, you can afford to stack him with Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill in Week 1 DFS.

TITANS AT BROWNS

The only player I would want to use from the Titans is Delanie Walker. He is Mariota’s go-to guy and the Browns allowed the most-targets to the tight end position last season. Everybody else from Derrick Henry to Corey Davis needs to be faded. They are not great plays this week against a much-improved Browns defense.

The Browns DST should definitely be considered in Week 1 DFS because the Titans are missing their starting left tackle. Myles Garrett could be unleashed in Week 1. Against the number one defense vs.running backs last season, Nick Chubb for me is another player to pivot off Dalvin Cook in GPPs. If you decide to pay up for wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. is a great option here. I am not convinced that Malcolm Butler can cover him. Butler improved down the stretch at the back-half of last year, but don’t forget during the first eight weeks of the season Butler was allowing a 140.6 passer rating. *Update* Beckham is dealing with a hip injury so if he is limited guys that could benefit include Rashard Higgins and David Njoku. The TE could see a massive touchdown upside shift if Beckham is not at full-speed.

RAVENS AT DOLPHINS

Watch out for the Dolphins in this matchup. Virtually everybody across the board will be picking the Ravens in this game, but there is a reason to not be so sure. Road teams tend to struggle on the road in Miami early in September. That Miami heat! Miami has not lost at home in September since 2015. So as a super contrarian defensive play consider the Dolphins D/ST that is bottom-of-the-barrel cheap on DraftKings. I think Lamar Jackson because of his rushing will put up solid fantasy stats, but can be turnover prone.

Albert Wilson is the best upside play at receiver for the Dolphins. With Ryan Fitzpatrick under center don’t be surprised with Wilson becoming his go-to guy from the slot. I expect outside receivers like DeVante Parker to struggle in this matchup against the tougher perimeter cornerbacks on the Ravens.

https://twitter.com/ScottBarrettDFB/status/1168337925223931904

COLTS AT CHARGERS

Looking for a sleeper tight end? Well, both Eric Ebron, Jack Doyle, and Mo Alie-Cox could have the potential chances to score multiple touchdowns in this matchup. The Chargers defense does not have Derwin James and last season allowed the most red-zone targets to the tight end position. Jacoby Brisset will never be cheaper than he is this week on DraftKings ($4,400). He can unlock a lot of studs into your lineups. Especially if you stack him with Ebron or Alie-Cox. Neither of those guys will have high ownership.

Looking to the other side Hunter Henry is another great play at tight end. The Colts allowed the third-most fantasy points to the tight end last year. He will be chalky in GPPs. That being said the offensive line is a concern so fade Phillip Rivers because his upside is just not there. Focus on the core players in Austin Ekeler. Melvin Gordon is not going to play in this game so it’s extremely difficult to beat Ekeler at his discounted price as the projected leader in touches. Keenan Allen has a tougher matchup against one of the better slot cornerbacks in the NFL: Kenny Moore. Moore ranked allowed the third-lowest passer rating when targeted in the slot last season.

https://twitter.com/evansilva/status/1167893223936679938

BENGALS AT SEAHAWKS

The Seahawks defense with the newly acquired Jadevon Clowney? Sign me up! The Bengals offensive line does not look to be much improved from the last season and will face a tough test on the road against the Seahawks. In terms of targets in the passing game, guys like Tyler Lockett and Tyler Boyd are the primary leaders on their respective offenses. Both come in at medium salary prices making them attractive for cash games.

With the Seahawks heavy favorites at home, Chris Carson also looks to be in a smash spot against a defense that allowed the third-most fantasy points to backs in 2018 and has done virtually nothing to improve since last year. And with the hype of Carson getting work in the passing game he could have an even higher ceiling.

Tight end Will Dissly is an interesting dart throw at tight end: The Bengals were the worst team in 2018 versus the tight end position. Last year he blew up Weeks 1 and 2 (six receptions for 147 yards and two touchdowns). Don’t forget about Joe Mixon. The Seahawks defense allowed the sixth-most receptions, third-most receiving yards, third-most receiving touchdowns to running backs.

https://twitter.com/TACanevari/status/1168851354086977536

49ERS AT BUCCANEERS

Another game that should very popular from a game stack point of view, I think both quarterbacks are in play from either format. Both defenses are horrific on paper. The Buccaneers players will be much more chalky making them better options in cash than in GPPs. For the 49ers fade George Kittle. When these two teams played last year, the Buccaneers held Kittle to just 15 yards after the catch in 2018; his second-lowest output of the season; despite 12 targets in the game.

The player I am buying on the 49ers offense is Deebo Samuel. Jalen Hurd is not playing and the 49ers just released wide receiver, Jordan Matthews. And even though the Dante Pettis and Marquise Goodwin have been named the starters for Week 1 do ya’ll remember who produced Week 1 last season? It was Pettis, who was third on the depth chart like Samuel is now. I think Samuel is just the perfect fit in the Kyle Shanahan offense as a YAC machine. Last season in their first four games the Buccaneers allowed six players to go over 60 yards from just YAC. Matt Breida is an interesting target as running back against the Buccaneers as well. Breida owned the second-highest receiving grade at running back via PFF in 2018

GIANTS AT COWBOYS

Buy the Cowboys defense. This unit is quickly becoming one of the leagues’ bests and against Eli Manning, it’s hard to not be licking your chops. Outside of Saquon Barkley in cash games, I am staying far away from the Giants offense. I do think Dak Prescott provides a nice floor against the Giants as a quarterback to look for in cash games. Elliott would need to absolutely smash at his price and with so many other options it’s probably not worth rostering him.

LIONS AT CARDINALS

The game that we have all been waiting for: Welcome to the NFL Kyler Murray. For me, I am fading the Cardinals quarterback and receivers in favor of David Johnson in GPPs. I am very confident in starting a combination of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and Danny Amendola. The Cardinals secondary is missing Patrick Peterson and can easily be exposed. Kerryon Johnson is also another player that could be a difference in a GPP as the Cardinals run defense is just as bad as their pass defense. No team allowed more rushing attempts, more rushing yards, or more rushing touchdowns than the Cardinals did in 2018.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

9/5 NFL DFS Podcast: Thursday Showdown Picks, Week 1 WR Rundown

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Fantasy Expert Brandon C. Williams review and recommend WRs for the main Sunday NFL slate. First, they provide the best picks for the Packers-Bears Showdown games on the 9/5 NFL DFS Podcast.

9/5 DFS Podcast NFL: Thursday Night Showdown Picks

Scott and Brandon look through the full field of picks for the Packers-Bears showdown slate. Is either QB a viable play? What RBs will serve you best? Consider the defenses and a kicker as well.

9/5 NFL DFS Podcast – Sunday WRs

Odell Beckham Jr. will be worth the spend. It may be a very busy day for Adam Thielen. DeSean Jackson and Michael Gallup are prime value plays.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Thank you for listening to the 9/5 NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts