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Trevor Story

DFS Stacks and Hitters for 6/2: Colorado Cooking

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. David Price

FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,400

The Yankees’ catcher has a .310 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Price, who he has owned in the past. Sanchez is 6-for-13 with five home runs in his career against the Boston starter. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing southpaws in this one.

Values:

Wilson Ramos (FanDuel: $2,700)

Wellington Castillo (DraftKings: $3,000)

First Base – Daniel Murphy vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Murphy has a .400/.478/.500 slash line against groundball pitchers this season. With the Toronto Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez owning a slate high 51.2% groundball rate look for Murphy to shine on Sunday.

Values:

Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,500)

Kendrys Morales (DraftKings: $2,700)

Second Base – Ketel Marte vs. Steven Matz

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,400

The Diamondbacks’ Marte has a .313 ISO, a .542 wOBA and a 241 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Steven Matz. The southpaw is allowing a 44.1% hard contact rate and 1.82 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.

Values:

Cavan Biggio (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,000)

Nick Lopez (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings:$3,500)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800

The Rockies’ third baseman at is always tough to pass up at home and the same holds true today. He has a .235 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado has a .280 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez, who as mentioned earlier, is an extreme groundball pitcher. Well, Arenado has a .343/.410/.571 slash line against groundball pitchers this season.

Values:

Pablo Sandoval (FanDuel: $2,400)

Jeimer Candelario (DraftKings: $2,700)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,900

Trevor Stroy is running pure right now. In his last seven contests, he owns a .444 ISO, .561 wOBA and a 240 wRC+. For good measure, he has even added in two stolen bases. Never walk away from a heater. Instead, trust this Story has a good finish on Sunday.

Values:

Trea Turner (DraftKings: $4,600)

Brandon Crawford (FanDuel: $2,500)

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Jordan Lyles

FanDuel: $4,700 DraftKings: $5,600

Christian Yelich continues to put up video game-like numbers against right-handed pitching. He has a .449 ISO and a .484 wRC+ against righties this season. With the Pirates’ Lyles struggling with lefties this year, Yelich should get into a couple here.

Outfield – Mookie Betts vs. C.C. Sabathia

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,000

Mookie has done well against C.C. Sabathia in the past. In their career matchups, Betts owns a 1.050 OPS against the Yankees’ starter. With Sabathia allowing a .345 wOBA, 2.43 HR/9 and a 44% hard contact rate to righties, the Red Sox’s outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers.

Outfield – Mike Trout vs. Marco Gonzales

FanDuel: $4,800 Draftkings: $5,400

Anytime you can get the best player in baseball in your DFS lineup, it is probably a good idea. Trout is in a great spot to succeed in this one. Against lefties this year, Trout has a .305 ISO and a .409 wOBA.

Values:

Randal Grichuk (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200)

Derek Fisher (FanDuel: $2,200)

Christin Stewart (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,200)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez on the bump. The Blue Jays’ right-hander has a 4.99 SIERA and a 5.33 SIERA in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air. Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays:

Antonio Senzatela could be in for a long one here. The Rockies’ starter has a 5.81 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvements any time soon. Senzatela owns a 4.95 xFIP and a 5.35 SIERA this season. And he is not missing many bats these days as he has a low 15.98% whiff rate. Senzatela should be in trouble early and often here so stack up all the Blue Jays that you can.

Texas Rangers:

The Royals’ Brad Keller is a guy we want to attack today. He has the highest SIERA of the starters for MLB’s Sunday action. But equally important is the fact that the Rangers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. The Rangers have a .213 ISO against righties.

Kansas City Royals:

The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson has a 46.9% hard contact rate this season, but he is also allowing a 40.2% flyball rate. This should play into the hands of the Royals’ batters, especially the right-handed ones. Sampson is allowing .393 wOBA, 45.4% hard contact rate and a 1.88 HR/9 to right-handed bats this season.

Value Stack

LA Dodgers:

Besides Cody Bellinger, all other Dodgers’ batters are grossly underpriced, particularly on FanDuel. With the Phillies starting Nick Pivetta, the Dodgers’ stack not only allows you to pay up for some other of the big bats but they are also in a position to do some damage themselves. Los Angeles has a .216 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Pay particular attention to the Dodgers’ lefties as Pivetta is allowing a .457 wOBA to them this season.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Goodrum is Very Good?

