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NFL DFS Week 9 GPP Picks Of Destiny from DFS Pro David Jones

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Week 9 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Matthew Stafford ($7,900 FD)

I don’t typically like Stafford on the road, but the matchup is just too good. The Raiders are tied with the Falcons for second most receiving touchdowns given up this year. They have allowed 285 yards per game to wideouts. They also average a very high 8.6 yards per catch allowed. Stafford has been sharp lately, throwing seven touchdowns in the last two games. Factor in that the Lions run game does not exist, so the Detroit coaching staff is going to ask Stafford to do more with his arm. We could see another three touchdown game out of Stafford and I wouldn’t be surprised. Make sure to stack him with one of his receiving options in your NFL DFS contests.

Stud Pivots: Aaron Rodgers, Jameis Winston (He does have the two highest priced receivers on the slate, that’s a good sign), Kirk Cousins, Josh Allen

Value Quarterback: Mitchell Trubisky ($6,500 FD)

Here we go… This guy is getting absolutely trashed for a bad game last week. They are literally burning his jersey in the street in Chicago. This is a massive overreaction in my opinion. The Bears are not going to bench Trubisky, in fact quite the opposite. They are going to let this guy get through the good times and the bad times on the field. I know that Coach Nagy has commented that Trubisky needs to figure it out fast or they will have to make some tough decisions, but I am not that worried. Trubisky is feeling the heat this week and if he ever needs to bust out of a slump it is this Sunday. So why do I like him? His price is way too low for starters. He also gets to go against one of the worst pass defenses in the league in the Eagles.

Two games ago Trubisky put up 251 yards and two touchdowns against a stout Saints defense. Two games before that’s he threw for three touchdowns against the Redskins. He can produce. Just because he didn’t find the end zone last week are we supposed to think he will never throw a touchdown again? Of course not. He has capable receivers in Allen Robinson, Anthony Miller, Taylor Gabriel and even Tarik Cohen. Is this a safe play? No, it is not. Is it a great GPP play? Yes, it is! If Mitchell can get us 20 points (I think he does) then we are in prime position to make big bucks in NFL DFS this Sunday.

Value QB Pivots: Derek Carr

Running Backs

Stud RB: Christian McCaffrey ($9,700 FD)

Do I even need to write this guy up? He just put up 25 FanDuel points on the one of, if not the best, defenses in the league. He is basically the entire offense and I think he wins MVP this year (sorry Russell Wilson). He will get all the rush attempts he can handle and also be targeted like a WR1. The Titans have a decent defense, but not anywhere close to what he just faced in San Fransisco. CMC already has 10 touchdowns in just seven games. He is the number one running back you should target every week in NFL DFS.

Stud Pivots: Dalvin Cook (LOVE HIM vs KC, RB1B this week to CMC), Nick Chubb

Mid RB: Derrick Henry ($6,800 FD)

The Carolina Panthers have given up a league high 12 rushing touchdowns this season (Tevin Coleman helped boost that number last Sunday). Derrick Henry does not split time and is an absolute monster when he gets the ball. He should be the first guy the Titans give the pigskin to in the Red Zone and I don’t think the Panthers are going to be able to stop him. I am predicting Henry for over 100 yards and two touchdowns. At $6,800 on FanDuel he is a NFL DFS bargain.

UPDATE: Lock in Jaylen Samuels at $5,000 on FD

Pivots: Le’Veon Bell, Austin Ekeler, Jordan Howard

Note: Phillip Lindsay popped up with wrist injury, so if he were to miss the game Royce Freeman is a good play

Note: Aaron Jones has a shoulder injury, if he is out lock in Jamaal Williams

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: Chris Godwin ($8,200 FD)

He has an elite matchup against a bad Seattle secondary. Last week he let us down, but still had eight points (which doesn’t kill you in cash games). The three weeks before that he got 20, 28, 35 FanDuel points and won a lot of us a lot of money. Jameis Winston should have to throw it here (because I expect them to be playing from behind) and the NFL DFS sites have adjusted the Bucs receivers accordingly. This week Chris Godwin leads the Bucs receiving core with over 100 yards and a touchdown. He has not had two consecutive games under ten fantasy points this year and I don’t expect that trend to end against the Seahawks, who give up and average of 273 receiving yards a game.

Stud Pivots: Mike Evans, Kenny Golladay, Tyler Lockett

Mid WR: Allen Robinson ($7,200 FD)

He is far and away the number one offensive option for the Bears. He has not been targeted under seven times the entire season. I would lock him in cash games and play him in GPPs for his high ceiling against the terrible Eagles defense. They tried to make trades to improve their corners on Tuesday but couldn’t get anyone to bite, which means they are going to be bad the rest of the season. With Mitchell Tribusky feeling the heat in Chicago he is going to highly target his best guy. Love him in NFL DFS this week.

Mid WR Pivots: Alshon Jeffrey, Tyrell Williams, Robby Anderson, John Brown

Value WR: Robby Anderson ($6,200 FD)

It feels like a Robby Anderson week. I called the last one on the Win Daily podcast and I am doing it again here. The South Florida native returns to Miami as the number one deep threat for the New York Jets. We all know the Dolphins are the worst defense in the league and targeting them every single week has worked all season, so why would we stop now? The was to attack them is through the air, not so much on the ground. Robby is a boom or bust guy and could have a bad game if Sam Darnold sees any more spooky ghosts on the field, however I think he can man up and launch a few deep to Anderson against a team that literally wants to lose. I will punt Anderson at a “friends and family” game in Miami in my NFL DFS lineups.

