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Happy Thanksgiving y’all!  We have ourselves 3 lopsided games today.  That means we should have a lot of scoring, both from teams getting out front early and the teams having to play chase all day long.  I’ve done my research and found some great props on PrizePicks that I love.  Make sure to lock in that free square that PrizePicks is giving us today in Christian McCaffrey!

Sign up here and deposit at PrizePicks today and we’ll throw in a free 60-day trial of Win Daily Gold! Use Promo Code WINDAILY.

Let’s dig in and make some money to pay for all those massive turkeys we’ll eat today!

CeeDee Lamb – .5 Pass + Rush + Rec TD – Over

The Cowboys should absolutely smash today against the Commanders.  As of writing this, they are massive 13.5 point favorites.  Their 31 total is by far the biggest of any of the 6 teams playing today.  Look for CeeDee Lamb to be right in the middle of the scoring today.  The Commanders are awful through the air, setting up Dak Prescott for a monster game.  No team has given up more receiving touchdowns to wide receivers than the Commanders this season.  That sets up beautifully for Prescott’s main man, Lamb.  Lamb has 5 TD’s over the last 4 weeks.  Look for him to add to that total this afternoon.  Love the Over!

Sam Howell – 1.5 Pass + Rush + Rec TD – Over

On the other side of this one we have the Commanders and Sam Howell.  The Commanders will be playing from behind in this one from the start.  That will put even more pressure on Sam Howell to perform.  If we look at what Howell has done this season, this number is very attainable.  Even in the toughest of games.  He’s had at least 2 touchdowns in 7 of his 11 games this season.  With the Commanders playing from behind, Howell will be forced to throw early and often.  That gives us plenty of opportunities for TD’s.  Love the Over!

Jared Goff – 257.5 Pass + Rush Yards – Over

The Lions are another team that is a big favorite today.  As of this morning, they are 8 point favorites against a 4-6 Packers.  I’m fully expecting the Lions to come out sharper than they did last weekend against the Bears.  Before last week’s struggles, Jared Goff had been brilliant.  He had easily this 257.5 number in 4 consecutive games. 

Even with his struggles last weekend, he still came awfully close to this number.  He’ll have the luxury of throwing to 2 dynamic ball catchers in Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta.  Look for the Lions to come out on top in this one thanks to a monster game from Jared Goff.  Love the Over!

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Today I’ll be highlighting some of my favorite Monkey Knife Fight plays 

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money!

More or Less – 3.6x

Dak Prescott – 279.5 Passing Yards – More

The 49ers were one of the top teams in the NFL this season against the run.  Because of that, I expect the Cowboys to take the air more often than not today.  If the Cowboys hope to win today, they’re going to need Dak Prescott to continue with the momentum he had to close out the year.  He finished the season with 12 TD passes in his final 3 games. 

The target that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today is a number that Prescott has reached 2 out of the last 3 weeks and 7 times total this season.  I’m projecting Prescott at around 290 yards passing today as he has the majority of his arsenal of receivers healthy.  More side for me on this prop.

Patrick Mahomes – 278.5 Passing Yards – Less

While I do think the Chiefs pull out the victory in this one, I don’t think that Mahomes gets to his Monkey Knife Fight target of 279 passing yards today.  As Adam noted in his Game by Game breakdown, Mahomes does not do as well when pressured.  The Steelers have this guy named T.J. Watt that likes to put a ton of pressure on quarterbacks. 

If we look at what this Steelers defense has done in recent weeks, it’s pretty impressive.  They have held quarterbacks under 200 yards passing 3 out of the last 4 weeks.  If we look at the 279 yard target today for Mahomes, they Steelers haven’t given up that many passing yards since week 11 against the Chargers.  I’m siding with Less side on this one and I’m not looking back!

More or Less – 3.6x

Travis Kelce – 69.5 Receiving Yards – Less

I highlighted above that the Steelers are extremely solid against the pass.  If we dig down deep to see how they are against tight ends, they’ve been even more solid (if that’s even a thing).  On the year, the Steelers have given up more than 69.5 yards just 4 times and just once over the past 7 weeks. 

