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Austin Hooper

Week 7 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Andrews’ Air Force

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s Week 7 DFS in the NFL, and we’ve got a detailed list of tight ends and defenses to play in cash games and GPPs — right here at Win Daily Sports!

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Week 7 DFS TightEnd NFL — Cash Game Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL at SEA

FD ($6,700) DK ($4,900)

Andrews entered last week’s matchup with the Bengals nursing a bit of a shoulder issue but emerged with six catches (on eight targets) for 99 yards – his highest yardage total since the monster games in weeks 1 and 2. He’s the Ravens’ leading pass receiver, the targets have been consistent each week and this week’s opponent – the Seattle Seahawks – are 29^th against fantasy TEs. He’s a solid cash game play and viable in all formats, and there’s a good chance he notches another TD this week.

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. LAR

FD ($6,600) DK ($5,300)

Hooper’s workload gives him an edge in cash games, as he’s seeing 8.3 targets per game and converting those opportunities into fantasy gold – with more than six catches and 55 yards in every game but one so far in 2019. The Rams defense isn’t a pushover, but they did yield 8-103-0 to George Kittle on Sunday. He’s not cheap and he’ll be chalky in GPPs, but we can find plenty of value at other positions in cash games to warrant consideration of this standout fantasy performer.

Evan Engram, NYG vs. ARI

FD ($6,800) DK ($5,400)

Engram makes sense for both cash games and GPPs this week, though I’m partial to the previous two TEs in cash games considering Engram’s recent knee injury. Still, the matchup against the Cardinals remains the most favorable for fantasy TEs and Engram got in full practices this week after sitting against New England. Giants QB Daniel Jones is making use of his other receiving options these days, but Engram’s ceiling is lofty, he’s been making his cuts and feels good in practice, and he should be fine on Sunday barring any setbacks.

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Week 7 DFS Tight End NFL —GPP Plays

George Kittle, SF at WAS

FD ($7,100) DK ($6,700)

The 49ers TE has posted three straight games with exactlyeight targets and is looking to build onhis 8-103-0 line from a Week 6 win against the Rams. Washington’s pass defenseis dubious, and Jimmy Garoppolo has been in game manager mode andconservatively utilizing his full complement of WRs and RBs in the passing game.But Kittle is his favorite target and played on 83 percent of the offensive snaps last week; he has a higher floor than any of the 49ers WRs. I’d list himamong the cash game options if he wasn’t so expensive and hadn’t been a limitedparticipant (groin) at Thursday’s practice. Stay tuned to the injury report tomake sure he’s 100 percent – or close to it – come Sunday.

Darren Waller, OAK at GB

FD ($6,200) DK ($4,700)

There’s mild reason for concern with Waller coming off his lowest target total of 2019 in the week before the bye (4-39-0 on five targets in Week 5), and his status as limited (foot) at practice on Thursday. Add in the fact that he recently signed a multi-year contract extension with the Raiders, and maybe he’s lost a bit of the hunger that got him off to such a great start this season. Hopefully Waller’s status for Sunday’s game against the Packers isn’t in jeopardy, because he has enormous upside in this matchup and they certainly want to get something out of him after inking the new deal.

Hunter Henry, LAC at TEN

FD ($5,700) DK ($4,000)

Henry burst back into our fantasy consciousness with a monsterWeek 6 performance (8-100-2 on nine targets) despite a pre-game announcementthat he’d be on a limited snap count. It was a triumphant return to the field followinga four-game absence due to a tibia plateau fracture to his left knee, and he’lllook to follow up with another big game Sunday against the Titans. I have a feelinghe’ll be a little chalky in GPPs, but he’s just $4K on DK and I’ll have some exposure.

Week 7 DFS Tight End NFL — GPPValue and Punt Plays

T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. MIN

FD ($5,400) DK ($3,600)

Canwe just call this guy “Hock” yet, like we called Rob Gronkowski “Gronk?” It’llbe a while before he’s the elite fantasy option the former New England TE was,but Hock bounced back with some limited involvement after clearing the concussionprotocol, hauling in four of six targets for 21 yards during Monday’s 23-22loss to Green Bay. WR Kenny Golladay remains the top receiving option for the Lions,but Matt Stafford often looks for the rookie TE in the red zone, where we findthose elusive two-TD games. He’s an under-the-radar, inexpensive GPP play.

Jordan Akins, HOU at IND

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,200)

It’s between Akins and Darren Fells ($3,100) for the title of bestGPP tight end from Houston, and it’s a tough choice. Akins has more upside and versatilitybetween the 20s (he’s utilized as H-back, WR and TE) and has the requisitespeed to take any pass from Watson on a seam route to the house. He’s alsosecond on the team in red zone targets with five, while Fells is the main TE intwo-TE sets, saw action on 80 of 92 snaps last week, and is also targeted in thered zone. Both make for interesting GPP value options on this slate, thoughAkins is cheaper on FD.

Luke Willson, SEA vs. BAL

FD($4,500) DK ($3,000)

Willson will take over as the Seahawks’ No. 1 tight end onSunday facing the Ravens after Will Dissly (Achilles) was placed on IR. Willsondoesn’t have the upside of Dissly but he did play a season-high 56 offensivesnaps and caught two of three targets for 16 yards last week after the startingTE departed. He’s worth a dart throw in large-field GPPs but I’ll be havinglimited exposure with so many other options and only be using him in half of mySeattle passing game stacks.

Additional GPP and puntoptions:

Gerald Everett, LAR at ATL(FD $5,900, DK $3,700)

Jimmy Graham, GB vs. OAK(FD $5,800, DK $4,200)

Darren Fells, HOU at IND(FD $5,400, DK $3,100)

Jack Doyle, IND vs. HOU (FD $4,900), DK $3,500)

Trey Burton, CHI vs. NO (FD $4,800, DK $3,200)

Foster Moreau, OAK at GB (FD $4,900, DK $2,700)

Week 7 DFS DST NFL —Cash Game Plays

Buffalo Bills (BUF vs. MIA)

FD ($5,500) DK ($3,400)

The Bills are the top defense on the slate facing Ryan Fitzpatrickand the Dolphins – and they have the price to match. There’s no reason tooveranalyze this in cash games. You can flip a coin between this unit and the 49ersor just use whomever fits into your builds and salary cap.

San Francisco 49ers (SF atWAS)

FD($5,000) DK ($4,100)

With Case Keenum starting for Washington, it goes without sayingthe 49ers defense has some upside and might even be as better GPP play than theBills – who will be very chalky. In cash games, it’s probably a toss-up. I’llhave shares of both.

Week 6 DFS DST NFL — GPPPlays

Chicago Bears (CHI vs.NO)

FD ($4,500) DK ($3,000)

The Bears offer similar upside to the previously mentioned teams but with a bit more risk. They’ll be relatively low-owned facing the Saints but will be missing underrated defensive standout Akiem Hicks, who the Bears hope can return from IR later in the season. Still, Khalil Mack is due for one of his trademark takeover games and this unit is super affordable on DK to boot.

Houston Texans (HOU at IND)

FD ($3,900) DK ($3,000)

The Texans defense has been adequate this season, forcing at leastone turnover in every game this season. The only two games where they didn’t scoreat least 8.0 fantasy points on DK were Week 1 at New Orleans and Week 6 atKansas City. The Colts will look early and often to Marlon Mack, and if theycan contain him, they’ll post a solid game.

Los Angeles Chargers (LACat TEN)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,100)

The Chargers were not great last week against Pittsburgh, but ifthey can get Melvin Ingram back for this game, they stand a much better shot atmaking value. Injuries have been an issue for this unit, but the possible returnof Ingram adds some intrigue to a matchup facing new Titans starter Ryan Tannehilland the Titans’ bevy of underachieving skill position players.