Value WR Pivots: DeVante Parker

I am expecting more value to pop up so keep checking back or follow me on twitter @tenaciousdjones. I will tweet out whenever I make an update.

Tight End

Tight End:

Darren Waller ($6,800 FD)

He is the most targeted tight end in the NFL and gets a nice matchup against the Lions (ranked 23rd against the TE) at home. He is extraordinarly safe with high upside.

Tight End Pivots: Hunter Henry, T.J. Hockenson, Cameron Brate (if OJ Howard out)

Defense

  1. Bills
  2. Colts (would like clarification on Steelers RB injuries before I lock them in)
  3. Browns (they are not good, but they get to face Brandon Allen at QB)
  4. Vikings
  5. Broncos

I will tweet out when there are updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!

MONKEYKNIFEFIGHT.COM PICK – Play this Pick here and get 100 percent bonus!

Matt Stafford is my favorite quarterback this week so of course I think he gets over 300 yards here (See my write up above). I know Carr has been efficient this season but 275 is a tall order for a guy I don’t have much trust in. This could change is Josh Jacobs is ruled out (because he will be forced to throw more), but until that news breaks I am sticking with this as my MKF pick.

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Week 8 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Waller For the Win

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

It’s Week 8 DFS of the NFL season, and I’ve got your Sunday main slate plays for Tight Ends and DSTs to win you some big green in cash and GPP!

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Week8 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays 

Week 8 DFS — Darren Waller, OAK at HOU

FD($6,800)         DK ($5,900) 

Houston doesn’t normally give up a ton of points to TEs, but Waller is no ordinary TE. And last week Eric Ebron had a nice game against them, so the matchup should be more favorable than the red numbers indicate. I’m going to have massive shares of Waller in cash and GPPs.

Week 8 DFS — Austin Hooper, ATL vs. SEA

FD($6,600)         DK ($5,500) 

Hooper should get a boatload of targets from whomever plays QB for the Falcons this week, and he’s been the best TE in football this season (by a small margin over Darren Waller). Roll with him confidently against a Seattle team that’s been “no great shakes” – as the old-timers said – against TEs. He’s safe for cash and fine for GPPs.

Week8 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Week 8 DFS — Evan Engram, NYG at DET

FD($6,300)         DK ($5,300) 

Engram missed a week with an MCL sprain, but he’s apparentlyshed the wrap that was on his left knee – and despite the fact that he didn’t domuch in Sunday’s 27-21 loss to the Cardinals, he’s in a great spot now that he’shealthy and facing a battered Lions defense that’s allowed some big games to tightends. He’s a great option for GPPs – we know his upside and the recency biaswill keep him from high ownership.

Week 8 DFS — George Kittle, SF vs. CAR

FD($6,900)         DK ($6,500) 

Kittle (groin) just got cleared to play in Sunday’s gameagainst the Panthers, so I’m a little worried about cash games but he’s atop target for GPPs. As long as Kittle suits up and there’s no talk of arestriction, we’re getting aboard.

Week 8 DFS — Zach Ertz, PHI at BUF

FD($6,300)         DK ($5,100) 

Ertz and the Eagles’ passing attack got stymied by the Cowboys,and the stud tight end ended up being a stinker. Worry not, Ertz fans, becausehe’s still the top dog TE in Philly, not Dallas Goedert, and the Eagles will bemaking use of him against a Buffalo team where they’ll have to throw underneathand trust their big targets in the flats.

Week 8 DFS — Hunter Henry, LAC at CHI

FD ($6,700)          DK (4,900)

Henry’s 2019 season got offto a bad start, but since returning from injury he’s had two big games – one abona fide monster (8-100-2 vs. PIT). The Bears have actually been just okayagainst TEs this year, so Henry is still fully in play against a defense that’sranked No. 22 in most fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Week8 DFS Tight End Punt Plays 

Week 8 DFS — Eric Ebron, IND vs. DEN

FD ($5,400)         DK ($3,400) 

Ebron could see a larger chunk of targets if Jack Doyle sitson Sunday, and is coming off a big game where he caught four of five targetsfor 70 yards and a touchdown in a win over Houston. The TD was a nice one, too,as he got his feet in bounds on a short TD pass in the third that helped propelthem to victory. Denver is okay against TEs, but his upside shouldn’t be significantlylimited.

Week 8 DFS — T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. NYG

FD($5,300)         DK ($3,500) 

The rookie tight end hasbeen building more consistency in his game but had some mistakes last week againstthe Vikings. We’re hoping for a high-upside outlier (like Week 1) in a matchupagainst the Giants, who will have trouble containing this talented pass catcherand athlete.

Week 8 DFS — Cameron Brate, TB at TEN

FD($5,200)         DK ($2,700) 

Brate takes on some moretargets with O.J. Howard out Sunday, which propels him into GPP territory at apretty low price on DK. It’s a lot on FanDuel, but he’s still in play forlarge-field GPPs – he’s got two TDs in his last three games and Howard’stargets, while minimal, should be heading his way.

Additional Week 8 DFS GPPand punt options:

Gerald Everett, LAR vs. CIN(FD $6,100, DK $4,300)

Darren Fells, HOU vs. OAKIND (FD $5,100, DK $3,400)

Jordan Akins, HOU vs. OAK (FD$4,900), DK $2,800)

Ben Watson, NE vs. CLE (FD$4,900, DK $3,000)

Foster Moreau, OAK at HOU(FD $4,900, DK $2,700)

Week8 DFS DST Cash Game Plays 

NewEngland Patriots (NE vs. CLE)

FD($5,000)         DK ($4,300) 

The Pats remain the best defense in football by a large marginand get a team that coughs it up quite a bit. Do we really need to tell you toplay this unit in cash games, GPPs, or basically any format? The cream of the crop– and the price is still lower than what it could be.

