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Mitch’s 2/22 NBA Position Breakdown

billyr011199@gmail.com
written by billyr011199@gmail.com

In this article, I will break down each position with my top stud, middle tier, and value plays for this NBA DFS slate. I will be referring to DraftKings on pricing. Most picks are for GPP/Tournaments, some would also be viable for cash games.

Tonight, we have six-game NBA slate on our hands, with four teams on the second leg of a back to backs. I’m just going to get things started by saying Luka is only $10,200 tonight and he is in a smash spot facing the Hawks. There aren’t very many players with a questionable tag going into this evening’s games. Hopefully, we don’t have any news break, but in case we do check out the Discord chat room with the WinDaily staff as we further breakdown our picks and injury news.

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Point Guard 

Luka Doncic – Stud – ($10,200)

I spoke too soon yesterday saying we probably won’t see Luka at a lower price this season, his price in this spot just makes me scratch my head, almost too good to be true. Feels like a trap. If it ends up being a trap DraftKings will be taking all my money tomorrow. The Hawks have given up the most fantasy points as a team this NBA season, ranking 3rd worst in defensive efficiency to back that up. The over/under in this game is a massive 239. Given the price and matchup, Luka is a lock for me tonight.

Malik Monk – Mid-tier – ($5,100)

Charlotte sees a +5 pace in this match. Brooklyn ranks 10th fastest in the NBA this season. In the past month, Monk leads the Hornets in usage with a usage rate of 26.7%. For a guy leading his team in usage, this price is too cheap. Lastly, I will add, Brooklyn is surrendering the 6th most fantasy points to point guards this season.

Kendrick Nunn – Value – ($4,500)

No matter how you look at it Cleveland has surrendered the most fantasy points to point guards not only through the course of the NBA season, but they have also given up the most in the past month. Cleveland is also the 2nd worst team in defensive efficiency this season. To put the cherry on top, with Tyler Herro off the court this season, Nunn leads the team in usage percentage at 26.1%.

Shooting Guard 

Zach Lavine – Stud – ($8,900)

Chicago somehow is going to be down another player as Kornet is doubtful. Lavine almost has sole control of this offense right now with a 33.1% usage rate, and he is scoring 53 fantasy points per 36 minutes with all these players off the floor. Phoenix isn’t the sexiest matchup in the NBA, but I like to attack Devin Booker’s defense. With the spread only being one point in this game I like Lavine in this close matchup.

Donovan Mitchell – Mid-tier – ($7,400)

The matchup is about as good as they come as Mitchell faces the Rockets in Utah. Houston has also given up the 3rd most fantasy points to shooting guards on the NBA season. Mitchell was 20% owned last night’s slate and burnt everyone bad, typically DFS players won’t go back to that player especially the next night. His usage is 31.7% in the past four weeks and in two previous matchups against the Rockets, he is averaging 46 fantasy points. Mitchell should bounce back from a poor performance last night with this matchup today.

Cam Reddish – Value – ($4,100)

This game is expected to have the highest total on today’s NBA slate with a total of 239, so I want pieces from this contest. Hunter already ruled out for Atlanta I think Reddish starts at small forward here. Atlanta isn’t shy about running their starters big minutes as several players near 40 minutes recently. Reddish saw 37 minutes in the first game after the all-star break so 30 minutes shouldn’t be a problem if he starts.

Small Forward 

Caris Levert – Stud – ($7,000)

Over the past month, Levert has taken over the Nets offense without Kyrie, earning a usage rate of 30.3% over that time to lead the team. In Brooklyn’s previous game Levert shot nearly 30 times to prove that. No more restrictions as he now has seen over 30 minutes in four straight games. Charlotte is the 5th worst team in defensive efficiency this NBA season. Small forward is not an east spot to figure out tonight, but Levert should have a pretty safe floor regardless.

Kevin Huerter – Mid-tier – ($5,400)

Not a usage monster by any means, but if I’m playing Luka over Trae Young, I must get exposure to this game elsewhere. I feel comfortable playing him due to the high volume of minutes Atlanta’s starters play. I see Huerter being guarded by Seth Curry and that isn’t a defender that scares me. With small forward seeming thin on tonight’s NBA slate, I’ll take Huerter’s minutes and be happy.

Danuel House Jr. – Value – ($4,300)

I don’t love small forward this NBA slate unless some sort of injury news breaks, but House Jr. screams value. Just five games ago He was priced at $6,000 on DraftKings, so he sees a significant price drop here against Utah. House Jr has fared well against the Jazz in two meetings this season averaging 36.5 fantasy points in those games. 

Power Forward

Giannis Antetokounmpo – Stud – ($11,200)

It’s starting to become a rarity that Giannis scores under 60 fantasy points. In the past month with everyone, healthy Giannis is still seeing a usage percentage of 37.4% and averaging 73 fantasy points per 36 minutes in that month as well. In the most recent matchup with Philadelphia,  Giannis scored 72.5 fantasy points. Giannis is one of the best players in the NBA if not the best, you can make an argument for him any given night.

