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Yasiel Puig

9/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Indians Can’t Cease Fire

The main slate for 9/26 DFS is just a simple, five-game assembly of MLB DFS matchups featuring some playoff implications and some sneaky stacks! Let’s find the best one-off plays and a couple quality stacks to get you on the road to cash!

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9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Cleveland Indians at DylanCease

With Jose Ramirez back, the Indians have another titanic bat in their lineup as they try to sneak into the playoffs via the Wild Card. Eliminated from securing their fourth straight AL Central title with Wednesday’s loss (coupled with a victory by the Minnesota Twins), the Indians have a Thursday night matchup that bodes well for the bats facing a hittable Dylan Cease (5.79 ERA). Expect Francisco Lindor to erase that poor showing last night and get some exposure to the 2-5 bats, along with Franmil Reyes and a dirt-cheap Mike Freeman ($3,200 DK, $2,500 FD) at the bottom of the order.

Oakland Athletics atSeattle Mariners

We’ve come to expect a lot from the A’s as September winds down, and this is a prime opportunity for the bats to come alive and pile on some runs on this 9/26 DFS slate. Mark Canha left the game early last night and Khris Davis is battling a stomach bug, but there are plenty of bats to go to in their stead, and while Felix Hernandez is a historically solid pitcher, he’s nearing the end of his career (6.51 ERA this season) and just isn’t the same old King Felix. The A’s also hit well on the road, with a .329 wOBA as a team. I like Matt Olson, Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien.

Houston Astros at JaimeBarria

The Astros plan on sitting Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and George Springer, but that just means you can grab some value at the top of their lineup with Kyle Tucker and mix in some “next man up” types who’ve performed well in limited duty this season. They’re not my favorite stack for 9/26 DFS, but they’re certainly viable and a little cheaper to fit in without all the regulars.

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks toConsider

Chicago Cubs at Joe Musgrove – The Cubs face ahittable pitcher who can hand out free passes and get lit up as easily as hecan rack up the Ks.

New York Mets vs. Jordan Yamamoto – Yamamoto isn’t a bad young pitcher, but he struggles with RHBs and the Mets have a bunch of really good ones.

9/26 DFS HittingCatcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2600)

Unfortunately, the pickings are slim at catcher today, so I’ll be looking to Wilson Ramos and his power upside. The Mets regular catcher is slashing .286/.350/.415 this season and Yamamoto has trouble with right-handed bats (.322wOBA vs. RHBs, .250 wOBA vs. LHBs). Just make sure he’s in the lineup before you lock him in.

9/26 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Matt Olson, OAK at SEA

DK (4,600) FD ($3,700)

My affinity for Matt Olson is well-known among my peers, and he’s deliveredfor me time and again in GPPs. This matchup is an interesting one, because Olsonhas a .293 ISO and 150 wRC+ against righties. Olson, who’s been hitting forpower this month with a .345 ISO, will likely face a couple of RHPs and has agood chance at going deep in this game.

9/26 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Aledmys Diaz, HOU at LAA

DK($4,100) FD ($2,900)

With some Astros sitting, Diaz probably gets another start tonight and is carrying a decent slash line (.271/.349/.457) into the 9/26 contest. He has a 122 wRC+ against RHPs this season, is fairly priced on DK and is unbelievably cheap on FD. It looks like I may give him a shot in about half my lineups this evening.

9/26 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

Matt Chapman, OAK at SEA

(DK $4,100) FD ($3,600)

Mr. Chapman homered last night, is very affordable on both sites, and is slightly better against RHPs (124 wRC+ vs. RHPs, 122 wRC+ vs. LHPs). While he had a relatively quiet September, I like the matchup for Chapman against King Felix here here — and there are not many 3B who stick out in this slate other than him, Alex Bregman (who’s available at SS on DK), and Yoan Moncada.

9/26 DFSHitting Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($2,600) FD ($2,000)

Some of the veteran Astros players will get spelled tonight, but Bregman is slated to stay in the lineup and is red hot at the plate (3-4, two 2B, RBI, R last night). He sports a robust 168 wRC+ and is slashing .298/.421/.595 triple-slash line with 119 runs scored, 40 homers, 110 RBI and five steals this season. The hard-hitting Bregman is a fine place to anchor your SS slot.

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9/26 DFS HittingOutfielders

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK($4,800) FD ($2,900)

Tucker draws the leadoff spot for 9/26 DFS a night after launching a solo homer against the Mariners. With Jose Altuve getting the day off, he takes over a prime spot in the Astros lineup and has done ell with his chances so far: The 22-year-old rookie outfielder is hitting .304/.339/.571 with 11 runs scored, three HRs, 10 RBI and five SB in 59 plate appearances this season. The price on DK is fair, but on FD he’s just way too cheap.

Brandon Nimmo, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

I love Nimmo in the leadoff spot today for the Mets, who don’t havea lot to play for but still have an exciting group of young hitters. Nimmo hasa 133 wRC+ against RHPs in his career and will have plenty of run scoringopportunities here. He also has a 16.4 BB% facing RHPs in his career and a 19.7BB% this season against righties – a nice patience complement to his burgeoningpower.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

While he’s not much of a contact/average hitter, Schwarber has been heating up at the plate (2-4 last night with a pair of singles on Wednesday) just in time for his team to be eliminated from the playoffs. Schwarber is hitting .248/.337/.527 with 37 homers, 91 RBI and 80 runs scored in 152 games overall in 2019, and he’s got a great matchup vs. RHP Joe Musgrove.

