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Cleveland Browns

Week 9 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Kelce Killin’ It

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for Week 9 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win some green!

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Week9 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. MIN

FD ($6,700) DK ($6,900)

It’s a stark reality that most TEs just aren’t that reliable in DFS, but Kelce (65 targets, 42-604-2 this season) is about as automatic for 10+ fantasy points as you can get. He’s got only one game this season (9.8 DK points in Week 8 against the Texans) where he didn’t reach that mark – but he was darn close, and he said he was disgusted with his performance vs. Green Bay. The Vikings have a solid defense but are middle of the roads vs. TEs, and even with one more week of Matt Moore under center for the Chiefs, Kelce is one of the two best cash game plays.

DarrenWaller, OAK vs. DET

FD ($6,800) DK ($6,300)

Waller didn’t have a great week last Sunday (he caught just two of eight targets for 11 yards and a touchdown), a result of constant attention from the Houston defense, though his score salvaged what would have been a DFS disaster. The matchup is much better for Week 9 DFS against a Lions defense that ranks 27th against TEs. Waller is still seeing plentiful targets, so he’s about as safe as it gets for cash games.

Week9 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. GB

FD ($6,400) DK ($6,000)

The Chargers TE is oneof the top GPP plays, as he’s a consensus Top 5 five this week. With 23 targetsover his past three games, Henry is an elite GPP play with multi-TD upsidefacing the Packers.

JimmyGraham, GB at LAC

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,300)

The veteran TE is a huge bargain on DK but makes for a solid GPP play on both sites. There’s 15-20 point upside, which is actually a pretty high mark this week given the player pool. He’s worth a look in Week 9 DFS because of the matchup and his QB – but Graham’s play this season has been streaky. He’s pretty far down the list in the consensus Week 9 rankings, so his ownership shouldn’t be too high.

GregOlsen, CAR vs. TEN

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,500)

Olsen had a solid start with two monster games in his first three weeks, but he’s been held scoreless over his past four appearances. He dealt with a back injury in late September, but hasn’t had a designation in a while and is facing a Titans defense that’s yielded plenty of scores to opposing TEs. He’s an under-the-radar GPP play in a decent matchup.

ZachErtz, PHI vs. CHI

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,700)

The main slate ismissing several of the game’s best TEs due to prime-time affairs or bye weeks,so we’re going to have to take chances in GPPs, and Ertz is a huge risk at themoment – with three straight games scoring fewer than 10 DK points and just oneTD on the season. The price has come down on DK to a point that’s reasonable,and his upside makes me comfortable rolling him out in GPPs – even against theBears.

Week9 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

JonnuSmith, TEN at CAR

FD ($5,500) DK ($3,800)

With fellow Titans TE Delanie Walker (ankle) ruled out, Smithdraws another start in Week 9 against the Panthers, and while the matchup istougher than last week, I’m going right back to the well following his 6-78-1 (onseven targets) performance.

EricEbron, IND at PIT

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,600)

Ebron has been a hit-or-miss fantasy option this season,but he’s in a good spot against the Steelers. He’s mired in a timeshare attight end with Jack Doyle, but has at least three targets in every game this seasonand has scored over 10 DK points in three contests – the three he caught TDpasses in. It’s possible he and Doyle will both get more targets in the comingweeks with T.Y. Hilton slated to miss time, even if their upside is limited abit with both TEs healthy.

RyanGriffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,400)

Griffin has been one of the lone bright spots these pastcouple weeks for the Jets, and he’s coming off his best game of the season, atwo-touchdown performance against the Jaguars (4-66-2). I keep hearing talkthat Griffin will be relegated to a backup role once Chris Herndon returns fromhis hamstring injury, which could be as soon as this week in Miami, but Herndonis still a 50-50 shot to play. If he sits, Griffin is an option.

T.J.Hockenson, DET at OAK

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,700)

The rookie tight end hasbeen relatively quiet lately, with just four catches in his last two weeks, butthat could change versus an Oakland defense that’s 28th against TEs. He’s stillgot 15-20 point upside but is a TD-dependent option who’s fine for GPPs.

Additional Week 9 DFS GPP and punt options:

Cameron Brate, TB at SEA (FD $5,100, DK $3,100)

Jack Doyle, IND at PIT (FD $5,000, DK $3,000)

Trey Burton, CHI at PHI (FD $4,800, DK $2,900)

Anthony Firkser, TEN at CAR (FD $4,700, DK $2,500)

Noah Fant, DEN vs. CLE (FD $4,600, DK $3,000)

Foster Moreau, OAK at HOU (FD $4,900, DK $2,600)

Week 9 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BuffaloBills (BUF vs. WAS)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

The Bills have disappointed us as the chalk DST before, but they’ve been serviceable against bad offenses, and this week they have a great home matchup against Washington. They’re relatively safe, have some upside, and Washington has just a 13-point implied total – the lowest of Week 9 – with turnover-prone rookie Dwayne Haskins starting at QB. The Bills DST should rebound in a big way.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. CHI)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,000)

Considering the Bears have one of the worst offenses in football and the Eagles defensive unit has been solid, I’m giving the Eagles the green light in cash games this week. Philly’s DST dropped 35 DK points on the Jets in Week 5, and they have similar upside this week against Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears.

DenverBroncos (DEN vs. CLE)

FD ($4,300) DK ($2,900)

If you’re looking for a cheap defense to play in cashgames, the Broncos face a turnover-prone Browns team at Mile High, where they usuallyplay a lot better as a unit. Give them a look if you’re in a salary crunch foryour lineup’s final spot.

Week9 DFS DST GPP Plays

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. TB)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,600)

Seattle faces a Bucs team that’s got an implied total of 24.5 points, but Jameis Winston has thrown seven INTs over his past two weeks, making them a great GPP play. The secondary does have some issues with depth – last Sunday they were missing Tre Flowers, Quandre Diggs among others, and saw just a handful of snaps from Bradley McDougald. Those recurring injury problems and the implied total make them a little riskier for cash, but they’re one of my top tournament plays of Week 9.