LosAngeles Rams (LAR vs. CIN)

FD($5,000)         DK ($3,800) 

As long as they don’t jump out to a huge lead and spend the final quarter or so in prevent, the Rams make an excellent cash game play facing the struggling Bengals. The Patriots are still a much better play at the same price on FD, but the $500 price difference on DK makes them worth a look if you’re locked into all the other lineup components and the Pats just can’t fit

.

Week8 DFS DST GPP Plays

JacksonvilleJaguars (JAC vs. NYJ)

FD($4,500)         DK ($2,900) 

It’s approaching Halloween, and Jacksonville can be prettyscary – especially if you’re already seeing ghosts. The Jags at home present aperfect GPP opportunity in a week where the Pats and Rams will take a good chunkof the ownership. The Jets produce just 142.2 passing yards per game, and rank 32ndin total offense this season.

ChicagoBears (CHI vs. LAC)

FD($4,500)         DK ($3,600) 

The Bears are fine for GPPs because they have massiveupside facing the bumbling Chargers, but I have an inkling that Austin Ekeleris the magic man for them this week. The Bears give up a lot of passes to RBsand sometimes can get caught in over-pursuit, where Ekeler can make his mark inspace. I’m not going to freak out if you roll them out in cash, but I’d preferthe Pats and Rams. The price is certainly fair on both sites.

TennesseeTitans (TEN vs. TB)

FD($4,600)         DK ($3,200) 

The Bucs turn it over a lot and the Titans have a solidsecondary. I could see 3 INTs and a pick six for this defense, and that’s the kindof upside we need to win GPPs. Just play these guys at this affordable price.

SanFrancisco 49ers (SF vs. CAR)

FD($4,800)         DK ($3,700) 

The49ers are loaded with talent and have played extremely well. Facing thePanthers and the versatility of fantasy stud Christian McCaffrey is a toughtask, but you can’t argue the 49ers defense hasn’t delivered this season. They’rea bit expensive, but fine for GPPs.

BuffaloBills (BUF vs. PHI)

FD($4,300)         DK ($3,000) 

The Bills defense shouldn’t have much trouble containing aPhilly offense that’s missing a spark. The offensive line is dealing withinjuries and Carson Wentz looks off this year. If the Bills can pressure him,they might be looking at some big plays and enough sacks to keep them relevant inthe GPP discussion.

Week8 DFS DST Value GPP and Punt Plays 

SeattleSeahawks (SEA at ATL)

FD($4,900)         DK ($2,800) 

The Seahawks are a prime punt on DK at $2,800. They aren’t thedefensive juggernaut of the past, but even they can make some stuff happenagainst the Falcons, who have played sloppy football this season and may be missingMatt Ryan. If they have both Ziggy Ansah and Bradley McDougald for Sunday, I’dbe more interested in taking the chance in GPPs where they should be prettylow-owned on FD at the high price.

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC at CHI)

FD($4,100)         DK ($2,300) 

The Chargers are dirt cheap and facing a team thatstruggles to score. If they can get Melvin Ingram back this week, they are aneven better play. I keep coming back to Mitchell Trubisky, though. The dude isnot a great QB, and the Chargers have Joey Bosa to wreak havoc him and the underachievingbackfield.

TampaBay Buccaneers (TB at TEN)

FD($3,500)         DK ($2,500) 

The Bucs were second-to-last in turnover differential last season and they turned it over a lot last week (seven times!). But this is about defense, and the Bucs could have some under-the-radar potential in Week 8 due to the Titans’ inability to pass protect. They are risky, and the Titans have played better – but Ryan Tannehill is still Ryan Tannehill, so there’s upside here.

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Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

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Evan Engram, Saquon Barkley and Kenny Golladay. Do not let the red crosses keep you from choosing these high-volume pass catchers from the Giants and the top WR on the Lions. They will see upwards of 30 targets between them in this game, so reaching 17 catches seems like its very doable.

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NFL

NFL DFS Week 8 GPP Picks Of Destiny from DFS Pro David Jones

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Week 8 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.

Note: We have two very obvious high priced quarterbacks in great spots this week.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Deshaun Watson ($8,400 FD)

Last week Aaron Rodgers torched the Oakland Raiders and now it is Deshaun’s Watson turn. The Raiders have given up 16 receiving touchdowns this year which is tied for second worst in the NFL. The Houston Texans have thrown for 13 touchdowns (we have also seen several dropped aka Fullered) which is tied for fifth in the league. Watson should not have trouble at home this Sunday dishing it to Hopkins. If the air game isn’t working (it should) then Watson is one of the most capable scrambling QBs in the league. He is an easy NFL DFS play, but he will also be a popular one. He will not be the reason you lose this week.

Stud Quarterback: Russell Wilson ($8,600 FD)

The Seahawks are next in line to embarrass the Atlanta Falcons who have completely given up on the season. They just traded away Sanu and lost Matt Ryan (questionable) to an ankle injury. You can beat the Dirty Birds however you want, through the air or on the ground. Wilson is an MVP candidate with wheels. He should will be able to run whenever a play breaks down and launch a few bombs to Lockett and Metcalf when the Falcons defensive backfield breaks down again. Another easy play, your only worry is if Chris Carson scores multiple times. Having Wilson on one team and Carson on another would be a good hedge. One of them is going nuts.

