Connect with us
Football Articles Projection Model Cheat Sheets Season Long Rankings Totals Tool Prize Picks Prop Model Basketball Articles Projection Models Prize Picks Prop Model Cheat Sheet Golf Articles Projection Model Showdown Stats Tools Optimizer Nascar Articles Hockey Articles NHL Projection Model Other Sports NCAAF Mixed Martial Arts Soccer League of Legends Off Season Baseball Articles Baseball Projections Baseball Tools Sports Betting Articles Home Run Model About Us Win Daily Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Our Community

Become part of our Family in our Expert Chat! This is where all the magic happens. We created a community which we consider a family of DFS players and Sports Bettors like yourself.

Expert Chat
Gold Membership Optimizer Membership Free Membership Sharp App PrizePicks Partners The Sharp App Free Download Prize Picks 100% Deposit Match up to $100 Monkey Knife Fight 100% Instant Deposit Match (up to $100) DraftKings DFS 20% Deposit Up To $500 Bonus DraftKings SportsBook $1,000 Deposit Bonus; Bet $5, Win $280 FanDuel DFS 20% Deposit Bonus Up To $500 FanDuel SportsBook $1,000 Risk Free Bet; Bet $5, Win $280 Points Bet Up To $2,000 in Free Bets BETMGM $1,000 Risk Free 1st Bet Caesars $1,100 First Bet Match OwnersBox 100% Deposit Match up to $500 Underdog Fantasy 100% Deposit Match up to $100 BetRivers 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Sugarhouse 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Administrator Quick Links wp-admin Membership Reports Members Subscriptions Transactions Content Access Rules Monster Insights Microsoft BI Administrator Quick Links 2 New Funnel New Page Theme Editor Affiliate Royale ACF Writer Quick Links wp-admin New Post All Posts New Sportsbetting Pick All Sportsbetting Picks Affiliate Quick Links Dashboard Data Analyst Quick Links NBA Proj Dashboard MLB Proj Dashboard NFL Proj Dashboard Golf Proj Dashboard Cheat Sheet Quick links Sign Up Log In Articles

Articles

NFL NCAAF PGA NBA Soccer Nascar LOL MMA NHL Learn Video Sports Betting
Tools

Tools

Top Tools

Optimizer NFL DK Projection Model NFL FD Projection Model NBA Projection Model PGA Projection Model NHL Projection Model

Projection Models

NFL PGA NHL NBA

Other Tools

Lineup Optimizer PrizePicks NFL Prop Model Prizepicks NBA Prop Model NFL Cheat Sheet NFL Totals Tool NBA Cheat Sheet PGA Showdown Stats Soccer Cheat Sheet NFL Season Long Rankings
Community

Community

Expert Chat The Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Facebook Twitter Instagram Twitch Youtube Live
Memberships

Memberships

Partners

Partners

SportsBook Reviews

Academy

Academy

Links

Articles Videos Podcasts

Free Membership

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series Talladega 10/1

Published

on

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Truck Series for the final superspeedway of the season, Talladega!

This week the Truck Series runs its only race at Talladega and the second superspeedway race in 2022. Like with most superspeedway races there will be massive carnage, or at least that’s what I anticipate. We generally get a large number of wrecks in most truck races, so it should be no different at Talladega on Saturday. Last season we saw 15 trucks finish on the lead lap and only 19 out of 40 finished the race at all. This is pretty much the trend in every race at Talladega in this series. We also typically see anywhere from 3-6 drivers starting inside the top 10 finish the race and the majority of the drivers who finish started in the mid-teens or later.

I am maxing out a couple of different GPP’s for this race and I will have almost no exposure to the drivers in the top 5 and top 10. When using the optimizer to build these lineups I will be setting the randomization higher than usual (usually I set it around 5-10%) and will be limiting drivers starting in the top 10 to 5% of my lineups. I want to maximize my exposure to the drivers starting mid-pack and back. Also, remember that there are only 36 trucks in this race so that is what makes the drivers starting in the teens more playable.