GreenBay Packers (GB at LAC)

FD ($4,400) DK ($3,400)

The Packers were an under-the-radar DST for a while, and now’sthey’re one of the top defenses thanks to stellar play from the entire unit, especiallyZa’Darius Smith and Preston Smith at LB. And they have Darnell Savage back atsafety – which gives them a big boost. I’ll have some Aaron Jones/GB DSTlineups in GPPs.

NewYork Jets (NYJ at MIA)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,500)

The Jets defense is a bit of a mess right now with a lot ofbackup players forced into starting roles, but the matchup versus Miami means wehave to consider them.

ChicagoBears (CHI at PHI)

FD ($4,400) DK ($2,900)

The Bears DST came into the season a juggernaut, had acouple monster games in weeks 3 and 4, and now is struggling to make a bigsplash because of how poorly the offense is playing. They’re under $3K on DKnow, and the Eagles offensive line is in disarray, so that’s enough for me toconsider them in DFS.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE at DEN)

FD ($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Browns get to face an untested QB, and they still havean effective pass rush and decent cornerbacks – so I’m buying some shares in Week9. A risk as a road play, but one with plenty of upside.

Week9 DFS DST Punt Plays

Carolina Panthers CAR vs. TEN)

FD ($4,000) DK ($2,800)

The Panthers are cheap and their opponent, the Titans, havean implied total under 20 – making this one of the bets matchups of Week 9. Don’toverthink it.

MiamiDolphins (MIA vs. NYJ)

FD ($3,600) DK ($2,700)

The Dolphins defense has its moments – and so does SamDarnold the Ghost Whisperer. Seriously, though, we can make a case for theDolphins DST even in full tank mode based solely on the awfulness of the Jets.

WashingtonRedskins (WAS at BUF)

FD ($3,000) DK ($1,800)

The ultimate punt, it shouldn’t be hard for this team to make 4x or 5x value at the $1,800 price tag. I like Josh Allen, but he’s far from perfect, and has been known to throw ‘em to the opposition.

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Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

Focused on TEs, here, I will go with Kelce, Ertz and Olsen for a goal of 17.5 at 2x.

Photo of Travis Kelce by: Master Sgt. April Wickes, U.S. Air Force

6 years ago 0 comments

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NFL Sunday!

Richard Masana 6 years ago

written by Richard Masana

Cash with Flash Best Bets had an interesting Saturday, finishing 2-1 with our NHL suggestions and had Tampa Bay been able to hold its one-goal third-period lead, they wouldn’t have lost in overtime handing Cash with Flash Best Bets another overtime National Hockey League loss.

The NBA was okay but as someone who has watched plenty of the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers basketball, Cash with Flash Best Bets figured the Pacers would cover the five points and we missed that. The Toronto Raptors easily covered the three points and defeated the Chicago Bulls and the Los Angeles Clippers failed to cover the nine points and Cash with Flash Best Bets wound up 1-2 on the night in the National Basketball Association.

Another .500day for Cashwith Flash Best Bets seems to be the status quo for the last couple ofweeks but at us least, we aren’t losing and thankfully we have had two winningdays this week to keep us in the black as we head into the close of the week.

NFL Underdogs

The underdogs didn’t fare as well last weekend but have anoverall record of 59-43-2 this season and had you played every underdog thisseason you would be profitable.

NFL Road Teams

NFL road teams have done well through seven weeks and a63-38-2 ATS record is nothing to sneeze at. Catch an under-valued road dawglike New Orleans against over-valued home teams like the paper tiger ChicagoBears and that’s money in the bank.

Bankroll Management

Cashwith Flash Best Bets can’t stress enough how important managingyour bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financialsituation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll managementplan to help you reach them.

Slack Chat

Our sports betting slack chat seems to be increasing inparticipation and that’s a good thing. That channel is available for our Goldand Platinum subscribers and a good way for you to get some one-on-one adviceand someone is always there to help with your questions and offer advice ifneeded.

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Cashwith Flash Best Bets has the following National Football League suggestions for you today.

Cleveland Browns vs New EnglandPatriots 4:25 pm ET

Cash withFlash Bets Bets: Patriots -10.5.

It’s goingto be a rainy, windy mess in Foxboro this afternoon and the Browns bring a 2-4record against the undefeated Patriots. New England boasts the best defense inthe NFL and the Browns rank #23 according to Football Outsiders.

Brownsquarterback Baker Mayfield has a 49 percent completion rate without a touchdownand one interception when being blitzed and you can bet the Patriots know thisand will blitz like crazy. The Patriots defense has 26 sacks and 18interceptions and is going to make Mayfield’s life interesting Sunday.

Cashwith Flash Best Bets suggests laying the wood and playing the Patriots to cover the spreadSunday afternoon.

Cashwith Flash Best Bets is also interested in the following games for Sunday.

TennesseeTitans -140 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

BuffaloBills -130 over Philadelphia Eagles

JacksonvilleJaguars -6.5 over New York Jets

SanFrancisco 49ers -4.5 over Carolina Panthers

LosAngeles Rams -12.5 over Cincinnati Bengals

DetroitLions -6.5 over New York Giants

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The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and donot reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/orexecutives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this siteare for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representationsas to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of anyinformation on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, ordelays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from itsdisplay or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting Premium

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: NFL Sunday!

6 years ago

written by

Cash with the Flash Best Bets had a tough Saturday across the board. It was a weird day and we’re ready for NFL Sunday football. It will be a great way to forget about a terrible week and a good way to kick back and relax as Cash with the Flash Best Bets prepares for a hopefully much better week ahead.

Cashwith the Flash Best Bets is still shaking our head at how the NHL games played outand it was a weird day and everything that could possibly go wrong did.

Today isn’t going to be any easier with the three games on the NHL schedule. The six teams playing today also played yesterday and Vegas hasn’t posted anything yet about today’s three-game slate.