9/26 DFS Additional StackOptions:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,700 DK, $3,000 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $2,900 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $3,900 FD), Pete Alonso ($5,000 DK,$4,000 FD)

2B: Ian Happ ($4,000 DK, $2,600 FD), Yolmer Sanchez ($2,700 DK) ($2,300FD)

3B: Yoan Moncada ($4,800 DK, $3,500 FD), David Fletcher ($3,900DK, $2,800 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($4,600 DK, $4,200 FD), Jack Mayfield ($2,600 DK, $2,000 FD)

OF: Yordan Alvarez ($5,400 DK, $4,400 FD), Nick Castellanos ($4,600DK, $3,800 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,500 FD), Oscar Mercado ($4,900DK, $3,400 FD), Michael Conforto ($4,600 DK, $3,500 FD), Robbie Grossman, ($3,500DK, $2,400 FD),

5 years ago 0 comments

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Farewell, Wednesday

5 years ago

written by

The 9/25 DFS Hitting Picks is the final Wednesday edition with a main slate filled with strong offensive matchups. Load up here, follow the rest of the WDS crew and count your long green.

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9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Yan Gomes, WAS at PHI

DK ($3,700), FD ($2,600)

Phillies starter Drew Smyly has been owned by Gomes: in 14 at-bats against the Nats’ backstop, Smyly has allowed six hits, including a pair of homers. It also helps that Gomes has homered in each of the past two games and has a .913 OPS during an unsung September that has seen Gomes hit half of his 12 homers this season. Oh: Smyly comes in with a 2.59 HR/9 rate, so there’s that.

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

Ryan O’Hearn, KC vs. ATL

DK ($3,200), FD ($2,300)

Consider this a punt pick with upside. With the Braves pushing Mike Soroka to Sunday’s regular season finale, O’Hearn will face swingman Josh Tomlin. O’Hearn has homered four times this month and sports a .545 slugging percentage. He also has a 41.7% hard contact rate and has quietly raised his walk rate to 10.8%. Certainly, there are better options available, but if you’re looking for cheap power, then O’Hearn’s a good place to start.

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Garrett Hampson, COL at SF

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,800)

Whoa…where did the pop come from? Hampson has homered four times over the past week and has five dingers in a .371/.435/.677 month of swinging. He homered twice in Tuesday’s win at the Giants and is on a run in which Hampson has scored at least once in nine of his last 10 games. His batting average says .253, but Hampson’s September run has boosted his BABIP to .326. Hampson’s fly ball rate of 38.7% has paid off well this month, so why not jump in the fun before it’s too late?

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Jose Ramirez, CLE at CWS

DK ($5,000), FD ($3,600)

In perhaps the biggest surprise since John Cena showed up unexpectedly in the 2008 Royal Rumble, Ramirez made a loud return to the lineup on Tuesday with a pair of homers and seven RBI. Remember when it was thought he’d be lost for the season? Ah, modern medicine. Ramirez had an August OPS of 1.077 before his hand injury and while a repeat of Tuesday is too much in asking, White Sox starter Ross Detwiler does have a 2.73 HR/9 rate. Just pointing it out…

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Trea Turner, WAS vs. PHI

DK ($5,400), FD ($4,400)

Don’t count on Turner to ease up now that the Nationals have clinched a playoff spot. Fourteen of Turner’s 31 hits this month have been for extra bases (nine doubles, five homers), which have been the foundation of his .908 September OPS. Turner’s 7.8% walk rate is modest, but he’s sporting a .347 BABIP while pushing his hard contact rate above average at 37.8%.

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Yasiel Puig, CLE at CWS

DK ($4,500), FD ($3,200)

Puig has yet to homer this month, but has still put on a master class as to why most pundits have been enamored with his skills. Along with driving in 11 runs, Puig has gone .392/.471/.500 this month while adding 14 runs scored. His fly ball rate of 40.4% is a career best, yet Puig is also spraying line drives at a 21.2% clip. He’s also hitting to all fields with consistency and also gets to feast on Ross Detwiler.

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Austin Hays, BAL at TOR

DK ($4,300), FD ($3,000)

Over the past two weeks, Hays has teamed with Trey Mancini to give the O’s a potent duo. He’s batted .320/.382/.640 with four homers and 12 RBI in that span. Hays has also struck out just 14.8% of the time and has caused damage despite a 28% hard contact rate. Even with the small sample size of 55 at-bats, Hays’ .291 Isolated Power will carry well this evening at hitter-friendly Rodgers Centre.

9/25 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aaron Judge, NYY at TB

DK ($4,900), FD ($4,500)

Judge’s bat appears ready for an October run. He’s gone .289/.438/.737 with five homers, seven RBI and 13 runs scored. He’s struggled against the Rays this season (.194 batting average), but let’s throw that out the window. Judge has pushed his Isolated Power to .260, which is helped by the fact his hard contact rate is a very, very loud 53.4%. That rate does more than knock down stop signs.

9/25 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/25 Hitting Stack of the Day: Cleveland Indians: Puig and Ramirez is a great pairing. I’d also consider Roberto Perez ($2800 FD) and Franmil Reyes ($3100 FD) as good bargains to add, yet would consider an all-in by going with Francisco Lindor ($5300 DK).

9/25 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Houston Astros: Mariners starter Yusei Kikuchi has been hammered for 12 runs (10 earned) and 20 hits over 14 innings of work against Houston. I’d build with Alex Bregman ($5200 DK) or Yordan Alvarez ($5500 DK). Aledmys Diaz ($4100 DK) and Abraham Toro ($3600 DK) are value plays if they’re in the lineup.

