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Colorado Rockies

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (June 2)

Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Friday and that means we have a full slate of MLB DFS. Tonight we’ll get to navigate through 13 games to try to find the best pitchers and stacks that will take us to the top of the leaderboards. This slate brings us some top pitching and also some glorious spots for offense.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Logan Webb vs. Baltimore Orioles

Is the Cinderella story that is the Baltimore Orioles coming to an end? Things haven’t been as rosy for the second-place Orioles over the last week. Out is Cedric Mullins and in is Yankees castoff Aaron Hicks. That’s as big of a talent drop-off as there is. The Orioles’ offense has really hit a skid as they’ve scored just 24 runs over the last week and have struck out 25% of the time.

That sets up nicely for Logan Webb to have a really nice night today. Webb has been pitching extremely well of late. Over his last 34 innings of work, he’s pitched to a 1.3 ERA and has allowed minimal fly balls and minimal hard contact. Webb has been over 20 DK in 6 of his last 7 starts. Look for that trend to continue tonight.

Jon Gray vs. Seattle Mariners

I think it’s safe to say at this point that the Seattle Mariners have been one of the more disappointing teams in all of baseball this season. They currently sit just 2 games over .500 and are in third place in the AL East. Their offense is coming into this one pretty cold. Over the last week, they’ve scored just 24 runs and have struck out an insanely high 31% of the time. They’ll face a pitcher in Jon Gray tonight that is pitching some of his best ball of the season.

Over the last month, he’s pitched to an ERA of just 1 and has a 27% strikeout rate. Over his last 4 outings, he’s been over 20 DK points in each and has been at 29 or higher in 3 of them. He’s hot, the Mariners aren’t and that leads me to locking in Gray as one of my starters tonight.

Other arms I do like today are Shohei Ohtani vs. Houston, Framber Valdez vs. the Angels, and Merrill Kelly vs. Atlanta.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

San Diego Padres vs. Jameson Taillon

Jameson Taillon has proven to be one of the worst free-agent signings of the offseason so far. He’s been absolutely brutal this season for the Cubs, pitching to an ERA over 8 across 31 innings of work. If we look at a more recent sample size, he’s pitched to a 10 ERA over the last month, while giving up 5 homers and 9 barrels in just 17 innings of work.

He’s going to have his hands full tonight as he’ll be facing a Padres lineup that may just be finding their groove. We’re going to want to focus on the lefties vs. Taillon tonight. Lefties have been tormenting all season as they have a .316 ISO and a .456 wOBA. Both are extremely high numbers. Lefties also have a 49% flyball rate and a 47% hard-hit. Again, very high numbers.

The lefties we’ll look to target here are going to be Jake Cronenworth, Juan Soto, and Matt Carpenter. We can also look at Rougned Odor to a lesser extent. Although none of these guys are really hitting the cover off the ball right now, the matchup is phenomenal for them. Taillon’s main pitch to leftie is his cutter. This is a pitch that Soto has historically done very well against. He’s one of my favorite plays of the day.

While my focus is on the lefties, we can’t dismiss both Fernando Tatis and Gary Sanchez. Sanchez has now homered in back-to-back games since being claimed by the Padres. Can he make it 3 in a row vs. an awful pitcher?

Colorado Rockies vs. Jordan Lyles

I wish this game was being played in Coors but Kauffman Stadium will have to do. Jordan Lyles is a perpetual lister and a pitcher I target every time he’s on the mound. He gives up what we crave the most, homers and barrels. Over his last 26 innings of work, Lyles has given up an incredible 7 homers and 10 barrels. Lyles is having one of the worst seasons of his career. He’s 0-9 and his HR/9 of 2.34 is by far the highest it’s ever been in his career. That number also continues to climb!

With Lyles, I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits. Both sides of the plate have slugging %’s over .500 vs. him. Each side also has 8 homers vs. him this season. Yes, we’re just now getting into June and he’s already given up 16 homers.

The first hitter in this Rockies lineup that I’m going to prioritize getting into my lineups tonight is Ryan McMahon. McMahon had himself a monster last week. He has 13 hits in his 27 AB, 4 of which have left the ballpark. He’s also accounted for 8 runs and 11 RBI over the last week. He’s been a beast and he’ll also get the platoon advantage here. Would not be surprised to see him take Lyles deep today.

Other bats that will have my interest here will be Charlie Blackmon, Randal Grichuk, and Nolan Jones. To be honest, every bat in this lineup will be in play for me as plug and plays apart from the stack because Lyles is that bad. He’s arguably the worst pitcher in all of baseball.

Other stacks I like today are going to be Phillies vs. Josiah Gray, Cardinals vs. Roansy Contreras, and Giants vs. Dean Kremer.

MLB DFS Summary

With the turn of the calendar to June, we’re inching closer to the dog days of summer. It’s going to be a hot one in the majority of the regions and that means ball travel far. I absolutely love pairing the Padres with the Rockies and it will be the winning combo.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 17)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Friday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

Happy Monday Funday! Tonight have a nice-sized 9-game slate of MLB DFS. We have a couple of studs on the mounds that we’ll need to decide on. We also have some arms in the mid-salary range that look extremely appealing. This is shaping up to be an extremely fun slate of MLB DFS.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Jacob deGrom vs. Kansas City Royals

This is essentially a rematch of deGrom’s last outing. A week ago, deGrom faced this same Royals team. He had a really good outing, but it was nothing special. He finished that game with 9 strikeouts over 7 innings of work and allowed 2 ER. I’d expect more of the same tonight against the Royals.

Normally we shy away from taking a pitcher throwing against the same team in back-to-back starts. But not with deGrom. He’s a different breed. He can face the same lineup 5 straight days and still strike out 9-10 batters. I’m locking him in tonight as my SP1.

Kevin Gausman vs. Houston Astros

The Houston offense this season has so far looked very average and inconsistent. After scoring 8 runs on Saturday, they were shut down yesterday by a combination of Andrew Heaney and the Rangers bullpen. This is a lineup that can be taken advantage of in the right situations and tonight’s one of them. They’ve struggled vs. righties, as they have a 24% k rate and just a .105 ISO.