Sean Escobar 5 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

There was a 15-game slate for Friday May 31. We will discuss a few players who performed well and others who underachieved. All points and prices are based on DraftKings.

Winners

Dylan Covey ($4,600)

Covey had his best outing so far this season yesterday against the Cleveland Indians. Covey picked up his first win on the year, throwing six innings and giving up one run on eight hits. He also had one walk and five strikeouts. I would hesitate before picking Covey up in his next start without a track record of success.

Covey’s Outlook

Dylan Covey had his best stuff on the season so far and lowered his ERA to 4.73. He faced an Indians team that has struggled offensively, ranking 27th in MLB with a .226 batting average. Covey also had control with his lowest walk total (one) in his six starts in 2019. His next start is lined up to be against the Royals in Kansas City on Friday. The Royals are also in the lower-third in batting average, but should have more success against Covey.

Niko Goodrum ($3,400)

Niko Goodrum had a great game from the leadoff spot yesterday in Atlanta. His final line was 5-for-5 with two home runs, three RBI and four runs scored. Add the production up and it was 36 points.

Goodrum’s Outlook

Goodrum had a career day against the Braves. He finished with 12 total bases and to put that into perspective, Goodrum had 12 total bases in his previous eight games combined. He is not someone who is a popular choice to have another breakout game since he has only six home runs and 73 total bases this season. The Tigers continue their series in Atlanta and face Mike Soroka, who is having an incredible season.

Trevor Story ($5,800)

When a player has a price tag as high as Story did yesterday, it is difficult to be looked upon as a winner. However, Story had a career night against the Toronto Blue Jays in Coors Field. He went 3-for-4 with a walk, two home runs, seven RBI and scored four times. Forty-five points made him the most productive player on the slate.

Story’s Outlook

Trevor Story had a Coors Field night, hitting the ball in the air and letting the stadium do the rest. Story is up to 15 home runs, 42 RBI and 52 runs scored. The two teams continue their interleague series today and Toronto is a middle-of-the-road pitching team, but Story should continue to rake.

Losers

Patrick Corbin ($11,200)

Patrick Corbin had his worst start in 2019 yesterday against the Cincinnati Reds. Corbin’s final line was 2.2 innings with eight runs (six earned) on 11 hits. He only had two strikeouts in the eight outs he recorded as well. Corbin was the most expensive player on the slate and completely whiffed in his outing.

Corbin’s Outlook

Corbin was coming off a complete game shutout against the Miami Marlins in his last start. His previous two starts, including this one, were completely opposite outings. Even with this dud of a performance, he still had a solid month of May, giving up less than a hit per inning. His next start should be on Thursday in San Diego against the Padres. The Padres have the same team batting average as the Reds do (.233) but Corbin should have a bounce-back start. His price might be too high and could hurt the rest of your lineup but if he fits, pick him up.

Manny Machado ($3,700)

Manny Machado wasn’t at a huge price tag, but the name value could provide DFS players some comfort with choosing him. However, against the lowly Miami Marlins, Machado went hitless in his four at-bats. Two of those ended with strikeouts and he left three runners on base. Machado is batting only .200 in his past seven games and looks to be on the verge of breaking out. With a low value, jump on Manny Machado in today’s slate.

Machado’s Outlook

Machado has been slumping but there comes a time when he will play to the back of his baseball card. He is only batting .259 so far this season, which would tie for his worst average in a season if it ended today. Machado has not had that hot streak and only one game this season with three hits. However, he is facing Jose Urena, who has a batting average against of .280 in 2019 thus far. Machado has the potential to end this slump.

Injury Update

Yankees’ shortstop Didi Gregorius is expected to return to the Bronx Bombers on their upcoming road trip. Gregorius has not played this season after getting Tommy John surgery during the offseason.

The Cardinals placed catcher Yadier Molina on the 10-day IL on Friday with a tendon strain in his right thumb.

Steve Pearce of the Boston Red Sox left Friday’s game against the Yankees in the bottom of the second inning with back spasms and is listed as day-to-day. .

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

5/26 Hitters and Stacks: Rockie Road

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Danny Duffy

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,200

Sanchez enters play on Sunday red hot and should continue to spit fire today. The Yankees’ catcher has a .375 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Duffy, who has lost over a mile and a half on his fastball this month. Sanchez should take advantage of the loss of velocity and keep crushing southpaws in this one.

