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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candi...

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 8 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candida...

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 2 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see last week’s TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 2 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 2 NFL DFS Chalk: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,600)

Pivot: Antonio Gibson (FD $12,500, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Taylor Heinicke (FD $14,500, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Terry McLaurin (FD $12,000, DK $13,500)

Contrarian #3: Sterling Shepard (FD $11,500, DK $12,000)

We don’t have an obvious chalk play at captain for this week’s showdown, but when the final tallies are in, it’s likely to be one of the two starting QBs. Both Daniel Jones and Taylor Heinicke have high ceilings and low floors, and while it’s rare that we focus on a RB in the top spot in showdowns, this might be the week to give Antonio Gibson the opportunity to carry us to victory. It’s also a week where leaving a large amount of salary on the table shouldn’t concern us too much.

Giants notes: Even against a solid Broncos defense, Jones tallied 22.38 DK points. His 267-1-0 passing line was inefficient but his fantasy total got a boost from a 27 rushing yards and a rushing TD, also tempered by a lost fumble — something that continually plagues the third-year QB. This week, he’ll be without TE Evan Engram again, and reports of a limited Saquon Barkley could further complicate the Giants’ offensive outlook. While a full-strength Barkley is a player I’d be looking to force into my showdown lineups, I have almost no interest in paying full price for the guy in a reduced role. I’ll have some exposure, but I’m a lot more interested in getting shares of top target Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton, who’s done nothing but exceed expectations since he entered the league, even when he’s playing hurt. I’ll also find ways to get some exposure to a seemingly healthy Kenny Golladay, TE Kyle Rudolph, and backup RB Devontae Booker — especially if we get word he’ll assume a much larger workload. There’s a good chance that we get a negative game script where Booker sees a few extra targets in the passing game.

Washington notes: Some of my builds will immediately start off locking in Heinicke/Gibson with WR Terry McLaurin, and I’ll have a few more that add in TE Logan Thomas, a top 10 fantasy tight end who had just three targets last week but should normally be seeing 6-8 on a weekly basis. I don’t view McLaurin as a must-play in this particular matchup, but he does have a high ceiling. If you’re playing cash games, we can probably finalize an ideal build without spending up for the highest-priced WR in the contest. I’ll have the most shares of Gibson, and there’s an easy path to some formidable lineups that start with Gibson/Thomas and then focus on the Giants passing game. In some large-field GPPs where maximizing salary is less of an issue, it’s a good idea to mix in some Gibson/Thomas/Washington DST with a kicker and a couple Giants pass catchers. Dyami Brown saw four targets in his NFL debut but caught just one pass for -2 yards, and there’s always veteran WR Adam Humphries, who I actually liked better with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Still — Humphries and even WR Cam Sims are relatively cheap and could make for a final piece in your builds.

Week 2 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar. With Saquon Barkley possibly seeing a reduced workload, there’s plenty of value out there (and a wide enough range of outcomes that don’t prominently feature both QBs having huge days) where you can get a little weird

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Tread too much in the sub-$1K range this week. I’ve looked it over and there’s just not a lot there to get excited about.

Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Daniel Jones
  2. Antonio Gibson
  3. Taylor Heinicke
  4. Logan Thomas
  5. Sterling Shepard
  6. Terry McLaurin
  7. Darius Slayton
  8. Kenny Golladay
  9. Saquon Barkley (questionable, could be limited)
  10. Washington DST
  11. Devontae Booker
  12. Dustin Hopkins
  13. Adam Humphries
  14. Kyle Rudolph
  15. Graham Gano
  16. Giants DST
  17. J.D. McKissic
  18. Dyami Brown
  19. Cam Sims
  20. Kadarius Toney

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 8 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $18,000, FD $16,500)

Pivot: Ronald Jones (DK $13,200, FD $13,000)

Contrarian #1: Daniel Jones (DK $13,800, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #2: Darius Slayton (DK $10,500, FD $12,000)

Once again, the chalk – and likely a very heavy chalk – will be Tom Brady, who seems to be making a fine second home for himself among the myriad weapons in Tampa Bay. As much as the philosophies of HCs Bill Belichick and Bruce Arians may differ, he’s finding success with a few of the same ingredients: a fluid but talented group of receivers and backs, a defense that’s providing him with excellent opportunities and the luxury of patience, and an emphasis on protecting the ball and taking what the opposing team gives you. The best way to tackle this showdown may be to find our differentiation in the flex spots rather than get crazy contrarian at captain.