Gausman himself has been exceptional to start the season. He’s sporting a 32% k rate and a 2.62 xFIP. He’s been doing a great job of keeping the ball on the ground too as hitters have a nearly 50% ground ball rate vs. him. It’s far from a safe pick, but I really like the chances of Gausman having a solid outing vs. the Astros tonight.

Corbin Burnes vs. Seattle Mariners

I’m considering taking a flyer on Burnes tonight. After opening the season with 2 duds, he returned to form in his last out, going 8 strong innings allowing 0 runs and striking out 8. The Diamondbacks’ lineup this season has been surprisingly good and dominating them may be what he needed to shake out of the funk that he started the season in. This is far from a safe pick though as the Mariners have been strong.

If you’re feeling a little frisky tonight, give Kyle Freeland a try. He’s only $7.1k and has been pitching pretty well, especially at home. He’s coming off back-to-back starts allowing a combined 2 ER against the Nats and the Cards. We also have the case where the first games in Colorado are typically low scoring. Add in the fact that it’s the Pirates, things really set up well for him tonight.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chris Flexen

For the first time this season, I’m going back to a team that has won me a considerable amount of money over the last few seasons. The Milwaukee Brewers get the gift of facing off against Chris Flexen tonight. After starting out the year with a solid performance vs. the Guardians, things have gone south fast for Flexen.

In his last outing vs. the Cubs, Flexen gave up 8 ER in 2 innings of work. Now some of that was inflated because the wind was blowing out heavily in Chicago in that one, but Flexen is not a good pitcher and one I often attack. With Flexen, we want to get some of the righty bats in. He’s historically been a reverse splits pitcher and this season has been no different. Righties have a .321 ISO vs. him compared to just .050 for the lefties.

With that said, I’m starting off my Brewers stack with Willy Adames and William Contrares. Adames is my favorite of the 2 as he’s crushed righties so far in this young season. Through his first 50+ plate appearances vs. righties. Adames has a .250 ISO and a .391 wOBA. He’s not a righty, but I absolutely love Rowdy Tellez here. He’s been smashing the ball all year and should tonight as well. He’s up to 5 dongs and 12 RBI. Other bats I like here will be Mike Brosseau, Garrett Mitchell, and Christian Yelich.

Colorado Rockies vs. Dick Mountain

Rich Hill has had a storied career that feels like it has spanned decades. Well, he is in his third different decade pitching so it has been decades. Father time appears to be catching up to him though as his 2023 season has not been good. My biggest reason for chasing against Hill tonight is that flyball rate of his. So far this season, Hill has a 51% flyball rate.

In an environment such as Coors, giving up flyballs half the time means there is a significantly higher likelihood of homers. The ball just travels farther at a higher altitude. He’s been getting crushed, and I mean crushed by righties this season. They have a .412 wOBA and a .426 ISO.

My Rockies stack will be tailored around Kris Bryant, CJ Cron, and Elias Diaz. Bryant is my favorite as he’s been solid vs. lefties to start the year. In a small sample size, he has a .286 ISO vs. them. If we go back to the start of last season, even though he missed a good chunk of it, he had similar numbers so we know we aren’t chasing with him. Cron is another bat that profiles really well here. He’s historically done well against lefties and has extremely strong numbers vs. lefty curveballs. In theory, he should do well here. Other bats I’ll look to get in here will be Yonathan Daza, Ezequial Tovar, and Elehuris Montero.

Texas Rangers vs. Jordan Lyles

Jordan Lyles is a lister. He’s on a list of pitchers that we keep for pitchers that should be stacked against. I preach this all the time. We attack pitchers that give up a high amount of contact and a high amount of fly balls. So far this season, Lyles has an 86% contact rate and a 46% flyball rate. These are extremely attackable numbers. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits against Lyles. He’s been historically bad against both sides of the plate.

With the Rangers tonight, I’m going to build around Marcus Semien, Nate Lowe, Jonah Heim, and Josh Jung. Over the last week, Heim leads the team with 6 wRC. His 1.219 OPS also leads the time by quite a margin. At $3.2k on DK, he’s a steal tonight. Lowe has also been really good and I would not be surprised to see him take Lyles deep tonight. His 52% flyball rate + Lyles exaggerated flyball mean there will be lots of balls in the air tonight.

Other bats I’ll look to here will be Adolis Garcia, Robbie Grossman, and Leody Tavares. Tavares is someone that although can be cold at times, showed last season he could be a game-changer.

MLB DFS Summary

This is shaping up to be a fun slate tonight. There are some pitchers in good spots and some bats in really good spots. Milwaukee is my team I’ll be building my bats around.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB Premium

MLB DFS Stack City (Apr. 14)

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

Tonight’s slates are going to be a bit odd. FanDuel has decided to add the 6:35/6:40 games while DraftKings has not. That 6:35 game between the Nationals/Pirates has the chance to be an MLB DFS friendly game so I’ll be including a FanDuel-only stack for those playing on FanDuel tonight.

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate

Colorado Rockies vs. Justin Steele

I try to avoid writing up hitters in Coors because it’s always such an obvious spot. It’s a hitters paradise and with limited options tonight, I’m going there. Steele pitched pretty well against the Brewers in his season debut. He was able to shut them out through 5 innings and only gave up 4 hits.

Steele did a great job keeping hitters off balance as they only had a 41% swing rate even though he lived in the zone almost 50% of the time. That said, pitching in Coors is a different animal and if we dig into Steele’s repertoire the Rockies are in good shape tonight.

While Steele throws his fastball around 44% of the time to righties, he also throws a sinker almost a quarter of the time as it’s his main secondary pitch. The first guy that comes to mind in this matchup is Connor Joe. While it’s a limited sample size, Joe has great numbers vs. this pitch. Last season he had a .636 slugging % against sinkers. I love him in this matchup tonight.

CJ Cron will also make my Colorado stack as he has similar numbers to Joe, but a much larger sample size. Last season his slugging % was .576 against sinkers. These two both have the ability to do some damage against Steele tonight. With the Rockies, I’ll also make sure to mix in Kris Bryant and Brendan Rogers. Steele has a much tougher assignment tonight with the Rockies than he did with the Brewers. I do expect him to come back down to earth after his first outing.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cessa/Sanmartin

The Reds are using Cessa as an opener today and will most likely then go to Sanmartin since he was originally scheduled to throw today. This is a plus matchup for the Dodgers against both pitchers. Sanmartin struggled in his 2022 debut, giving up 5 ER in just 2 and a third innings vs. the Braves. Sanmartin hasn’t pitched much in the Majors yet, but so far from what we’ve seen is he really good against lefties, but struggles against righties as they have a .393 wOBA against him.