Value:

Jason Castro (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,400)

Tony Wolters (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,100)

Willians Astudillo (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800)

First Base – C.J. Cron vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Cron’s .224 ISO versus right-handed pitching is in play for Sunday. The White Sox’ Dylan Covey gives up plenty of big flies. He has allowed 2.08 HR/9 to right-handed sticks in 2019.

Value:

Matt Beaty (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,200)

Garrett Cooper (DraftKings: $3,400)

Chris Davis (FanDuel: $3,100)

Second Base – Jonathan Schoop vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $$4,900

The Twins’ Jonathan Schoop has a .279 ISO and a .362 wOBA versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Dylan Covey. The Chicago pitcher has a 5.99 xFIP against right-handed pitching.

Value:

Hanser Alberto (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,900)

Starlin Castro (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings:$2,700)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,700

The Rockies’ third baseman checks all the boxes here. He has a .207 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado also has a .263 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Orioles’ David Hess, who is allowing 4.3 HR/9 to right-handed batters this season. Arenado should show up big in this one.

Value:

Brian Anderson (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,700)

Rio Ruiz (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,400)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,600

Trevor Story is as close to a lock button play as there is on this slate. The shortstop has raked against right-handed pitching this season with a .281 ISO and a .374 wOBA. And in this one, he gets to face a mediocre right-handed pitcher that throws a fastball more than 50% of the time and he gets to do it in the thin air of Colorado. Why is the fastball part important? Story owns a .300 ISO against that type of pitch in 2019.

Value:

Cole Tucker (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $2,300)

Miguel Rojas (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings: $3,100)

Outfield – Cody Bellinger vs. Chris Archer

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700

Cody Bellinger is in a great spot here. The Dodgers’ slugger has a .409 ISO and a .529 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. With the Pirates’ Archer allowing a 43.1% hard contact rate to lefties, Bellinger should get into a couple here.

Outfield – Eddie Rosario vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400

Eddie Rosario’s .259 ISO and .347 wOBA against righties makes him an excellent play for Sunday. With Dylan Covey being primarily a flyball pitcher, the Twins’ outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers. He has a .976 OPS versus flyball pitchers in 2019.

Outfield – Max Kepler vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,800 Draftkings: $5,200

Another Twins’ bat makes the cut here and for good reason. Kepler has a .296 ISO and a .385 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The leadoff man should be on plenty in this one.

Value:

Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,100)

David Dahl (DraftKings: $4,600)

Garrett Cooper (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings: $3,400)

Curtis Granderson (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,400)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Orioles’ David Hess on the bump. The Orioles’ right-hander has a 5.93 xFIP, 5.33 SIERA and is allowing 3.38 HR/9 in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air while being a flyball pitcher (56% flyball rate). Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.

Minnesota Twins:

No team is hotter than the Twinkies right now. Over their last seven games, they are putting up video game-like numbers. As an offense, they have a .325/.398/.662 slash line with a 1.060 OPS and a .338 ISO. With all of this production, the Twins have scored 60 runs in last week. Look for the Twins to stay hot on Sunday as they face the Chicago White Sox and right-hander Dylan Covey.

The White Sox’s starter has a 5.31 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvement any time soon. Covey owns a 7.39 xFIP and a 7.72 SIERA this season. He is a flyball pitcher (40.6%) that doesn’t strike anyone out (7.5% K%). Covey should be in trouble early and often here, so stack up all the Twins that you can.

New York Yankees:

While it hasn’t been as impressive as the Twins’ last week of production, the Yankees have had a pretty good seven-day stretch. In the last week, the New York offense has a .264 ISO, .387 wOBA and a 144 wRC+. Those numbers should all be in a position to increase on Sunday against the Royals’ Danny Duffy.

Value Stack

Miami Marlins:

While the Marlins’ offense is not a juggernaut, it is cheap and should help you get the top bats from Colorado and Minnesota into your DFS lineups. Also, the Marlins will face Erick Fedde of the Nationals. The right-handed pitcher has a 4.99 xFIP and a 4.78 SIERA this season.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

5/26 Hitters and Stacks: Rockie Road

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Danny Duffy

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,200

Value:

Jason Castro (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,400)

Tony Wolters (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,100)

Willians Astudillo (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800)

First Base – C.J. Cron vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Cron’s .224 ISO versus right-handed pitching is in play for Sunday. The White Sox’ Dylan Covey gives up plenty of big flies. He has allowed 2.08 HR/9 to right-handed sticks in 2019.