One of the weapons available to Brady this season will be Antonio Brown, but he’s not eligible to play until Week 9. With Chris Godwin (broken finger) out this week, we’re left with the uber-talented Mike Evans, TE Rob Gronkowski and Scotty Miller (hip, groin) as Brady’s main receiving weapons.

But just like in Week 5, my favorite pivot is probably Ronald Jones – who’s a much less risky play these days given how integral he is to the early down running game. In a matchup against the Giants that may get out of hand quickly, he’s the best bet to salt away the game with chunky gains and pile up the yardage.

If the Giants can keep things close, we could see some impactful plays from Leonard Fournette, who Arians recently labeled his “nickel” running back after he led the Bucs backfield with 40 snaps in Week 7 against the Raiders. We could certainly consider using Fournette as a pivot from Jones – or even alongside RJ2 in a few large-field GPPs.

For the Gaints, I’m narrowing my focus to Daniel Jones, WRs Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard, TE Evan Engram and a smattering of RBs Wayne Gallman and Dion Lewis. Given the effectiveness of the Bucs defense this season (and the viability of the Bucs DST as an option on DraftKings this week) I can’t imagine playing more than two Giants in many of these contests,

Golden Tate isn’t getting enough targets for him to be an essential part of my builds, but he’s certainly an option if you’re making hundreds of lineups.

Week 8 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Play four Giants and just two Bucs. The spread here heavily favors the Bucs and they should be doing most of the scoring tonight.

DO: Consider Leonard Fournette – who’s been seeing more action and has supplanted LeSean McCoy as the go-to passing game RB – and fringe options like rookie WR Tyler Johnson and TE Cameron Brate, even with Gronk on a tear lately.

DON’T: Get too cute and make many lineups without Tom Brady. You don’t have to use him up top, but i’’s hard to imagine a scenario where Brady doesn’t get 20+ fantasy points in this smash spot.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Tom Brady
  2. Ronald Jones
  3. Mike Evans
  4. Daniel Jones
  5. Darius Slayton
  6. Rob Gronkowski
  7. Scotty Miller
  8. Evan Engram
  9. Leonard Fournette
  10. Sterling Shepard
  11. Tyler Johnson
  12. Wayne Gallman
  13. Bucs DST
  14. Justin Watson
  15. Cameron Brate
  16. Dion Lewis
  17. Ryan Succop
  18. Golden Tate
  19. Graham Gano
  20. Giants DST
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The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in the first Week 7 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 7 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Carson Wentz (DK $16,200, FD $15,500)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (DK $15,600, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Darius Slayton (DK $13,800, FD $12,500)

Contrarian #2: DeSean Jackson (DK $8,700, FD $8,000)

While both the Giants and Eagles defenses have not been the teams’ main issues this season, it’s hard not to like both Carson Wentz and Daniel Jones in this showdown, and there are probably a few ways to fit both of them into your lineups – especially if we use one of the defenses in the hopes of a pick six. With all the injuries facing the Eagles, it’s not hard to see a low-salary player for them emerging with a viable fantasy performance and being worth the juice of using in the Captain spot on DraftKings.

On FanDuel, it’s going to be very hard to get away from Boston Scott at the still-depressed price of just $6,500 – although using him at CPT may not be advisable. Scott and Corey Clement are the Philly backs who’ll get the touches this week, with Scott in the starting role and Clement likely handling goal line work and about 8-10 touches. Both are capable of monster days if they get the proverbial “hot hand.”

DeSean Jackson is expected to make his return for the Eagles this week and could be an interesting CPT on DK, where he’s sub-$9K. Jackson headlines a group of capable receivers that has seen the emergence of Travis Fulgham in recent weeks. Fading the popular Fulgham might be one way to get some leverage on the field, especially since we don’t have any idea how much he’ll contribute with D-Jax back in the fold.