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Week 6 DFS DST NFL — PuntPlays

Minnesota Vikings (MIN atDET)

FD ($3,800) DK ($3,100)

The Lions didn’t crack double digits in either game against the Vikingslast season, and this Minnesota unit isn’t a whole lot different from the 2019version. I’m on board for the low, low price of $3,100 on DK, but they are a bitof a risk with the Lions offense looking a lot sharper this year.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN vs.JAC)

FD ($3,800) DK ($2,100)

The Bengals have some high-upside individual defensive players and they’ll be super low-owned, but I’m a little concerned about the injuries in the secondary. If they can come together as a unit and force Gardner Minshew into some mistakes, they’ll be able to make some value in GPPs at just $2,100 on DK – and maybe even take an errant throw to the house to boost their score. A true DST dart throw in GPPs.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS: Final Injury Report

Edwin Porras 5 years ago

written by Edwin Porras

It’s Week Six (hard to believe) and today marks the return of Tyreek Hill. Today will also bring tough decisions on players such as David Johnson and George Kittle. Should you be concerned about these injuries? Read the DFS Final Injury report to find out.

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Tyreek Hill

I’m green-lighting Hill this week with a good amount of confidence. Hill is coming back after a five week absence due to a posterior dislocation of his sternoclavicular joint. This type of injury differs from a soft tissue strain or a bruise in that once out of the “protection” stage, it’s pretty much all systems go. This was somewhat of a freak accident, and although he’s relatively prone to re-dislocation, he’s active today which means the Chiefs’ medical staff is confident in his ability to safely take a big hit. He might not see the immediate rebound in volume, but a decrease in volume will likely come at the expense of fly sweeps and bubble passes towards the sidelines and not fly routes. Luckily, “cheetah” just needs one or two big plays to pay off massively. Don’t be afraid to fire him up in tournaments this week with an eye towards cash games next week after re-solidifying his role in the offense.

Alvin Kamara

Kamara is a yellow light for me this week overall. Kamara will be active for Week Six after popping up on the injury report in the middle of the week with an ankle injury. This is more than likely a run-of-the-mill lateral ankle sprain and shouldn’t be taken too seriously. However given the fact that Latavius Murray is always a fine option for the Saints, I’m not using Kamara in cash. These ankle injuries can linger it would not be a giant surprise for Kamara to see a lightened workload. For this reason I’m not paying for any piece of the Saints’ backfield this week.

George Kittle

I’m red-lighting Kittle for my lineups this week. Kittle was a limited participant in practice on Friday due to a groin injury. These injuries are scary for skill players and can cause extended missed time is aggravated (i.e. DeSean Jackson). Because we do not know the exact severity of this groin injury, there is no reason to pay up for Kittle this week as a safe DFS player. Other options like Austin Hooper are in play today.

David Johnson

Here’s another red-light player for me on the Final Injury Report. D.J. has been limited all week by a back injury and did not get in a limited practice until Friday. This is another injury that is a bit mysterious as it could be effecting his muscles, discs, or ligaments. Due to the lack of information on Johnson’s injury and his limited practice participation, I’m very hesitant to use him at all this week. After the showing Chase Edmonds had in Week Five, even if Johnson is active, he might not pay off his price tags in terms of volume.

That will do it for the DFS Final Injury Report. Make sure to find me on Twitter here with specific injury questions. Good luck this week!

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 6 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Hanging With Mr. Hooper

Andrew Erickson 5 years ago

written by Andrew Erickson

It’s Week 6 DFS in the NFL, and there are plenty of viable TEs to consider, even if the list of DST plays is pretty stingy for cash games and GPPs. Either way, you’ll find the right plays right here at Win Daily Sports!

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Week 6 DFS TightEnd NFL — Cash Game Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL at ARI

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,000)

Hooper gets the most favorable matchup on the board, as he’s facing the Cardinals –who possess the league-worst defense against the tight end position. The former Stanford Cardinal – who has 20 targets over his last two games and 42 on the season – may even take exception to this group hawking his Alma Mater’s Cardinal name! But really – the price is reasonable, and the Falcons game plan has consisted of flowing their passing game through Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, as well as feeding Hooper. The fast pace of this game should lead to another 8-10 targets and plenty of scoring opportunities.

Travis Kelce, KC vs. HOU

FD ($7,500) DK ($7,000)

Kelce and the Chiefs are coming off a bizarre loss to the Colts that saw the standout TE garner the most targets of the season (10) but post his lowest fantasy output (4-70-0) of 2019. That should change against the Texans, who have solid numbers vs. TEs but will be doing plenty of scoring themselves. This game has the highest total in the main slate, and Kelce is a lock-and-load cash or GPP play regardless of his high price.

George Kittle, SF at LAR

FD ($6,500) DK ($5,200)

Kittle led the 49ers in targets and receiving on Monday against the Browns and got “off the schneid” with his first TD of the season – showing he’s still capable of being Jimmy Garoppolo’s go-to guy. He’s definitely a Top 3 TE this week and worthy of cash game consideration since he’s still a pretty good bargain relative to Kelce, who has similar if slightly better upside and floor.

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Week 6 DFS Tight End NFL —GPP Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. CIN

FD ($6,300) DK ($4,800)

Andrews is now nursing a shoulder injury (it was his foot before) butreturned to practice Thursday and makes a lot of sense as a GPP option thisweek against the Bengals. He’s ben alarmingly consistent in terms of targetsper week through five games (8,9,7,8,7) and makes for a high-upside, moderate-riskoption at a position where there just aren’t a lot of exciting plays outside theTop 10 at the position.

Will Dissly, SEA at CLE

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,900)

Dissly is an efficient receiver (23 catches on 26 targets this season)and is coming off of his highest yardage total of 2019, with 4-81-0 against theRams last week. The Browns were embarrassed by Kittle and the 49ers last weekand they don’t stand much of a chance in stopping Russell Wilson and his bevyof physical targets. He’ll be a core build in my Seahawks GPP stacks.

Zach Ertz, PHI at MIN

FD ($6,600) DK ($5,400)

Ertz is probably viable in cash if you really feel likely usinghim, but he’s more of a GPP play against the Vikings, who have better LBs and aball-hawking strong safety in Anthony Harris, who’s already earned an NFC Defensive Player of the Week in 2019 for his work versus the Falconsin Week 1. Sure, Hooper had a good game that week, but he didn’t find the endzone and the Falcons receivers are in ever way superior to the Eagles wideouts –so Harris may have been a little more focused on them when he wasn’t in man coverageagainst Hooper. Ertz is still a Top 5 TE in all formats and remains a solid GPPplay in Week 6 DFS.

Week 6 DFSTight End NFL — Value and Punt Plays

Jordan Akins, HOU at KC

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,200)

I’m not too keenon punting TE this week for many reasons, but Akins is near the minimum salary onFD and should garner lower ownership this week after Daniel Fells had hismonster game against the Falcons. The Chiefs-Texans is one of our prospective shootouts– if not the shootout – this week, so plug him into a smattering of your GPPsif you’re willing to assume some risk and hope for another big output like hisWeek 3 breakout (3-73-2).

Noah Fant, DEN vs. TEN

FD($4,500) DK ($2,900)

Fant is a Top 15 TE play this week but lacks the flash we’d liketo see from an athletic tight end of his pedigree. He makes my puntrecommendations because of a favorable matchup with the Titans (26th in the NFLvs. TEs) and because he’s both cheap and under-the-radar.

Mike Gesicki, MIA vs. WAS

FD ($4,600) DK ($2,700)

Gesicki may be my favorite GPP dart this week, because hisownership will be low and the Dolphins are emerging from a bye week where theyprobably surmised they could utilize him in the offense and still tank vs. Washington– another dysfunctional team without a viable offensive rudder. Josh Rosen willbe feeding both DeVante Parker and Preston Williams, but I could see 6-7 targets,a handful of catches and a TD from the sophomore TE this week.