Value:

Matt Beaty (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,200)

Garrett Cooper (DraftKings: $3,400)

Chris Davis (FanDuel: $3,100)

Second Base – Jonathan Schoop vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $$4,900

Value:

Hanser Alberto (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,900)

Starlin Castro (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings:$2,700)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,700

Value:

Brian Anderson (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,700)

Rio Ruiz (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,400)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,600

Value:

Cole Tucker (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $2,300)

Miguel Rojas (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings: $3,100)

Outfield – Cody Bellinger vs. Chris Archer

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700

Outfield – Eddie Rosario vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400

Outfield – Max Kepler vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,800 Draftkings: $5,200

Another Twins’ bat makes the cut here and for good reason. Kepler has a .296 ISO and a .385 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The leadoff man should be on plenty in this one.

Value:

Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,100)

David Dahl (DraftKings: $4,600)

Garrett Cooper (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings: $3,400)

Curtis Granderson (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,400)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

Minnesota Twins:

New York Yankees:

Value Stack

Miami Marlins:

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/8 – Rockie Roll All Night

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

The first thing we always need to check before submitting DFS lineups is the weather and we have some nightmare forecasts here. Over half of the Wednesday slate has weather question marks and the cities/states we need to keep an eye on are as follows: Milwaukee, St. Louis, Chicago, Colorado, Baltimore, Detroit and Houston. That’s simply a bad outlook for DFS players and it’s imperative to check with Mark Paquette for weather updates.

Catcher

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. WSH

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,000)

The Brewers make for a nice stack here against Jeremy Hellickson and Grandal should be in the heart of their order. When picking catchers, I usually punt the position or pick an elite option, so we’re going to go with a stud like Grandal. What we like here is the fact that he gets to bat from the left side against Jeremy Hellickson. Since the beginning of 2017, Grandal owns an .805 OPS and .478 SLG against right-handers. Hellickson’s 5.33 ERA and 1.48 WHIP shouldn’t scare us off either, especially in a hitter’s haven like Miller Park.

Also Consider: Willson Contreras is the hottest catcher in the league right now and gets a good matchup against Jose Urena

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,300)

Rizzo might be the hottest hitter in the league right now and that alone makes him impossible to fade in this matchup. Over his last 15 games, Rizzo is posting a .351 AVG and .449 OBP. That is impressive but his power has been even more absurd, with Rizzo providing six doubles, six homers and 17 RBI in that span. Rizzo always hits better against right-handers and Urena’s .370 wOBA, 5.45 ERA and 1.54 WHIP definitely make him someone we want to stack against.

Also Consider: Jesus Aguilar is super cheap on both sites and has a .478 OBP and three dingers over his last eight games.

Second Base

Rougned Odor, TEX at PIT

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,000)

Odor’s ugly batting average will make many DFS owners overlook his potential but this guy is too good to be this cheap. Not only is he batting in the heart of the Rangers order, this is also a guy who has 25-20 potential. That’s evident by the fact that he’s averaging 27 homers and 14 steals per year over the last three seasons. While he hasn’t provided much of that yet this year, it’s good to invest in a guy when his stock is at its lowest because an increase is inevitably on the horizon. It could start against Nick Kingham, as Odor gets the platoon advantage against a righty who’s posted a 6.39 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Also Consider: Jose Altuve is more expensive but could have success against an inconsistent arm like Jorge Jopez.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. SF

DK ($5,500) FD ($4,900)

Arenado is always worth considering at home and especially so when he faces a weak left-hander. While this price makes him a tough sell, it’s hard to overlook his career numbers. In fact, Arenado owns a 1.020 OPS against lefties throughout his career and a .979 OPS at home. That’s obviously ridiculous and it says a lot about how good this guy is. He comes into this matchup rolling too, with nine homers, 21 runs and 21 RBI over his last 19 game. Not to mention, Arenado owns a 1.700 OPS and .600 OBP in 15 plate appearances against Derek Holland throughout their careers. The Giants lefty pitching in Coors is a nightmare circumstance too, as his .349 xwOBA and 5.17 FIP paint an ugly picture.

Also Consider: Matt Carpenter remains cheap on both sites and gets the platoon advantage against Jared Eickhoff.