The Giants will rely on a slightly hobbled Darius Slayton, TE Evan Engram (great bounce-back candidate this week) and a relatively inexpensive Devonta Freeman (handling most of the touches at RB) to move the ball on offense, with Golden Tate checking in as a solid low-price option – especially if Slayton is rendered less effective because of the lingering foot injury. While Slayton doesn’t have an injury designation ahead of this matchup and has more multi-TD upside than probably any other non-QB on TNF, he’s still a risk. There’s even talk of activating Sterling Shepard (toe, just back from IR) before this game, but he’s still a GTD – so stay tuned.

Week 7 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Be afraid to play the Giants defense, especially since they have some playmakers, Wentz has been erratic, and the Eagles offense is pretty banged up.

DO: Check the injury report and chatter before lock to determine who’s healthy and who’s not. Football is one sport where players below 100 percent can be active and used as decoys.

DON’T: Forget about Eagles TE Richard Rodgers. He’s cheap and will be the starter with both Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert out.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Carson Wentz
  2. Daniel Jones
  3. Darius Slayton
  4. Boston Scott
  5. DeSean Jackson
  6. Evan Engram
  7. Devonta Freeman
  8. Travis Fulgham
  9. Golden Tate
  10.  Giants DST
  11.  Eagles DST
  12.  Richard Rodgers
  13.  Corey Clement
  14.  Graham Gano
  15.  Greg Ward
  16.  Jake Elliott
  17.  Dion Lewis
  18.  Sterling Shepard (GTD)
  19.  JJ Arcega-Whiteside
  20.  Jason Croom
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2020 New York Giants Bets and Props

Check out our breakdown of our favorite 2020 New York Giants Bets and Props on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Daniel Jones OVER 3800 yards | DraftKings

This one is a little contentious among the Win Daily Family, but when we dive into what Jones did last season and what the potential is this season it’s ripe for the over

He passed for 3,027 yards in 12 starts, with 24 TDs, 12 INTs, with 18 fumbles, losing 11. Outside of the 23 turnovers, these numbers are great. The Giants brought in some offensive line help through the draft in their first, third, and fifth round picks, and also brought in some veteran lineman. This might not sure up the offensive line, but the hope is it will be better. Jones was sacked 38 times last year, averaging over 3 a game.

Jones was also without a healthy Saquon Barkley for most of the season, arguable the most important piece to the Giants offense. He was also without oft injured tight end Evan Engram, who, when on the field, has elite talent.

If we take Jones’s season and push it to a 16 game average, he flies over the 3800 mark with about a game to spare. Jones now will have Jason Garrett as an offensive coordinator, who routinely put up great numbers when he was Dallas’ head coach and OC. In his 3 years as a full time OC in Dallas, all his teams ranked in the top half of the league in points getting as high as 2nd and passing yards within the top 10 each season.

With Saquon fully healthy (700+ yards receiving his rookie year, a better offensive line, and a better offensive coach this 3800 OVER should hit easy. But wait, there’s more! The Giants defense is dreadful and their schedule is very hard per many, many metrics. It is fair to assume that they will be down in most of the games they play and for some a majority of the time. This is another avenue for Jones to gain more pass attempts and more yards.

Lock in the OVER now on DraftKings Sportsbook!

Saquon OVER 1200 rushing yards | DraftKings

In each of Saquon Barkley’s first two seasons he eclipsed 1000 yards rushing the ball. Fully healthy, he was other worldly with over 1300 yards rushing and another 700+ receiving. Last year he missed a few games and really wasn’t himself until a few games into playing again.

This season should be more like the first assuming he is in good health. As said before, the offensive line should be improved, maybe not by leaps and bounds, but by something! Daniel Jones will also be able to extend drives long then Ol’ Eli, potentially leading to more carries for Saquon.