Additional GPP options:

Delanie Walker, TEN at DEN(FD $5,200, DK $3,700)

Jared Cook, NO at JAC (FD$5,600, DK $3,400)

Gerald Everett, LAR vs. SF(FD $6,000, DK $3,600)

Blake Jarwin, DAL vs. NYJ (FD $4,600, DK $3,300)

Week 6 DFS DST NFL —Cash Game Plays

Seattle Seahawks (SEA @CLE)

FD ($4,100) DK ($3,400)

I don’t care that they’re on the road this week, the Seahawks aremy top cash game play for Week 6 because the Browns are an absolute disaster. ThisSeattle defense has actually been a little better on the road this season, itsbest performance as a unit being the Week 4 win at Arizona. They’re viable inall DFS formats this week and I’ll be locking them in just about everywhere.

Baltimore Ravens (BAL vs. CIN)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,100)

The Ravens are going to be popular this week and I’d be remiss ifI didn’t include them as a viable cash game play, but I much prefer the Seahawksthis week and I won’t be rolling out any other unit in cash. The Bengals are aperfect “get-right” spot for any DST, but my concern is that some of the injuriesthe Ravens have suffered (safety Tony Jefferson just hit the IR) will keep themfrom reaching their normal upside.

Week 6 DFS DST NFL — GPPPlays

Washington Redskins (WAS atMIA)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,200)

ThisWashington team may have its problems offensively, but there are myriad playmakerson this defensive unit and the Dolphins are a good candidate for turnovers and sacks.They’re probably my favorite GPP play if I choose to pivot off the Seahawks.

Dallas Cowboys (DAL at NYJ)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,300)

The Cowboys are a good GPP play this week facing Sam “The Spleen” Darnoldand the Jets, who have struggled offensively and could have trouble stoppingthe Cowboys improving pass rush. They’re not cheap, but they won’t be lockedinto that many lineups given the return of Darnold and price point.

Tennessee Titans (TEN atDEN)

FD ($4,700) DK ($2,900)

The Titans have solid DST but travel to Denver this week. They’redefinitely an option as a low-owned play and they average 10.0 FPPG on DK thisseason, so work them into a few GPPs if you’re multi-entering.

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Week 6 DFS DST NFL — PuntPlays

Jacksonville Jaguars (JACvs. NO)

FD ($4,100) DK ($2,200)

This is not a play for the faint of heart, but I’m considering theJaguars DST – which is a much better unit at home than on the road. The Jagsscored 15 FP in Week 3 during their last home game against the Titans and they’llhave almost no ownership facing a dynamic Saints offense.

Miami Dolphins (MIA vs. WAS)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,700)

The Dolphins shouldn’t everbe played in cash games, but they do have some good young defensive players andthey’ll know what’s coming this week, as interim HC Bill Callahan has alreadycommitted to hammering away with Adrian Peterson in Week 6 and this unit hashad two full weeks to prepare. It’s not an interesting game plan and playing theDolphins won’t exactly be fun – but if you’re feeling frisky and supercontrarian, this could be your angle.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week Six Checkdown

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Week Five was absolutely insane for both NFL DFS Cash Games and GPPs. I usually try to build a cash lineup that can score around 150 points and am confident I’ll hit the pay-line. In Week Five, you needed 200 or more points to cash… WOW! Feel free to review last week’s Checkdown to see what players we were high on, including a ridiculous eight wide receiver plays that all blew it out of the water. Let’s get right back to it for the Week Six Checkdown for your NFL DFS Cash Games.

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My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites. Please check back in on Saturday/Sunday morning for potential NFL DFS Cash Games updates.

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help NFL DFS players make the most of their investments.

Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week Six, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

I don’t anticipate there being any crazy chalky players that you have to roster in cash games this week, but there is very little “value” on the slate thus far.
Contrary to Week Five where I instructed DFS players to pay up for multiple stud running backs, Week Six looks like we can only afford to roster one “top-tier” running back. EDIT: If you pay down to Rosen, you can definitely lock in two stud RBs.
Just like Week Five, there are a lot of great plays at the wide receiver position – I don’t think you have to focus on any one player here when building your cash lineups.
Unless you have a very high-floor build at the RB/WR positions, it’s going to be nearly impossible to pay down at tight end.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes ($7,500) – Keep an eye on his health but if he’s playing, Mahomes is always cash viable.
Deshaun Watson ($6,700) – Holy Watson! Watson is coming off of perhaps the greatest game of his NFL career (426 passing yards, five touchdowns, and 47 rushing yards) and is set to ride that momentum into Kansas City for a matchup that has the highest total on the slate.

When Watson has time to make plays, he makes them – it’s as simple as that. The Chiefs’ defense currently ranks towards the bottom of the league in pass rushing and overall defense as a whole… having time to make plays will not be an issue. Kansas City is going to put up points on this Houston defense, so the gamescript is going to be in our favor if we are rostering DeShaun Watson and the Houston passing attack.
Kyler Murray ($6,500) – This season has been an absolute disaster for the Falcons’ pass defense. Murray is averaging 21.5 DraftKings points per week and should easily exceed that average again in Week Six. David Johnson is having back issues, so if the Cardinals want to compete for their second win of the season, they’re going to need a big outing from Kyler Murray.

Matt Ryan ($6,400) on the other side is also cash viable, but I prefer Kyler Murray with the minimal price difference.
Kirk Cousins ($5,200) – The whole “squeaky wheel” scenario we had in Week Five with the Minnesota Vikings and their lack of getting their star wideouts involved was quickly addressed last Sunday. Cousins and the Vikings’ pass offense had their best outing of the season in Week Five and will need to go a bit pass-heavy again this week when they host the Eagles.
Gardner Minshew ($5,000) is worth consideration as well as Josh Rosen ($4,500). Rosen is way too cheap for a great matchup against Washington. He should be able to get to 15+ points and allow you to pay up all over the slate.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliott ($8,500) – The Cowboys need to make a statement after back-to-back losses in Weeks Four and Five. My early projections have Elliott finally topping the 25-point mark for PPR leagues this season and I think that can be his floor this week against the Jets.
Dalvin Cook ($8,400) – I prefer Elliott at this top-tier running back spot in Week Six, but Dalvin will always be mentioned in this writeup for the foreseeable future. The volume will always be there for Dalvin Cook.
Alvin Kamara ($8,000) – The Jaguars have been brutal against the run in terms of DVOA. Kamara will get 20+ touches no matter what happens in this game.
Nick Chubb ($7,300) – Volume, volume, volume. Chubb is consistently getting 20+ touches for the Cleveland Browns and he is one of the most talented backs in the NFL. We need to buy-in as much as we can before he is priced up with guys like Elliott, McCaffrey, and Cook.
The Seahawks have a stout run defense but they are traveling across the country to Cleveland this week and I will always weigh talent and volume higher than I do match-ups. Chris Carson ($6,000), on the other side of this game, is also a solid cash option as well.
Leonard Fournette ($6,700) – Don’t love the matchup, but volume and talent with this price is enough to heavily consider Fournette. He keeps producing at an extremely high level and will get another 25+ touches.
Mark Ingram ($6,600) – Ingram and the Ravens’ are a 12-point home favorite against the Bengals. I will always target a talented running back at home as a double-digit favorite. Please note, this is not an optimal price for a running back that isn’t very active in the passing game, so we’re banking on 100+ yards and at least one touchdown – which is entirely feasible versus the Bengals.
Le’Veon Bell ($6,400) – Bell is literally all the Jets have on offense right now. His ability to do damage in the passing game makes him gamescript proof. If you’re looking for a somewhat “value” running back play for an affordable price, go with Le’Veon Bell in your NFL DFS Cash Games.

I know Bell doesn’t have the supporting cast that Aaron Jones does, but this Cowboys defense looked lost last week against a Packers team who didn’t have their best player suited up.
Carlos Hyde ($4,400) – The Kansas City Chiefs’ run defense ranks dead last in the NFL according to Pro Football Focus. Although this running situation is a bit of a timeshare in Houston, Hyde will get the majority of the meaningful rushes for the Texans in Week Six. I have him projected for 82 all-purpose yards and a touchdown. At the price, the expected production should be more than enough to cash in NFL DFS Cash Games.

