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William Byron

NASCAR DFS | Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 Picks

FanDuel NASCAR DFS | Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only.

Follow jmo on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

THE SLATE

NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway in Speedway, Indiana.

This race is 160-laps, or 400-miles, on this 2.5-mile track.

The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, and Justin Allgaier.

THE PICKS | FanDuel

FRONTRUNNERS

NOTE: Roster the race winner.

KEVIN HARVICK, DENNY HAMLIN, RYAN BLANEY

Additional options: Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, Martin Truex, Kyle Busch

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

NOTE: Roster drivers that provide positive place-differential points and a strong finishing position.

ERIK JONES, CHRISTOPHER BELL, CLINT BOWYER, WILLIAM BYRON

Additional options: Ryan Preece, Michael McDowell, Cole Custer, Matt Kenseth, Chris Buescher, Ryan Newman, Matt DiBenedetto, Ricky Stenhouse, Bubba Wallace

STARTING TOO HIGH

NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.

The following drivers are starting to high (increasing their potential for negative-place differential) and/or do not appear likely to hit value:

Justin Allgaier, Alex Bowman, Tyler Reddick, Austin Dillon, John Nemechek, Ty Dillon, and Daniel Suarez.

Drivers that may not be attractive plays on FanDuel, can be better plays on DraftKings. Check out WinDaily’s DraftKings article for today:

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series 7/5/20 by Matt Vecchio.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

NOTE: Only roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.

The following drivers are not expected to finish on the lead lap:

Ross Chastain, Quin Houff, Brennan Poole, Joey Gase, Timmy Hill, BJ McLeod, JJ Yeley, Garrett Smithley, and Josh Bilicki.

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT INDIANAPOLIS

The last time out at Indianapolis (September 8, 2019), Harvick took the checkered flag, followed by Logano, Wallace, Byron, Bowyer, Hamlin, Blaney, Newman, and Elliott.

Harvick recorded the most laps led with 118. Blaney led 19 laps, Logano led 11 laps, and Byron and Chastain each led a lap.

Harvick also recorded the most fastest-laps with 43. Kurt Busch recorded 18, Blaney recorded 13, Hamlin recorded 5, Wallace recorded 4, Kyle Busch recorded 3, Logano, Byron, Bowman, Truex, and Bilicki each recorded 2, and Elliott, McDowell, DiBenedetto, and, Stenhouse each recorded a fastest-lap.

The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Big Machine Vodka 400 included Hamlin, Harvick, Byron, Newman, and Wallace with a total of 316.9 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $5,000 to $14,000 and left $500 salary remaining.

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

The last two Cup Series races were at a two-and-a-half-mile track, Pocono Raceway.

The 2020 Pocono Organics 325 (Saturday, June 27, 2020) optimal lineup included Harvick, Hamlin, Almirola, Bell, and McDowell (293.4, $49,000).

The 2020 Pocono 350 (Sunday, June 28, 2020) optimal lineup included Hamlin, Jones, Bowyer, Almirola, and DiBenedetto (297.30, $49,500).

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

Race winners during the 2020 Cup Series:

Hamlin (4), Harvick (3), Keselowski (2), Logano (2), Blaney, Elliott, Truex, Bowman

Top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series:

Hamlin (9), Harvick (8), Blaney (7), Elliott (7), Kyle Busch (7), Keselowski (5), Almirola (4), Jones (4), Logano (3), Kurt Busch (3), Stenhouse (3), Truex (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Reddick, Buescher, Bell

Top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series:

Harvick (12), Hamlin (10), Keselowski (10), Elliott (9), Kurt Busch (9), Kyle Busch (8), Truex (8), Blaney (7), Almirola (7), Jones (6), Logano (6), Bowman (5), Bowyer (5), Byron (5), DiBenedetto (4), Austin Dillon (4), Buescher (4), Bell (4), Stenhouse (3), Reddick (3), Wallace (2), Nemechek (2), McDowell, Newman, Custer, LaJoie, Ty Dillon, Kenseth

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

RESOURCES

The starting line up is available here.
Pit stall selections are available here.
Driver rankings are available here.
Race results for the last time out at Indianapolis are available here.
Loop data for the last time out at Indianapolis is available here.