Thaddeus Young – Mid-tier – ($5,600)

I still want pieces from this thin Chicago team and Thaddeus Young is the leader in minutes with all these players out. Young sees a usage percentage at 21.7% and is scoring 37 fantasy points per 36 minutes with these players absent. I have him projected at 36 minutes for this game as Kornet is listed as doubtful to add to the list of injuries. The Bulls have the most injuries in the NBA resulting in some value and players receiving large minutes.

Cedi Osman – Value – ($3,900)

I have a feeling that it’s possible for Kevin Love to sit out this game so keep an eye on that. If Love doesn’t sit, I don’t like Osman as much in this matchup with Miami. Osman has a safe floor at his price and the Cavaliers only have two healthy small forwards healthy right now so the minutes should remain safe as well. None of the value on this NBA slate is safe unless we get some injury news, maybe that news will be Kevin Love.

Center

  Deandre Ayton – Stud – ($8,700)

Big men against Chicago has been a target all year long as they lead the NBA in fantasy points given up to centers on the season. If we don’t get the news that Ayton is out or limited on this back to back, I’ll fire him up. Chicago is extremely banged up as they only have 3 healthy bodies to play both frontcourt positions. Ayton should dominate this game with Chicago’s 3rd and 4th string centers guarding him.

Kristaps Porzingis – Mid-tier – ($8,000)

I know this isn’t exactly a middle-tier play but personally I will be spending up at center tonight and most likely playing two centers. Porzingis does hold a 30% usage rate over the past month, and he faces Atlanta the team that has given up the most fantasy points to centers over that same time frame. Atlanta is fast and plays minimal defense, so much like Luka, this is a dream matchup for Porzingis. 

Christiano Felicio – Value – ($3,000)

Tournament plays only here for Felicio as I think he sees a lot of minutes as Chicago needs someone to match up with Deandre Ayton. Kornet is also considered doubtful so the Bulls will only have 8 active players tonight. No flashy usage stat here just the simple fact that he could play 30 minutes and with a minimum price tag he should hit value. 7x or even 8x wouldn’t surprise me. 

Tonight’s six-game NBA slate has several high priced players so unless the news breaks a lot of DFS players will be trying to reach for value. You want to get exposure to the Dallas at Atlanta game, and Houston at Utah, as those are the two highest totals on the slate. Keep an eye on some guys sitting on back to backs I think Kevin Love is a strong candidate to sit tonight, so don’t forget to check out the Discord chat rooms, where we breakdown key news and further discuss our picks for the slate. Enjoy your weekend and thanks for reading. Good luck!

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Daily Fantasy Sports

NBA DFS Top Targets for Saturday by J.Thomson

Jim Thomson
written by Jim Thomson

My NBA targets can be used in both cash games and GPP’s. The risky plays are to be used as GPP dart throws. I am using DraftKings salaries.  

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#1 TARGET: LUKA DONCIC (10,200)

Coming into this game, he has a massive usage rate (37%), averages 1.7 fantasy points per minute (FPPM), has an excellent rebound percentage (15.3%), and an astonishing assist rate (45.5%). Luka is matchup proof. When given the minutes, he can completely take over any NBA game. He has a smash matchup versus the atrocious 28th ranked NBA defense of the Atlanta Hawks. Doncic could potentially amass 70 to 75 Draftkings points tonight. He is an absolute must-have and a lock and load into the majority of my lineups. 

#2 TARGET: GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO (11,200)

This is not the greatest matchup versus the well balanced NBA defense of the Philadelphia 76ers. Giannis is an elite performer and can succeed against any NBA defense. The best time to play Giannis is when he is going to be in a competitive game. This game should stay relatively close. If that’s the case, he will see 33 to 35 minutes. He is an absolute freak and matchup nightmare for anyone who is tasked with guarding him. On the season, he has averaged 1.9 FPPM, a high usage rate (37%), head-turning assist rate (33%), a very nice rebounding rate (21%), and has produced over 50 fantasy points in 13 straight games. Antetokounmpo is extremely hard to get away from and will be a core play for me tonight.

#3 TARGET: THADDEUS YOUNG (5,600)

Thad finally produced a big game last game in an NBA matchup versus the Charlotte Hornets. He played 36 minutes and had 48 Draftkings points. The Chicago Bulls are already competing without Carter Jr, Markkanen, and are going to be without Kornet tonight. Thad Young is one of the three relevant big men the Bulls have left and will have solidified minutes. The Phoenix Suns struggle versus bigs. Thad Should smash his price tag.