9/25 Hitting Stack to Consider: Washington Nationals: You can go beyond Gomes and Turner. Howie Kendrick ($2700 FD) and Anthony Rendon ($4200) make for good additions if going all-in.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NFL MLB

9/25 DFS and Betting Winners: MLB Season Winds Down

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Tuesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/25 MLB DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/25 DFS Winner: Yasiel Puig

Premium Gold members had access to the MLB Cheatsheet, as well as other parts of the website as you will see throughout this article and the Slack channel with access to all the DFS Pros. Jason chose Yasiel Puig as a value outfielder on last night’s slate against the divisional-rival Chicago White Sox on the road. Puig had a big night at the plate, going 3-for-3 with two runs and a walk against the White Sox pitching staff.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Cleveland Indians are currently 0.5 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays for the second A.L. Wild Card spot. Yasiel Puig revitalized his season once he was traded to the Indians back at the deadline. In 46 games as an Indian, he has a slash line of .312/.391/.836 and has been a staple in the middle of their order, especially with Jose Ramirez just returning to the lineup. Expect Puig to make some contributions as the Indians battle and could potentially overtake the second Wild Card spot to play in the one-game playoff on the road.

9/25 DFS Winner: Mitch Keller

Here is a screenshot from our FanDuel Pitcher Projection Model. As you can see, Mitch Keller landed outside of the Top 20 probable starting pitchers on the slate yesterday. Keller was on the mound against the division-rival Chicago Cubs five innings of one run ball on seven hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. He picked up a no decision in the effort as well.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Keller has been hit hard in his limited season, posting a 7.13 ERA after this start on 48 innings of work. This was also his third consecutive game of seven strikeouts, proving there is good stuff on his pitches. If Pittsburgh keeps their starting rotation as currently constructed, Keller will pitch the final game of their season against another divisional-rival in Cincinnati. Expect Keller to continue to build on a short season and take this valuable experience to become a better pitcher in 2020.

9/25 Winner: Jordan Thompson

Our very own Phil Naessens wrote this in his Cash with the Flash article. If you wanted to make extra bankroll during the late stages of Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, you would have followed this bet. Jordan Thompson won this matchup in three sets against Vasek Pospisil. This means that he has officially advanced to the round of 16 to face Alexander Bublik tomorrow morning. It was not a dominant performance by any stretch but Thompson won and was the better player in the match.

9/25 DFS Winner: Boston Red Sox Offense

As shown on the MLB Cheatsheet, the Boston Red Sox were a team to stack up players onto your 9/25 DFS lineups. The Red Sox offense scored 12 runs on 14 hits and added four walks as a team against the Texas Rangers in Arlington. This included good games by J.D. Martinez, going 2-for-5 with three RBI and a run scored while Xander Bogaerts 2-for-3 with a walk, two RBI and a run scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The Boston Red Sox have been eliminated from advancing to the postseason. Their team could look a lot different by Opening Day with the potential of Mookie Betts being traded in the offseason. The offense has scored 876 runs this season, which is the fourth most in the majors. Boston’s hitting kept them alive for as long as it can, so with a better season out of their pitchers, expect a better run in 2020.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/3 DFS Hitting Stacks and Picks: It’s Easy to Be Brave

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

Today we’ll be examining a fine 12-game Tuesday 9/3 DFS MLB slate (one without a super-obvious Coors Field game), looking to embrace the variance, find some compelling stacks to focus on in our lineup builds, and list some viable hitters in GPPs – as well as some additional plays that might be worth a punt or contrarian pivot.

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9/3 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

AtlantaBraves vs. Wilmer Font/T.J. Zeuch

The Braves have the highest implied total (6 runs) on the 12-game 7:05 slate, with the Dodgers close behind. Both Font and Zeuch (the proposed primary reliever who’ll be making his MLB debut) are RHPs — so it’s safe to stack the 1-5 hitters as there are no weak links in the bunch. Don’t overthink this one – the Braves have punished RHPs, are a better offense at home this season, and have plenty of value bats if you’re building a non-traditional stack.

LosAngeles Dodgers vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez

The Dodgers have six hitters in their projected lineup with ISOmarks north of .200 against RHP, including some of the best xwOBA marks on the slate(Will Smith at .487 and Cody Bellinger at .446). Feel free to attack Chi Chi’sterrible splits against lefties regardless of the barely beneficial shift awayfrom Coors. Joc Pederson (who you will have to double check on because he leftMonday’s game after a leaping catch at the wall), Corey Seager, Bellinger, A.J.Pollock and Matt Beaty should be the core of this group.

ClevelandIndians vs. Dylan Cease

It’s been a few days, but the Indians bats came alive last night and knocked around Ross Detwiler, and the matchup against Dylan Cease shouldn’t offer too much resistance. Cease is vulnerable to both RHBs and lefties, so it doesn’t really matter which side of the plate your stacked players hit from – just make sure you’re building around a core of Francisco Lindor, Oscar Mercado and Carlos Santana. You have myriad options for additional power bats in the heart of the lineup and a bit further down (Yasiel Puig, Franmil Reyes, Jakob Bauers), so it might be worth it to build some variety if you’re multi-entering in GPPs.

9/3 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Minnesota Twins at Rick Porcello

Boston Red Sox vs. Randy Dobnak

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Matthew Strahm

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Dereck Rodriguez

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Sandy Alcantara

9/3 DFS Hitting Catcher

JasonCastro, MIN at BOS

DK ($3,700) FD($2,400)

We’re looking for some value at catcher given some of the prices of these bigger bats in the stacks we need to fit, and Castro is exactly the type of hitter we’re looking for – a sneaky option with ample power and plenty of bats surrounding him. If the Twins roll out Castro against Porcello, I’d be comfortable with the BvP data (5-for-13 with a HR) and overall against RHP (.476 xwOBA).