Stud QB Pivot: Tom Brady

Mid QB: Matt Stafford ($7,700 FD)

Stafford looked sharp last week against a tough Vikings squad throwing for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Matt tends to play better at home and gets a easier defense in the Giants this weekend. The New York football Giants give up 8.9 yards per reception, which is second worst in the NFL. Stafford has great receiving options with Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr, T.J. Hockenson and now Ty Johnson. He is my favorite mid tier NFL DFS quarterback this week.

Mid QB Pivot: Josh Allen (I always have a share, I am not going to miss the big game and the Eagles have been giving up a lot of big games lately.

Punt QB: Matt Schaub (if Matt Ryan is out)

Running Backs

Stud RB: Leonard Fournette ($7,700 FD)

I am going back to him this week. He has only got in the end zone one time this season, which is bizarre. He has 645 all purpose yards in his last four games. In the same time frame he has 101 rushes and 18 targets. When he gets in the end zone, he will officially break the slate. The Jaguars take on the NY Jets, who just gave up three rushing touchdowns to Sony Michel, in Jacksonville on Sunday. He is my favorite spend up at RB in NFL DFS.

Stud Pivots: Chris Carson, Le’Veon Bell

Note: Todd Gurley is in an obvious spot, I just don’t trust him

Cheap RB: Ty Johnson ($5,200 FD)

Lock him in. He is now starting for the Detroit Lions and is a step up from Kerryon Johnson. The Giants are 28th worst against the run and 25th worst against the pass. Johnson can run as well as catch (four for four last week). He is going to exceed value and if he gets in the end zone a couple times you will have a hard time cashing without him. He is a main RB target in my NFL DFS lineups this week.

Pivots: Chase Edmonds (David Johnson is likely to miss, tough matchup but he is too cheap)

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: DeAndre Hopkins ($8,200 FD)

I mentioned under Deshaun Watson why I want to target the Raiders defensive backfield. Hopkins has gotten targeted 12 times each of the last two games. With Will Fuller now injured, Hopkins is beyond the main focal point of his QB. I feel like we can finally get a real breakout game from the the elite Hopkins. I’m calling him to crush 100 yards and get in the end zone twice. He is set up to possibly be the highest scoring NFL DFS WR on the slate.

Stud Pivots: Michael Thomas (No Kamara would help), Cooper Kupp (expecting low ownership after last week let down),

Mid WR: Kenny Golladay ($6,700 FD)

He is my top receiver to stack with Matt Stafford against the Giants. I think the Lions win this game and look impressive doing it. The Giants are bad against receivers and this week they go back to Golladay, instead of Marvin Jones.

Update: Mid WR Pivots: Allen Robinson, Tyler Lockett, D,J. Chark

Value WR: Courtland Sutton ($6,000 FD)

Emmanuel Sanders just got traded and Sutton is the wide receiver of the future for the Broncos. If he doesn’t get double digit targets in this game I will be shocked. The Colts have given up 11 touchdowns this season (not terrible) and give up 8 yards per catch to receivers (not good). Joe Flacco is going to have to force the ball to Sutton here if they they want a chance to win. Sutton knows he has to step up now the Sanders is going, and this will be his first attempt at doing it. He is too cheap in NFL DFS.

Value WR Pivots: Golden Tate, John Brown, Tyrell Williams, Calvin Ridley (like him more if Ryan plays), Kenny Stills

Milli-Maker A.J. Brown, Adam Humphries, Jaron Brown

Tight End

Tight End: Austin Hooper ($6,600 FD)

Whether it is Matt Ryan at QB or Matt Schaub I still like Hooper as my top tight end. He has already proven what he can do with Ryan however I think his upside is just as high with Schaub. If the latter is in he will be checking it down more, as he doesn’t have the arm that Ryan possess. This should mean more targets for Hooper. The Falcons play the Seahawks who ranked 30th in covering the TE. We also have to consider the fact that Sanu was just traded to the Patriots which also helps Hooper’s case to get more targets. In a game where the Falcons will need to be throwing the second half, I like one of the best tight ends in the league, Austin Hooper.

Tight End Pivots: Darren Waller, Hunter Henry, Jared Cook (if healthy AND Brees is back), Cameron Brate (if O.J. Howard misses)

Defense

  1. Patriots (not with Tom Brady)
  2. 49ers
  3. Rams
  4. Seahawks (Pair with Carson, not Wilson and receivers)
  5. Lions (Pair with Ty Johnson, not Stafford and receivers)

I will tweet out when there are updates. Be sure to follow me @tenaciousdjones on Twitter so you don’t miss out!

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You have to get three of the four right. I expect a Seahawks onslaught on the Falcons. Wilson is getting over 22, Carson could get 100 yards and a TD and Lockett is the number one WR against a terrible Falcons defense. I also not not expect a big day from Julio, he will either have a hurt Matt Ryan or Matt Schaub throwing to him.

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Week 8 DFS QB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

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Week 8 DFS QB Picks gives us some odd names to consider in a week of odd matchups. The main slate of games means we are denied Redskins-Vikings (Thursday night), Packers-Chiefs (Sunday night) and the epic Ryan Fitzpatrick v. Mason Rudolph clash (Dolphins-Steelers) on Monday night.