Shortstop

Trevor Story , COL vs. SF

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,700)

Story pairs beautifully with Arenado as a two-man Rockies stack, as Story is easily the best shortstop option on the board. This write-up is nearly identical to the Arenado recommendation, as Story has made minced meat of lefties at home throughout his career too. Since his call-up, Story has posted a .973 OPS at home and a 1.024 OPS against southpaws. That has equated to an OPS north of 1.200 against southpaws at home and it’s no surprise when you consider the fact that Coors Field is the best hitting park in the majors. What also makes this Rockies stack intriguing is Vegas’ thoughts on the game, as they have Colorado projected to score nearly six runs, which is easily the highest total on the slate.

Also Consider: Corey Seager is just $3,600 on DK and $3,000 on FD and gets the platoon advantage against a struggling Mike Foltyniewicz.

Outfield

Mookie Betts/J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. BAL

DK ($5,400) FD ($4,300)

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,900)

These two ruined my Monkey Knife Fight picks on Monday but we’re going to go right back to the well here. The simple fact is, these are two of the best hitters in the game. That makes them worth considering on any slate but especially against Andrew Cashner. The Orioles righty has simply been one of the worst pitchers in the Majors over recent years, posting a .381 xwOBA this season while accruing a 4.52 ERA and 1.46 WHIP since the beginning of 2015. That spells disaster against Martinez, who homered on Tuesday and is one of the league leaders with a .452 xwOBA. Betts is on fire right now too, as he’s 25-for-64 at the plate over his last 16 games, accumulating three homers, six doubles, 14 walks, 14 runs and 13 RBI in that span.

Yasiel Puig, CIn at OAK

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,700)

The Cincinnati slugger has struggled in his first month with the Reds but he’s simply too good to be priced this cheaply. What makes Puig an intriguing option here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against Brett Anderson, with Puig posting a .932 OPS against left-handers this season. Anderson is not really a pitcher Puig’s going to worry about either, with the southpaw posting a 1.41 WHIP and 4.91 xFIP so far this year.

Gregory Polanco, PIT vs. TEX

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,900)

Polanco is in the exact same boat as Puig, as we’re going to bet on him getting much better over the next few months. The lefty slugger actually homered Tuesday and hopefully, that’s the sign of things to come. He now has at least 10 DK points in three of his last four games and it’s only going to continue against a weak righty like Shelby Miller. Not only does Miller own an unsightly 7.99 ERA and 2.03 WHIP, he’s also posting a nightmarish .408 xwOBA. That’s fantastic for Polanco, who owns an OPS of .800 against righties since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Andrew Benintendi is another great piece to a Boston stack, as he gets the platoon advantage against Cashner.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting Picks – 5/3

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

With a full slate of MLB games on tap for today, this mostcertainly will be a fun Friday. To make it even more enjoyable (and profitable)let’s go around the horn and identify the top DFS plays for May 3rd.

Catcher – YasmaniGrandal vs. Steven Matz

FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings:$4,300

Yasmani Grandal has crushed left-handed pitching all season long. The catcher owns a .296 ISO and a .467 wOBA versus lefties. Expect more of the same on Friday. The Mets’ Matz is throwing his sinker 62% of the time, while Grandal owns a .417 batting average against the pitch this season. Matz has been hit hard this season, with a 42.7% hard contact rate, so the catcher has a good shot at hitting one of those sinkers a long way.

First Base – ChristianWalker vs. Tyler Anderson

FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings:$5,500

When a game is played in Colorado you can expect a lot of runs scored, so it would make sense to load up on players from this game. And Walker is certainly one you will want to get a piece of. The first baseman has a .200 ISO against left-handed pitching, while Anderson is allowing a 3.24 HR/9 in 2019.

Second Base – BrandonLowe vs. Dan Straily

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings:$4,800

The Orioles’ Dan Straily is one of the worst pitchers on the slate with a 6.38 SIERA, 53.5% flyball rate and a 3.38 HR/9 allowed. And so of course, you will want to get some Rays’ action on Friday. And there may not be a better Tampa player to target than Brandon Lowe. The second baseman has a .269 ISO and 153 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this season.