9/3 DFS Hitting First Baseman

JoshBell, PIT vs. MIA

DK ($5,100) FD($4,400)

You’re going to get Josh Bell at a very low ownership, and while the $5,100 price seems oppressive, the Pirates still sport a decent implied total and Bell (.426 xwOBA vs. RHP) might fly under the radar in this slate. The Pirates aren’t the safest stack, but Bell stands out as an excellent one-off, especially if you’re steering clear of Freddie Freeman and looking for a more contrarian play.

9/3 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

KoltenWong, STL vs. SF

DK($4,300) FD ($3,100)

Wong is red-hot at the plate, with a seven-game hitting streak and a triple in three straight games (the record is five, by Chief Wilson in 1912). A streaky hitter who’s having an excellent second half (.381/.462/.545 in 42 games since the break), Wong’s got an affordable price tag and could be banging out some more extra base hits from that 2-slot against the Giants.

9/3 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

RafaelDevers, BOS vs. MIN

DK ($5,400) FD($4,100)

Devers and the Red Sox are a formidable stack against just about anyopposing pitcher, but this is an especially tasty matchup with rookie Randy Dobnakon the mound for the Twins. Since Anthony Rendon and Alex Bregman aren’t in idealspots Tuesday, I’m rolling with Devers and his obscene metrics vs. RHP (.429xwOBA, .247 ISO). He’s never far from a run-producing spot and he’s got all theprotection he needs surrounded by the Boston sluggers.

9/3 DFS Hitting Shortstop

AdalbertoMondesi, KC vs. DET

DK ($5,200) FD($3,100)

Mondesiobviously missed being a part of the Royals lineup, because he went 4-for-5with two runs scored and three SB in the Royals’ 6-4 comeback win against theOrioles on Sunday. He’s facing a LHP in Daniel Norris on Tuesday and he’sclearly recovered from his shoulder injury – and while the price on DK issteep, he’s very affordable on FD.

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9/3 DFS Hitting Outfielders

MattJoyce, ATL vs. TOR

DK ($3,900) FD($2,400)

Joyceis a classic value GPP play because of his power potential and assault on RHP(.392 xwOBA). It’s also helpful that both the projected starter and primaryreliever are right handers – which could give him an extra AB or two before he mustface a lefty out of the bullpen or get pulled for a pinch hitter or defensivereplacement. In a search for some bargains to offset the rest of the Bravesstack, Joyce could be a key cog.

MaxKepler, MIN at BOS

DK ($5,300) FD($3,500)

MaxKepler is batting leadoff for one of the top stacks of the day, so he’s definitelya fly ball hitter to build around despite his steep price tag on DraftKings. He’scoming off a 2-for-5 day in a win over Detroit and is slashing .258/.339/.537with 36 home runs and 90 RBI over 127 games in 2019. He’s an excellent roadhitter (.266/.357/.548) and he’s a real bargain on FanDuel at just $3,500.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. SEA

DK ($4,300) FD($3,100)

It’s always a weather-dependent recommendation to use or fade batsin Wrigley, so make sure there’s not a stiff breeze blowing in before youcommit to Schwarber here. The enigmatic Schwarber does his best work at homevs. RHP (125 wRC+ in 2019, .250/.355/.545 slash), and while he’s not the besthitter in high leverage spots (65 wRC+), that’s a figure that’s bound toimprove. King Felix is not the pitcher he once was, and it’s a fine spot forlefty mashers against him.

Additional 9/3 DFS hitting options (by position):

C: Carson Kelly, Chris Herrmann (value)

1B: Anthony Rizzo, Matt Olson

2B: Brock Holt (value), Eduardo Escobar

3B: Matt Carpenter, Abraham Toro

SS: Corey Seager, Nick Ahmed

OF: Matt Beaty, Dexter Fowler, Nick Castellanos, Adam Jones. Franmil Reyes, Oscar Mercado

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/28 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 8/28 MLB DFS review and look ahead.

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8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Patrick Corbin

It’s not often a losing pitcher will appear in these articles but Corbin was solid. As Wes Anderson chose him on our Premium Gold Cheatsheet, Corbin was not the biggest starting pitcher on the slate. However, he went seven innings of two runs on four hits with nine strikeouts and did not allow a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: The biggest free agent pitcher from the offseason, Corbin has been incredible this year. Expect him to continue to give the Nationals at least five solid innings a game and rack up at least one strikeout an inning.

8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Yasiel Puig

As you can see from the cheatsheet, Wes chose another player that had a good game in Puig. Against the Tigers, he went 2-for-4 with two doubles, a run, a RBI and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Yasiel Puig has been great since he joined the Cleveland Indians at the Trade Deadline about a month ago. He is slashing .298/ .372/ .476 in the 22 games in the American League. Look for him to provide some big moments for the Indians as they battle for the A.L. Central crown.

8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Brett Gardner

This screenshot is from the Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium members to access. This screenshot is the 76th through 100th highest projected output on the slate. Gardner was 99th overall (102nd in DraftKings Projection). Against the Seattle Mariners, Gardner went 1-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and a walk.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Even as the longest-tenured Yankee on the roster, Gardner is contributing well with the absence of Aaron Hicks and Giancarlo Stanton. Now up to 18 HRs on the year, second most in his career, he is having a great season. He also has an .818 OPS, a career high thus far. Expect him to continue to swing a great bat until Aaron Hicks and/or Giancarlo Stanton makes it back.