And again, Jason Garrett is great at clapping, but he’s also had some GREAT rushing offenses his years in Dallas. Since 2014, Garrett has had a top 10 rush offense every year and was in the top 5 4 out of 6 years. This bodes very well for Saquon in terms of rushing yards. He will get the attempts and hopefully a scheme that won’t just run him directly up the middle on every 1st & 10. I’m looking at you Pat Shurmur. Garrett has always had great offensive line play in Dallas, so here’s to hoping he can teach the Giants offensive line a thing or two.

I think there is a great shot at this OVER hitting and wouldn’t be surprised if you had a game or two to sit back and count your money. Make sure to lock it in right now on DraftKings Sportsbook!

Giants Total Wins UNDER 6.5 | DraftKings

While we have spent a lot of time here talking about why the offense should be better so Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley can rack up some yards, that doesn’t mean we think they will be go. One reason we think they will rack up so many yards, Jones in particular, is that the defense is really that bad.

Just a little context on how bad they were: they gave up less than 20 points two times last season, once to the Washington Redskins and once to the Chicago Bears and Mitchell Trubisky. They were 28th in passing yards against, and 30th in points against.

Over they offseason they released Alec Ogletree (addition by subtraction), added James Bradberry, Blake Martinez, and drafted Xavier McKinney. Each of these moves should help the defense, but by how much?

It also should be noted that they have one of the hardest Strength of Schedules based on a few different metrics. The one I like looking at is Warren Sharp’s based on the Vegas Win Totals for the upcoming season, rather than looking back. With this, the Giants have the 2nd hardest schedule in the NFL.

A bad defense, a hard schedule, and a not so great offensive line will lead this team down a dark path. Lock in the UNDER 6.5 win on DraftKings Sportsbook now!

Enjoyed the New York Giants Bets and Props, looking for more #SportsBetting content? Check out our Sports Betting tab on the Win Daily Sports website. Make sure to hop into the FREE Expert Discord Chat to discuss your favorite bets and DFS lineup construction.

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Brandon C. Williams and Antonio D’Arcangelis look back at the Week 3 performances of Daniel Jones and Kyle Allen while also getting an early jump on the best options at quarterback for Week 4. The duo also share their best waiver wire plays for Week 4 on the 9/24 Fantasy Podcast.

Fantasy Football Podcast: Just how good is Jacoby Brissett? Is Philip Rivers an easy Cash Game play against the Dolphins?

Is the Panthers-Texans game a slugfest between Kyle Allen and Deshaun Watson? With Russell Wilson scoring Fantasy points at will, has he established himself as the top Fantasy QB not named Patrick Mahomes? Speaking of Mahomes, he and the Chiefs visit the Lions. The waiver wire has Giants RB Wayne Gallman and Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman topping the list on the 9/24 Fantasy Podcast.

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Thank you for listening to the Fantasy Football Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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The Kiddie Corps of Kyle Allen and Daniel Jones defined the state of QB play in Week 3. As the Week 4 DFS QB Picks column starts rolling, expect the big boys to step and deliver.

As usual, we’re focusing on the main slate, so Eagles-Packers (Carson Wentz v. Aaron Rodgers) on Thursday night and Dak Prescott (Cowboys-Saints on Sunday night) won’t get a lot of focus.

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Week 4 DFS QB Picks – Cash Game Passers

1) Phillip Rivers, LAC at MIA

DK ($6,200), FD ($7,800) 

Any quarterback is a Cash Game play against the Dolphins, who allow 36.36 Fantasy points per game to opposing passers. Rivers was sacked five times in the loss to the Texans on Sunday and remains 0-fer since 2015 when he has attempted more than 40 passes.

This will be the week where Rivers gets his air yards per attempt healthy. He’s sitting at 3.0, nearly a yard less from last season. Look for his 7.8 passing yards after catch per completion to get fat as well.

2) Deshaun Watson, HOU vs. CAR

DK ($6,400), FD ($8,200) 

Like Rivers, Watson is getting 7.8 yards after catch per completion. He’s also been blitzed 10 times per game, yet his 7.7 yards per scramble is making defenders pay dearly. An underrated sign of a potential breakout is that Watson has cut down on his bad throw percentage, paring it to 12.9% after after last season’s 16.6%

Carolina remains an above-average defense when it comes to Fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, yet are 30th in rushing yards allowed per game to opposing passers. That’s a strong sign that Watson could rack up 40-50 rushing yards and a score in a game that will be more offensive friendly than advertised.

