Joel Bartilotta 
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Today I’ll be highlighting one of my favorite contests on MKF, the Home Run Blast. Every Friday night MKF runs a special contest where if you play in a $5+ Home Run Blast contest and all 3 of your batters hit a home run you get a share of the jackpot. Tonight’s jackpot is $25,000!
With that said, lets dig in and see where we can find some long balls!
Home Run Blast
Bo Bichette vs. Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea has had an extremely rough last month. Over the last 30 days he’s sporting a 5.13 xFIP and a ton of hard contact at 37%. The majority of the damage coming against him has been coming from the batters from the right side of the plate. They have a .408 ISO and a .513 wOBA against him. Just awful numbers.
In his last 15 innings of work he’s given up 7 homers. That’s a pretty torrid pace and something we’ll want to take advantage of tonight. The guy I’m going to use from the Blue Jays is Mr. Bo Bichette. Over the last month, and really season, he’s been great against lefties. He has a .222 ISO against them with a .373 wOBA. His average air distance is an astonishing 343 feet.
Another reason I love Bichette tonight is he’s been great against sinkers this year. Manaea throws his almost 60% of the time and Bichette has a slugging % of .570 against them this year. Love his chances of taking Manaea deep tonight. Confidence Level – High
Luke Voit vs. John Means
Means has really been a different pitcher since coming back from injury. His biggest struggles since returning have come against righties. They have a .391 ISO and a .453 wOBA against him over the last month. He’s been giving up way too many fly balls to them with a 46% fly ball rate. I’m going to attack him w/ a player that’s been hot over the past month.
Voit has a .318 ISO against lefties in August with a .470 wOBA. He’s also been getting the ball in the air against them w/ a 53% fly ball rate and an average air distance of 386 feet. He should have no trouble with Means fastball as he’s been crushing fastballs all year. There’s a solid chance of Voit taking a Means pitching into the left field stands of Yankee Stadium tonight. Confidence Level – High
Austin Meadows vs. Randy Dobnak
Dobnak makes his first appearance in the Majors since mid-June and boy does he wish he was seeing a different opponent. This could not be a worse match up for him as he throws a pitch that the Rays excel at, the Sinker. First lets start w/ why I’m picking on Dobnak.
The former Lyft driver has had a rough year, especially against lefties. On the year lefties have a .324 ISO against him and a .456 wOBA. Really bad numbers from him. Rays have a handful of lefties but my focus is going to be Austin Meadows.
One of the pitches that Meadows excels the most at hitting is the sinker. On the year he has a .662 slugging %. It’s a pitch he loves to hit. The good thing for him is that Dobnak’s sinker has not been good. Batters have a near 60% hard hit rate against it and a .467 slugging %. I just don’t see how Meadows doesn’t take Dobnak deep tonight. Confidence Level – High
Home Run Blast Wrap Up
Tonight my pool will consist of these 3 batters but their teammates stand just as good a chance of homering as they do. For the Blue Jays, I also love Teoscar Hernandez and George Springer. Yankees I also love Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. Lastly, Brandon Lowe of the Rays should also stand a good chance at a homer.
Good luck and hope to share the jackpot with you!
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