8/28 MLB DFS Winner: Yordan Alvarez

Even in a 15-1 victory, Yordan Alvarez seemed to be the best player on the Houston Astros last night, going 3-for-5 with a double, a pair of homers and four RBI against Charlie Morton and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Call it what you will with the obscene amount of home runs hit this season, but Alvarez is hitting at an incredible rate. He has 21 HRs in just 219 at-bats or one every 10.4 at-bats. Put that across a full season and he will have around 50 hits over the outfield wall. He’s a huge power hitter that can thrive off expanded rosters.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/16 DFS Hitting Picks

5 years ago

written by

As usual, it’s a full slate on Friday. So long as you avoid A’s and Angels bats, there’s plenty to like. The 8/16 DFS Hitting Picks are going to be strong, due in part to an abundance of hitter’s parks hosting games tonight.

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8/16 DFS Hitting Catcher

Danny Jansen, TOR vs. SEA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,100)

Jansen has games of 25.70 and 34.60 FanDuel points over the past week and put up a reasonable 9.50 points in his last appearance on Wednesday. He’s batting .323/.364/.645 (1.009 OPS) this month and gets to spend the weekend at home in hitter-happy Rogers Centre, where his 44% hard contact rate and 37.8% fly ball rate is coming into a more consistent focus. It’s a low-risk investment, but with the way Jansen is hitting, run with it.

8/16 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Jose Abreu, CWS at LAA

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,800)

He’ll bid for a fourth straight multi-hit game after swatting a pair of homers in Thursday’s loss to the Angels, giving him his fourth game this month of at least 30 FanDuel points. Abreu’s .219 Isolated Power and .310 BABIP are ahead of last year’s numbers as he comes into Friday with a 1.091 OPS with four homers and 11 RBI this month. The scary good part about Abreu is that his HR/FB rate of 22% is his best since his rookie season in 2014 when it was at 26.9%.

8/16 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Marwin Gonzalez, MIN at TEX

DK ($3,500) FD ($3,100)

We’re in the middle of the Marwin Zone, as last night’s four-hit outing in the series opener at the Rangers marked his fourth multi-hit game in his last five starts. He’s given DraftKings users games of 23 and 20 points this week during his current run, which also seen him produce a 1.250 OPS over the last seven days.

Facing Mike Minor is a tough task, but Gonzalez has a .799 OPS against lefties, a considerable difference from his .719 mark versus right-handers. His fly ball rate is down, but his hard contact rate (41.6%) is a career best.

8/16 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Kyle Seager, SEA at TOR

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,500)

We can’t all put up 69 DraftKings points every day, but Seager did add 22.70 on Thursday, his fourth 20-plus effort at DK this month. Somewhere over the past month, Seagar began to remember he was a former All-Star and began to hit like one, coming into Friday with a nine-game hit streak and a two-week run of .368/.455/.816 with a 1.271 OPS.

His .257 BABIP screams rat’s luck, but Seager has quietly taken his Isolated Power rate to .225, which is on par with his career year of 2016 (30 homers) and tells me there’s plenty of sock left in his current run. Being in Rogers Centre isn’t a bad place for someone with a 45.7% fly ball rate.

8/16 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Amed Rosario, NYM at KC

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,500)

Rosario has nine hits in his last 11 at-bats, including two doubles and a triple. He’s quietly been a force of nature behind the Mets’ remarkable run, having hit .383/.393/.533 over the last two weeks with a .926 OPS.

His 20.9% line drive rate is going to play well in spacious Kauffman Stadium, but what makes Rosario more of a value play is that his hard contact rate of 34.7% is nearly 75% better than his 2018 rate, so don’t be surprised if Rosario continues stringing extra base hits in the manner he has since the All-Star Break (eight doubles, three triples, three homers).

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8/16 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Yasiel Puig, CLE at NYY

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,100)

Puig didn’t partake in Cleveland’s seven-homer feast on Thursday but did have two hits to contribute to the Indians’ historic beatdown of the Yankees. He’s done right by his FanDuel users, having produced four games of least 15.70 points in his last five, including Thursday’s 16.20 effort. His bat has been blistering since arriving to Cleveland, as Puig has a .362/.412/.553 (.965 OPS) slash since hopping from Cincinnati.

Don’t bank on another 24-hit assault from the Indians, but do count on Puig getting some love off Masahiro Tanaka.

8/16 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Kevin Pillar, SF at ARI

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

Look, it’s not like I’m trying to buy Greenland or anything, so the thought of adding a Giants bat in the lineup doesn’t sound that mad. After all, look what Evan Longoria did for those who followed my suggestion on Thursday. Pillar has an 1.108 OPS the past two weeks and gets a favorable matchup in Mike Leake, who comes off allowing eight runs and 10 hits in five forgettable innings against the Dodgers in his last start.

Opponents are batting .289 against Leake, who also has a 1.89 HR/9 rate. The value of playing Pillar will be higher in FanDuel than in DraftKings.

8/16 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Bryan Reynolds, PIT vs. CHC

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,600)

Although his .413 BABIP feels fluky, let’s be straight: Reynolds can hit. His .202 Isolated Power strongly suggests he’ll reach 20 homers, yet it’s also help carry a white-hot bat that’s gone .404/.491/.795 (1.236 OPS) this month. You do have to like the hard contact rate (47.5%), and FanDuel users should be pleased to know he’s got five games of at least 18.70 FD points this month that include three straight games this week. In most years, Reynolds would be a strong Rookie of the Year candidate, but he’ll have to settle for an “Also Starring” role compared to the rest of the 2019 crop.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/2 MLB DFS Hitting Picks

Ethan Thiel 5 years ago

written by Ethan Thiel

There are a lot of great spots for bats in 8/2 MLB DFS Hitting so I will help narrow it down to my favorite high end and value bats. I’ve purposely left out Coors Field bats since we already know the drill there. Play them if you can get to them.

Top Bats:

Max Kepler ($4,400 FD). Kepler has a 0.295 ISO against Righties this season and will likely be batting leadoff for a team with implied run total approaching seven. He has faced Sparkman seven times and has hit the ball hard off of him including a home run.