Third Base – NolanArenado vs. Robbie Ray

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings:$5,500

Despite his hefty price tag, Nolan Arenado is probably worth every penny and more on Friday. The third baseman enters play tonight having homered five times in his last seven games and now gets to go home to Coors Field. While playing in the thin Colorado air, Arenado will face a lefty. Against left-handed pitching this season the Rockies’ slugger has a .469 ISO. And if that is not enough, the lefty he is facing, Robbie Ray, is a guy he has dominated in the past. In 31 career at-bats against Ray, Arenado has 11 hits, seven for extra bases. Three of those extra base knocks left the yard.

Shortstop – TrevorStory vs. Robbie Ray

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings:$5,600

The Rockies’ shortstop should be just fine on Friday. He hashad good success against lefties in his career and that has continued thisseason. In 2019 Story has a .427 wOBA versus southpaws.

Outfield – Joey Gallovs. Trent Thornton

FanDuel: $4,500 DraftKings:$5,500

You want to attack the Blue Jays’ Trent Thornton withleft-handed bats. He has allowed 2.57 HR/9 to lefties this season. That playspretty well into Joey Gallo’s strength. The Rangers’ slugger has a .441 ISO anda .461 wOBA against righties in 2019.

Outfield – MookieBetts vs. Reynaldo Lopez

FanDuel: $4,700 DraftKings:$5,100

Mookie Betts has reached base multiple times in eight straight contests and that should continue again on Friday. The Red Sox’s outfielder has a .446 wOBA and a 180 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. It also helps that the righty he will be facing, Reynaldo Lopez, happens to throw his fastball more than 60% of the time. Betts owns a .389 batting average against that pitch this season.

Outfield – CodyBellinger vs. Eric Lauer

FanDuel: $5,100 Draftkings: $5,800

While this is not the most hitter-friendly ballpark, Cody Bellinger will be just fine on Friday. He will be facing a lefty in Eric Lauer and Bellinger just so happens to own a 1.050 OPS versus southpaws in 2019.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

50 Top Hitters

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

50. Trea Turner – From a pure hitting standpoint, Trea is very solid sporting a .344 OBP along with an average of .271. However, it is on the base paths where he really does his damage, stealing 43 bags last season and making him a very solid SS target on most slates.

49. Joey Gallo – Mr. HR or go home is always a nice GPP option with massive HR upside, but he can also strikeout 4 times and leave you dead in the water.

48. Justin Upton

47. Justin Smoak

46. Shin Soo-Choo – The platoon specialist SSC is always a solid option in DFS when he is facing off against right handers that struggle against lefties. However, we always have to factor in the element that he may only bat 2 or 3 times before being pinch hit for if the opponent pulls out a lefty reliever.

45. Kyle Schwarber – Although the strikeouts are a major issue, there is no denying the power and potential possessed by Schwarber.

44. Edwin Encarnacion

43. Cody Bellinger

42. Yasmani Grandal – As far as catchers go, Grandal is easily top 10, but he falls to #42 on my list of total hitters with a respectable .349 OBP and a .466 SLG performance in his 2018 campaign.

41. Ben Zobrist

40. Travis Shaw

39. Didi Gregorius – As someone who can really take advantage of the Yankee Stadium design, Didi is a promising target as he heads in to his age 29 season hoping to improve on his 27 HRs from last season by finally hitting the big 30 mark.

38. Tommy Pham

37. George Springer

36. Matt Olson – Coming off a solid season where he was 1 homer shy of 30, Olson returns to a pretty stacked A’s lineup that can pack a serious punch and should be a popular stack when they are facing gas cans that have a fly ball tendency.

35. Andrew McCutchen

34. Aaron Hicks

33. Andrew Benintendi – While I wanted to put him a bit higher, Benintendi can not yet quite call himself one of the top 25 bats in all of the MLB. Improving on his power will certainly get him there in 2019, especially given the juicy stolen base upside he possesses.

32. Joey Votto

31. Scooter Gennett

30. Jose Altuve – The Houston speedster narrowly edges out the 2 Great American Small Park sticks, mainly due to that stolen base upside. He also is more patient at the plate and struck out over 20 fewer times than Votto/Gennett and as long as he can stay healthy, it is tough to see him slowing down.

29. Anthony Rizzo

28. Nicholas Castellanos

27. Nelson Cruz – At the ripe young age of 38, Cruz just continues to get it done. Spanking an impressive 37 homers to boost his OPS to .850, one of the top 30 highest figures in all of the majors. It is fair to expect a slow down at some point, but assuming the production does not fall off a cliff, Cruz could still reach the 30 HR mark this season.