#4 TARGET: MIKE CONLEY (5,200)

Conley has been playing well as of late. He has been seeing consistent minutes, playing 30 plus minutes in four straight games. Last time Conley saw the Rockets, he produced 35 Draftkings points in 36 minutes. He is in a good, fast-paced NBA matchup. The Houston Rockets are number two in pace of play and can force opposing teams to run up and down the court, which will also create more opportunities for NBA teams in that matchup. Conley is a safe play with a 40 fantasy point upside. 

#5 TARGET: MAXI KLEBER (3,900)

This is a back to back for the Dallas Mavericks. Porizinges has been resting on the second half of back to backs this season. With Porzinges potentially resting tonight, Maxi stands out as one of my favorite value options on today’s NBA DFS slate. Even with Zinger playing last night, Kleber produced 33 Draftkings points in 22 minutes. Maxi could easily see 30 minutes and could crush his value at his cheap price tag.

Honorable Mention: 

Trae Young (10,600)

Deandre Ayton (8,700)

Bam Adebayo (8,600)

Spencer Dinwiddie (7,700)

Tobias Harris (6,700)

Josh Richardson (4,400)

Cam Reddish (4,100)

SLATE SUMMARY: 

On today’s six-game NBA slate, I will be using the stars and scrubs approach by locking in Luka, Giannis, and I will use all of the great cheap value to fill in the rest. Good luck today, and don’t forget to come back and WIN DAILY

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Sports BettingPremium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NBA Friday!!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Cash with Flash Best Bets is back!! Yesterday was a weird 0-2-1 kinda day and those days aren’t much fun. Thankfully we have today to get back on the right track and hopefully our selections today are able to do just that. 

Bankroll Management

Can’t stress enough how important managing your bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financial situation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll management plan to help you reach them.

Discord

We’re abandoning the Slack Chat in favor of Discord. If you haven’t already done so, you will need to sign up for Discord with this link.  Then use this link to gain access to the Win Daily Sports channel.

Cash with Flash Best Bets has two NBA games for you to consider for tonight.

Oklahoma City vs Denver Nuggets UNDER 215.5 Points

These two teams play awfully slow and the defense is the best part of both these sides. Two below-average offenses in a divisional battle like this one tend to be lower scoring games. We have this one at 212.5 points and think 215.5 points is a mistake that we can take advantage of. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing UNDER 215.5 points in this contest tonight. 

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz UNDER 221.5 Points

This is another matchup where the total might be a bit too much for this game. Our number at Cash with Flash Best Bets was 214.5 and we were planning on playing the under so this is a bonus. The Jazz allows the sixth-fewest points per game in the NBA and are playing at home where they are 20-5 this season. These two sides play at two of the slowest paces in the NBA and with the Jazz defense being what it is and especially at home, Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests playing UNDER 221.5 points tonight. 

Dallas Mavericks -3.5 over Orlando Magic

The Mavericks are a good team that is being undervalued here or maybe Orlando is overvalued. Either way, there isn’t much not to like with the Mavericks getting points against the anemic Orlando offense. Orlando allows the fewest points per game in the NBA this season but Dallas is better in every statistical category and they should have All-Star Luka Doncic on the floor tonight. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests laying the 3.5 points and playing Dallas to cover over the Orlando Magic.  

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily.  All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.  All information is provided on an as-is basis.

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NBAPremium

NBA DFS Top Targets for Friday, February 21, 2020

Jim Thomson
written by Jim Thomson

My NBA targets can be used in both cash games and GPP’s. The risky plays are to be used as GPP dart throws. I am using DraftKings salaries.  

Join our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.

#1 TARGET: LUCA DONCIC (10,600)

On the season, he has a high usage rate (37%), averages 1.7 fantasy points per minute (FPPM), has an excellent rebound percentage (15.3%), and an amazing assist rate (45.5%). In a close game, he will be on the court 34 to 36 minutes. In his first game back from injury, he played 31 minutes and produced 61 Draftkings points. Doncic is matchup proof, and it doesn’t matter if he has a fantastic NBA matchup or not. Having a full week to heal, he is in a prime spot to break this NBA slate wide open.

#2 TARGET: C.J MCCOLLUM (6,600)

CJ looks like he is in a massive get right spot. With Damian Lillard off the floor, McCollum has averaged a 34% usage rate, 27% assist percentage, and 1.2 (FPPM). He sees a massive overall boost in all categories. In a close and extremely fast-paced game versus the mediocre NBA defense of the Pelicans, McCollum should see around 36 minutes. He should blow his value out of the water.

#3 TARGET: ANTHONY DAVIS (9,900)

Davis is in a great spot versus the fast-paced NBA defense of the Memphis Grizzlies. He has averaged 60 fantasy points in the two previous matchups versus the Grizzlies this season. On most nights, Davis can produce 50 to 55 fantasy points with upside for a lot more. This could be an absolute smash spot for AD. 