If Vegasdoesn’t have a strong enough opinion to post a line, then Cashwith the Flash Bets will leave this one alone today.

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There is a goodNFL slate today and plenty of games to talk about, so why not have a look?

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets for Sunday

New OrleansSaints vs JacksonvilleJaguars 1:00 pm ET

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: Saints +3 Points, Saints +130

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets likes the New Orleans Saints as the road underdog at +3over the Jacksonville Jaguars. New Orleans has won three straight and TeddyBridgewater is 18-2 ATS against non-conference opponents including whenhe was the starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings. The status forSaints running back Alvin Kamarais still up in the air but I like Latavious Murray and he’s a terrific backup. Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Saints to cover thethree points against the Jaguars today Cash with the Flash Bets would alsolike you to consider playingthe Saints on the money line at +130.

PittsburghSteelers vs LosAngeles Chargers 8:20 pm ET

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: Steelers +6.5 Points

The Chargershave a banged-up offensive line with center Mike Pouncey and left tackleRussell Okung are both out, leaving the offensive line with four of its fivestarters with three years of experience or less. Chargers quarterback Philip Rivershas been sacked 11 times this season and the Steelers have recorded 19 sacksover their first five games. Pittsburgh will start Delvin Hodgesat quarterback in place of injured starter Mason Rudolphand Hodges likes to sling it and threw for over 14,000 passing yards during hiscollegiate career at Samford. Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Steelers to cover thespread against the Chargers on Sunday night.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets also likes these NFL games. Your mileage may vary.

ClevelandBrowns -110 over Seattle Seahawks

AtlantaFalcons -140 points over Arizona Cardinals

CarolinaPanther-Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 47 points

TennesseeTitans-Denver Broncos under 40.5 points

HoustonTexans-Kansas City Chiefs over 54.5 points

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6 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: NHL Tuesday!

6 years ago

written by

Cash with the Flash Best Bets had a rough Monday and a tough way to begin the week. The Buffalo Sabres lost in overtime and the Cleveland Browns lost when they drafted Baker Mayfield and hired a Head Coach solely because Mayfield liked him. Cash with the Flash sort of bought into the hype but is no longer on the Cleveland Browns hype machine.

Three NHLlosses this season and all in overtime smh.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets will eat the bad beat with the Cleveland Browns and we sure weren’t alone; half of Northeast Ohio is waking up to lighter wallets and the realization their beloved Browns aren’t a very good tackle football team.

The overtime hockey losses aren’t a bad thing; it means even when Cash with the Flash Best Bets selections don’t pan out we were right on the money and a lucky bounce away from winning and that’s a good thing.

Cashwith the Flash Best Bets sees opportunity tonight with a full slate of NHL games tochoose from. Let’s see if we can Cash with the Flash tonight with some pucks.

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Winnipeg Jets (+130) vs PittsburghPenguins (-150)

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: Pittsburgh -150, Over 5.5 goals

Winnipeg iswrapping up a four-game road trip and a win tonight gives them a 2-2 record andthat’s not a bad thing. The only problem is they can’t seem to keep the puckout of their own net. Allowing nearly five goals per night isn’t going to winmany hockey games and ConnorHellebuyck has been confirmed as the Jets starting netminder. TheRangers scored five goals against him on opening night and now he’s up againsta Penguins offense averaging four goals per game.

Pittsburghwill be without EvgeniMalkin and NickBjugstad as both have been added to the injured reserve list after bothwere injured in their last game with Columbus. The Penguins still have plentyof firepowers and they will likely start Matt Murray betweenthe pipes tonight. Murray has been terrific thus far and has allowed five goalson 71 shots.

WhyPittsburgh?

Pittsburghhas plenty of offensive weapons and will miss Malkin and Bjugstad, but theyshould still get past the road-weary Jets tonight. Winnipeg has trouble at theblueline and while they’ve had a couple of days off to work on things it stillwon’t be enough to slow down the offensive machine that Pittsburgh is. Murrayis a better goaltender and has a better defense than Hellebuck has and Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Penguins to defeat theJets Tuesday night. Cashwith the Flash Best Bets believes this game should exceed the 5.5 goaltotal and suggests playing the OVER tonight.

Edmonton Oilers(+130) vs New YorkIslanders (-145)

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: New York Islanders -145

Edmonton isa scrappy bunch of offensive players with two come from behind victories thisseason but are without the tough blueline presence of Adam Larsson. Edmontonhas still found ways to win hockey games and has allowed seven goals over theirpast two games. Tonight marks the first road game for Edmonton and looks toimprove upon a 17-19-5 road record a season ago. MikeSmith is likely getting the start in nets for the Oilers and CorsicaHockey doesn’t view Smith favorably despite the 2-0 record and 3.50 goals-againstaverage.

New York is1-1-0 this season and coming off a 4-1 victory over the Winnipeg Jets after atough, 2-1 loss to the Washington Capitals. That was a good win for the Islanders,and they are back on Long Island in their old building and looked very goodagainst the Jets. It looks as if Semyon Varlamov will guard the cage againstEdmonton and is coming off that loss to Washington and last summer’s big-ticketfree agent signing and his Corsicanumbers look very impressive.

Why NewYork?

I like theIslanders more than I like Smith and his Oilers teammates tonight. I also believethe Oilers’ blue line is better than the Oilers offense and that should be thedifference in this game. Varlamov is better than Smith with a better defenseand playing at home. Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Islanders to defeatthe Oilers on Tuesday night.

Dallas Stars(+130) vs WashingtonCapitals (-150)

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: Washington Capitals -150

Dallas mightbe 0-3-0 this season but we wouldn’t write them off just yet as each loss wasby a lone goal. Dallas has a tough time scoring goals and has scored only sevengoals this season. They’ve only allowed 10 goals so something must be goingright in Dallas. BenBishop is likely minding the nets for Dallas and has allowed just threegoals over 50 shots and Corsicahas a somewhat favorable view of Bishop.