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS 2020 Pocono Organics 325 | Cup Series

Jacob Nelson 4 years ago

written by Jacob Nelson

THE SLATE

The following NASCAR DFS 2020 Pocono Organics 325 FanDuel picks are intended for GPP purposes.

Aric Almirola leads the way today at the Pocono Organics 325 in Long Pond, Pennsylvania. Lock for this slate is at 3:30 pm ET.

This 325-mile race will take 130-laps to complete at this 2.5-mile, triangle track.

THE PICKS

FRONTRUNNERS

Martin Truex, Kevin Harvick, Chase Elliott

Additional options: Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, Alex Bowman, Jimmie Johnson

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

Christopher Bell, Erik Jones

Additional options: Clint Bowyer, William Byron, Matt DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Matt Kenseth, Ty Dillon, Daniel Suarez, Michael McDowell, Ryan Preece, Chris Buescher, Bubba Wallace, Ricky Stenhouse, Tyler Reddick

STARTING TOO HIGH

Ryan Newman, John Nemechek, and Cole Custer offer a less attractive upside given their starting positions.

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

Roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap, and avoid rostering Joey Gase, Garrett Smithley, Quin Houff, JJ Yeley, Timmy Hill, BJ McLeod, Josh Bilicki, Brennan Poole, James Davison, and Corie Lajoie.

“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs

Follow jmo on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.

Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your NASCAR DFS 2020 Pocono Organics 325 FanDuel picks.

RESOURCES

Starting lineup and pit stall assignments for Saturday’s Cup Series race, the Pocono Organics 325.

2019 Gander RV 400 (7.28.19): Race results, loop data, and video

2019 Pocono 400 (6.2.19): Race results, loop data, and video

2018 Gander Outdoors (7.29.18): Race results, loop data, and video

2018 Pocono 400 (6.3.18): Race results, loop data, and video

2017 Overton’s 400 (7.30.17): Race results, loop data, and video

2017 Pocono 400 (6.11.17): Race results, loop data, and video

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: Dixie Vodka 400

Chris Bouchard 4 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

We move to Miami this week for the Dixie Vodka 400 at HOMESTEAD-MIAMI SPEEDWAY This is another 1.5 mile track that has been racing since 1995. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch are the only active, multiple winners of this event with two each, but several drivers have tasted victory. Roush-Fenway Racing and Joe Gibbs Racing lead all owners with 7 wins each, and Ford leads manufactures with 8 wins as Toyota and Chevrolet each have 5.

Once again we had no qualifying and the starting positions were drawn using owner’s points. I am really getting tired of this format as you can’t get a sense of a driver’s speed with out seeing them on the track. I still think caution is the best plan of attack until we get back to normal, but if your using max lineups, this is not as important.

Denny Hamlin is on the pole this week with Joey Logano also in the front row. The Starting Grid is again littered with dominators due to the qualifying rules. This made it hard to find value this week and you must have the 2 top dominators in your lineup to make real money.

***Starting Grid for the Dixie Vodka 400***

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am currently at 20 lineups, but I most likely add a couple as the day goes along using the same core.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings

Denny Hamlin $10,400
Chase Elliott $11.000
Joey Logano $10,700

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings

Christopher Bell $9,300
William Byron $7,800
Matt DiBenedetto $8,000

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings

Michael McDowell $5,200
Ty Dillon $6,700
Cole Custer $6,000

Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400

***My Driver Usage for the Dixie Vodka 400***

I also like 4 plays to win the race. I have Denny Hamlin slightly over Chase Elliott for the WIN, and I am using 2 other value plays.
DraftKings Sportsbook

I am on more plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 10 and three of the driver match ups.
DraftKings Sportsbook

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailySports. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily Sports HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks | Toyota 500

Joshua Moore 4 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about his DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following analysis, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks, is intended for DraftKings NASCAR DFS GPP purposes only (Toyota 500 at Darlington – May 20, 2020). The projections below include the official starting positions for each driver.