#4 TARGET: D’ANGELO RUSSELL (8,600)

He Looks extremely appealing. Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to miss multiple games. Last game without Towns, Russell played 35 minutes and contributed 58 Draftkings points. In the small sample size with Towns off the floor (41 minutes), he has a 29% usage rate, close to 1.4 FPPM, and an assist rate of 44%. It’s not a great matchup versus the beasty NBA defense of the Boston Celtics, but the usage boost he will see puts him at the top of my list.

#5 TARGET: JASON TATUM (7,800)

Tatum is in a great NBA matchup versus the Minnesota Timberwolves. With Kemba off the floor this season, Tatum sees a bump in usage and a spike to his fantasy production. He has seven straight games with over 40 fantasy points. His fantasy production and playmaking ability should continue in this spot.

Honorable Mention: 

Andre Drummond (9,100)

Brandon Ingram (6,800)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6,400)

Marcus Smart (5,900)

Jordan Clarkson (5,400)

SLATE SUMMARY: 

On today’s nine-game NBA slate, I will be using the stars and scrubs approach in at least half of my lineups. On the other half of my lineups, I will be using mid-range options to build a balanced lineup. Good luck today, and don’t forget to come back and WIN DAILY!

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NBA

Mitch’s position breakdown for NBA 2/20

written by

Here I will break down each position with my top NBA stud, middle tier, and value plays for this NBA DFS slate. I will be referring to DraftKings on pricing. Most picks are for GPP/Tournaments, some would also be viable for cash games.

We have a six-game NBA DFS slate on our hands tonight. It doesn’t appear to be an injury-filled slate for this time in what seems like forever. Obviously, that could change in a blink of an eye, so check out the Discord chat room with the WinDaily staff as we further breakdown our picks and injury news.

Join our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.

Point Guard 

Russell Westbrook – Stud – ($10,200)

Westbrook has been excellent as of late, posting 50 fantasy points in 11 out of his last 12 games. In the last month, Westbrook has a usage rate of 39.8%. That’s 6% more than Harden in that same time frame. Golden State is surrendering the most points to points guards on this NBA slate. A blowout is a slight concern here, although Westbrooks minutes seem safe playing more than 30 minutes in 15 straight games.

Terry Rozier – Mid-tier – ($5,700)

In the two weeks without Kris Dunn, the Chicago Bulls have given up the most fantasy points to point guards in the NBA. The Bulls have several other injuries resulting in them allowing 255 fantasy points per game, also good for the most in the entire NBA over that time. He also sees a $600 price decrease coming back from the All-Star break.

Jordan Poole – Value – ($4,000)

Poole has benefited from the Warrior’s busy trade deadline. Since those trades, he was seen 30 minutes in two straight games, and over 20 minutes in four straight. With the increased playing time, he has jacked up double-digit shots in four straight games. A very friendly matchup with Houston who is the second-fastest team in the NBA.

Shooting Guard  

Jimmy Butler – Stud – ($7,900)

First off Jimmy has seen the Hawks three times already this season, averaging 48.2 fantasy points in those games. Atlanta has given up the most fantasy points to Small Forwards this NBA season. Jimmy Butler isn’t listed at SF but let’s be honest is Trae Young or Kevin Huerter going to guard him? Regardless, Butler is in a great matchup, as the Hawks are the 7th fastest team and 3rd worst team in defensive rating this season.

Bogdan Bogdanovic – Mid-tier – ($4,900)

Bogdanovic has struggled as of late so this play is definitely for tournaments. He has a favorable matchup here against Memphis. Memphis holds the 5th fastest pace in the NBA, while also giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to shooting guards on the season. He seems to perform better at home, averaging four more fantasy points at home.

 Andre Iguodala – Value – ($3,300)

This NBA slate isn’t appearing to have much value but Iguodala could be a place to find it. Since joining Miami, he has reached 20 minutes in two of those three games. Obviously he has the same matchup benefits as Jimmy Butler does. I wouldn’t be surprised if he neared 25 fantasy points in this spot. Either way, I think he is cheap enough that he won’t kill a lineup.

  Small Forward 

Andrew Wiggins – Stud – ($7,600)

In the three games with Golden State, Andrew Wiggins leads the team in minutes and usage percentage at nearly 25%. Houston, as mentioned before, is the 2nd fastest team in the NBA. Wiggins has also displayed some defense with Golden state accumulating 12 steals and blocks total over those three games. 

Caris Levert – Mid-tier – ($6,700) 

Finally, it seems Levert has no minutes restriction, as he has reached 30 minutes in four out of his last 5 games. Over the past month and with Kyrie Irving off the floor Levert has a usage percentage at 29.5%. Surprisingly Philadelphia has also given up the 4th most fantasy points in the NBA to Small Forwards over the past six games.

Shaq Harrison – Value – ($3,000)

This is strictly a boom or bust tournament play. Harrison could get a healthy chunk of minutes tonight as the Bulls will only have nine available players according to my count. At the minimum price, I think he gets the start with all of Chicago’s injuries at Small Forward, and not a terrible matchup against Charlotte the 5th worst defensive rated team in the NBA.