There are only a few tight ends with the upside that Kelce provides.  That said, this year has been somewhat of a disappointment for Kelce.  He had his fewest receiving yards and targets since 2017.  He comes into this matchup today having only had 59 receiving yards in the last 2 weeks.  I’m sure Chiefs fans will disagree with me on this one, but I think they keep Kelce in check today.  I’m siding with the Less side on Kelce.

CeeDee Lamb – 68.5 Receiving Yards – More

If you were a fantasy owner of CeeDee Lamb this season you probably were left feeling somewhat disappointed, at least down the stretch.  Although he cracked 1,100 yards in his sophomore season, his production when it mattered most was almost non-existent.  Over the final 7 games of the year he failed to either top 90 yards or find the endzone.  That all changes today in what should be one of the most important games in his young career. 

Monkey Knife Fight is giving us a 68.5 yard target today and while I don’t think he smashes it, I do think he does enough to get north of that number.  Prescott should have himself a day today and that will include using Lamb more than he has in recent weeks.  I like the More side on this one.  

Good luck and hope you make some money today!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! ! 

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Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Today I’ll be highlighting some of my favorite plays on Monkey Knife Fight. Even though Covid has run rampant in the NFL, we still have an action packed Sunday with some solid plays.

More or Less  3.6x Payout

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott vs. New York Giants (269.5 Passing Yards) – More

If you read my QB’s and Stacks article this week, you know that I love Dak Prescott this week.  He’s coming off a subpar game against Washington in which threw for only 211 yards.  Dallas should come out firing today against a Giants team that has been absolutely brutal against the pass this year.  The Giants have given up at least 270 passing yards in 4 of their last 6 games.  One of the games they didn’t was against a team that runs a run heavy offense. 

Prescott faced the Giants in Week 5 and threw for 302 yards with 3 touchdowns.  I see no reason why he shouldn’t replicate that feat.  I’m siding with the More side of the 269.5 yards that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today.

Mike Glennon vs. Dallas Cowboys (185.5 Passing Yards) – More

This one gets a little trickier as Mike Glennon just hasn’t played much.  I’m going to go w/ more game theory in this pick though because this is a game that should get out of hand pretty early.  I expect the Cowboys to get up early in this one.  Probably after their first possession.  With my expectation that the Cowboys will be up early and often in this one the Giants will have to play through the air today in an effort to catch up. 

With that, Glennon should get a ton of passing volume today.  He has only 2 starts this year at QB but in both games he hit his number that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us.  The Cowboys have given up at least 200 yards in all but 2 games this season. That continues today as Glennon gets over the 200 yards mark.  I’m also going with the More side on this one. 

More or Less  3x Payout

Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers vs. Baltimore Ravens (265.5 Passing Yards) – More

Similar to Prescott, Aaron Rodgers is one of my favorite QB’s this week.  He’s going into a matchup against a depleted Ravens secondary.  Even with a healthy secondary, the Ravens have given up the second most passing yards on the year.  Only the Seahawks have given up more passing yards. 

Rodgers is coming into this one in peak form, throwing for at least 292 yards in 4 straight games.  Monkey Knife Fight has the number set at 265.5 yards, a number that Rodgers has failed to get just twice in the last 8 weeks.  I just don’t see how he doesn’t easily get to this number today.  I’m going with the More side on this too. 

Devonta Freeman vs. Green Bay Packers (52.5 Rushing Yards) – Less

This is going to be a weird week for the Baltimore Ravens.  Lamar Jackson hasn’t been ruled out just yet, but he also hasn’t practiced all week.  Should he miss this week, the Ravens game plan will be a different one than we’ve been accustomed to.  Although Huntley filled in admirably last weekend, he’s still not in the same category as Jackson. 