THE PICKS

JIMMIE JOHNSON ($9,100) – Johnson got to the front of the pack on Sunday, before crashing, and landing him in the 37th starting position for Wednesday. Johnson is projected to finish 12th, and provides significant positive place differential upside. Given the upside, it appears Johnson may be quite chalky, but go ahead and eat the chalk, and move on to your next driver selection.

WILLIAM BYRON ($8,900) – Bryon also found himself in trouble on Sunday, ending his day early, and securing the 34th start position for the Toyota 500. If Byron can remember this is not an iRace, settle in, and log some solid long-run laps – he can provide excellent positive place differential upside. Along with Johnson, Byron will most likely find his way into a lot of line ups Wednesday.

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. ($7,900) – Wrecky Ricky did not make it through the first lap before he ended up in the wall on Sunday, landing him in the 39th start position for the Toyota 500. With minimal downside risk and significant positive place differential upside, it appears Ricky could make it into a lot of lineups for this slate.

KEVIN HARVICK ($11,600) – Harvick won The Real Heroes 400 at Darlington Raceway this past Sunday, landing him in the 20th position to start the Toyota 500. Harvick had the best car on Wednesday, is the favorite to win on Sunday, provides positive place differential upside, and has the ability to lead laps. Plug Harvick in and watch him roll to a victory.

JOEY LOGANO ($9,400) – Logano has a shot at taking the checkered flag every time he fires up the engine. Logano will be starting 3rd with Ty Dillon and Ryan Preece in front of him, giving him a clear path to clean air and laps led. If Logano grabs a bunch of laps led, and finishes in the top five, he will be a great play.

KYLE BUSCH ($12,000) – Kyle Busch is the most expensive driver on the slate; starting 26th and projected to finish second, he’s well-positioned to provide positive place differential points. If you believe Kyle will lead a significant portion of laps, he’s a fine play.

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

Alex Bowman, Kurt Busch, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Chase Elliott, Brad Keselowski, Cole Custer, Christopher Bell, Daniel Suarez

NOTE: Be sure to check the #nascar channel in Discord for any updates regarding DraftKings NASCAR DFS!

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

NO.	DRIVER	TEAM	MANUFACTURER	SALARY_DK	START	PROJECTED_FINSIH	PROJECTED _DK_POINTS*
4	Kevin Harvick	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$11,600	20	1	65
18	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$12,000	26	2	66
11	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$10,700	16	3	54
19	Martin Truex Jr.	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$11,110	15	4	51
88	Alex Bowman	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,000	19	5	53
9	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$10,300	17	6	49
22	Joey Logano	Team Penske	Ford	$9,400	3	7	33
2	Brad Keselowski	Team Penske	Ford	$9,700	8	8	36
1	Kurt Busch	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$8,700	18	9	44
20	Erik Jones	Joe Gibbs Racing	Toyota	$8,500	13	10	37
24	William Byron	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$8,900	34	11	56
48	Jimmie Johnson	Hendrick Motorsports	Chevrolet	$9,100	37	12	57
12	Ryan Blaney	Team Penske	Ford	$8,300	5	13	23
42	Matt Kenseth	Chip Ganassi Racing	Chevrolet	$7,600	11	14	27
21	Matt DiBenedetto	Wood Brothers Racing	Ford	$7,000	7	15	21
8	Tyler Reddick	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,700	14	16	26
10	Aric Almirola	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,400	9	17	19
6	Ryan Newman	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,400	6	18	14
14	Clint Bowyer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$7,300	4	19	10
3	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress Racing	Chevrolet	$7,200	10	20	14
41	Cole Custer	Stewart-Haas Racing	Ford	$6,600	22	21	24
95	Christopher Bell	Leavine Family Racing	Toyota	$6,800	24	22	24
17	Chris Buescher	Roush Fenway Racing	Ford	$6,100	32	23	30
38	John Nemecheck	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$6,200	12	24	8
96	Daniel Suarez	Gaunt Brothers Racing	Toyota	$6,100	25	25	19
47	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$7,900	39	26	31
13	Ty Dillon	Germain Racing	Chevrolet	$5,900	2	27	-8
37	Ryan Preece	JTG Daugherty Racing	Chevrolet	$5,400	1	28	-11
43	Bubba Wallace	Richard Petty Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,700	21	29	7
34	Michael McDowell	Front Row Motorsports	Ford	$5,800	23	30	7
66	Timmy Hill	MBM Motorsports	Toyota	$4,900	33	31	15
77	Ross Chastain	Spire Motorsports	Chevrolet	tbd	29	32	9
32	Corie LaJoie	Go Fas Racing	Ford	$5,500	31	33	9
15	Brennan Poole	Premium Motorsports	Chevrolet	$4,800	27	34	3
27	Gray Gaulding	Premium Motorsports	Ford	$4,500	28	35	2
51	Joey Gase	Petty Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$4,600	30	36	2
00	Quin Houff	Starcom Racing	Chevrolet	$4,700	35	37	5
53	Garrett Smithley	Rick Ware Racing	Chevrolet	$5,200	36	38	4
78	BJ McLeod	BJ McLeod Motorsports	Chevrolet	$5,000	38	39	4