3) Dak Prescott, DAL at NO (Sunday Night)

DK ($6,300), FD ($8,400) 

Gotta add him here if you’re playing the full Sunday slate. Saints are 30th in QB-friendly Fantasy production, with them allowing a combined 348.7 yards and 3.3 TDs per game from them. This will be a track meet that makes Prescott a strong CG play for another week.

3) Jacoby Brissett, IND vs. OAK

DK ($5,400), FD ($7,300) 

Count on Brissett to continue the upward trend of his Fantasy output. He posted 20.8 Fantasy points last week and hit 8.4 yards per attempt with another multi-TD passing performance. Oakland is 22nd in Fantasy points per game allowed to opposition passers while allowing 295 yards per game.

Brissett completes nearly 72 percent of his passes, and I’m all-in with his 121 TD%+ rate. Andrew Luck he’s not, but Brissett is a subtle assassin that will be a bargain about Week 4 DFS QB Picks.

4) Matthew Stafford, DET vs. KC

DK ($5,500), FD ($6,900) 

Stafford let a lot of his down with his lackluster effort against the Eagles, but I have just enough blind faith in him to again offer him as a Cash Game passer. He’s getting a solid 12.4 yards per completion and his 7.7 average depth of target will play well, especially with rookie TE T.J. Hockenson, who faces a Chiefs defense that is 27th in Fantasy points allowed per game to opposing TEs.

The Lions have been sure-handed thus, as Stafford has had just two of his 107 attempts dropped. He’s produced 5.9 air yards per pass completion and I think he’ll be up to the task of matching up with Patrick Mahomes in what should be a game on heavy stack alert.

5) Russell Wilson, SEA at ARI

DK ($6,100), FD ($7,800) 

I don’t suspect Wilson will attempt 50 passes this week, but he should come close to the 27.4 Fantasy points per game he has averaged thus far. Wilson is getting 9.9 yards per completion and has averaged 300 yards per game without throwing an interception in 105 attempts.

The Cardinals are 29th in Fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks and have given up a league-high 47 rushing yards per game to opposing passers. I can see 310-320 yards passing and at least one rushing score of out of Wilson.

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Week 3 DFS QB Picks – GPP Passers

1) Patrick Mahomes, KC at DET

DK ($7,500), FD ($8,400) 

News flash: The Lions are eighth in Fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks. That’s not hot dog water considering that Phillip Rivers and Carson Wentz are among the pivots (Canadian term) they’ve faced. Of all of his PlayStation-level numbers, it’s Mahomes’ 9.6 yards after the catch per completion — without Tyreek Hill — that’s most impressive.

2) Daniel Jones, NYG vs. WAS

DK ($5,300), FD ($7,300) 

You know they’re going to throw the ball now that Saquan Barkley is out until perhaps after Thanksgiving. Jones is a strong value play against a Washington defense that is almost as Fantasy QB-friendly as the Dolphins. giving up 34.29 FP per game. Much of his 13.6 YAC per completion came from Evan Engram, but against a team that allows three TD passes per game and 25 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, I’d be willing to play Jones in a lineup or two.

3) Tom Brady, NE at BUF

DK ($6,600), FD ($7,800) 

Tommy hasn’t been so Terrific against the Bills recently, posting a 3:4 TD:INT rate in his past four games against them. His yards per attempt have bounced from 8.60 to 5.25 YPA in the same span. He’s here because the Pats’ run game is inconsistent, which means he’ll throw around 30-35 times. There’s risk, as the Bills are sixth overall in limiting Fantasy points to opposing QBs.

4) Jared Goff, LAR vs. TB

DK ($6,300), FD ($7,700) 

Let’s not give Goff too many slices of the Pie of Blame. He’s had five dropped passes already after having 13 last season. His air yards per completion is cut more than half, while his average depth per target is almost split in two. The Buccaneers got shredded by a rookie QB last week. and Goff has way too much firepower to continue languishing as an afterthought.