Power Forward

Christian Wood – Stud – ($6,900)

I’m not exactly comfortable with any of these higher-priced small forwards. Wood faces the fastest-paced team in the NBA the Milwaukee Bucks. He has also reached Over 30 minutes in five out of his last six games. You Have to be worried about a blowout in this spot, which is the reason Giannis wasn’t my stud. I think Milwaukee throttles Detroit, but Wood’s minutes are safer with the departure of Andre Drummond.

  Thaddeus Young – Mid-tier – ($5,400)

As I mentioned before Chicago has a giant list of injuries. Those injuries have allowed Young to receive 30 minutes in 6 straight games. With those players off the court, Young has played the most minutes out of any Bull, has nearly a 20% usage rate, and he scores 32.5 fantasy points per 36 minutes.

PJ Tucker – Value – ($4,000)

Tucker isn’t exactly the player with the most usage, he’s known as one of the hard-nosed players of the NBA. In six of the last eight games, Tucker has managed over 35 minutes. We have already seen this matchup twice this year and Tucker is averaging 32.6 fantasy points in those two matchups.

Center

Bam Adebayo – Stud – ($7,800)

In his last 7 games, Adebayo has scored over 40 fantasy points. Today he gets a great matchup against the Hawks who have allowed 60 fantasy points per game to opposing centers in the previous two weeks of the NBA season. In the three previous meetings with Atlanta, Adebayo has averaged 49.3 fantasy points. This is simply too cheap given the matchup.

Marquese Chriss – Mid-tier – ($6,200)

This Houston at Golden State matchup holds the highest Vegas total on the NBA Slate at 232. Chriss has two games of more than 40 fantasy points since Golden State made the deadline deals. He also owns a usage percentage of 23.3% and scoring 51.82 fantasy points per 36 minutes since the moves. 

Harry Giles – Value – ($3,400)

Giles has scored at least 17 fantasy points in four straight games. Memphis plays with one of the bigger lineups we see in the NBA, starting both Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jonas Valanciunas. Sacramento is thin at Center with Richaun Holmes, Marvin Bagley, and recently acquired Alex Len all out. If Giles can stay out of foul trouble, he may be asked to handle significant minutes facing this bigger lineup.  

I’m excited to be back on the NBA DFS grind after the break. Miami at Atlanta and Houston at Golden State are the two games I will be targeting players from the most. That Memphis at Sacramento game is going to be high and tight too, so don’t forget to get pieces of that game as well!  I like this six-game slate coming off the break to get back in the swing of things. Don’t forget to check out the Discord chat rooms, where we breakdown key news and further discuss our picks for the slate. Thank you for reading my article and Goodluck!

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Sports BettingPremium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NHL and NBA Thursday!

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

Cash with Flash Best Bets is back!! The NBA All-Star Break gave us a much-needed break but tonight begins one of the best betting cycles of 2020 and we’re excited to be back.

The NBA and NHL are heading into the playoffs and Cash with Flash Best Bets will be here daily.  NCAA college basketball is heating up towards their conference tournaments. Plus we also have the NCAA Tournament coming up not to mention action on some of the smaller postseason invites.

There is also tennis and this is the time to Cash with Flash and you can bet that we will do just that. 

Bankroll Management

Can’t stress enough how important managing your bankroll is to your long-term success. I don’t know your personal financial situation or what your goals are but hopefully, you are using some type of bankroll management plan to help you reach them.

Discord

We’re abandoning the Slack Chat in favor of Discord. If you haven’t already done so, you will need to sign up for Discord with this link.  Then use this link to gain access to the Win Daily Sports channel.

Cash with Flash Best Bets has two NBA games for you to consider for tonight.

Chicago Bulls -5 points over Charlotte Hornets

The Bulls are a better team with the better defense between the two sides. The Hornets do come into this series on a two-game winning streak but the Bulls have much more to play for and they aren’t that bad at home. This one will be all about defense and shooting triples. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests laying the points and taking the Bulls to cover the five points tonight. 

Brooklyn Nets +8 over Philadelphia 76ersCash with Flash Best Bets isn’t suggesting that the Brooklyn Nets are going to beat the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo tonight, but they will cover the eight-point spread. Brooklyn is 5-0 against the spread (ATS) over its last five games and the 76ers are 22-29-4 ATS this season. The Nets offense looks to be coming alive and Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests taking the eight points and taking Brooklyn to cover tonight over Philadelphia.

DraftKings Promo

Cash with Flash has the following NHL hockey game for you to consider for tonight.