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DRAFTKINGS DFS: The Real Heroes 400

Chris Bouchard 4 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

***The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid***

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Denny Hamlin $11,100
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Erik Jones $9.200
William Byron $8,700
Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

Ryan Newman $6,500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR IS BACK – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20

Joshua Moore 4 years ago

written by Joshua Moore

Want to ask Josh questions about The Real Heroes 400 DFS directly? Follow him on twitter at @dfs_noshame and hop in our discord chat!

The following NASCAR Cup Series – The Real Heroes 400 DFS – Darlington Raceway – 5/17/20 analysis is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes.

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

Joey Logano, in the Team Penske Shell Penzoil Ford, will be starting from the 9th position on Sunday. Logano has won two of the four Cup Series races in 2020 and will be in a strong position to take the captured flag again at this track that is, too tough to tame.

Pivots: Denny Hamlin (FD-$12,500), Kyle Busch (FD-$14,000), Kevin Harvick (FD-$14,500), Alex Bowman (FD-$10,600), Brad Keselowski (FD-$12,000)

*Make sure to roster the race winner. A second driver from this category may be rostered if they will capture a significant portion of laps led.

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

Select drivers that will give you positive place differential points. Consider rostering the following:

CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$11,700) – Elliott is starting 11th. Elliott has faced some challenges in 2020 capturing the checkered flag, but continues to be ranked third in driver/owner points.

ERIK JONES (FD-$9,800) – Jones is starting 20th. Jones won the last Cup Series race in Darlington, South Carolina (2019 Bojangles’ Southern 500 – September 1, 2019).

KURT BUSCH (FD-$9,400) – Kurt Busch is starting 22nd. Busch logged 65-fastest laps on his way to a 7th place finish last time out at Darlington.

WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$9,000) – Byron is starting 18th. Byron finished 21st last time out at Darlington, but started on the pole. The combination of Bryon and crew chief Chad Knaus, seems to make Byron a great option to capture the upside.

MARTIN TRUEX (FD-$11,500) – Truex is starting 15th. Truex may be the fifth-best driver after Logano, Busch, Hamlin, and Harvick, but has yet to see a top-10 finish in 2020. The starting position makes Truex attractive, but roster this driver with caution.

TYLER REDDICK (FD-$6,600) – Reddick, a teammate of Austin Dillon, is starting 29th. Reddick has an excellent history in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and looks to continue to excel in his rookie year as a Cup driver.

RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000) – Newman is starting 21st. If nothing else, who does not want to see Newman fighting for the win on Sunday. Newman offers great upside, but roster with caution.

3. DEEP PUNTS

Look towards a balanced build this week for The Real Heroes 400, and roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap. Consider avoiding drivers Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Quin Houff, Reed Sorenson, and Garrett Smithley that have not finished on the lead lap in a 2020 NASCAR Cup Series race.