The Dodgers bats finally came alive yesterday, putting up 7 runs against Chris Paddack and the Twins. With an even better matchup today, I expect more of the same. I’m going to focus my efforts here with guys on the right side. The Dodgers have two of the best in the game in Mookie Betts and Trea Turner.

While those 2 will more than likely be my core in this lineup, Justin Turner, Will ‘not the one that slapped Chris Rock’ Smith, and Chris Taylor are the guys in this lineup that are very reasonably priced at $4.1k and below. Putting those guys in your lineup will help you afford the bigger bats.

Washington Nationals vs. Brubaker (FD Only)

The Nationals are in a great spot to produce tonight. JT Brubaker is just not a pitcher I’ll ever shy away from stacking against when playing MLB DFS. He now has 36 appearances in the big leagues and it’s been a struggle for him. While he induces a ton of ground balls at a 44% rate throughout his young career, when he does give up flyballs they tend to leave the park.

Last year his HR/FB% was 22%. That’s just not a good percentage. Both righties and lefties have similar numbers against him in terms of power, but I’m going to side with the lefties in this matchup because their flyball % jumps to 37% compared to just 28% for righties.

While Juan Soto is the premier name here and he’ll be in my core, Josh Bell is the guy that has been on fire so far to start the season. Over the first week of the season, Bell has 2 homers and an OPS of 1.049. The main pitch that he and his buddy Soto will see tonight from Brubaker is a slider. Both of them have great numbers vs. sliders. Soto has a .300 ISO against them and Bell has a .229 ISO. These guys are set up to do extremely well tonight.

Outside of those 2, Keibert Ruiz will also be an important piece to this stack. He’s started out the season hitting the ball hard with multiple barrels already and a 50% flyball rate. The Nationals will be a team this season where we’ll want to pick and choose our spots, this is one of those spots today if you’re playing on FanDuel.

Other Stacks I really like today are the Tigers vs. Greinke, Royals vs. Mize, and the Cubs vs. Freeland.

MLB DFS Main Slate Summary

We have a Coors slate! While I tend to try to find ways to avoid Coors when playing MLB DFS, we have limited options with a 6 and 8 game slate tonight with some decent pitchers on the hill or groundball artists. I do really love the spot for the Rockies tonight and they will more than likely be my main stack on DK. On FD, Washington will be more than likely be my core and I’ll look to sprinkle in some Rockies.

Good luck today and hope to see some green tonight!

3 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports Premium

MLB DFS Aces and Bases (Apr. 9)

jason mezrahi 3 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s five-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The biggest weather threat is in Washington for Chris Bassitt’s first start for his new team — the New York Mets! But there’s no enough rain in the area to fade him or any of the Mets’ bats considering a delay would only be likely much later in the game.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Justin Verlander ($10,400)

There isn’t an SP play on the main slate without risk, and Verlander certainly has some of that coming off TJ surgery. But even with that as a factor, the veteran has the best chance to go deeper into this game than the other arms and has the best projection from a strikeouts/IP standpoint on FanDuel. There’s enough of a gap between him and the rest of the arms to consider him the best play in both cash games and GPPs. I firmly believe that a lot of the concerns folks have about Verlander boil down to typical DFS smokescreens they’ve gleaned from some of his comments, and not actual data. The next guy might end up making sense for large-field GPPs, but Verlander always finds a way to get it done, carried a super low 3.03 and 3.18 xFIP in his last two complete seasons (2018 and 2019), and the Angels have plenty of swing-and-miss potential (and not that much pop) one we get past Ohtani and Trout.

Best GPP Option: Joe Musgrove ($10,000)

I may disagree with WinDaily’s Adam Strangis in his assessment of Verlander in his must-read MLB DFS Starting Rotation 4/9 article, but I really like his support of Musgrove, who should see lower ownership as DFS participants search for value or the safety of a name like Verlander. The D-Backs are off to s slow start offensively and Musgrove could turn in a 40-point performance if he can navigate through the left-handed bats in Arizona. I can’t say I’m not concerned about the high HR/FB rates over his career, but Musgrove is a better first half pitcher with a full tank of gas — we just need it to not catch fire.

Contrarian GPP Play: Chris Bassitt ($9,700)

Bassitt finds himself out of Oakland and pitching for a new team on the road in the nation’s capital, but there’s plenty to like from a game theory perspective about using him tonight. Both SPs in this game offer GPP upside, but more could flock to Joan Adon on both sites given his punt price. Bassitt posted a respectable if somewhat inflated 3.93 xFIP last season compared to the 3.15 ERA, but he’s great at missing bats (0.86 WHIP and 9.10 K/9). Adam’s article points out that Bassitt “kept both sides of the plate under a .285 wOBA” — a stat which really stood out. You may need to use Adon in a few if you’re stacking Coors tonight, but if you want to piece together a couple of contrarian stacks and go for the big win in large-field GPPs, Bassitt could be the right path.

More GPP Value: Joan Adon, Kyle Wright

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

We’ve got another huge total Coors game tonight, and the Dodgers are more than a full run ahead of the Rockies in their projected total. That means nabbing Mookie Betts ($4,400), Freddie Freeman ($4,300) and Trea Turner ($4,500), but it would be a slap in the face if I didn’t mention Will Smith ($3,900 — see what I did there?) or Max Muncy at $3,800. It’s also a good idea to do a few wraparound stacks that include 9-hitter Gavin Lux at an affordable $2,900. They won’t be easy to fit,

The Second-best Stack: Atlanta Braves

If you’re not into playing the juggernaut Dodgers or messing around with a popular Coors Field game, you can pivot to the World Champion Atlanta Braves and their impressive projected total (>5.5) against a very hittable Vladimir Gutierrez of the Cincinnati Reds. After the obvious core (1-4) stack of Eddie Rosario ($3,000), Matt Olson ($3,800), Austin Riley ($3,900), and Ozzie Albies ($4,100), we’ve got a couple of possible value plays in Adam Duvall and Alex Dickerson. Duvall has been known to double-dong his way to GPP-winning glory, and Dickerson, if he’s the DH in the lineup, has much less upside but is very cheap for a positive-splits option in a potent lineup. I may deploy a wait-and-see approach to Marcell Ozuna until I see him getting comfortable at the plate again, but he’s also cheap at $3,000.