Lastly, ownership. There will be plenty of drivers who carry high ownership in this race and while I’d like to avoid all of them, that just isn’t possible. I will in turn suggest that you lower your ownership of certain drivers. If I break down a potentially high owned driver, I will suggest a good lower-owned pivot with that driver.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

Most of the drivers in this tier are starting up front, so your exposure should be limited. If you are making one lineup, then you should be avoiding all drivers starting 13th or higher.

Parker Kligerman ($10,400)

Starting Position: 21st

Kligerman should be one of the highest-owned drivers in the field on Saturday, and as a two-time winner here in the Truck Series it makes sense. Kligerman has been a solid performer in this #75 truck all season, finishing in the top 20 in all ten races he has run in 2022. In those ten races, Kligerman has one win, four top 5’s, and six top 10’s. Kligerman has also finished on the lead lap in every race. I expect a solid day from this truck and if he can avoid wrecks he should be a contender for the win.

Lower Owned Pivot: Johnny Sauter ($10,200 – P19) – expected to 10% lower owned

Steward Friesen ($9,800)

Starting Position: 18th

Friesen is in the hunt for a championship so I expect that he will try to keep his truck clean and avoid all the potential carnage in this race. In his career, Friesen has only not finished a race at Talladega once (2021) and has finished 17th, 5th, 6th, and 17th in his other four races here. Even with his success and lackluster starting spot, Friesen projects at low 20s ownership. No lower-owned pivot is needed here.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Matt DiBenedetto ($7,900)

Starting Position: 30th

DiBenedetto will be the highest-owned driver in the field on Saturday and with good reason. Matty D starts 30th but has a truck capable of finishing top 10 and is at a salary that he will smash value if he does that. DiBenedetto has only run one career truck race at this track type and it was this season at Daytona where he finished 10th. Even in bad cars, DiBenedetto ran pretty well in the Cup Series at superspeedways. If he can keep this truck clean, I see a top 10 in DiBenedetto’s future on Saturday.

Lower Owned Pivot: Ben Rhodes ($8,200 – P15) – Similar upside at greater than 20% lower ownership

Kaz Grala ($7,100)

Starting Position: 28th

Grala is an accomplished superspeedway driver in all three of NASCAR’s top series. His equipment is not the best for this race, but Grala has been a high-teens to low-20s driver in this 02 truck so far in 2022. Grala’s season-best finish is 7th (Mid-Ohio RC). Grala is cheaper and projects at lower ownership than DiBenedetto so he is probably the better play of the two, but I don’t mind playing them both in SE contests.

Lower Owned Pivot: Tanner Gray ($7,400 – P11) – GPP only play at over 20% lower ownership

Other Options: Tyler Ankrum ($7,700 – P20), Grant Enfinger ($8,600 – P16)

NASCAR Value Rankings

  1. Parker Retzlaff ($6,900) – P29
  2. Dean Thompson ($5,600) – P35
  3. Timmy Hill ($6,800) – P33
  4. Bayley Currey (6,000) – P32
  5. Chase Purdy ($6,300) – P26
  6. Kaden Honeycutt ($6,200) -P36
  7. Hailie Deegan ($5,700) – P27
  8. Lawless Alan ($5,300) – P34

Remember that you should be leaving salary on the table in your lineups on Saturday. If you are like me and MME in GPP’s and using the opto, use the setting I mentioned above but also make sure you put in tournament mode with 4 unique drivers per lineup. I also set my max salary at $49,300 to make sure the opto doesn’t try to use all $50K. Lastly, I have exposure to all 36 drivers in my lineups but only one driver starting in the top 10 is in more than one lineup.

Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to ensure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022, check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

At Win Daily, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” Sure, we want to help you win that big DFS tournament. But we want you to have a greater enjoyment of Daily Fantasy Sports while you are doing it. Along the way, you also may learn some life lessons and gain some perspectives you may have never considered before.

Join Now

©2020 WIN DAILY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.

Published

on