Wide Receivers

Julio Jones ($8,000) – Julio Jones has been quiet over the past two weeks and that is about to change in Week Six. He is my top play on the board at the receiver position and I’m assuming a lot of DFS players are going to fade him (in comparison to the usual ownership we see Julio Jones get).
Michael Thomas ($7,800) – Always cash viable and will see a lot of Tre Herndon on the left side of the field… I like that. Pace is a concern, but the volume will be there.
DeAndre Hopkins ($7,400) – Hopkins hasn’t been the fantasy producer we’ve seen in years past, but the targets, talent, and opportunities are there on a weekly basis. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week One so I’m betting on positive regression here. Hopkins will get in the box this week.
~~Cooper Kupp ($7,100) –~~ Not much to say about Cooper Kupp… he produces at an incredible level week in, week out. 49ers’ slot cornerback, K’Waun Williams has been solid this season, but I’ll take my chances on Kupp and the Rams’ passing attack until Kupp’s production says otherwise. I don’t love this price at all and would rather pivot down to Amari Cooper.
Amari Cooper ($7,000) – Only concern here is game flow. Absolute smash spot against Trumaine Johnson and Darryl Roberts. Lock him in!
Adam Thielen ($6,700) – Welcome back, Adam Thielen! I mentioned earlier how I like Kirk Cousins and the Vikings’ pass game this week, so we obviously like Adam Thielen. If the Giants found a way to keep last week’s game close, Thielen would have ended up with ~15 targets. I’m confident Thielen will continue to produce at a high level in games that are competitive.
Larry Fitzgerald ($6,100) – I don’t love his ceiling, but this matchup at home against the Falcons with a 52-point total is a perfect spot for Larry Fitzgerald and Kyler Murray to have a field day.
Dede Westbrook ($5,100) – Our weekly pick-on P.J. Williams writeup… Dede has put up double-digit DraftKings points in each of the last three weeks and will do so again this week. I don’t think this game against the Saints will be played at a high-pace but if it does, we could see a 20-point outing for Westbrook.
Courtland Sutton ($5,000) – Hopefully everyone bought into Courtland Sutton after last week’s writeup! This dude is legit and still completely underpriced. I called his touchdown last week and will call another one in Week Six. Sutton is an excellent value play on a slate that doesn’t offer many. Emmanuel Sanders ($4,800) is in an excellent spot lining up on the right side of the field and in the slot against Malcolm Butler and Logan Ryan.
~~Mohamed Sanu ($4,500) –~~ Just like last week, Sanu is the perfect definition of “cheap exposure to a high-total game”. He paid off for us in Week Five and will do so again in Week Six. I think his ceiling will be limited a bit with guys like Calvin Ridley, Julio Jones, and Austin Hooper all on the field with him for the majority of the snaps, but Sanu can get 15+ points. Just stick with Julio Jones or Hooper in cash.
Preston Williams ($4,100) – If you need a punt play, Preston Williams is your guy. No one on this Washington secondary can contain him but we have to bank on Josh Rosen to get Williams the ball in positions where he can succeed… which sounds a bit risky for cash games.

Tight Ends

Travis Kelce ($7,000) – If you can afford him, play him. He is by far my number one tight end in Week Six (which will be the case on most weeks).
Zach Ertz ($5,400) – Why did his price drop from $6,000 to $5,400? Ertz is the main weapon in the Eagles’ offense and should be heavily considered at this price for NFL DFS Cash Games.
George Kittle ($5,200) – Will Dissly just put up 81 yards against this Rams’ defense but the Rams aren’t usually a team I target when rostering tight ends. Having said that, at this price… Kittle is 100% in play for your cash lineups.
Austin Hooper ($5,000) – Hooper is one of the most targeted tight ends in the NFL in 2019. Dirk Koetter continues to feature Hooper in the Falcons’ passing scheme and he happens to be going against Arizona defense who we will always target. Arizona is letting up the most points to opposing tight ends.
Noah Fant ($2,900) – Fant is the only punt play I can recommend at the moment. If something pops up during my research throughout the week, I’ll be sure to make updates. Unless you have a nasty lineup that is only possible via punting the position, you have to pay up for one of the above tight ends this week.

Defense/Special Teams

Dallas Cowboys ($4,300)
Baltimore Ravens ($4,100)
Denver Broncos ($3,100)
Jacksonville Jaguars ($2,200)
New York Jets ($1,500) – DraftKings finally adjusting the DST pricing… This is a free square, just pray they get a few sacks and don’t give up 30+ points.

NFL DFS Cash Games – Sample Lineup

QB: Kyler Murray
RB: Ezekiel Elliott
RB: Carlos Hyde
WR: DeAndre Hopkins
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
WR: Preston Williams
TE: Austin Hooper
FLEX: Le’Veon Bell
DST: New York Jets

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 5 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Ertz So Good

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s Week 5 DFS for the NFL, and there are plenty of viable TE and DST plays to get us in the money for cash games and GPPs. Let’s fire up the DFS engines and get you the picks you need to take down the tourneys and better your opponents.

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Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — Cash Game Plays

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. NYJ

FD ($6,600) DK ($6,000)

While the Eagles receiving corps is getting healthier, Ertz remains a much-utilized target within Philly’s offense. Through four games, he’s seen the most targets among TEs (38) and racked up 24-255-0, the glaring lack of a TD the only thing that ‘s keeping him from fantasy glory. Against the Jets in Week 5, he stands a good chance to remedy that. Zach Ertz is reasonably priced, the number one cash game play of the main slate and makes for a fine lock-and-load in all formats.

Evan Engram, NYG vs. MIN

FD ($6,300) DK ($5,800)

If Wertz is first, who do you think is second? Engram has only one fewer target (37) than Ertz and is averaging 6.75 receptions, 82.75 yards and a 0.5 TDs per game. If we round those numbers up to 7-83-1, we’re looking at a solid cash game play in a game that should feature a lot of the Giants TE. He comes at a small discount from Ertz, and even with WR Golden Tate back and slot man Sterling Shepard clicking with Rookie QB Daniel Jones, Engram projects to see around 8-10 targets on a weekly basis.

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Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — GPP Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL at HOU

FD ($6,700) DK ($4,500)

We’ve got some huge disparity with the pricing on Hoper, who’s themost expensive TE on FD at $6,700, and only the fifth priciest on DK. That’s somethingwe can take advantage of in GPPs on FD, where his ownership should be slightlylower. Hooper saw 11 targets in Week 4, the most among NFL tight ends, and bustedout for 9-130-0. The Texans have been stingy vs. TEs, but with this game projectedto be a boon for all the skill position players, I’ll be utilizing Hooper in game/teamstacks with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, and running back some of the Texans (DeAndreHopkins, Will Fuller).

Darren Waller, OAK vs. CHI

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,000)

At this point, it’s safeto call Waller matchup-proof, and while his upside is somewhat limited againstthe Bears, I can’t keep him completely off my builds for Week 5 NFL DFS. He’stied with Engram for second most targets among TEs (37) and he’ll be utilizedoften as a check down with the Raiders likely struggling to move the ball verticallyup the field. Ownership on both sites will be low and there’s no reason we shouldn’tlook to Derek Carr’s most reliable pass catcher as a contrarian GPP option here.

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. JAC

FD ($5,700) DK ($4,000)

In Week 3, Kyle Allen looked absolutely smitten with hisveteran TE, but Olsen had a quiet week last Sunday when he hauled in just twoof his four targets for 5 yards. That performance was against the aforementionedTexans, and game log followers with recency bias may steer clear of Olsen thisweek. That’s fine – because when healthy, we need reliable red zone targets withupside like Olsen in our GPPs. The Jaguars aren’t the big bad scary predatorycats they were in 2018, so plug in the Panthers TE with confidence.

Ben Watson, NE at WAS

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,700)

Doyou like risk? How about when it comes with oodles of upside in a matchup thatportends many scoring opportunities for a potent offense? Tom Brady has been desperatelylooking for a TE to lock onto since Rob Gronkowski retired, and Watson – in his15^th NFL season and his second turn with the Patriots – is comingoff a four-game suspension that’s kept him off the field thus far. In his triumphantreturn to New England, we could see a few extra targets go his way. I won’t havetons of exposure to Watson, who’s probably going to be limited to red zonechances and about half of the Pats’ total offensive snaps, but he’s anoff-the-wall play for GPPs.

Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — Value and Punt Plays

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. ARI

FD (4,600) DK ($3,300)

Eifertis crazy cheap on both sites and gets a gigantic boost against the Cardinals,who yield 163.7% of the average fantasy points to TEs. He’s been quiet thisseason and he might get chalky, but the Bengals offense is missing some oftheir WRs and Eifert is an attractive value play in Week 5.

Jared Cook, NO vs. TB

FD($4,500) DK ($3,400)

Game manager Teddy Bridgewater doesn’t necessarily get the bloodpumping and inspire confidence in the New Orleans offense, but the QB should belooking more to Jared Cook in Week 5 against the Bucs, who provide a favorablematchup for the athletic Cook. His 18 targets through four games is arelatively low number, but this is a good game for him to spike a Top 10 TEfinish and find some good, old-fashioned NFL paydirt.

Additional GPP options:

O.J. Howard, TB at NO (FD $5,800, DK $3,900)

Jimmy Graham, GB at DAL (FD $5,700, DK $4,300)

Dawson Knox, BUF at TEN (FD$4,800, DK $3,100)

Trey Burton, CHI at OAK (FD $4,800, DK $3,300)

Week 5 DFS DST NFL — Cash Game Plays

Chicago Bears (CHI at OAK)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

The Bears are slightly cheaper than the Pats on both sites and rank as my top cash game DST for Week 5. They’re just as likely as New England to notch multiple sacks and grab a few turnovers, and they probably have a little more upside based on some of their standouts defensive talents like sack specialist Khalil Mack, DB Kyle Fuller (23 solos, two INTs) and linebacker Roquan Smith, who’s back with the team after missing Week 4 for personal reasons. I’m buying in both cash and GPP contests.

New England Patriots (NE at WAS)

FD ($5,500) DK ($4,300)

The Redskins are having some difficulty settling on a QB for Week5, and the Pats defensive players must be licking their collective chops at theprospect of haranguing either journeyman Case Keenum, Colty McCoy (who’s yet tosee the field for Washington this season), or rookie Dwayne Haskins, who was9-for-17 in Week 4 with three INTs. New England comes in as my second-best cashgame play, but they’re usable in all formats.

Week 5 DFS DST NFL — GPP Plays

Minnesota Vikings (MIN at NYG)

FD ($4,500) DK ($3,200)

The Giants aren’t quite as terrible as they were during the firstcouple of weeks, but they’re prone to turnovers and providing scoring opportunitiesfor opposing defenses with a substandard offensive line and a rookie QB. TheVikings are affordable on both sites and could get lost in the shuffle ofviable DST options.

Philadelphia Eagles (PHI vs. NYJ)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,700)

We’ll be seeing a lot of green-on-green violence in this Sunday tilt, and there’s as much upside to this Philly unit (which has yet to break out with a double-digit performance) as any other DST on the slate.

Tennessee Titans (TEN vs. BUF)

FD ($4,800) DK ($3,000)

I’m not trying to pick on the New York teams this week, even if it feels like it, but the Bills could be the third squad form the Empire State who’s not entering Week 5 with the same starting QB they rolled out in Week 1. The Bills are not a bad team, but the Titans have been watching the tape on Matt Barkley and planning accordingly.

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Week 5 DFS DST NFL — Punt Plays

Green Bay Packers (GB at DAL)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,400)

The Packers are another team that’s super risky heading into Week5 but make sense an off-the-board GPP play in Dallas. I’m a Cowboys fan and I knowthat the offensive lien issues they’re having are much more of a problem than anyonewants to let on. Pairing them with Aaron Jones and fading Ezekiel Elliott on afew lineups could allow you to find some leverage and load up withTexans-Falcons, my favorite game stack on the slate.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN vs. ARI)

FD($3,400) DK ($2,500)

The Bengals are once again viable in GPPs (they’re at home and facing a rookie QB) but they’re not going to make any of my cash game builds. Use them as a contrarian GPP defense with plenty of upside and just as much risk.

Photo of Zach Ertz by Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week Five Checkdown (DraftKings)

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Week Four was another great week for NFL DFS Cash Games at Win Daily Sports. Feel free to review last week’s Checkdown to see what players we were high on, including the top scoring Running Back, Nick Chubb… at extremely low ownership! Let’s get right back to it for the Week Five Checkdown for your NFL DFS Cash Games.

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I wanted to start something new this week to quickly point out what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week Five, please see below for my notes on roster construction:

I don’t anticipate there being any crazy chalky players that you have to roster in cash games this week. It’s a rather wide open slate.
Standard to what I’ve been doing the past couple of weeks, I will be paying down at the quarterback position in Week Five.
There is not a whole lot of “value” or “punt” plays at the running back spot like there have been in weeks prior. You’re going to need a top-tier running back (or two) in Week Five NFL DFS Cash Games.
Tons of great plays at the wide receiver position – I don’t think you have to focus on any one player here when building your cash lineups.

NFL DFS Cash Games Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson ($7,100) – At first glance, I had no interest in including Lamar Jackson into this article due to the fact this matchup against the Steelers has an alarmingly low total of ~42 points. To me, that calls for a slow-paced, run-focused gamescript for both teams that we would usually avoid.

Lamar is the most expensive quarterback on the slate but he is also the only quarterback who is averaging 60+ rushing yards a game. Jackson always provides an excellent floor for DFS players.
Tom Brady ($6,500) – The way to beat the Washington Redskins is through the air. Brady should have a top-five fantasy performance in Week Five.
Kyler Murray ($6,300) – I’m not sure either defense can get a stop in the battle of the winless Bengals and Cardinals. Murray should be in line for his biggest fantasy performance to date in what is by far the softest matchup of his young career.
Andy Dalton ($5,700) – We will continue to pick on the Arizona Cardinals’ defense. Dalton is at home, extremely affordable, and is averaging over 40 passing attempts per game in Zac Taylor’s offense. Dalton is my favorite quarterback play for NFL DFS Cash Games in Week Five.
Chase Daniel ($4,800) – Mitch Trubisky dislocated his shoulder in Week Four and will not play in London against the Raiders next Sunday. When Daniel entered the game, he looked very in tune with this offense and may have even looked better than Trubisky this season so far. Against the Raiders, I have no problem if you want to use Daniel with this minimal price tag.

NFL DFS Cash Games Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey ($8,800) – Christian McCaffrey is always cash game viable. On paper, this is his hardest matchup of the year, but he appears to be matchup proof.
Dalvin Cook ($8,400) – His usage his beyond belief. No need to talk a lot about Dalvin Cook, he should be the Vikings’ top option on offense against a weak Giants’ team.
Ezekiel Elliott ($8,300) – Elliott is probably going to be the highest owned running back on the slate and for good reason. Green Bay continues to get carved up by opposing running backs and this week they face the best one in the NFL. Keep in mind, Tyron Smith will miss this game, so Elliott’s production is likely going to take a bit of a hit.
David Johnson ($7,500) – David Johnson’s usage in the passing game continues to increase each week (11 targets in Week Four and 99 yards receiving) and the Cincinatti Bengals are allowing the 3rd most receptions per game to opposing running backs. At this point, David Johnson is a fantasy wide receiver who also gets carries in the red-zone. He is a very valuable fantasy asset in PPR formats like DraftKings.
Le’Veon Bell ($6,800) – Do the Jets have any other offensive weapons? The Philadelphia run defense has been very respectable but with the lack of other playmakers in New York, Le’Veon Bell should be a lock for 25+ touches in Week Five. At the price, I’m quite interested in Le’Veon Bell for cash games.
Joe Mixon ($6,100) – Excellent price. Excellent matchup. I love picking on all aspects of the Arizona Cardinals’ defense. I know on DraftKings you’ll see the scary red font showing “OPRK 8th“, but this is 100% a matchup DFS players should take advantage of. Arizona simply cannot stop the run.