Washingtonhas one of the best clubs in the National Hockey League and is off to a 2-0-1start to its season and has scored seven goals over their first three games.That’s surprising given the offensive firepower and will have Evgeny Kuznetsov backfrom serving a three-game suspension and that should spark the Capitals offense.Braden Holtby willlikely draw the start in the nets and has allowed five goals over 50 shotsfaced and Corsicaviews Holtby as one of the top performers this season.

WhyWashington?

Plenty ofone-goal games between these two clubs but the kicker is Kuznetsov and he’scoming off a 71-point season and should provide a spark to the Capitalsoffense. Dallas doesn’t have that type of spark and must play blue-collarhockey to win games. Holtby is as solid as there is and playing at home whereasBishop is solid but doesn’t get the goal support others might enjoy. And I don’tthink he’ll get much offensive support tonight. Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests playing Washington to beat Dallastonight.

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The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and donot reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/orexecutives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this site arefor informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as toaccuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of anyinformation on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, ordelays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from itsdisplay or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Five MNF Showdown Guide and Podcast

Daniel Wehr 6 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide plays for the NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

PODCAST: The King and DFS Pro Dan break down the MNF Showdown field

Cleveland Browns vs. San Francisco 49ers

O/U: 47.5 (SFO -5)

NFL DFS: Cleveland Browns

The Browns head to San Francisco to take on the second best defense in the NFL through four games this season.They have sputtered on offense for the most part outside of their prime time game against the lowly Jets and a struggling Ravens defense. The Browns have an offensive DVOA of -8.5% (below league average), and a defensive DVOA of -9.1% (above league average). Overall they rank 14th in the league with a 5.6% DVOA. With Cleveland’s passing game ranking 25th in terms of DVOA and SFO’s defense ranking second, I can see this creating a run funnel in a game where both teams try to control the clock by running the football. If San Francisco is able to pull ahead and Cleveland is forced to abandon the run, Baker and Company could be in for a very long Monday Night.

NFL DFS: San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are coming fresh off of a bye week after starting the season out 3-0. Through those first three weeks, the 49er’s have the second best defense in the league per their -35.9% DVOA (35.9% better than league average), second only to the Patriots. Their pass rush has been nothing short of amazing, and even though they don’t have an elite secondary, the defensive line is so good it makes those guys look like studs. I also expect a run funnel effect for the 49ers as well. Jimmy Garoppolo has struggled in passing schemes and Cleveland ranks in the top 10 in terms of passing yards allowed per game (215). San Francisco has a very crowded back-field with Tevin Coleman back in the lineup, but I still think Matt Breida should see a bulk of the work, followed by Raheem Mostert.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

NFL DFS Captain:

Nick Chubb ($15,300), Jimmy Garoppolo ($14,700) Matt Breida ($10,200), Jarvis Landry ($10,800), Deebo Samuel ($9,900), Odell Beckham Jr. ($13,500).

NFL DFS Flex:

49ers DST ($4,600), Raheem Mostert ($5,400), Odell Beckham Jr. ($10,400), Robbie Gould (3,800), Austin Seibert ($3,600), George Kittle ($9,000), Jimmy Garoppolo ($9,800), Dante Pettis ($3400)

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

NFL DFS MVP:

Nick Chubb ($15,000), Odell Beckham Jr. ($13,500) Jimmy Garoppolo ($14,000), Jarvis Landry ($12,000).

NFL DFS Flex:

(All plays at MVP can be used in flex) Matt Breida ($11,500), George Kittle ($11,000), Raheem Mostert ($10,000), Deebo Samuel ($8,000), Dante Pettis ($6,000), Robbie Gould ($9,500).

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6 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: NFL and NHL Monday!

6 years ago

written by

Cash with the Flash Best Bets is coming off another successful week, finishing 8-2 with our NHL touts and 14-7 for a week that included some MLB playoff action and some tennis plays. Cash with the Flash Best Bets is looking forward to another successful week of sports betting tips and advice!

A 66 percentrate for the week is money in the bank and a 60 percent overall winningpercentage isn’t too shabby either.

Cashwith the Flash Best Bets is your once a day stop for the very best bets we can find.We publish daily and look forward to bringing this column to you. Today we havefew opportunities and we’ll have to go around the horn for what hopefully willbe another great week of sports betting and making Cash with the Flash.

Cleveland Browns(+5) vs SanFrancisco 49ers (-5)

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: Cleveland Browns +5

I know, theBrowns are over-hyped and players like BakerMayfield and Odell BeckhamJr are overrated or so the pundits say, and I tend to agree with them. TheBrowns buried the Baltimore Ravens last Sunday on their own real estate andCleveland demonstrated just how complete a tackle football team the Browns are.At least they did last Sunday.

SanFrancisco is coming off a bye week and is one of only two undefeated teams inthe National Football League. The 49ers defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers inweek three by a score of 24-20. It was a solid win at home and sets up thisMonday Night Football game with the Browns.

Mayfield has been sacked 12 times this season and that could be a problem on Monday night against the 49ers and their three sacks per game. Defensive backs Denzel Ward, Sheldrick Redwine, and Greedy Williams are questionable as is offensive tackle, Chris Hubbard.

The 49ersdefense hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown this season and has listed defensiveend Dee Fordand running back Tevin Colemanas questionable and veteran offensive tackle Joe Staleyis out with a broken leg for tonight’s game.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets has seen some Vegas shops have the game for as much as 5.5 points and you can get this one online at five points at most shops.

Why theBrowns?

SanFrancisco averages 175 rushing yards per game and it might prove difficult forthe 49ers to reach that number against a Cleveland defense allowing 119 rushingyards per game with one rushing touchdown this season. Cleveland will force the49ers to beat them through the air and 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolohas thrown nearly as many interceptions (4) as touchdown passes and the offensehas the worst possession to turnover ratio in the NFL.

ClevelandBrowns defensive lineman Myles Garrettis up against a rookie offensive lineman and that won’t be fun for GaroppoloMonday night.