26. Charlie Blackmon

25. Giancarlo Stanton

24. Matt Chapman – A member of the low-key loaded Oakland A’s lineup (Which unfortunately just took a big hit with the Matt Olson injury), Chapman will look to break the 30-homer mark as he fell just 6 shy in the 2018 season.

23. Rhys Hoskins

22. Francisco Lindor

21. Michael Brantley – Two Clevelanders back to back on the list. Mr. Brantley is getting up there in age, but has shown that he still has plenty left in the tank. Sporting a respectable .832 OPS, Brantley boasts a low strikeout rate and a solid .300+ average, but will need to leave the park a lot more in 2019 to crack the top 20.

20. Miguel Andujar

19. David Peralta

18. Javier Baez – Javi had a very impressive 2018, a year in which he reached on 176 hits, made it around the bases 101 times, and also jacked up 34 homers. Not someone that we typically consider a major power hitter, Javi benefits from playing in Wrigley, especially when the wind is in our favor.

17. Jesus Aguilar

16. Eugenio Suarez

15. Xander Bogaerts – The X man did not have an amazing 2018, but it was certainly a strong one and his position on this list also has a lot to do with potential. Bogaerts is a player that goes on streaks – Both hot and cold. If he can steady his production he should be able to improve on his power, although he was a double hitting machine in the small Fenway Park last season.

14. Freddie Freeman

13. Matt Carpenter

12. Manny Machado – Mr. Money Bags Manny Machado signed a contract heard around the world late this offseason (At least until Trout said hold my beer). So, 2018 clearly was a good year for him to reach nearly a 4 digit OPS, along with 37 home runs and 188 hits which tied him for 3^rd place in the majors.

11. Alex Bregman

10. Trevor Story

9. Paul Goldschmidt – Goldy was another streaking player in 2018, but when the dust settled he finds himself in the top 10 of many 2019 hitter lists. While the humidor is always a hot topic in Arizona, MLB’s PG still posted .533 SLG and 83 RBIs, although the strikeouts (173) were a major problem area that he will need to improve on.

8. Jose Ramirez

7. Nolan Arenado

6. Bryce Harper – The last of the 3 massive contract trio is the Home Run Derby hero Bryce Harper, who will be in Philly for the LONG haul. Although his OPS was a shade under 900 and his average left much to be desired, Bryce drew a ton of walks in 2018, and if pitchers will throw him hittable pitches at just a slightly higher rate, expect that 100 RBI figure to shoot up.

5. Khris Davis – Yet another A’s batter to make the list, Khris Davis just continues to get the job done each season. After nearly breaking the 100 run, 150 hit marks in 2018, Khris sneaks into my top 5 due to the whopping 48 dingers that he smacked in the 2018 season.

4. Christian Yelich – With a top 4 OPS in the entire MLB (and one of only 4 players that finished in 4 digits), it would be tough to leave Yelich out of any top 5 hitters list. However, that is exactly what plenty of top hitter rankings are doing heading in to 2019. Yelich is my sleeper top 5 hitter in the league for the 2019 season.

3. J.D. Martinez – There are a few players in the league that it feels like hit a home run at every one of their at-bats, and JDM is certainly in that group. While he did lose the HR race in 2018, he still ended up with 43 dingers, along with the 3^rd highest OPS in the entire MLB. Playing half of his games in the friendly little confines of Fenway Park should lead to another amazing 2019 season for Martinez.

2. Mike Trout – It is crazy for me to put the hitter with the highest OPS in the league in 2^nd place, but from a fantasy perspective that is what I must do. Trout is headed straight to the HOF, and his hitting numbers are up there with the all-time greats. He is one of the most complete MLB players that we may ever see, and should be in the top 2 of any best hitters list.

1. Mookie Betts – Did anyone really expect me to put Trout over the GOAT Mookie Betts? I know I am in the minority here but hear me out. Yes, Trout does have a better OBP than Mookie, but many would be surprised to hear that Mookie actually has a higher SLG AND AVG than the all-star Angel. He also has the speed edge, reaching the coveted 30 SB mark in 2018, while almost never striking out, and winning that whole World Series thing. Mookie Betts is my #1 hitter for the 2019 MLB season. Go Sox!

5 years ago 0 comment

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