Regardless, I just don’t see Freeman getting to the 52.5 target that Monkey Knife Fight is giving us today.  On the year it’s a number that Freeman has only gotten to twice.  Once last week against the Browns and then also in week 9 vs. the Vikings.  The Packers have one of the best run defenses in the league.  Only 6 teams have given up fewer rushing yards to running backs all year.  They should have no trouble keeping Freeman in check today.  On this one, I’m going with the Less side.

Good luck and hope you cash!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! ! 

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The Thursday night showdown kicks off the Week 13 NFL DFS contests, and we’ve got the picks to help you win big tonight and make some serious green!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy and how it relates to Week 13 NFL DFS showdowns, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article. Week ...

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Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Tonight’s Thursday night matchup brings us to New Orleans with a matchup between the Saints (5-6) and the Cowboys (7-4).  The Cowboys look to bounce back tonight after 2 losing straight.  For the Saints, they’re handing the offense over to Taysom Hill tonight who makes his first start at QB of the season.  The Saints come into this matchup riding a 4 game losing streak.  Things have not gone well for them since Jameis Winston went down. 

More or Less – 3.6x Payout

Dak Prescott – 270.5 Passing Yards – More

Dak Prescott should have one of his top weapons back tonight.  After sitting out the last 2 games, Cooper was activated from the Covid-19 list yesterday.  Prescott now has his full arsenal of weapons healthy. Well as healthy as you can be for the tail end of the football season.  For the first time in several weeks he’ll have Cooper, Lamb, Gallup, and Schultz to throw to. 

We’ve seen Prescott shine at times this year and tonight should be one of those times.  He’s hit the 271 yards mark in 4 out of his last 6 weeks.  In what I expect to be a close game tonight, Prescott should be able to focus enough on his passing game to hit his 271 yards.  I’m going with the More side for Prescott.

Taysom Hill – 180.5 Passing Yards – More

The Saints have finally made the switch at QB to Taysom Hill.  With Hill finally healthy enough to play again he’ll have a chance to start at QB for the first time since Week 14 of last season against the Eagles.  Hill started 4 games at QB last season and did fairly well.  In 3 of his 4 starts he easily surpassed tonight’s goal of 181 yards.  He had 233, 232, and 291 yards. 

In the one game that he didn’t get to the 181 yards last season, it was more due to game script as the Saints destroyed the Broncos 31-3 in Week 12.  Only once this season have the Cowboys given up less than the 181 yards goal for Hill tonight.  Look for Hill to easily surpass his goal tonight.  I’m going with the More here as well.  

Rapid Fire – 3x Payout

Dak Prescott vs. Taysom Hill (+90.5)

I’ve highlighted in the More or Less section that both QB’s should hit their number tonight.  That said, both QB’s have a very different number and skill set.  While Hill has shown some upside with his arm, he also tends to run the ball quite a bit for a QB which somewhat lowers his pass yardage ceiling.  He did pass for 291 yards in one game last season, but that was an outlier.  His ceiling is closer to his other two games where he finished in the low 230 yard range and that’s where I think he ends up tonight.

If we look at Prescott, his ceiling is much higher and he’s facing a Saints secondary that has given up close to 3k passing yards through their first 11 games this season.  This is the type of game that has ceiling written all over it for Prescott.  Even though MKF Is giving 90.5 passing yards to Hill in this one, I like Prescott tonight.  Prescott for the win in this one. 

Alvin Kamara vs. Ezekiel Elliot (+11.5)

As of writing this, Kamara is still listed as questionable.  I’m going to write this under the assumption that he’s playing.  In the few games before he was injured Kamara struggled producing on the ground.  In those 3 games he had 51, 61, and 50 rushing yards. 

If we look at the Cowboy’s defense, they’ve started to show some cracks against the run.  Over the last 6 weeks they’ve given up over 100 yards rushing 4 times.  Through the first 5 weeks of the year they hadn’t given up more than 74 in any game.  If Kamara proves to be healthy tonight, he’s looking at a solid chance for a rebound game. 