Florida Panthers -130 over the Los Angeles Kings

The Kings are a terrible team, trading off pieces and are otherwise officially done for the season. Florida is playing night two of back to back games but they’ve won two straight on the road and they are looking good right now. Sam Montembault is between the pipes for the ‘Cats and he’s been more than serviceable. Jonathan Quick is a legend but the Panthers are going to get him tonight in what should be a high-scoring affair. Cash with Flash Best Bets suggests taking the Panthers to defeat the Kings tonight. 

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/or executives of Win Daily.  All data and information provided on this site are for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any information on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.  All information is provided on an as-is basis.

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Daily Fantasy Sports

NBA DFS Top Targets for Thursday by J.Thomson

Phil Naessens
written by Phil Naessens

My NBA targets can be used in both cash games and GPP’s. The risky plays are to be used as GPP dart throws. I am using DraftKings salaries.  

#1 TARGET: JOEL EMBIID (9,000)

On the season, he has a high usage rate (32%), averages around 1.5 fantasy points per minute (FPPM), has a high rebound percentage (21%), a great assist rate (19%), and is in a fantastic NBA matchup versus the Nets. Embiid is a nightmare to opposing defenses, especially versus a team that ranks in the bottom of the pack against big men in the NBA. Embiid should have his work cut out for him. There is no reason he can’t put up a 55 point fantasy performance. He is going to be a staple in my lineups.

#2 TARGET: JIMMY BUTLER (7,900)

On the year he has averaged 1.2 (FPPM), a 27% usage rate, 26% assist rate, and a rebound percentage of over 12. This season, in the three matchups versus the Hawks, Butler has averaged 48 Draftkings points. He has a smash matchup versus the terrible 28th ranked NBA defense of the Atlanta Hawks. He could easily hit upwards of 50 fantasy points.

#3 TARGET: DE’AARON FOX (7,400)

Averaging 1.21 (FPPM), 31.6 usage rate, and an insane assist percentage (32%). Fox is in a favorable spot versus the fast-paced NBA defense of the Memphis Grizzlies. In pace up spots, Fox has thrived all year. He has averaged 48 fantasy points in the two previous matchups versus the Grizzlies this season. 

#4 TARGET: DEREK ROSE (5,900)

With Drummond and Jackson gone, Rose is going to see a huge boost. In 359 minutes without the duo on the floor, Rose has balled out and produced 1.4 (FPPM), a 33.6 usage rate, and a massive assist rate (53%). Today he is in another good NBA matchup and should see 32 to 34 minutes after a week to heal any prior injuries. In a huge pace up spot, Rose could have a ceiling game and potentially be a must-have in every lineup.

#5 TARGET: RUSSELL WESTBROOK (10,200)

In 12 out of his last 13 games, Westbrook has produced over 50 fantasy points. He is in a prime matchup versus the 24th ranked NBA defense of the Golden State Warriors. Sporting a 36% usage rate, 1.5 (FPPM), 37% assist rate, and a 13% rebound rate with Capela gone, Westbrook is in a great spot to continue his dominance. 

Honorable Mention: 

Bam Adebayo (7,800),

Spencer Dinwiddie (7,300),

Christian Wood (6,900),

Caris LeVert (6,700),

Nemanja Bejelica (5,900),

Jae Crowder (5,000)(GPP),

Dwayne Dedmon (4,800)(GPP).

SLATE SUMMARY: 

On today’s six-game NBA slate, I will be jamming Embiid and Westbrook into at least half of my lineups. On the other half of my lineups, I will be using mid-range options to build a balanced lineup. Good luck today, and don’t forget to come back and WIN DAILY!

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NBAPremium

Isaiahs Protocol for the NBA DFS All Star Showdown Slate on 2/16

Isaiah
written by Isaiah

There’s not much to do in the NBA as the league takes a break during the festivities on All-Star weekend. I thought I might do a little write up on some of my thoughts for the NBA DFS showdown slate. I highly advise all my readers to join the staff at WinDaily in our Discord chat rooms as we discuss and break down some players even further.

SOME KEYNOTES

  • The starters usually play the most minutes which translates to the best opportunity for fantasy points. In general, the captains lead all players in minutes. This becomes more evident when consulting the Vegas odds for MVP. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+450), Lebron James (+500), and Anthony Davis (+550)
  • Reserves and big men tend to play the least amount of minutes and should be avoided for the most part on this NBA DFS showdown slate.
  • Anthony Davis was born and raised in Chicago. He attended Perspectives Charter High School before heading to Kentucky and eventually the NBA. He’s the hometown hero of these games.
  • Jimmy Butler was drafted 30th by the Bulls in 2011. In his last all-star game, he never got off the bench. His participation tonight is risky at best.

THE STUD

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Giannis is the reigning 2019 NBA MVP. He is well-rested after taking some time off for the birth of his baby. He’s a captain and a starter. He’s young and hungry and doesn’t really care to take the game off like many of the others. He goes in first for me in all formats on this NBA DFS showdown slate.