5) Aaron Rodgers, GB vs. PHI (Thursday Night)

DK ($6,000), FD ($7,700) 

The better of the two QBs for Showdown formats. The Eagles still allow 300 yards per game and Rodgers is too damn good to go a fourth straight game under 15 Fantasy points.

6) Carson Wentz, PHI at GB (Thursday Night)

DK ($5,600), FD ($7,700) 

Likely another game without DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffrey. Yes, the seven drops in the loss to the Lions is crippling to his numbers, but how much longer will we dodge the question of whether we’ve been sold a bag of goods on how great Wentz is supposed to be. He’s likely Matthew Stafford when everyone wants him to be Tom Brady.

7) Matt Ryan, ATL vs. TEN

DK ($5,900), FD ($7,900) 

The interceptions (six) remain an issue, but he did get past the 20 FP barrier in the loss to the Colts. I’ll keep waiting for his average depth per target to get beyond his current 6.6. They’re not dropping ball in the ATL, as Ryan has had just two of his 123 attempts plop out of his receivers’ hands. I’ll bet this is a high-scoring affair with Ryan outslugging Marcus Mariota.

8) Jameis Winston, TB @ LAR

DK ($5,700), FD ($7,500) 

Good Number: Has averaged 384 yards and 2.5 TDs in two previous games against the Rams.

Bad Number: Uh, Jameis…about that 2.5 air yards per pass attempt…

9) Kyler Murray, ARI vs. SEA

DK ($6,000), FD ($7,600) 

Good Number: He’s averaging 45.6 attempts per game.

Bad Number: The 2.86 yards per attempt against the Panthers makes me sleep with the lights on.

10) Baker Mayfield, CLE at BAL

DK ($5,800), FD ($7,500)

Good Number: A 7.4 YAC per completion is due to rise once he snaps out of his early season funk.

Bad Number: 11.3 Fantasy points per game does not scream “Breakout Star.”

 

Week 4 DFS QB Picks – Value and Punt Passers

1) Andy Dalton, CIN at PIT (Monday Night)

DK ($5,200), FD ($7,100) 

Decreasing Fantasy points per game since Week 1. Steelers are giving up 306 yards and 2.3 TDs to opposing passers, so Dalton could get Captain’s status for Showdown.

2) Derek Carr, OAK at IND

DK ($5,300), FD ($7,100) 

Colts are 28th vs. opposing TEs, so this should be a good outing for Darren Waller. His production could boost Carr into the outer edge of GPP performers.

3) Kyle Allen, CAR at HOU

DK ($5,200), FD ($6,800) 

If Allen can get his WRs involved, he makes for a sleeper play. The Texans are 26th in Fantasy points per game allowed to opposing wideouts.

4) Marcus Mariota, TEN at ATL

DK ($5,100), FD ($6,900) 

Hovering at under 61% completion rate, but he hasn’t thrown an interception in 90 attempts and his running skills on a fast track at Mercedes-Benz Stadium makes him intriguing.

5) Josh Allen, BUF vs. NE

DK ($5,600), FD ($7,400) 

Low-end boom/bust option. Running ability could outshine his shaky passing numbers.

6) Mason Rudolph, PIT vs. CIN (Monday Night)

DK ($5,300), FD ($6,500) 

Expect the Steelers to open things up for Rudolph. Completion rate will be scary, but he has the weapons to deliver 4-5 big plays on Monday night.

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A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/23 MLB DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/23 DFS Winner: David Jones Takes Down Back-to-Back Tournaments

Here are a couple of screenshots of our very own David Jones’ past two nights on FanDuel in NFL and MLB. He won 35K in the Sunday Night NFL Showdown and $20K in the MLB Monster on Saturday. It was his third tournament win in the past week, and he has won 80K during that span and $180K since mid-August. He has been consistently winning large sums of money and you can get his DFS Cheat Sheets and Slack Chat access to David and our other DFS Pros including Jason Mezrahi with a Premium Gold subscription. Free members can get access to his Weekly GPP Picks and Showdown Previews.