The bye week means no Lamar Jackson (Ravens) nor Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

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Week 8 DFS QB Picks – Cash Game Passers

1) Russell Wilson, SEA @ ATL

DK ($7,200), FD ($8,600) 

Yes, he’s expensive, but he’s second only to Deshaun Watson in Fantasy points per game at DraftKings (25.4) and gets the delicious matchup against a Falcons defense that allows the most Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. In a dome, no less.

Wilson is fifth in both average depth per target (9.6) and air yards per pass completion (7.8 yards). Keep in mind the Falcons have the fifth-worst Fantasy defense against opposing receivers, giving up a 77.7% completion rate and 1.4 TDs per game. This is one case where the high investment reaps monster returns.

2) Teddy Bridgewater, NO vs. ARI

DK ($5,900), FD ($7,500) 

The question hovering over Bridgewater is whether the Saints activate Drew Brees in time for this start. If not, I love the prospects of Bridgewater putting up numbers beyond his game management-like totals, although 281 yards and two scores on the road against the Bears isn’t exactly Bob Griese’s Super Bowl totals.

Bridgewater isn’t known for his running skills, but this might be the week he offers the added bonus of a rushing TD. Not only are the Cardinals the fourth-worst defense against opposing quarterbacks, they also help/hurt their cause by allowing 27.9 yards per game on the ground to passers. Brees is returning sooner or later, but I’m thinking it won’t be Week 8, so run with Bridgewater.

3) Josh Allen, BUF vs. PHI

DK ($6,500), FD ($7,700) 

It’s Allen’s turn to pad his Fantasy numbers against the Eagles, who have played a lot worse than the ranking of 21st they currently own against opposing quarterbacks. Philly is giving up 287.9 yards and two touchdowns per game, numbers that would be higher if you took away the gimme that was the Jets. That the Eagles also have the worst Fantasy defense against the opposition’s wide receivers all but makes Allen and John Brown a dreamy pair in Week 8.

The Eagles did allow a rushing touchdown to Dak Prescott on Sunday night, which only enhances Allen’s upside. My bet is there’s a season-high coming with Allen, who should easily eclipse his current season-best of 254 yards passing.

4) Deshaun Watson, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($7,100), FD ($8,400) 

Similar to Wilson in that he’s going to be costly, Watson is also in a can’t avoid matchup at home taking on a Raiders defense that gave up five touchdown passes to Aaron Rodgers in Week 7. Rodgers also scored a rushing touchdown, something that’s right down Watson’s alley, as he remains on pace to account for double-digit rushing scores.

Oakland is the third-worst defense when it comes to slowing down opposing QBs. Although Watson’s home/road splits are more road friendly, I’ll take him at NRG Stadium. He’s sixth in pass yards after the catch (890), a total that could be hampered by the loss of WR Will Fuller.

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Week 8 DFS QB Picks – GPP Passers

1) Matthew Stafford, DET vs. NYG

DK ($6,100), FD ($7,700) 

Stafford is third in the league with average depth of target of 10.3, one of only three QBs (Jameis Winston, Ryan Fitzpatrick) over 10 yards per ADOT. The Giants are a modest 19th in Fantasy points per game allowed to opposing passers, but with RB Kerryon Johnson likely to miss this game, count on Stafford to approach 35-40 attempts.

2) Jared Goff, LAR vs. CIN

DK ($6,800), FD ($8,000) 

We are born-again believers of Goff, who will get another favorable matchup versus a Bengals team that is ninth-worst against opposing quarterbacks. To their credit, the Bengals give up just 1.3 TD passes per game but their 50.3 rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks drag their overall numbers down. Goff is one of two QBs who have been blitzed at least 100 times (oddly enough, he’ll be facing Andy Dalton, who happens to be the other QB).

3) Tom Brady, NE vs. CLE

DK ($6,600), FD ($7,900) 

In a Sentence: Fifth with 1,122 air yards, those numbers will go higher the addition of WR Mohamed Sanu.

4) Derek Carr, OAK @ HOU

DK ($5,000), FD ($6,900) 

In a Sentence: Season-best 10.1 yards per attempt last week, Carr should equal — if not exceed — against the Texans, who have the fifth-worst Fantasy defense against QBs.

5) Carson Wentz, PHI @ BUF

DK ($5,600), FD ($7,400) 

In a Sentence: Now sixth in air yards per pass completion, Wentz will likely find himself in catch-up mode, so watch the numbers pile up in vain.

6) Kyler Murray, ARI @ NO

DK ($6,200), FD ($7,400) 

In a Sentence: Boom-bust play, yet I like the chances of boom if WR Christian Kirk is healthy and able to stretch a Saints D ranked 20th in Fantasy points per game allowed to opposing passers.

7) Gardner Minshew II, JAX vs. NYJ

DK ($5,500), FD ($6,900) 

In a Sentence: His two best Fantasy games this season have come when he’s averaged better than eight yards per attempt.

8) Philip Rivers, LAC @ CHI

DK ($5,300), FD ($7,300) 

In a Sentence: Has averaged at least 23.62 FanDuel points in each of his previous three road games.

9) Jacoby Brissett, IND vs. DEN

DK ($5,600), FD ($7,500) 

In a Sentence: Three straight games of at least 23.65 FanDuel points at home.

10) Andy Dalton, CIN @ LAR

DK ($5,000), FD ($6,900) 

In a Sentence: Squirt gun production from the running game means Dalton will continue his stretch of at least 36 pass attempts, which happens to be his low water mark for 2019.

