NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Kansas

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Just 5 events left after an amazing race at Talladega last weekend. 10 drivers are still in the chase for the last 6 spots in the playoffs with Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney already guaranteed spots into the next round. The Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Sunday should be very interesting as some below the cut line are in must-win situations. Those above the cut line need to stay aggressive, but must avoid a DNF.

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The Kansas Speedway is a 1.5 mile track that opened in 2001 and has become a main cog in the playoff chase. Chevrolet has won 10 of the 18 events and 3 drivers in the field (Johnson, Harvick, and Logano) have won twice. Chase Elliott won last year’s event. The Digital Ally 400 event is also held at the Kansas track in May. Harvick and Johnson have each also won this event. Brad Keselowski is the only 2-time winner including this year’s event, which had a nice mix of chalk and value plays in the top 10.

Below were my pre-qualifying DFS rankings. There was a huge focus on the drivers in the playoffs, but narrowing in on the value plays with Top-10 potential is crucial.

High Priced

1. Joey Logano $9,800
2. Brad Keselowski $9,600
3. Kevin Harvick $11,000

Mid-Tier

1. Clint Bowyer $8,800
2. Jimmie Johnson $8,000
3. William Byron $8,200

Value Plays

1. Chris Buescher $6,700
2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
3. Ryan Newman $7,300

Qualifying gave two playoff chase drivers some issues as Kevin Harvick was not able to qualify after after failing inspection and will start at the rear of the field. Martin Truex Jr. failed inspection twice and qualified 11th.  Both have lost their crew chiefs for rest of the weekend.  Harvick instantly becomes the chalk of the event in DFS.  It will be hard to fade him.  Rookie Daniel Hemric took the pole at just over 178 MPH.  David Ragan was a surprise #2 qualifier followed by Blaney, Keselowski, and Larson in the top 5. 

Kyle Busch continues to qualify poorly, finishing 18th as did other playoff chase competitors Denny Hamlin (23rd) and Joey Logano (29th).  There will be a ton of jostling for position as these drivers try to move their way to the top.
I have included my final driver percentages for Kansas below over 41 lineups.  My “OPTIMAL” lineup will include Harvick, Elliott, and Keselowski with 3 value plays.  I am using this lineup in a single entry event. Good Luck Sunday!

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