THE CORE

Anthony Davis: Davis looks to be a crowd favorite tonight. He should dominate in the paint with his teammate, Lebron, feeding him the ball. I’d take him over an under-motivated Embiid (the opposing center) any day of the week. Anthony also has a decent outside shot which may come in handy in this type of game.

Trey Young: Another young (no pun intended) and hungry player, also playing on team Giannis. I love the inside-outside stack of Giannis and Young here. Young is well suited for this type of game. He ranks 3rd in the NBA with 29.7 points per game, 5th with 9.4 3-point attempts, and 2nd with 9.2 assists per game. I do have a little hesitation here as Kemba looks to be the primary ball-handler. I truly envision a game script where Trey goes head to head with Harden, as perimeter shooters. Team Giannis does not have as many good options from the outside as team Lebron,  so I can see Trey becoming a key piece of this game. Trey is probably my 2nd favorite option on this NBA DFS showdown slate.

THE MID-TIER

I really like how Jason Tatum’s game suits this contest well. With Anthony Davis on the same team and hoarding most of the minutes at Jason’s position, I’m going to have to fade him.

Pascal Siakam: Quite frankly just a move for the salary. Pascal has a decent outside game and a good inside game as well. He’s 15th in the league scoring 23.5 points per game. He also connects on 36.2% of his 5.8 attempts from outside the arc. Siakam is a listed starter and his salary is too cheap for his upside.

THE VALUE

Khris Middleton: One of the few non-starters I like. He happens to also be the cheapest. Middleton was 6 for 10 from deep last year, finishing with a 20/5/4 stat line. He’s projected for 21 minutes off the bench. Khris becomes a decent option for salary relief so you can try to squeeze 4 starters on to your NBA DFS roster.

I highly encourage all readers to join the WinDaily team in the Discord chat rooms as we break down and discuss our favorite plays on this NBA DFS showdown slate. Thank you for reading my content and feel free to leave a comment, or hit me up on Twitter @IsaiahsProtocol.

GOOD LUCK AND HAVE FUN

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Daily Fantasy Sports

Isaiahs Protocol for the NBA DFS slate on 2/12

Isaiah
written by Isaiah

Isaiah’s Protocol for the NBA DFS slate is built around DraftKings pricing, but is good across the industry with some slight adjustments to salaries on the various sites.

We are looking at a large 11 game NBA DFS slate that is loaded with options to consider for your roster construction this evening. There are 2 NBA games tomorrow but tonight will be the last time that any of these teams play before the All-Star break. I highly advise all my readers to join the staff at WinDaily in our Discord chat rooms as we discuss some of the important news and break down some intriguing plays even further.

THE INJURIES

There are some key injuries to keep an eye on. Luka Doncic has been out with an injured ankle and is listed as questionable tonight. Dallas has stated that they’d like to see Luka take the floor before the break and he may play tonight. I’m not sure why they would do this but his stats are massive. This news certainly makes a difference to several players in that game and rosters on the NBA DFS slate in general. Serge Ibaka was out last game with an illness and may not play tonight. With Marc Gasol already ruled out, his status has some impact on a nice spot to target against the Nets suspect frontcourt. Aside from some of these teams playing on the second half of a back-to-back (B2B), I also want to keep an eye on Kevin Love. He’s been out with some Achilles soreness and is listed as questionable. Love’s status could free up some important minutes in a target game against the Hawks fast pace and weak defense.

THE STUDS

Karl-Anthony Towns ($10500) If we’re paying up anywhere, this is where to start. KAT has a 29.7% usage rate and scores 1.50 fantasy points (FP) per minute. Charlotte has been a favorite stomping ground for NBA bigs this season as they rank 24th in defense verse position (DVP). Towns dropped 82 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFPTS) in 27 minutes the last time these 2 teams met.

Trae Young ($10400) Trae carries an unheard of 37.2% usage rate and scores 1.44 FP/min. Cleveland is a terrible team defending opposing guards as they rank 30th in (DVA) ) which is a rank given to the opponent when facing this player’s archetype.

THE CORE

Julius Randle ($8600) Every time I looked at this NBA DFS slate, Randle has been one of the first players I’ve looked at. Julius has a 27.3% usage rate and scores 1.14 FP/min. He’s scored an AVERAGE of 56 DKFPTS vs. the Wizards in their previous 2 meetings. Washington is playing the second half of a B2B after squeaking out a win in a hard-fought game against the Bulls last night. The Wizards rank 25th in DVA, 30th in DVP and have a couple of frontcourt players facing minute restrictions that could be problematic.

Harrison Barnes ($5200) Barnes is going to be my secret weapon tonight. Barnes only has a 17.1% usage rate and scores .74 FP/min. He is looking to go into the break on fire though. Barnes consistently plays over 30 minutes a game and has averaged 37 DKFPTS over his last 2. There is some risk here but Harrison shoots around 12 times a game and has been hitting roughly 60% lately. Harrison has averaged 35 DKFPTS against Dallas in his previous 2 meetings as the Mavericks rank 27th in DVP. Barnes is projected to play 34 minutes and be under 1% owned on this NBA DFS slate. Can you say SLEEPER.