Value GPP Stack: San Diego Padres

Lost in the slate and the disappointment over the absence of Fernando Tatis, Jr. is a Padres lineup that still has plenty of potential and some powerful bats. I’m prioritizing Manny Machado ($3,800), Jake Cronenworth ($3,300), Trent Grisham ($3,100) and newcomer Luke Voit ($2,700), but there’s even more value in guys like Wil Myers ($2,600) and Eric Hosmer ($2,400). I love that the NL has adopted the DH because we can more easily take advantage of value stacks like the Padres with that extra big bat, and opposing pitcher Zach Davies doesn’t scare me one bit.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/4 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s eight-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:10PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The biggest weather threat is in Cincinnati for the Tigers-Reds game, which if it plays will have to be through heavy rain. If the forecasts changes we can consider the Reds hitters against LHP Matthew Boyd, but this game has a good shot at a PPD so it might just be too risky even for bats.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Framber Valdez ($9,800)

There isn’t an SP play on the main slate without risk, but Valdez offers the best shot at a decent floor with GPP-winning upside. He’s likely where a lot of folks will be starting their cash game builds. If he can avoid the big blow from Fernando Tatis Jr. and navigate through the rest of this lefty-heavy lineup, I’m confident he’ll be sitting somewhere in that 29-46 point range where he’s lived comfortably in his last seven starts. Valdez sports a relatively pedestrian 22.4% K rate this season, but he’s posted at least 6 Ks in five of his last six starts and the Padres don’t necessarily destroy lefty pitching. This slate isn’t pretty for starting pitching, but Valdez is likely the best we’ve got.

Best GPP Value: Reynaldo Lopez ($8,100)

The White Sox starting rotation has taken some hits lately, with both Lane Lynn and Lucas Giolito on the shelf — at least temporarily. If Tony La Russa weren’t so old school, I’d be worried about Lopez going the requisite five innings he needs to pick up the win, but if “Pound-em-down” Tony says Lopez is starting, he’s probably willing to let him go 5-6 IP, which should be plenty long enough to make value against the Royals. Lopez had 42 FD points in his last start (against the Cubs) on August 27, striking out 7 in 5.0 IP and notching a win. We could see similar results tonight.

Contrarian GPP Play: Joe Musgrove ($8,800)

As WinDaily’s Adam Strangis points out in his MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.4 article, Musgrove worked some magic against the Angels his last time on the bump, and gets another tough test facing the Astros — a team that just doesn’t strike out very much and mashes it around the yard (lowest K-rate in baseball, top three in wOBA, wRC+, OPS, and OBP). Musgrove is pitching this game in his team’s NL park, so that helps, and the most recent performance by the Astros against an ancient Jake Arrieta shows that at least they aren’t red-hot heading into the matchup. Both of the implied team totals in this game are under 4 runs, so it could really go either way. I’m assuming that Musgrove’s ownership will be much lower than that of Valdez. If Braves RHP Ian Anderson were looking anything like his 2020 self in his last few starts after returning from injury, I’d have some interest in suing him as a contrarian play in Coors, but that just doesn’t appear to be the wise move tonight.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

We’ve got another huge total Coors game tonight, so if you’re believer they’ll finally give us the shootout we’ve been promised tonight — have at it. But the past couple of nights have given us the highest totals outside of Coors, which is where we’ll be focusing our attention for tonight’s slate. That starts with Dodgers against LHP Sammy Long in San Francisco in a revenge game. This lineup just lost first place to the Giants last night and they absolutely destroy fastballs, and that’s primarily what Long throws. I’m starting my stacks with Trea Turner ($4,300), Mookie Betts ($4,100), A.J. Pollock ($3,200) and Justin Turner ($3,800), but lefties Max Muncy ($4,000 — if he doesn’t sit) and Corey Seager ($3,800) are in play as well.

The Second-best Stack: Chicago White Sox

If you’re not into playing the juggernaut Dodgers in a pitcher’s park, then consider rolling out the White Sox, who project well against young lefty Daniel Lynch. Lynch has been solid lately and has some contrarian upside in his own right tonight, but the smart money (4.95 projected team total for the Sox) is on Luis Robert ($4,200), Jose Abreu ($4,100), Eloy Jimenez ($3,600) and Yasmani Grandal ($3,500) pulvering baseballs and giving us a big offensive night. Andrew Vaughn and his .380 wOBA vs. LHP is the best value option at just $2,500, while Leury Garcia ($2,300) who sports positive splits against LHP (.320 wOBA) makes sense as well if you need the salary savings and need to drop one of the bigger bats.

Value GPP Stack: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels offense just hasn’t been great the last couple of weeks, sporting a relatively weak wRC+ of 78 and .128 ISO over the past 14 days. But that all changes tonight against LHP Kolby Allard. On the season, the splits against LHP are solid, with a team wOBA of .322, ISO of .180 and 105 wRC+, numbers that match well against Allard and his ERA and FIP — both north of 5.00. Plus, the wind is blowing out to right field in a hitter’s park, and the temperature is the highest of any game in the slate. We’re going to see some runs scored in Anaheim tonight, and I’m starting my stacks with Shohei Ohtani ($4,500), David Fletcher ($2,900), Jo Adell ($2,500) and Justin Upton ($2,700). Max Stassi ($2,900) is in play if he starts, and so is “Fabulous” Phil Gosselin ($2,300) if he’s high in the order.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/21 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 6:40PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The biggest weather threat is in Baltimore for the Braves-Orioles, and while we can certainly target hitters for this game, I’m not interested in either pitching option. Pricing is really tight on FD, much unlike the free squares for Colorado on DK, and it feels like all the best hitters on the slate are $3,500 and up — but we have some ways to attack this in GPPs and give ourselves a great shot at spiking a top finish.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Eduardo Rodriguez ($9,800)

It may seem crazy to say given his dynamic range of outcomes, but Rodriguez facing the strikeout-prone Rangers is the clear ace of the slate, especially with how much weight FD gives Ks and just how iffy the next two options (Joe Musgrove and Aaron Nola) have been over their past few starts. I love a good risk-reward pick as much as the next guy, but we just haven’t seen enough from the starting pitchers in the PHI-SD game to warrant using them at those prices. Rodriguez, though, gets a great spot against a Rangers team that is dead last in wOBA (.284) vs. LHP. He has 10K upside in this matchup and should get the requisite run support to notch a W. The only problem in rostering him comes when it’s time to stack up some hitters, but we do have some great value options on the Cardinals (more on that later).