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4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: FanShield 500 Analysis

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $11,00
Kyle Busch $12,000
Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

Chase Elliott $9.600
William Byron $8,300
Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

Christopher Bell $6,500
Kurt Busch $8,100
Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Texas

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Martinsville did not turn out like I has hoped as Martin Truex Jr. did exactly what I expected Denny Hamlin to do by dominating the race. Those short tracks are tricky and you have to throw your dart. This week we get back to a 1.5 mile track at the Texas Motor Speedway. There are only 2 races left for those 8 finalists still left in the playoffs to make the final four in Miami. For those below the cut line, this week in crucial as a DNF could force a must-win situation at Phoenix next week. Truex is currently on top followed by Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Joey Logano in the top 4.

***Playoff Standing thru Martinsville***

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The Texas Motor Speedway is a newer track opening in 1996. It hosts 2 races yearly with the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 in the Spring and the AAA Texas 500 in the fall. Jimmie Johnson has dominated at this track with 7 wins, but many others in the race Sunday have also had success including Kyle Busch and Hamlin with 3 wins, Harvick with 2, and Logano and Newman with one. Hamlin took the race earlier this season with some longer shots in the next three spots including Bowyer, Suarez, and Jones. I will have to spread a bit more in this race, to make sure I have proper DFS coverage.

***2019 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Results***

Below are my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings for DraftKings. I am a little more comfortable on this type of track, but I still prefer the super speedways. I always like drivers who will go for the win and take the risks necessary to make it happen.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Denny Hamlin $10,800
Kevin Harvick $10,400
Kyle Busch $11,200

Mid-Tier

Jimmie Johnson $8,600
Erik Jones $8,400
William Byron $8,000

Value Plays

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $7,200
Paul Menard $7,300

Kevin Harvick led qualifying which was no surprise. Erik Jones and Denny Hamlin were close behind followed by Kurt Busch to complete the first two rows. The other playoff drivers qualified 11th (Logano), 12th (Kyle Busch), 13th (Larson), 14th (Elliott), 15th (Larson), and 17th (Truex Jr.) so all are in decent position to make a run to the top.

It was very hard to decide who I wanted to back in this race on DraftKings. I decided to lean on the big three of Harvick, Hamlin, and Kyle Busch and wheel a bunch of value around them. It was hard to ignore Johnson who qualified 25th, but I was cautious only using him 4 times. I also thought Bowyer (24th), Newman (25th), and Menard (31st) had top 10-15 potential which would score well in DFS. I had to throw in some deep value in some lineups, but no one under $6K stood out. Below is my driver usage over 23 lineups. Good Luck!

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I am a bit leery about Logano in this spot, so I would lean under with him, but I think Jones could lead some laps and get a top 5 finish, thus, I am on the over with him.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Martinsville

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Just 4 events left after a crazy finish in Kansas that saw Joey Logano edge out Brad Keselowski for the last of the 8 playoff spots. Now we head to Martinsville in NASCAR DFS to start the final-four playoff push for Miami. Kyle Busch leads the playoff standings with 46 points followed closely by Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

***Current Playoff Standings. The top 4 after Martinsville, Texas, and Phoenix race for the title in Miami on November 17th***

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The Martinsville Speedway is a 0.52 mile track that opened in 1947. The STP 500 is ran in the Spring and this race, the First Data 500, is always in the Fall. Jimmie Johnson and Hendrick Motorsports have dominated this event in the past as Johnson has 6 wins, with the last in 2016, and Hendrick Motorsports has 16 wins since 1987. Chevrolet dominated with 6 straight wins from 2011 to 2016, but Toyota and Ford have won the last two with Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Denny Hamlin is the only other multiple winner of this event, winning back to back in 2009-2010. Johnson and Hamlin also have won the Spring STP 500 3 times each with Brad Keselowski winning it twice.