Jorge Polanco ($3,700 FD). Jorge Polanco is next on my 8/2 MLB DFS Hitting list with a 0.242 ISO against right handing pitching this season and gets the same advantage as Kepler with the Kansas City bullpen. Not only is Glenn Sparkman a below average starting Major League pitcher, the bullpen tgives up 39.5% hard contact.

Cavan Biggio ($3,600 FD). Biggio gets a nice 8/2 MLB DFS Hitting matchup today against the O’s tonight. I like all of the “kids” from Toronto because they get my three favorite things in a matchup. They get the ballpark upgrade, guaranteed ninth inning at bats, and a weak bullpen. Biggio has a 0.246 ISO facing left handed pitching and Brooks gives up 42.6% hard contact and a 0.268 ISO to lefties.

Toronto is my favorite stack of the night with Minnesota being a very close second. There are many ways to go with pitching tonight so you can fit multiple high end bats in your 8/2 MLB DFS Hitting lineups tonight

Top Value Bats:

Yasiel Puig ($2,900 FD). Puig will get to face lefty Dillion Peters tonight and will likely bat cleanup. He has a 0.212 ISO against lefties and Peters gives up 42.9% hard contact and gives up a 0.289 ISO to righties. If I am paying up for pitching tonight, I am looking to the other value bats from this lineup as well. Franmil Reyes ($2,800 FD) and Jordan Luplow ($2,500 FD) also hit lefties hard and should do some damage as 8/2 MLB DFS Hitting Picks.

Eloy Jimenez ($2,800 FD). Jimenez has a 0.227 ISO against lefties and gets a matchup with Jason Vargas in a hitter’s park. Vargas throws his changeup 40% of the time and Jimenez has 0.250 ISO against that pitch type. Look for him to take one out of the park tonight.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting and Prop Picks for 7/24: Bryce is Nice and the Moose is Loose

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

There are games spread all throughout the day and that makes for a fascinating MLB DFS slate. That’s why I’ll provide plays throughout the day, to cater to all of you who want to play at different times. Luckily, there’s not a whole lot of weather in the forecast, which is huge considering we’ve already had a postponement earlier this week.

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Catcher

Carson Kelly, ARI vs. BAL

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,600)

Kelly is a hidden gem for MLB DFS and we have to love him against a pitching staff like this. Not only do the Orioles rank last in total ERA, they’re also well on their way to shattering the MLB record for most home runs allowed. While they’ll be throwing out their best pitcher, it happens to put the platoon advantage in Kelly’s favor. The slugging catcher currently has a .380 AVG, .475 OBP, .760 SLG and 1.235 OPS against left-handers so far this season. John Means is a pitcher definitely due for regression too, as his xFIP is 2.40 runs higher than his ERA.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC at SF

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,400)

Rizzo might be the hottest hitter in MLB DFS right now and we simply can’t avoid him. Not only does Rizzo enter this matchup in the midst of 13-game hitting streak, he’s also providing a .478 AVG and 1.293 OPS in that span. It’s quietly one of the best hitting stretches of the season and it’s a wonder why he’s not getting more publicity. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage in his favor against Tyler Beede, who’s pitching to a 4.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP this season. Rizzo also has a .418 OBP, .578 SLG and .989 OPS against right-handers this season, if you needed any more incentive.

Second Base

Max Muncy, LAD vs. LAA

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,100)

Picking a second baseman always hurts my soul but Muncy is always a reliable choice at this weak position. Since joining the Dodgers last season, Muncy has an ISO just shy of .300 while posting a wOBA in the .400-range. That’s backed up by a .565 SLG and .947 OPS, as Muncy is simply one of the best power bats in the game. He’s actually in the midst of yet another power surge, homering nine times in his last 19 games. All that doesn’t even take into consideration that he gets the platoon advantage against Jaime Barria’s 7.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP.

Third Base

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. CIN

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

Moustakas is one of the best third basemen in MLB DFS and it’s a wonder why he’s priced so reasonably. The talented slugger is actually in the midst of his best season, setting career-highs with a .548 SLG and .886 OPS. Those numbers are obviously fantastic and it says a lot about how much he’s developed his game. The Moose is raking right now too, hitting .313 over his last 12 games while generating a .953 OPS in that span. The icing on the cake is this matchup is against Lucas Sims, who’s just coming up from the minors and has a 5.75 career ERA and 5.18 career xFIP.

Shortstop

Trea Turner, WSH vs. COL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,900)

While the Nationals are going to play a doubleheader here, we’re going to focus on the supreme matchup against Kyle Freeland. This guy has been absolute trash for my Rockies this season, pitching to a 7.62 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. That obviously puts many of the Nationals bats in play, especially a guy like Turner. The speedy shortstop currently has a .365 OBP and .795 OPS against left-handers dating back to the start of last season and that’s all you can ask for from a guy who’s likely to steal a bag if he gets on base. Getting to hit atop this lineup is what intrigues me most though, with Washington projected for more than five runs in this game. Not to mention, Turner hit for the cycle against this terrible pitching staff on Tuesday.

Outfield

Bryce Harper, PHI at DET

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,100)

Harper got off to a slow start with his new club but we love this matchup and recent form. Over his last 20 games. Harper gas collected four homers, 16 RBI and 12 walks en route to a .404 OBP and .951 OPS. That’s the stud we’ve been waiting for and not making the All-Star team clearly lit a fire under him. What makes him enticing here is this matchup against Jordan Zimmermann, who’s 7.51 ERA and 1.69 WHIP makes him one of the worst pitchers in the league. That also puts the platoon advantage in Harper’s favor, which is scary since he has a career .250 ISO, .394 wOBA and .400 OBP against right-handed pitching.