I’m going to leave it here as I simply don’t have time to write up the 50 or so players that I’m considering tonight. Feel free to catch up with some of the other pros and me in the WinDaily Discord chat rooms as we discuss our other options.

SITE DEPENDANT

I’ve noticed some large discrepancies in a couple of salaries between the 2 sites that I’d like to mention. Giannis Antetokounmpo has already been ruled out tonight following the birth of his baby. It’s no secret that this has been an NBA DFS slate gold mine all season. Eric Bledsoe, Kris Middleton, and in some cases Ersan Ilyasova all get serious boosts to their respective stats when the Greek Freak misses a game. DraftKings has priced these players up accordingly which is why I didn’t include them in the core section. They are certainly still in consideration but FanDuel has missed this bus. Middleton is priced at $7200, Bledsoe is at $6700, and Ily is a super cheap $4100. I highly advise you consider these guys for your FanDuel lineups.

The other player I wanted to note here is Cheick Diallo. Phoenix is seriously thin in their frontcourt and with Ayton missing the last game Diallo ended up playing almost 40 minutes in a tough matchup vs. the Lakers. He held his own in that one posting 25 DKFPTS. I can’t imagine what his stats would look like against Golden State. Once again, DraftKings managed to spike his salary to a respectable $5000 while FanDuel lists him at $3700. Take advantage of this situation if Ayton sits out of this NBA DFS slate.

THE VALUE

Dewayne Dedmon ($4700) Lots of minutes, great match up spot.

Juancho Hernangomez ($3900) Starting for a new team with very little competition at his position. Charlotte ranks 28th in DVA and Hernanogomez will get the minutes to exceed the value in this great spot.

There’s a lot to talk about on this huge NBA DFS slate. I highly encourage all readers to join myself, and the rest of the WinDaily team in the Discord chat rooms as we break down and discuss our favorite plays. Thank you for reading my content and feel free to leave a comment, or hit me up on Twitter @IsaiahsProtocol.

GOODLUCK AND HAVE FUN

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NBA

NBA DFS Top Targets for Wednesday by J. Thomson

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

My NBA targets can be used in both cash games and GPP’s. The risky plays are to be used as GPP dart throws. I am using DraftKings salaries. 

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#1 TARGET: TRAE YOUNG (10,400)

On the season, he has a high usage rate (30%), averages around 1.5 fantasy points per minute (FPPM), and his team can push the pace of just about any team in the NBA. Last time versus Cleveland, he had 63 fantasy points while playing 36 minutes. Cleveland’s 29th ranked NBA defense has struggled slowing down guards all season long. Trae is in a great spot to have another 60 point fantasy performance.

#2 TARGET: ANDRE DRUMMOND (9,400)

In his debut for Cleveland, Drummond put up a great stat line, 19 points, 14 rebounds, three assists, one block, two steals, producing 47.5 fantasy points, playing only 29 minutes due to a blowout. He has a smash matchup versus the very bad rebounding 28th ranked NBA defense of the Atlanta Hawks. He could easily hit upwards of 55 fantasy points. 

#3 TARGET: JULIUS RANDLE (8,600)

 Big men versus the awful fast-paced NBA defense of the Wizards, has been one of my favorite targets all year. Randle has an insane upside. In his last two games versus Washington, he has averaged 55 fantasy points. There is no reason he can’t do it again.

#4 TARGET: ISH SMITH (4,800)

With Thomas and McRae being traded away, Ish has been in the starting lineup. He played 28 minutes yesterday and put up 35 fantasy points versus the Bulls. Today he is in another good NBA matchup and should see another 28 to 30 minutes. 

#5 TARGET: Jonas Valanciunas (7,300)

Valanciunas could see 30 to 32 minutes. In four straight games, he has played 28 minutes or more and has been more productive. Memphis is going to have no choice but to play big to match up with Whiteside. He is in a great matchup versus Portland, who are 11th in pace and has the 26th ranked defense in the NBA this season.

Honorable Mention: 

Karl-Anthony Towns (10,500),

Khris Middleton (8,800),

Bam Adebayo (8,200), 

Eric Bledsoe (7,700),

Christian Wood (7,100),

Jaren Jackson Jr (6,400)(GPP),

Rui Hachimura (5,100).

SLATE SUMMARY: 

On today’s eleven-game NBA slate there is not a lot of value to be used to build a stars and scrubs lineup. I will be forcing Trae Young into at least half of my lineups and using players in between the 4k to 6k range to fill in the rest. On the other half of my lineups, I will be using mid-range options to build a balanced lineup. Good luck today, and don’t forget to come back and WIN DAILY!

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