Best GPP Value: J.A. Happ ($8,100)

The crafty veteran lefty is definitely someone that we could have looked to attack with right-handed mashers earlier in the season, but he’s completely turned around his season this August. Since he was traded to St. Louis, Happ’s allowed just three runs over 16.2 innings (1.62 ERA) with an 11:5 K:BB in his three outings. He’s sporting a dynamite .251 wOBA against opposing hitters in that stretch, and there’s nobody on this Pirates lineup that really scares me. He’s looking at around 25-30 as a floor with 45+ upside at a price point where nobody else has that kind of ceiling. He’s worth the investment and leaves $3,300+ per hitter — which helps us get the guys we need.

The other GPP Play: Wade Miley ($8,800)

Nobody likes playing soft-tossing Wade Miley, but he’s probably going to be relatively popular on this slate because he draws the Marlins, a lineup that’s chock full of some guys that aren’t necessarily household names. In fact, his popularity could dictate a few GPP stacks of the Marlins hitters just because it’ll be easy to get a portion of our builds way ahead of the projected ownership for guys like Lewis Brinson, Jesus Aguilar and Brian Anderson. But in my GPP builds where I’m not stacking Marlins, he’s a viable value option. I just wouldn’t exceed 20-25% with him if we’re doing 10+ lineups. He’s another guy with a 25-30 point floor and 45+ upside, but like I said — he’ll be pretty chalky, and if we’re looking for leverage we’re looking elsewhere.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Boston Red Sox

With all due respect to the game in Coors and the Braves against Matt Harvey in a game that’s likely to get pretty wet, my top stack is going to be the Red Sox against Jordan Lyles, who’s been dreadful. Lyles sports a .355 wOBA, .207 ISO, 40+% hard contact rate, 1.7 HR/9, a miniscule 16% K rate, a hilariously high 11% BB rate and a 49% fly ball rate. The Sox are going to mash, and getting exposure to their 1-7 hitters is a priority. The top four among them would be J.D. Martinez ($4,000), Rafael Devers ($4,200), Xander Bogaerts ($4,100) and Hunter Renfroe ($3,600) — who’s having a career year and has greatly improved his production vs. RHP. I also like leadoff man Kike Hernandez ($3,600), Kyle Schwarber ($3,700) and Alex Verdugo ($3,000) and, if he gets the start, a dirt-cheap Travis Shaw ($2,300). I’ll be mixing and matching Sox builds in just about all of my GPP entries, except for the random couple where I get some Coors exposure — which I don’t think is a huge priority on this slate based on FD’s inflated pricing. There’s plenty of value in that Colorado lineup on DK, but it’s cost prohibitive on FD where we need to save a few bucks.

GPP Value Stack: St. Louis Cardinals

The Cards are the clear value play that allows us to fit Rodriguez and/or the necessary Red Sox bats. Tommy Edman ($3,000), Tyler O’Neill ($3,200), Paul Goldschmidt ($3,800) and Nolan Arenado ($4,300) are the best four bats, but we might not be able to get Goldy and Arenado in there because of their hefty prices — which is fine in GPPs since we have more options in Paul DeJong ($2,700) and Harrison Bader ($2,900). Yadier Molina is really inexpensive at $2,500, and he’s locked into that No. 5 spot right in the middle of all the action.

Contrarian GPP Stack: Miami Marlins

We’ll start with the guys I mentioned earlier — Aguilar ($2,900), Brinson ($2,800) and Anderson ($2,900) and throw in Miguel Rojas ($2,800) for good measure. Wade Miley limits hard contact, but this is a bunch that could fluster him by just getting the ball in play, and relying on the “bloop and a blast” method. Again — this is a contrarian mini-stack not to be used in more than 20-25% of your GPP builds if you’re multi-entering. Jazz Chisholm, Jr. ($3,200) and Jesus Sanchez ($2,300) are also options.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/14 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Possibility for a stray shower that could cause a late start or brief delay at Citi Field for Dodgers-Mets, but other than that we don’t have to worry about much other than the usual weirdness in these trying times!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($11,500)

The price may prohibit us from getting all the bats we want, but there’s no denying that Buehler offers the safest option for cash games as long s the weather looks like it will hold prior to lock. The Mets are just about middle-of-the-road in K rate in MLB (23.6%), and Buehler’s pitch repertoire all but guarantees they’ll have trouble barreling him up tonight. From a MLB DFS perspective, there’s plenty of reason to steer away on GPPs and single-entry builds where we’d like to get some big bats, but there may be some sneaky stack value that could help us combine Buehler’s high floor with the hitting points necessary to nail down a solid cash game lineup.

NOTE: If you’re willing to assume a little more risk and need the extra savings, Joe Musgrove ($9,600) is also a viable option against a somewhat feckless Arizona lineup.

Best GPP Value: Luis Garcia ($7,900)

Garcia is woefully mispriced on FD and we’re going to take advantage in GPPs. In his MLB DFS Starting Rotation 8.14 article, Adam Strangis points out that Garcia has a great spot for production here, and that’s a DK-oriented piece where he’s actually priced at $9,900, while Buehler is just $10,600. On FD, however, we only need one SP — and Garcia’s average of 31.7 PPG (with duel season highs of 52 points coming in his last start and two of his last four starts) is a huge plus. He’s clearly our best bang for the buck against an Angels lineup that has a few bright spots but has been among the worst in the league over the past 14 days (.214/.282/.314 team slash; .264 team wOBA and 66 wRC+). Single-entry, large-field GPP — maybe even cash games — I’ll be all over Garcia tonight in MLB DFS tonight.