Mayfield hasn’thad the greatest season thus far and has thrown more interceptions (6) thantouchdown passes, and we can’t forget the sacks he’s suffered but what Mayfielddoes have going for him is an outstanding supporting cast with arguably one ofthe best receiving corps playing together for the first time Monday night.

The 49ersmight neutralize the Browns run but they will have a difficult time keeping upwith Beckham, Jarvis Landry,a healthy RashardHiggins and AntonioCalloway returning from suspension is going to be more than a handfulfor the 49er’s secondary tonight.

Cashwith the Flash Best Bets suggests taking the points and playing the Cleveland Brownsto cover the five points tonight.

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The NationalHockey League has a pair of games on their schedule and we’re interested in thegame featuring the visiting Buffalo Sabres taking on the Columbus Blue Jacketsat 7:00 pm tonight.

Buffalo Sabres(-110) vs ColumbusBlue Jackets (-110)

Buffalo is off to a 2-0 start and the winless Blue Jackets are still trying to figure things out. The Sabres have scored 10 goals over their first two games this season and will look to increase that total against the inexperienced Columbus goaltending. Columbus has allowed 11 goals but was up against two treacherous offenses in the Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins.

Carter Hutton is scheduled to guard the cage forBuffalo and JoonasKorpisalo is the probable starting goaltender for Columbus.

WhyBuffalo?

It’s hard not to like a club scoring an average of five goals per night against a club with inexperienced goaltending and a team still looking for an identity. It’s also a great price and we won’t see many favorable numbers for teams playing Columbus very often this season. The Blue Jackets can’t seem to find the back of the net and Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Sabres to beat the Blue Jackets Monday evening.

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The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/24 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Stacking Sox in the Texas Heat

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a 13-game main slate for 9/24 DFS and while a playoff picture is finally emerging and the season is winding down, there are still some high-upside hitters and stacks to get you prepped to win some green!

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9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Red Sox at Edinson Vólquez/Ariel Jurado

The Red Sox shouldn’t have problems getting to either Vólquez, who’s having a last hurrah in the big leagues before retiring, or Jurado, who has a 5.73 ERA this season and has trouble getting Ks. You may want to skip Betts, who’s been getting rest since coming back from a foot injury, but grab shares of J.D. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts and some of the more inexpensive bats (Mitch Moreland, Brock Holt, Jackie Bradley) that should help you make salary. I think the 2-5 plus Christian Vazquez (the projected 7 hitter) might be my favorite stack among the Red Sox bats.

Houston Astros at Justin Dunn/Tommy Milone

The Astros are always worth looking to considering their 121 team wRC+ and .349 wOBA, but they face a couple mashable pitchers and you don’t have to worry about splits since they rake just about everybody. Get some shares of the red-hot George Springer (three HRs on Sunday) as well as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yuri Gurriel and Yordan Alvarez. they have the highest implied total among the teams with set lines so far.

TorontoBlue Jays at Dylan Bundy

These teams have been bashing each other’s brains in, and while I prefer the Blue Jays side of this offensive tilt, the entire game stack is in play. It’s been a GPP winner recently, so I have no qualms about rolling out the usual suspects again: Cavan Biggio, Randal Grichuk, Rowdy Tellez, and value bats like Brandon Drury and Teoscar Hernandez – especially if Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. (illness) sits for a second consecutive day.

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Mitch Keller – The Cubs are nearly out of the playoff picture thanks to the Cardinals, but for 9/24 DFS you shouldn’t consider them officially dead yet – and they’re a bunch who can still pile on the runs. The Pirates home park isn’t the best venue for stacks, so ownership should be relatively low.

Atlanta Braves at Danny Duffy – Plenty of bats to like for this potent Braves lineup facing the lefty in Kansas City, you’ll just have to leave out a couple since they’re all so good. I may be fading the Yankees in Tampa, but I’m not worried about the Braves against a hittable pitcher in the heartland.

Cleveland Indians vs. Hector Santiago – The Indians aren’t as consistent as the Braves offensively, but they have a bunch of lefty mashers with a special affinity for Santiago. The implied run total is over 5.5, which means you should have shares of the 1-5 bats along with some exposure to Franmil Reyes and Jordan Luplow. I might take a wait-and-see approach with Jose Ramirez, who’s set to be activated from the IL.

Oakland Athletics at Dillon Peters – The A’s aren’t as good against LHPs (.305 team wOBA), but it’s a viable contrarian stack to consider for 9/24 DFS. The implied total is also over 5.5 runs and seems a bit high — so tread lightly with this bunch.

9/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at TEX

DK ($4,600) FD($3,200)

Vazquez got a day off yesterday against the Rays, but he should beback in the lineup Tuesday in Texas. He’s got 3 homers in his last seven gamesand his overall numbers in 2019 have been impressive: .273/.316/.472 with 22 HRs.Digging a little deeper, we find a .232 road ISO, with 14 of his dingers comingaway from Fenway Park.

9/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE at DET

DK (4,900) FD ($4,000)

Santana is having a career year, and I’m plugging him into most ofmy GPP builds against Hector Santiago. Hisseason slash sits at .288/.403/.529 with a 139 wRC+ and he’s destroying LHPsthis season (1.015 OPS, 162 wRC+ and .421 wOBA). There are many ways to go at1B on this slate, but Santana is my bet for a monster game.

9/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,700)

Did you expect me to play some other than Biggio? He hit anotherbomb last night and has ben raking every time I use him in GPPs – from lastTuesday’s cycle and Thursday’s home run to helping me spike some decent cashesin last night’s Rally contests on FanDuel. He’s way too cheap on that site andhis price tag on DK should keep him from being chalk – especially with so manyhigh-priced arms.