Switching gears to Ezekiel Elliot, he gets an extremely tough matchup tonight.  Only Washington and Tampa Bay have given up less rushing yards to running backs this season.  They’ve given up more than 80 rushing yards to running backs just twice this season. 

Even if we had a healthy Elliot, I wouldn’t love him here so a banged up Elliot has me ready to gag in this matchup.  Especially knowing that Prescott has all his receiving weapons available to him tonight.  Coming into this matchup, granted he’s been banged up, Elliot has been downright bad on the ground.  He hasn’t surpassed 52 rushing yards since he had 69 yards against the Patriots in week 6. 

As it stands right now, I like Kamara to have more pure rushing yards tonight.  Even though Elliot gets the bonus of 11.5 yards tonight, he doesn’t do enough on the ground to get close to Kamara. Kamara for the win!

Good luck tonight and hope you cash!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 3 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first TNF showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 3 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 3 NFL DFS Chalk: Dak Prescott (FD $16,000, DK $16,800)

Pivot: Jalen Hurts (FD $16,500, DK $16,500)

Contrarian #1: Ezekiel Elliott (FD $12,000, DK $12,600)

Contrarian #2: DeVonta Smith(FD $10,500, DK $10,800)

Contrarian #3: CeeDee Lamb (FD $12,500, DK $14,700)

FanDuel and DraftKings actually have Dak Prescott and Jalen Hurts flip-flopped for the top-priced player, so that could some into play in determining who’s chalkier on either site. Hurts has the better matchup overall, but the Cowboys are favored by 3 points. We can probably pencil in Hurts at captain since he should have plenty of time to throw and use his legs, and I think Prescott is too expensive given both Amari Cooper‘s ribs issue (he’ll play with a flak jacket on and is a risk to reaggravate the injury) and the emergence of both Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard after Prescott’s huge Week 1. Playing Eagles WR DeVonta Smith at Captain could allow us to Hurts and a couple big-time Dallas players.

Eagles notes: Hurts is the main target for me because of what he can do with his legs as well. I’m interested in getting exposure to one or both of the Eagles TEs, though the production from Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz is just difficult to predict. The tight ends will have to be more involved than last Sunday, when Goedert didn’t have his first catch until the second half and finished the just two receptions (on two targets) for 24 yards. Ertz is off the COVID list now, and had just one reception (one target) for 6 yards in Week 2, but could see 3-5 targets this week. I don’t think Miles Sanders is a huge priority this week, though I might grab some Kenneth Gainwell exposure as a cheap play in a negative game script. Smith is the best option at WR, but I’ll have shares of Jalen Reagor given his upside.

Cowboys notes: We may be able to get away without Prescott, but there are avenues where we get both him and Hurts in some lineups. Ezekiel Elliott might be the top play from a contrarian perspective this week. I have little interest in Cooper, and will get most of my WR exposure with CeeDee Lamb and Cedrick Wilson. Pollard could be used as a WR as well, and I think both he and Zeke are in play this week for the Cowboys against the Eagles run defense. I’ll also have shares of Blake Jarwin and kicker Greg Zuerlein.

Week 3 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a Week 1 NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Go too heavy on the DSTs, which don’t offer much upside in a game that should exceed the 51-point game total.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Live in the sub-$1K range this week. There’s just no production there.

Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Dak Prescott
  2. Jalen Hurts
  3. Ezekiel Elliott
  4. DeVonta Smith
  5. CeeDee Lamb
  6. Dallas Goedert
  7. Jalen Reagor
  8. Miles Sanders
  9. Amari Cooper (ribs)
  10. Kenneth Gainwell
  11. Tony Pollard
  12. Cedrick Wilson
  13. Dalton Schultz
  14. Blake Jarwin
  15. Quez Watkins
  16. Greg Zuerlein
  17. Zach Ertz
  18. Jake Elliott
  19. Eagles DST
  20. Cowboys DST

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action!