9/23 NFL DFS Winner: Cooper Kupp, via David Jones

Here is a screenshot from the NFL DFS Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown article written by Jones. Cooper Kupp had an incredible day as a receiver. Going up against the Cleveland Browns on prime time, Kupp caught 11 passes on 12 targets and went for 102 yards and a pair of trips to the end zone.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Kupp is tied for the fifth-most receptions through the first three weeks with 23. He also ranks 11th in receiving yards with 268. Kupp is Jared Goff’s best target and going up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home next. The defense for the Buccaneers is not good at stopping the pass, giving up 261 yards in the air per game thus far. Expect Kupp to be a huge factor in their matchup.

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9/23 Winner: Sorana Cirstea

Here is a snippet from Cash with the Flash, available to anybody and everybody in the Premium Gold circle, written by Phil Naessens. For those of you who were willing to stay up late to bet on this matchup, Sorana Cirstea won in straight sets against Denisa Allertova 6-1, 6-4 to advance to the round of 16 in the Tashkant Open.

9/23 NFL DFS Winner: Daniel Jones

This screenshot is from our DraftKings Premium Gold NFL Projection Model and shows the Top 25 quarterbacks for the week, Daniel Jones was making his first career start after taking over the offense as Eli Manning was demoted to the backup. Jones tore up the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense as he went 23-for-36 with 336 yards and a pair of touchdowns through the air. He also rushed the ball four times for 28 yards and another pair of touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Not a bad way for Daniel Jones to make his starting debut for the New York Giants. Going up against a weak defense (as stated earlier) could have been a factor but Jones looked impressive and added an element to the offense that has not been seen with Manning at the helm. Jones’ ability to roll out of the pocket could be a difference maker for a team that needs to score a good amount of points to compete in games. Next week, Jones will face off against another weak defense in the Redskins. Expect a step back with a week of game tape but nothing too extreme to avoid taking him at bargain-level prices.

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Could not get enough on Thursday? We have three games coming up on Friday, making it the perfect night for DFS preseason action on DraftKings and FanDuel. For this slate, I am going to go through each position and rank my favorite plays. These games include BUF @ CAR, CHI @ NYG, and MIA @ TB.

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DFS Preseason

Quarterbacks

BUF – Tyree Jackson – The Bills need to find out what they have in Jackson in the second preseason game. He played just 14 snaps in Week 1 of the preseason. His rushing upside is too much to ignore considering he had six rushing attempts in Week 1.

NYG – Daniel Jones – Apparently the plan for last week was to play Jones longer, but with the weather delay the Giants pivoted. Expect to see more action for Jones in Week 2. I like the matchup against a Bears’ defense that will be resting several starters.

TB – Ryan Griffin – No player had more dropbacks (47) or pass attempts (43) than Griffin did in Week 1 of the preseason. He threw for 330 yards. This is an easy play for DFS preseason. Stack with Justin Watson/Bobo Wilson – Both of these guys ran at least 30 routes in Week 1 and saw at least five targets.

Running Backs

MIA – Mark Walton – With Kenyan Drake in a walking boot and Kallen Ballage the presumed starter that creates an opportunity for Walton. Reports are Walton has a legitimate shot at the RB3 slot on the Dolphins with his main competition being Myles Gaskin. Cameron Wolfe reports that Walton looks like the clear RB3 at this point. Remember Walton was a fourth-round pick versus Gaskin, who was taken in the seventh-round. Walton also ran 13 routes last week which was eight more than Gaskin.

https://twitter.com/OmarKelly/status/1161651868763750400

BUF – Devin Singletary – We saw David Montgomery rip up the Carolina defense in Week 1, rushing three times for 16 yards and a touchdown; along with catching all three of his targets for 30 yards. Enter Singletary, who also was three for three on receiving targets, but had nine carries in Week 1.