My early projections are finally calling for a 20-touch game by Joe Mixon – he will feast against a defense that has given up 268 rushing yards and two scores to opposing running backs over the past two weeks.
Aaron Jones ($5,900) – Dallas has been tough against the run but they are allowing an average of over six receptions per game to opposing running backs. Assuming Jamaal Williams misses this game (due to injury in Week Four), Aaron Jones is in line for a heavy workload both running and receiving. He’s a nice value play that I don’t think many DFS players will be on this week.
Chris Thompson ($4,600) – Chris Thompson has gotten to double digit DraftKings points in every game this season and he has yet to find the end-zone. We don’t have to go crazy with any analysis of Chris Thompson here. Washington is going to be at least a 15-point underdog in Week Five against New England. The Redskins will be playing from behind for the majority (if not all) of this game and that will lead to a 60%+ offensive snap count for Thompson. He looks to be the only true “pay-down” spot at the running back position for Week Five NFL DFS Cash Games.

Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800) – Hopkins is absolutely due for a blowup performance as he hasn’t topped 70 receiving yards since Week One. Vegas is showing a total of 49 points for this matchup against the Falcons – which is currently the highest on the board. Houston is at home and has to right the ship here against a beat-up Atlanta secondary that was just destroyed at home by Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee Titans. Hopkins will get back to form in Week Five.
Chris Godwin ($6,900) – I’m not even going to touch on the career day Godwin just had against the Rams. Godwin will see Saints’ Cornerback, P.J. Williams for most of the day on Sunday and that is all you need to know. His price is high, but his matchup against Williams is ELITE.
Adam Thielen ($6,700) – May have the best matchup in the write-up against a putrid Giants’ secondary. He will see a lot of DeAndre Baker (who may be the worst corner in the NFL), but I’d rather see Thielen go back to the slot more often (where he has done the most damage throughout his career). Regardless, this is a great spot for Thielen.
Michael Thomas ($6,600) – Chris Godwin is more expensive than Michael Thomas? If you would have told me that at any time this year Godwin’s price would be higher than Thomas’, I would say that you lost your mind – Yet, here we are. With or without Drew Brees, Thomas continues to provide a high floor for DFS players and everyone is destroying the Tampa Bay secondary, so play Thomas with confidence.
Tyler Boyd ($6,500) – If we love Andy Dalton this week, we obviously love his top option in the passing game who is seeing 10+ targets on a weekly basis. Boyd should have his way with this Arizona secondary.
Allen Robinson ($5,600) – When re-watching the Bears Week Four game against the Vikings, it was clear to me that Chase Daniel trusts Allen Robinson over any other pass catcher on the team. Daniel seemed to have tunnel vision towards Allen Robinson on 75% of the routes he ran and was his first read anytime Daniel and the Bears needed to move the ball via the pass.

Robinson and Daniel should have a lot of fun together in London against a Raiders’ secondary who really struggles against top-tier wide receivers like Allen Robinson.
Courtland Sutton ($4,900) – Sutton is one of my favorite wide receivers in the NFL. He is quietly putting together a helluva season and should continue to make plays in Week Five, despite having an inept quarterback like Joe Flacco. Sutton is responsible for over a 20% target share in the Broncos’ passing attack and leads the team in air yards by a significant margin.

Courtland Sutton is an excellent route runner, he catches everything, and he happens to be leading the NFL in ~~passing yards per attempt~~ in their last three games (since Drew Brees got injured). If you have to save salary to roster more top-tier players elsewhere, I don’t think Ginn will kill your chances at crossing the pay-line, but I’d advise you to just stick with Sanu for your low-priced wideout in NFL DFS Cash Games.

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz ($6,000) – He is the only tight end on the slate that is guaranteed to see 10+ targets and his price is affordable if you use some of the value options mentioned above.
Evan Engram ($5,800) – I know that most of his production is inflated by that long touchdown he had in Week Three at Tampa Bay, but Evan Engram is the best receiving option Daniel Jones has to throw to. For some reason, I think the Vikings get back on track this week and put up points at will against this Giants’ so-called defense (although I’m not confident enough to include any Vikings pass catchers in this write-up, but having said that, Diggs and Thielen are definitely in play for me this week).

If the Vikings get back into form, the Giants will be chasing points early and Gallman will get shut down. If that happens, the Giants will have to rely on Evan Engram to anchor this passing attack.
Darren Waller ($5,000) – Incredible price for the best receiver on the Raiders’ offense (sorry to those who love Tyrell Williams). It looks like the floor of 10+ points will be there week in, week out for Waller. Continue to put Waller in your DFS lineups with confidence. This is not an ideal matchup for Waller, but the price warrants him to be considered in cash builds.
Mark Andrews ($4,800) – I mentioned earlier my concerns with the anticipated gamescript for this Ravens @ Steelers game, but my Mark Andrews faith is still in tact. Lamar Jackson loves throwing his way in the red-zone and I love Andrews’ chances of getting in the end-zone yet again in Week Five.

Andrews has never played more than 55% of the offensive snaps for Baltimore, but when he is out there, he is running routes. Andrews is currently leading the Ravens is targets so we do not need to panic on the lack of snaps.
Austin Hooper ($4,500) – No one is talking about Hooper, but we have to start considering him in DFS. Offensive Coordinator, Dirk Koetter made in known prior to this season that he loves to get his tight ends involved, and that is certainly playing true so far in 2019. Hooper is coming off of two monster performances but faces a Houston defense that has been extremely stingy to opposing tight ends.
O.J. Howard ($3,900) – If you choose to punt at the tight end position, Howard would be my only recommendation, but I don’t advise it.

Defense/Special Teams

New England Patriots ($4,300)
Chicago Bears ($3,800)
Minnesota Vikings ($3,200)
Tennessee Titans ($3,000)
Los Angeles Chargers ($2,700)
Carolina Panthers ($2,500)

NFL DFS Cash Games – Sample Lineup

QB: Chase Daniel
RB: Ezekiel Elliott
RB: Le’Veon Bell
WR: Chris Godwin
WR: Michael Thomas
WR: Mohamed Sanu
TE: Mark Andrews
FLEX: Chris Thompson
DST: Tennessee Titans

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 4 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Evan the Excellent

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re into an exciting Week 4 DFS for NFL action and I’m looking at some TEs and DSTs to plug into your daily fantasy lineups and win some of that sweet, sweet green in cash games and GPPs. Let’s shed the bracket coverage, avoid the pesky double teams and find the paydirt!

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Week 4 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

EvanEngram, NYG vs. WAS

FD ($6,800) DK ($5,700)

Engram is still the best receiver available on the Giants, so that hasn’t changed since Week 1 – and has been elevated to either the No. 1 fantasy TE or No. 2 by just about every expert polled in Week 4. More than anything else, consensus rankings that uniform are the stuff of cash game gold – and we needn’t look further than Engram’s game logs and target totals (14,8,8) to know that he’s a reliable pass catcher who’s involved in every aspect of the offense. With rookie QB Daniel Jones (DAMN, Daniel!) at the helm and Saquon Barkley injured, the Giants TE will be heavily riled upon in Week 4.

DarrenWaller, OAK at IND

FD($6,700) DK ($5,200)

A guy who rarely comes off the field for the Raiders offense and has seen target totals of 8, 7 and 14 in the first three games, Waller entered the season as a highly touted, but somewhat risky fantasy option on a rudderless team without a bona fide No. 1 receiver. He hasn’t yet to score a TD, and that makes him kind of risky in GPPs – where he’ll be pretty highly owned. But Waller has incredibly managed to put himself into fine position as a cash game option with his elite level of involvement in just about every Oakland game script. I’m not saying he’s a bad GPP play, but he’s going to be chalky along with Engram.