Week 7 DFS QB Picks – Punt & Value Passers

1) Ryan Tannehill, TEN vs. TB

DK ($5,400), FD ($6,900) 

In a Sentence: Buccaneers allow 318.5 passing yards per game, and Tannehill did make the Titans receivers look good in the win over the Chargers…

2) Daniel Jones, NYG @ DET

DK ($5,800), FD ($7,000) 

In a Sentence: I’ll buy into the fact he’ll produce due to RB Saquon Barkley and TE Evan Engram being a week healthier.

3) Jameis Winston, TB @ TEN

DK ($5,900), FD ($7,400) 

In a Sentence: Turnovers aside (it was one bad game), Winston has averaged at least seven yards per attempt in each of his last five games.

4) Kyle Allen, CAR @ SF

DK ($5,200), FD ($7,000) 

In a Sentence: Has yet to throw an INT, but the 224.5 passing yards per game will have to eventually come up to keep Cam Newton at bay.

5) Jimmy Garoppolo, SF vs. CAR

DK ($5,700), FD ($7,400) 

In a Sentence: One game of better than 20 Fantasy points this season.

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NFL

NFL DFS Week 7 GPP Picks Of Destiny from DFS Pro David Jones

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Week 7 in the NFL is about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!

David also won back-to-back GPPs!

There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.

Quarterbacks:

Stud Quarterback: Josh Allen ($7,700 FD; $6,500 DK)

One of my favorite quarterbacks just got the week off to prepare for the dreadful Dolphins at home. Perhaps the Dolphins’ best chance to win a game this season came and went last week when the Redskins visited Miami after the Dolphins had a bye week. I love what the Bills are doing this year and there is no way they lose this game. Allen is a dual-threat QB who threw for a combined 455 yards and five touchdowns while running for a combined 230 yards and two touchdowns in two games against the Dolphins last season. If he can get close to his average against a team that is worse than they were last year, we are all in for a big day. Miami allows 9.7 yards to opposing receivers (dead last in the NFL) and they are right there with the Bengals for worst defense against the rush. In short, Allen will be in my main NFL DFS lineup this Sunday.

Stud Quarterback: Jared Goff ($7,800 FD; $6,200 DK)

I love him this week. He goes up agains the Falcons, who are just terrible covering the pass. Goff has plenty of options to throw to and they come to Atlanta with a questionable running back situation. Over the last three weeks, the quarterback facing the Falcons has won the milli-maker (twice on DraftKings, once on FanDuel). Goff bounces back in a big way in Atlanta.

QB Pivots: Lamar Jackson, Russell Wilson

Note: I am really very high on the two guys listed above (Allen, Goff) but I will list a couple high risk punts for you below.

Update: Gardner Minshew, Andy Dalton, Jacoby Brissett

Update: Daniel Jones (coming off him, looks like rain in NY)

Running Backs

Stud RB: Leonard Fournette ($7,900 FD, $7,000 DK)

The Bengals have given up over 200 more yards than any other team on the ground this year (it should be noted the Dolphins have had a bye week). They have allowed a league-high nine rushing touchdowns. Fournette has been coming on strong the last few weeks. He has gotten over 20 carries in each game the last three weeks and he is more involved in the passing attack. We love three-down backs, remember? In Fournette’s last three games, he has exactly 500 all-purpose yards. This has also been against formidable defenses in the Saints, Panthers and Broncos (to a lesser extent). He should be in for another 25 touches on Sunday and is an easy pick for my top NFL DFS RB of the week.

Stud Pivots: Saquan Barkley (like him more if it is raining in NY), Dalvin Cook

Mid RB: Josh Jacobs ($6,700 FD; $5,000 DK)

He just seems too cheap for a guy that is not splitting carries and coming off a bye week. He will also contribute a bit in the passing game, especially if Ty Williams is out. The Raiders should realize that you want to keep Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense off the field, so running the ball is a good way to do that. The Packers are allowing 4.9 yards per carry and have given up seven rushing touchdowns in six games. I can see Jacobs touching the ball here about 20 times and paying off that low NFL DFS salary. I will admit I am not 100% sold on Jacobs this week but he looks like the best of the bunch. I never love starting a guy from the West Coast on a 1PM ET game time, but this week I am willing to make an exception. Update: Ty Williams is out, making me like Jacobs even more.

Mid Pivots: Chris Carson, Marlon Mack. Derrick Henry

RB Punts: Frank Gore, Chase Edmonds (if David Johnson sits), Lat Murray is now in play with Kamara being ruled out. Tough matchup, but cheap price and will get RB1 workload. I will have a few shares but he won’t be near my main lineup.

I will update again closer to Sunday. Be sure to check back.

Wide Receiver

Stud WR: Cooper Kupp ($7,800 FD; $7,400 DK)

The Falcons are getting roasted by everyone and stacking against them is making money for a host of people. I am not going to try to fix what isn’t broke. Kupp is my (and Goff’s) favorite receiver. Last week his targets were down (six) but prior to that he got 17, 15 and 12 targets and scored over 20 FanDuel points in every game. If he does not get over 10 targets and a touchdown, I will be shocked. There is no way this guy puts up a dud performance. Rams HC Sean McVay is the kind of coach that attacks what works, and against the Falcons, that’s throwing the ball. Goff is going to bounce back from a bad performance against one of the league’s best defenses (49ers) and throw for over 300 yards. Kupp should be the wide receiver that benefits the most.

Note: If you decide to fade Kupp ( I wouldn’t) you should put another Rams WR on your team.