Contrarian GPP Play: Dylan Cease ($8,900)

The Yankees offense is very scary, but they do strike out at a 24.3% rate this season and this game will not be played in a wind tunnel Field of Dreams where any hard hit fly ball ends up in the corn. Cease is projected for over 30 FD points and he could easily exceed the 40-point mark if he can avoid the walks and big blast (he’s made big strides in 2021, lowering his BB/9% to 3.69 from 5.25 in a tumultuous 2020). He should carry low ownership against the Bronx Bombers and pitching on his home field should help a bit, as he’s posted a .267 wOBA on the South Side of Chicago, compared to .301 in road games. This is a risky play but Cease does have upside in this matchup if he can keep the Yankees off base and limit the HR damage to solo blasts.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

Taijuan Walker hasn’t been too good since the end of June, yielding a whopping .464 wOBA since the All-Star break and an almost hilarious .333/.406/.711 slash line to opposing hitters. And now, folks, he gets to face the Los Angeles Dodgers! We can focus our attention on the lefties here. making a point to include Cody Bellinger ($3,600) — who’s really been heating up — along with Corey Seager ($3,200), Max Muncy ($3,700) and finish off our four-man stack with RHB A.J. Pollock ($3,100), who’s still relatively cheap. Trea Turner is also worth a look, but he’s expensive at $4,000, and if Albert Pujols ($2,200) starts he’ll be a bargain.

GPP Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

I profited quite a bit from having almost 100% of Austin Slater ($2,500) and Wilmer Flores ($3,000) last night in the late slate contests, and we want to take advantage of their soft prices and crazy splits against LHP again tonight, as they’ll be facing Rockies SP Kyle Freeland, a southpaw with a .364 wOBA (and nine HR allowed this season in 52.0 total IP) against right-handed batters. Throw in cleanup hitter Darin Ruf ($2,700) and (future HOFer?) Buster Posey ($3,300) and you’ve got a solid and inexpensive four-man stack, viable for cash or GPP. 3B/OF.UTIL eligible Kris Bryant is also worth a look and makes sense to mix in if you can afford him at $3,900, and we have another cheap option in Donovan Solano ($2,500), who’s having an excellent second half (.307/.381/.453).

GPP Stack #2: Houston Astros

The Astros could also be popular tonight, and I’m fine starting my builds with Michael Brantley ($3,000), Yordan Alvarez ($3,900), Kyle Tucker ($3,200) and GPP wunderkind Aledmys Diaz ($2,700). Sure, we can squeeze in Jose Altuve ($3,800) if we can afford him and there’s no reason to bet against Carlos Correa ($3,500) and value option Chas McCormick ($2,300) if he gets into the lineup. Angels SP Jaime Barria has been decent since returning from Triple-A in late July, but this Astros lineup is just too good at making contact and barreling up baseballs. Don’t forget to mix in a stack or two in your GPPs.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/7 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Some light rain in Baltimore, where I’m not looking at pitchers anyway, and some normal pop-up chances in Atlanta and Cincy, but nothing tumultuous that could PPD a game we’re featuring. Giddyup!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($10,000)

Urias may not have the highest upside on the slate, but both he and a pitcher to be named later offer the best chance at safety in cash games. His solid July numbers (2.30 ERA, .264 wOBA, 20% K rate, 5.6% BB rate) portend a more steady stretch in the season’s second half. The scuffling Angels have hit just .216/.271/.342 over the past week and this should not be considered a get-right spot for the halos. I’ll be plugging Urias in about half my cash and a third of my GPP lines tonight and moving on to some value stacks.

Best GPP Value: Yu Darvish ($9,600)

Last week we discussed how Darvish has struggled in July and had a good spot against the Rockies and he got lit up (including yielding a HR to the opposing pitcher, German Marquez) for 5 ER — though he did rack up 8 Ks and 27 FD points. This time we have reason to expect he can improve on those numbers and hit the 40+ threshold we’re looking for in GPPs. Adam Strangis discusses Darvish’s matchup in the 8/7 Starting Rotation article and as usual it’s a must-read. Darvish has been a reverse-splits pitcher in 2021 because of the soft contact he induces against LHB, and with the D-Backs’ featuring a slew of lefty hitters and the team K rate at 23.6% (24.4% vs. RHP), he’s once again in a great spot for GPPs.

Value Cash/Single-Entry GPP Play: Charlie Morton ($8,700)

At one point, a matchup against the Nationals would have scared me off a guy like Morton, and there may still be some oblivious DFS folks who don’t take advantage of what we’re really getting on this slate with the veteran hurler in this spot. That’s a solid floor of around 30-35 FD points and the opportunity to notch 55-60+ points if he hits his ceiling. Over his past nine starts dating back to June 17, Morton has at least 25 FD points in every one, with four in the 45+ point range and three at 52, 54 and 64 FD points. The Nats have been decimated by injuries and trades and have only or two hitters that really frighten me, so I’ll have some shares of Morton in both cash and GPPs where I may need the extra $1,000 to $1,300 to squeeze in a potent stack.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies

This idea that we don’t have to tell you to play hitters n Coors has been around for quite a while, but some days you need to reiterate just how high the team total for Colorado (or in many cases their opponent) is. Today’s the home team is in a really great spot against a talented but unproven starter in Jesus Luzardo that may not be ready for the Mile-High treatment. There’s a very good avenue to some decent value in fastball-mashing Brendan Rogers ($3,500) and Elias Diaz ($3,400) before we have to pay a premium for Trevor Story ($4,300) and C.J. Cron ($4,000), and we could always mix in a guy like Yonathan Daza ($3,000). It’s not a slate we need to overthink, and getting exposure to the Rockies is a good idea on a slate where they won’t garner that high of the ownership share.