Week 4 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

TravisKelce, KC at DET

FD(7,600) DK ($7,200)

Once again, Kelce has adifficult on-paper matchup that could keep a portion of the field away, and he’sstill very much a viable cash game option despite facing the Lions – who havedefended TEs well so far. But he’s my top GPP option of the Week and it’s not especiallyclose. At the moment, I’m looking at having ownership levels north of 50percent for Kelce, who’s put up consistent target totals of 8, 9 and 8 in hisfirst three games and has already compiled 25-284-1 on the season. He’s primedfor a two-TD game versus the Lions and I’m not especially afraid of theirdefense, which will struggle to contain this big-bodied gamebreaker.

EricEbron, IND vs. OAK

FD($5,300) DK ($4,000)

With Jacoby Brissett really clicking in this Colts offense and the Raiders safeties and linebackers looking a bit sluggish and underwhelming, I’ll have some shares of Ebron at this price. He hasn’t drawn any huge target totals this season and splits the field time with Jack Doyle, who’s another possible GPP option. What Ebron (11-80-1 on the season through three games) offers in Week 4 is likely increased usage inside the red zone, where he should have more opportunities than usual given Oakland defensive futility. He won’t draw much ownership and we know he has enormous upside – albeit a relatively low floor.

DelanieWalker, TEN at ATL

FD($5,700) DK ($4,800)

Walker is nursing a kneeinjury that has seen him miss consecutive practices, but if he’s available –even in a limited fashion – during Friday’s sessions I’ll find a way to use himin some tournaments. Walker is a veteran TE who’s posted 16-158-2 over his firstthree games and has a history of playing hurt, which can be a blessing and acure for fantasy owners. He’s fairly priced on both sites and has decent upside againstan Atlanta team that just lost Keanu Neal – its standout strong safety – to atorn Achilles. If Walker plays on Sunday, I’ll have some exposure.

Week 4 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

WillDissly, SEA at ARI

FD($5,400) DK ($3,600)

I make sure I lead off the punts by reminding you that you’ll be assuming a considerable amount of risk not looking to the obvious top TEs, but I’m not so sure that Dissly isn’t obvious at this point – given the matchup against the dreadful Cardinals and the upside that he’s established. After a quiet Week 1, Will has put up performances of 5-50-2 on five targets and 6-62-1 on seven targets. He’s worth rostering in all contests as a FLEX pairing with a more chalky TE or as a “contrarian light” option if you’re fading the five or six guys ahead of him in the weekly fantasy rankings. He’ll still garner ownership, but it probably won’t be as high as it should be.

MikeGesicki, MIA vs. LAC

FD($4,600) DK ($2,600)

Gesickiis a complete dart throw given Miami’s putrid offense and the fact that he’s onlyseen 11 targets through the first there weeks. But don’t look at him havingjust six catches for 51 yards without a touchdown through threegames as a negative – look at it as an opportunity to keep his ownership in the0-5 percent range. The second-year tight end won’t be a cash game optionanytime soon, but he’s likely to see increased targets in Week 4 versus the Chargerswith WRs Albert Wilson (calf/hip) and Allen Hurns (concussion) questionable anddoubtful, respectively.

Additional Week 4 DFS GPP/Punt options:

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. CLE (FD $6,100, DK $5,000) – Nursing a foot injury, so a GPP option you should make sure is playing.

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. TEN (FD $6,400, DK $4,300) – Hooper is my white whale for DFS TEs, and I’m always on the wrong end of his capricious antics.

O.J. Howard, TB at LAR (FD $5,900, DK $3,900) – At some point they’re going to start throwing to him.

Vernon Davis, WAS at NYG (FD $5,100, DK $3,400) – He’s old as the hills, but he’s playing the Giants and this one could get interesting.

Week 4 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

LosAngeles Chargers (LAC at MIA)

FD($5,300) DK ($3,800)

The Chargers are playing the Dolphins – and while we needn’tsay much more than that, it’s important to point out that despite a bevy of solidpass rushers, they have only recorded four sacks through three games. That’s anumber set to increase on Sunday against the worst offensive line in football. Don’toverthink this one and get the Chargers DST in there in cash games if you canafford it.

JacksonvilleJaguars (JAX at DEN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,700)

It’s somewhat dangerous to play a defense at Mile High – a venue that doesn’t lend itself to standout performances for opponents. But these Denver Broncos are not a well-oiled machine, and they could have trouble moving the ball against the Jaguars defense. This Jacksonville unit is coming off its best game of the season in Week 3, when they racked up nine sacks and recovered a fumble, their first takeaway in 2019. They’d obviously like to have Jalen Ramsey for this game, but he’s on paternity leave and probably won’t be available in Week 4. If he somehow is, the Jags are an even better play.

Week 4 DFS DST GPP Plays

LosAngeles Rams (LAR vs. TB)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,500)

The Rams DST has been consistent from a fantasy points perspective,scoring 9, 8 and 9 FP in the first three weeks of the season. They have somesuperstar defensive lineman, including one of the best in the game, a group ofcapable LBs and some excellent defensive backs. They’ve also notched an INT ineach of their contests so far and should continue that streak against JameisWinston and the Bucs. Plug them in some of your GPPs and enjoy the results.

ChicagoBears (CHI vs. MIN)

FD($4,700) DK ($3,400)

By way of their electrifying performance in Week 3, the Bearscould garner some higher ownership levels than they might deserve against a Vikingsunit that runs the ball a lot and will do everything they can to prevent KirkCousins from getting in too many 3rd and long situations. Truthfully, that’s apretty smart strategy against a Bears defense that caused five turnovers Mondaynight against the Redskins.

Week 4 DFS DST Punt Plays

IndianapolisColts (IND vs. OAK)

FD($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Colts defense had four sacks in each of its first twogames before the goose egg against Atlanta, and I expect a much betterperformance at home facing the woeful Raiders. They give up some yardage, butfor this price I’m buying shares.

TennesseeTitans (TEN at ATL)

FD($3,500) DK ($2,600)

Ina week without too many viable punt options at DST, this is about as cheap as I’dlike to go. The Titans secondary is much better than they played last Thursdaynight in Jacksonville, and despite a difficult matchup against a potent Atlantaoffense, there’s plenty to like in terms of their upside (23 FP in Week 1) and theplaymaking ability of their ball-hawking defensive backs.

AdditionalDST options:

New England Patriots (NE at BUF)

Houston Texans (HOU vs. CAR)

Evan Engram Featured Image via Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 3 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Howard, We Doin’ This?

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

As we roll into Week 3 NFL DFS, we’re going to try someoff-the-wall plays in GPPs, including one TE who’s been very quiet during the firsttwo weeks. There’s our usual group of cash game plays for your NFL DFS lineups– as well as some contrarian specials who could explode for monster gametotals.

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Week 3 NFL DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. DET

FD ($6,900) DK ($5,700)

Theres not too many standout cash game plays in Week 3 NFL DFS among the TEs, as many of them look more like GPP plays. But with injuries to Alshon Jeffrey, DeSean Jackson and TE Dallas Goedert (who’s dealing with a calf injury), it makes sense that both Ertz and WR Nelson Agholor will draw more looks from Carson Wentz. When I look for upside plays at TE I search for opponents with LB issues, and the Lions unit is having some problems with both injuries and inexperience. Most importantly for cash games, however, is a boatload of targets. Ertz saw 16 targets in Week 2 against Atlanta and he’s much cheaper than Travis Kelce, who’s more of a GPP play this week.

George Kittle, SF vs. PIT

FD ($6,600) DK ($5,600)

Normally I’d prefer Kittle in large-field tournaments for NFL DFS, and last week’s relative dud (3-54-0 on just three targets) doesn’t help make my case. But the Steelers defensive unit is best attacked with TEs and possession wide receivers and Kittle is the most reliable option for Jimmy Garoppolo in a game that the 49ers should win. Last week I suspected that offensive ball control meant lots of looks for Kittle, but they really didn’t need him that much. We’re still waiting for the big offensive breakout and Kittle had two touchdowns called back on penalties Week 1, so there’s some hope on that front. He’s one of the team’s better red-zone options despite the lack of a TD through the first two games, and I think he’ll change that on Sunday.