Stud Pivots: T.Y Hilton, Keenan Allen, Robert Woods

Mid WR: John Brown ($5,900 FD; $5,500 DK)

A speedy wide receiver against the Dolphins that fits perfectly with my top quarterback? Yes, please! Brown has been a fantastic addition to the Bills, as he has become more reliable in his featured role. He has only scored once this year, but there is not a better spot for a get-right game than against the Dolphins. Take into account they have had two weeks off to game plan and the matchup gets even juicier for the Bills and Brown.

Update: Mid WR Pivots: D.J. Chark (like more than John Brown now), Brandin Cooks

Value WR: Tyler Boyd ($5,600 FD; $5,600 DK)

What do we do when there is blood on the streets? We clean it up! This is of course in reference to the stinker that Boyd put up last week against the Ravens, but hey I called it. You only play Boyd at home. It is very simple. Seven of his eight touchdowns in 2018 came at home. This year at home, he has over 10 receptions in both games along with a touchdown. Boyd has put up at least 17 FanDuel points at home. Love him as a cheap NFL DFS play this week.

Update: WR Value Pivots: Calvin Ridley, Auden Tate, Larry Fitzgerald

Update: DraftKings Milli-Maker Darts: Allen Lazard, Darius Slayton (if not raining), Zay Jones

Tight End

Tight End: Evan Engram ($6,800 FD; $6,500 DK)

The Giants confirmed on Friday that Engram will return to the starting lineup. We profit off the Cardinals every week and we are going to do it again Sunday. I am locking him in as my top NFL DFS tight end.

Tight End Pivots: Mark Andrews, Darren Waller, Hunter Henry

Defense

  1. Bills
  2. 49ers
  3. Bears
  4. Packers

I listed four defenses but I am very, very high on the Bills and 49ers.

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NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

DFS Fantasy Football Podcast: QB Picks and Waiver Wire with DFS Pro Javi and BCW

Brandon C. Williams
written by Brandon C. Williams

The DFS Fantasy Football Podcast features co-hosts Javi Prellezo (DFS Pro) and Brandon C. Williams discussing the Week 6 quarterback performances along with getting a look on the Week 7 plays to run with.

Week 7’s main slate will be thin on star talent. Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz and Tom Brady are among the quarterbacks playing prime-time games.

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Fantasy Football Podcast: Seriously, Josh Allen is a Week 7 play worth considering

Bills quarterback Josh Allen may not seem like an ideal Fantasy play, but he’s going against the Dolphins with a improved receiving corps that should offer more of Week 5 hero Duke Williams.

Daniel Jones can be an interesting play. The Giants QB gets to face the Cardinals, who are the worst defense in Fantasy when it comes to taking on quarterbacks. On the surface, he’s a major risk, but if TE Evan Engram returns, Jones has the makings of a punt play with value.

Other topics:

*Giants QB Daniel Jones is an interesting punt play.

*Gardner Minshew is an under the radar Cash Game option.

*Don’t buy too much into Russell Wilson this week, as the Ravens’ pass defense is much better than the numbers suggest.

*Do buy in to Lamar Jackson on the road against the Seahawks.

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Thank you for listening to the Fantasy Football Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

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Week 7 DFS QB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

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Perhaps the Week 7 DFS QB Picks will be more fruitful than last week, especially for those who got burned by Patrick Mahomes. There’s also us darned fools who underestimated Kirk Cousins (but didn’t call him a “weak link”), and for those who went with Jared Goff, well, we told ya.

As usual, the main slate’s the focus, so nuts to Chiefs-Broncos (Thursday night), Eagles-Cowboys (Sunday night) and Patriots-Jets (Monday night). The bye week also means no Browns, Buccaneers (Thank God), Panthers and Steelers.

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Week 7 DFS QB Picks – Cash Game Passers

1) Matt Ryan, ATL vs. LAR

DK ($6,300), FD ($7,900) 

One could make a case of putting Ryan ahead of Watson, but Ryan isn’t remotely close to being the running threat that Watson is. Still, Ryan leads the league in both actual (2,011) and air (1,233) yards and will have a chance to light up a Rams defense that may not be up to the task of playing a track meet-style of contest that Atlanta will attempt to force.

The Rams are allowing 11.6 yards per catch, a total that could go higher now that Austin Hooper is a legit TE1 that can open the field for Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, two of the best run after the catch receivers in the game. Ryan is a still a value play, especially for someone attempting 43 passes per contest. You can’t be faulted for going with Ryan instead of Watson and using the savings elsewhere.

2) Kyler Murray, ARI @ NYG

DK ($6,700), FD ($7,700) 

The Giants are 26th in Fantasy points allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks, making this a solid play on the undervalued Murray. He’s progressed over the past two weeks, completing 68.1% of his passes while raising his rating from 78.8 to 109.1 in October. The O-line is showing considerable improvement, as Murray has been sacked just one in his last 69 attempts.

Murray is now in the Top 10 in air yards (eighth, 934) and if Christian Kirk returns soon, he’ll go higher. Momentum is on Murray’s side and he’s worth the play with his current value.

3) Gardner Minshew II, JAC @ CIN

DK ($5,400), FD ($6,900) 

A bigger bargain than Murray, Minshew will be under the radar because of his tepid performance against a suspect Saints secondary last week. My only concern here is that with the Bengals ranked dead last in run defense, this could open the door for a monster afternoon for Leonard Fournette.

Minshew doesn’t do anything spectacular, yet he does have a 9-2 TD:INT margin and a lower bad throw completion rate (16.5%) than the likes of Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson and Joe Flacco. Even if he gets 25-28 attempts, he’ll be efficient enough to rack up points.