GPP Stack: Cincinnati Reds

They’ve been RED-hot as of late and just got Mike Moustakas back from the IL Damn near everybody in the lineup got in on the action last night, and now we’ve got a roster chock full of left-handed hitters looking to annihilate Mitch Keller and exceed the massive projected 6+ run total the Cincy crew is carrying into the slate. Moustakas is a ridiculous bargain at $2,500, while some of the usual suspects — Joey Votto ($4,100), Jesse Winker ($4,100), Jonathan India ($3,700) and Nick Castellanos ($3,500) — still feel underpriced somehow. Throw in Kyle Farmer ($2,900), who’s been on absolute fire in the second half (.421/.470/.671 slash line, 1.141 OPS with a 200 wRC+), and lefty Tyler Naquin ($2,900) — and you’ve got plenty of options to choose from.

Contrarian Stack: Cleveland Indians

With the majority of ownership heading to the Rockies, Reds and likley the Dodgers and Braves, I’m more than happy to give the future Guardians a chance to put up galactic numbers against a weak Detroit southpaw (Tyler Alexander) and bullpen. Getting exposure to the top four — Myles Straw ($2,600), Amed Rosario ($2,900), Jose Ramirez ($3,700), Franmil Reyes ($3,500) is optimal, and we can take a few shots with Harold Ramirez (2,400), Bobby Bradley ($2,500) and Oscar Mercado ($2,500) if we need some bargain plays. If we want to pay up for a top arm and fade Coors in some lineups, there’s a few cheap and potent bats on the Detroit end (facing the hittable Eli Morgan) to make this a full game stack! Let’s go DET-CLE!!

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 07/20

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a big 13 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

Pitching looks to be much better than last night. While we still don’t have the high powered arms that command high salaries, we still have a few solid pitchers that can get the job done while striking out some batters.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Aaron Nola ($9.1k) vs. New York Yankees – Really like this spot for Nola tonight. There’s a little bit of a concern with there being some rust as he hasn’t pitched in a couple of weeks. He should be healthy though as he was only on the COVID IL due to contract tracing.

The Yankees will still be without their key bat in Judge. The lineup that he’s projected to face tonight has a 28% K rate on the year against righties. With Nola’s season long K rate standing at 30% we know there’s going to be potential for a healthy amount of K’s tonight.

Nola has touched double digit strike outs in 2 of his last 3 outings. I like his chances of doing it again tonight and pulling out the W.

German Marquez ($8.6k) vs. Seattle Mariners – We are getting an ace level pitcher at a reduced price due to Coors. In Marquez we’re also getting a pitcher that has done exceptionally well at Coors. Marquez has been nothing short of brilliant this year. His xFIP is sitting at 3.76 to go with a 26% K rate.

Over the past month Marquez has been able to improve on his K rate which is sitting at 31% during that stretch. He’s facing off against a team today that has K’d at a 26% clip against righties this year. While Kelenic is back up in the majors he’s not at the point yet where’s going to make this a formidable offense. Look for Marquez to continue his solid stretch of pitching tonight.

Tarik Skubal ($8.2k) vs. Texas Rangers – The free swinging Rangers are back! Since returning from the All Star break they have a near 28% K rate. Mize plus the Tigers bullpen were able to strike out 10 Rangers last night. Skubal is never a safe play as he still gives up more fly balls and hard hits than desired, but he’s also shown at times elite K upside.

In Skubal we’re getting someone in the low 8K range that has multiple games this year with 8 or more strike outs. With Rangers striking out more of late I really want to look to take advantage of it. This is a good spot tonight for Skubal.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Colorado Rockies vs. Marco Gonzales – I often try to not write up teams playing in Coors because they tend to be chalk and well, it’s Coors. It’s an obvious hitting environment. With Gonzales on the hill though I really want to make sure I highlight the spot that the Rockies are in tonight.

Gonzales has been very bad this year. He’s given up a 46% hard hit rate with a 43% fly ball rate. If we add in the fact that he has a K rate of only 19% we know he’s just giving up way too many hard hits and way too many fly balls. Every single one of his pitches has a negative fangraphs’ rating. That’s bad.

He’s been especially bad to righties this year, giving up a .377 ISO with a 49% hard hit rate. The obvious play here is Story ($3.8k) but both Hampson ($2.9k) and Rodgers ($2.9k) have been crushing lefties this year with ISO’s greater than .244 and wOBA’s over .400. CJ Cron ($3.7k) is also someone that should feast on the sinkers coming from Gonzales.

Chicago White Sox vs. Baily Ober – Ober has already faced the White Sox three times this season. Two of the outings were bad and his last outing was really good. My bet is that he returns to form and has a third bat outing against the White Sox.

Ober just hasn’t quite shown yet he can consistently get Major League hitters out. Over his last 16 innings of work he’s given up 6 homers. No pitcher on today’s slate is giving up homers at a quicker pace than Ober over the last month. He has been better against righties this year so I’ll want to make sure I grab the lefties in this lineup. I’ll be starting with Goodwin ($2.9k) who has a .333 ISO against righties this year and Sheets ($2.5k) who has a .444 ISO.

While his K rate jumps to 33% against righties, he’s also giving up a 46% fly ball rate and 44% hard hit rate so we don’t really need to shy away from that side of the plate in this match-up. I’ll be making sure to get Abreu ($3.6k) and Anderson ($3.6k) into this stack. Since the All Star break Anderson is one of the hottest hitters in the game with 3 barrels and a 1.529 OPS.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Robert Stock – I’m going right back to the well with Reds tonight. Mets are going with Stock as their spot starter tonight and it very well could turn into a bullpen game for the Mets as Stock has only made it through 4 innings in both starts this year.

The Mets bullpen over the past 30 days has been dreadful with a 5.53 xFIP and they are as taxed as you can be. I’m going to focus on the same guys as last night. Winker ($3.2k), Votto ($2.8k), and Naquin ($2.2k) should do well again. I love this lineup even more if Castellanos ($3.6k) is back.