Garrett Cooper, MIA at CWS

DK ($4,700) FD ($2,900)

Cooper has been a sneaky beast and people need to take notice of his stellar play. A .309 average speaks loudly in its own right, but he’s also got an .884 OPS to match it. The simple fact is, these MLB DFS sites are overlooking that this guy is on the Marlins. This is the most underutilized team in DFS and all of their prices will remain low no matter what. Getting to face Reynaldo Lopez is why I love him today, with the White Sox righty pitching to a 5.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season.

Yasiel Puig, CIN at MIL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,300)

Puig has been a different player the last two months and FanDuel simply hasn’t priced him up enough. Over his last 32 games, Puig is hitting .356 en route to a 1.156 OPS. That means this price should be much higher on both sites and it’s a wonder why he remains in this price range. Facing Jhoulys Chacin is obviously a huge plus too, with the Milwaukee righty pitching to a 5.67 ERA and 1.53 WHIP this season.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Noah Syndergaard Over 5.5 Strikeouts and Dinelson Lamet over 4.5 Strikeouts

Play these props together or separately but they really surprised me. Syndergaard is especially friendly, as I expect him to clear this prop by the fifth inning. We’re talking about a guy with a 28 percent K rate facing a righty-heavy lineup that ranks 28th in K rate. Lamet is quite the strikeout king himself, posting a 29 percent career K rate while pitching against the 18th-ranked offense.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Top Daily Fantasy Sports Hitters and Stacks for July 14th

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Let’s take a look at some of the MLB Daily Fantasy Sports Top Plays and Stacks for Sunday, July 14th.

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Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Marcus Stroman

FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,300

The Yankees’ catcher has a .316 ISO versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez also has a .359 wOBA against righties. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one.

Value:

Jason Castro

FanDuel: $2,600

Tony Wolters

DraftKings: $2,900

First Base –Joey Votto vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,300

Votto has a .330 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. And now he faces a below league average pitcher in Senzatela in Coors Field.

Value:

Tyler White

FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $2,700

Second Base – Scooter Gennett vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700

Scooter is in a smash spot on Sunday. If he can’t go, plugin teammate Derek Dietrich. Dietrich has a .350 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Value:

Franklin Barreto

FanDuel: $2,100

Robinson Cano

DraftKings: $3,000

Third Base – Eugenio Suarez vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,000

The Reds’ third baseman has a .231 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Value:

Giovanny Urshela

FanDuel: $2,900

Marwin Gonzalez

DraftKings: $3,700

Shortstop – Alex Bregman vs. Ariel Jurado

FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $4,900

Bregman has a .934 OPS and a .393 wOBA against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Brandon Crawford

FanDuel: $2,400

Jose Iglesias

DraftKings: $3,200

Outfield – Charlie Blackmon vs. Tyler Mahle

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,400

Blackmon is crushing right-handed pitching this season. He has a 1.068 OPS and a .437 wOBA against righties in 2019.

Outfield – Yasiel Puig vs. Antonio Senzatela

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300

Puig has a .235 ISO against right-handed pitching this season.

Outfield – Yordan Alvarez vs. Ariel Jurado

FanDuel: $4,200 Draftkings: $5,200

Alvarez owns a 1.187 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2019. He also adds a 209 wRC+ against righties.

Value:

Marwin Gonzalez

FanDuel: $2,500

Josh Reddick

FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $3,600

Jesse Winker

DraftKings: $4,000

Top Stacks

Tampa Bay Rays:

The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff is a mess. They own a league-high 5.78 ERA, while also allowing a league-high 172 home runs. And now the pitching staff is coming off a doubleheader on Saturday, so you know it’s going to be ugly today. The Rays, who have scored double-digit runs in two of three already this weekend from Baltimore, are in a great spot to capitalize again today as well as carry your DFS lineups into the green.

Kansas City Royals:

The Tigers’ Jordan Zimmerman will face the Royals on Sunday. Zimmerman owns a 5.34 SIERA and a 5.43 xFIP on the season so he should be no match for the Royals’ offense. The Royals could be a sneaky play on Sunday for your DFS lineups.

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Giants’ Tyler Beede has struggled in 2019. He has a 5.37 SIERA and a 5.24 xFIP this season. The San Francisco pitcher also is allowing a 41.8% hard contact rate and 1.61 HR/9. The Brewers have five regulars in their lineup that have greater than a .200 ISO versus righties. Milwaukee should have no problem putting up runs in this one and helping you win some cash in DFS.

Houston Astros:

The Astros’ offense has come alive in this series against Texas and we should expect more of the same on Sunday. The Rangers’ Ariel Jurado has a 4.73 SIERA and is allowing a 43.5% hard contact rate. Houston’s everyday lineup consists of five players with ISOs over .200 so look for another big day from the Astros’ lineup in this one. Be sure you get an Astros’ stack or two in your DFS lineups.

Los Angeles Angels:

The Angels’ offense has come out blazing here in the second half. And there is no reason to believe that stops today as they face Seattle’s Yusei Kikuchi. The Mariners’ pitcher has a 5.09 SIERA and a low 9.1% swinging-strike rate. He also is allowing 1.74 HR/9. You will want some Angels’ exposure in your DFS entries on Sunday.

Oakland Athletics:

The White Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez is a target for DFS stacking anytime he takes the bump. He has a 5.12 SIERA and is allowing flyballs at a 47.1% clip. The high amount of flyballs has led to him allowing 2.11 HR/9.