9/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Manny Machado, SD vs. LAD (3B/SS on DK)

(DK $3,700) FD($3,000)

It’s been a disappointing season for Machado, but he’d like to endit with some standout performances against his old team, the Dodgers. I lovethe matchup against LHP Rich Hill since Machado – with some really pronouncedsplits this season – hits .314/.401/.683 against southpaws. The price is rightfor Machado, and using him as a one-off or with OF Hunter Renfroe ($4,000 onDK, $3,100 on FD) – who’s another viable Padres power hitter with a 132 wRC+against LHPs – makes a lot of sense if you’re trying to find some value and buildingmultiple lineups.

9/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at SD

DK ($4,700) FD($3,800)

Seger is finally hitting his groove as we near the postseason, andnow is a great time to plug him in at SS in the 9/24 DFS main slate. He’s got a123 wRC+ against RHPs and has a .381 WOBA and .314 ISO sine the start of September.There’s no time like the present, and presently, Corey Seager is raking.

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9/24 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LOS at SD (1B/OF on DK)

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

Cody might just ring that bell again on Tuesday night against “BadRonald” Bolanos, who’s given up three homers in 14 innings. Bellinger’s 166wRC+ and ridiculous .314/.414/.641 slash line vs. RHPs means he’ll be in all thelineups I can afford him in, regardless of the venue and the fact he’s on the road(149 wRC+ in away games this season).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at KC

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

He makes for a fine one-off if you’re not using the Braves stack, and he’s putting up obscene numbers against both LHPs and RHPs. Another interesting stat about Acuna is that he’s slashing a robust .281/.370/.510 with a 125 wRC+ at home and .279/.361/.527 with a 128 wRC+on the road. There’s not a day that I don’t consider him, even against the league’s top pitchers and regardless of the lofty price tag.

Austin Hays, BAL at TOR
DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

Hays had a monster night in Toronto on Monday and he’s once again in a good spot facing a lefty. The 24-year-old slugger is slashing .302/.362/.535 in the 15 games he’s played in the majors, and he’s still very inexpensive on both sites. If he’s in the Orioles lineup on Tuesday, I’ll be grabbing shares.

9/24 DFS Additional Stack Options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $3,100 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $4,100 FD), Trey Mancini ($4,700 DK,$3,900 FD)

2B: Jose Altuve ($4,700 DK, $4,200 FD), DJ LeMahieu ($5,000 DK)($4,200 FD – 3B)

3B: Gio Urshela ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD) Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,800DK, $3,200 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($5,400 DK, $4,300 FD), Nico Hoerner ($3,700DK, $3,000 FD)

OF: Anthony Santander ($4,000 DK, $3,400 FD), Brett Gardner ($4,500DK, $3,500 FD), Randal Grichuk ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD), Ramon Laureano GPP($3,100 FD), Austin Riley GPP ($2,200 FD), Adam Duvall GPP ($2,400 FD)

6 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: MLB Tuesday!

6 years ago

written by

Cash with the Flash Best Bets had a terrific Monday and I hope you did too! We correctly touted the Browns to cover the 6.5 points and fortunately for our bankroll, we were correct. The Browns win secured a successful NFL weekend and Cash with the Flash Best Bets looks forward to more of the same this season.

This touchdown should have been Jarvis Landry, but you can’t have your cake and eat it too.

https://twitter.com/BleacherReport/status/1173786473541226496?s=20

We offered a prop bet with Landry scoring along with a Browns win. Landry was targeted seven times but didn’t hit pay dirt, so we lost that fun, minimal bet because you don’t bet the house on a prop bet!

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Either way, based on my Twitter inbox, I’m done recommendingprop bets in this column and will leave that up to our friend NY Prop Exchangeand his very successful system.

My friend, please don’t bet the rent on a prop bet or any betfor that matter. There’s a reason a play like Landry paired with a Browns winpaid +650 last night.

If long-term success is what you are after, chasing big dollars and bad lines aren’t going to get you there. You will end up going broke quickly that way.

If you are planning forlong-term success than you need a plan and where that begins is with yourbankroll.

Smart players won’t risk more than five percent of their bankroll on a single wager and usually, their bet is one percent.

If your bankroll is $1000 dollars, then $10 dollars would be one unit and a five-unit play would be a $50 buck wager and so forth. Your mileage may vary but that’s a general idea.

We still have ahandful of meaningful MLB games and I believe I found a nice one for tonight.

Tampa Bay Rays (+110) vs Los AngelesDodgers (-120) Total: 8.5 runs

Where: Dodger Stadium 10:10 pm ET

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: Dodgers -120

I don’t usually tout much baseball once football begins but I’m interested in the Tampa Bay Rays and Los Angeles Dodgers being played late tonight. Currently, the price on the Dodgers is -120 and if you bet baseball, when was the last time you got -120 with the Dodgers at home?

The Rays are fighting for an American League Wild Card and reigning American League Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell returns to the hill for the first time since July. That is likely the reason why the Dodgers price is so low. The problem is Snell will likely be on a pitch count AND the Dodgers have scored the second-most runs in the National League this season against lefties and boast a 56-20 record at Dodger Stadium this season.

Los Angeles will counter with righty Ross Stripling, who’sallowed five earned runs over his previous 18 innings pitched and has a 2-2record with a .327 ERA over 41.1 innings pitched this season at Dodger Stadium.Tampa Bay scores an average of five runs per game away from Tropicana Field andtheir 509 runs this season with 136 bombs against right-handers is good forninth in the American League.

Why the Dodgers?

For one, the price is right for a team that has won 50 gamesat home this season. They also smash lefties and if Snell is truly human, hewill be rusty and that isn’t a good thing against Los Angeles at DodgerStadium. Stripling has been fantastic this season as a starter and in relief andhe’s up against an average offense against righties this season and when heturns the ball over to the bullpen, he’s turning it over to the best homebullpen in baseball this season.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the Dodgers to beat the Rays on Tuesday night.

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6 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: Monday Night Football!

6 years ago

written by

Cash with the Flash Best Bets went 3-2 in NFL picks and later that afternoon we added a Cash with the Flash Best Bets tennis post and those picks went 3-0. It was a good day for the readers of this column, and I appreciate all the well wishes I received on Twitter.