From a pure game stack the Tor/Bos will have fireworks again tonight. Right now the weather in the game looks awful as starting in the afternoon there’s essentially a 70% chance of storms throughout the night. If the weather clears up both teams would become a priority as Richards is trash and the Blue Jays are going with essentially a bullpen game.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Tonight’s looking like another fun night w/ some potentially for high run totals. Thankfully we have some betting pitching to use.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 6/5 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

No major weather concerns, but there’s a game in Coors with an 11.5 point total and two pitchers, one — LHP Kyle Freeland — with 7 BB in 8.0 IP so far this season and the other, visiting lefty SP Cole Irvin — with a .358 career road wOBA. It goes without saying to get exposure to this game, but we’ll give you some other options to consider.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Jacob deGrom ($11,500)

It’s hard to click any other name at SP on FD, even though Kevin Gausman’s last four starts (averaging 52.5 FD points and 9 K per game) have the edge on deGrom’s last four (43.25 FD points and 8 K per game). The Mets ace costs just $300 more than Gausman and boasts a very silly 1.53 xFIP, compared to a still-impressive 3.07 for the Giants RHP. I’ll have shares of both, but deGrom is still deGOAT.

Best GPP Value: Joe Musgrove ($8,300)

He’s much harder to trust than the big dogs, but Muskrat Joe (2.08 ERA, 2.65 xFIP, 11.72 K/9 in 11 starts this season) is a dynamic pitcher who can break a slate. The salary savings allow you to get whatever Coors game stack you want, albeit with a much higher risk. There are definitely signs that regression is coming, as Musgrove’s .212 BABIP is a solid 80 percentage points lower than his career metric (.294), but I’m willing to ride out another start about this pesky DFS darling.

Contrarian GPP Play: Kevin Gausman ($11,200)

Gausman’s numbers are amazing this season, and as discussed earlier in the deGrom writeup, he’s on a helluva run with his K numbers. The Cubs strike out at a 25.2% team rate, a lot more than the Padres (21.1%), so I’m inclined to be overweight on Gausman in GPPs for the additional leverage, as deGrom should still earn more ownership. Again — pricing is pretty soft for some of the high-projected-total games, so the big spend SPs will make up about 90 percent of the ownership.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies vs. OAK LHP Cole Irvin

The A’s are a fine choice for top spot too, with Mark Canha ($4,200), Matt Chapman ($3,800), Matt Olson ($4,400)and Jed Lowrie ($3,600) being the obvious four-man stack at or near the top of the order. But they are pretty expensive, and they might be tough to fit in some cases with deGrom or Gausman up top. Canha is an impressive hitter who sees the ball well and makes for an amazing leadoff hitter in Coors, so I’ll haver some Colorado stacks that add on him as the primary one-off for OAK, and then find a three-man stack from another game for leverage. For the Rockies, I prefer C.J. Cron ($3,700), Charlie Blackmon ($3,900), Garrett Hampson ($3,300) and Joshua Fuentes ($3,400) against Irvin (who’s given up 24 hits over his last three starts), though there may be some other necessary value plays depending on who starts.

Value Stack: New York Yankees vs. BOS LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Rodriguez has been very “gettable” in his last three starts, and while the Yankees strike out a lot, Yankee Stadium is getting hot and humid and the wind is blowing out to right center today, aiding some of those power righty bats in the Bronx. There’s loads of value and upside in rostering a three or four-man Yankees stack tonight, with D.J. LeMahieu ($3,000), Aaron Judge ($3,600) and Gleyber Torres ($2,900) as my three favorite “spends” and Gio Urshela ($2,500), Gary Sanchez ($2,400) and Clint Frazier ($2,300) clocking in with serious bargain prices.

Contrarian Stack: Los Angeles Angels vs. SEA LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Kikuchi has been okay in 2021, but he hasn’t been missing as many bats in his last few starts, opening himself up for a possible letdown against the home team Angels and their parade of right-handed power bats, including Justin Upton ($3,000), Anthony Rendon ($3,200) and Taylor Ward. ($2,600) And there’s obviously Shohei Ohtani ($4,000), whose metrics against LHP are a bit down in ’21. But $2K punts Phil Gosselin ($2,000) and Juan Lagares ($2,000) are in play (if they play) tonight, as Gosselin boasts great numbers vs. LHP (.460 wOBA in 26 AB this season)

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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Colorado Rockies

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Logan Webb vs. Baltimore Orioles

Jon Gray vs. Seattle Mariners

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

San Diego Padres vs. Jameson Taillon

Colorado Rockies vs. Jordan Lyles

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Jacob deGrom vs. Kansas City Royals

Kevin Gausman vs. Houston Astros

Corbin Burnes vs. Seattle Mariners

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Colorado Rockies vs. Dick Mountain

Texas Rangers vs. Jordan Lyles

MLB DFS Summary

MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate

Colorado Rockies vs. Justin Steele

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cessa/Sanmartin

Washington Nationals vs. Brubaker (FD Only)

MLB DFS Main Slate Summary

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Justin Verlander ($10,400)

Best GPP Option: Joe Musgrove ($10,000)

Contrarian GPP Play: Chris Bassitt ($9,700)

More GPP Value: Joan Adon, Kyle Wright

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

The Second-best Stack: Atlanta Braves

Value GPP Stack: San Diego Padres

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Framber Valdez ($9,800)

Best GPP Value: Reynaldo Lopez ($8,100)

Contrarian GPP Play: Joe Musgrove ($8,800)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

The Second-best Stack: Chicago White Sox

Value GPP Stack: Los Angeles Angels

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Eduardo Rodriguez ($9,800)

Best GPP Value: J.A. Happ ($8,100)

The other GPP Play: Wade Miley ($8,800)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Boston Red Sox

GPP Value Stack: St. Louis Cardinals

Contrarian GPP Stack: Miami Marlins

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($11,500)

Best GPP Value: Luis Garcia ($7,900)

Contrarian GPP Play: Dylan Cease ($8,900)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

GPP Value Stack: San Francisco Giants

GPP Stack #2: Houston Astros

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($10,000)

Best GPP Value: Yu Darvish ($9,600)

Value Cash/Single-Entry GPP Play: Charlie Morton ($8,700)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies

GPP Stack: Cincinnati Reds

Contrarian Stack: Cleveland Indians

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Jacob deGrom ($11,500)

Best GPP Value: Joe Musgrove ($8,300)

Contrarian GPP Play: Kevin Gausman ($11,200)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Colorado Rockies vs. OAK LHP Cole Irvin

Value Stack: New York Yankees vs. BOS LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Contrarian Stack: Los Angeles Angels vs. SEA LHP Yusei Kikuchi

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