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The NFL DFS season begins with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 1 NFL DFS contests!

A Refresher on Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel calls them “Single-Game Contests,” but the gist is that we need to break down a single game and be aware of the narratives, opportunities and game theory techniques to help drive our success.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will give you leverage.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 1 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Chalk: Tom Brady (FD $16,000, DK $16,800)

Pivot: Dak Prescott (FD $15,500, DK $15,600)

Contrarian #1: Mike Evans (FD $13,000, DK $13,800)

Contrarian #2: CeeDee Lamb (FD $10,000, DK $12,300)

Contrarian #3: Ronald Jones (FD $9,500, DK $7,500)

I’m leaning toward using the chalky Tom Brady as my MVP on FanDuel based on the lack of salary multiplier and his propensity to both spread it around and not really stop running up the score. I may find a different route on DraftKings.

Tampa Bay notes: Getting some combination of Brady, Evans and Jones is probably the safest way to approach this offense. If you’re going to play the Bucs DST, and that’s not a terrible strategy for a few GPPs then it’s probably important you use one or more Bucs RBs. Jones is technically the lead back, but Leonard Fournette is still an explosive player with sneaky value if Jones isn’t getting it done. Chris Godwin was nursing a hamstring injury, and he’s actually been left off the final injury report after being limited Tuesday, but I’m most interested in the matchup nightmare that Evans presents for the Cowboys. Aside from Brady, he has the biggest upside. If Godwin sits, we can consider Antonio Brown, who’s listed as questionable but has been trending up in recent weeks as someone finally gelling with the Bucs system and Brady.

Dallas notes: With the absence of OL Zack Martin due to COVID and the Buccaneers solid rush defense, I’m a little less interested in Ezekiel Elliott. I’ll prioritize Prescott/Lamb and either Michael Gallup (with Bucs safety Jordan Whitehead on the shelf for Week 1), but Amari Cooper remains in play for GPPs. Blake Jarwin offers some value at $5,200 on DK, but he’s more of a GPP play as well given how well the Bucs LBS defend that territory and the red zone, where he gets most of his looks.

Week 1 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a Week 1 NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Get cute with the sub $1K players in this one. Both offenses should be approaching full strength and unless we get breaking news close to lock, there’s not much in that range we can use.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Use both kickers and defenses. There are some showdowns where using that strategy can help find the magic mix, but this Thursday night isn’t that night.

Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Tom Brady
  2. Dak Prescott
  3. Mike Evans
  4. CeeDee Lamb
  5. Ronald Jones
  6. Chris Godwin
  7. Michael Gallup
  8. Ezekiel Elliott
  9. Amari Cooper
  10.  Bucs DST
  11.  Antonio Brown
  12.  Leonard Fournette
  13.  Rob Gronkowski
  14.  Blake Jarwin
  15.  Giovani Bernard
  16.  Tony Pollard
  17.  O.J. Howard
  18.  Ryan Succop
  19.  Greg Zuerlein
  20.  Cowboys DST
  21.  Cameron Brate

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action!

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The quarterback is the most important position in sports, let alone football. Choosing the correct quarterback on your DFS lineup could be the difference between winning a tournament and walking out empty-handed. With that all out of the way, let’s get into the Quarterbacks DFS Picks for Cash Games, GPP and who to punt!

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Week 16 Quarterback Cash Game Plays

Russell Wilson, ARI vs SEA

DK ($7,000) FD ($8,300)

Russell Wilson vs Arizona’s defense, that is all. It looks like he is rediscovering a connection with Tyler Lockett, which is key with Josh Gordon being suspended. In his last five games, Wilson is averaging 240 yards. The Cardinals are allowing 306.9 passing yards per game and are still the defense I expect to crumble. Especially with the different playoff situations that could happen, this should be the building block for the Seahawks to win the NFC West.