Week 3 Tight End NFL DFS — GPP Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. BAL

FD ($8,000) DK ($7,100)

For many reasons, I like Kelce for cash games, especially if you’re not spending up for RBs and WRs. But I really like him for GPPs. As the most expensive TE and a facing what could be a tougher on-paper matchup against the Ravens, his ownership may be slightly down from last week. Kelce has double-digit receptions and two-TD upside every week, and there’s not much opposing defenses can do to stop him with all the weapons that Patrick Mahomes has at his disposal. I could see Kelce setting season highs in receptions, yardage and TDs in this game and being the linchpin on some tournament-winning lineups.

O.J. Howard, TB vs. NYG

FD ($5,800) DK ($3,800)

The first two weeks have frustrated Howard’s DFS supporters, and it’s safe to say the 2019 season is off to a poor start for the athletic, big-bodied TE who carried plenty of pundit buzz into Week 1. But playing time wasn’t the problem on Thursday, with Howard finishing second to just Chris Godwin in snaps among the Buccaneers skill position players. Fellow tight end Cameron Brate was on the field for just 18 snaps, so Brate just isn’t really cutting into Howard’s production. The main issue is targets, or a lack of them — which Bruce Arians said would change in the coming weeks. There’s no better time for a great bounce-back spot facing the Giants in Week 3, when the squeaky wheel should get some much-needed grease.

Evan Engram, NYG at TB

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,200)

We’re a couple weeks into the 2019 season and the Giants corps of receivers is an absolute disaster, though they could be getting Sterling Shepard back since he’s out of the concussion protocol. Engram, however, is still the Giants most reliable receiver excluding their star RB, and I’d even be willing to use him in cash games if they weren’t starting rookie Daniel Jones at QB this week. As bad as Eli Manning has been, he’s maintained a solid rapport with Engram the past couple of seasons. Jones will look to establish a similar relationship early and often, but there’s some inherent risk in this offense. Engram is a fine GPP play who won’t be chalky.

T.J. Hockenson, DET at PHI

FD ($5,500) DK ($3,500)

As we round out our GPP options, we can look for plays that buck the trends of recency bias, and since Hockenson disappointed in Week 2, he’s a good place to land. The Lions TE hauled in just one catch for seven yards on three targets against the Chargers, but I’m willing to throw out that performance, since every Lions passing game option took a backseat to WR Kenny Golladay and his seemingly effortless dominance. Hockenson is an exciting rookie with tons of upside on Sunday against an Eagles team that allowed Vernon Davis to run and jump over several defenders to find the end zone in Week 1. I’m expecting big things in Week 3 from him, and since the price isn’t an oppressive one, I’ll have some shares.

Week 3 Tight End NFL DFS — Value and Punt Plays

Darren Waller, OAK at MIN

FD(5,400) DK ($3,300)

Waller entered Week 2 as a popular play after a huge Week 1, seeing another high-usage game (95% of team snaps, seven targets and 6-63-0 in the loss to the Chiefs in Week 2). So he’s flourishing in the Jared Cook role in this Raiders offense, and should continue to compete with Tyrell Williams for the team lead in targets every week. While his Week 3 matchup against the Vikings and their capable defensive unit (Harrison Smith, Eric Kendricks and company) is a tough one, there’s plenty of reasons to believe Derek Carr will be peppering Waller more than anyone else. The Raiders have their work cut out for them in a possible game script which could ultimately benefit Waller more than in the first two weeks. He’s cheap and he’ll be on plenty of my GPP lineups – where I don’t mind pairing him with Kelce again with one of the two occupying the flex spot.

Blake Jarwin, DAL vs. MIA

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,900)

Full disclosure: I’m a Cowboys fan and I love Blake Jarwin, so I’mnot giving up on him despite his quiet Week 2, when he had just one catch for22 yards. He should have plenty of opportunitiesto score against Dolphins in Week 3, and if the Cowboys get out to a big lead,I doubt they’ll have Jason Witten on the field a lot. Jarwin could easily graba handful of catches and a couple of scores as Dak Prescott passes the time pickingapart the decimated Dolphins secondary. The athletic and reliable pass catcher isclose to the minimum salary on both sites, and he should see more than his usualshare of red zone looks on Sunday.

Additional GPP options:

Greg Olsen, CAR at ARI (FD $6,100,DK $3,700)

Vance McDonald, (FD $5,900, DK $4,300)

Austin Hooper, ATL at IND(FD $5,800, DK $3,600)

Eric Ebron, IND vs. ATL (FD $5,700, DK $3,800)

Week 3 NFL DFS — DST Cash Game Plays

Dallas Cowboys (DAL vs. MIA)

FD ($5,000) DK ($4,300)

The Cowboys are 21.5 point favorites at home facing a Dolphins team that has scored just 10 points through the first two weeks. While a lot of the focus has been on the Dolphins defensive woes (their negative-114.7 percent DVOA through two games is the worst of any team since at least 1986), they rank last in both offensive and defensive DVOA on the season, and they’re starting Josh Rosen this week over Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Cowboys pass rush could be better and they have some defensive holes, but they’re the top defense in consensus rankings and make for a fine cash game play.

New England Patriots (NE atMIA)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

I didn’t think we could see a point spread larger than the oneabove, but the Pats are 23-point favorites at home over the Jets. The Jets havean offense than went from mediocre, right past bad, and straight into terriblewhen they lost Sam Darnold and then watched in horror as Trevor Siemian had hisankle disassembled on prime time during Monday Night Football. They don’t havetheir full complement of receivers and won’t be able to do much to stop aPatriots defense that’s looked excellent through the first two games. I’d beusing the Pats in cash games and GPPs, where they could be somewhat ignoredthanks to the existence of the Cowboys-Dolphins matchup.

Minnesota Vikings (MIN vs.OAK)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,300)

I’m not going to have too many shares of the Vikings in cash gamesbecause I don’t usually plug in DST last, but if that’s your strategy and youend up with less than the requisite funds for the Cowboys or Pats, they’re adecent option at home facing a dinged up Raiders offense with plenty ofquestion marks. If you arrive at Minnesota in your builds, don’t click off ofthem.

Week 2 NFL DFS — DST GPP Plays

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TBvs. NYG)

FD ($4,300) DK ($2,900)

The Giants are bad, and they might be getting worse. I’m wary ofstarting the Bucs in cash games because it’s a unit with its share of problems,but they draw a dream matchup at home facing Daniel Jones in his first NFLstart. They’re only $2,900 on DK and should have a handful of sacks and turnoversfacing a bad Giants offensive line.

Seattle Seahawks (SEA vs.NO)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,900)

I expect the Seahawks defensive line to make life very difficult for Teddy Bridgewater and the Saints – who are still reeling from the loss of Drew Brees, the NFL’s all-time passing yardage leader. It’s a difficult environment playing in Seattle, and with some of the Seahawks new acquisitions making their presence felt, there’s lost of opportunity for turnovers and sacks in what could be a lopsided victory for the home team. I’m surprised the spread is just 4.5 points.

Green Bay Packers (GB vs.DEN)

FD($4,500) DK ($2,800)

The Packers have a much-improved defensive unit and draw arelatively conservative Broncos offense that doesn’t put up too many points. GreenBay has given up just 19 points through its first two games, so they’recertainly an option in GPPs, especially since they’re playing at home.

Week 2 NFL DFS — DST Punt Plays

Carolina Panthers (CAR atARI)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,700)

This Carolina defense might be a little too risky in cash games,because the Cards and their Air Raid offense can put points on the board andhave some potent weapons in David Johnson and Kyler Murray, so I’d prefer youpunt them in GPPs. But let’s face it: The Panthers are way too cheap and shouldregister a handful of sacks and a turnover or two.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN atBUF)

FD ($3,400) DK ($2,400)

The Bengals are viable in GPPs but might be the better cash game punt considering the injuries to the Bills RB corps. Expect a consistent pass rush from Cincy and the chance for some big defensive plays.

Photo of O.J. Howard by Airman 1st Class Ryan Grossklag

5 years ago 0 comment

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