CAR – Jordan Scarlett – Scarlett was forced to miss the first preseason game. Instead of making his NFL debut he was subject to streaming the game on his cell phone. Scarlett is in competition for the backup role at running back position. According to Brendan Marks, beat writer from The Observer “Scarlett should see heavy snaps Friday, where he’ll finally get to put his impressive training camp to good use.”

https://twitter.com/ThePantherPR/status/1161657357115564032

CHI – Kerrith Whyte Jr. – Nagy has suggested Montgomery after a strong preseason performance — along with Mike Davis and Tarik Cohen — won’t play much the remainder of the preseason. Many of the carries will go to Whyte, who could find a place as the Bears’ fourth running back. Whyte made the most of his touches last week: Seven for 42 yards (six runs, 35 yards).

DFS Preseason

Wide Receivers

BUF – Ray-Ray McCloud – He has also been impressive throughout the summer, in addition to four targets in Week 1 of the preseason. He also played in over 30% of the snaps. McCloud has seen reps with the first and second-team offenses and saw 18/22 snaps from the slot on passing plays. Also, Nick Easley and quarterback Josh Allen have been reportedly been connecting for touchdowns consistently in practice. Easley is much more of a dart-throw; played just five snaps in Week 1.

https://twitter.com/SalSports/status/1161638185539125248

CAR – Andre Levrone – Led the team in targets (7) in the first preseason game, and continues to have chemistry with not just Cam Newton, but quarterback Kyle Allen as well. Levrone is battling for the fifth and sixth wide receiver spot.

MIA – Preston Williams – The hype train is running off the tracks with Williams and is 100% worth the buy-in. After a great showing versus Atlanta, he needs to be on your radar for Week 2. He led the team in routes run (20) in Week 1.

https://twitter.com/schrayguy/status/1161842334960685056

CHI – Javon Wims – Matt Nagy has zero intent of playing any of his key players Friday night against the Giants. That was a major part of in holding the under-the-lights mock game on Wednesday. Nagy: “They got a lot of reps out here tonight. I like that they got a lot of reps.” Wims had three targets last week but played in 50% of the snaps; specifically, 44% of the passing plays. Wims is also drawing praise from Bears’ cornerback Prince Amukamara.

https://twitter.com/RVacchianoSNY/status/1162071317853741056

NYG – Darius Slayton – Slayton finally returned to practice. Shurmur on Slayton, “He’s a fine receiver…”He has speed, obviously. Through the OTAs and the time he was on the practice field, he displayed the ability to go down the field and make a catch. We anticipate that he’s going to have a bright future. He just needs to get out there.”

https://twitter.com/AlexWilsonESM/status/1162096942303891462

DFS Preseason – Tight Ends

CAR – Chris Manhertz – Though known as more of run-blocker, Manhertz has come alive in the passing game, using his 6-6 frame to get leverage in red-zone situations. He has seen more playing time with Ian Thomas out with a rib injury. Keep in mind Manhertz is one of the rare tight ends with the basketball background. Manhertz has played in 39 career NFL games as a guy that didn’t even play football in college. Or high school. With Thomas not expected to play, and a chance that Olsen’s reps will be limited, Manhertz could see a large number of snaps in both run-blocking and pass-catching situations on Friday.

TB – Tanner Hudson – No tight end ran more routes (38) than Hudson did in the first week of the preseason. Hudson has continued to stand out in joint practices as reported by Carmel Vitali. Her reports also say that the tight ends for Tampa Bay have had a lot of success in one-on-one drills against Miami defensive backs. The Miami 2s had no answer for tight end Tanner Hudson underneath in seven-on-seven drills.

https://twitter.com/LMart810/status/1161693512921956352

CHI – Ian Bunting – Bunting could again lead the Bears’ tight ends in targets a week after he led the team in receptions. He had three catches but also had two penalties and a fumble in a mixed performance last Thursday.

DFS Preseason – Defenses

Tampa Bay – Reports from joint practices showed that the Buccaneers’ front were consistently dominating the Dolphins’ offensive line. Former Dolphin defensive lineman Ndamukong Suh at one point broke through the line so easily and effortlessly and tossed his blocker to the ground as he made his way toward quarterback Josh Rosen.

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