Lamar Jackson, BAL @ CLE

DK ($8,000) FD ($9,300)

Do I even need to give you numbers for this one? The only reason you could argue this is questioning how long Jackson will be in the game. This Cleveland Browns team has completely given up and are now iffy at best. Lamar had a great game last time these two met as he went for 247 passing yards with three touchdowns and two picks. He also ran nine times for 66 yards. Expect another Lamar Jackson-esque game here.

Dak Prescott, DAL @ PHI

DK ($6,400) FD ($8,000)

His appearance on the injury report and being limited in practice does not scare me in the least. Philadelphia is tied for allowing the seventh-most passing touchdowns to quarterbacks this season. The Eagles also allow a lot of big passing plays with 14 passes of at least 40 yards. The injuries that have stockpiled on their offense will allow Prescott to control the ball. Last week’s annihilation of the Rams also plays a factor in this decision. Expect a solid game and the NFC East clinched here.

Week 16 Quarterback GPP Plays

Matt Ryan, JAX vs ATL

DK ($6,200) FD ($7,700)

Ryan has thrown for multiple touchdowns for the last two games. He also has not thrown an interception in the month of December. The Jacksonville Jaguars are not in a great position with the firing of Tom Coughlin and their defense doesn’t force interceptions as well. Expect a nice outing out of Ryan at a solid price point.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, CIN vs MIA

DK ($6,000) FD ($7,400)

I feel this will bring quite the upside in an otherwise meaningless game that many people will forget about. Cincinnati locks in the first overall pick in 2020 with the loss so I wouldn’t be shocked if the call from above is to lose. Obviously, players don’t care about tanking and will play regardless. FitzMagic should be in full effect and pick up a fourth consecutive solid outing against weak opponents. He could make your quarterback skill position a lot stronger with him in your DFS lineup.

Drew Brees, NO @ TEN

DK ($ 6,900) FD ($8,200)

Coming off one of the single greatest performances by a quarterback, Drew Brees is going up against the Tennessee Titans. Still competing for the number one seed, Brees will still be competing at the highest level. The Titans allow 258.1 passing yards per game and that is the eighth-highest in the NFL. Expect a great game out of Brees, which isn’t such a difficult thought.

Week 16 Quarterback Fades

Josh Allen, BUF @ NE

DK ($5,300) FD ($7,600)

In his last game against the Pats, he went 13-of-28 with 153 yards and three interceptions. Bill Belichick has a way of making opposing quarterbacks feel uncomfortable and with a solid defense, don’t expect a big return with Josh Allen under center for your NFL DFS team.

Tom Brady, BUF vs NE

DK ($5,200) FD ($7,400)

This Patriots offense is not threatening, especially going against an elite Buffalo defense that is mathematically still alive for the AFC East divisional title. The Patriots have struggled against speedy defenses this season and Buffalo is another one of those. It’s hard to see the Pats having a chance to run the ball. Brady also went 18-of-39 for 150 yards and a pick last time these two teams faced off. Don’t try to get too cute with your quarterback selection here.

Derek Carr, OAK @ LAC

DK ($5,300) FD ($7,300)

With the news that Josh Jacobs will not play in this game, I don’t see the Raiders running the ball as much. Carr is an average quarterback and when a defense can suspect the pass, it probably won’t be a great outing for Carr. The Chargers pass defense is already elite without the help as they allow just 197.4 passing yards a game, which is fourth in the NFL. With all the signs pointing against Derek Carr, it makes sense to fade him in this matchup.

Monkey Knife Fight Quarterback Pick of the Day 

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Patrick Mahomes over 290.5 passing yards and Mitchell Trubisky under 241.5 passing yards.

Pat Mahomes is going against an injury-plagued Chicago Bears defense. Coming off a great game against the Denver Broncos, Mahomes had 340 yards through the air. I expect another 300+ yard passing game out of Mahomes. Trubisky, on the other hand, has big yardage days but I see the Chiefs dominating the time of possession in this game. Trubisky is turnover-prone so he won’t have the opportunity to put up these types of numbers.

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