4) Josh Allen, BUF vs. MIA

DK ($6,500), FD ($7,700) 

There’s plenty of work to make Allen Fantasy-viable on a consistent basis, but I like the fact he’s 27th in bad throw percentage at 14.1%. Allen is 12th in average depth of target at 8.7 and I’m enthused about the prospects of former CFL All-Star Duke Williams becoming more involved in the offense. The Dolphins are very QB-friendly, so take advantage of the one time Allen appears here.

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Week 7 DFS QB Picks – GPP Passers

1) Lamar Jackson, BAL @ SEA

DK ($6,800), FD ($8,400) 

With each week, Jackson falls down the rankings in bad throw percentage, and that’s a good thing. The Seahawks allow 277.8 passing yards per contest, making Jackson’s 9.4 average depth per target more tempting to use. He finally had that game rushing against the Bengals, and while it’s too much (perhaps) to expect a similar effort, let’s be mindful of the fact that Seattle does allow 4.7 yards per carry.

2) Deshaun Watson, HOU @ IND

DK ($7,000), FD ($8,300) 

Watson is on pace to account for 43 touchdowns, including 11 on the ground. That alone puts him in this category, but as good as he was in September, he’s downright lethal in October. He’s completed a staggering 77.3% of his passes with a 9.4 yards per attempt while accounting for eight scores (two rushing).

Sixth in average depth of target (9.6), Watson gets a Colts defense that 22 completions, 260 yards and two touchdowns per game. Indy must also be mindful that Watson averages 7.9 yards per scramble and that we haven’t seen a monster game from DeAndre Hopkins. Yet.

3) Jared Goff, LAR @ ATL

DK ($6,200), FD ($7,800) 

The fleas from the dog Goff had on Sunday will linger for some, but it’s indoors and the Falcons’ secondary has let Deshaun Watson and Kyler Murray look Canton-worthy the past two weeks. Atlanta has the third-worst defense against QBs Fantasy-wise, and if Goff can survive the Falcons blitzing him to no end (opponents average more than 14 blitzes per game on him), he has a chance to rebound nicely.

4) Kirk Cousins, MIN @ DET

DK ($6,200), FD ($7,800) 

To hell with ball control. Let Cousins fling the damn ball, because it’s working. He’s gone from an average of 7.4 yards per attempt in September to 11.4 YPA in his two October games while completing 78.6% of his passes. Cousins is now in the Top 10 in air yards per pass attempt (4.4) after languishing in the mid 3s last month. The Lions allow 291.6 passing yards per game but are limiting passers to 1.2 TD tosses per. He’ll get the yards but I also think he’ll get the TDs, especially if they get TE Kyle Rudolph back into the flow.

5) Russell Wilson, SEA vs. BAL

DK ($6,600), FD ($8,500) 

Unlike many, I’m not enamored with this matchup. Yes, the Ravens are 29th overall against the pass. However, they’re 10th overall in Fantasy because they don’t allow touchdowns. B-More is allowing a TD pass per game on average, and QBs are averaging a mere 7.3 yards on the ground. Wilson is going to miss TE Will Dissly (Achilles, done for 2019), especially near the red zone, so it’s going to come down to whether WRs Jaron Brown and DK.Metcalf can fill in from the 4-6 targets per game that were going to Dissly.

6) Aaron Rodgers, GB vs. OAK

DK ($6,400), FD ($7,600) 

In a Sentence: Everything hinges on Davante Adams’ toe.

7) Jacoby Brissett, IND vs. HOU

DK ($5,600), FD ($7,300) 

In a Sentence: For all the giddy feelings about the Texans following their win over the Chiefs, the defense is still 27th in Fantasy against opposing QBs.

8) Matthew Stafford, DET vs. MIN

DK ($5,200), FD ($7,300) 

In a Sentence: Only Jameis Winston has a better air yards per pass completion mark than Stafford’s 8.2.

9) Philip Rivers, LAC at TEN

DK ($5,500), FD ($7,600) 

In a Sentence: He’s second to Patrick Mahomes in passing yards after the catch (825).

10) Jimmy Garoppolo, SF @ WAS

DK ($6,000), FD ($7,500) 

In a Sentence: The Redskins allow 2.3 TD passes per game, and we have yet to see a monster game from Garoppolo….just sayin’.

Week 7 DFS QB Picks – Punt & Value Passers

1) Daniel Jones, NYG vs. ARI

DK ($6,100), FD ($7,200) 

In a Sentence: The Cardinals are the worst Fantasy defense against opposing QBs, making Jones an interesting punt who becomes very intriguing if Evan Engram is available.

2) Teddy Bridgewater, NO @ CHI

DK ($5,300), FD ($7,000) 

In a Sentence: The Bears allow 0.8 TD passes per game; if Bridgewater is the answer here, I sure as hell don’t want to know the question.

3) Andy Dalton, CIN vs. JAX

DK ($5,400), FD ($6,900) 

In a Sentence: On average, Dalton is blitzed 16.1 times per game, which means you may need a spatula to scrape him off the field.

4) Case Keenum, WAS vs. SF

DK ($4,600), FD ($6,500) 

In a Sentence: I’d put good money that you’ll see Dwayne Haskins at some point.

5) Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA @ BUF

DK ($4,500), FD ($6,400) 

In a Sentence: The Bills are one of three teams (Patriots, 49ers) allowing fewer than 10 Fantasy points per game against opposing passers, so good luck with that, Ryan.

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