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Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 6/17: Don’t Dodge Dodgers

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We’ve been killing it with our Monkey Knife Fight picks and these articles are a major reason why. Breaking down a slate is key in order to make the correct decisions when picking props and these articles truly help to whittle away any bad plays. With that in mind, there are a couple of teams we absolutely love on this slate and the ballclub we’re really going to key in on is the Dodgers!

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Catcher  

Jonathan Lucroy, LAA at TOR 

DK ($3,300)   FD ($2,700) 

If you’ve read my articles, you know that I pay up or punt the catcher position. For this slate, we’re going to punt and go with Lucroy. While the Angels catcher has struggled recently, he’s still providing a .678 OPS for the season. That’s by no means a special number but it’s all you can ask for from a catcher who remains so cheap. What makes him intriguing on this slate is his matchup with Edwin Jackson. The Blue Jays righty is pitching to a 10.22 ERA and 2.03 WHIP this season, which simply puts all of the Angels bats in play. 

First Base  

Max Muncy, LAD vs. SF 

DK ($5,000)   FD ($3,700) 

Muncy has been one of the best power hitters in the Majors since joining the Dodgers and it’s impossible not to like him in a matchup like this. Since joining Los Angeles, Muncy has a .567 SLG, .300 ISO and .952 OPS. A large amount of those special numbers have come against right-handers, with Muncy generating a .393 OBP and .965 OPS in that span. The matchup is superb too, and we’ll go over Tyler Beede’s ugly numbers later in the article. 

Second Base  

Whit Merrifield, KC at SEA 

DK ($4,500)   FD ($3,600) 

Finding a second baseman is easily the toughest thing to do on this slate but Merrifield makes a fantastic value on both sites. This is a guy who’s typically $4,000 on FD and $5,000 on DK and it’s hard to understand why his price has dropped. Over his last 17 games, Merrifield is hitting .348 while averaging more than 10 FD points per game. That hot stretch becomes particularly enticing against a lefty, with Merrifield posting a .338 AVG and .869 OPS against southpaws so far this season

Third Base 

Manny Machado, SD vs. MIL 

DK ($4,500)   FD ($3,500) 

Machado is starting to get hot and now’s the time to hop on the train while his price remains so low. This is a perennial All-Star whose typically $500 more on each site and recent results show just why. Over his last four games, Machado is 10-for-19 at the plate while collecting three homers, 10 runs scored and six RBI in that span. That’s a lot of positive regression hitting quickly and it could continue against Jhoulys Chacin, who’s pitching to a 5.74 ERA and 1.48 WHIP so far this season.  

Shortstop 

Adalberto Mondesi, KC at SEA 

DK ($4,500)   FD ($3,700) 

Let’s keep our mini Royals stack going with Mondesi. What’s really bizarre about this guy is the fact that these DFS sites continue to undervalue him. We’re talking about a player whose Top 10 in total fantasy points since the All-Star break last season and he’s not being priced like that. Any guy averaging 13 FD points per game should be well above $4,000 and there are simply not many players who can match his upside. Getting the platoon advantage in his favor only adds to his value, with Mondesi posting an OPS north of .800 and a SLG just shy of .500 against lefties since last year’s All-Star break. 

Outfield 

Cody Bellinger/Joc Pederson, LAD vs. SF 

DK ($5,700)  FD ($4.700)/DK ($4,600)  FD ($3,200) 

We left a little bit of foreshadowing in the Muncy write-up about this matchup, as we absolutely love the Dodgers on this slate. The reason for that is because they face Tyler Beede, who’s pitching to an 8.06 ERA and 2.06 WHIP this season. That’s why the Dodgers are projected for five runs, which should be higher in my opinion. Getting a matchup like this puts all of these talented lefties squarely in play and that’s a scary thought from such a potent lineup. Joc Pederson is definitely the value play of the bunch, as he’s been stellar as the leadoff hitter for the Dodgers. In fact, Joc has all 18 of his dingers against righties so far this season, accruing a .976 OPS against them. Bellinger’s numbers speak for themselves, with the slugging outfielder ranking either first or second in BA, SLG, RBI, OBP and OPS.  Don’t be afraid to stack all of these guys together.

Khris Davis, OAK vs. BAL 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,600) 

Davis might be my favorite per-dollar play on the board. The reason for that is because he’s getting hot and when Davis starts heating up, you use him! Over his last seven games, Davis has three homers and six RBI. That’s the power hitter we’ve become accustomed to, with Davis leading the league in home runs since 2015. His ISO is actually approaching .300 in that span too, and that further shows just how much power this dude possesses. Facing Andrew Cashner is the finishing touch, with the Baltimore righty pitching to a 4.60 ERA and 1.46 WHIP dating back to 2016 while providing a nightmare HR rate. 

Yasiel Puig, CIN vs. HOU 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,000) 

Puig is a personal favorite of mine and he’s been great to me in these articles. While his .223 AVG is nothing to write home about, this guy just continues to provide fantasy points. He has 13 homers, nine steals and 37 RBI. Those are elite counting statistics and it always puts him in play at this sort of price. What I like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Wade Miley, with Puig posting an .895 OPS against lefties so far this season. 

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

Max Muncy, Joc Pederson and Cody Bellinger over 5.5 runs+RBI 

This play really doesn’t take a whole lot of explanation after my write-ups. The simple fact is, I think the Dodgers are going to approach double-digit runs here. These lefties will surely play a huge factor in that, especially against a guy with an 8.06 ERA and WHIP above 2.00. 

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Mike Trout over 1.5 hits+walks 

I didn’t include Trout in the write-up because it was simply too easy of a pick. We’re talking about the best player in baseball facing a guy with an ERA above 10.00 and a WHIP north of 2.00. That alone makes Trout a great play, but the MVP candidate is also leading the Majors with an absurd .453 OBP.  He’ll get on base at least twice

I've been playing fantasy sports since I was 12, which means I've been playing for over half of my life. I love DFS and season-long formats and have been writing for nearly a decade. I started my writing career at RotoWire and currently write for FantasyPros, Rotoballer, Razzball and DFSR. I cover NBA, MLB and NFL and follow all major sports. I generally cover primarily DFS but I also do game previews, recaps, player write-ups, injury updates etc.

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