Game Stack

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies:

Any time Las Vegas pins a 14 on a game total you are going to want some action from that game in your DFS lineup. This one is no different. Target as many Rockies and Reds in your entries as possible.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 6/17: Don’t Dodge Dodgers

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

We’ve been killing it with our Monkey Knife Fight picks and these articles are a major reason why. Breaking down a slate is key in order to make the correct decisions when picking props and these articles truly help to whittle away any bad plays. With that in mind, there are a couple of teams we absolutely love on this slate and the ballclub we’re really going to key in on is the Dodgers!

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Catcher

Jonathan Lucroy, LAA at TOR

DK ($3,300) FD ($2,700)

If you’ve read my articles, you know that I pay up or punt the catcher position. For this slate, we’re going to punt and go with Lucroy. While the Angels catcher has struggled recently, he’s still providing a .678 OPS for the season. That’s by no means a special number but it’s all you can ask for from a catcher who remains so cheap. What makes him intriguing on this slate is his matchup with Edwin Jackson. The Blue Jays righty is pitching to a 10.22 ERA and 2.03 WHIP this season, which simply puts all of the Angels bats in play.

First Base

Max Muncy, LAD vs. SF

DK ($5,000) FD ($3,700)

Muncy has been one of the best power hitters in the Majors since joining the Dodgers and it’s impossible not to like him in a matchup like this. Since joining Los Angeles, Muncy has a .567 SLG, .300 ISO and .952 OPS. A large amount of those special numbers have come against right-handers, with Muncy generating a .393 OBP and .965 OPS in that span. The matchup is superb too, and we’ll go over Tyler Beede’s ugly numbers later in the article.

Second Base

Whit Merrifield, KC at SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,600)

Finding a second baseman is easily the toughest thing to do on this slate but Merrifield makes a fantastic value on both sites. This is a guy who’s typically $4,000 on FD and $5,000 on DK and it’s hard to understand why his price has dropped. Over his last 17 games, Merrifield is hitting .348 while averaging more than 10 FD points per game. That hot stretch becomes particularly enticing against a lefty, with Merrifield posting a .338 AVG and .869 OPS against southpaws so far this season

Third Base

Manny Machado, SD vs. MIL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

Machado is starting to get hot and now’s the time to hop on the train while his price remains so low. This is a perennial All-Star whose typically $500 more on each site and recent results show just why. Over his last four games, Machado is 10-for-19 at the plate while collecting three homers, 10 runs scored and six RBI in that span. That’s a lot of positive regression hitting quickly and it could continue against Jhoulys Chacin, who’s pitching to a 5.74 ERA and 1.48 WHIP so far this season.

Shortstop

Adalberto Mondesi, KC at SEA

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,700)

Let’s keep our mini Royals stack going with Mondesi. What’s really bizarre about this guy is the fact that these DFS sites continue to undervalue him. We’re talking about a player whose Top 10 in total fantasy points since the All-Star break last season and he’s not being priced like that. Any guy averaging 13 FD points per game should be well above $4,000 and there are simply not many players who can match his upside. Getting the platoon advantage in his favor only adds to his value, with Mondesi posting an OPS north of .800 and a SLG just shy of .500 against lefties since last year’s All-Star break.

Outfield

Cody Bellinger/Joc Pederson, LAD vs. SF

DK ($5,700) FD ($4.700)/DK ($4,600) FD ($3,200)

We left a little bit of foreshadowing in the Muncy write-up about this matchup, as we absolutely love the Dodgers on this slate. The reason for that is because they face Tyler Beede, who’s pitching to an 8.06 ERA and 2.06 WHIP this season. That’s why the Dodgers are projected for five runs, which should be higher in my opinion. Getting a matchup like this puts all of these talented lefties squarely in play and that’s a scary thought from such a potent lineup. Joc Pederson is definitely the value play of the bunch, as he’s been stellar as the leadoff hitter for the Dodgers. In fact, Joc has all 18 of his dingers against righties so far this season, accruing a .976 OPS against them. Bellinger’s numbers speak for themselves, with the slugging outfielder ranking either first or second in BA, SLG, RBI, OBP and OPS. Don’t be afraid to stack all of these guys together.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. BAL

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,600)

Davis might be my favorite per-dollar play on the board. The reason for that is because he’s getting hot and when Davis starts heating up, you use him! Over his last seven games, Davis has three homers and six RBI. That’s the power hitter we’ve become accustomed to, with Davis leading the league in home runs since 2015. His ISO is actually approaching .300 in that span too, and that further shows just how much power this dude possesses. Facing Andrew Cashner is the finishing touch, with the Baltimore righty pitching to a 4.60 ERA and 1.46 WHIP dating back to 2016 while providing a nightmare HR rate.

Yasiel Puig, CIN vs. HOU

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,000)

Puig is a personal favorite of mine and he’s been great to me in these articles. While his .223 AVG is nothing to write home about, this guy just continues to provide fantasy points. He has 13 homers, nine steals and 37 RBI. Those are elite counting statistics and it always puts him in play at this sort of price. What I like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Wade Miley, with Puig posting an .895 OPS against lefties so far this season.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Max Muncy, Joc Pederson and Cody Bellinger over 5.5 runs+RBI

This play really doesn’t take a whole lot of explanation after my write-ups. The simple fact is, I think the Dodgers are going to approach double-digit runs here. These lefties will surely play a huge factor in that, especially against a guy with an 8.06 ERA and WHIP above 2.00.

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Mike Trout over 1.5 hits+walks

I didn’t include Trout in the write-up because it was simply too easy of a pick. We’re talking about the best player in baseball facing a guy with an ERA above 10.00 and a WHIP north of 2.00. That alone makes Trout a great play, but the MVP candidate is also leading the Majors with an absurd .453 OBP. He’ll get on base at least twice

5 years ago 0 comments

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