It was a good day for Cash with the Flash, and I look forward to many more good days as we continue to tweak and revise our system. Look for our tennis picks today!

We have theNational Hockey League, National Basketball Association and NCCA Basketball seasonscoming up and I’ll have posts regarding betting the Future plays that might makea nice investment for those of you that are so inclined.

The early NFL lines are up and the Miami Dolphins opened as a 16-point road underdog at Dallas and that quickly jumped to as many as 21 points at some Vegas shops. Should be quite interesting to see where that lands.

We weren’tthe only winners yesterday….as usual, the Vegas books had a very good day whenthe Baltimore Ravens failed to cover, and the Seattle Seahawks beat thePittsburgh Steelers as +170- and 3.5-point underdogs.

https://twitter.com/Covers_Vegas/status/1173456371397713920?s=20

Drew Brees got hurt yesterday and it looks like he could misssome time. The New Orleans Saints-Seattle Seahawks is currently a “pick-em” andthat is something you can certainly take advantage of.

The Atlanta Falcons opened as two-point underdogs against the Indianapolis Colts. Most Vegas shops have this one currently at 2.5 points and if you believe the Falcons can win against the Colts on the road you can take the points or play the Money line for +115.

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ClevelandBrowns (-6.5) vs New York Jets(+6.5)

Where: MetLife Stadium: 8:15 pm ET

Cash with the Flash Best Bets: Cleveland Browns-6.5 Points

This game opened with the Browns being a 2.5-point road favoriteand quickly jumped to 6.5 points with news Jets quarterback Sam Darnold wouldmiss extended time after coming down with a case of Mono.

Both teams opened their 2019 NFL seasons with home losses andneither looked very good. Quarterback BakerMayfield chucked three interceptions and the Browns committed 18penalties in a 43-13 home loss to the Titans. The Browns do have injuries todeal with.

https://twitter.com/Browns/status/1172943109245886465?s=20

The Jets were winning when Bills quarterback Josh Allen hit wide receiver John Brown with a 38-yard touchdown strike with three minutes left. The loss left the Jets shaking their heads and now they must face a likely pissed off Browns team without their quarterback and a HUGE list of players.

https://twitter.com/nyjets/status/1172966633595449351?s=20

Why the Browns?

That’s a bunch of points to lay on the road for a team that barelymanaged to score 13 points at home against the Titans, but I think they coverthe spread, and then some. Mayfield and the Browns have too many offensiveweapons at their disposal and a defense that might be better than advertised,registering four sacks against the Titans. The penalty issues should be cleanedup and an offense that looked lethargic at best with an over-hyped Mayfieldshould be able to move the ball against the banged-up Jets.

New York will look to quarterback Trevor Siemian to lead an injury-riddled Jets offense. Wide receiver Jamison Crowder will likely be his go-to guy on Monday night.

I think we’re going to see the Browns look to score early and often. They took plenty of heat for their loss to Tennessee and they’ll want to silence the critics with a big performance, and I suspect the Jets will allow them to do just that. Siemian isn’t a stiff and has thrown 30 touchdown passes for 5,686 yards and I expect him to look for Crowder and attack a Browns secondary that allowed Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota to throw for 248 yards and three touchdowns last Sunday.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests you lay the points and play the Browns to win this game by a touchdown on Monday night.

Prop Bet: Jarvis Landry Touchdown plus BrownsVictory +650

The NY Prop Exchange has been very successful this season and has me considering these types of wagers. The one I like today is wide receiver Jarvis Landry scoring a touchdown and the Browns winning the football game. Landry caught four of his seven targets for 67 yards and leads the Browns with two plays of over 20 plus yards.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing Landry to score a touchdown tonight in a big Cleveland Browns win!!

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6 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Week 1 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s finally Week 1 of the NFL and I’m looking at what can sometimes be the last two pieces you plug into your NFL DFS lineups – tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs). There’s plenty to discuss, so let’s dive right in!

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Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Cash Game Plays

ZachErtz, PHI vs. WAS

FD($7,100) DK ($6,100)

Ertz caught the second-most passes of anyplayer last year (116) and saw 156 targets. He’s in a great Week 1matchup and is a consensus top 3 TE in every possible format. There may beample reasons to enumerate the many attributes of some of the remaining TEs in thisrundown, but I shouldn’t cloud your mind with too many competing thoughts in mycash game recommendations. Ertz is top dog this week in cash.

EvanEngram, NYG at DAL

FD($6,400) DK ($4,800)

Engram is the best receiver available on the Giants and they are going to inundate him with targets against the Cowboys are just middle-of-the-road when it comes to defending opposing TEs. The third-year TE had a TD in each of his games vs. Dallas in 2018 and offers a little more safety than Travis Kelce and O.J. Howard, with just a tad less upside.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at JAX

FD(7,800) DK ($7,100)

The tough matchup willkeep a chunk of the field away and that’s what we want for a guy with this muchupside – especially in a game with a 51.5 total. I’ll tolerate some risk at myTE spot because there’s a shot to play both – and I’ll have a lot of exposureto a Kelce-Ertz combo on both sites, since they could both score three TDs andmake incredible value just under the price point of stud RBs.

GeorgeKittle, SF at TB

FD($7,300) DK ($6,600)

Traditional ownership inGPPs dictates that the better value with the lower risk gets taken, so Kittlemakes perfect sense as a GPP pivot from Ertz, who’s cheaper on both sites.Kittle is a one-man offensive powerhouse who can take over a game with 200 yardsand score 2-3 TDs, so he’s a fine GPP play in Week 1 facing the relatively weakBucs defensive unit.

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. IND

FD ($6,100) DK (3,900)

There’s just a ton of upside to Henry’s 2019 season, and it all starts in Week 1 facing the Colts. He’s blessed with a capable, adventurous QB in Philip Rivers (who has a history of torrid love affairs with his TEs), caught eight TDs as a rookie in 2016 (the fourth-highest mark for a rookie tight end in NFL history) spent a year in an expanded role while out-targeting Antonio Gates, and then missed the entire 2018 regular season with a torn ACL. Low projected ownership and a prime matchup make him a solid GPP play this week.