Here were my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings. This is a race where the cream usually rises to the top, and I like to choose drivers that qualify well. Sometimes you are forced to go outside the top 10 for value, but otherwise the top is best. You will also see the best drivers are slightly more expensive this week.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Denny Hamlin $11,000
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,800

Mid-Tier

Alex Bowman $8,300
William Byron $8,000
Jimmie Johnson $8,100

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,200
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
Paul Menard $7,100

Qualifying was not too surprising. Denny Hamlin took the pole and will be my main play for the race. Chase Elliott qualified 2nd, but due to a blown engine in practice, he will be starting at the rear of the field. The other playoff drivers were all over the grid with Truex Jr. 3rd, Blaney 6th, Joey Logano 10th, Kyle Busch 13th, Larson 14th, and Kevin Harvick a disappointing 22nd.

I decided to play only 3 lineups this weekend. Hamlin is in all three of them, then I mixed in the rest of my favorite plays. I was planning on playing deeper, but I decided to go with less lineups in more contests. My best week ever in NASCAR DFS was using one lineup that pushed over 600 points, so lets hope this strategy works again. My driver usage is below. Good Luck!

***DraftKings DFS Picks for Martinsville***

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I am going with the under for both drivers in this play. Elliott is at the back of the pack to start and I do not see Busch contending. Neither will lead enough laps to get the needed Fantasy Points.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Kansas

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Just 5 events left after an amazing race at Talladega last weekend. 10 drivers are still in the chase for the last 6 spots in the playoffs with Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney already guaranteed spots into the next round. The Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Sunday should be very interesting as some below the cut line are in must-win situations. Those above the cut line need to stay aggressive, but must avoid a DNF.

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The Kansas Speedway is a 1.5 mile track that opened in 2001 and has become a main cog in the playoff chase. Chevrolet has won 10 of the 18 events and 3 drivers in the field (Johnson, Harvick, and Logano) have won twice. Chase Elliott won last year’s event. The Digital Ally 400 event is also held at the Kansas track in May. Harvick and Johnson have each also won this event. Brad Keselowski is the only 2-time winner including this year’s event, which had a nice mix of chalk and value plays in the top 10.

***2019 DIGITAL ALLY 400 RESULTS AT KANSAS***

Below were my pre-qualifying DFS rankings. There was a huge focus on the drivers in the playoffs, but narrowing in on the value plays with Top-10 potential is crucial.

High Priced

Joey Logano $9,800
Brad Keselowski $9,600
Kevin Harvick $11,000

Mid-Tier

Clint Bowyer $8,800
Jimmie Johnson $8,000
William Byron $8,200

Value Plays

Chris Buescher $6,700
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
Ryan Newman $7,300

Qualifying gave two playoff chase drivers some issues as Kevin Harvick was not able to qualify after after failing inspection and will start at the rear of the field. Martin Truex Jr. failed inspection twice and qualified 11th. Both have lost their crew chiefs for rest of the weekend. Harvick instantly becomes the chalk of the event in DFS. It will be hard to fade him. Rookie Daniel Hemric took the pole at just over 178 MPH. David Ragan was a surprise #2 qualifier followed by Blaney, Keselowski, and Larson in the top 5.

Kyle Busch continues to qualify poorly, finishing 18th as did other playoff chase competitors Denny Hamlin (23rd) and Joey Logano (29th). There will be a ton of jostling for position as these drivers try to move their way to the top.
I have included my final driver percentages for Kansas below over 41 lineups. My “OPTIMAL” lineup will include Harvick, Elliott, and Keselowski with 3 value plays. I am using this lineup in a single entry event. Good Luck Sunday!

Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88

5 years ago 0 comments

William Byron

THE SLATE

THE PICKS | FanDuel

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

SLATE ANALYSIS

LAST TIME OUT AT INDIANAPOLIS

RECENT CUP SERIES RACES

2020 NASCAR CUP SERIES PERFORMANCE

RESOURCES

THE SLATE

THE PICKS

FRONTRUNNERS

CAPTURE THE UPSIDE

STARTING TOO HIGH

NON-LEAD LAPPERS

RESOURCES

THE PICKS

ADDITIONAL OPTIONS

THE PROJECTIONS

(fastest laps, laps led not included*)

1. FRONT RUNNER – JOEY LOGANO (FD-$12,200)

2. CAPTURE THE UPSIDE!

3. DEEP PUNTS

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Queue

(fastest laps, laps led not included)*

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