Week 1 Tight End NFL DFS Punt Plays

MarkAndrews, BAL at MIA

FD($5,400) DK ($3,000)

Andrews emerged as a viable TE option in 2018 and promises to once again be a useful safety valve for Lamar Jackson. There’s not an overwhelming sense of limitless upside with Andrews from a season-long perspective (and I think most folks who drafted him would be happy with Top 10 numbers), but the Dolphins LBs are an inexperienced unit at risk of giving up huge numbers to opposing TEs. Andrews is a cost-effective way to fit in a bunch of solid RBs and WRs, though you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs.

DelanieWalker, TEN at CLE

FD($5,400) DK ($3,500)

Walker makes for an interesting GPP play at just $5,400 on FD, and he qualifies as a punt for his low salary on DK. Walker probably has a little more upside than Andrews but the three-time Pro Bowler makes plenty of sense as a lower-risk option heading into a Week 1 contest that might be a little more lopsided than expected and have the Titans playing from behind. Walker played just one game in 2018 (dislocated ankle) and will look to rebound with a big Week 1, and Jonnu Smith isn’t much of a threat to his targets.

Additional GPP/Punt options:

Will Dissly, SEA vs CIN (FD $4,000, DK $2,900)

Tyler Eifert, CIN at SEA (DK $3,100)

Darren Waller, OAK vs. DEN (FD $4,800, DK $3,000)

Week 1 NFL DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BaltimoreRavens (BAL at MIA)

FD($5,400) DK ($3,800)

The Ravens lost some defensive starters in LB C.J. Mosley and DL Willie Henry, and there’s been some question as to the effectiveness of their pass rush, but they remain a perennial powerhouse and there’s no easier team to pick on in cash games than the Dolphins. Since Miami is a team in turmoil, Baltimore is the consensus top defense in the weekly rankings and there’s plenty of value to be found throughout the rest of the roster, so it’s no problem looking at the Ravens this week, even as the highest-priced DST on both sites.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. WAS)

FD($4,600) DK ($3,600)

There’s plenty of appeal to both the Ravens and this Eagles unit in GPPs, since there’s plenty of opportunity to differentiate our lineups elsewhere. But the goal of cash games is to limit risk and maximize cost – and there’s just not a lot of difference cost-wise between the top and bottom defenses. Philly is still running the Jim Schwartz system of constant pressure and this group is a fine blend of experience and youth. They are deep, they are talented, and they are home in Week 1 to face the paltry Redskins. Don’t overthink it.

Week1 DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR at CAR)

FD($4,400) DK ($3,200)

There’s a considerable drop after the top couple ranked DSTs this week, so they’ll be my only cash game recommendations, but the Rams are a formidable unit facing a much more potent offense. Whether Carolina’s Cam Newton is 100 percent is the main factor in the Rams making most of my GPP builds, and if I’ll look to some of the following options as a pivot. With that said, the Rams are a consensus Top 12 defense this week and the team’s offensive prowess sometimes forces opponents into silly mistakes (30 takeaways last season). This is where you can capitalize in GPPs. They offer relatively low ownership because of the higher price, but they’re still a few bucks cheaper than the elite DSTs, so they make sense as last-piece fit.

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. CIN)

FD($4,500) DK ($3,100)

Plenty of question marks surround the newer pieces (ZiggyAnsah and Jadeveon Clowney) in the Seahawks front seven and All-Pro safety EarlThomas is out the door – so DFS players could look at this unit with sometrepidation and steer clear in Week 1. But the Bengals are a team without itsstar WR for the first few games and I know that Scott Engel would beannoyed if I didn’t acknowledge his squad’s upside in this cushy spot and justhow good these linebackers and lineman can be in 2019.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE vs. TEN)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Browns are a couple years removed from being a laughingstock, and this play might not be all that contrarian with the DST’s cost down. But Cleveland had 31 takeaways last season (17 INTs and 14 FRs) and should be an improved unit in 2019. The Titans aren’t too much of a threat to score 25+ points and a Nick Chubb/Browns DST game script could be a decent starting point in GPP builds.

NewYork Jets (NYJ vs. BUF)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,100)

The Bills and Jets defenses both feel a lot like the sameamount of risk and upside, so this should be a fun Week 1 contest to watch. It’llbe even more fun if you click the Jets into your DFS lineups and they force abunch of turnovers from Josh Allen and the dubious Bills offense. The Jets unitis a risk, because they’re susceptible to the big play, but the flip side is thepositive variance they offer. I’ve seen them as high as second on some Week 1 rankingsand as low as 30^th – the definition of a GPP option.

Week1 DST Punt Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC vs. IND)

FD($4,000) DK ($3,000)

The Chargers are cheap, they get to the opposing QB, andthey have plenty of upside facing a Colts team without Andrew Luck. I’mcomfortable going here in Week 1 for this affordable cost.

SanFrancisco 49ers (SF at TB)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,200)

The 49ers are loaded with talented defensive lineman but have a weak LB corps, and they don’t stand out as particularly safe facing the Bucs in Tampa Bay. But if you’ve got to make it work with just a few bucks left in salary cap, they make plenty of sense. The biggest area of concern for the 49ers this season is +/ in turnovers, where they ranked last in the league at -25 in 2018. The addition of Nick Bosa, however, promises to change some of that and Week 1 is a fine place to take advantage of the cost savings this improving unit offers.

TampaBay Buccaneers (TB vs. SF)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,200)

The Bucs were second-to-last in turnover differential last season and offer a similar risk-reward scenario in Week 1 facing the 49ers. I could see easily see pick-sixes for both teams and a 20-17 final score, which would be an acceptable outcome given the variance at DST and our aim at providing a modicum of upside without overwhelming risk.

Zach Ertz featured image via Jason Peters.

6 years ago 0 comments

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